Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin at a Crossroadshello guys!
In the current 1D chart of BTCUSDT, a Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, suggesting potential for significant price movement in the near term. The structure includes a defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, with a descending trendline acting as a critical resistance level.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price respects the descending trendline and fails to break above the neckline (around $109,480) , a bearish reversal is likely. In that case, the target based on the pattern lies near the $93,500–94,000 support zone. This level aligns with a previous consolidation area, making it a strong candidate for a reaction or bounce.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
On the flip side, if the price breaks above the neckline and the descending trendline, invalidating the pattern, a strong bullish continuation could unfold. The potential breakout target would be around $127,000–130,000, in line with the projection from the head of the pattern.
BITCOIN High after High going for the Cycle Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a new All Time High (ATH) today, just north of $123000 and shows absolutely no signs of stopping there!
The brilliantly structured 2.5-year Channel Up (blue) that has been dominating the entirety of the current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 market bottom, has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1W MA50 has been the Cycle's natural Support level since the March 13 2023 bullish break-out, never broken after, just like it has been for the 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle (excluding of course the Black Swan event of the March 2020 COVID crash).
In fact the similarities of the whole 2022 - 2025 Cycle are strong with the 2018 - 2021 Cycle. Similar Bear Cycles of -80% on average, followed by strong Lower Highs break-outs and subsequent consolidations within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, takes us to today with the April 2025 1W MA50 bounce resembling the July 2021 one.
Eventually, that Bullish Leg led to the Cycle's Top a little above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The market seems to be only one step away of completing that past pattern and if it does, BTC may hit $170000 before the Cycle peaks.
Do you think that is a likely scenario after today's new fresh ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Update – Textbook Patterns Playing OutIn last week’s Bitcoin idea, I highlighted a key technical setup: price retested the neckline of a massive inverted Head & Shoulders pattern and launched a strong move upward. Let’s dive into what’s unfolding on the daily chart.
We’re seeing classic Wyckoff consolidation behavior—appearing right before the breakout and again after the neckline retest. Multiple smaller Head & Shoulders patterns have also formed and hit their targets cleanly.
The Volunacci pattern came alive after a precise bounce from the Golden Zone, adding more fuel to the bullish narrative.
Next major level in focus: $120K. Will Bitcoin reach it? Let the market decide.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, Unrivaled in the Market!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. Bitcoin’s current upward momentum has the potential to reach the target of $130,000. If it corrects, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought from the specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
In recent days, Bitcoin has managed to set a new historical high by crossing the $118,000 level; a jump that followed the strong accumulation of institutional capital, the upward trend of spot ETFs and the remarkable consolidation of such indices. This growth is not only the result of technical conditions or short-term market excitement, but is a clear reflection of the structural maturity of the Bitcoin ecosystem in the second half of 2025. A careful and comprehensive examination of the fundamental parameters shows that Bitcoin is moving differently than in the past: slower, but with much stronger support. On the other hand, more than $205 million in Bitcoin short selling positions have been liquidated following the jump in the price of Bitcoin and its crossing the $122,000 level.
First, the flow of investment from Bitcoin spot ETFs has broken records over the past week. In one day, more than $1.18 billion entered these funds, and the total annual inflow of these financial instruments has reached more than $51 billion. This is while ETFs such as IBIT (managed by BlackRock) and FBTC (managed by Fidelity) are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins daily, without causing any negative divergence in price indices. This phenomenon clearly shows that the participation of institutional investors through regulated channels is not only stable, but also accelerating. Along with this flow of capital, the parameters of the chain also paint a picture of a market with a balance of supply and demand. The MVRV ratio, an indicator for measuring market profitability, fluctuates between 2.2 and 2.34, meaning that the market is in a reasonably profitable state, but is still some way from the warning zone of profit saturation. Meanwhile, long-term holders (LTHs) are also continuing to accumulate. Long-term wallet holdings have reached a record high of 14.7 million BTC, representing nearly 70% of the total supply. In the last quarter alone, more than 13,000 BTC have been added to this group’s reserves.
