Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS)The Total Market Cap of altcoins (excluding top 10) is showing a promising setup at 171.08B. Here’s the breakdown:
Price has bounced off a long-term ascending trendline (red) that’s been in play since 2017 – a historically strong support.
We’re currently testing a key resistance around 171B (blue line), with a recent volume spike supporting the move.
A break above 171B could open the door for a push toward the next major resistance at 217.88B in the coming months.
On the downside, if this level rejects, watch for a retest of the trendline around 148B.
💡 Trading Idea: Look for a weekly close above 171B to confirm bullish momentum. Volume will be key – sustained buying pressure could signal a breakout.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD - If it is a Similar Situation to 2017If we are experiencing a similar run to 2017 we would be 847days into the bull run
I have shown the bars pattern for where price could go with the rest of the time left, which shows a 3500% gain this bull market. This is compared to the 2017 run which was a 9000% gain to the top.
We have some bull time left is the take away if the runs are comparable.
Weekly chart.
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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VANRYUSDT Approaching a Breakout from Falling Wedge VANRYUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that traders are closely watching. This pattern often signals a potential breakout, and with strong volume backing the movement, the chances of a significant price surge are increasing. As the price consolidates within the wedge, buyers are gradually stepping in, indicating growing investor confidence in this project.
The market sentiment around VANRYUSDT remains positive, with investors showing increased interest in its potential. A breakout from this pattern could trigger an explosive rally, with expected gains ranging between 250% to 300%. If the price successfully breaches the resistance, it could initiate a strong uptrend, attracting even more market participants and pushing VANRYUSDT toward higher levels.
With strong volume supporting the price action, traders should keep a close watch on the key resistance level. A confirmed breakout with sustained buying pressure could validate the bullish outlook. As the crypto market remains volatile, proper risk management and technical confirmation are essential before entering a position in this promising setup.
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XRP on the BrinkXRP is currently trading at $2.095, reflecting a volatile period for the cryptocurrency amidst a broader market downturn. The crypto market has faced significant challenges recently, with the total market capitalization dropping by 4.4% in the past 24 hours, and major altcoins like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana also experiencing declines. For XRP specifically, recent price action has been a rollercoaster: it surged by an impressive 34.21% on March 2, only to be followed by two sharp corrections that erased those gains and pushed the price below its early March levels. This volatility sets the stage for a cautious approach on the 1-hour timeframe, as XRP navigates both its own dynamics and the broader market's bearish sentiment.
Technical Indicators and Key Levels
From a technical perspective, the short-term trend on the 1-hour chart leans bearish, with the price positioned below the 50-day moving average, indicating weakening momentum. The local support level to watch is $2.0872, just below the current price, which has acted as a near-term floor in recent hours. Should this support fail, the next significant levels are $2.00 and $1.90, where stronger buying interest might emerge based on historical price action. On the upside, immediate resistance lies between $2.10 and $2.15, a zone that has capped recent recovery attempts. A break above this could pave the way for a test of $2.20, though the broader market pressure suggests that any upward move might lack the strength for a sustained rally without a notable shift in sentiment or volume.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations
Traders should consider two primary scenarios on this 1-hour chart. If the $2.0872 support holds firm, XRP could enter a phase of consolidation or stage a minor bounce toward the $2.10-$2.15 resistance zone, potentially offering a scalping opportunity for nimble traders. Conversely, a break below $2.0872 could accelerate selling pressure, targeting $2.00 or even $1.90, especially if accompanied by rising volume, which would confirm bearish conviction. Volume is a critical factor to monitor here: an uptick on downward moves signals stronger selling, while a surge on upward moves could hint at a reversal. Given the market's current state, downside risks appear more pronounced, but a sudden catalyst, like positive news on the ongoing SEC lawsuit against Ripple, could flip the script.
Broader Context and Final Tips
The bigger picture adds nuance to this 1-hour analysis. XRP’s longer-term trends, such as the falling 200-day moving average since March 7, reinforce a cautious outlook, while the unresolved SEC lawsuit remains a wildcard that could spark volatility at any moment. For now, the focus is on these near-term levels and volume cues. Traders should stay alert for external triggers, like upcoming US CPI data or market-wide shifts, that could sway XRP’s direction. Keep your stops tight, watch the $2.0872 support closely, and be ready to act if volume confirms a breakout or breakdown. This setup offers opportunities, but patience and discipline will be key in this choppy market.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: $2.10 - $2.15
Next Resistance: $2.20
Immediate Support: $2.0872
Next Support: $2.00, $1.90
Potential Price Movements
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above $2.15, it could rise to $2.20.
