TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #102👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, yesterday we saw a bullish move that pushed the price up to and beyond the 109229 level.
🔍 In the previous analysis, I mentioned that if the price finds support before reaching 106192 and breaks above 109229, we could draw a support zone between the recent low and 106192. That’s exactly what happened — I’ve now marked the support range between 106192 and 107010.
💥 This is a critical support area, and if price revisits it later, it could act as a strong support. For now, the price is moving upward, and after breaking 109229, the next resistance is at 111747.
✔️ If you didn’t open a long position on yesterday’s trigger, you’ll need to wait for the break of 111747. If you already have an open position, you can hold it for now, as Bitcoin’s long-term trend is bullish and the move may continue.
📊 If buying volume increases and RSI breaks above 70 and enters the Overbought zone, bullish momentum will strengthen significantly, and the chances of breaking 111747 will increase.
📉 As for short positions or trend reversal — it's better not to consider them yet, as long as the price remains above the support zone. The uptrend is strong and offers better setups.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is still oscillating below the 64.32 level and hasn’t broken it yet. A local low has formed around 64.18.
🔔 A break above 64.32 would confirm the start of the next bullish leg in dominance. Conversely, breaking 64.18 could lead to a deeper correction toward 63.97 or even 63.50.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the descending trendline I highlighted was broken, and price moved up to 1.22.
✨ Breaking 1.22 would confirm the start of a larger bullish leg toward 1.26. If Total2 declines instead, we could enter on a break below 1.118.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday, Tether dominance was rejected from the 4.62 resistance and also broke through 4.51.
🎲 If price moves toward 4.38 again, the probability of breaking this level will rise significantly — especially since a lower high has formed at 4.72, indicating that bearish momentum could be entering the market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
26/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $111,965.73
Last weeks low: $101,994.78
Midpoint: $106,980.26
New BTC ATHs! Well done to those who capitalized on the move and continue to believe in this Bitcoin.
For the last two weekly outlooks I have talked about the pattern of consolidation for 1 week --> expansion the next. Last week We got our expansion week right on queue and this time around BTC made a new ATH hitting just shy of $112,000.
Should the pattern continue this week will be a week of consolidation/chop, however this week is different now that we're at ATH levels. My gut says a pullback is coming after such an aggressive move up with almost no pullbacks at all.
Should BTCs price drop below the Midpoint I think there will be a big struggle to continue this rally in the short term. Initially target would be weekly low and main HTF target would be $97,000 IMO. That would be a healthy pullback to continue the rally.
For the bulls you don't want momentum to stop in the short term, flipping $110,450 and weekly high would put BTC back into price discovery, once any asset is in price discovery it's very difficult to tell where the sell pressure will come from and so shorting becomes very risky.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it.
In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways.
Buy Zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume area)
$103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption)
~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 (support level)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800 (support level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB);
• Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting;
• Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May;
• Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Daily BTC OverviewThe daily chart in its simplest form can be broken down into this range. Since President Trumps inauguration, BTC has declined from a range high of $108,000 back to the lows of $74,500 closing the FVG caused by the US election rally. After a double bottom Bitcoin mean reverted back to the range midpoint which to me is the most important area on the entire chart because it decides if the bull run can continue or if it dies.
I like to keep a close eye on the 200 EMA on multiple timeframes but the 1D is important to gauge the momentum of the move. As the US election results came in a massive push away from this moving average causes the level to steepen in its climb showing strength. Since BTC spent quite some time in the top half of the range the 1D 200 EMA flattens out signaling a loss of momentum, once this level does become flat it no longer provides support. For a bullish cycle to be just that ideally the corrective moves do not spend too much time below this level before expanding above and beyond it once again starting the next leg of the move. A persistent move down below causes a rollover and the cycle looks to be over with a bear market beginning.
Bullish scenario - The correction is over and BTC consistently posts HH's & HLs bringing the 1D 200 EMA up with price and continues the previous bullish trend. I would want to see the retest of the midpoint be successful and then move to reclaim the next local high before targeting range high. The bull market correction looks to be over and bullish continuation resumes.
