Bitcoin: $94K and Climbing!Price Movement and Technical Patterns
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $94,075 on the 4-hour timeframe, marking its highest level in over two months. This surge comes after a clean breakout above a key trendline, a move that often signals the start of a strong upward trend. Over the past few weeks, BTC has climbed 28% from its five-month low of below $75,000, hit on April 9, 2025. Right now, it’s testing a major resistance level near $95,000. On the 4-hour chart, you’ll notice a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, a textbook bullish setup. The price has also broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a reversal signal that points to more gains ahead. Support is holding strong around $80,000, while the price seems to be coiling between $82,000 and $86,000, hinting at a possible explosive move toward $100,000 if it breaks out of this range.
Market Context and External Influences
What’s driving this rally? A big part of it is the broader economic picture. With trade tensions and tariffs stirring up global markets, Bitcoin is stepping up as a safe-haven asset, much like gold, which has also been on a tear lately. Investors seem to be turning to BTC to hedge against uncertainty, and that’s pushing prices higher. On top of that, there’s some positive news in the crypto space: the Maldives just signed a $9 billion deal to build a crypto hub, which could spark more mainstream adoption and boost market sentiment. There’s also chatter about the U.S. possibly pausing tariffs, which might ease economic pressure and give Bitcoin more room to run. These factors combined are creating a pretty supportive backdrop for this price action.
On-Chain Data and Investor Behavior
Digging into the data, there’s more evidence that big players are betting on Bitcoin. Large investors, often called "whales," have been scooping up BTC at a rate three times higher than what miners are producing daily. This kind of accumulation mirrors what we saw during the 2020 bull run, right before prices took off. It’s a sign that these heavy hitters are gearing up for something big. The 4-hour chart backs this up with steady buying pressure and no major sell-offs yet. If this trend holds, and Bitcoin stays above its key support levels, we could see a push toward new all-time highs sooner rather than later. Keep an eye on that $95,000 resistance, it’s the next big test.
What to Watch For
So, where does Bitcoin go from here? The technicals are screaming bullish: the breakout, the higher highs, and the wedge pattern all point up. But it’s not just about the chart, external factors like economic shifts and crypto news will play a role too. If BTC can smash through $95,000 with solid volume, $100,000 comes into view fast. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 could cool things off, though the whale buying makes that less likely for now. For traders, this is a spot to watch for a breakout or a pullback to scoop up a dip. Either way, Bitcoin’s got momentum, and the market’s buzzing with potential.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin Confirms Breakout — Bullish Trend Gains StrengthStair-Stepping Uptrend:
Bitcoin has confirmed a breakout above the critical $88,000–$90,000 resistance zone, forming a classic pattern of higher lows and higher highs. This technical structure signals a decisive shift in market sentiment.
Momentum Builds:
The breakout marks a clear resurgence in bullish momentum after months of consolidation following January’s highs. It suggests that the market is regaining strength and preparing for a sustained move upward.
Key Support Level:
As long as Bitcoin holds above $92,000, the bullish structure remains valid. This level now acts as a critical threshold for traders to manage risk and assess continuation.
Outlook:
With the trend now clearly favoring the bulls, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further upside in the near term. Continued strength could open the door to retesting previous all-time highs and potentially reaching new ones.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #CryptoMarket #SupportAndResistance #MarketUpdate #PriceAction
MSTR–Institutional Bitcoin Proxy with Conviction and Leverage ₿Company Snapshot:
MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, positioning itself as a leveraged equity proxy for BTC exposure—while still operating a profitable enterprise software business.
Key Catalysts:
Massive Bitcoin Treasury Strategy 💰
Recently acquired $1.42 billion in BTC, reinforcing commitment
Total holdings exceed 200,000 BTC, making it the most visible and transparent institutional crypto holder
Acts as a high-beta vehicle for Bitcoin bulls, especially as ETF flows drive demand
Financial Engineering = Firepower for More BTC 🚀
$722 million in refinanced fixed-income notes, lowering costs and extending maturity
Provides capital flexibility to accumulate BTC at opportunistic levels
Reflects strong capital market access and investor confidence
BTC ETF Tailwind + Institutional Validation ✅
Bitcoin ETFs provide broader adoption and liquidity, indirectly benefiting MSTR
MSTR offers a regulated, equity-based alternative to direct BTC ownership
Ideal for funds restricted from holding digital assets directly
Dual Business Model Stability ⚙️
Core enterprise software business contributes revenue and operational stability
Reduces perceived risk relative to pure-play crypto companies
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $325.00–$326.00
🚀 Upside Target: $490.00–$500.00
🔑 Thesis: High-conviction BTC accumulation + balance sheet optimization = leveraged upside for Bitcoin-focused investors
📢 MSTR: The go-to equity for institutional Bitcoin exposure—with built-in leverage and transparency.
