BITCOIN Technical analysis - This price action is familiar!See for yourself.
Since Apr 24 we had red UMVD and market went sideways. This is exactly what's happening right now. We have RED UMVD after a new high and now we just had first bounce from the bottom Green TrapZone. No Longs till we get fresh GREEN UMVD.
Small size plays only till, buy the bottom and sell the tops with this red UMVD.
Will post the hourly for close up next. Happy trading and stay safe, dear snowflakes!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC Short - Stretch to TP $77kWyckoff scenario planning for possible 2025 top formation.
- Possible Phase B Sign of Weakness incoming in the next few weeks.
Short at $100K with a tp target 1 at $86K. A stretch target 2 at $77K aligns with the bottom of the local channel and intersects with the 4-hour 200 MA.
Presents good Long entry to new ATH at $112k.
Best, Hard Forky
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
BITCOIN WILL BE AT 50-60K THIS YEARMake it simple, BTC need to relax a little this year before going much higher. If BTC goes around 100k would be nice to take profits and wait for new lows... USA stock market is having alot of volatility with Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a -20% drawdown in S&P 500!!
BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %Monthly #Bitcoin chart with Halving dates
what is notable is how much the % increase in PA has been dropping each halving.
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA below would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
May well be a great idea to grab your NOW..because the price WILL go mental as the world sees the TradFi recession also.
2024 is going to be an interesting year to say the least
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish.
📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses.
📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce.
📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling.
🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence.
🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement).
🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum.
Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February.
Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday).
During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back.
As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level.
As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin 10X Trade-Numbers (1,375% Potential)The low is in and this is the perfect timing for a long-term LONG on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT and other trading pairs).
This is for experienced traders and can end up producing huge profits, great growth, amazing results —great entry timing.
__
LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $85,000
2) $83,000
3) $81,000
3) $78,000
Targets:
1) $94,810
2) $98,804
3) $101,058
4) $104,266
5) $108,353
6) $112,859
7) $115,648
8) $120,154
9) $132,643
10) $139,250
11) $158,347
12) $165,345
13) $189,212
14) $200,000
Stop-loss:
Close monthly below $78,000
Potential profits: 1375%
Capital allocation: 5%
____
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC testing 200 DMA second time in less than a weekCOINBASE:BTCUSD is back to test the 200 day moving average for the second time in last few days. First time, we saw a good rejection from 200 DMA which was promising but now it's back where it started. If it closes below it this time, it'll signify further weakness and any chances of recovery in near term would diminish.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone.
We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour).
Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation.
After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones.
Let’s see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN UPDATE TODAYHere's the latest update on Bitcoin:
Current Price
The current price of Bitcoin is around $83,780.61, with a daily high of $93,721.37 and a daily low of $82,464.84 .
Market Trends
Bitcoin's price surged 10% after President Trump's Crypto Strategic Reserve announcement, with some analysts predicting a potential breakout past $100,000 ². However, others warn that the rally may be temporary due to regulatory hurdles.
Key Levels
- Resistance: $90,000 - $100,000
- Support: $80,000 - $83,000
News
President Trump's executive order established a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will initially include Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Cardano (ADA) . This move is seen as a positive development for the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) capped by resistance at 92,000The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price action suggests a bearish sentiment despite the broader long-term uptrend. The market reached an all-time high of $109,000 on January 20, 2025, before reversing, signalling potential downside risks.
Formation of a Double-Top Reversal Pattern
BTC has formed a double-top pattern, a classic bearish reversal setup.
The critical “neckline” support level at $91,900 was breached, confirming the trend reversal.
A corrective pullback from this level has intensified selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $86,227
Major Resistance Levels:
$89,075
$91,900 (previous neckline, now acting as resistance)
Key Support Levels:
$77,900
$74,900
$72,750 (long-term support)
Bearish Scenario
If BTC fails to sustain a move above $86,227, the price could resume its decline.
A rejection at this level would reinforce downside pressure, targeting $77,900 initially, with extended losses toward $74,900 and $72,750 in a deeper correction.
Bullish Alternative: Breakout Confirmation
A daily close above $86,227 would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook.
A sustained breakout could lead to a rally toward $89,075, followed by a potential retest of the $91,900 neckline resistance.
A confirmed reclaim of $91,900 could shift momentum back to the bulls, opening the door for renewed upside.
Conclusion
BTC’s price action remains bearish in the short-to-medium term, with key resistance at $86,227 dictating the next move. A failure to break higher could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout above resistance would shift sentiment bullish. Traders should closely watch these critical levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHUSD (Ethereum)A follow up from this:
Looking at the upmove from the $880 bottom in June'22, it's tough to consider an impulsive count. Since ETH has lagged compared to Bitcoin, the so called Alt season may take much longer than expected. Bitcoin completing it's cycle doesn't necessarily mean the Alt season begins simultaneously.
