BTC NEXT MOVE?🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
We are expecting a small dip in Bitcoin's price, potentially down to the 89,000–90,000 USD zone. From that level, we anticipate a strong rally toward 101,000 USD, as highlighted in the chart.
📈 This move could also lead Bitcoin toward making a new all-time high!
Stay patient and follow the setup carefully.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Crucial Level to Watch on BTC.DWe can see that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is still in a bullish trend and is currently testing a crucial level, which will determine whether it continues to make a higher high or starts weakening towards its previous low.
The influence of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the crypto market is simple: if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves higher, it means more money is flowing into Bitcoin. For example, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is at 64%, it means 64% of the total crypto market capitalization is in Bitcoin, and the remaining 36% is spread across altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , etc.
Conversely, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D moves lower, it means more money is shifting into altcoins.
Strategy when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rising:
You can allocate more into Bitcoin rather than altcoins. Alternatively, you can find altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin.
How to find altcoins that outperform Bitcoin?
Look for altcoin/BTC pairs, for example: BINANCE:WIFBTC , BINANCE:NEARBTC , or $BINANCE:TAOBTC.
If the price of BINANCE:WIFBTC is going up, it means SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF is gaining more value compared to $BTC. If it's going down, it means Bitcoin is performing better than $WIF.
Back to CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D :
Currently, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is testing the 64.19% – 64.10% zone.
This area will determine whether CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D continues upward or starts to weaken.
To get early confirmation, you can zoom into the 1-hour chart and look for signs of bullish divergence.
If bullish divergence appears on the 1-hour chart, it often leads to a bounce on the 4-hour chart and a potential continuation of the bullish trend, possibly breaking the previous high.
However, if there's no bullish divergence confirmation, or if there's a strong rejection at the support level, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is likely to weaken and move towards its previous low.
Bitcoin "Crash" 2025Bitcoin started a more significant correction recently, which is scaring many people, and there is already a lot of talk about the beginning of the Bear market.
In my view, the upward trend is still intact, and this could very well be a healthy correction to prepare for a more significant rise in the coming months.
We have an important support level at $75K which has confluence with the 3D SMMA which has already proven to be strong in the past, I think there will be some reaction and that could very well be the end of this correction, but as long as the price manages to stay above $70K I will remain bullish and looking for Longs.
It is important to note that the Fear and Greed indicator is at 21, with Bitcoin at $84K.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
BTC ANALYSIS (update)📊 #BTC Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #BTC performed same. Around 22% bullish move done after the analysis. Now we can see that #BTC is trading around a mmajor resistance. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major resistance area
👀Current Price: $94,590
🚀 Target Price: $1,04,476
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #BTC price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
XRP break 2.24 bullish, is not, as low as $1.28Traders,
I have to make this quick I was bit by a brown recluse and put it off for a day or two longer than I should have. So I need to Skedaddle to the hospital super quick and fast!
Ok, here’s how I see it. I’m going to post this as a short to mid term trade but explain the long term possibilities. Considering this post is being done via my Moble rather than PC it just doesn’t make sense with my time and options.
so here’s what you’re gonna get the short term trade which I’ve labeled very clearly on the chart and the larger timeframe includes an Elliot wave analysis being that we clearly have a zigzagging consolidation wave that could do one of two things from here if we break about $2.24 we should be starting the next expansion wave. I will do an update if we do do that on this published trade to give an idea of where the price action could go but my immediate thoughts range from $9 to $27.
However, I want everybody to be cautious of a fake out as we are seemingly getting bullish on the weekend which I will be checking liquidity on all of the major alt coins and bitcoin before the weekend is over on our VIP live trading class that we do at 7 o’clock on Sunday night Eastern standard time. Yet, I will share my findings of the liquidity with everyone for this week only. As we definitely want to help as many newcomers and experience, traders, see manipulation, just in case it shows up before it plays out. There are many tools on trading view to find high buildup of large liquidity that the market makers could sweep down and take out if during this weekend we get really bullish And tons of money comes into the market from people’s tax returns, creating a pool of guppies that the market maker may just eat up one more time.
