BTC - 4 Cycles Repeating Itself!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $75,000 zone is expected before the next impulsive move begins. 📉🚀
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
$BTC back to $59-62kAs you can see from the chart, BTC is rejecting from the range highs which sets up the next (and final) leg lower before we continue the bull run.
Despite the bounce over the last few weeks, all we've done is retested the area which we broke down from back in February.
Now this sets up a large move lower down to the lower support levels at GETTEX:59K -$62k.
After we tag those levels, we'll continue our next move higher into 2026-2027.
BTC Breaks Out Above Key Resistance Bullish Momentum AcceleratesClassic Technical Breakout:
Bitcoin has surged past the critical $91,607 resistance level, which had capped its upside since February. This breakout marks a major shift in market momentum.
Broader Bullish Structure:
The move confirms a larger bullish structure, defined by a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs since the March lows, signaling strong market health.
Accumulation Zone Cleared:
Bitcoin’s breakout from the well-established $76,000–$92,000 accumulation zone further strengthens the bullish outlook, highlighting robust underlying demand.
Road to Six Figures:
Now trading above key psychological and technical levels, Bitcoin appears poised for a potential move toward six figures and a retest of all-time highs above $108,000 — as long as it holds above the breakout zone.
Conclusion:
Momentum is clearly favoring the bulls. Bitcoin’s breakout could mark the beginning of its next major rally phase. 🚀📈
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #Resistance #CryptoMarket #MarketUpdate
Bullish Crypto: Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick (Session 4)You are back!
Are you back are you?
I am getting many new Altcoins requests so let's do a new Top Altcoins Choice session, Your Pick.
Look at this weekly Bitcoin chart, what do you see?
Today is Friday and the session is full green. The action is happening at the top of the candle.
» Can Bitcoin hit $100,000 by next week?
It is possible. Bitcoin can easily grow less than $6,000 in two days.
» Can Bitcoin hit $120,000 before the month ends?
It is possible but not likely, let's be honest.
» Can Bitcoin hit $150,000 in May 2025.
Absolutely, why not, it is actually not that high.
» Can Bitcoin hit $200,000 in this 2025 bull market cycle top?
Bitcoin can hit $180,000, $200,000 or even go beyond.
Look at this weekly chart and tell me in the comments section what do you see?
I see a market that is very strong.
I see bullish action, bears are weak.
Where are the signals that would give strength to a bear in this type of chart? Where is the downside? Where are the negative aspects, it looks green, it is green and ready to grow up and blow.
It is only a matter of time before Bitcoin moves above $100,000 for the second time in its history. The first time of course in December 2024. Then the All-Time High peak, the correction and now we are moving back up.
Are you aware.... Did you know that Bitcoin will never trade back below 80K? I told you buying below 90,000 was a great opportunity, the last chance now to buy below 100,000 before the 2025 bull market bullish wave.
When Bitcoin moves above $100,000 the Altcoins will blow up. The Altcoins are starting to grow now, to recover now but not yet, May 2025 is the month of the Altcoins market maximum growth. Everything will grow, but the Altcoins will grow many times more than Bitcoin because the Alts are smaller, because the correction was stronger on those.
Knowing that the Altcoins market is bullish, recovering a major bottom, set to grow and going green, which one is your Top Altcoin Choice, Your Pick?
Leave a comment with your Choice of Altcoin and I will do an analysis for you, 100% FREE. Choose one pair only and if the chart looks good, I will publish.
Any specific questions leave in the comment, for example: Short-term reversal potential, mid-term targets, All-Time High potential, many signals, chart structure, fundamentals, etc.
Why are you here?
Why are you trading?
How long have you been trading for?
Share some of you; your heart, your mind your soul, share some information about you so that the analysis can be personalized...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Let's do a new session of Your Top Altcoins Choice.
Session 4.
Namaste.
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone.
Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction .
The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident.
According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price .
I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Things are going well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin's recent downtrend has been broken upwards. The peak between the two bottoms was broken with high volume.