Bearish scenario - This move is nothing more than a LH, BTC wicks the supply above midpoint, swing fails back under and continues to make LH's & LL's back down to range low where the 1D 200EMA will have now rolled over providing more of a resistance level. The bear market looks to have begun.
I am not here to make a call on where BTC is going next as I do not have that answer, but I do have to plan for each eventuality and that is what I have done here from a TA pint of view. Now it is entirely possible that Geo-political news or an exchange hack etc throws TA out of the window and I have to rethink the plan but in a strictly chart structure perspective this is how I see it.
The indicator "TRADING ENVIRONMENT+V1.0" used in the Idea post is now publicly available for use, give it a try and leave your thoughts and suggestions on the post, thank you.
BITCOIN $119k coming shortlyBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a 6-week Channel Up and Friday's tariff threats led pull-back was its latest Bearish Leg. That pull-back hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday and rebounded. As long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) which is directly below the Channel Up holds, the current rebound is technically the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
All 4 previous Bullish Legs have ended on fairly similar % rises but the weakest has been +11.41%. With the 4H MACD just now completing a Bullish Cross (which has always been a strong buy signal), a repeat of the +11.41% minimum, gives us an immediate $119000 Target.
Do you think that's coming shortly before the beginning of June? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC finds support around ATHsBitcoin is potentially finding support around $107k after making new ATHs last week around $112k.
Assuming these levels as S and R, a strong break could signal the direction of price in the coming days.
If local support is lost, we can expect price to at least test $104.9k.
Assuming the bullish momentum continues, breaking resistance would signal higher prices. Still in tact, a continued bull flag breakout from $104.9k (20 May) could still put BTC at around $115k.
BTC (Y25. P2.E3).AB=CD scenarioHi traders,
In the past, ATH's have made consistent pullbacks soon after with 14%.
This time round I do expect the same, to shake out before we do new highs.
Macro wise, I still have the Cup and Handle targets.
Short term, this aligns well with my support levels.
For now, the VAL or neckline is likely to be resistance.
We had a obvious descending wedge breakout, its hit its target. and now we should range, consolidate here before price makes a decision.
For more updates, come to our forum.
All the best,
S.SAri
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. Maintaining the drawn trend line will lead to its reaching $120,000.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Over the past 200 days, since Trump’s electoral victory, investment funds (ETFs) and major corporations have collectively purchased and withdrawn approximately 607,000 bitcoins from the market.
▪️ Around 200,000 bitcoins were acquired by ETFs.
▪️ MicroStrategy alone accumulated nearly 300,000 bitcoins.
▪️ The remaining 100,000 bitcoins were bought by other companies.
This substantial level of acquisition has removed a significant portion of bitcoin from circulation, creating what is known as a “supply shock”—a situation where the reduced availability of bitcoin could drive prices higher due to scarcity.
On February 6, 2025, Eric Trump declared that it was an opportune time to invest in bitcoin. Shortly after this statement, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 25%. However, the market soon shifted momentum, and bitcoin entered a strong upward trend. On May 22, Trump tweeted again, stating: “Hope you listened… This is just the beginning!”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, set to take place on May 28 in Las Vegas.Earlier in March, President Trump signed an executive order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve,” solidifying the government’s new, supportive stance toward cryptocurrencies.
The Vice President’s upcoming participation in this event underscores the seriousness of the administration’s digital asset policy and reinforces the likelihood that digital assets will gain a more formal and structured role within the U.S. financial and strategic reserve systems.
Jurrien Timmer, Chief Economist at Fidelity, believes that bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark signals its growing alignment with gold as a store-of-value asset. He suggests a 4-to-1 ratio of gold to bitcoin in a value-preservation investment portfolio.
Although bitcoin had a sluggish start in 2025, capital inflows into bitcoin ETFs have resumed—especially as macroeconomic conditions have begun to improve. While gold has posted gains of around 30% so far this year, bitcoin hasn’t matched that performance yet. Nonetheless, analysts continue to project significantly higher price targets for bitcoin within this same year.