Which brings me to my thought of us potentially revisiting the .65 fib, the .618 or even all the way down to the .5 fib, which is at around $1.23. Nothing in trading is 100% so take my thoughts and stride. yet, I’ve been through three bull runs as a successful trader and market manipulation has been one of my main focuses purchasing mini subscriptions to different tools that give me information so we can take advantage of what the market maker does as opposed to be part of its liquidity grab.
For everyone reading this in the VIP group as you know normal time on Sunday, we will be having the recorded Zoom meeting, but I highly suggest that you make it because this is going one of two ways and there’s a big opportunity here to make some pretty serious pips in my opinion. If you’re not part of our group, I hope you use this information wisely in your research to come up with your decisions, but keep in mind, we are all just here for entertainment purposes! Following every single word from a trader online should never be your gospel to put tons of your money into the market in which ever way that trader is preaching the market will go. Learn risk management, if you don’t feel confident in the research that you’re doing or the traders that you are following are pointing at different directions just make sure you know why they’re pointing in that directions as it could quickly go both ways as we’ve seen recently. With that being said also know that the market maker always goes for liquidity point blank and simple! This is why the majority of traders are unsuccessful in this game because the easy information to learn online for free teaches you stuff that large trading firms have algorithms to find And come sweep in your losses to their profits.
I can’t necessarily say that the exchanges are our biggest worry, but it’s always made me believe most likely they are considering most of these exchanges are also trading as market makers, probably some insider trading with alot of them. The current element of little laws and wishy washy regulation (as much as it will likely stunt this bull run for a few months, or maybe not… being that Trump has given US regulating agencies 180 days from January to have firm regs in place) albeit, Some that are reading this, I’m sure take advantage of it yet, once it’s set in place we will have a little less wild, wild West and less decent traders in traditional markets who hate crypto because of the manipulation and the rug poles and what not will and I’m just guessing here most likely have a clear path to becoming a more profitable trade.
I’m not here to demonize exchanges just keep in mind they have all of the information that you have Placed on their exchange and given them freely by checking off the terms of service and signing up for your account. Lots of these exchanges still have very little regulation and trust you, Me that they are raking in as much as they possibly can to the extent of the little regulation in the country, they are regulated in if they are even bound to abiding by it, as I’m sure, as we know, some folks have already been arrested and indicted for certain things that I will leave for you to search and find on your own. But, my point being is you need to also be very careful of the exchanges that you choose.
In my best opinion, the exchanges with the most amount of liquidity on them makes it more difficult for manipulation to happen yet, it sure still does!
As always friends, stay profitable and I hope this rant that I just went on, helps you in someway over this Easter weekend and I pray you all have an amazing time with your families and if not, then have an amazing time trading and I hope my words have helped!
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
Bitcoin & The Cryptocurrency MarketWhat is the energy like? Are the energies rising or falling?
That's the question that you should ask yourself now in relation to Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency market.
Falling energies lead to falling prices. What was happening just two months ago? The energy was low and the market dropped but, can you feel it? It has been heating up. Something is brewing behind the scenes and excitement is building up... It is coming, like a storm, a quiet storm.
The energies are rising and conditions are so much difference to just two months ago. Three months ago. Conditions are different now, the action on the chart will also be different now because the correction is over and once the correction is over we will always experience growth, no doubt for sure.
Mars will be in full force in May 2025 and Mars is the action planet. When Mars was retrograde the action died down, the action energy felt down and the market moved down. Mars goes full 1000% forward motion new territory high energies; fiery, impulse and barriers and blocks removed as Cryptocurrency grow.
That's the energy. It cannot be avoided it cannot be stoped, when it was going backward all the bullish action disappeared from the market, December 2024. As it goes back in full force the action is heating up and the proof will be seen clearly in the results. Bitcoin is already ultra bullish above $95,000. 80K is no more. No longer possible soon to be a dream long gone.
"Imagine buying Bitcoin when it was trading at 78,800, 80,000 or 90,000," that's exactly what people will be thinking in just a few short weeks when Bitcoin trades at $120,000 and then $150,000 with bullish momentum only growing and prices going higher.
What about the Altcoins?
You cannot have a bear market followed by a bear market supported by a bear market within a bear market. That's not how the market works. The market alternates between bearish and bullish periods between periods of corrections and growth.
