BTC (Y25. P2.E3).AB=CD scenarioHi traders,
In the past, ATH's have made consistent pullbacks soon after with 14%.
This time round I do expect the same, to shake out before we do new highs.
Macro wise, I still have the Cup and Handle targets.
Short term, this aligns well with my support levels.
For now, the VAL or neckline is likely to be resistance.
We had a obvious descending wedge breakout, its hit its target. and now we should range, consolidate here before price makes a decision.
For more updates, come to our forum.
All the best,
S.SAri
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. Maintaining the drawn trend line will lead to its reaching $120,000.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Over the past 200 days, since Trump’s electoral victory, investment funds (ETFs) and major corporations have collectively purchased and withdrawn approximately 607,000 bitcoins from the market.
▪️ Around 200,000 bitcoins were acquired by ETFs.
▪️ MicroStrategy alone accumulated nearly 300,000 bitcoins.
▪️ The remaining 100,000 bitcoins were bought by other companies.
This substantial level of acquisition has removed a significant portion of bitcoin from circulation, creating what is known as a “supply shock”—a situation where the reduced availability of bitcoin could drive prices higher due to scarcity.
On February 6, 2025, Eric Trump declared that it was an opportune time to invest in bitcoin. Shortly after this statement, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 25%. However, the market soon shifted momentum, and bitcoin entered a strong upward trend. On May 22, Trump tweeted again, stating: “Hope you listened… This is just the beginning!”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, set to take place on May 28 in Las Vegas.Earlier in March, President Trump signed an executive order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve,” solidifying the government’s new, supportive stance toward cryptocurrencies.
The Vice President’s upcoming participation in this event underscores the seriousness of the administration’s digital asset policy and reinforces the likelihood that digital assets will gain a more formal and structured role within the U.S. financial and strategic reserve systems.
Jurrien Timmer, Chief Economist at Fidelity, believes that bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark signals its growing alignment with gold as a store-of-value asset. He suggests a 4-to-1 ratio of gold to bitcoin in a value-preservation investment portfolio.
Although bitcoin had a sluggish start in 2025, capital inflows into bitcoin ETFs have resumed—especially as macroeconomic conditions have begun to improve. While gold has posted gains of around 30% so far this year, bitcoin hasn’t matched that performance yet. Nonetheless, analysts continue to project significantly higher price targets for bitcoin within this same year.
Meanwhile, the crypto exchange Kraken announced that it will soon launch tokenized stock offerings for Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tokenized stocks will be available for trading by users outside of the United States.
Importantly, these assets will be tradable 24/7—much like cryptocurrencies—which marks a major departure from the traditional trading hours of Wall Street. Kraken confirmed that the feature will roll out in the coming weeks, initially targeting regions such as Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that you should avoid looking for sell/short positions, as Bitcoin's price pattern was designed to trap short positions. The price followed the direction of the previous yellow arrow as anticipated.
Currently, the major resistance zone for Bitcoin on the chart is the red area. In this zone, a complete bullish pattern could potentially form | or at the very least, one leg of a bullish pattern may be completed.
Let’s see how it plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is It Time to Enter, or time to escape?One green candle is all it takes to trigger thousands of minds into thinking
Should I jump in now?
But is this truly a good entry point, or are you just afraid of missing the move?
Let’s break down how psychology tricks us into bad trades—and how to fight back with real chart data.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
📈 Bitcoin is currently respecting a well-structured ascending channel, with price action aligning closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a major daily support zone—both acting as strong technical confluence. Given the strength of this setup, a potential short-term move of at least +6% seems likely, while the broader structure remains supportive of an extended bullish scenario toward the $116K target. 🚀
Now, let's dive into the educational section ,
📉 Why Do We Buy More When Markets Are High?
It’s a simple question—but the answer runs deep into our psychology. When a crypto pumps, and we’re not in it, our brain doesn’t analyze—it rationalizes:
"If I don’t buy now, I’ll miss out."
But most people who think like this enter at the top—and exit with regret .