It will be interesting to watch this in the next few months. If this turns out well, I would expect a very sharp fall in the coming weeks (a noticeable quality in Wave c). However, those levels would give amazing opportunities in Eth and the other few good Altcoins.
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #23👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other important crypto indices. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session. Yesterday, the market was rejected from a significant area and experienced a bearish leg.
📰 Before starting the analysis, it's worth noting that today Trump has a very important speech about tariffs, and if he discusses cryptocurrencies, the market may experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, be cautious about opening high-risk positions today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as observed yesterday, after the price rose from the 91422 area, I mentioned that if the 94355 resistance were broken, we could enter a long position, and if the 91422 area were broken, we could enter a short position.
🔍 That exact scenario occurred, and after the price created a lower high compared to 94355, we witnessed a significant bearish momentum, resulting in a large bearish candle that engulfed several previous candles, broke the 91422 support, and reached the 89318 area.
⚡️ After this event and several resting and pullback candles that hit the 0.382 Fibonacci area, the price proceeded with its next bearish leg, breaking the 89318 area near the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. With this PRZ break, we can say that all bullish market momentum was wiped out, and the price fully corrected relative to the bullish leg it had previously made, reaching the 85204 area.
✅ This morning, this area was also breached, and the price executed a Downside Extension to the 1.272 Fibonacci Retracement, meaning the market has fully engulfed the bullish leg and even dropped an additional 27% from that leg to date.
📉 Currently, there is support at the 83151 area, which coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci. If this area is breached, we can expect the Downside Extension to continue, with the next support at the Fibonacci 1.618, a crucial Fibonacci zone. If this area is also breached, there is a static support at 78940.
💥 In the RSI, note the significant bearish momentum in the market. If the RSI can re-enter and stay in the Oversell zone, the likelihood of breaking 83151 or even 78940 will increase.
📊 Regarding volume, as you can see, it mostly shows a ranging structure with a few high-volume candles within this range that can be considered Selloff candles. After these candles, the price had several resting and corrective candles.
✨ Overall, the volume is ranging, and we will see whether buying or selling volume enters the market based on Trump's statements.
🔼 For a risky long position today, you can open a long position with the breakout of 85204. I suggest this trigger because Trump has a speech today, and if this news is favorable for crypto, Bitcoin could move upward again under the news influence, and I think the risk is worth taking if this area breaks.
❌ However, open this position with the minimal risk your strategy allows, and ensure that no more than 0.5% or 0.25% of your capital is at risk if this position hits a stop-loss.
💫 No more to discuss about Bitcoin; let's move on to the analysis of dominances to see what triggers we can find for altcoins.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's look at the Bitcoin dominance analysis. As you can see, yesterday I defined a resistance area at 61.48 for you and mentioned that the price might get rejected from this area and the dominance might turn bearish again, which did happen, albeit slightly off at 61.61.
⭐️ Therefore, I have moved this line and adjusted it to this area. Currently, we are witnessing several bearish candles in a row from Bitcoin's dominance, and it seems likely that the dominance could move back down to the 60.40 floor with the bearish momentum it has, and as I've said in the past few days, I still see Bitcoin's dominance trend as ranging.
🎯 The dominance is not very analyzable at the moment, and we need to wait and see which side the box will break. If the box breaks from the 62.19 area, we can say that a lot of money is likely to enter Bitcoin, and Bitcoin could move more than altcoins. If the dominance breaks from the 60.40 area downwards, we can say that more money will enter altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday I told you that if the 1.14 level is broken, you could enter a short position if Bitcoin's dominance was rising, which indeed occurred, and the dominance of Bitcoin was rising while this break happened, and the dominance had not yet been rejected from the ceiling, which is why the short position you opened on altcoins could have been much more profitable.
🎲 However, as you can see, I have moved this trigger and transferred it to the 1.13 area because I think this area is cleaner, and as you can see, the price has reacted to it once and is likely to react to this area more in the future than to the 1.14 area.
🔑 Overall, the gray areas you see drawn on the chart are not very important supports and resistances, so I easily move them if the price does not show the reaction I want, and it is not very important to me if their position changes.
☘️ However, as you can see, after the price broke the 1.13 area, it executed its main bearish leg downwards, even breaking the 1.07 area and hitting a shadow to the 1.01 area as you can see, and is currently in a corrective phase.
🔽 The 1.07 area could be very important today, and if this area is broken, we can say that the price could make a deeper correction. But if this does not happen and the price is rejected from this area, we can say that altcoins are ready to execute their next bearish leg at least down to the 1.01 area.