Such a long correction we went through that we forget that Cryptocurrency is worth more than Gold. But we will remember soon because there is something cooking behind the scenes and the dish is almost ready to be served.
Your dish will be a desert, what you really deserve; huge profits.
The market will reward you for being a buyer when everybody was selling.
The market...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Bearish Or Bullish 100K Comment —Scientific StudyDo you see bearish or bullish write a comment... Just do it!
How long is it going to take you? 1 minute.
Ok, what do you see?
The chart as it is now, do you see it bearish or bullish?
Leave a comment tell me what you see... Go ahead. If 100 people leave a comment we can make an independent study. A scientific study, will you participate yes?
Will Bitcoin move above $100,000 this same week?
Go ahead, write a comment what do you think? Bullish or bearish; will Bitcoin move above 100K?
I will not reveal my bias until the end.
The levels are mapped on the chart. Weak support, main support, strong support and untouched support.
» The 0.618 is the strong support level that remains untouched.
» The 0.5 is the main support.
» The 0.382 is weak support, it was pierced.
— The weak support was pierced but Bitcoin recovered above this level so it is no longer weak.
— The main support was challenged twice and it holds.
— The strong support is far away and it remains untouched.
Bottom, Bitcoin's price is trading high in relation to all-time history; Bitcoin's technicals are really strong. Bitcoin's fundamentals are also strong.
Bitcoin will continue growing but will it move above $100,000 this week leave a comment what do you think?
It is an experiment so you have to participate.
If this one time, one time only how long have you been reading forever do it now if it is ok, one minute won't do harm it can be great scientific experiment will you participate?
Are you willing yes?
I think Bitcoin can move above 100K but this is not certain nothing is. It is 100% certain that 2025 will be a strong year and the entire Cryptocurrency market will turn green.
So, there is nothing certain? How are you certain that everything will grow?
Leave a comment-thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC | Bitcoin CURRENT CANDLE | NEW ATH or 70kThe previous weekly candle seemed unable to make a higher high after retesting the support at 76K.
However, today's bullish impulse has suddenly shocked right through two resistance zones, with the price now trading just above 90k.
If we can successfully CLOSE the weekly candle above 91K, it's likely that BTC is in for a new ATH which would mean ETH will also reach a new ATH, and then altseason will commence 🥳
Watch the following and make sure you are prepared for ALTSEAON:
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Ghost Town Vibes Explained —Bitcoin & The Altcoins Will GrowIt is a very well-known fact that people only join the market and decide to participate when prices are high and rising. Retail is not interested in bottom prices because there is no excitement.
No people around can be taken as a clear signal that the market is trading at bottom prices. This is good, normal and natural, think about it.
When the market is trading at high prices, All-Time High, you will see a massive amount of people engaging and participating. There is excitement, entertainment and fun and that's what people want.
The market being overbought and trading at high prices, lots of activity and many people ready to buy is a clear signal that the top is in a crash comes next. Remember, most of the people are not here to make money, grow or learn, most of the people engage in "trading" to lose money, and that's why there is no interest when prices are lower. Only smart investors, smart traders and whales tend to be looking at the market when prices are great.
Just watch! Just wait!
30 days from now the Altcoins market will be high up. All the trading pairs will be anywhere between 100% and 300% higher compared to current prices, this will not be the top but only a start. At this point, watch the rush and experience all the action around Cryptocurrency, it is just how it works.
Imagine an amusement park but with no entertainment involved. Nobody will pay to visit this park. When they add the games and the rides, loud music, dance and shows, people will go there to play and have fun.
People don't care about the price, they just want to exchange with others and be part of this world.
Humans like to be in groups, community; when Crypto grows, everybody will join.
The ghost town vibes is the best signal that confirms bottom prices and a bull market about to develop. It is the best signal pointing to a strategy of buy and hold. Focus on the long-term.
Whatever happens, think long-term. You can't go wrong when buying at the bottom. This is your chance.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
$BTC Bull Trap Clear As DayI’m probably the biggest 3-Year perma-bull on this app, and even I can tell this is most likely a bull trap.
This is either the beginning of the long awaited parabola, or else we’ll correct back down to at least the 200DMA in the next week, or the 50DMA within the next month.