🧠 The Psychology of FOMO and Poor Timing
In every rally, a large chunk of entries are triggered by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
But buying high means you're buying from those who bought lower.
And here's the trick: your brain loves the green candles—but ignores volume drops, RSI spikes, or exhaustion signals.
🛠 TradingView Tools to Spot Smart Entry Points
When it comes to entering a position, emotions are your worst advisor. Fortunately, TradingView offers powerful tools to help you act based on evidence, not instinct. Here’s how to use them:
🔹 Trend-Based Fib Extension: One of the best tools to estimate how much room a move still has. Plot it on the previous wave to identify realistic targets.
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index): When RSI is over 70 or under 30, you’re in emotional territory. Be careful—buying during peak RSI often means you're entering late.
🔹 MACD: Look for crossovers between lines and histogram patterns. Use it as confirmation—not a solo trigger—for entries.
🔹 Volume Profile: This hidden gem on TradingView shows you where most trading volume has occurred. Buying at volume-supported levels is way safer.
🔹 Alerts & Watchlists: Don’t glue yourself to the chart. Set alerts for your conditions and build smart watchlists to stay updated.
🔹 Replay Mode: Want to master entries without risking real capital? Use Replay Mode to test strategies and train your eyes.
If you want to replace "guessing" with "planning," these tools should be your daily companions.
🔍 5-Point Checklist Before You Hit "Buy"
Ask yourself these five questions before entering a trade:
Is the broader trend actually bullish—or is this just a short-lived bounce?
What does RSI or other indicators say about overbuying?
Are there major support/resistance zones nearby?
Is the volume confirming the move—or fading out?
Do you have a target and stop in place—or just a “need to be in”?
📊 No Plan Entry = Planned Loss
If you jump in without a clear plan, your only focus becomes: “Am I in profit yet?”
Not “Is my strategy playing out?”
And that’s the trap.
A solid entry means you have a signal, a plan, and controlled risk.
🧲 How to Avoid Getting Pulled Into Fake Rallies
Always check higher timeframes for confirmation
Don’t enter without volume agreement
Plan entries after pullbacks, not mid-hype
Think in probabilities, not dreams
🧭 Final Takeaway & Recommendation
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
i should write this thousand of time ☝️
But rushing in only guarantees missed ones.
Use your tools and stay calm.
The trader who plans always beats the one who panics.
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
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BTCUSDT – Reaccumulation Breakout or Bearish S/R Flip?Timeframes: 1W • 1D • 4H
Structure: Wyckoff Reaccumulation nearing Phase E — but ATH is acting as resistance
🔹 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Macro Structure Points to Markup
Last weekly candle closed above the reaccumulation Buying Climax (BC), showing bullish intent
Weekly upper Bollinger Band is rising toward 113k
RSI at 67, strong but not overbought
Structure suggests we’re entering Wyckoff Phase E
Weekly Targets:
🟢 TP1: 113,049 (Upper BB)
🟢 TP2: 116,199 (measured move)
🟢 TP3: 118,237 (Fib 0.66 extension)
🔹 DAILY OUTLOOK: Still Holding Above Reaccumulation Range
Multiple daily closes above the BU (backup) zone, but all below 110k ATH
RSI is strong (~66), and price is tracking near the upper BB, but volume is not convincing
Until a daily close above 110,000, breakout remains unconfirmed
🔹 4H OUTLOOK: Structure Valid, Momentum Rising
BU zone held; price made two lower lows followed by a higher high
RSI has reclaimed 57+, and volume is picking up modestly
4H structure looks like an early Phase E breakout attempt, but...
⚠️ Caution: Is This a Bearish S/R Flip?
While the broader Wyckoff structure suggests a transition into markup, we must also consider the bearish scenario:
BTC may be failing a support/resistance flip at 110k
All timeframes have rejected at or below 110k, despite multiple attempts
If we see a lower high under 109k + 1D close below 105,863 with red volume and RSI < 45 → this becomes a confirmed bull trap
📊 TL;DR:
BTC is structurally bullish — but we are at the final test zone.