On the other hand, the SOPR indicator, which measures realized profit ratio, shows that profit-taking is taking place at a gentle slope in the market, away from heavy selling pressure. This logical trend of profit-taking is a testament to mature investor behavior. Bitcoin flows to exchanges are also at very low levels; Bitcoin held on exchanges now account for just 1.25% of the total supply—the lowest level in over a decade. This significant reduction in potential selling pressure has kept Bitcoin’s price stable in the face of short-term volatility.
Behaviorally, the market is also showing signs of maturation. The number of daily active addresses has remained stable, but unlike during the buying frenzy, we are no longer seeing retail traders rushing into exchanges or mass wallet outflows. In other words, on-chain activity has stabilized, similar to the behavior of traditional mature markets—markets driven by data and structure, not emotion. From a macro perspective, the outlook for Bitcoin in the medium term is also positive. Many analysts and institutions, including Global X ETFs, see Bitcoin’s growth to $200,000 within the next 12 months as achievable. Technical analysis from some sources has also outlined the $140,000 range as the next price target in the next 100 days, provided that the VIX volatility index remains low and macroeconomic data maintains its current trajectory. However, a more conservative scenario sees a price consolidation in the $95,000-$100,000 range if geopolitical pressures increase or ETF inflows weaken.
Overall, Bitcoin is moving ahead in the summer of 2025 not only on the back of crypto market excitement, but also on the back of strong fundamentals and structured institutional capital inflows. Accumulation by long-term holders, a steady decline in supply on exchanges, a reasonable profit-taking balance, and a formal investment structure via ETFs have all combined to bring the market to a stable state and ready for further increases. If this trend holds, levels of $125,000-$140,000 in the short term, and a range of $180,000-$200,000 by the end of the year, are not far off!
On the other hand, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) managed to record the fastest growth in history among all ETFs, surpassing $80 billion in assets in just 374 days! For comparison, it should be noted that the S&P500 Index ETF needed about 5 times this time! BlackRock now holds about 706,000 Bitcoins (equivalent to 56% of the total ETF share).
Deep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play UnfoldsDeep Dive Part III – The Next BIG Whale Play Unfolds
📍In Parts I & II of this Deep Dive, we broke down the psychology of whale behavior — from “Buy the Rumors, Sell the News” to the critical breakout zones that echoed historical patterns.
🐋 Back then, we spotted the whales' playbook early. The strategy was simple:
Buy the Rumors – Sell the News.
🧠 But now, the script has changed.
“The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 💰🏄♂️💼”
Let’s break this moment down into what’s really unfolding.
We are officially entering the next stage of the cycle — not just in price, but in psychology.
This is no longer just about charts.
This is about human behavior on autopilot.
Here’s what I see happening right now — broken into three truths:
1️⃣ People Are On Holiday 🌞
From my community to the broader market, the energy is low.
People are either sunbathing on a beach or mentally checked out.
The focus is not there. The reflex to take action is dulled.
📉 The trap is where you’re most bored… 🌴📵
💰 Their exit — on your liquidity — comes when you’re least ready. 🏄♂️💼🚀
We’re seeing it unfold now:
1. Set the Bear Trap
2. Trigger the FOMO (will be down the road, yes)
3. Exit on Liquidity (the closing act of the play)
🕶️ But when everyone is away or asleep, that’s when the trap is laid.
It’s during these quiet, lazy days that the big moves get built.
2️⃣ This is a Disbelief Rally 🎢
The market trained everyone with a rhythm:
pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump, pump ➝ dump…
So what happens now?
People don’t trust the breakout. They’re frozen.
“We’ll dump again,” they say.
Except… what if this time, we don’t?
That disbelief becomes fuel.
It becomes hesitation — and hesitation becomes missed opportunity.
3️⃣ Bears Are Shorting Into Strength 🧨
This is key. While retail is confused, the bears are pressing in hard.
Their shorts are adding fuel to the pump they don’t see coming.
That’s why I posted recently:
“Shorting isn’t the problem. Being a psycho bear is.”
It’s not about being bullish or bearish —
It’s about timing , discipline , and narrative awareness .
Whales love this moment.
They lure in shorts, set the trap, then ignite the breakout straight into FOMO.