Bearish Scenario: If the price drops below $2.0872, it might fall to $2.00 or even $1.90.
Note: Look for higher trading volume during breakouts or breakdowns to confirm the move’s strength.
XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions!
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BTC/USDT Price Analysis: Reversal or More Downside?:
📊 BTC/USDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis
🔻 Current Trend:
BTC is in a downtrend 📉, trading below the 30 EMA (🔴 84,270 USDT) and 200 EMA (🔵 88,644 USDT).
The price is currently 82,406 USDT and approaching a key support zone (🟣 ~80,000 USDT).
Support & Resistance Levels
🟣 Support Zone (~80,000 USDT) – Possible bounce area ⬆️
🟣 Mid-Resistance (~86,000–88,000 USDT) – First hurdle 🚧
🟣 Major Resistance (~96,000 USDT) – Final target 🎯
Possible Price Movement (🔵 Blue Line Projection)
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC bounces off support 🏋️, it could move towards 88,000 USDT 🚀 and then 96,000 USDT 🎯.
❌ Bearish Case:
If BTC breaks below 80,000 USDT, we might see more downside ⚠️.
💡 Trading Tip:
Watch price action 📊 at support & resistance.
Look for confirmation signals ✅ before entering trades.
🚀 Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 🔥
Bitcoin major downside still to $47,987 - But 200MA holding!Bitcoin has been very unstable this year, probably due to the new Administration.
MIGHT be due to the influx of regulations or government transactions.
MIGHT be due to Demand and Supply changes.
MIGHT be due to the volatility between countries.
Regulatory Worries 🏛:
Fears about stricter rules and crackdowns are making investors jittery.
Profit-Taking 💰:
Some holders are cashing out their gains, which puts downward pressure on prices.
Market Volatility 🎢:
Wild swings in crypto and broader markets are unsettling buyers and sellers.
Tech Troubles & Security Concerns 🔒:
Hiccups with blockchain tech and news of hacks can trigger sell-offs.
Crypto Market Slump 📉:
A broader downturn in the crypto space is dragging Bitcoin's value down.
TECHNICALS:
M Formation as I showed last time and this is the update.
Price<20 but >200MA - This is a CONCERN for the analysis because the 200MA is the Mother of all Moving Averages that Millions of crypto traders and enthusiasts look at.
Target $47,987
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN - WHERE ARE WE? When zooming out and looking at the Bitcoin chart, despite how crazy the market has been in recent weeks it comes down to a simple market structure with three separate clearly definable ranges:
RED RANGE (Accumulation) - From FEB '24 until the US election BTC chopped in primarily the top half of a range with five separate midpoint retests with progressively shallower rallies that eventually broke out with a catalyst from the political world.
BLUE RANGE (Expansion) - After a 10 month accumulation range the next phase in the bull cycle was expansion, a rally above ATH and into price discovery. An extremely thin inefficiency rally.
Now price currently is at the midpoint of this range and despite the geo-political waterfall of bad news BTC has held up better than I had expected given that usually a rally that goes straight up has no support levels on the way back down. The chart does suggest a retest at $73,700 at some point before deciding which direction to go in after that.
GREEN ZONE (Distribution) - For the last 3 months Bitcoins price has been extremely volatile, bouncing between $91-108K, the range containing price perfectly with weekly retests of the range bottom and a swing fail of the range high. That SFP set off the beginning of BTCs sell-off eventually breaking through the bottom and back into the blue range.
With Bitcoin at the midpoint of the middle range it's a perfect time to have a data release in CPI, A volatile news event that can be a catalyst for a larger market move and with Tradfi selling off, this CPI is the most important of the Trump administrations term so far:
CPI DAY
PREVIOUS: 3.0%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Bullish - sub 2.8% print. At least the market sell-off is having a positive effect on inflation and isn't painful for no reason. BTC reclaims blue midpoint with a view to retest blue high.