🔓 Breakout confirmed: Daily close above 110k
🔒 Failure confirmed: Close below 105,863 + red volume + RSI breakdown
Stay nimble. This is either the last shakeout before markup… or the top of the range before reversal.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Reaccumulation #Breakout #SupportResistance
Next Step $155,600, Bitcoin Closes 7th Week Green +AltcoinsThe next target and major All-Time High has been confirmed as $155,601.73 for Bitcoin and this isn't likely to be the end of the bull market. This target is now confirmed after Bitcoin wicked lower on the weekly timeframe to test support but ended up closing green, the 7th consecutive week Bitcoin closes green.
This is a major, major bullish signal. It means one thing only, the demand for Bitcoin is just too strong. So strong, that nobody is willing to sell, at least not for longer than a few hours or a few days.
Sold at 100K? Good! Buy back in but higher.
Sold at 105K? Bad! Bitcoin continues rising.
Bought below $80,000? Congratulations, you are a genius and you are holding a great position, you have months and months of bullish action yet ahead of you.
Bought below $90,000? You are still good, you are wise, you are great. You have to congratulate yourself and know that all the gains you receive you deserve. You bought when the time was right, you bought regardless of what the others said.
Bought at $95,000 or lower? There was higher risk because resistance was strong right in front, 100K-110K, and yet, you took action, now you will be rewarded for being brave. The market will bless you with tons of profits and continued success.
Missed the Bitcoin bus? There is absolutely no need to worry, at all, because the Altcoins market is still trading near its bottom and is soon to grow; What one does, the rest follows.
The Altcoins market will follow Bitcoin. The Altcoins will move to strong highs, new heights and new All-Time Highs.
It is not too late... Crypto (Bitcoin & The Altcoins) is going up!
Namaste.
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
Bitcoin H1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,479.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 110,363.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Volatility Period: Up to May 29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
-
If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
-
The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price reached the top of the wedge and broke out with a price increase. Now that Bitcoin's price is above the wedge, it can be said that with a slight price correction, it could follow the pattern and make a measured move where AB = CD.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin: Too Early To Buy The Retrace.Bitcoin may be entering a brief corrective formation within the broader bullish trend. The large red candle that rejected the 113K resistance (see my previous article), could be the beginning of a retrace that can take price as low as the 102,500 to 100K area IF bearish momentum persists. The mistake to avoid is buying this pullback too early, especially since there is no bullish confirmation on this time frame.
The red candle off the 113K area is what I like to refer to as the "mother bar". As you will notice, the following candle is a bearish pin bar which failed to break back above the 50% point of the mother bar (see blue arrow). This is a "mini" lower high and is typically a bearish sign for those operating on smaller time frames. A break below 106,500 would confirm a sell signal on this time frame as well as smaller time frames like 4H and 1H. This can be attractive for aggressive shorts, BUT it is very important to keep the broader trend in perspective.
This bearish development does NOT constitute a change in the broader trend. This means support levels are still more likely to hold, and resistances more likely to break. The higher probability scenarios in my opinion are bullish reversal patterns between the 102,500 - 100K area. Double bottoms, failed lows etc. on 1H, 4H or this time frame would be ideal for swing trade longs (see illustration). IF the bullish trend is going to stay intact, then a higher high is within reason which can see price test 113K or higher (120K is my next resistance).
Another VERY important consideration is the overall location of price. Currently in a Wave 5 (v) configuration which signifies limited potential in the near future. In other words, RISK is elevated and only continues to increase as price climbs higher. As "optimistic" as everyone may seem to be, this is a time to be more defensive, NOT aggressive. This can be accomplished by reducing expectations, operating on smaller time frames, and taking smaller positions. My Trade Scanner Pro helps to quantify risk which is especially helpful in rising risk environments such as this one.
In contrast, the location to be aggressively bullish was the 76K area low. Sure I can say this after the fact, BUT if you read my analysis and watch my streams from that time, I was pointing out the potential and the bullish signs as they were developing in real time.