🧠 The Game:
Set the Trap → Trigger the FOMO → Exit on Liquidity 💥
This is what you’re seeing on the chart.
Not just price action — psychological choreography.
🕰️ In 2020–2021, we saw the exact same structure.
Part I warned about early accumulation and baiting behavior.
Part II showed how whales manipulated expectations with layered waves of doubt.
Now in Part III — the explosion few are ready for.
Zoom into the chart and it’s all there:
The curve, the trap, the trigger… and yes — the Final Boss.
🎯 The Final Boss: 6.51T
That’s the ultimate liquidity zone.
If this cycle plays out, we’re headed toward it.
“Sell the Rate Cuts” will be the new “Sell the News.”
It’s not the headlines that matter — it’s who’s left holding the bag.
🔚 Final Thought
The real exit — the one that traps most of retail — will come not when you’re euphoric,
but when you’re still saying:
“Surely we must dump now…”
So stay sharp.
Trade the chart — but don’t forget to read the behavior.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Part1:
Part2:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/VgMBPsp3/
The Bear Trap:
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Skyrockets as Everyone Now Wants a Piece. What Happened?If you took a few days off last week and went to get coffee this morning, you likely missed Bitcoin torching its all-time high and soaring into the uncharted.
The world’s most popular digital asset took off in an unstoppable rocket ride, smashing records so fast that even the always-wired-in day traders couldn’t keep up.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blasted through $122,000 Monday morning after gobbling up sell walls at $120,000 and $121,000 in less than one hour. That’s not a typo.
That’s an actual snapshot of what happens when you mix onchain whale movements, fresh institutional FOMO, and traders rediscovering their appetite for risk. Billions upon billions swirled up and Bitcoin passed $2.3 trillion in market cap (ref: our Crypto Heatmap ).
🙌 Bow Down Before the King
Bitcoin has officially reminded every altcoin who wears the crown when markets go haywire. While some tiny tokens get to pump 100% on hype alone, Bitcoin does it with the weight of its market cap behind it — which now surpasses the GDP of entire countries.
Its dominance share has climbed back above 64%, a level we haven’t seen since the last time crypto Twitter argued whether “flippening” would happen by next Thursday (spoiler: it didn’t, and we mean 2021). And right now, all eyes are pinned on that round, meme-ready milestone: $125,000 or even $150,000.
Why these levels? Because traders love round numbers. They’re clean, symbolic, and if that next ceiling shatters, the chain reaction of liquidated shorts and new leveraged longs can turn an orderly bull run into pure market mayhem.
📈 Institutional Hoarding: The Secret Fuel
If you think this is just retail traders YOLO’ing in from their parents’ basement, think again. Onchain data showed earlier this month that this moon mission was being quietly underwritten by the big boys — institutional funds, overflowing Bitcoin ETFs , and corporate treasuries that once scoffed at Bitcoin as “magic internet money.”
Does this mean Bitcoin is becoming boring? Not quite. It means the foundation for this rally is sturdier than the TikTok-fueled moonshots of yesteryear. Think steady inflows, regulated vehicles, and balance sheets that no longer flinch when they see “digital assets” on a line item.
👀 So, Why Now?
Bitcoin doesn’t need much of a reason to get volatile — you know that. But a few more stars than usual aligned to give this surge its lift-off moment.
First, the macro backdrop: US inflation is at 2.4% (next ECONOMICS:USCPI report coming Wednesday, pay attention to the Economic Calendar ), which makes a Fed rate cut more likely later this year.
Lower rates mean cheaper dollars, weaker bond yields, and renewed appetite for risk assets. Oh, and don’t forget about gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the OG “no yield, no problem” hedge.
Second, corporate treasuries are all-in on Bitcoin again. If Michael Saylor’s Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy — we all know what business they’re really in) keeps adding coins and onboarding new public companies like GameStop NYSE:GME , you know the institutions smell long-term value. Add Trump’s full-throated crypto endorsement and you’ve got a narrative tailwind no trader wants to miss.
🥂 Record Highs Everywhere — COINcidence?