#Bitcoin #MSTR #CryptoStocks #DigitalAssets #MichaelSaylor #InstitutionalCrypto
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #82👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, yesterday the price stabilized below 95370 and completed a downward leg to 93626, reacting exactly to the level I pointed out in the previous analysis.
✔️ I mentioned earlier that you could enter a short position after breaking 95370 — but remember, this position is against the higher timeframe trend, so the downward move will likely end once it hits the first support, since the market momentum remains bullish on larger timeframes.
💥 Currently, the price has reacted to 93626 and seems to be resting from the previous downward move. I believe a new range box may form between 95370 and 93626 — if that happens, I’ll go long on a break above 95370.
🔽 For short positions, given the bearish momentum in this timeframe, we can look to re-enter on a break below 93626 in the next retest.
📊 Watch volume and RSI today. The volume of red candles has been much higher than bullish ones, which increases the chance of a deeper correction. If you’re shorting, keep a tight stop-loss, take profits quickly, and treat it as a scalp trade.
📈 For long positions, since it’s against the short-term trend, you’ll need a wider stop — but if the correction ends and a new bullish leg begins, the trade may stay open longer.
🧩 As for RSI: as long as it stays below 50, market momentum is bearish. A break below 30 and entry into oversold increases the likelihood of more downside.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance broke 64.77 yesterday and retraced to 64.60. If this downward move continues, we could see early signs of a trend shift.
✨ Important note: dominance has been in an uptrend on higher timeframes, so a break of 64.60 only confirms a short-term correction. Don’t take it as a trend reversal just yet.
💫 If dominance continues to drop and the market rises, altcoins could outperform Bitcoin. Conversely, if dominance rises again, Bitcoin will rally more than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 broke below 1.03 yesterday, retested it, and now looks set to continue downward. The next support is at 1.00 — if you’re already short, consider taking profits at that level.
☘️ We’ll get full trend reversal confirmation with a break below 1.00. For long positions, the 1.05 breakout is extremely important. I strongly recommend not missing that trigger if it happens.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance stabilized above 5.10 yesterday, moving further away from 4.99, and is now testing 5.19. A break above 5.19 would be a strong signal that a deeper market correction is starting.
🔑 On the flip side, a break below 4.99 is still the best and most important trigger to confirm the market’s return to a bullish trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern).
Pattern Insights
• The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic.
• This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance.
• While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead.
Key Levels
• Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern.
• Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone.
• Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k.
• Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs.
Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.
05/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $97,941.18
Last weeks low: $92,845.16
Midpoint: $95,393.17
FOMC week returns once again on Wednesday, the forecast suggests no change to the interest rate is expected with 4.5% staying as is. The tariff acceleration we saw last month brought into question the timing of rate cuts and if they would be brought forward, it looks like this FOMC is too early to see a cut but it is coming in the future if president Trump gets his way.
The chart is an interesting one but one that isn't too surprising. The orderblock that sent Bitcoins price to $74,500 was at ~$97,000, naturally that area would be major resistance and so a huge amount of Stop Losses were placed there, price swept that supply zone wiping out SL and SFP back under the resistance zone, a textbook move.
An accumulation under the resistance area would be a sign that the bulls are building to flip the zone, however a gradual sell-off from here would then look like a HTF lower high, a very bearish pattern.
Going into the FED interest rate decision there is usually a lot of de-risking/ sidelining from traders until the decision is made, therefor the second half of the week would give us more directional information.
XAU/USD: NFP has come,What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after yesterday’s analysis, the price successfully rallied from $3231 to $3268. Once it reached that zone, selling pressure kicked in, and gold has since corrected down to $3239.