Market situations like the one Bitcoin is in right now can be very confusing at times. Navigating this environment successfully depends on how you interpret price structures, trends and levels across multiple time frames and letting the MARKET validate ideas or not the other way around. Always consider arguments on both sides of the market and weigh those arguments against the style or strategy that you intend to deploy. And if confusion ensues, then the easiest thing to do is walk away. When potential is limited, there is nothing to fear in terms of missing out.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
ETHUSDT at 2511: Breakout or Breakdown at 2550?Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is currently trading at 2511 on the 4-hour timeframe, sitting in a consolidation phase after a recent uptrend. Over the past few days, the price has shown resilience, bouncing off a key support level around 2400 and now testing a critical resistance at 2550. This 2550 level is a make-or-break point: a clean break above it could spark a bullish move toward 2700, while rejection here might send the price back to retest 2400. The broader market vibe is cautiously positive, with Ethereum’s upcoming upgrades generating some buzz, though regulatory uncertainties could weigh things down if negative headlines hit. Volume has been tapering off during this consolidation, which is normal, but keep an eye out, a breakout with strong volume will carry more weight.
From a technical standpoint, the 50-period moving average (MA) sits at 2450, and the 200-period MA is at 2300, with the price comfortably above both. That’s a solid bullish sign for now, but the 50-period MA is starting to flatten out, hinting that the upward steam might be cooling off. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, right in the neutral zone, not overbought or oversold, so there’s room for the price to swing either way. Over on the MACD, the line is above the signal line, showing bullish momentum, but the histogram bars are shrinking, which could mean that momentum is losing some juice. Traders should watch for a breakout or a MACD crossover to get a clearer sense of what’s next.
There’s also a potential pattern taking shape: an ascending triangle, with the flat resistance at 2550 and a rising support line from 2400. This setup is typically bullish, but it’s not a done deal until we see a confirmed break above 2550. If that happens, especially with a volume spike, it’s a green light for bulls. On the flip side, if the price slips below 2400, it could signal a short-term bearish shift. For now, 2550 is the level to watch, it’s where the action will heat up. Whether you’re trading the breakout or the rejection, this is a spot to plan your moves carefully!
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 105,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 105,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin is still in an uptrend that is your friend.... but...BTC has taken a pullback after the orange swan event. Now that volatility has pushed down, I want to see the bullish response. If the bulls can't maintain the uptrend, the market structure defines a lower high. A CHOCH usually begins with a lower high followed by a lower low.
Full analysis: Link in the BIO
btcusd sel of after each bitcoin conferenceAfter each b.tc8conference there were sell offs as of everybody discovering who really are holding bitcoin and there are still no killer app to make bitcoin useful for anything else than gambling, money laundry
Bitcoin conference this year is even worse with JD Vance and Trump Family using the opportunity to spread their bullshit fake news and narratives.
Bitcoin will blow off top to 120k and went to 60k till end of the year liquidating everybody including biggest hodler saylor strategy when trump will be impeached for abusing public office of presidency for personal enrichment.
Trump must pray that his own MAGA didn't shot him like Kennedy for betrayal.
Only way to survive for him would be resign before he get's impeached and removed from office.
ETH cheaper than $1,500 already this SUMMER? Hi! While many are already predicting an alt-season and hundreds of X's, let's see if it's really so? 🤔
While bitcoin is updating ATH day by day. ETH is still trading almost 40% cheaper than its peak in this cycle . And on the low time frame it is already forming a double top pattern, signaling a downside risk in the near future.
With the current growth we have closed a small GAP at the level of 2,250 - 2,650. But there is still a GAP above us in the zone of 2,800 - 3,250. In addition, below us there is now a GAP formed in the range of 1,850 - 2,450. And as we know, 99% of GAPs tend to close sooner or later.
❓ But here's the question - which one will close sooner? Let's get to the bottom of it!
⚙️ Indicators and metrics:
MACD - has already given a bearish section, signaling a potential trend change.
Volume - since February 3, all further declines, the volume of ETH purchases has only declined, signaling a decline in interest in the asset. Even at 1400 and below, buying volumes were still disastrously low . Showing the lack of interest in the asset even at such prices.