Now let’s go back to those aligning stars. Bitcoin’s fresh all-time high didn’t happen in a vacuum. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the world’s most expensive company — all clocked record closing highs last week.
So, is this a “rising tide lifts all boats” moment? Or are we partying on borrowed time? Equities are riding a wave of hope that the Fed will start easing soon, and any whiff of a rate cut is pure oxygen for risk assets.
But seasoned traders know that record highs can sometimes be the most dangerous places to FOMO in. Ask anyone who went all-in on dot-com stocks in 1999.
🏹 Eyes on the Big 120K — Will It Hold the Line?
Short-term, the $120,000 milestone is the line in the sand everyone’s watching. Break it decisively, see if it holds above it for a week or so, and the floodgates of speculative capital might open for another leg higher. Stall out below it? You could see a healthy round of profit-taking and some bruised egos during quiet dinners.
Macro factors will loom large: the Fed’s policy meeting, surprise tariff talks from the White House, or an unexpected bout of inflation could swing sentiment overnight. But for now, the mood is simple: bullish, frothy, and more than a little bit greedy.
💭 Final Take: From Moonshots to Maturity?
The shift from whales to suits means fewer wild swings but steadier institutional demand. The days of “Lambo tomorrow” might be giving way to “slow grind higher for the next 5 years.” For the retirement portfolio, that’s not the worst outcome.
For the traders who crave the adrenaline, there’s still plenty of room to catch the waves — just don’t expect them to come as easily or as frequently as they did in the wild west days.
📢 Your Turn: Moon or Swoon?
Over to you: is Bitcoin ready to break out above $125,000 and send shorts scrambling for cover? Or is this just another overbought stall before a healthy pullback?
Either way, grab your popcorn — and your stop-loss — because if there’s one thing crypto never does, it’s sit still for long. Drop your hot take below — and may your diamond hands be stronger than your coffee.
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading.
The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality.
This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance.
📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution
Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms.
Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction.
Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making.
🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth
Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics.
High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors.
Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time.
Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards.
🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA)
Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B)
Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain.
Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance.
Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems.
🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks
Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation.
Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure.
Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance.
💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity
Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030.
Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.).
AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems.
Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience.
🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management
Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030.
AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance.
Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence.
Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes.
🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion
Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets.
Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services.
Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation.
🚀 Conclusion
By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth.
Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration.
The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
127KMorning folks,
So, BTC shows even better performance that we thought, although it obviously something stands behind, this is not market-natural motion. Anyway, we consider 127K level as all-time nearest target that stands on monthly chart.
If any pullback starts (BTC now is at daily overbought and near Yearly Resistance Pivot), we keep an eye on 117.2K and 113.5K levels to decide on long entry
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe:
📆 Date:
🔎 Market Overview:
💼 Massive Institutional Inflows:
▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far.
▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization.
⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support:
▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.
▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption.
📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators
📦 Exchange Reserves:
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure.
🧠 Fear & Greed Index:
The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors.
🌀 Whale Activity:
Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend.
📈 Technical Setup
🔵Trend: Ranging upward
🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000
🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000
🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70
🧭 Next Week – Key Points
🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction.
🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen.
🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors.
🔚 Summary: Final Analysis
📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth.
● Key Level Ahead: $125,000
● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond.
● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward.
✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
Just Two Months Left: Navigating Bitcoin and Global ChangesGreetings to everyone reading these lines! Today, I want to share with you not just an analysis, but my personal reflections and feelings about the current situation in the financial and cryptocurrency markets, especially regarding Bitcoin.
Many of you already know that I have always been a firm believer in Bitcoin’s market cycles. Right now, we are approaching the final stage of another such cycle-the distribution phase. The past few months have seen considerable turmoil: Trump's election, escalating conflicts between India and Pakistan, Israel and Iran, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and not to mention China’s increasingly assertive geopolitical moves. I can't shake the feeling that the world stands on the threshold of something significant, perhaps serious. I sincerely hope I'm mistaken, but signs of a global conflict or a substantial reset in the world order are undeniably in the air.
