BTC.... HOLD THE LINE!!!!BTC is still on a daily downtrend however every lower time frame structure can provide evidence of a reversal. Bitcoins price is at critical levels of support and as long it holds the line Class Bullish Divergence is all we need to get some follow-through. CHOCH is the evidence we need.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
XRP at $1.9: Testing Key SupportXRP is currently trading at $1.9, a pivotal level, as the crypto market grapples with a 4.4% drop in the last 24 hours. Macro uncertainty, think US inflation data and Fed rate hike fears, is pressuring risk assets. Yet, XRP holds steady, buoyed by whispers of a Ripple partnership with a major European bank for cross-border payments and ETF speculation (unconfirmed).
Technical Analysis
Short-Term (Daily Chart):
Support: $1.90 (current), $1.80
Resistance: $2.00, $2.10
RSI sits at 48 (neutral), while MACD hints at bearish momentum. XRP’s testing the lower edge of a descending channel, holding $1.90 could trigger a bounce to $2.00, but a break below eyes $1.80.
Long-Term (Weekly Chart):
Support: $1.70, $1.50
Resistance: $2.50, $3.00
The 200-day MA is sloping down, signaling caution, but $1.70 is a solid base for bulls.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: If $1.90 holds and $2.00 falls with strong volume, expect a push to $2.10 short-term, possibly $2.50 long-term if adoption news hits.
Bearish: A crack below $1.90 could test $1.80, with $1.70 next if selling ramps up.
Trading Tips and Context
XRP’s real-world use in payments and recent partnerships fuel long-term hope, but the SEC lawsuit looms as a risk. Short-term traders: trade the range between $1.90 support and $2.00 resistance, set stops tight (e.g., below $1.90 for longs). Long-term holders: $1.70 is your critical level. Keep an eye on SEC updates or ETF chatter for catalysts.
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Will It Hold or Break? Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast – Potential Breakdown Ahead?
Key Observations:
📉 Strong Support Retest: Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone around $81,350 - $81,000.
📉 Bearish Momentum: The price has been in a steady downtrend, struggling to hold above key moving averages.
📉 Breakdown Potential: If Bitcoin fails to hold this support, we could see further downside towards $80,046, and possibly as low as $77,685.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Case: A clear break below $81,000 could accelerate selling, leading to a drop towards $80,000 or lower.
🟢 Bullish Case: If BTC holds this support and forms a reversal pattern, we might see a bounce back towards $83,000+.
⚠️ Watch for confirmation! A breakdown could trigger strong bearish momentum! 🚨
What’s your outlook for BTC? Will it hold or break down further? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Doge: Balancing Hype and RealityDogecoin is currently trading at $0.1464, reflecting a modest 0.11% increase over the past 24 hours. This slight uptick contrasts with the broader cryptocurrency market, which has declined by 4.4% in the same period, showcasing Dogecoin’s relative resilience among altcoins. However, it remains far from its all-time high of $0.7376 (reached in May 2021). Some users point to whale accumulation as a bullish sign, while others flag bearish risks tied to macroeconomic factors, such as U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve policy shifts.
Broader Context: Dogecoin’s Unique Position
Unlike many cryptocurrencies with defined utility, Dogecoin’s value is driven largely by its meme status and vibrant community. This makes it highly reactive to social media trends and influencer endorsements, think Elon Musk or other high-profile figures. Recent chatter on the internet about whale activity suggests big players might be accumulating or offloading, which could foreshadow significant price shifts. However, its speculative nature leaves it exposed during broader market downturns, as seen in today’s risk-off environment. For Dogecoin to sustain momentum, it relies heavily on ongoing community engagement and real-world adoption, such as its use by merchants like the Dallas Mavericks.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If $0.14 support holds and $0.15 is breached with strong volume, Dogecoin could climb to $0.16 in the short term, potentially reaching $0.20 longer term if community hype or positive news (e.g., Elon Musk tweets) kicks in.
Bearish Case: A drop below $0.14 might test $0.13, with further declines to $0.10 possible if selling pressure intensifies.