If gold stabilizes below $3257, we may expect further downside. The potential bearish targets are $3237 and $3221.
Keep a close eye on the $3209–$3220 zone, as price reaction there could be significant.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTCUSDT - Potential Long Setup Developing from FVG and Fib levelOverview:
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 1H timeframe is currently exhibiting a controlled retracement following a local top. This structure presents a potential opportunity for a long setup based on confluence between an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and key Fibonacci retracement levels. The chart highlights a likely scenario where price may continue to correct lower into a defined area of interest before resuming bullish momentum.
Market Context:
After a strong impulsive move upward, BTC appears to be in a corrective phase. The recent price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a short-term downtrend within a broader uptrend context. This kind of pullback behavior is often necessary for healthy continuation to the upside and can offer high-probability entries for trend continuation traders.
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A notable fair value gap has been identified in the 94,250–94,700 zone. This zone represents an inefficiency in the market where price rapidly moved without significant opposition, leaving behind a gap between wicks of adjacent candles. Price often returns to such areas to rebalance order flow before making its next decisive move.
Fibonacci Confluence:
The chart includes key Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low to swing high.
* The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level lies just above the FVG, providing strong technical confluence.
* The 0.65 level is marked as the ideal entry zone and sits within the FVG, further validating it as a high-probability support region.
* The 0.786 level is also marked, and although deeper, it represents the final line of defense for this bullish scenario.
Anticipated Price Action:
A bullish projection is illustrated on the chart where price is expected to:
1. Continue declining toward the 0.65–0.618 Fibonacci confluence zone.
2. Wick into the FVG and reject from that level.
3. Form a short-term higher low structure and push back to reclaim prior structure highs.
4. Confirm bullish structure continuation with an impulsive breakout from the descending channel.
Market Structure and Liquidity Outlook:
The broader structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. The retracement into the FVG would serve the dual purpose of:
* Grabbing liquidity below recent lows.
* Mitigating unfilled buy-side inefficiency.
Such a development would suggest that institutional participants are filling long orders in the discounted price region, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Key Technical Zones:
* FVG Zone: 94,250 – 94,700
* Fibonacci Confluence: 0.618–0.65 retracement levels
* Liquidity Pool: Below current swing lows leading into the FVG
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is approaching a critical decision zone. A move into the FVG combined with Fibonacci retracement confluence presents an attractive area for potential long entries. Confirmation of bullish reversal structure within this zone could offer a strong trade opportunity in alignment with the broader trend. Patience and precision will be key in waiting for the price to tap into this area and show intent to reverse.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, for bitcoin, we got an exit from the sideways trend in the upward direction, but the growth wasn’t significantly confirmed by volumes. The price reached the key resistance zone of $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes), from which we received a reaction.
Currently, BTC has adjusted to the buy zone of $95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes), the buyer's reaction is present.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There is a high probability of a test of lower levels this week. This scenario is confirmed by the following factors:
• a steady delta advantage in the direction of sales, which prevents the development of a full-fledged upward movement;
• rather weak trading volumes;
• the wave structure, which has already called into question the current exit from the sideways trend, the price has returned to its framework.
We consider the development of the correction through one of the marked scenarios on the chart.
Sell Zones:
$96,100–$96,600 (local volume area)
Level $98,000
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
On macroeconomic developments this week:
• Monday, May 5, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for April;
• Monday, May 5, 14:00 (UTC) — ISM Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States for April;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the FOMC statement and the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 7, 18:30 (UTC) — FOMC press conference;
• Thursday, May 8, 11:00 (UTC) - announcement of the interest rate decision The Bank of England in May;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the inflation letter from the Bank of England;
• Thursday, May 8, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin - Bitcoin on the Road to $100,000?!Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between EMA50 and EMA200. If Bitcoin moves downward towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
In April, Bitcoin recorded a growth of 14.7%, successfully rebounding from a sharp early-month decline that had dragged its price down to $74,901. This level marks Bitcoin’s lowest price point in 2025 so far.