Bitcoin received strong support from exactly the point I mentioned in my previous analysis titled Bitcoin Decision Point. I think it's quite possible that it will reach the 142k target in my analysis. I recommend you to review the analysis I have provided in the attachment.
However, before this rise, Bitcoin may want to retest the peak between the two buttoms it broke above.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Market overview
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we saw an upward breakout from the consolidation phase, leading to a strong, nearly pullback-free long movement. By the end of the week, Bitcoin reached a long-term resistance level, where the momentum stalled, followed by a slight correction.
Currently, we observe weakening buying pressure, with diminishing higher highs. At the same time, there is a significant amount of market sales visible in cumulative delta, which have not resulted in any major moves. The market is in equilibrium, possibly preparing for the next impulse.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
In the near term, we expect a retest of the current highs with potential false breakouts. After that, a resumption of selling pressure is possible. We will consider continuing long positions only after testing the nearest support levels.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of the US Consumer Confidence Index for April;
• April 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US JOLTS (Job Openings) data for March;
• April 30, Wednesday, 01:30 (UTC) — release of China’s Manufacturing PMI for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 08:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:00 (UTC) — release of Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — release of US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change for April;
• April 30, Wednesday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US GDP for Q1 2025;
• April 30, Wednesday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US Core PCE Price Index for March, along with year-over-year comparison;
• May 1, Thursday, 03:00 (UTC) — release of Japan’s Interest Rate Decision;
• May 1, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Initial Jobless Claims;
• May 1, Thursday, 13:45 (UTC) — release of US Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 1, Thursday, 14:00 (UTC) — release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI for April;
• May 2, Friday, 09:00 (UTC) — release of Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April;
• May 2, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of US Average Hourly Earnings, Nonfarm Payrolls, and Unemployment Rate for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #75👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, in this analysis, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session for you.
🔄 Yesterday's Analysis
In yesterday's analysis, I told you that if the price stabilizes below 93626, I expect a correction down to 91945.
However, this didn’t happen and the price faked below this area and moved back up, and now its trigger has been activated.
Let’s move on to today’s analysis to see what triggers are suitable for today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as I said, the price faked downwards and moved up again, activating the first trigger at 94421.
The 94421 trigger was a preliminary trigger for the breakout of 95306, so if you opened this position, I suggest you wait to see if the price breaks the 95306 resistance or not.
✔️ The main trigger for a long position is still the breakout of 95306, which can start the next bullish leg for Bitcoin.
If you plan to open a position upon the breakout of this area, pay attention to the volume, and if volume increases at the same time, I suggest you definitely have a position.
💥 In the RSI oscillator, as you can see, the divergence we had in the previous bullish leg has been activated, and we can see its effect in the market, and now a new structure is forming, getting close to the Overbuy area.
⚡️ If RSI enters Overbuy and the 95306 resistance is broken, we could see a sharp and fast move toward the 98828 resistance.
📉 For a short position and for Bitcoin’s trend to turn bearish, yesterday I told you we have a risky trigger at the break of 93626, but I personally wouldn’t open a position with this trigger because it’s risky and I prefer to wait for a confirmed trend change.
🔍 Currently, the trigger I have for a trend change in Bitcoin is the break of 91945 and forming a lower high and lower low below this level. Otherwise, we should wait to see if a new structure for a trend change forms in the coming days.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin Dominance analysis.
As you can see, Dominance has finally exited the range it had formed between 64.19 and 64.41, breaking 64.19 and moving downward.
🧩 If this decline continues, the next major support area for Dominance is 63.67, and Dominance could fall to this level.
If this happens simultaneously with Bitcoin’s rise, altcoins could experience a lot of sharp bullish moves.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s move on to Total2 analysis.
As you can see, this index also faked the floor it had formed, and this fake breakout has brought bullish momentum into the market, and now it has managed to stabilize above 1.05.
⭐ The reason Bitcoin is still struggling with its resistance and hasn’t broken it yet is because Bitcoin Dominance is decreasing, causing Bitcoin to move upward slower than Total2.
