98+ actionMorning folks,
So, market mostly stands at the same place where we leave it last time :)
But now our monthly bullish pattern is officially confirmed, so mid term direction is up with 110K target at least and potential progress up to 127K.
Now we see a lot of minor bullish signs pointing on upside breakout attempt. Last time we talked about 3-Drive, but today it seems that it could go out of its limits. Not just to 97K but up to 103 K AB-CD upside target.
Until price is above 91.5K lows we do not consider any shorts. Following expected downside pullback is still on the table but not for this week probably. We return to it later as soon as upside action will be over.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides.
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1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone
The highlighted upper green zone marks:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse.
- Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation.
This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity.
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2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone
The lower blue zone serves as:
- FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support.
- Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests.
This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower.
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3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides
The market structure hints at:
- Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance.
- Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs.
- Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation.
This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions.
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4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area
Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone:
- Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion.
- Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance.
Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality.
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5. Summary:
- Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias
- Lower FVG Support → Long Bias
- Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity
This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
Macro Bullish Rates?An over simplification? I hope so.
The narrative fits too close for me. Needless to say, it's worth keeping an eye on.
If we manage to keep interest rates low for a while but inflation creeps in again (not due to high demand but because of monetary inflation) I can see the debt spiral scenario playing out in full force. This is a chilling thought, not something my generation has been exposed to and I believe it could have a very different impact to the population than the previous cycle. The difference being of course, the inflation not being demand driven but monetary debasement driven. To me this practically means a more impoverished population that is already struggling and those holding assets will further increase their portion of the pie.
There are a lot of unknows for me, as I basically know nothing about this. These are just my back of napkin thoughts. Me, trying to make sense of the world we live in because I know you can't look to anyone for the answer. Why? Frankly, I have learned that 98% of us don't know anything.
Ps - I am still not taking the deflationary narrative play off the table. Population decline, low interest rates and using robots to increase GDP etc. But either way all I can see is a exponential increase in debt creation. What other option is there? Both scenarios can't possibly lead to the same outcome, can they?
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
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The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin 30m chart.In my opinion, this is the most likely short-term scenario.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
BTCUSD: The final 7 months of the Bull Cycle have begun.Bitcoin remains on excellent bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 65.277, MACD = 2917.800, ADX = 44.478) as it is recovering from this months Low. A recovery that will close today the monthly candle in green, the first after 2 bearish 1M candles. This has technically kickstarted the final 7 months of the Bull Cycle, which have historically been a straight rally to the Cycle's Top. The last 2 Cycles took 35 months from bottom to top and based on that we expect the current one to peak in October (2025).
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BTC/USDT Analysis – Uncertainty is Growing
Hi everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our ~$94,300 zone (abnormal cluster) and almost immediately showed a buying reaction on the 1H timeframe, but the local high wasn’t retested.
Today, Bitcoin dropped more than 2% following the release of the U.S. GDP report, briefly piercing through the mentioned zone before quickly recovering the losses.
At this point, we estimate the chances of breaking out of the current range at 50/50 — uncertainty is growing, and a stronger correction toward the $91,000 area is becoming increasingly likely, either from current levels or after another test of the recent high.
Sell zones:
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volume)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
What do you think will come first — a breakout above the high or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’ll be interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
ONDO Trade Setup – Range Support + Fibonacci ConfluenceONDO has retraced to a key confluence zone, aligning with both lower range support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This presents a solid opportunity for a long spot entry, especially if bullish confirmation follows.
🔹 Entry Zone:
Around $0.90
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $1.15 – $1.25
🥈 $1.40 – $1.55
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $0.85
ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 #ETH is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from trendline. If #ETH sustains above major resistance area then we will a bullish move till its major resistance area
💸Current Price -- $1,755
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The market behavior of price has been quite telling recently. After a significant rally from the lower support area around 81200 points, the price gradually established an ascending trend line, forming a steady bullish structure. The rise was confirmed multiple times by the trend line acting as dynamic support, allowing buyers to push the price toward the higher zones. However, after reaching the local peak close to 95300, the bullish momentum slowed down. Price formed a range and began showing early signs of weakness. Despite attempts to move higher, each push was met with resistance, causing smaller impulses than earlier moves. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just under the 95300 - 95500 zone, near the upper boundary of the recent range. I expect BTCUSDT can face further rejection here and initiate a correction. The nearest key target is the 92000 points, located close to the ascending trend line and matching the support structure below. Given the fading momentum, recent price action, and important technical levels nearby, I anticipate a downward move toward 92000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Bitcoin Testing 95k as Resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
Bitcoin Testing 95k as resistance TRENDLINE #Bitcoin at a CRITICAL juncture! Testing the downward trendline (double yellow) at 95K as resistance, originating from 107K in Dec.