U.S. President Donald Trump, in an interview with NBC News, responded to growing concerns about a possible economic recession by saying that everything would be “fine.” He referred to the current phase as a “transitional period” and expressed confidence that the U.S. economy would perform “extraordinarily well.” When asked directly if he feared a recession, Trump replied, “No,” though he added, “Anything is possible, but I believe we are headed toward having the greatest economy in our nation’s history.”
On the other hand, Ethereum ended April with a 1.58% decline—marking its fifth consecutive month of losses. Over the past year, Ethereum has only seen gains in three months, and it is currently down 36.7% compared to the same period last year.
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced its intention to invest up to $84 billion in Bitcoin. The funds will be raised evenly through stock issuance ($42 billion) and debt securities ($42 billion).
In the first quarter of 2025, Strategy reported a profit of $5.8 billion from its Bitcoin investments, achieving a return of 13.7%. The company has also raised its annual targets, increasing its projected Bitcoin return from 15% to 25% and its dollar profit goal from $10 billion to $15 billion.Meanwhile, the short-term holder profit/loss ratio for Bitcoin has returned to a neutral level of 1.0, indicating balance between coins held at a profit and those at a loss. Historically, this level has often served as resistance during bearish phases. If prices remain above this point, it could signal strengthening momentum and a potential market recovery.
Elsewhere, reports indicate that Apple has violated a previous antitrust ruling by continuing to restrict users from accessing alternative payment methods outside of the App Store. The decision, issued by Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, now requires Apple to allow apps—including those related to crypto and NFTs—to operate without paying fees or seeking special approval. This ruling immediately strips Apple of its ability to collect commissions on out-of-app purchases and prohibits the company from monitoring or tracking such transactions.
BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Watching for 88.5-89KMorning folks,
So, upside spike has happened and our 3-Drive + butterfly patterns are done. Although we haven't got continuation to 98K area that also was on a table.
Now short-term sentiment has changed. Recent data shows that the Fed doesn't need to hurry up with rate cut, yields turns up, so BTC also could follow the common tendency with deeper retracement.
This is the reason why we do not consider any longs today. As a nearest area that might be reached we consider 88.5-89K support.
So, for bulls it is nothing to do. If you're intraday trader, you could consider bearish positions from predefined Fib levels on the picture. 3-Drive hasn't reached its target yet, so 92.5-93K area still could be reached...
Mastering Order Blocks: How to Trade Like Smart MoneyIntroduction
Order Blocks (OBs) are one of the most critical concepts in Smart Money trading. They represent areas where institutional traders have entered the market with significant volume, typically leading to strong price movements. Identifying and trading Order Blocks gives traders an edge by aligning with the footprints of Smart Money.
What is an Order Block?
An Order Block is the last bearish candle before a bullish move for bullish OBs, or the last bullish candle before a bearish move for bearish OBs. These candles represent areas where institutions accumulated or distributed large positions, leading to a market shift.
Types of Order Blocks
A Bullish Order Block appears at the end of a downtrend or during a retracement just before the price moves sharply upward. It is typically represented by the last bearish candle prior to an impulsive bullish move. Price will often return to this level to mitigate institutional orders before continuing upward.
A Bearish Order Block, in contrast, forms at the end of an uptrend or retracement where price begins a downward reversal. It is characterized by the last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. Price tends to revisit this level to mitigate before continuing lower.
How to Identify a Valid Order Block
The key to identifying a valid Order Block is first observing a strong impulsive move, also known as displacement, that follows the OB candle. The move must also result in a break of market structure or a significant shift in direction. Order Blocks that produce Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Market Structure Shifts (MSS) tend to be more reliable. Another important sign is when price returns to the OB for mitigation, offering a potential entry.
Entry Model Using Order Blocks
After locating a valid OB, the next step is to wait for price to return to this area. The ideal entry happens within the OB body or near its 50% level. For extra confirmation, look for a Market Structure Shift or Break of Structure on a lower timeframe. Entries are more powerful when combined with additional elements like Fair Value Gaps, liquidity grabs, or SMT Divergences. The stop-loss should be placed just beyond the OB’s high or low, depending on the direction of the trade.
Refinement Techniques
To increase precision, higher timeframe OBs can be refined by zooming into lower timeframes like the 1M or 5M chart. Within a broad OB zone, identify internal market structure, displacement candles, or embedded FVGs to determine a more precise entry point. One effective refinement is the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), which is often found at the 50% level of the Order Block.