📊 Currently, the next resistance for Total2 is the 1.07 area, and the probability of the price reaching this level is high.
If this bullish move gets faked, breaking 1.03 will be a good short trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Tether Dominance analysis.
I believe the market is still waiting for Tether Dominance to move out of the range box formed between 4.99 and 5.14.
🚀 If the 4.99 level is broken, it can confirm that the market is turning bullish.
I think this trigger could start Bitcoin’s move toward a new ATH.
🎲 If 5.14 is broken instead, we can confirm the end of the bullish trend that the market has had in recent days.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure.
I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long.
Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure.
Good luck out there!
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin's upward movement towards the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position with an appropriate reward to risk. In case of Bitcoin's downward movement towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying positions.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
During the recent trading week, from April 21 to April 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $3 billion in capital inflows. This figure marks the second-largest weekly inflow in the history of these ETFs, following the $3.4 billion inflow recorded in November 2024.
Thanks to this momentum, Bitcoin managed to climb above the $95,000 mark for the first time since February. Data reveals a notable increase in market participants’ optimism, with bullish posts on social media reaching their highest level since the night of Trump’s election victory on November 5, 2024.
More than 7,000 Bitcoins, worth over $500 million, were withdrawn from the Coinbase exchange. This trend could signal institutional accumulation and reflect a strongly bullish sentiment in the market.
During the 2018 trade tariff war, Bitcoin experienced a sharp 84.5% collapse, plunging from around $19,400 in December 2017 to approximately $3,000 by December 2018. This price decline coincided with intensifying global trade tensions.
However, Bitcoin’s price later rebounded following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and an improvement in liquidity conditions. The attached price chart clearly illustrates Bitcoin’s steep decline between December 2017 and December 2018.
According to data released in March 2025, major global corporations have significantly strengthened their presence in the digital asset market. At the top of the list stands MicroStrategy, holding over 500,000 BTC — far surpassing other companies.
Following MicroStrategy, companies such as Marathon, Galaxy Digital, Tesla, Coinbase Global, Hut 8 Mining, Riot Platforms, Block, CleanSpark, and Metaplanet respectively hold the largest Bitcoin reserves. This group of key players from technology, mining, and financial services sectors view Bitcoin as a critical part of their long-term strategies.Moreover, between April 7 and April 13, MicroStrategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins at an average price of $82,618 per coin, totaling $285.8 million.
Why does it always go against you? You might be new to trading, you may have several years of experience. But, where a lot of people still seem to go wrong is in not realising the relationships.
I have posted hundreds of educational posts here on Tradingview from cartoons, trying to simplify techniques through to market relationships between technical systems such as Elliott Wave and Wyckoff.
Many new traders fall foul of social media posts covering "SMC - Smart Money Concepts" and are not seasoned enough to appreciate what or why these can work for some and not for others.
You have Elliott Wave traders, there is a saying along the lines of "if you put 10 Elliott traders in a room searching for a wave count you will come out with 11 different answers"
This isn't to say Elliott doesn't work, nor Smart Money.
The market seeks liquidity, it forms seemingly complex patterns that humans try to make sense of. We are great at that, seeing patterns even if they are not there. - Look, there's an upside-down butterfly 1.618 extension!
First, you need to appreciate Elliott Wave counts on smaller timeframe are pointless, especially in the age of algo's and bots. However, sentiment on the larger timeframes can't really be spoofed.
In this first image; you can see a market wave that is straight out of a textbook.
Let's also add some Wyckoff; if you were to visualise this - Wyckoff schematics would be visible on smaller timeframes, the Green boxes represent accumulation and the Red show distribution.
Let's overlay and Elliott Wave count -
Take that to the next level, this count is only part of a higher fractal count.
How does this fit into smart money concepts? well, it's more like - How does Smart Money fit into this?
Elliott waves and Wyckoff have been around for over 100 years. Many of the techniques shown on YT video's today can be traced back to these older concepts.
