First Bitcoin Super Cycle closingWe might be nearing the end of the first Bitcoin Super Cycle. There will be lots of volatility and fear among the retails. But on-chain observation shows that big players are storing coins on unprecedented levels.
What the next Super Cycle will be, can't tell. More data is needed in its beginning.
But financial institutions needs a more predictable, more controllable and most of all fixed cap assets. I am not talking about Bitcoin only, but in general about crypto currencies. There are interesting PoW projects that resembles Bitcoin, but has added extras like privacy and smart contracts.
But when time comes, crypto prices will skyrocket and there will be no corrections and no bear markets until the transitional period ends. Most retails will sell cheap and re-enter with more than 90% loss in coins.
It is NOT a financial advice.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism.
The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning:
- price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside
- price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top
- there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence)
- we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern
- we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs
Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
$BTC Macro ChartThis is my BTC idea for the long term as I did my chart based on the chart and the historical data as well.
As you can see in the picture attached to the chart, second time in the cycle when #BTC NUPL goes green (blue arrow) it indicates the start of the Bull Run (Parabolic Phase) 🐂 🚀
shout out to @CryptoBullet
Doubts are confirmed. Watching for 100.5KMorning folks,
Last time we decided to take a pause, because too weak performance on supposedly bearish market has confused us. Now our doubts are confirmed, indeed the action that we see now is not typical and natural for bearish market. It is too wobble and slow. This is not the way how bearish market normally moves.
It doesn't mean that potentially bearish scenario and deeper retracement are cancelled totally. It means that they could start with different patterns. Thus, on daily we're watching for something like this, although do not exclude that it might be Double Top later as well:
Since the shoulder stands around ~100.5K, we do not consider any shorts until it will be reached. 1H chart shows upside AB-CD with the same extension target. We consider no longs.
DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥
🔥 The Setup:
Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔
Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢
RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘♂️
🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃
💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕
But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.)
⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇
George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
Pnut/UsdtBINANCE:PNUTUSDT
"$Pnut is currently priced at 0.7032, but the resistance levels are pretty close—around 0.7545, 0.8433, and 0.9345. 🚧 What that means is that the price is likely to face some strong pushback when it tries to go higher, so don’t expect a massive surge in the short term. ⚠️
If you’re holding $Pnut right now, I’d be careful. 💭 I wouldn't recommend holding it at these levels for too long because it could potentially retrace. Instead, you might want to keep an eye on the support levels, which are at 0.600 and 0.0600. 🛑 If the price drops towards those areas, it could be a good spot to watch for a possible bounce or buy opportunity. 📊
Just a reminder—this isn't financial advice, just sharing my observations. 💡"
Bitcoin SellThis coin has been bearish for the past few days, before retracting 50% of the current range.
Currently, it is on the 50% mark, filled the IFVG before strongly rejecting it and acted as a bearish order block.
I do anticipate that the price might be drawn to the sell side liquidity at 91000.
Entry at 95500, Sl at 96700 and target at 91000
Next Volatility Period: Around January 10
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is maintaining a gap downtrend.
The gap downtrend is a sign that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
(USDC 1D chart)
I think that the price defense is being done in the short term because USDC is maintaining a gap uptrend.
If USDT continues to maintain a gap downtrend and USDC moves sideways or gaps down, the coin market may fall significantly, so be careful when trading.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
USDT is showing an upward trend while maintaining a gap downtrend.
It is likely that this is the last upward movement before the downtrend, so you should think about how to respond to the downtrend.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend over time, it needs to be supported in the 95863.11-97461.86 range or higher.
If not, it will eventually fall.
-
USDT is one of the important stablecoins that support the coin market.
Since USDT is a stablecoin used worldwide, it is a fund that has a big impact on the coin market.
-
93576.0, 94742.35 are important support and resistance points.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained around 93576.0-94742.35, the coin market is expected to show a large increase when USDT shows a gap increase.
If it falls below the 92792.05 point and shows resistance,
1st: 87.8K ~ 89K
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Even if it rises above the 93576.0-94742.35 section and shows support, it must rise above the 101947.24-106133.74 section, which is the high point boundary section, to continue the upward trend.
If not, it will fall again, and at this time, the 93576.0-94742.35 section will play an important role as support and resistance.
-
As I mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can develop into a movement to form a bottom section.
To do that, it needs to meet the HA-Low indicator.
Since the next volatility period is expected to be around January 10 (January 9-11), we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated after the volatility period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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bchusdt buy "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
ON THE EDGE - HAEDS OR TAILS? Happy New Year to all of you! :)
As illustrated, we can see BTC hanging on the edge of a cliff.