Historical Patterns and What’s Next
Looking back, Dogecoin has a history of explosive rallies followed by steep corrections, its 2021 surge to $0.7376 was fueled by retail mania and celebrity hype, only to crash as momentum faded. Today’s price action at $0.1464 feels more subdued, but the potential for a breakout (or breakdown) remains. If whale accumulation continues and sentiment flips bullish, a revisit to $0.20 or higher isn’t out of the question. On the flip side, a broader crypto sell-off could push it toward $0.08 support. Patience is key, wait for confirmation via volume or a catalyst before jumping in.
Has Bitcoin entered a downtrend?Bitcoin is going down, the whole crypto market is going down, too. So, does this mean Bitcoin has entered a downtrend cycle? That is a million- or even billion -dollar question.
Let's analyze Bitcoin's two previous downtrends. The first correction wave dropped about 21.7%, and the second one dropped about 32.8%. If this pattern continues, the current correction wave could drop at least 32.8%; the latest Bitcoin's bearish candle is a little short of this amount.
Also, the previous horizontal resistance area, which is now a support area, coincides with the 32.8% drop value and the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement levels, too. So, this area seems like a good place for Bitcoin's correction to end.
Moreover, the major uptrend line is the last line of defense for Bitcoin to keep the bullish phase alive. Let's see what happens.
BTCUSD: Can this M2 supply signal trigger a massive rally?Bitcoin has neutralized the previously oversold levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.383, MACD = -1887.100, ADX = 31.814) as it is making a strong technical rebound on the 1W MA50. Today's analysis features the Global M2 supply, which is a leading indicator for Bitcoin. Both in July 2024 and November 2022 (the last two major bottoms for the market) when the M2 started to rise aggressively, Bitcoin declined and consolidated. It followed the bullish trend of the M2 with a rise of its own much later. This is similar to what the market has been experiencing since January 2025, when the M2 started rising but Bitcoin peaked on its ATH and started a decline that continues to this very date. If the pattern gets repeated then by end of April - start of May we are in for a strong Bitcoin recovery (if not earlier).
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Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #54👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York futures session triggers for you.
⚡️ The market has experienced a drop since yesterday, and I had identified the triggers for this drop in the previous analysis. Let's analyze today to see what we can do in the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price made a downward move after the triggers at 82633 and 81473 were activated, even breaking the important support at 79120 and now has rebounded from the area of 74760.
✔️ If we draw a Fibonacci from this downward leg, we can find potential resistance levels. A few moments ago, there was also a fake news report from Trump stating that he would give 90 days to all countries except China to start tariffs, which, although fake, had a significant impact on the market.
📊 The market volume is very low, which makes it susceptible to such short and small news about tariffs to react this way.
📰 If such news continues and the market acts emotionally, the technical analysis I perform for you will not be very reliable, and the price will move more emotionally.
🔼 However, if these emotional moves end and the price stabilizes in these areas, the potential resistances we have are the Fibonacci levels of 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786, where the 0.5 and 0.786 areas overlap with static price resistances, and the 0.618 area, being the golden Fibonacci, could prevent further price drops.
💥 The RSI oscillator, after a sharp fall and being mostly in Oversell yesterday, has finally exited this area and now reached around 50. If this area is broken in the RSI, the likelihood of a deeper correction will increase.
📉 Today, for a short position, we only have the break of the 74760 area, which I also suggest not opening a position with this trigger because the market has recently moved and needs to create a new structure.
📈 For long positions, according to the strategy I have, it does not make sense for me to open a position in this trend that has so much downward momentum. The best analogy is that when a knife is falling, you shouldn't try to catch it mid-air because it might cut your hand; you should wait for it to fall to the ground so you can pick it up safely without risk.
Let's look at the indices to take a look at the situation with altcoins.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has made another upward move after breaking 63.07. This caused altcoins to fall more than Bitcoin during this drop, and short positions on altcoins would have given us more profit compared to Bitcoin.
🚀 In the analyses of Bitcoin and altcoins, I've repeatedly told you that for buying altcoins, we should wait until Bitcoin dominance starts to drop. That hasn't happened yet, and it still has a strong upward trend, so today if the market gives a short trigger, altcoins would be more logical.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As you can see, this index has fallen much more than Bitcoin, experiencing a very sharp downward leg upon activating the trigger at 965.
