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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTCUSD - Will history repeats itself ?This post is just a correction from a post I made last month I missed on identifying correctly the pattern because I thought the middle of the channel would act as a strong support ended up being wrong on the timing of the next wave up - not a big deal tho I also profit of this moment to update the fractal path that's BTC is doing, as you can see the asset is just copying move from last year (in violet) this is quite interesting because it did this the whole cycle, i don't remember seeing this before but maybe i'm wrong so yeah the violet bar patterns says we go great wave up in a few days can you believe it ? i'll start to take profit next month but not sure 100% id like to see what is going to do Pectra update on Eth's price Here's a bigger picture i made in November still working very well : not financial advice Cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Investwine
BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) TODAY'S MAPPING IN 4H TF MUST CHECK IT OUT Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 4-Hour TF Our chart shows Bitcoin's price moving within a triangle shape. The price is going up and down, getting squeezed into a smaller range. What this means: The price is preparing for a big move, either up or down. If it breaks up: The price might increase a lot. SUPPORT LEVEL 103,500 2ND SUPPORT. 102,000 TARGET IS 106,500 - 108,000 If the price breaks above resistance, it’s a bullish signal. If it breaks below support, it’s bearish. If it breaks down: The price might drop, possibly toward the orange zone (2nd support area).
Long
by Art_of_TradingFX
Bitcoin (BTC):Buy The Rumour, Sell The News / Sellers DominatingAnother week of volatility is here! Last week's candle (which is marked as a candle of inauguration) made a new ATH before all the liquidity hunting, and now eventually we see price is seeing some decent selling pressures. Now our view on the bigger picture has not changed; we are still looking for some proper downfall to happen, which would shake out all the new traders and gamblers. We like to call this scenario "Buy the rumour, Sell the news." Now rumours are over so now the only thing left is action. Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
DOGE potential for 19% short term gain based on Neural Network Hi all, I developed an simplified AI indicator and I applied it to the DOGE 4 hour time frame chart and got positive results. On average, the backtest is showing roughly a 19% gain per LONG trade. According to the script, we just exited a short trade, and entered a long trade, and the average long trade yields 19%. Looking at DOGE’s recent price action and leveraging my custom neural network backtest, there's a strong possibility that the coin could see a short-term gain. The model has been extremely accurate in predicting these types of moves, taking into account factors such as market momentum and volume patterns. With the technicals aligning, it appears that DOGE is positioned for a bounce, especially with the broader crypto market showing positive signals. Keep an eye on DOGE, as the bullish momentum might just surprise us with something bigger.
Long
by nhbprod
BTC, long or short? It could go either wayTriangle pattern on the Daily. Clearer on the 4hr. A bit choppy on the 1hr, 45 and 15min as would be expected. Pretty much respects 0.236 and 0.785, and more recently 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. I’m expecting an early morning breakout to the upside at the start of the week with $109k in sight. Chances are, if enough retail think it’s breaking out to the upside, price will probably flush out shorts with a strong wick up then liquidate longs on the way to $97,2k region. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news for the of N.Y open, but this is as much psychology as it is TA and FA. Keep your stops tight or sit this one out?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ZorosonD
ONDO 4H TRADE SETUP ONDO is a very exciting project with massive potential in the tokenization of real world assets, an aspect of crypto that has many very high profile interested parties, such as BlackRock and now the US Government via the Trump administration. World Liberty Financial (which is run by the Trump family) has an ONDO position currently and has been adding to it over time, so what is the future of ONDO? For me the chart has some key points: - Structurally ONDO been bearish since the later stages of December, retracing 50% from local high and losing the 4H 200 EMA in the process before bouncing off the bullish Orderblock that started the end of year rally in the first place, a very strong support area. That bounce was capped off by the bearish orderblock zone with rejection in that zone on four separate occasions, so we now have a local range with a clear S/R level at the midpoint. - Within that mini range we have higher lows constantly which forms a diagonal support as buyers put increasing pressure on price to break through the Bearish orderblock. The 4H 200 EMA has also been reclaimed and in a bullmarket this level is a key level to consider, more so during a trending phase and not chop but still important in this situation. - That's the technical analysis but money is made in execution of the trade. For me a reclaim of the bearish orderblock would be a bullish trigger for ONDO to climb back up the hill towards local high with consideration to set SLs in stages. The trade would be invalidated on a loss of the bearish orderblock flip as this Swing fail pattern often leads to a further sell-off. - In a bearish scenario, say BTC misbehaves or some bad news hits the timeline I would step away from the coin if diagonal support is lost. I would look to become a buyer at the bullish orderblock which would give a higher probability entry with the range midpoint and bearish orderblock as targets for price to reach. BTC still runs the market currently with alts not getting much liquidity, I do believe that will change soon going into the second half of Q1. Once Bitcoin can get a trend going altcoins will follow in my view.