History shows us that after major upheavals and wars, the world undergoes profound changes. It seems we are nearing such a pivotal moment within the next couple of months. For a long time, I've highlighted September 2025 as a critical point in the current market cycle, and now everything confirms this scenario.
In these unstable times, participants in the financial markets face both risks and tremendous opportunities. The distinguishing factor today is the rapid integration of artificial intelligence into all areas of life. I firmly believe that if you don't begin incorporating AI into your activities now, you risk being left behind. Personally, I'm actively integrating artificial intelligence into my professional processes and everyday life, as I see it as inevitable in our near future.
Regarding the cryptocurrency market, I'll be frank: the past couple of years have significantly changed it and even somewhat disappointed me. Liquidity has become diluted, and the market has clearly become seasonal, with brief periods of explosive growth followed by long downturns. This has led me to return to trading Forex and gold, where the market is more transparent and predictable.
Many crypto projects that seemed promising in 2017 are now nearly forgotten and stagnating. Think of Dash, EOS, Litecoin, ZCash, and others-they haven't disappeared entirely, but they no longer play significant roles in the market. The battle for user attention has become overly aggressive, and competition has devolved into chasing short-lived hype. Nevertheless, there are exceptions, such as Solana—a project that achieved success thanks to a fortunate combination of factors. Yet such projects remain exceedingly rare.
Today, I see the most promising and powerful trend as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). It doesn’t matter so much which blockchain will be used-the concept itself has already proven effective. While this journey won't be easy, the involvement of giants like BlackRock indicates the trend is sustainable and promising in the long run.
Overall, I am confident that financial markets and digital currencies will continue to evolve and grow. However, in about two months, I plan to adopt a bearish stance. Unfortunately, there are few signs of a quick global economic recovery. The world needs significant restructuring and changes-new rules and agreements are inevitable, and the coming year promises many notable events.
Ask yourself: Are you ready for these changes? Are you prepared to adapt to new conditions, technologies, and realities? Personally, I'm fully ready, which is why I remain active in the market, continuing to share my thoughts, assist, and engage with each of you. If you have questions, ideas, or proposals for collaboration, I am always open to dialogue and eager for any interaction.
I sincerely thank each of you for your support, comments, and attention to my posts. I stay here because I believe in the enormous opportunities available even in the most uncertain times. We have an exciting journey ahead, and I invite you to travel it together with me.
Wishing you success, profits, and above all, peace and kindness on our planet. The time of change is already here. Let’s meet it together.
Warm regards,
Your EXCAVO.
BTC - Topping outWow.. and look at those beautiful harmonic pattern fits! My eyeballs are so pleased with my work! Hehe!
These aggressive monsters like to propagate and fractal…
I met with another wizard of the charts yesterday… forecasted BTC to $5,000 !!! Holy crap!
Are you getting FEARFUL yet? Or still feeling GREEDY?
This is gonna be fun!
Check my linked idea for more insights.
Bitcoin - Liquidity sweep before the next move!Weekend Consolidation
During weekends, Bitcoin often moves sideways as institutional players step back and retail traders prepare for the next move. During this consolidation phase between $117.000 and $119.000, liquidity builds up on both sides—sell-side liquidity below the range and buy-side liquidity above it. After these weekend consolidations, Bitcoin typically sweeps one side of liquidity before continuing in the opposite direction.
Manipulation Above the Buy-Side Liquidity
A significant amount of liquidity has formed just above the all-time high, right below the $120,000 level. Retail traders are positioning for a potential downward move, making this area a prime target for a liquidity sweep. This aligns perfectly with the psychological barrier of $120,000, a level where many traders are likely to take profits.
Manipulation Below the Sell-Side Liquidity
Over the weekend, traders are entering both long and short positions while placing stop-loss orders just below recent lows. This behavior creates a buildup of liquidity underneath the range. Bitcoin could dip below these lows to stop out retail traders before reversing to higher levels.
4-Hour Unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG)
If Bitcoin sweeps the all-time high and enters a distribution phase, there’s a strong chance it will retrace to fill the unfilled Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart at $113.000 - $111.000. This imbalance was created during a sharp move up, leaving behind unfilled orders. Such levels often get revisited as price action seeks to rebalance.