Meanwhile, the crypto exchange Kraken announced that it will soon launch tokenized stock offerings for Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tokenized stocks will be available for trading by users outside of the United States.
Importantly, these assets will be tradable 24/7—much like cryptocurrencies—which marks a major departure from the traditional trading hours of Wall Street. Kraken confirmed that the feature will roll out in the coming weeks, initially targeting regions such as Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that you should avoid looking for sell/short positions, as Bitcoin's price pattern was designed to trap short positions. The price followed the direction of the previous yellow arrow as anticipated.
Currently, the major resistance zone for Bitcoin on the chart is the red area. In this zone, a complete bullish pattern could potentially form | or at the very least, one leg of a bullish pattern may be completed.
Let’s see how it plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is It Time to Enter, or time to escape?One green candle is all it takes to trigger thousands of minds into thinking
Should I jump in now?
But is this truly a good entry point, or are you just afraid of missing the move?
Let’s break down how psychology tricks us into bad trades—and how to fight back with real chart data.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
📈 Bitcoin is currently respecting a well-structured ascending channel, with price action aligning closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a major daily support zone—both acting as strong technical confluence. Given the strength of this setup, a potential short-term move of at least +6% seems likely, while the broader structure remains supportive of an extended bullish scenario toward the $116K target. 🚀
Now, let's dive into the educational section ,
📉 Why Do We Buy More When Markets Are High?
It’s a simple question—but the answer runs deep into our psychology. When a crypto pumps, and we’re not in it, our brain doesn’t analyze—it rationalizes:
"If I don’t buy now, I’ll miss out."
But most people who think like this enter at the top—and exit with regret .
🧠 The Psychology of FOMO and Poor Timing
In every rally, a large chunk of entries are triggered by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
But buying high means you're buying from those who bought lower.
And here's the trick: your brain loves the green candles—but ignores volume drops, RSI spikes, or exhaustion signals.
🛠 TradingView Tools to Spot Smart Entry Points
When it comes to entering a position, emotions are your worst advisor. Fortunately, TradingView offers powerful tools to help you act based on evidence, not instinct. Here’s how to use them:
🔹 Trend-Based Fib Extension: One of the best tools to estimate how much room a move still has. Plot it on the previous wave to identify realistic targets.
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index): When RSI is over 70 or under 30, you’re in emotional territory. Be careful—buying during peak RSI often means you're entering late.
🔹 MACD: Look for crossovers between lines and histogram patterns. Use it as confirmation—not a solo trigger—for entries.
🔹 Volume Profile: This hidden gem on TradingView shows you where most trading volume has occurred. Buying at volume-supported levels is way safer.
🔹 Alerts & Watchlists: Don’t glue yourself to the chart. Set alerts for your conditions and build smart watchlists to stay updated.
🔹 Replay Mode: Want to master entries without risking real capital? Use Replay Mode to test strategies and train your eyes.
If you want to replace "guessing" with "planning," these tools should be your daily companions.
🔍 5-Point Checklist Before You Hit "Buy"
Ask yourself these five questions before entering a trade:
Is the broader trend actually bullish—or is this just a short-lived bounce?
What does RSI or other indicators say about overbuying?
Are there major support/resistance zones nearby?
Is the volume confirming the move—or fading out?
Do you have a target and stop in place—or just a “need to be in”?
📊 No Plan Entry = Planned Loss
If you jump in without a clear plan, your only focus becomes: “Am I in profit yet?”
Not “Is my strategy playing out?”
And that’s the trap.
A solid entry means you have a signal, a plan, and controlled risk.
🧲 How to Avoid Getting Pulled Into Fake Rallies
Always check higher timeframes for confirmation
Don’t enter without volume agreement
Plan entries after pullbacks, not mid-hype
Think in probabilities, not dreams
🧭 Final Takeaway & Recommendation
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
i should write this thousand of time ☝️
But rushing in only guarantees missed ones.
