ALT Market cap - Dip before 3TThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (CRYPTOCAP) is currently testing a critical support zone at the 21-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Historically, this moving average has acted as a strong dynamic support, marking significant market reversals and uptrends.
✅ Price is bouncing off the 21 SMA, similar to previous bull market cycles.
✅ The recent correction appears to be a healthy retest of support rather than a trend reversal.
✅ The formation of higher lows suggests bullish momentum building up.
✅ If price holds above this level, we could see a strong rally in altcoins, pushing the total market cap higher.
A successful bounce from the 21 SMA could trigger a bullish continuation, leading to a market expansion toward 1.6T - 2.3T levels in the coming months.
🔸 A monthly close below the 21 SMA could invalidate this setup, leading to a deeper correction.
🔸 Key support zone to watch: $900B - $950B
🔸 Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above $1.1T
If history repeats, this could be the perfect accumulation zone before the next major altcoin season! Keep an eye on the monthly close and volume confirmation for the next big move.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
The "Good" Crypto Narrative Is OverIt's been a while since I've done a bit of a deep-dive on this market and why I don't believe it'll sustain a significantly higher value in the future. I no longer have the stamina to write a long-winded post. It's exhausting at this point, and I don't need to reiterate it. Instead, I'll summarize recent developments and their impact on the crypto narrative.
1) The TOTAL crypto market cap currently rests below the all-time high from 2021. This is even including stablecoins. There is $144B worth of USDT currently in circulation. In 2021, that number was $80B. Meanwhile, stock indexes and several individual stocks are significantly up from their last peaks. From a "store of value" standpoint, this doesn't look great, particularly factoring in inflation. Adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin itself is sitting below its inflation-adjusted 2021 all-time high, which is around $84K.
2) Bitcoin active addresses are back to 2017 levels and BELOW the levels from even the previous bear market! This implies that "authentic" adoption has stagnated and begun a decline. studio.glassnode.com
3) In the eyes of a growing number of investors, Trump and Elon's crypto push has only solidified the crypto market as a joke and as a global symbol of greed and corruption.
4) Gold has far outpaced Bitcoin as a store of value during this recent period of turbulence, disproving Bitcoin as a possible safe haven. Here is the Bitcoin/Gold chart for reference:
5) Still, if cryptocurrencies completely ceased to exist, there would be no net-negative effect on the world. In fact, it may be a net-positive. Unless this suddenly changes, crypto does not have any real world value. You cannot say this about most MIL:1T + markets: If most major companies and resources ceased to exist, we'd see a very significant (mostly negative) impact on our daily lives, almost immediately.
In summary, I don't think people will be coming in droves to invest in this market. I think that ship has sailed. The opportunity for it to prove itself has waned, and it has been overtaken by largely bad actors. If anything, I think people are more likely to be forced to buy it than enter the market willingly.
From a technical standpoint, a breakdown from the big uptrend channel in the chart above would likely confirm that the top is in.
---------------------------------------------
Beware, a crypto narrative still exists, but it's only the one fed to us by those in power. It will be important not to fall for it. I worry that people will be forced to own cryptocurrencies, at the expense of their freedom. And even in a situation where crypto prices continue to increase, it is unlikely to be seen positively.
Once we graduate from these strange and confusing times, rife with dissociation, monopolies, grift, and power consolidation, it seems more likely that humanity will look at crypto as part of an uncomfortable past. If we never move on to more optimistic times, and things continue to become more dystopian, well, then that would be a time where crypto adopters can say, "hey, we were right!" But...at what cost?
Regardless, it will always be possible to profit from the volatility, hence my attempts at trading a little recently, with a focus on Litecoin. So, trading opportunities will present themselves, which will keep at least some people interested in this market. I think it is unlikely to be enough liquidity to sustain significant new all-time highs.
Here is my last big post, where I detailed more reasoning - this was prior to the Bitcoin ETF's:
And here is a recent post, where I describe how my own thoughts about the market evolved, from when I first entered in 2017 to the present:
As always, this represents only my opinion, and is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not as financial advice. There are many other opinions out there. It is your responsibility to develop critical thinking.
Thanks for reading as always!
-Victor Cobra
Bitcoin 1-Year Pattern- The art of trading lies in analyzing the past to anticipate the future.
On the yearly timeframe, BTC has consistently followed this cycle:
- 1 year of bearish decline.🟥.
- 1 year of consolidation and bottoming out.🟩.
- 1 year of steady growth.🟩.
- 1 year of explosive upward movement.🟩.
based simply on that :
- 2025 is poised to be a breakout year for BTC.