This trendline has repeatedly rejected BTC, with multiple tests at 95K this week. Historically, rejections have led to drops to 82K support (tested 4x) or even the uptrend line at 77K (Mar/early Apr).
If BTC fails to break & hold above 95K by week's close, we may retest 82K on the 2023 uptrend (red line). BUT, if we break 95K and hold, we could target 109K, with a potential range of 125K-140K for new highs!
#Crypto #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis
ZEC ANALYSIS🔮 #ZEC Analysis
🌟🚀 As we said earlier #ZEC moved around 20%. Right now #ZEC is trading in an Ascending Triangle Pattern and here we can see that #ZEC moving again towards its neckline. We see see more bullish move in upcoming days
🔖 Current Price: $36
⏳ Target Price: $46
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#ZEC #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #77👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still ranging, and volume has decreased compared to yesterday. In times like these when market volume is low, you need to pay closer attention.
✔️ Today, I’ve drawn an ascending trendline on the chart. When price performs very shallow corrections after an uptrend and each low is higher than the previous one, it indicates a very strong bullish trend. So if this trend continues, it can lead to some very attractive trade setups.
💥 As mentioned, volume is quite low today, and volatility is also lower than before. This means that most market participants are waiting to see what will happen before reacting. We should take the same approach and wait for our triggers to be activated.
📈 For a long position, it’s pretty clear that Bitcoin has a very important resistance at the 95370 level, which is currently the only long trigger. If you don’t have a position from lower levels, this is a very logical and attractive entry, and I suggest having a position ready if this level breaks.
📊 For a bearish scenario, we haven’t yet received confirmation, and we need to wait until at least the trendline is broken. After that, with the activation of a trendline trigger like the 93626 level, we can enter a short position.
👀 As I’ve said in previous analyses, I personally won’t open a short position unless Bitcoin reaches the 91945 level, as that’s my first confirmation for a trend reversal.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s check Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box continues, and yesterday it again moved upward from the 64.22 support and reached the range top at 64.60.
☘️ If you had opened a position on altcoins like ETH after their triggers activated yesterday, you probably hit stop-loss because of this dominance move. As dominance moved up after those triggers, capital flowed out of altcoins, causing many of them to fake out and fall back below their resistance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now for Total2. Just like Bitcoin, Total2 is forming a range box, but it has significantly less bullish momentum. While Bitcoin has some upward slope during its range, Total2 is completely flat and oscillating between 1.03 and 1.05.
⚡️ Triggers for Total2 remain unchanged: breakout of 1.05 for bullish confirmation and 1.03 for bearish. But just like I mentioned that I won’t act on Bitcoin’s 93626 break and will wait for 91945, here I also won’t act on a 1.03 break—I’ll wait for confirmation below 1.00.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move to Tether Dominance. A new lower high has formed just below 5.14, and for now, I’ve adjusted the resistance level to 5.10, because as you can see, the price is reacting well to this area and we can use it as a trigger.
🧩 For a bearish USDT.D scenario (which would mean bullish for the market), breaking below 4.99 remains the key trigger. For a bullish USDT.D scenario, breaking above 5.10 would be the first confirmation of a shift in dominance upward.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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btc . month . outlookLONG worked out nicely, BUT there was no SFP liguidity grab at cw/cmHigh
- finished LONG trade with 10pm (+2h tz)
- price dropped below entry . out of LONG . looking for lower new entry
As we're just before a new monthly open, possibility for retrace during Month May enhances
- This would give a nice new SWING LONG entry
- As well as a nice SHORT entry to ride the rotation downwards
Tuesday gave up a couple of SUPPORT levels . got me to shift SHORT for wednesday
- scaling SHORT at fib + cw0.75
Invalidation:
Running stops at 92.750 and recovering above cw0.5
bitcoin road map !!!Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
EURGBP DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSEURGBP is currently trading around 0.85, having completed a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance-turned-support level. The price action aligns with a classic bullish continuation pattern, suggesting that the pair is poised for another upward move. My target for this bullish wave is 0.88, which corresponds to the next significant resistance zone.
Technical indicators support this outlook. The formation of a falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart has been confirmed, with the breakout leading to a sustained upward trajectory. The retest of the breakout level has held firm, indicating strong buyer interest and the potential for continued bullish momentum.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength due to improved economic indicators in the Eurozone, while the British pound faces headwinds amid ongoing fiscal policy uncertainties in the UK. This divergence in economic outlooks is contributing to the euro's relative strength against the pound, further supporting the bullish case for EURGBP.
In summary, the combination of technical patterns and fundamental factors suggests that EURGBP is well-positioned for a move toward 0.88. Traders should monitor key support levels to manage risk and look for confirmation of continued bullish momentum as the pair approaches the target zone.