How to Execute This Trade
Wait for Bitcoin to sweep either the low or the high of the weekend range. Avoid entering the market immediately after the sweep. Instead, wait for confirmation that price is returning back inside the range, signaling a clean sweep. On lower timeframes, such as the 5-minute chart, you can look for entry models like an inverse Fair Value Gap to refine your entry.
Final Thoughts
At this point, it’s unclear which direction Bitcoin will take next. The best approach is to wait for a clear liquidity sweep and signs of a reversal before entering any trades. That said, there’s a possibility we may first move up to test and claim the $120,000 psychological level before revisiting and filling the lower 4-hour imbalance zones.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Ascending Inverse H&S on the BTC weekly chartThe longer it takes to break above this neckline the higher the breakout target will be. I have arbitrarily placed the measured move line at July 18th 2025. If the breakout were to happen on that day the measured move target is around 208k, which could take quite awhile to reach or if we entered a truly hyperparabolic blow off top we could reach such a target way quicker than when the dotted measured move line reaches it. *not financial advice*
Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead?🤔📊 Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead? 🚀📈
Hey everyone! It’s Saturday, July 12th , and while the markets take a breather, it’s the perfect moment to zoom out and assess the bigger picture . Are we in for another retail weekend surge?
Let’s break it down 🔍👇
After closely analyzing the charts, one thing becomes clear — this breakout is structurally similar to the previous key breakouts at $29K and $48K. In both historical cases, price surged significantly without immediately retesting the breakout level.
➡️ Back in 2020, price exploded +144% above the yellow level before ever coming back to test it.
➡️ At $48K, a similar move of +49% occurred before signs of exhaustion and a retest emerged.
Fast forward to today: We've just broken above a massive ascending support zone — $114,921–$115K — and the market shows no intention of pulling back yet. This tells us something powerful: Momentum is in control.
💡 According to my technical roadmap, we may not see a retest of $115K anytime soon. Instead, the next target zone lies around $182K–$189K, depending on velocity and sentiment. With halving-to-ATH cycles historically lasting ~550 days, we’re well within that bullish window.
Remember the channel support/last entry right after the Iran-Israel ceasefire on June 23rd? That’s been a defining entry and it’s still playing out beautifully. So we wish for geopolitical stability and peace.
So, while it’s easy to feel left out — don’t short, don’t sulk. This may be our moment to ride the wave long. 🎯📉📈
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin Crash? No! The Bullish Wave Starts Now! $155,601 Next!Some people are still expecting for "Bitcoin to go down." Poor bastards, the advance is just starting. Bitcoin just broke out of a 210 days long consolidation phase. After this huge, long-term consolidation, expect a major advance. Next target is now set at $155,601.
This week is the first week green after the consolidation finally ends. The market was sideways for seven months, with some fluctuations, and the result is a bullish breakout. Why a breakdown? Why expect a drop? If the market just broke up—think about it—why would it go down?
If resistance is confirmed; you remember the range between $100,000 and $110,000. If resistance is confirmed then Bitcoin would start crashing down from $110,000. If the break of $110,000 does happen and Bitcoin moves to $112,000 as a bull-trap, then you would expect a major crash happening from $112,000 and no more. But, reality is saying, showing, something much different. We have a major advance. Resistance has been flipped into support.
Now, the first that is needed is the weekly close. It is still very early into this move but Bitcoin is showing maximum strength. Remember the altcoins? These confirm that the advance is just new, early, because these are recovering from all-time lows or major lows. There is still plenty of room for growth.
My people, wake up! Bitcoin is going up.
The next target is $155,601 and it can go higher, this is only the mid-term target based on the long-term. When Bitcoin consolidates for 7 months, it tends to grow some 137% on average, it can be less but it can also be much more. And it tends to grow at least for 1-2 months, but this also is just the average, Bitcoin can grow straight up for 4 months.
So, are you still bearish?
Oh please no! The bulls already won.
The 2025 bull market final phase starts now, soon you will experience a marketwide bull-run. We have not seen the euphoria phase, this is only the start. Prepare for additional growth.
I am calling out all of the bears, never bet down on Bitcoin; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.