Now, if you can see how a 1-2 EW count pushes up for a 3. You can zoom in again and start to see what to expect when trading using SMC.
In this image you can see a drop, then a gap as price pushes back up (I haven't bothered drawing wicks for simplicity assume their inside the box)
Many traders would now anticipate a move that looks something like this.
Only to see price do this
Yeah - you're not the only one!
The next issue is where and how Supply and Demand is drawn.
Ok, the gap didn't hold, it must be the demand level there. GO AGAIN!!!
How did that play out? Trade 1, Trade 2 =
What about now?
Price holds the support
This time you are afraid to go in. Then one of two things happens.
1)
Or
2)
In the first image, we can see a sweep of prior liquidity and that creates momentum for a move up. In the second image, price simply melts away.
This is an easy fix. It all comes down to understanding what the charts are trying to tell you.
People love to talk about how "Smart Money" is the banks and institutional players - how they are playing against you on every click of the button.
The truth is, most people don't understand the market.
When larger players enter the market, the can leave a pretty obvious footprint. In addition to that - they leave behind orders they had but were unable to fill. These orders they will be defended with even more buying or selling (if they need to), and this is the premise for a rally and pullback or a drop to pullback.
Now, visualise a 1-2 Elliott Wave move. Why do you think 2 often comes back so deep?
What would you expect the move from 2-3 to do?
Powerful push, yes?
In this image, the move that created demand is simply the opposing colour candle before the power play. The significant move pushed up (showing institutional involvement). Hence, a location they will likely defend.
In addition to the push up, they pushed with so much money - it created a natural gap.
This type of example doesn't always have to be a power play 1-5 up, it could be visualised on pullback moves too.
Here's a great example recently on Euro.
The demand candle 'buy before the sell" is clearly targeted on the way up. Price fails to close above it, drops, goes back to retest - sweeps and drops. If you were to zoom in you will see on smaller timeframes evidence of a Wyckoff schematic with a UTAD.
Add a volume profile there.
As the price breaks above, after it's pullback you can see an acceleration in price and of course the area has the PoC.
Back to where people go wrong.
They will see this GAP created and assume price will come back here to reject and go. However, look closer and the demand that started the move is very near that gap.
Where is the juicy liquidity? PoC is another little clue.
Let's take this to another level.
In this image I have a range, using the prior high just to give the example in this post.
We are in an uptrend = we just broke the high, we expect a Pullback. Where would that likely target?
Zoom in again. This time I have added a fixed range volume tool.
What do you know?!
Anyways, once you get a handle on the bigger picture and understand the relationships, you can zoom into any timeframe you like - the game is always the same.
Have a great week all!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
28/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $95,778.66
Last weeks low: $84,688.21
Midpoint: $90,233.44
Last week Bitcoin ETFs recorded their second highest net inflows ever, $3.06B between April 21st-25th. The result of this buyside volume is evident on the chart as BTC breaks up into the mid $90k's, and in doing so is now back at the level in which BTC fell from originally to hit $74,500. As a result it is fair to say this area will be a big resistance level, but where is new support after this rally?
The aggressive nature of last weeks move up has left a number of areas of imbalance that the market does tend to revisit. Just below midpoint we have the $89,000-$90,000 area just below a key S/R level at $91,000. Dipping below this area into the FWB:88K 's briefly to sweep the demand and reclaiming $91,000 would be ideal for the bulls and very healthy for the next rally.
A less appealing area of imbalance for the bulls would be towards weekly low of $85,300-$86,300, that would be very painful for anyone longing a retest of the $91,000 area and from a HTF perspective would be a lower high and a SFP of the range midpoint, both bearish signals. The 4H 200 EMA is currently around that area at $87,000 too which would mean losing the level after just climbing back above it.
This week I'm looking at that first imbalance area to be a level of support for the next leg up, that's the ideal bullish scenario in my mind. A move below midpoint with acceptance is a red flag on this move and would start to look like a lower high bearish continuation.
Good luck this week!