Use your tools and stay calm.
The trader who plans always beats the one who panics.
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BTCUSDT – Reaccumulation Breakout or Bearish S/R Flip?Timeframes: 1W • 1D • 4H
Structure: Wyckoff Reaccumulation nearing Phase E — but ATH is acting as resistance
🔹 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Macro Structure Points to Markup
Last weekly candle closed above the reaccumulation Buying Climax (BC), showing bullish intent
Weekly upper Bollinger Band is rising toward 113k
RSI at 67, strong but not overbought
Structure suggests we’re entering Wyckoff Phase E
Weekly Targets:
🟢 TP1: 113,049 (Upper BB)
🟢 TP2: 116,199 (measured move)
🟢 TP3: 118,237 (Fib 0.66 extension)
🔹 DAILY OUTLOOK: Still Holding Above Reaccumulation Range
Multiple daily closes above the BU (backup) zone, but all below 110k ATH
RSI is strong (~66), and price is tracking near the upper BB, but volume is not convincing
Until a daily close above 110,000, breakout remains unconfirmed
🔹 4H OUTLOOK: Structure Valid, Momentum Rising
BU zone held; price made two lower lows followed by a higher high
RSI has reclaimed 57+, and volume is picking up modestly
4H structure looks like an early Phase E breakout attempt, but...
⚠️ Caution: Is This a Bearish S/R Flip?
While the broader Wyckoff structure suggests a transition into markup, we must also consider the bearish scenario:
BTC may be failing a support/resistance flip at 110k
All timeframes have rejected at or below 110k, despite multiple attempts
If we see a lower high under 109k + 1D close below 105,863 with red volume and RSI < 45 → this becomes a confirmed bull trap
📊 TL;DR:
BTC is structurally bullish — but we are at the final test zone.
🔓 Breakout confirmed: Daily close above 110k
🔒 Failure confirmed: Close below 105,863 + red volume + RSI breakdown
Stay nimble. This is either the last shakeout before markup… or the top of the range before reversal.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Reaccumulation #Breakout #SupportResistance
Next Step $155,600, Bitcoin Closes 7th Week Green +AltcoinsThe next target and major All-Time High has been confirmed as $155,601.73 for Bitcoin and this isn't likely to be the end of the bull market. This target is now confirmed after Bitcoin wicked lower on the weekly timeframe to test support but ended up closing green, the 7th consecutive week Bitcoin closes green.
This is a major, major bullish signal. It means one thing only, the demand for Bitcoin is just too strong. So strong, that nobody is willing to sell, at least not for longer than a few hours or a few days.
Sold at 100K? Good! Buy back in but higher.
Sold at 105K? Bad! Bitcoin continues rising.
Bought below $80,000? Congratulations, you are a genius and you are holding a great position, you have months and months of bullish action yet ahead of you.
Bought below $90,000? You are still good, you are wise, you are great. You have to congratulate yourself and know that all the gains you receive you deserve. You bought when the time was right, you bought regardless of what the others said.
Bought at $95,000 or lower? There was higher risk because resistance was strong right in front, 100K-110K, and yet, you took action, now you will be rewarded for being brave. The market will bless you with tons of profits and continued success.
Missed the Bitcoin bus? There is absolutely no need to worry, at all, because the Altcoins market is still trading near its bottom and is soon to grow; What one does, the rest follows.
The Altcoins market will follow Bitcoin. The Altcoins will move to strong highs, new heights and new All-Time Highs.
It is not too late... Crypto (Bitcoin & The Altcoins) is going up!
Namaste.
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
Bitcoin H1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,479.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 110,363.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Volatility Period: Up to May 29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
-
If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
-
The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price reached the top of the wedge and broke out with a price increase. Now that Bitcoin's price is above the wedge, it can be said that with a slight price correction, it could follow the pattern and make a measured move where AB = CD.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin: Too Early To Buy The Retrace.Bitcoin may be entering a brief corrective formation within the broader bullish trend. The large red candle that rejected the 113K resistance (see my previous article), could be the beginning of a retrace that can take price as low as the 102,500 to 100K area IF bearish momentum persists. The mistake to avoid is buying this pullback too early, especially since there is no bullish confirmation on this time frame.