- 2026 should be the next bear market.
- Everything changes, nothing lasts forever, but as a trader, you must stay on course.
- Don't let market noise shake your confidence.
Happy Tr4Ding !
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #47👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the 83,808 trigger was activated, and the price moved down to the next support at 82,302.
⚡️ The 19.70 level in the RSI is a crucial area, as the price has reacted to this level in the last two bearish legs, leading to slight corrections.
✔️ Today, it might be a bit late to open new positions, as the price is slightly oversold, suggesting that the move has already extended sufficiently.
🔽 This situation means we should enter positions with lower risk today. The short trigger for today is 82,302, and if this level breaks, the price could decline even further.
📈 For a long position, we need to wait for confirmation of a trend reversal. First, the SMA 25 must reach the price, and then a Dow Theory confirmation should establish a new bullish trend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze Bitcoin dominance. As you can see, this index increased yesterday as the market dropped. It briefly faked out above 62.14 before reversing downward again.
🎲 At the moment, 62.14 remains a key trigger for bullish dominance, while the main support level is 61.81.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, this index is in bad shape. It has broken its key support at 1.01 and is now moving toward 0.984.
💥 I can't provide any specific trigger for this chart today because it has dropped significantly without any corrections. For now, we need to wait for a new structure to form.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s look at USDT dominance. Yesterday, dominance finally stabilized above 5.34, which triggered a market drop.
🔍 Currently, USDT dominance has reached the next resistance at 5.48 and has shown a reaction to this level. To confirm further upside, we need a break above 5.48. If a correction starts and we see more red candles, the price could retrace back down to 5.34.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
15-Min Bitcoin Setup – Quick Scalping Opportunity?First of all, I must say that this is a short-term analysis in a 15-minute time frame . Please be careful .
Let's take risks while respecting capital management. Be sure to respect capital management.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the support zone($84,120_$81,500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) near the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could complete its 5 bearish waves near the lower line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect Bitcoin to be able to rise to at least $85,400.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,397_$85,760
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,262_$83,336
Note: One of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline is the decline in US indices such as CME_MINI:NQ1! , SP:SPX , and TVC:DJI .
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
A new ATH is waiting for Bitcoin (2D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
This analysis is still valid.
When everyone is discouraged and caught up in emotions, the BehDark team relies on the chart to publish analyses.
We have also added a new target to the chart. Based on recent candles in the multi-timeframe, there is a possibility of reaching 120K.
We are still waiting for the green zone and looking for buy/long positions within it.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN - Small Long Trade Within Wave iii Zig-Zag...In this video, I break down a straightforward long trade based on an internal corrective zig-zag pattern.
This setup demonstrates how to capitalize on short-term trades with a solid risk-reward ratio, securing profits before looking for a re-entry opportunity.
The trade aligns with the anticipation of Bitcoin approaching its recent highs, potentially forming a double top. Currently, the trade has a protective stop at $83,169 and a target of $89,176.
Rising wedge breakdown may take BTC below 84K and lowerCRYPTO:BTCUSD has broken down from a bearish wedge in hourly. I expect it to do at least 38.2% retracement around 84k, though it could likely go lower around 50% as well which is around 82,600. Closing below 80k might open doors to resumption of downside trend.
Long Entry Signal for BTC/USDTBTC/USDT - Bullish Setup (Daily Chart)
Symbol: BTC
Timeframe: Daily
Analysis:
MLR > SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), signaling a bullish trend.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), showing strong bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, reinforcing the uptrend.
Price > SMA 200: Price is above the 200-period SMA (red), indicating long-term bullish strength.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at the current PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: All indicators align for a bullish move. Stay alert for reversal signals or trend shifts.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk
BITCOIN BEARISH WEDGE BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN made a bearish
Breakout of the bearish wedge
Pattern which reinforces our
Bearish bias and we will be
Expecting a further move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC/USDT: Strategic Entry Points for a Potential Bullish ReversaAnalysis of Key Positions in the BTC/USDT Chart
The chart provided shows a 30-minute timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) on Binance. The chart includes two labeled positions ("Position 1" and "Position 2") that highlight key areas of interest for traders. Below is a detailed breakdown of these positions:
---
1. Position 1
- Location: Near the horizontal green support line, around the $83,600 level.
- Significance:
- Support Zone: This area acts as a strong support level, where the price has previously bounced back after testing it. The horizontal green line indicates that this level has held firm multiple times, suggesting it is a critical zone for buyers.
- Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions near this support level if they believe the price will reverse higher. This is a classic "buy the dip" strategy.
- Stop-Loss Placement: To manage risk, traders should place stop-loss orders slightly below this support level (e.g., $83,200–$83,400). If the price breaks below this level, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
2. Position 2
- Location: Near the descending blue trendline, around the $85,000–$86,000 range.
- Significance:
- Resistance Zone: The blue trendline acts as dynamic resistance, and the price has been bouncing off this level multiple times. A breakout above this trendline would be a strong bullish signal, indicating that buyers have overcome short-term selling pressure.
- Potential Entry Point: Traders can consider entering long positions after a confirmed breakout above the trendline. A breakout is typically confirmed when the price closes above the trendline on a candlestick.
- Stop-Loss Placement: For safety, traders should place stop-loss orders just below the trendline (e.g., $84,800–$85,000). This ensures that the trade is exited if the breakout fails and the price reverses lower.
---
Comparison Between Position 1 and Position 2
- Position 1 (Near Support):
- Risk Profile: Lower risk, as it is closer to a well-defined support level.
- Reward Potential: Moderate, as the upside target would likely be the next resistance level (e.g., the trendline or Fibonacci retracement levels).
- Strategy: Suitable for traders who want to enter at a cheaper price but are willing to take on some downside risk.
- Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout):
- Risk Profile: Higher risk, as it requires waiting for a confirmed breakout.
- Reward Potential: Higher, as a successful breakout could lead to a stronger upward move.
- Strategy: Suitable for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions.
---
Actionable Insights
1. For Short-Term Traders:
- Entry Strategy: Look for pullbacks to the $83,600 support level to enter long positions. Use tight stop-loss orders below the support to manage risk.
- Exit Strategy: Set profit targets based on Fibonacci retracement levels or previous highs (e.g., $85,000–$86,000).
2. For Long-Term Traders:
- Entry Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the blue trendline ($85,000–$86,000) before entering long positions. This ensures that the bullish trend is sustainable.
- Exit Strategy: Use trailing stops or take profits at key resistance levels (e.g., $87,000–$88,000).
---
Risk Management
- Always use stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected price movements.
- Consider using position sizing to limit exposure to market volatility.
- Monitor volume and momentum indicators to confirm the strength of any breakout or reversal.
---
Conclusion
The two positions highlighted in the chart provide distinct trading opportunities:
1. Position 1 (Near Support): A potential entry point for aggressive traders looking to buy the dip near $83,600.
2. Position 2 (Near Trendline Breakout): A safer entry point for traders who prefer confirmation before entering long positions near $85,000–$86,000.
By combining these positions with proper risk management and technical analysis, traders can increase their chances of success in the BTC/USDT market.
---
Final Answer: The two positions indicate key trading opportunities:
- Position 1: Near the $83,600 support level, suitable for traders willing to buy the dip.
- Position 2: Near the $85,000–$86,000 trendline breakout, ideal for traders seeking confirmation before entering long positions.
SEI Poised for a Breakout After Bold 23andMe Acquisition Bid !Sei (SEI), the innovative layer-1 blockchain designed for high-speed trading and decentralized finance (DeFi), is flashing strong bullish signals both fundamentally and technically. The recent news that the Sei Foundation is exploring the acquisition of 23andMe, the leading personal genomics company, has sparked excitement in the market. If successful, this strategic move could position Sei at the forefront of the multi-billion-dollar genomic data industry — combining blockchain’s security and transparency with the rapidly growing demand for data privacy.
Why This Is Huge
23andMe recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, opening the door for a potential buyout. The Sei Foundation’s plan to migrate genetic data onto the blockchain would give individuals direct control over their data, allowing them to decide how it’s used and even monetize it. This taps into a massive and underserved market where data security and privacy are becoming critical issues.
Bullish Chart Setup
From a technical perspective, Sei’s chart is showing signs of a major breakout:
✅ Double Bottom: SEI has recently formed a clear double bottom pattern, signaling a strong reversal from recent lows. This is a classic bullish pattern that suggests the selling pressure has been exhausted and buyers are stepping in.
✅ Falling Wedge: SEI is also breaking out of a falling wedge, a high-probability bullish formation. Falling wedges typically lead to strong upside moves as downward momentum fades and buying pressure builds up.
✅ Volume Increasing: Recent spikes in volume confirm that smart money could be accumulating in anticipation of a breakout.