COINBASE:ONDOUSD
by ProR35
Bitcoin midterm and short term BEARISH,Increasing VolatilityI am currently bearish again in BTCUSD. After hitting all time high in December 2025 as expected BTCUSD was not able anymore to increase gains. THE LONG TERM TREND IS BULLISH; BUT MID AND SHORT TERM TREND bearish. Above 100.582 although it seems that bulls gain power, the bears attack fast and successfully the bulls. (orange area). In the chart you see how I dvided the prices into two categories(red+green areas) OR WHERE BULLS (green) and bears(red) have control. AT 100K;9560 specially volatility increases fast, a sign that these areas are fought by both powers. In these ares mayn false signals and false breakouts on both sides are possible.(fire) A drop below 90560 leads BTC to 81229,73k and 68,7K Below that area we will face a choppy but volatile market. The increaisng of volatility gains power of news,(also fake news), sudden catalysts.So be aware specially in those areas. The long term POC(Magnet sysmbol) is located at 49559 now.That is very important as these locations are very big magnets and attracting the price. In between we have very dangerouse gap that is also attracting BTCUSD price.(see the Chart) Here some important new of the last days and my interpretation that align with my bearish signal: Republicans will still have to deal with the debt ceiling in 2025....(the news and Interpretation how it will affect financial markets and crypto in 2025) Although President-elect Donald Trump wanted to start 2025 without having to worry about the debt ceiling, he did not get his wish. Addressing the debt ceiling, which will be reinstated on January 2, is still on the list of congressional Republicans’ New Year’s resolutions. The House last week fell far short of passing a two-year extension of the suspension of the limit as part of a GOP-led government spending bill. 👉M y Interpretation: Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general: The news regarding the U.S. debt ceiling highlights a potential risk to financial markets and the broader economy in 2025. Here’s how it could impact Bitcoin and the markets in general: Key Points from the News Debt Ceiling Reinstatement The U.S. debt ceiling will be reinstated on January 2, 2025, and congressional Republicans are expected to address it. A debt ceiling crisis can cause political and economic uncertainty, especially if there is a failure to raise or suspend the ceiling. Government Spending Package Last week, Congress passed a government funding bill that did not address the debt ceiling, disappointing President-elect Donald Trump’s wishes to resolve the issue sooner. Potential Market Impact Debt ceiling crises in the past have led to market volatility, particularly in equities, as investors react to the uncertainty and the potential for a government shutdown or a default on U.S. debt obligations. Implications for Bitcoin and Markets Increased Risk and Volatility Debt ceiling concerns often create broader market anxiety, especially in traditional markets. Bitcoin, being seen as a "safe-haven" asset by some investors, could experience increased interest if there are fears of U.S. financial instability, a default, or a downgrade of U.S. credit. Demand for Alternative Assets During periods of heightened economic uncertainty or risk of financial crisis, assets like Bitcoin and gold are often viewed as alternative stores of value. Investors may seek refuge in these assets, increasing demand and possibly providing upward pressure on Bitcoin prices. Risk of U.S. Dollar Volatility Dollar volatility due to the debt ceiling issue could also lead to heightened interest in Bitcoin. A weakened dollar could boost Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge, pushing prices higher. Conversely, if the U.S. government resolves the debt ceiling issue efficiently, the pressure on Bitcoin may ease, and its price may fall. Market Sentiment and Speculation Given Bitcoin's speculative nature, market participants may react strongly to news surrounding the debt ceiling. Speculative trading could amplify price swings, especially as investors price in possible outcomes of the debt ceiling debate. How This Affects Your Bitcoin Position Potential for Volatility(Fire symbol in the chart) If the debt ceiling issue creates a crisis, Bitcoin could see increased demand as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving prices higher in the short term. However, if the situation stabilizes without a major crisis, the demand might subside, and Bitcoin’s price could stabilize or decline. Key Resistance and Support Watch for key levels around the current Bitcoin price (e.g., $93K-$95K). If the debt ceiling crisis intensifies, these levels could be breached in either direction depending on market sentiment. $90K and $85K remain critical support zones if the bearish trend continues. Monitor Global Sentiment Keep an eye on broader market sentiment, especially around U.S. debt ceiling developments and their effects on traditional financial markets. If broader markets experience a sell-off due to debt ceiling issues, Bitcoin could initially benefit from a flight to alternative assets. Conclusion The debt ceiling issue is a significant risk factor that could cause increased volatility in both traditional financial markets and Bitcoin. Given Bitcoin’s reputation as a hedge against uncertainty, the news could lead to short-term price increases if investors flock to it as