106.5K and 104.5KMorning folks,
As we've suggested upward action happened. Now overall situation stands relatively easy to understand. 100K seems like short-term vital area for upside tendency. While two support levels of 106.5K and 104.5K are those which market has to hold to keep tendency intact.
I would even prefer 106.5K area because this is also natural support line and because it agrees with downside AB-CD 1.618 extension target.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,873.50 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 105,200.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 109,219.00 which is an overlap resistance.
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KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure
Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image).
Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent.
Preceding structure:
17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May).
Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT.
Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle.
Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support)
Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction.
2. Indicator read-out
Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May
RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows
Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete
ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow
Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms.
3. Scenario probability matrix
Scenario Trigger & confirmation
Option 1 – Uptrend continuation
4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average
Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118;
extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128
Est. probability: 60 %
Option 2 – Downtrend resumption
4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support
Est. probability: 40 %
Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT
4. Trading plan
Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2)
Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT
Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle)
Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R)
Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R)
Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly)
5. Additional catalysts & risk factors
Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations.
Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break.
kaspa.org
Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday.
6. To sum up
Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout.
1H BullFlag Pattern
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum.
Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario
Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor.
Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher.
Conclusion
BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely.
However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally.
At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs.
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BTCUSDT – Bearish signs emerge below resistanceAfter a strong bullish run, BTCUSDT is now showing clear signs of weakness near the resistance zone around 109,600–112,000. Price action has formed a cluster of rejection candles at the top, failing to break above this key level – signaling that selling pressure is gaining control.
The current structure suggests a potential trend reversal, especially as the latest bearish candle came with rising volume, confirming selling interest from the supply zone. If the price breaks below the 101,500 support, BTC may continue dropping toward the 93,500–84,500 range – a high-liquidity area on the volume profile.
The previous bullish momentum appears to have lost strength, and this pullback may be confirming a shift after reaching its upper limit. As long as BTC remains below the 112,000 resistance, the bearish bias remains dominant.
Bitcoin at the Crossroads: Will BTC Breakout or Retest SupportBitcoin (BTC) – Testing Resistance, Ready for Reversal or Breakout
Technical Outlook — June 11, 2025
Current Market Condition:
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently trading around $108,644 following a modest decline of -1.48% on the daily chart. After a bullish recovery from the $92,000–$96,000 zone, BTC has approached a strong resistance band near $112,000. The current structure suggests the market is in a critical phase — either poised to break higher or risk a deeper retracement toward key demand levels.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price is trading above the 50 EMA (blue) and the 200 MA (red), suggesting a bullish short- to medium-term bias.
The $112,000 zone is acting as a strong resistance, where BTC has previously faced rejections.
The ascending yellow parallel channel outlines the broader uptrend structure — BTC remains well within bounds, showing potential for continuation.
The Stochastic Oscillator is climbing, indicating building bullish momentum but nearing overbought territory, which could trigger short-term pullbacks.
Immediate supports are found near $104,000 and $96,000. A failure to hold above $104,000 could trigger downside pressure.
Trade Plan:
✅ 1. Bullish Breakout (Long) – Most Probable Scenario
Trigger: Daily close above $112,000 with strong volume and momentum
Target: $122,000 - $125,000
Stop Loss: Below $109,000
⚠️ 2. Bearish Rejection (Short) – Possible Scenario
Trigger: Bearish reversal candle at $112,000 or daily close below $106,000
Target: $102,000, then $92,000
Stop Loss: Above $111,000
📉 3. Dip Buy Setup – Last Scenario
Trigger: Price retests and holds $96,000 or $92,000 with a bullish reversal signal (e.g., pin bar, hammer)
Target: Immediate resistance at $104,000, then $112,000
Stop Loss: Below $91,000
Risk Management:
Always apply proper risk management, including clear stop-loss placement and responsible position sizing. Bitcoin can react aggressively to macroeconomic events and regulatory news — monitor sentiment closely when near major technical levels.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin's Support in Focus: Stay Alert for Candle Closes
BTC on the 12H looks ready to close below the recently claimed W + 5D support.
It’s a signal to stay sharp and stick to a solid plan: but not a call to action just yet.