⭐ Currently, I've only added the 949 line to the chart, which overlaps with the 0.786 Fibonacci of this downward leg, and I haven't added any other lines and am waiting for the price to create its structure.
✨ The nearest support the price has is 816, which is very important, and there is nothing else notable about Total2 yet, and we need to wait until a structure is created that can be analyzed.
🎲 The only opinion I can give for now is that the 816 area is very important, and reaching this area in Total2 could end its downward trend, which is more like a prediction than an analysis and is a gut feeling and currently has no logical reason.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance, which is very similar to Total2 but seems like a reverse of it.
👀 Yesterday, the trigger at 5.53 activated simultaneously with 965 in Total2, and the dominance moved upward. There's not much I can analyze about this chart, and the main resistance is in the area of 6.34, which acts like the 816 in Total2.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin will grow inside upward channel to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, the price moved inside a triangle pattern, where it faced pressure from the resistance line while holding above the lower boundary. After the breakout from this formation, BTC began forming an upward channel, signaling a shift toward a bullish structure. Inside the channel, the price reacted multiple times to the support line, especially within the buyer zone between 79600–81000 points. Every touch of this zone triggered a rebound, indicating that buyers consistently protect it. Most recently, BTC bounced again from the 81000 support level, which aligns with the lower channel boundary. This rebound shows that bullish momentum is still present, and the structure remains intact. Now, the price is stabilizing and preparing for another upward move. I expect BTC to continue rising toward the 88500 resistance level, which is both the TP1 and the upper boundary of the current channel. This level also aligns with the lower edge of the seller zone, making it a natural target for the next wave. With the price holding above key support, the confirmed channel structure, and repeated bullish reactions from the lower zone, I remain bullish and anticipate a continued move upward toward 88500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Retests 77k Neckline Support! This is huge!Traders,
As we watch the tariff FUD destroy traders everywhere, I want you to be aware that we have just landed on something extremely critical for support, the neckline of our long-standing CUP and HANDLE that began forming at the end of 2021. The neckline currently stands at an approximate price of 76-77k. If you'll remember in my last post a couple of days ago regarding the SPY, I suggested that SPY could drop as low as 467 and Bitcoin could hit 76k. Bitcoin has arrived at it's 76k support and if this doesn't hold, crypto is in serious trouble. I am not trying to be an alarmist here. You all know that I am an eternal optimist when it comes to crypto, but in this case we have to prepare our trades accordingly. The break of 76k support could send Bitcoin and crypto down as far at 50k. I know this is hard to believe. Even as I am typing this I am having a hard time grasping that we'd get there, but this is what I am seeing and I have to inform you all accordingly. If we're lucky, that neckline holds. But plan accordingly.
✌️Stew
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
Bitcoin Attempts to Bounce from Key Support ZoneIn our last BTC post, we mentioned that decision time had arrived—and the market has made its move. The downtrend is resuming with max-pain.
Today, Bitcoin tested a major support zone at 72,000–74,000. This area, once a key resistance, now serves as critical support.
Now, another decision point is approaching. Will the market recover and Bitcoin follow, pushing toward the upper boundary of the trend channel? Or will a break below this support send BTC toward the lower edge of the channel, triggering a strong move that shakes out the bulls before a potential recovery?
You Won't Believe Who Saved Bitcoin: GMEThis last week was interesting to say the least but the most interesting thing to watch was the incredibly influx of volume into INDEX:BTCUSD
As the week progressed into Thursday and Friday and equity markets sold off big the volume of trading in Bitcoin more than doubled... yet the price remained stagnant.
A month ago I did a study of correlation and relative movements between stocks and Bitcoin to answer the question: "What would happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?" The TL;DR was that 75% of all weeks exhibited a positive correlation with nearly 50% a "high" correlation. Also, when equities have sold off big over the past decade Bitcoin had sold off at least two times or more.
Correlations are not an absolute and can change but this week something unique was clearly going on. If the standard correlation had been allowed to play out on Thursday INDEX:BTCUSD would have fallen more than -8% and Friday more than -11%. It would have triggered mass liquidations. But that did not happen.