✅ Depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open a position on Bitcoin itself today or on altcoins. As you can see, the dominance candles being set suggest a bearish dominance, so if the market gives a short position, Bitcoin will be better than altcoins, but while you are reading this analysis, if you want to open a position, it might be that the dominance turns bullish, in which case a short position on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's look at the Tether dominance analysis. As I told you yesterday, if the 4.82 level was broken, the dominance could start a bullish leg, which did happen, and the market activated its short trigger in Total2 and altcoins, and the dominance moved upwards, even breaking the 5.08 area and with a pullback to this area, reached 5.30.
🧲 This area was previously around 5.21, but as I told you, I easily move lines that are gray if the price does not respect them, and for this reason, I moved this area to 5.30, as you can see, the price has reacted to it and now seems to be correcting.
📊 Unfortunately, I don't have a specific trigger for a bearish turn in Tether dominance, but this 5.30 trigger is a very suitable one for it to turn more bullish, and in my opinion, if the dominance wants to turn more bullish and break this area, it could move again up to the 5.50 area.
🔼 But in case of a correction in dominance, the first very important support exists at 5.08, and the dominance could correct to this area.
📌 Final Words Overall, I think the market today is not very analyzable and can have a lot of sharp and emotional movements, and everything depends on Trump's speech.
❗️ I suggest that if you think the market will go up with Trump's speech, hold a long position, and if you think it will go down, hold a short position if triggers are activated.
🎲 But open this position with the minimum risk you can and are allowed to take because Trump's speech can create a lot of sharp movements in the market, and if you do not risk manage and set a stop-loss, your position can easily be liquidated, so be careful to risk the minimum amount that your strategy allows you to open these positions.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin may rebound up from buyer zone to 94100 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A few days ago, the price was moving inside a downward channel, where it reached the support line and immediately bounced back up to the channel’s resistance. After that, BTC continued its decline, testing the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. The price briefly dipped below this level but quickly reversed and rebounded. Eventually, Bitcoin exited the channel and moved into a range, reaching its upper boundary before turning downward again. In a short period, the price dropped to the seller zone, where it consolidated for some time. BTC then attempted to push higher but failed and resumed its decline. Breaking below the 94100 resistance level, the price moved further down, fluctuating between support and resistance lines. Bitcoin eventually fell to the support line, breaking through the 83400 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. However, this breakdown turned out to be a false move, as BTC immediately rebounded and surged back above that level. Currently, BTC is continuing its upward movement. I anticipate that the price may first test the buyer zone before resuming its growth. Additionally, if it manages to break through the resistance line, it could keep climbing higher. With this in mind, my TP is set at the 94100 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin's 60-day Cycle path to another All-time highBitcoin's Next Big Move: The 60-Day & 24-Week Cycle in Action
The crypto market is getting exciting again! When BTC dropped below $80K, people freaked out, calling for a bear market. But those who understand cycles knew this was just another bottom forming before the next move up. Premium Strategy Master members already knew which coins I loaded up on at the cycle lows.
Why Did Bitcoin Crash Below $80K and Then Pump to $95K?
Bitcoin moves in 60-day and 24-week cycles. A full 24-week cycle is made up of three 60-day cycles, and when we hit a weekly cycle bottom, the next 60-day cycle usually kicks off with a big pump. That’s exactly what we just saw!
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
We’re still in a bull market, and everything is lining up for more upside:
The 2-week cycle indicator is dipping below 20 (oversold territory).
The 1-week cycle indicator (red) just flipped up.
The 3-day cycle indicator is also moving higher.
This all points to Bitcoin pushing past $100K soon.
On top of that, this is the start of a new 24-week cycle. The first 60-day cycle is almost always bullish, even in rougher market conditions, with at least 35-40 days of upward movement.
Right now, we’re only on Day 3 of this fresh 60-day cycle, which means the market is primed for more upside.
BITCOIN 2025 - A MODERATE SCENARIOBitcoin’s price trajectory hinges on critical technical levels. Should Bitcoin fall below the key support zones—referred to here as the 'red lines' and t he bold black line —it risks entering a bear market, potentially signaling the end of the current bull cycle. These levels are pivotal for sustaining the parabolic bull market’s final leg. Following an initial decline from current levels, Bitcoin is projected to drop to approximately $70K, where it may consolidate for a couple of months. For the best-case scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must hold above the critical $70-77K threshold and execute a sharp V-shaped recovery. From there, a robust rally could propel it beyond $100K around August, culminating in the cycle’s peak in September at its highest point. While this outcome appears unlikely in the short term, it remains the most favorable projection, contingent on Bitcoin maintaining strength above the $70K line. Failure to do so could prematurely terminate the bull cycle.