Bitcoin's Next TargetBTC starts the week with a 4H doji, potentially signaling a reversal of the short term retracement from local Hs around $95.4k.
Reclaiming those Hs can easily lead to a retest of Feb's resistance around $98.7k - or even surprise us with a test of $102k.
A loss of momentum and close below GETTEX:92K could signal weakness.
BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab)
- Stop out LONGS
- Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher
the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum
looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809
i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only
looking for LONGS around
93.777 - 92.782
tp1 . 95.843
tp2 . 99.490
if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly
- i believe this to come towards wednesday
97K and 88KMorning folks,
So picture almost has not changed since our last talk. Now we get great setup on monthly chart with upside potential starting from 110K and up to 127K. And our task now is to join this coming action.
It would be great to get a pullback, but the shape of intraday market has changed slightly and it seems that BTC is forming 3-Drive "Sell" with target around 97K. Hopefully this pattern will trigger the pullback that we need.
If it happens, then the next area that we will be watching is around 88-90K, which is nice support area .
That's being said, our strategy for now is action to ~97-97.3K first and pullback to 88-90K second.
I mark this update as "bullish" due to our first point, but you've got the idea.
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
---
What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
---
Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
---
Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
---
Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
---
Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
---
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
---
Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
BTC - FVG + Golden Pocket Confluence = Short SetupA strategic high-timeframe imbalance meeting Fibonacci retracement, setting up a potential bearish reaction.
---
1. FVG + Golden Pocket — High-Value Supply Zone
The red shaded area defines a significant confluence:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Left behind by an aggressive drop, representing inefficiency where price is likely to react.
- Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65): High-probability Fibonacci retracement level, often acting as a magnet for liquidity before continuation.
This zone is primed to act as strong supply if price retraces into it.
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2. 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci Retracement — Prime Rejection Zone
This Fib pocket offers:
- A technical level where aggressive buyers previously failed to hold ground.
- A common area where institutional players offload positions, triggering sell-offs.
A reaction inside this range aligns with broader bearish continuation expectations.
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3. FVG Rebalance — Liquidity Collection
As price fills the inefficiency:
- It completes the rebalancing process, removing the incentive for further upward movement.
- Typically, liquidity grabs inside the FVG precede a sharp move back toward lower liquidity zones.
This supports the short bias post-rebalancing.
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4. Expected Price Behavior — Liquidity Trap Mechanics
The projected move mirrors classical smart money behavior:
- Step 1: Induce late buyers into the FVG + Golden Pocket area.
- Step 2: Trigger a quick rejection after liquidity collection.
- Step 3: Resume downward pressure as imbalance is resolved.
The entire flow is designed to punish inefficient entries and reward patience.
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5. Market Context Alignment
- FVG and Golden Pocket together strengthen the case for a precise, controlled rejection.
- Emphasis on liquidity-driven movements keeps the focus sharp on execution and timing.
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6. Summary:
- FVG + Golden Pocket = Strong Supply Confluence
- High-Probability Short Setup Based on Rebalancing and Liquidity Collection
- Structured, Smart Money-Driven Price Behavior Expected
Tactically clean setup following liquidity engineering and imbalance theories.
Bitcoin: Short-Term Bullish, but Herd Mentality ReturnsAfter reaching my 75K target, Bitcoin started to recover nicely. In its comeback, it delivered two important bullish confirmations:
➔ First, it broke above the descending trendline around 84K.
➔ Then, it made a small consolidation, followed by a new leg up that pushed the price above the critical 92K technical zone — also reclaiming the psychological 90K mark.
At the time of writing, the price holds well above horizontal support. From a technical perspective, as long as the 90-91K area remains intact, we can expect higher prices. The next big resistance is around 100K, and if support holds, we might see Bitcoin testing that zone again in the coming days.
Speculators could look to buy dips as long as the structure stays healthy.
My take:
Even though the setup looks technically decent, I'm personally staying out for now. Once again, the crowd is shouting that "the correction is over" and "it's time to buy" — a classic red flag in market psychology.