Lack of volume on the move and RSI becoming overheated gives me feels for the latter
Remember, never trust a weekend pump 💯
Bookmark this.
Breaking: $BSV Spike 38% Today Amidst Breaking out of A Pennant The price of Bitcoin forked token called Bitcoin SV ticker name ( AMEX:BSV ), saw a notable uptick of about 38% today amidst breaking out of a falling wedge with current market metrics hinting at another leg up.
What Is BSV?
Bitcoin SV (BSV) emerged following a hard fork of the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) blockchain in 2018, which had in turn forked from the BTC blockchain a year earlier following the blocksize wars.
BSV claims to fulfill the original vision of the Bitcoin protocol and design as described in Satoshi Nakamoto’s white paper, early Bitcoin client software and known Satoshi writings. BSV aims to offer scalability and stability in line with the original description of Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system, as well as deliver a distributed data network that can support enterprise-level advanced blockchain applications.
Technical Outlook
Since April high of 2021, that saw the asset deliver a stunning 826% in gains, the asset quickly retraced losing about 94% of market value for over 4 years now. The rise in price today is integral for AMEX:BSV in order to bring back life to the project as the altcoin has been mute lately with no on chain development or ecosystem growth.
However, present market metrics shows we might experience a brief respite before another leg-up as the asset is oversold as hinted by the RSI at 92. Our next support is the $40- $37 zone.
Altcoins, Crypto is different since institutions came inHow long have we been saying this? Yet the masses have not grasped this concept. Neother have influencers. But that makes sense because they need clicks to survive. People tend to "graze" where pasture seems greener, even if it isn't.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH
Altcoins have been in a steady incline since Nov 23.
Daily
The last 2 consolidation phases lasted AROUND 6 months, depending on where you begin the consolidation phase.
Weekly
Not important going further as Crypto landscape has changed & the back data is irrelevant. However, let's be nosey & see how it looks in comparison.
Trump's World Liberty Financial to add SUI to strategic reserve!CRYPTOCAP:SUI , a leading Layer-1 blockchain, has entered into a significant partnership with World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform affiliated with Donald Trump.
This collaboration involves integrating Sui's native token (SUI) into WLFI's "Macro Strategy" reserve, a strategic token fund designed to diversify holdings and support emerging blockchain projects.
The partnership also aims to explore product development opportunities leveraging Sui's technology.
WLFI's Macro Strategy reserve already includes prominent digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and tokenized real-world assets like U.S. Treasury-backed tokens.
The addition of SUI reflects WLFI's focus on supporting innovative blockchain projects while expanding decentralized finance access to a broader audience.
The announcement of this partnership coincides with broader developments in the U.S. crypto landscape.
President Trump is expected to unveil details about a proposed "Crypto Strategic Reserve" during the White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025.
This reserve is anticipated to focus primarily on Bitcoin while also considering other digital assets
Trump-backed World Liberty Financial plans to add SUI to its strategic reserve.
I think the upside for SUI is Huge from here!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #72👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis and the major crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the New York futures session triggers for you.
🔄 Yesterday’s Analysis
In yesterday’s analysis, I gave you a long trigger and said that if the price is supported at the 92007 area and moves toward 94283, you can enter the position after the breakout. This has happened now, and a few hours ago a candle closed above this area. Now we’ll have to see whether the price movement will continue or if it was a fakeout.
⚡️ Nothing else special has happened and for now, only the trigger is active. Personally, since I already had a Bitcoin position open, I opened this one on an altcoin instead, but Bitcoin was a better choice because dominance is rising again, and if you didn’t already have a position on Bitcoin, it would’ve been better to open one there.
Let’s get into the analysis to see how the market looks today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, I placed a Fibonacci Extension over the bullish leg that started after the breakout of the 85550 level, and the 0.236 Fibonacci level overlaps with the 92007 level, where the price was supported.
💥 When the price rises from the 0.236 Fibonacci level, it means the trend strength is very high, and the price can easily start the next bullish leg. As you can see, that’s exactly what happened—the price quickly moved up to 94283 and is now above that level.