This was a critically important Support for Bitcoin to hold and someone knew it... enter Ryan Cohen.
Michael Saylor with NASDAQ:MSTR is definitely NOT the one deploying cash to prop up Bitcoin.
His buys have been entirely NOT-Strategy-ic and has mostly bought highs. He has made a virtue out of being a really bad "trader" uncaring about price and timing. That plan has not worked to push Bitcoin to new a new All Time High nor saved it from the bear trend in 2025.
Cohen, however, is a renowned trader/investor that should know market structure and would have the sense to deploy cash at the perfect time. Just this week two things happened: Cohen took out a loan backed by his NYSE:GME shares and GameStop completed a convertible note offering, like Microstrategy has done, to raise 1.4 Billion in cash to buy Bitcoin. That gave him lots of cash at the critical point at the end of the week.
So do they get to win? Very possible. It depends on equities. If stocks rise in the coming week then the Bitcoin correlation may resume and INDEX:BTCUSD be lifted. If the U.S. economy enters a recession, the stock market route deepens, or if they used all of their available cash to exhaustion then the plan could fail and Bitcoin will fall in sync.
Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment: Eyes on $70KBitcoin price almost reached the $74k support area, which is critical for the bull run continuation.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, and a clean bounce from here could signal renewed strength and confidence in the market.
However, if this support fails to hold and BTC closes the weekly candle below the $70k level, it would likely mark the end of the current bull phase and signal the beginning of a distribution phase or even the early stages of a new bear market.
That doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will crash straight to $50k — corrections are rarely that linear. But it would drastically reduce the chances of seeing new all-time highs in this cycle.
The next rally, if it happens, would probably be more muted and shorter-lived.
Hopefully BTC will manage to avoid this scenario and hold above the support area.
On the positive side, if BTC holds above $70k and we see strong demand stepping in, it could set the stage for a healthy bounce and continuation of the uptrend.
Still I expect that BTC will test 70k level and if we see strong buying pressure on that level we can expect some recovery.
Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
ITS TIME , FINAL WAVE FOR BITCOIN HAS BEGAN The final wave for Bitcoin has officially started; 200k by September 2025 is the call. So far, since October 2024, we have been getting every macro move correct. Going to avoid repeating a lot of content from the previous two TAs; check it out below.
The lower high on the RSI called the momentum shift on this one; it was clear.
December 17th, 2024, calling for a pullback down to 82k for wave 4 to complete; it hit 77k, pretty close.
So last time, I was wrestling with two different dates for a cycle top; the first one was May 2025, and the second was September 2025.
It is clear to me now that mid to late September 2025, Bitcoin will peak at around 200k. It could go slightly higher, but the 185-200k region has a higher outcome.
So, I've been using this small-time Fib, and last time when we hit the 0.618, it was the breakout week for Bitcoin from the long range. We're here again; this week is the big pivot and start of wave 5.
The hash ribbon has confirmed a buy signal, and more importantly, it flashed buy in my Time Fibonacci week. Amazing. If you've been with me for years, you already know that this is the best signal for Bitcoin there is. It is so damn good; this gives so much more weight to my thesis.
Stars seem to align again. They constantly try to shake you out; this is the game. Who is going to fade the hash ribbon buy? It's been the easiest play time and time again.
Seriously, though, for just a moment—are you really going to fade the hash ribbon? :)
BTC is still bullish!!!🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is dipping hard! 🚨
📍 All eyes on $72,000 — this could be the ultimate buy zone:
🔽 Why this level matters:
1️⃣ Bottom of the blue wedge
2️⃣ Flipped resistance → support
3️⃣ Major demand zone
4️⃣ Classic -34% pullback move
📊 This could be a textbook entry point.
Are you ready to catch the bounce?
I'm Bullish, but... BTC / USDHello my friends,
At a minimum we're looking at 30 days inside this wedge before breaking out and testing the $96k range once again. Trust me, Bitcoin must form a bullish structure before doing anything interesting.
It could wick to FWB:73K but I'm thinking the heavy orders around $75k might hold and we range instead of dumping more.
Keep an eye on this wedge.
Trade thirsty, my friends!