Let’s see how the next 3 to 5 candle closes unfold.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross kickstarting $119,000 rally.Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.982, MACD = 1643.700, ADX = 1643.700) despite today's high volatility. This volatility displays similar attributes to the Accumulation Phases that were formed since the April 7th bottom. If it follows the symmetry of the first two bullish waves around the first Accumulation Phase, expect a +10% rise from the Phase's bottom. Assuming today is the bottom, the next target of this pattern is 119,000.
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ETHBTC Daily Looks Constructive
ETHBTC on the daily is about to close above the previous top (pink line).
The next major resistance is the 200MA, which is not far above.
Both the SMA and MLR are above the BB center—a constructive sign.
Watching ETH/BTC closely can help shape expectations for ETH/USDT.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
₿ Bitcoin: Further Upside ExpectedBitcoin (BTC) pulled back slightly in yesterday’s session but remains on track to continue its corrective rally within green wave B. In line with our primary scenario, this advance is expected to reach the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Afterward, we anticipate the onset of wave C, which should initiate a substantial decline—driving the price down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This is also where we expect orange wave a to conclude. From there, wave b should provide a temporary rebound before wave c resumes the broader downtrend, ultimately completing blue wave (ii). That said, there’s still a 30% probability that blue wave alt.(i) has not yet topped. In this alternative scenario, BTC would extend higher, potentially breaking above resistance at $130,891 before the corrective phase resumes. The daily chart illustrates the entire five-wave blue sequence and shows our expected low for wave (ii) within the blue zone between $37,623 and $26,082.
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BTCUSDT – Strategy and Trend Probabilities for 2025In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) has become less interesting — there isn’t much room left for significant movement, and most of the “cream” has already been skimmed off. However, since it's essentially the index of the crypto market, I’m sharing this trading idea for context - to show where we currently are and what scenarios might unfold.
The price is globally moving within an ascending channel.
A secondary triangle pattern is forming.
Within this triangle, we can see the outlines of an inverse head and shoulders pattern - or possibly a cup and handle - both aligning with the channel’s resistance.
Potential scenarios:
a) Price breaks out of the triangle.
b) Price moves toward the triangle’s support, forming another wave inside it.
c) Price moves to retest the main ascending channel’s support.
d) Price fluctuates within the central range of the channel.
There aren't many options, and none of them would break the primary trend. Altcoin movements will largely depend on BTC’s behavior.
Therefore, it’s crucial to build a trading strategy that considers both the likely and less likely (but possible) outcomes.
Looking at the broader picture:
The previous minor altseason (winter 2024) was short and weak, except for a few coins.
There was no real secondary altseason in spring 2025.
Statistically, summer tends to be quiet - due to holidays and so on.
The first two points contradicted the expectations of most traders - so we’ll see how things play out with the third. If there's no altseason in summer either, then logically, winter might turn out to be quite aggressive.
Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data:
Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast)
Market Reaction & Outlook:
The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
-----------------------------
Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea:
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Bitcoin Dominance Will Drop To 60% SoonGood Morning Trading Family,
I really don't have much to say on this post. My last post on Ethereum showed us an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which plays out over 85% of the time. This is a clear sign that altcoins may rally within the next week or two. And here, on our Bitcoin dominance chart, you can see that the patterns are clear, BTC dom cannot last at this level much longer before a breakdown to 61% or lower occurs. Be prepared. FOMO will get real.
Best,
Stew
Bitcoin will rise from support level and exit from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the current support level and then turned around and rebounded up. Price broke the 109000 level, coinciding with a support area, and then traded near this level for some time. Later price turned around and started to decline inside a downward channel, where it soon broke the 109000 level, reached the resistance line, and continued to fall next. Bitcoin fell to the support line of the channel, which coincided with the 103000 support level and buyer zone, after which it rebounded up. Then BTC exited from channel and later entered to upward wedge, where it at once made a correction movement from the resistance line to the support line, breaking the 103000 level. But soon, price made an impulse up, breaking the support level one more time. Next, it rose to the current support level, broke it too, and now trades inside the support area. In my mind, BTC can rebound from the support level and rise to the resistance line of the wedge. Then it can break this line, thereby exiting from the wedge and continuing to move up; therefore, I set my TP at 112000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #114👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll break down the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the one hour timeframe, as you can see, a trading range has formed between the levels of 108617 and 110256. This has happened after a strong upward move with significant buying volume, and now we’re in a market correction phase.
