Bitcoin last run This will be the last upside massive run for Bitcoin in my mind. Look at the RSI and price action.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation.
Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern.
The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025.
Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below.
To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k.
As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k.
This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k.
WATCH CLOSELY
BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset.
More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar.
What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those.
Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s.
Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice.
Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024.
Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year.
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BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Could Pectra Upgrade leads Eth to 11K this cycle?
sentiment on ETH never has been that low while all the arguments against ETH will just be vanished with the upcoming Pectra upgrade
volume is as low as pre 2017 era so I think we can consider ourselves around June July 2017, when ETH made a ~70% retrace from 450 to 150 than peaked at 2K
Despite some delays I don't see why the upgrade will not happen...patience is key
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In a more technical view lets zoom to the daily timeframe
- its visible on the weekly chart: ETH bounced from weekly POC, saving it from collapse (?)
- around 0.5 fib now from low cycle to top cycle
- bounced back above that big blue trendline, its an important support that we dont want to loose
I would say the low has been done on the 11th of March, as for BTC
2 and a half possibilities here,
- bullish scenarios : I think there's too much stake on this asset, we bounce from here to see at least 2800 zone
either only up from now, either we go back to 1800 to make a double bottom, sort of H&S pattern kinda happening often at least this cycle
as long as we dont make a lower low this scenario is valid
in this scenario if the upgrade keep its promises and volume is back, I don't see why we wouldn retest new ATHs
- bearish scenario : we breakdown for a lower low aiming to 1600 area, the retest of the trendline above would fail and it would probably be the end of this bull market, that a lot of ppl have already called
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fast check on whats happening if we zoom again:
Heres the 4H
4H closes in 1 hour but as you can see for now ETH pinged from that blue trendline i think we really dont want to loose
I bought a bit again today, lets see
cheeeers
Bitcoin Inverted Cup & handle Bitcoin is forming an inverted Cup & handle pattern with a target of 63k-66k. I was surprised to see this when I inverted the chart. Just sharing with you what I see, and I hope the pattern changes and we continue to go up. However the highest probability at the moment is further downside, but we may still have a bounce toward 89k-91K before seeing the blood.
Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
REMEMBER
Bitcoin update 21.03.2025 (6 more months of bull market)Bitcoin Update : 6 Months Left Until the Bear Market
You asked for a Bitcoin update — here it is. I don’t post updates too often because I’m currently focused on developing my academy. But let’s get straight to the point.
Where Are We Now?
There are only 6 months left until the end of the current bull cycle . My vision remains unchanged: we’ve gone through a correction and are now forming the bottom of this move. This is a classic consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next big push.
I’m still bullish, but it’s important to remember that we’re in the distribution zone . This means upward movement will be accompanied by volatility and local pullbacks.
What to Expect in the Coming Months?
The next 2 months are likely to be monumental. We’ll see new highs, but in 2 months, most people will have already forgotten about this forecast (as usual). People tend to ignore long-term trends until they become glaringly obvious.
However, publishing exact targets on the chart right now isn’t the smartest move. We might not even reach them, as emotions and news drive the market.
Key Moment: May 2025
In May, there will be a major announcement in the US regarding cryptocurrencies . This will be a turning point. The market is currently moving based on the current sentiment, but after May, things will change. When politicians start talking about crypto, it’s our signal to exit.
My Take
Don’t underestimate the importance of timing. When everyone starts talking about Bitcoin, it’s already time to get out. Until then, we’ll see growth, but keep this in mind: the next 6 months are for closing positions, not opening new ones.
Be prepared for a significant correction after September — more than 50% from the peak . This is a natural process that repeats itself over and over again.
Conclusion
The market moves in cycles. They work like clockwork:
151–152 weeks of growth (bull cycle).
51–53 weeks of correction (bear cycle).
We’re nearing the end of the bull cycle. Act consciously, stay disciplined, and remember that success comes to the patient.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin can exit from triangle and rise to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. On the chart, we can see that the price entered a downward triangle, where it rebounded from the resistance line and dropped to the resistance level. After that, BTC bounced from the 86500 level, climbed back to the resistance line of the triangle, and then started to decline. Soon, it broke through 86,500 and reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. BTC then broke this support and dropped further to the support line of the triangle before reversing and beginning to rise. In a short time, the price reached 81100, broke through it, and made a retest before continuing its upward movement. However, it later corrected back to the buyer zone, then climbed to 85000, and started declining again. Shortly after, the price dropped to the support level and then rebounded to the resistance line of the triangle. Given this price action, I expect BTC to correct toward the support line of the triangle before bouncing back up and breaking out of the pattern. From there, I anticipate further growth toward the 86500 resistance level, which is why I have set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up to $87K, breaking resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to wedge and at once dropped to support line, breaking two levels, after which it bounced up.
Soon, it broke $80200 level and then tried to grow, but failed and made a correction to $80200 support level.