Bearish - 2.9% or higher. Market sell-off hasn't has an immediate effect on inflation so the sell-off is bad in all aspects, except for the Trump admin moving closer to their wish of a weaker dollar and lower interest rates. FWB:73K blue range bottom retest on the cards.
ETH SimplifiedTrading doesn't need to be unnecessarily complicated.
This is my view on ETH for the upcoming months and will revisit this later in May 2025.
ETH/BTC RSI on monthly chart is at all time lows at 22 and once this starts going up it won't take a lot of time to reach the target mentioned.
My ETH target of 18k corresponds with BTC reaching 150k and ETH/BTC reaching 0.125
NFA & DYOR
🥂
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !?
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JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin
The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Potential Impact on Bitcoin :
Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin
Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin
Historical Influence :
In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin.
I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!?
Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me?
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools .
Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys .
According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) .
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend.
Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can $BTC push to $150K?Bitcoin CME Gap at $77,930 Filled! Now, can CRYPTOCAP:BTC push to $150K? 🚀
🔹 Support Level: $75,000 – If it holds, #BTC may target $100K+
🔻 If support breaks, my spot bids: $72K | $69K | $66K (Already filled at $77K ✅)
This drop was a liquidity flush to shake out high leverage traders. Stay prepared!
📢 Where’s your next buy order? Share below! 👇
#Bitcoin
BITCOIN Cycle pattern completed. Year-end Target locked at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far.
Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities.
As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2.
Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation.
The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest.
So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year.
Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USDT SELL/SHORTbitcoin can move down
In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bearish cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
AMERICA'S BITCOIN MINER: CLEANSPARKThe chart for Ethereum Futures is showing a promising inverse head and shoulders pattern. This indicates a potential turnaround for the struggling bitcoin mining industry. It appears that miners are behaving more like altcoin investors rather than taking a leveraged stance on Bitcoin. This shift suggests that their fortunes are more closely tied to the performance of Ethereum rather than Bitcoin itself.
Here’s what you should be aware of: CleanSpark (#CLSK), is set to be added to the S&P SmallCap 600 index on March 24.
This index features smaller publicly traded companies in the U.S. that have a market cap exceeding $1 billion and fulfil certain financial requirements.
Being included in this index may enhance CleanSpark’s visibility, boost its trading volume and liquidity, and draw in more institutional investors.
CleanSpark is the second crypto miner to be added to the index after peer Marathon Digital was added to the list last year.
Companies in the index typically benefit from increased trading volume and improved liquidity, making their shares more accessible to a broader pool of investors.
"CleanSpark's inclusion enhances visibility within the investment community," CEO Zach Bradford said in the announcement. “Our inclusion enhances visibility within the investment community and gives us an opportunity to demonstrate the value of being a pure play, vertically integrated Bitcoin mining company and making exposure to our model more broadly available."
CleanSpark operates bitcoin mining facilities across the U.S., focusing on energy efficiency and cost-effective power sources. The company has expanded its operations over the past year with the acquisition of peer GRIID Infrastructure.
Crypto Total Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL) As of March 12, 2025, the Total Crypto Market Cap sits at 2.63T USD.
Let’s dive into the monthly chart for a technical breakdown:
Since 2016, price has been moving within a long-term ascending channel. Right now, we’re testing the lower trendline support zone (2.4T - 2.5T).
This level has historically acted as a strong base – both the 2017 and 2021 bull runs kicked off from similar support zones.
Volume profile shows a 15-20% increase over the past 3 months, indicating growing buyer interest and improving market liquidity.
RSI is at 40 (neutral zone), not yet in oversold territory but signaling a potential base for a recovery.
Bullish Scenario: If the 2.5T support holds, we could see a move toward the channel’s midline (3T - 3.5T range), potentially retesting the 2021 highs above 3T.
Bearish Risk: A break below 2.5T could lead to a deeper pullback toward 2T, so keep this level on your radar.
💡 My Take: I believe we’re either at the bottom or just a few weeks away from the start of a new uptrend. April could mark the beginning of a bull run, signaling the end of the bloodbath – at least based on the technicals of the Total Market Cap.
What’s your view? Will the 2.5T support hold, or are we in for another correction?