Order Blocks vs. Supply and Demand Zones
While they may seem similar, Order Blocks are more narrowly defined and specifically related to institutional order flow. Supply and Demand zones are broader and typically drawn around areas of price reaction, but OBs are derived from the final institutional candle before a large move and are often confirmed by structure shifts or displacement. This makes OBs more precise and actionable in the context of Smart Money concepts.
Target Setting from Order Blocks
Targets after entering from an OB should align with liquidity objectives. Common targets include internal liquidity like equal highs or lows, or consolidation zones just beyond the OB. External liquidity targets such as previous major swing highs or lows are also ideal, especially when they align with imbalances or Fair Value Gaps. It's important to adjust targets based on the current market structure and trading session.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
A frequent mistake is treating any candle before a move as an OB without verifying key signals like displacement or a Break of Structure. Entering without other confirmations, such as an MSS or liquidity sweep, can lead to poor trades. Another common error is placing the stop-loss too tightly within the OB, instead of just beyond it, increasing the chance of premature stop-outs. Traders should also avoid executing OB trades during low-liquidity sessions where price action can be unpredictable and wicky.
Final Thoughts
Order Blocks are foundational to Smart Money trading. They allow you to enter where institutions have placed large positions and offer clear invalidation and entry logic. With practice, you can identify high-quality OBs and combine them with other concepts like FVGs, MSS, and SMT for powerful, precise trades.
Practice on different timeframes and assets, and always look for clean displacement and structure confirmation. Mastering OBs is a big step toward becoming a consistently profitable trader.
Trust the Blocks. Trade with Intention.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 91,933.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 87,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 99,342.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Bitcoin Technical AnalysisFenzoFx— Bitcoin began consolidating after peaking at $98,000, dipping toward the $93,565 support and now trading slightly above it. The Stochastic Oscillator sits below 25, suggesting BTC is oversold and may rebound.
Immediate support lies at $92,565. If this level holds, the uptrend could resume, targeting $98,000, with potential to push toward the $99,560 resistance if buying pressure increases.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $91,720 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially extending the decline to $88,830.
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Bitcoin Price Action Analysis – Bearish Correction Toward DemandHello Guys!
Let's analyze btc!
Rising Trendline Break: The bullish structure has broken down as the price failed to hold above the key support region around $96,000–$96,200.
Targeted Demand Zone: The highlighted purple box between $94,200 and $94,700 represents a demand zone that has previously shown strong buyer interest. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may revisit this zone for a potential bounce.
Bearish Momentum: A large arrow indicates the directional bias toward the downside, aligning with the correction and market sentiment.
Fake RSI Divergence: The RSI panel indicates a “Fake Divergence” pattern, which may have misled early bulls. RSI has since dropped and currently hovers in the neutral zone, with no strong bullish signals yet.
_____________________________
Conclusion:
Unless a strong bounce occurs around current levels, Bitcoin looks poised to correct further toward the $94,200–$94,700 demand zone. Traders should watch for reactionary price action and bullish reversal patterns before considering long entries.
Market Overview (May 5, 2025)
📊 Key Metrics
1. Funding Rate: -0.0024% (on Binance)
— traders are paying to hold short positions, signaling bearish pressure
2. Open Interest (OI): $27.5B, down –3.13% in 24h
— positions are closing, possibly due to liquidations or profit-taking
3. ETF Inflows: +$674.9M (on May 2)
— strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT
4. Fear & Greed Index: 52 (Neutral)
— sentiment has stabilized after a period of greed
⸻
📈 Market Movement Probability
• Upward: 55%
(potential short squeeze fueled by ETF inflows)
• Downward: 45%
(OI is dropping, market losing momentum)
⸻
Disclaimer: This information is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
BTCUSD/BITCOIN | M30 | SELL LIMIT ORDERHey There,
I'm currently waiting for the level I've targeted to enter a sell position on Bitcoin.
I've shared the exact entry level with you below.
Just a heads-up:
This trade carries high risk due to potential market manipulation.
Please trade cautiously and avoid taking on too much risk.