VRVP - shows buying and selling volumes at price levels in relation to each other. It is noticeable that at the levels of 2,400 - 2,750 the trading volumes increase significantly , and in both directions. Showing that this level is still a strong resistance , and the mood in ETH is extremely speculative and few people are interested in it at 1,400, but at 2,500 it is good choice! 😁
📌 Conclusion:
In my opinion, this was a purely technical rebound for ETH after a long decline . As well as for the altcoin market as a whole. Those altcoins that were simply declining more rapidly than others are the ones that are growing fastest now.
Besides, I remind you that summer is coming soon and there will be less liquidity on the market. So unless the current market conditions push ETH to 3,000 and above . We can definitely not expect it in summer and the most probable scenario in my opinion is blue. I don't think we will see ETH at 1,500 and below (unless Trump does something weird), but it is possible to close GAP and go to 1,800.
Is BTC Poised for a Pullback or Continuation? Key Levels on 3D We’ve got a strong resistance level formed by the double top from Dec 14, 2024, and Jan 19, 2025.
✅ Price is above the 200MA, 50MA, and Bollinger Bands.
✅ MLR > SMA confirms the bullish momentum.
I don’t see any immediate reasons to panic. A pullback to the Bollinger Bands or even the 50MA could be in play, but the price action will depend heavily on macro conditions. 🌎
⚠️ If you're highly leveraged, consider risk management. Keep an eye on price action and stay cautious.
📈 Keep close, follow me for more insights, and thank you for reading! Stay safe. 🙏
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #101👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll go over the futures session triggers for the New York market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour chart, after Bitcoin reached the top at 111,747, the market entered a corrective phase and BTC has pulled back to around 106,192.
🔍 For now, I’m not adjusting the 106,192 level because it remains a very strong support zone. If the price reaches this level and shows a solid reaction, we can look for entry triggers on lower timeframes.
💥 Currently, the trigger for a long position is at 109,229. This level previously caused the price to make a lower low, so breaking it could inject strong bullish momentum into the market.
📈 The main long trigger is at 111,747. However, this level is a strong supply zone and won’t be easy to break, so trading this level will be challenging.
📊 On the bearish side, we’re watching the RSI oscillator for a potential entry into the oversold zone. If RSI enters oversold territory, strong bearish momentum may follow and increase the chance of breaking below 106,192.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
After a retracement to the 63.50 level, BTC dominance has initiated a new bullish leg, reaching up to 64.32.
⭐ If 64.32 is broken, it confirms further upside toward 64.63. Conversely, if 63.97 breaks, we get confirmation of bearish momentum returning.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is currently forming a descending triangle after being rejected from 1.26T. Price is hovering around the 1.18T support.
⚡️ If 1.18T breaks, we could see a drop toward 1.15T. For a bullish breakout, we need to see a break of the trendline and activation of the 1.22T trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT.D is currently trading below 4.62. A break below this level would confirm further downside.
🎲 A break of 4.51 would further confirm a bearish trend in USDT dominance, signaling strength across crypto markets.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Double-Top & $60K Correction ExplainedPeople are showing Bitcoin producing a double-top or shy higher high and then crashing down to new lows. This is a strong fallacy. Here we can see Bitcoin trading above $102,000 for 12 days before moving higher, this creates a support zone. (Green on the chart.) Bitcoin can easily consolidate above this level before moving higher. All the action in mid-December 2024 and late January 2025 also makes this zone a very strong support zone.
Before Bitcoin trades at $60K or $70K for example, it needs to break below $100,000. For Bitcoin to break below $100,000, it first needs to challenge $102,000 which is a super strong long-term support.
For Bitcoin to move below $102,000, it needs to break below $105,000. What Bitcoin is doing now, is simply consolidating the last advance, preparing for additional growth.
Notice that there is no huge bear volume candle after the new ATH. Also notice that the red candle happened the day after the ATH and not the same day. Bitcoin is not set to crash. Bitcoin will continue growing.
Remember, the FED will lower interest rates next month and this will be the boom (catalyst) that will push the Cryptocurrency market to the stars.
Namaste.