📚 So when the trend is this strong, rising from 0.236 and breaking the previous high, the next leg should start. If that doesn’t happen, it means there’s significant weakness in the uptrend. So if the price doesn’t move upward today and falls back below 94283, it would indicate strong trend weakness, and the likelihood of deeper corrections to lower Fibonacci levels like 0.382 or 0.5 will increase.
📈 For longs, as I told you yesterday, you can enter on the breakout of 94283, which is now active, but the price hasn’t started its move yet. So if you haven’t entered on this trigger, you can enter on a pullback to this level.
🔽 For shorts, even though I said a move back below 94283 would indicate significant weakness, always remember that weakness doesn’t mean trend reversal—it’s just a sign.
We confirm the trend reversal with a break of 92007 and the formation of lower lows and highs under this support. This would be the first short trigger and is considered quite risky.
📊 If you look closely, market volume has increased after the breakout. This shows a battle between buyers and sellers, and we need to see which side wins so we can join the winning team.
🧩 Also, pay attention to the RSI oscillator today. If RSI enters Overbought again, there’s potential for another sharp bullish move.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. BTC.D finally tested the 64.12 level and was supported there. Because of this volatility and the V-pattern formed in dominance, most altcoins activated their long triggers. But as dominance started rising again, altcoins fell back below their resistance levels, and if you had opened positions, there was a high chance you hit stop-loss. We can see this more clearly in the Total2 chart.
✔️ For BTC.D to continue rising, confirmation of the V-pattern through a breakout of 64.41 could act as a good trigger, with a move up to at least 64.60. However, the main trigger for the next bullish leg in BTC.D is a breakout above 64.60.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. As I mentioned, most altcoin triggers were activated but didn’t follow through, and some even dropped and returned to their lows. This can be seen in Total2 as well.
✨ The reason for this is that money initially flowed into altcoins, activating their triggers. But simultaneously, Bitcoin’s trigger was also activated, and since BTC dominance rose, not much volume flowed into altcoins. That’s why Total2 is currently ranging around its 1.04 trigger level.
🔍 Regarding Total2, just like Bitcoin, this index was supported at the 0.382 Fibonacci level and activated its trigger at 1.04. A bounce from 0.382 indicates strong bullish trend momentum. (Bitcoin bounced from 0.236, which means BTC has an even stronger uptrend than Total2.)
🎲 So once the 1.04 trigger is activated, considering the strong trend momentum, a strong uptrend should start. If this doesn’t happen in the next few candles, the price will likely fall back below 1.04, and bearish momentum could enter the market.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s look at Tether dominance. As I’ve said in previous analyses, I believe the market is still moving in sync with USDT.D, and now it’s waiting for the 5% level to be broken.
🔑 That’s why Bitcoin and Total2 have both activated their triggers but haven’t started their major moves yet. In this bullish cycle, USDT dominance appears to have more weight than other indicators. I think the entire market is waiting for the 5% level in this index to break so that capital flows into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔼 I recommend that if the 5% level breaks, be sure to have at least one long position open.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price of price was consolidating for quite some time inside a broad upward wedge. The market found consistent support near the buyer zone, forming a solid foundation for future growth. After several rebounds, the bulls pushed BTC higher, and the pair exited the support area with a clean breakout. The movement above the current 86000 support level was accompanied by a strong bullish impulse, confirming the breakout from the wedge and validating the upward momentum. The price respected the structure of the wedge well, reacting to both the resistance and support lines along the way. After the breakout, Bitcoin reached a new high near 94000, where it turned around slightly, indicating the beginning of a local correction. Now BTC is hovering just above the broken wedge, and I believe a short-term decline, likely before continuing further upward. Given the wedge's structure, the bounce from the buyer zone, and the breakout with confirmation, I remain bullish on Bitcoin. My TP1 remains at 97000 points, which corresponds to the next key resistance above the current price range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
btc . w4 . fancy SHORTthe 'OTF - one time frame' Break of the monthly is still due.
There was no chance for LONGS during the week for retail buyers, only late buyers.
We've traded 2 days just under resistance, accumulating:
- late LONGS
- early SHORTS
I'm willing to SHORT now on friday, once the OTF has been hit.
Scalling in from cwHigh upwards
Invalidation would be to keep pumping and then potentialy SFP on monday for downside.
R:R is alright! I like to give myself a 3% invalidation range till SL.
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.