The red candle off the 113K area is what I like to refer to as the "mother bar". As you will notice, the following candle is a bearish pin bar which failed to break back above the 50% point of the mother bar (see blue arrow). This is a "mini" lower high and is typically a bearish sign for those operating on smaller time frames. A break below 106,500 would confirm a sell signal on this time frame as well as smaller time frames like 4H and 1H. This can be attractive for aggressive shorts, BUT it is very important to keep the broader trend in perspective.
This bearish development does NOT constitute a change in the broader trend. This means support levels are still more likely to hold, and resistances more likely to break. The higher probability scenarios in my opinion are bullish reversal patterns between the 102,500 - 100K area. Double bottoms, failed lows etc. on 1H, 4H or this time frame would be ideal for swing trade longs (see illustration). IF the bullish trend is going to stay intact, then a higher high is within reason which can see price test 113K or higher (120K is my next resistance).
Another VERY important consideration is the overall location of price. Currently in a Wave 5 (v) configuration which signifies limited potential in the near future. In other words, RISK is elevated and only continues to increase as price climbs higher. As "optimistic" as everyone may seem to be, this is a time to be more defensive, NOT aggressive. This can be accomplished by reducing expectations, operating on smaller time frames, and taking smaller positions. My Trade Scanner Pro helps to quantify risk which is especially helpful in rising risk environments such as this one.
In contrast, the location to be aggressively bullish was the 76K area low. Sure I can say this after the fact, BUT if you read my analysis and watch my streams from that time, I was pointing out the potential and the bullish signs as they were developing in real time.
Market situations like the one Bitcoin is in right now can be very confusing at times. Navigating this environment successfully depends on how you interpret price structures, trends and levels across multiple time frames and letting the MARKET validate ideas or not the other way around. Always consider arguments on both sides of the market and weigh those arguments against the style or strategy that you intend to deploy. And if confusion ensues, then the easiest thing to do is walk away. When potential is limited, there is nothing to fear in terms of missing out.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
ETHUSDT at 2511: Breakout or Breakdown at 2550?Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is currently trading at 2511 on the 4-hour timeframe, sitting in a consolidation phase after a recent uptrend. Over the past few days, the price has shown resilience, bouncing off a key support level around 2400 and now testing a critical resistance at 2550. This 2550 level is a make-or-break point: a clean break above it could spark a bullish move toward 2700, while rejection here might send the price back to retest 2400. The broader market vibe is cautiously positive, with Ethereum’s upcoming upgrades generating some buzz, though regulatory uncertainties could weigh things down if negative headlines hit. Volume has been tapering off during this consolidation, which is normal, but keep an eye out, a breakout with strong volume will carry more weight.
From a technical standpoint, the 50-period moving average (MA) sits at 2450, and the 200-period MA is at 2300, with the price comfortably above both. That’s a solid bullish sign for now, but the 50-period MA is starting to flatten out, hinting that the upward steam might be cooling off. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, right in the neutral zone, not overbought or oversold, so there’s room for the price to swing either way. Over on the MACD, the line is above the signal line, showing bullish momentum, but the histogram bars are shrinking, which could mean that momentum is losing some juice. Traders should watch for a breakout or a MACD crossover to get a clearer sense of what’s next.
There’s also a potential pattern taking shape: an ascending triangle, with the flat resistance at 2550 and a rising support line from 2400. This setup is typically bullish, but it’s not a done deal until we see a confirmed break above 2550. If that happens, especially with a volume spike, it’s a green light for bulls. On the flip side, if the price slips below 2400, it could signal a short-term bearish shift. For now, 2550 is the level to watch, it’s where the action will heat up. Whether you’re trading the breakout or the rejection, this is a spot to plan your moves carefully!
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 105,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 105,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.