BTC/USD: From $95K Surge to Critical $89K Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin's 6-hour chart shows that after our last analysis, the price successfully rallied from $95,000, reaching all three targets: $96,200, $97,600, and $101,700, yielding over 8% return.
Today, Bitcoin finally broke the $90,000 support after holding for several days, dropping to $86,000 before recovering to the $89,000 range. If the price stabilizes above $89,000 in the next two days, we could expect an upward move towards the next targets at $90,800, $93,800, and $98,000.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still ranging and has not managed to break out of its consolidation zone. As long as the price does not close above the resistance level, we cannot expect further upward movement.
Here are two possible scenarios:
1.Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks the resistance level and closes above it, we can anticipate a continuation of the uptrend.
2.Corrective Scenario: This scenario seems more likely, where the price retraces back to the support zone before initiating another upward move.
A confirmed breakout above resistance would signal further growth, but until that happens, a return to support remains the more probable scenario.
What’s your view on Bitcoin’s trend? Do you find the second scenario more likely?
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BTC/USD Trading Setup – Bear Trap & Reversal PlayBTC has followed a former volatility setting where an initial sharp dump was followed by a reversion to prior levels with shrinking volatility, only to see another leg down extending 7% beyond the first drop. This pattern indicates a liquidity sweep before a potential structural shift.
Adding to the pressure, political instability has fueled market uncertainty, leading to a broad risk-off sentiment. Notably, gold is also at risk of a correction, and BTC is likely to dump alongside it rather than act as a hedge . This suggests a macro-driven selloff across multiple asset classes before any meaningful recovery.
BTC has now tested the 90K region five times, making it a key inflection point. A final dive below this level for a liquidity grab is highly probable before any major reversal. The tightening volatility percentages provide insight into an impending expansion phase, signaling that a significant move is approaching.
This setup presents an ideal bear trap opportunity. A final shakeout below 90K could lead to liquidity absorption, setting up a strong long-term positioning for a recovery. Smart entries on the final flush could offer a highly favorable risk-reward play for bulls.
a/b/c/d/e/g BTC price fractal buy low tp 107 000 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
🔸speculative a/b/c/d/e/g price fractal in progress. expecting breakdown of the
recent trading range with a subsequent throwback inside range and re-test of range highs.
🔸a/b/c/d/e/g fractal point a/c 92k, point b/d/g 107k, point e 83/84k.
similar fractal observed in march 2024 a/c 62k. b/d/g 72k, point e 57k.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 83/84k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 106/108K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback.
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BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC): Sellers Are Dominating / Final Drop Incoming!Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since.
This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe).
Swallow Team
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 25-26)Yesterday, Bitcoin completely ignored the levels we had marked and broke the scenario of a quick recovery for longs.
At the moment, we have tested the lower level of the global sideways range, as well as the important zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). So far, we do not see a strong reaction apart from a surge in volume.
In the near future, we primarily expect a sideways movement between the two volume zones of $91,300-$92,600 and ~$89,000.
Now, for a full recovery of buying activity, it will be necessary to overcome the newly formed sell zones, which have accumulated significantly during the decline.
In the case of a negative outcome and a breakdown of the current support zone, we will enter a bearish trend with an initial target of $77,000.
Sell Zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
$97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes).
$95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes).
$91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes).
Buy Zones:
$89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes).
$77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes).
Interesting Altcoins
For SUSDT , we tested an important volume zone and received a strong reaction from buyers. We are considering a long position upon testing the local zone of $0.72-$0.69 and its reaction, or in the case of a false breakout of the local low.
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure.
If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
shortI've been cautioning about a possible downturn ever since the market hit 100k last December. The market has been in a coiling phase, trapping many traders in the process. There's a strong chance Bitcoin might close below 90k today. From here, we could either see a sharp drop to around 75k, or a brief pullback to the 93-94k range before ultimately dropping to 74k.
BTC roadmap in Hourly TimeFrames (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This structure is not yet complete, and Bitcoin hasn't trapped enough liquidity. Therefore, we can expect it to reach the green zone before moving upward. We still need to wait for this chart to develop. The red zone is a potential area for price rejection to the downside.
Given the time correction that has occurred, we have updated the green zone.
Let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XRP DAILY XRP close to retesting the 1D 200 EMA for the first time since the US election. For now I can see a few key levels that create a smaller mini range made up of the DAILY RESISTANCE as the top, KEY S/R as midpoint and BULLISH ORDERBLOCK as the low which will coincide with the 1D 200 EMA soon.
- Current price action is extremely volatile so directionally it's difficult to tell where we are goin in the short term, but I would become interested at the extremes of the mini range.
- A LONG entry would be a more gradual revisit of the Bullish Orderblock and the 1D 200 EMA, that would be a great place to go long because the directional bias would be more clear and uncertainty cleared up.
- A SHORT would be a sweep of the supply zone and drop back into the mini range which would aim to go towards the midpoint and then range low/ 1D 200 EMA.
In general the next few days will be volatile, FOMO will be huge but keeping rational is important.
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
Bitcoin BTC Breaking Structure? Key Levels & Trade Setup!👀 👉 In this video, we analyze Bitcoin (BTC) and its recent price action. The four-hour chart shows a bearish break of structure, and my short-term bias remains bearish. I'm waiting for a short entry, aiming for previous lows highlighted in the video. This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Consolidation, Theft, and Market ForcesBitcoin continues to consolidate in the 90k - 106k area! Recently there was an act of theft from the ByBit cold wallet, resulting in over $1.5 billion worth of ETH being stolen. This is definitely a negative backdrop, we have seen good support from other exchanges and crypto project funders. Theoretically, it would be possible to roll the chain back as Arthur Hayes suggested, but it doesn't seem to be possible, although it would definitely play in favor of the bulls. I would expect a drop to the $91800 area for several reasons:
1. Bear dominance. This can be seen in the bullish and bearish volume indicator. Bullish volumes have fallen while strong sales volume growth is noticeable.
2. Elliott Wave Correction
3. BlackRock sold 3,283 BTC before the ByBit hack and has yet to buy more.
4. According to the smart money concept, 92400-91200 is a magnet.
5. Need to liquidate a large number of long positions that gained momentum after leaving the 99k level.
Horban Brothers.
Next Volatility Period: Around February 24
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Both the upper and lower lines of the Price Cannel indicator have been touched.
The point of interest is in which direction it will diverge after this convergence.
The next volatility period is around February 24 (February 23-25).
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The key is whether it can receive support near 92792.05-94742.35 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, it is expected to re-determine the trend by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Solana - Likely to hold the 50% level at $138Solana at $139
50% level from top 2021 to bottom 2022 is at 138. Most likely this is the bottom area and we should eventually bounce form here. If it takes days or hours is hard to say. But for the bulls this is the area to hold.
For the bears you want to break below and hold below for days.
Im bullish. Total 3 going down on low volume is also a bullish sign for the market. Im buying.
Are you buying?
BITCOIN at Major Support - Will Buyers Push Toward 98,250?COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 98,250 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!