Apparently , Black Rock and other financial institutions involved are manipulating price; however, that's only rumors until a major media source proves otherwise.
Technically speaking , the key support area is the $90,000 - $91,000 price range where we've seen BTC bounce strongly to the upside once testing it.
Don't be surprised if there's a strong selling inducement ( what retails call "fake breakout" ), where these bigger institutions bid the market just bellow $90,000 trapping sellers and shaking off buy-holders, and then buy back all of the liquidity at a discount price (potentially around $85,000 - $80,000).
However, the sell-inducement maneuver could cause a panic sell-off, taking price lower toward its previous maximum highs of $73,000 ; being such price range a major potential buying area for a long term HODL toward what could be a short-term target of $115,500 - $118,000 price range.
Patience is key since we are starting the year, and price "should" create the low of the year (somewhere), so it's natural and not strange for there to actually be a drop which, as a matter of fact, is fair and actually good so that everyone can get their hands on some BTC at a better price.
--
GOOD LUCK!
And I wish you all a year full of abundance and prosperity.
The quickening of #BTC RSI & price extremes!I don't make the rules.
:)
We are just surfing the waves of emotions,
of the crowds.
Here we have Monthly line chart with the RSI
It clearly shows a quickening of the trend and how the 4 year cycle is likely to fail this time around.
It is too well know as a theory and will be front ran.
(in my opinion)
We should get a RSI peak at this rate, around May (could be June ofc)
and second lower peak around November (or DEC )
As always good luck in your speculations
#Crypto's are highly speculative instruments as we all know
During these tops you will be told many stories
you must have the wherewith-all to ignore the noise.
#Ethereum $ETHUSD One year analysis.CRYPTO:ETHUSD Key Levels:
1. 4500 = Nearest major supply & 12 month target.
2. 4105 = Last year's high.
3. 2700 = Closest majot demand.
Analysis:
CRYPTO:ETHUSD is currently trading slightly below the 2024 high of approximately $4105. This level has broken above March's high around $4090, therefore it is no longer valid and must be cleared for ETH to reach a new all time high above the upper channel wedge.
The current uptrend appears to be losing momentum. For a resumption of the bullish trend, a period of price consolidation near the lower wedge of the current channel, around the $2700 demand zone, may be required to gather momentum.
Conclusion, A retest of the $2700 level may provide a very favorable buying opportunity.
#AhmedMesbah #Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHANALYSIS #CRYPTO #CRYPTOCURRENCY #ETHCOIN #SUPPLYANDDEMAND
Bitcoin: Macro Support/Resistance Fibonacci SchematicsThe layout of these Bitcoin Schematics are to be able to see all key kevels through appropriate Timeframes.
#1 and #2 are Monthly Schematics.
#3 through #6 are all 2-Week candles.
#7 and #8 are both 1 Weekly Candles.
The first two are this ideas main attraction BIG MACRO WISE. These are the most Macro Schematics in the blueprint and they are both in LOG mode. They include two of the Strongest Fibonacci Tools each historically in this market. Each include Fib Spikes and Fib Extensions. The horizontal orange extensions are both the most important Macro Fib Extensions which is why they are 1 and 2.
The middle four are all structured support and resistance levels based on the Fibonacci Sequence. They are different because of their small price differences and structure when formed but the overall sequence travels up and can be seen visually on all separately.
The last two are the most recent formations so they are on smaller timeframes. Even though every single box has about two schematics per, #8 has about 4. This includes 3 Major Fib tools with different colors along with a not so visible couple of lines.
#2 must be watched closely as this resistance can turn into support quickly and then we move onto terra infinte. Once this happens, our resistance is Box #1 at around 200k give or take. Ofcourse there are the other boxes of resistance but I am looking at the Base Schematic of Box 1 to give me the next major ATH on Bitcoin. Or at least a major level before finding another top potentially at around 250k per Box #1's Schematic Layout.
I have linked my collection of my best Bitcoin ideas leading up to this point below and all either have some of the same schematics or work together as one.
HBAR TRADE IDEA Hedera HBAR has held up better than the majority of alts have since the peak of the Trump pump in early December '24, sitting above the 4H 200 EMA were most alts have now lost its support.
The chart is a simple one, we have a clear range marked out between $0.395 - $0.235 with price currently at the 0.25 line. Just below that is the 4H 200 EMA which coincides with the bullish OB creating what should be a strong level of support. Naturally the invalidation for a trade at the level would be acceptance under these key supports.