📊 Market volume is decreasing during this corrective phase, which shows the strength of the buyers and supports the ongoing uptrend. RSI has exited the Overbuy zone and is now cooling off, which indicates that the bullish momentum has weakened for now.
📈 For a long position, the 110256 trigger seems very suitable today. If the price forms a higher low above 108617 before breaking this level, the probability of breaking 110256 increases significantly.
💥 If this trigger is activated, it’s crucial that volume rises as well. That would confirm the strength of the trend and increase the chances of the uptrend continuing. The current target for this position is 111747.
🔽 In the correction scenario, if the price stabilizes below 108617, this scenario becomes more likely and a deeper correction could follow.
✨ Personally, I won’t open a short position unless we get confirmation of a trend reversal. But if you want to go short, a break below 108617 is not a bad option and could signal a downward move.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has continued its downward movement, stabilized below 64.12, and is now heading toward 63.93.
⭐ If the 63.93 low is broken, the bearish move in dominance will likely continue. If it pulls back, a break above 64.12 will confirm that retracement.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, it broke through the 1.2 level and is now moving toward 1.24. A breakout above this level could start the next bullish leg.
🎲 If a correction occurs, the price may drop back to 1.2 or even 1.18.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether dominance. This index is still sitting at the 4.56 support and is currently being held there. If 4.56 breaks, the next bearish leg can form.
🔔 In case of a retracement, USDT dominance might rise to 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
GT Protocol ($GTAI) | Breakout Loading? +500% Potential! (READ)By analyzing the #GTProtocol chart on the daily (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price was forming a solid base between $0.12 and $0.15. Currently trading around $0.17, the chart structure remains bullish and primed for a potential breakout. Momentum is gradually building, and I expect the price to soon test the $0.185 level, followed by short-term targets at $0.20, $0.24, and $0.266.
In the long run, my bullish bias remains firm with targets at $0.37, $0.45, and a psychological milestone of $1.00, representing a potential upside of over 500% from current levels!
Fundamental Drivers Supporting the Move
• Tokenomics: Recent unlocks have distributed supply more evenly, easing early-seller pressure and improving liquidity dynamics.
• Utility & Adoption: As a Web3 AI-execution layer, GT Protocol is expanding its real-world use cases with new partnerships and integrations.
• Narrative Strength: Positioned as a leading AI narrative for 2024, $GTAI is gaining traction amid rising AI sector demand.
Sentiment & On-chain Signals
• Community Hype: Activity on X (Twitter) and Telegram is surging, with bullish sentiment dominating conversations since the recent breakout attempt.
• Social Volume: A spike in daily mentions suggests increasing retail attention—often a precursor to strong moves.
• Whale Accumulation: Smart money has been seen accumulating below current levels—an early sign of confidence in the next leg up.
With both the technical setup and fundamentals aligning, $GTAI looks ready for an explosive run. Keep it on your radar!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BITCOIN Is 'Bullish June Seasonality' about to kick-in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started June on a very promising note, recovering most of last week's losses and is potentially headed for a new All Time High (ATH). This however, should be no surprise as BTC has exhibited amazing strength during the month of June and onwards since 2013.
As this chart shows, the market has historically rallied on June, in fact it is the month that kick-started Bitcoin's final rallies towards the Top on its last three Cycles.
Based on the 2W RSI, which is ranging within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels, we can argue that the price action is closer to June 2017 than other Cycles. As to how high it can get to, we've analyzed that on other studies, the current analysis only serves to show you that historically we are set for a strong 'Bullish June Seasonality' effect.
Do you agree that this is about to kick-in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - NEXT LEG COMING NOW - $132- $137KI was wrong about sideways action, then rally. BTC moved immeditely higher and looks to be picking up steam. I see a new high to $125 area, and then perhaps consolidation. But eventually to $132- $137 is in the next 2-3 months. Things are really looking bullish now. I was expecting it to take more time to develop, but that is not happening.