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER (BTCUSD/BITCOIN) 97,000/97,500
🟢TP1:96,850
🟢TP2:96,654
🟢TP3:96,100
🔴SL: 98,390
Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
Bitcoin Buy Opportunity: Last Chance To Buy Below $100,000Bitcoin isn't trading at $78,800 nor $80,000 nor even $85,000 but still, even a small retrace is good to buy; even a small retrace is better to buy and enter a new trade than when prices are moving up.
A strong support range consisting from the lows of December 2024, January and February 2025 can be seen mapped on the chart. The lows on these date produced a support range between $89,250 and $94,250.
Bitcoin is now not trading within this range but if it does go there let me be the one to tell you that this would be an amazing entry zone and buy opportunity. This is marked green on the chart.
The truth is that when Bitcoin goes bullish it never looks back, it grows and grows and grows but, since we are set for the 2025 bull market and several new All-Time Highs, any retraces should be bought strong because there might not be another chance like this available.
Whenever the market goes red, that's the time to buy strong, go LONG and prepare for the continuation of the bullish trend.
Whenever the market turns green, we just let it grow and secure small portions of profits when resistance is hit. Rinse and repeat.
Right now Bitcoin is red but it won't be red for too long. See the trade-idea below to understand how Bitcoin will behave around this resistance zone:
It is the inverse image of the February drop. It will range a few days around this zone and then produce a very strong advance. This is your last chance to accumulate below 100K while Bitcoin is still low.
Once Bitcoin moves above 100K, 90K is gone. Just like $75,000, it is gone for this entire cycle. Just like $80,000, you cannot buy at $80,000 anymore. The same for $85,000 or anything below 90K.
This is the last chance to buy Bitcoin below $100,000 before the continuation of the bullish trend. This opportunity can remain open for a few more hours just as it can last a few days. But it won't be available for too long. Make your decision now, Crypto is going up.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Only Thursday was bullish and right now market is trying to decide if this breakout was legit or not. If bulls can stay above 95000, the breakout above has a higher chance of being succesful. Below 94000 it has likely failed and I favor the bears for more downside.
current market cycle: weekly chart says continuation of the bull trend but i highly doubt it. much more likely we are in a big trading range 73000 - 110000
key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next)
bull case: Bulls want this breakout to be the start of the third leg up for 100000. That’s all there really is to it. Bull trends need higher lows and higher highs and if bulls fail to prevent the market from falling below the breakout bar under 94000, this was likely a bull trap.
Invalidation is below 94000.
bear case: Bears want a trading range 70000 - 98000 and not let market hit 100000 again because that would for sure attract more degenerates again. Bears really don’t have much here until they print a decent bear bar that gets below 94000. This looks as bullish as can be and above 98000 I expect 100k to be hit.
Invalidation is above 101k.
short term: Neutral. Below 94000 it’s likely a failed breakout and above 97000 we can expect 100000 or more. Above 100000 there would not be a reason not to go for a new ath, same as for other markets like dax.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-13: Bear targets for this year are met. Now we likely range before we get new impulse to either side. I wait for market reaction around 100000 before I write more here. For now my assumption is still that this will be a trading range 73000 - 100000 for longer than a retest or even new highs.
BTC Roadmap — May 2025🚨 BTC Roadmap — May 2025
Here’s the timeline you’ll want to pin and come back to.
⸻
🔴 May 4–6
Low volume. No major moves expected.
BTC goes DOWN and BTC dominance starts trending down, but it’s not the moment to jump in yet. Patience.
🟢 May 7–9: ALT PUMPS
BTC Volume increases!
BTC UP
This is the first major altcoin opportunity.
🔴 May 10–13: SELL SIGNAL
This is your exit window.
1D SELL confirmed. Prepare for cooling.
BTC Volume drops.
⚪️ May 15–17: May USDT.D will go UP!
USDT dominance reaches a local bottom - BTC HUGE DUMP .
BTC Volume rises again → BIG MOVE up after 17th.
🟢 May 17–20: BTC and ALT PUMPS
Perfect LONG entry zone.
🔴 May 21–23: USDT HIGH — market will go UP faster!
USDT.D peaks. BTC and altcoins prepare for breakout.
BTC Volume high.
💸 Dollar weakens → Risky assets explode (BTC, alts, growth)
⸻
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE