Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Breakdown Potential – Key Support Leve:
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Top)
The price recently hit a resistance area around $92,000.
It also tested an ascending trendline (red line) and failed to break higher.
Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Bottom)
There are two significant support areas:
First zone around $87,500 - $88,000.
Second zone around $82,000 - $83,000.
Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow)
The price is projected to break down from the current level.
A potential lower high formation suggests further decline.
Target areas: $88,000 first, then possibly $82,000.
🔥 Conclusion
Bearish bias if the price fails to reclaim the resistance.
A breakdown below $88,000 could accelerate the drop.
Watch for rejection signals at resistance zones before confirming short trades.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Pullback to 85K for sellingMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks.
In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will keep long term bullish context. It should be interesting...
Meantime, BTC once again hits oversold areas as on weekly as on daily charts. As we promised - D. Trump verbal boost lasted just 2 days and was reversed down. We see some intention market manipulations from D. Trump administration but this is not the subject for this update.
In short-term - 2-3 days BTC needs to relief oversold pressure, so minor bounce is quite possible. For example, based on "222" pattern on 1H chart we could see attempt to bounce up from 79K and up to 84-85K area.
Those who wants to sell - that might be the chance.
For now I mark this update as bullish, because of suggested bounce. But our longer term view remains bearish still.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Bearish Outlookhello guys.
Market Structure & Pattern
Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge, with lower highs indicating weakening bullish momentum.
The price is testing the ascending trendline support, which, if broken, could lead to further downside.
Anticipated Move
A short-term bounce may occur, but a rejection from resistance is expected.
BTC is likely to break below support, leading to a move toward the $80,000 - $81,000 demand zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $89,200 – $90,000 (Potential rejection area)
Support: $85,000 (trendline), then $80,000 - $81,000 (target zone
)
Confirmation & Invalidations
A confirmed break below the trendline supports the bearish outlook.
Bullish invalidation: A strong breakout above $89,200 - $90,000 could shift momentum back to the upside.
---------------------------------
Conclusion
The current structure suggests a bearish breakdown, with a target of $80,000 - $81,000 unless resistance is broken. Monitoring price action at key levels is crucial for confirmation. 🚨
The bitcoin will continue decreaseOn the monthly chart it is visible that the turning figure was created. MACD shows divergence, other technical indicators it confirm. I expect decrease the price at least up to 0.5 according to Fibonacci - the purpose for me 62800.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Weekly Chart Analysis - March 10, 2025.As mention in X post on Feb25, BTC chart turn into bearish and same price reflection we saw in chart.
〽️Bearish MACD cross over happen 4 weeks ago damage BTC price and we saw fall till $78256.
As BTC chart al ready give near 27% correction till last week we can see a slow momentum in chart for next 4-6 weeks.
⚠️Weekly RSI also testing Bull market support 44.50. We can expect a bounce from here but breakdown below this area will send BTC is long term bearish cycle.
⚓️Support: $77,000 , $73,000 and $69,000
💡Resistance: $95,000 and $110,000
🟢Bullish Note:💰💰💰
- Global M2 supply increasing
- we are in 2025
- BTC took 30% correction which part of bull market
- Gold Price Near ATH and BTC follow it
- Bitcoin is now part of US Reserve treasury
🔴Bearish Note:
- BTC weekly chart not give sign of recovery
- US Index drop 10% and still not sign of recovery
- Trump Tariffs create lot of uncertainty in market
- This trade war can be long and hurt global economy and market towards recession
⏰Events:
- US CPI : March 12
- FOMC : March 19
📃Conclusion & Possible Scenarios:
🟢Bullish Case: If BTC holds above $70,000-$75,000, it could consolidate and retest all-time highs near $110,000.
🔴Bearish Case: A breakdown below $70,000 could push BTC towards $50,000-$55,000, aligning with previous cycle corrections.
🟡Neutral: Consolidation between $70,000 - $90,000 before another breakout.
🚨FOLLOW FOR QUALITY CONTENT AND AVOID THE NOISE
#Bitcoin $BTC OutlookCRYPTO:BTCUSD is testing a 2 years old uptrend channel lower wedge extending since 2023 where #BTC price was ~$25k. The wedge is ranging between ~$80k : ~$70k.
Key levels:
~$79k: kind of imminent today.
~$73.5k: The first and the nearest core demand, smart money is concentrated at this level "A bounce is anticipated from here"
~$70k: Is the last bulls haven, breakingdown will unlock the ~$60k mark.
Check my previous BTC analysis, I've been calling for the ~$80k : ~$70k since ATHs.
#AhmedMesbah
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point:
We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th.
That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers.
If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested.
The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**.
For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**.
There are plenty of ways to play this:
- Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**.
- If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**.
- If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**.
Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Every bounce is sold. Target 75k remains but I hope for 70k. The big bear trend line is valid until broken, so bulls need to claim 94k again for higher prices. Not the white house summit nor the crypto reserve could break the bear trend line, why would it break now? People are running for the exits and are desperate for exit liquidity. Hence the explosion in "btfd posts”.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 94k to break above the bear trend line. If they can claim it, no reason not to go for 100k again but for now that’s a pipe dream. This is going down and bulls would need to stop the daily big bear bars for more days to turn this neutral again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears showing strength and are in full control. They want to retest the previous ath 73805 and the cluster of previous highs in that area. For now it’s tough to have a better looking structure than this ABC move. The weekly chart could be seen as W3 we are currently in but it’s ugly af. If bears are really strong, we go directly down to 70k and then we could very well test the bull trend line around 67k. There is no reason why it should break on the next touch but it would be amazing for the bears to get there because it would be a 40% crash in roughly 2 months. I am enjoying this down move a lot, given the attention these people get, that tell everyone they should sell their grandmother and a kidney to buy btc above 100k.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed 5-wave thesis for now.
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
Will $78.5K hold or spark a liquidation storm?Bitcoin is facing intense selling pressure within the critical $78,500 – $82,000 zone on the 4-hour timeframe. A large liquidation cluster in this range (over $800 million in leveraged longs) raises the risk of a sharp drop toward $77,800, a key institutional support level. However, oversold RSI (32) and slowing bearish momentum on the MACD suggest potential exhaustion in sellers, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if the zone holds. A decisive breakdown below $78,500 could accelerate corrective moves toward short-term lows.
A sustained hold above $78,500 followed by a breakout above $82,000 would open a bullish reversal scenario, targeting $86,000 (Fibonacci extension level) and $89,000. Such a move would likely trigger a short squeeze, fueled by liquidations of leveraged shorts and rising buy-side volume.
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY.
We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction.
We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B.
We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips.
Trade idea:
- Watch for rejection of fib zone
- Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs
- Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips)
Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop!
That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend.
We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe
- You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point
- When entered, put stops above subwave B.
- Target: 91 (750pips)
4Week Chart
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous setups below:
BTCUSDT BEARISH PENNANT IN 1-H ATHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 1-H AT
Resistance: The upper trendline of the triangle around 86800 - 87200
Target Will Be : 84100
Support: The lower trendline of the triangle around 83800
This setup indicates potential Bearish momentum , If the price stays above support, it may go up again. If it breaks below, it could fall to the target.