There is a clear LTF downtrend, a breakout of that range could be a good trigger for a long position with the range quarters acting as take profit levels. With alts still very much tied to BTC and as it stands the price action is stagnant due to end of year window dressing and lack of volume, this should change next week and if the ETFs continue inflows this will help HBAR and alts increasing the positive probability of the long. If BTC starts the year poorly then the SL comes in as the bullish trend is lost.
XRP Price Prediction: Breakout Above $2.25 or Further Downside?The XRP/USDT chart is displaying a descending channel following its impressive rally. The price action is consolidating, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel.
The support zone around $1.89 to $1.98, as previously highlighted, remains intact.
DYOR, NFA
The Bitcoin Matrix: Fibonacci’s $250k BlueprintI am tracing Bitcoin's trajectory to $250k using a unique technical lens - Fib circles on a logarithmic chart paired with extension spikes. These circles, six in number, have been instrumental in identifying key price action stages since Bitcoin's first halving.
We group these stages into three 'duo-phases'
( I, II, III )
( With two for each )
Each Macro Pair representing an integral era of Bitcoin's technical evolution in Logarithmic mode through s/r.
I've also linked my other future proof Bitcoin analysis ideas below.
250k Btc (with facts) Bitcoin growth across three Halving CyclesFirst Halving:
Market cap at halving: 146 million
Market cap during run-up: $18.75 billion
Run-up: 20 billion (approx.)
Second Halving:
Market cap at halving: $9.375 billion
Market cap during run-up: $300 billion
Run-up: $290.625 billion (approx., 15 times larger than the first halving)
Third Halving (hypothetical):
Market cap at halving: 150 billion
Possible market cap scenarios during run-up:
a. $1.2 trillion (already achieved)
b. $2.4 trillion (potential)
c. $4.8 trillion (potential)
Run-up (applying the 15x increase pattern): $4.35 trillion approx.
Hope you learned something :)
Follow for more
BUY ALPHAUSDT - BULLISH SIGNAL, HIGH REWARD 100%+ GAINOverview:
We are excited to share a high-probability trading signal for BINANCE:ALPHAUSDT ALPHA/USDT , backed by strong technical indicators and market analysis.
Chart Analysis:
The chart for ALPHA/USDT indicates a compelling opportunity with a probability of success estimated at up to 80%. Technical indicators align with a positive trend, providing a solid foundation for potential price appreciation.
Reasons to Consider:
Bullish Momentum: ALPHA/USDT is exhibiting clear signs of bullish momentum, with key indicators pointing towards a sustained upward movement.
Historical Support: Historical price action shows a strong support level at , reinforcing the likelihood of a positive price trend.
Market Sentiment: Current market sentiment supports the potential for a significant price increase, with an estimated 80% probability of success.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, consider placing a stop-loss at .
Disclaimer:
While the probability of success is estimated at 80%, trading always involves risk. Conduct thorough research and consider market conditions before making any investment decisions. This analysis is based on technical indicators and historical data, and market dynamics may change. Implement proper risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
Conclusion:
The ALPHA/USDT signal presents a high-probability opportunity for traders, with strong technical support and positive market sentiment. Stay vigilant, monitor price movements, and adapt your strategy as needed. Happy trading!
Adjust the details and levels based on your specific analysis and market conditions. Always keep your trading signals updated as new information becomes available.
$BTC 1W Largest Scale Playing with Long Term Ideas (Update)This idea i made today for long term idea just as it is an idea some basic lines and formations were made but it was pretty simple using same red lines the decline lines are same angle as it states. showing prices and times as estimates i will come look at this and progression when iI m older and know more of this trading and chart mechanics etc!
I am not a Financial advisor or any way good with number.. sorry that's a lie I am very good with math but I haven't had to make financial gains on markets not crypto at least.! I have crypto but earned it all freely over short time last 2 years have over a few band only a couple,, but free earned and mostly passive about 70% passive :) anyway and so that makes it all gains but i do swap stuff at lows and highs and various coin swaps using special maths and tools no one else does a lot and take advantage of the "virtual arbitrage" between trading oone coin for another and then another .... if you get it you get it!
WHAT YOU THINK OF IDEA its one for me to come back to in years and look and go wow we were at 100k moment JUST like the 10k moment. Only I don't remember It so well!
hope you enjoy! let me know your opinion and what could be wrong or different! lets learn from one another and take over the markets!
Thanks and please share you Opinions so we can all grow and own the markets together!