Perfect Storm for a Rally
With a bullish technical setup aligning with a game-changing fundamental catalyst, Sei could be on the verge of a major breakout. A successful acquisition of 23andMe would not only give Sei real-world utility in the health data sector but also drive increased adoption and network activity. If SEI clears key resistance levels, this combination of technical strength and strategic growth could send the token to new highs.
Sei isn’t just another DeFi project — it's positioning itself to be a leader at the intersection of blockchain, health data, and privacy.
This could be the beginning of a powerful new trend for SEI. 🚀
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSD: Such consolidations end up very well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin just turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.578, MACD = -918.200, ADX = 29.021) and with 1W still neutral, we are again on strong long term buy levels. Today's chart is yet another illustration of the market dynamics and the similarities with the previous Cycle. The market is well on its way towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target, which now translates to $175,000. Unless the 1W MA50 support breaks, BTC is a buy opportunity on every pullback.
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BTC - Is BTC going lower?Since the end of January 2025, BTC has been in a downtrend. However, over the last couple of weeks, BTC has been following an upward trend (rising wedge). This rising wedge has now been broken, as it tested the downward sloping trendline that has been in place since the end of January.
On the daily timeframe, the Stochastic RSI is crossing down from the overbought zone, indicating that the momentum is shifting to the downside. This suggests that bearish pressure could persist in the coming days or even weeks.
While it is possible that BTC could recover from this level and target higher prices. however, my base case is that BTC will continue to form a bearish structure over the next few days or weeks, potentially making a higher low or even a lower low. Time will reveal how the price action unfolds. Until then, the bias remains bearish unless proven otherwise.
It is important to be aware of your risk management when opening positions at this moment, as market conditions can be volatile and unpredictable.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #46👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I will review the futures session triggers for the New York market.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, yesterday the 86,401 trigger was activated, and the price moved downward. Since the price was making lower highs, I anticipated this move yesterday, and now the price is near 83,808, approaching this support level.
✔️ At this point, I believe the price has declined sufficiently, and it may start forming a base around 83,808. However, for a short position, this same 83,808 level is key, and we can enter a position if it breaks below this area.
🔼 For a long position, we need to wait until at least the SMA 25 reaches the price and the price stabilizes above this zone. Once the trend turns bullish, we can consider opening a long position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance, as the market declined and Bitcoin broke support, dominance increased. This helped Bitcoin hold up better than other coins, which experienced heavier losses.
📊 Currently, dominance has reached 62.14 and faced a strong rejection from this level. If a corrective phase begins, the key support area for price is 61.81, and the price could retrace to this level.
✨ For a bullish move in dominance, a break above 62.14 is required, with the next resistance at 62.30.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s analyze Total2. As I mentioned, altcoins have experienced a much sharper decline than Bitcoin, and after breaking 1.06, Total2 started a strong downtrend, even breaking through 1.04.
🎲 Currently, the price is fluctuating between 1.01 and 1.04, and it seems that the trend is showing signs of weakness, indicating that this bearish leg may be ending. If a correction begins, the price could move up to 1.04. However, for the next short position, the trigger level to watch is 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now let’s analyze USDT dominance. This index broke through the key 5.19 level and has risen to 5.34.
🌩 If a candle closes above this level, the next major resistance is at 5.45. In case of a pullback, the key support to watch is 5.25.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Ethereum’s Rebound: V-Shaped Surge to an October 2025 PeakI have come today with a new ETH perspective, one that I think is more accurate than my last ETH TA.
Take a look here at how I got this one wrong, mainly because I was counting too much on this diagonal support to hold. Why didn’t it hold? Because there were too many traders looking at it, and when too many people are watching, the opposite happens, and it breaks.
I would advise looking at this TA first before you carry on with this one because the two tie together neatly.
My view is that from here, we will start a V-shaped recovery that will send ETH to $15,000–$18,000 by mid-October 2025. There is a very interesting fractal playing out that I discovered.
So, my alarm went off with this "Wyckoff Spring" indicator. It has only fired off two other times in history: once at the bottom of the COVID crash and the other time at the December 2016 bottom when ETH was just $8. So, I thought, well, let’s take a look to see if the first cycle has anything interesting.
As soon as I flipped to the daily chart, I immediately saw similarities. What if ETH is forming the fractal from the first cycle before the massive run-up? The timeframe and the drawdown percentages are nearly the same, the fractal is nearly identical, and the fact is, the Wyckoff Spring has fired off now, forming this fractal like in 2016. What are the chances…?
When you overlay the fractal, it lines up with mid-October 2025.
I have scanned the entire history of ETH, and I cannot find a fractal closer to this one. This could very well be the pico bottom for ETH this year.