Later BTC rose to $85400 level and then some time traded near, after which it turned around and corrected to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge, breaking the resistance level, but a not long time ago fell back.
Bitcoin broke $85400 level and continued to decline, and in my mind, it can soon reach support line of wedge.
After this movement, I expect that BTC can bounce up to $87000, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Theory.This is just a theory about CRYPTO:BTCUSD
I think we’re going to see a lot of global economic problems in the near future. THEY will try to preserve THEIR capital with gold and Bitcoin, as the stock market stagnates.
I believe we’re in the BUBBLE RUN, but the key question remains open: “At what stage of the BUBBLE RUN are we?”
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #40👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and important crypto indices. Today, as usual, I aim to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price has pulled back to below the 84734 area again today.
🔽 The short trigger we have for today is the break of 83808. With the break of this area, the price could move downwards.
✅ The important supports are at 82459 and 80105, which we can use as targets.
📈 For a long position, entering at a break of 84734 could be beneficial, with a target at 86876.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, a support was established yesterday at 61.43, creating a price box between 61.43 and 61.63.
💫 To confirm an upward trend in dominance, watch for a break of 61.63, and for a downward trend, a break of 61.43 will serve as a confirmation.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s talk about Total2; this index has broken its support at 1.04, and if Bitcoin also loses its support, it could move down to 1.01 again.
🎲 If you don't have positions open, you might consider looking for altcoins that have not yet lost their support, or wait for Bitcoin.
🔼 For long positions, the trigger for Total2 remains at 1.07.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Lastly, analyzing Tether dominance, it has come back above 5.26, pulled back to this area, and is poised to potentially initiate an upward leg to 5.46.
✔️ The upward dominance trigger for Tether is a break of 5.31. With the break of this area, we can expect dominance to potentially rise again to 5.46.
📉 For downward dominance, a break of 5.26 is a suitable trigger.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Zoom out + Ignore noise $BTCBitcoin generally started the parabolic run after the candles closed above KijunSen and the run continued as long as there was no candle closing below it.
Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days.
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
$BTCUSD is making a 4tn wave pullbackBitcoin is bouncing from the upside support of 75k and is targeting higher in the fifth wave. Target is 115k as long as we are above 75k.
BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames.
On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel.
This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support.
So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin at Key Resistance – Will Bears Take Control?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining from the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) again, the first target could be $83,400 and the second target can be the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) filling.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) we can expect more pumps.
This analysis is in line with the following analysis that I shared with you on the weekly timeframe. 👇
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Wagyuswap has a big potential - sleeping giant X Velas🚀 WAGYUSWAP x VELAS – THE DEFI EXPLOSION IS HERE! 🔥
Big things are happening, and if you're not watching WagyuSwap, you're missing the next legendary crypto story in the making. Built on the lightning-fast Velas blockchain, Wagyuswap is about to ignite the biggest wave in DeFi history! ⚡
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This isn’t speculation. This is momentum.
This isn’t just hype. It’s a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
🌍 As Velas grows, Wagyuswap becomes the gateway.
💎 As announcements drop, holders win big.
🚀 As the world catches on, early believers will be crypto royalty.
Get ready. Stay sharp. WAGYUSWAP is about to melt faces.
BITCOIN - Depth of Correction Update...After identifying an error in the recognition of Wave D, Please be aware that price is likely to continue lower than expected and may find support at the 50% or .618 retracement areas. Trade accordingly and I will post an update later today.
Last pivot high is 84,857
BITCOIN - Wave Count Update For Long Trade Idea...A slight shift in the overall interpretation of this structure.
We're still watching for a break above 93K for confirmation, but for those who trade with leverage, this analysis could provide an edge.
If it plays out as expected, we may see a fairly tight stop.
A decisive move higher is needed soon to confidently validate this setup.
Sell in May, if you're g....ame to miss out.
Bitcoin needs to reach a 60 day cycle high above $90k AND close the next 60 day cycle above ~84k to stand a chance at keeping hopes for a right-translated cycle alive.
Failure to do this will make the previous top of $109k look much stronger as the left-translated cycle top and crush many dreams.
Even if momentum for a right-translated top stays alive through these targets in the 60 day cycle, most people are delusional calling for highs of $169k - $250k, these expectations are baked in and will likely not be reached--too much complacency on these price targets.
If we do see a right-translated cycle top towards November of this year, it's likely the top will be just barely higher than previous ATH and crush many expectations. Many will fail to take profits and will get stuck bag-holding for 4 years.
BTC Breaks Structure - Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea!Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside on the daily timeframe, confirming a bullish trend 📈. I’m considering a buy opportunity, but only if the key conditions discussed in the video align.
Right now, BTC is in a strong uptrend, with a well-defined higher highs and higher lows structure on the 4-hour timeframe 🔍. In this video, we break down the trend, price action, market structure, and other essential aspects of technical analysis to navigate this setup effectively.
⚠️ Not financial advice.