a safe-haven asset. However, it’s essential to monitor how the U.S. government addresses the issue and the overall market sentiment. Continue to manage risk carefully, as the situation may evolve quickly. Bitcoin’s ‘Kimchi Premium’ Jumps Amid South Korean Political Turmoil (this news+ 👉I nterpretation) “Kimchi Premium,” which refers to the price gap between Bitcoin on South Korean exchange Upbit compared to Coinbase, has surged to the range of 3-5% this week, according to data compiled by blockchain data platform CryptoQuant. An increase in the metric usually indicates an elevated demand from South Korea-based investors in Bitcoin. The same metric for stablecoin Tether also has surged to the similar range. “South Korea faces an unprecedented wealth outflow amid political turmoil, declining birth rates, and slowing growth,” said Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant. “Inflation fears drive conversions of won assets into US stocks, Bitcoin, gold, and dollars. Many crypto investors prefer exchanges over banks, with Tether and Bitcoin trading at 2-5% premiums. 👉I nterpretation: This news about Bitcoin’s "Kimchi Premium" highlights the dynamics of South Korea's crypto market amid political and economic turmoil. Let’s break it down in the context of trading approach and bearish signal: Key Insights from the News Kimchi Premium Surge (3-5%) The "Kimchi Premium" reflects the higher price of Bitcoin on South Korean exchanges compared to global exchanges like Coinbase. A 3-5% premium signals elevated demand from South Korean retail investors. This surge suggests strong local buying interest, likely driven by uncertainty in traditional markets and the weakening South Korean won. Inflation Concerns and Asset Diversification Wealth outflows and inflation fears are pushing South Korean investors to move their capital into alternative assets, including Bitcoin, Tether, US stocks, and gold. A preference for crypto exchanges over banks adds to the demand, with Bitcoin and Tether trading at a premium. Political Turmoil President Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration, impeachment, and the ongoing crisis have destabilized financial markets. The uncertainty adds to investor anxiety, further increasing the demand for alternative assets. Retail-Driven Market South Korea’s crypto market is predominantly retail-driven due to restrictions on corporate accounts. This means that market sentiment and speculative activity significantly influence prices. Weakened South Korean Won The won's decline against the US dollar (0.35%) adds to the appeal of USD-denominated assets like Bitcoin and Tether. This could sustain or even expand the premium. Implications for Bitcoin's Price Short-Term Buying Pressure in South Korea The Kimchi Premium surge indicates localized demand but doesn’t necessarily mean a global price rally. The premium reflects South Korea’s retail enthusiasm, not broader market strength. Impact of Retail Speculation Retail-driven buying can create short-term upward momentum but often lacks the sustainability of institutional-driven demand. If global macro factors or technical resistance levels remain bearish, the local demand may not prevent further declines. Risk of a Bubble or Sudden Sell-Off A rising premium can sometimes signal excessive speculation. If South Korean retail investors begin unwinding positions, it could lead to a sharp local correction, adding selling pressure to global markets. How This Aligns with Your Bearish Signal Localized vs. Global Trends While the Kimchi Premium shows localized buying pressure, your bearish signal likely reflects global market trends. Bitcoin’s recent drop from $104K to $93K aligns with broader market dynamics and not just South Korea-specific activity. Watch for Technical Reactions If Bitcoin approaches key support levels (e.g., $90K), South Korean demand could provide temporary relief. However, a failure to hold support might invalidate local demand as a bullish factor. Evaluate Reversals Cautiously Even with rising demand in South Korea, monitor if the global bearish trend shows signs of reversal (e.g., higher lows, breaking key resistance levels like $95K-$100K). Until then, stick with your bearish outlook. Key Levels and Trading Strategy Support Zones Key levels to watch: $90K and $85K. A break below these could signal further downside, regardless of localized buying interest. Resistance to Watch If Bitcoin rebounds, resistance at $95K-$100K will be crucial to determine whether the bearish trend is weakening. Potential for False Breakouts South Korea-driven price spikes might create false breakouts. Ensure your technical signals confirm any potential reversal before adjusting your strategy. Bottom Line The surge in the Kimchi Premium reflects localized demand due to South Korea’s political and economic instability. However, this does not necessarily negate the global bearish trend you've been following. Continue monitoring global signals, support/resistance levels, and whether the localized buying pressure can translate into broader market strength. Stay disciplined and adapt your strategy based on technical confirmations rather than isolated news events. News2 Why Bitcoin (Still) Likely Has Not Reached a Cycle Top Yet Over a longer-term horizon though, there are plenty of indicators that suggest we may still be a way, in both time and price, from a cycle top in Bitcoin. The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Z-score, which compares the current price to the aggregate cost paid for all outstanding Bitcoin, has moved up from the < 1 level that has historically marked bear market bottoms in early 2023 to roughly 3 as of late December 2024. 👉I nterpretation Let's break down this news in the context of your bearish signal on Bitcoin and how it could influence the current market dynamics: Key Insights from the News MVRV Z-Score at ~3 The MVRV Z-Score is used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical patterns. Historically, cycle tops occur when this metric moves significantly higher, often near 7. At a Z-Score of 3, the news implies that Bitcoin is still below levels historically associated with a cycle top. This suggests there could still be room for upward movement in the longer term. Long-Term Holder (HODLer) Supply Decline A 7% drop in the proportion of Bitcoin held for over a year indicates increased selling pressure from long-term holders. This release of 1.4M BTC into the market adds to the supply, creating potential headwinds for price growth. Despite this, the news points out that cycle tops typically occur when this indicator drops further, suggesting we haven’t yet reached that point. ETF Inflows and Market Offset While long-term holders have been selling, some of this supply pressure has been absorbed by large ETF inflows. However, this balancing act might not sustain the price if selling accelerates. Uncertainty in Historical Patterns The article emphasizes that Bitcoin’s historical cycles may not repeat exactly due to limited data. This means that while historical indicators suggest the cycle top isn’t yet reached, the current cycle could deviate. Implications for Your Bearish Signal Short-Term Downtrend The bearish signal you received two weeks ago aligns with the current price drop from 104K to 93K. This selling pressure might be attributed to long-term holders liquidating part of their positions, as the news mentions. Medium- to Long-Term Outlook Despite the short-term bearish action, the MVRV Z-Score and HODLer supply suggest the cycle top may still be ahead. This means the current drop might be part of a broader consolidation or retracement before another rally. ETF Inflows as a Buffer While long-term holders selling adds pressure, ETF inflows could stabilize the market. Watch for news about ETF approvals, inflows, or rejections, as these could heavily influence Bitcoin’s next move. How to Align with Technical Analysis Short-Term Action Stick with your bearish signal for now, as the price trend supports it. If Bitcoin continues to fall or fails to hold key support levels (e.g., $90K), the bearish trend could intensify. Monitor Key Levels Watch for significant support zones (e.g., $90K or $85K). A break below these levels could validate further downside. On the flip side, if Bitcoin starts consolidating and moves back above $95K or $100K, it may signal a potential reversal. Use Leading Indicators Keep an eye on the MVRV Z-Score, HODLer behavior, and ETF news. A change in these metrics could signal whether the bearish momentum is temporary or part of a broader trend. Bottom Line The news indicates that the current bearish trend might be a retracement within a larger bull market. However, in the short term, supply pressure from long-term holders and bearish technical signals could continue to drive prices lower. Stay cautious, manage risk, and monitor both the technical levels and fundamental indicators closely. This combination will help you navigate the market effectively.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by DaveBrascoFX
1
BITCOIN What will happen in the short term ?According to my calculations, the price will reach $112K in the short term.If triangle not broke from down!! Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
BITCOIN will reach $1 million in 2041.Bitcoin / BTCUSD hit last month the once unthinkable benchmark of $100k. It took 2 Cycles to do so since it reached the previous benchmark of 10k. The log sequence of hitting those benchmarks started at $0.10. It took quarter (0.25) Cycle to go from 0.10 to $10, i.e. x100 jump. The next x100 increase was from 10 to $1000 and it took BTC half (0.5) Cycle to do so. Then we move to the x10 jumps, 1000 to $10000, which took it a perfect 1 Cycle. We already discussed above 100k and the pattern is obvious. For each of those logarithic jumps, Bitcoin needs double the time, i.e. it doubles the previous Cycle expectancy. This means that for the million dollar mark ($1million), it should take 4 Cycles to do so (2 Cycles it needed from 10k to 100k x 2). This gives us a rough estimate for the end of 2041! Realistic or not in your opinion? Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
7
Shiro Neko: Possible to Reach 5B in FebruaryShiro Neko is about to cut two zeros soon! On the MEXC chart, we can see the token approaching the next structure within the Keltner channel. In the coming days, we might witness the highly anticipated surge of Shiro, with the potential to reach a $2 billion market cap, as outlined in the project's plan, and progress toward the $10 billion milestone. While this is not financial advice, Shiro Neko shows extraordinary potential, with projections of over 10,000x gains in the future, supported by an active community and a seasoned team. Being developed by the same creator and team behind Shiba Inu, we can trust they know the path to success. My targets are above $3 billion market cap, so we’ll keep a close eye on Shiro's movements in the coming days. With more exchange listings on the horizon, the future looks bright. Happy trading, everyone! 🚀 MEXC:SHIROUSDT BINANCE:SHIBUSDT COINBASE:ETHUSD
Long
by SophiaAnderson
JUST IN: Bitcoin at $107,000Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, recently broke past the significant $107,000 psychological resistance level before retracing to $106,000. Despite this pullback, several technical and fundamental indicators suggest a bullish trajectory for the digital asset in the near term. Technical Analysis A key technical indicator supporting the bullish outlook is the imminent formation of a golden cross pattern on Bitcoin’s chart. This occurs when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the 200-day MA, a classic signal of bullish momentum and a potential sustained uptrend. Historically, golden cross patterns have often preceded major price rallies in Bitcoin. For instance: - In 2020, the formation of a golden cross preceded Bitcoin’s surge from $10,000 to its then all-time high of $64,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, which is within neutral territory but trending upward. This indicates that there is room for further bullish momentum without the asset being overbought. Market Performance As of this writing, Bitcoin is up 2% on the day, trading at $106,000. The price action suggests strong buying interest at the current levels, even as the market absorbs profit-taking near the $107,000 mark. Key support levels to watch include $104,500, while resistance remains at $107,000 and beyond. Beyond technical signals, several fundamental factors are bolstering Bitcoin’s bullish outlook: 1. Institutional Interest: Recent data highlights a surge in institutional inflows into Bitcoin-focused investment products. This renewed interest comes amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and Bitcoin’s reputation as digital gold. 2. Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving event, expected in mid-2025, is already influencing market sentiment. Historically, halvings have significantly reduced the rate of new Bitcoin entering circulation, often leading to price increases as demand outpaces supply. 3. Global Adoption: Countries and corporations continue to embrace Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. Recent announcements of Bitcoin integration into payment systems and growing adoption as a store of value further validate its utility and potential. Conclusion With the golden cross pattern on the verge of confirmation, Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests that a strong bullish run could be imminent. Coupled with favorable fundamentals, including increasing institutional participation and global adoption, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to continue its upward momentum. Traders and investors should keep an eye on the $107,000 resistance level, as a decisive break above it could pave the way for Bitcoin to target $110,000 and beyond. However, as always, caution is advised, as market volatility remains a key characteristic of the cryptocurrency space.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
3
Bitcoin compression into expansion?As one of the most historic weeks in crypto history draws to a close, it feels like the next leg in the Bullrun is upon us. The reason for this is a clear Higher low pattern going into a resistance zone @ $106,000, buyers are willing to buy up any lower timeframe dips in price at progressively higher and high levels showing strength. The 1H 200 EMA also providing clear support since being reclaimed @ $94,000 and as it gets closer and closer to the resistance level something has to give way. After all the bullish news coming out of the USA in relation to crypto and leaving the typical January dip and going into the historically bullish Feb-March months all is looking good. A bearish scenario would be a potential beartrap that punishes euphoric late longs thinking this is a simple trade, the truth is it's overcrowded and the market tends to aim for max pain at all times, max pain here is a sell-off but until this bullish structure is broken I am not worried.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by ProR35
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump againDonald Trump , the President of the United States , is set to deliver a speech today, January 23, 2025, at 4:00 PM GMT . The crypto community is eagerly watching to see if Trump will address cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, during his remarks. While any mention of crypto could have a significant impact on the market, a lack of commentary on the subject might leave crypto enthusiasts disappointed, especially those hoping for it to be a focal point in his agenda. -------------------------------------------------- As I expected in the previous post , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has declined to near the Support zone($100,600-$99,530) . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) and Resistance lines . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least $105,000 after breaking the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($103,400-$102,320) . Cumulative Long liquidation Leverage: $100,807-$98,472 Note: If Bitcoin goes below 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect more falls. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
27