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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea 🚦 Market Context & Price Action Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move. 💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout. 🟢 Wyckoff Schematic: Buying Climax (BC) at current highs Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement 📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab. 🟢 Trade Plan: Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation) Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low 🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable. 🟢 Key Fundamentals: ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move 🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering. 🟢 Risk Management: Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS Use tight stops below the range Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption 📈 Trade Idea Summary Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range Not financial advice!
by fxtraderanthony
1
AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs. As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
9
Real Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in TradingReal Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in Trading The falling wedge is a chart pattern highly valued by traders for its potential for bullish reversals after a bearish or consolidation phase. Its effectiveness has been extensively studied and documented by various technical analysts and leading authors. Key Statistics Bullish Exit: In 82% of cases, the exit from the falling wedge is upward, making it one of the most reliable patterns for anticipating a positive reversal. Price Target Achieved: The pattern's theoretical target (calculated by plotting the height of the wedge at the breakout point) is achieved in approximately 63% to 88% of cases, depending on the source, demonstrating a high success rate for profit-taking. Trend Reversal: In 55% to 68% of cases, the falling wedge acts as a reversal pattern, signaling the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish phase. Pullback: After the breakout, a pullback (return to the resistance line) occurs in approximately 53% to 56% of cases, which can provide a second entry opportunity but tends to reduce the pattern's overall performance. False Breakouts: False exits represent between 10% and 27% of cases. However, a false bullish breakout only results in a true bearish breakout in 3% of cases, making the bullish signal particularly robust. Performance and Context Bull Market: The pattern performs particularly well when it appears during a corrective phase of an uptrend, with a profit target reached in 70% of cases within three months. Gain Potential: The maximum gain potential can reach 32% in half of cases during a bullish breakout, according to statistical studies on equity markets. Formation Time: The wider the wedge and the steeper the trend lines, the faster and more violent the post-breakout upward movement will be. Comparative Summary of Success Rates: Criteria Rate Observed Frequency Bullish Exit 82% Price Target Achieved 63% to 88% Reversal Pattern 55% to 68% Pullback After Breakout 53% to 56% False Breakouts (False Exits) 10% to 27% Bullish False Breakouts Leading to a Downside 3% Points of Attention The falling wedge is a rare and difficult pattern to correctly identify, requiring at least five contact points to be valid. Performance is best when the breakout occurs around 60% of the pattern's length and when volume increases at the time of the breakout. Pullbacks, although frequent, tend to weaken the initial bullish momentum. Conclusion The falling wedge has a remarkable success rate, with more than 8 out of 10 cases resulting in a bullish exit and a price target being reached in the majority of cases. However, it remains essential to validate the pattern with other technical signals (volume, momentum) and to remain vigilant against false breakouts, even if their rate is relatively low. When mastered, this pattern proves to be a valuable tool for traders looking for optimized entry points on bullish reversals.
CEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
5
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle. This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August. So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CLong
by TradingShot
3
DODO, Bitcoin, The Altcoins Market & Luxury BrandsI have a feeling that DODO will make a strong move soon. This is just a feeling, and somehow whenever I have this feeling the pair in question doesn't move but instead stalls... Well, it moves, they tend to move they just don't do so immediately. If one waits patiently results are awesome. Think long-term; focus on the long-term. Forget the feeling, what is this chart saying? True bottom. This is good. You see those pairs we see moving, right? As soon as they move we are tempted to buy but the movement stops, and we just want the action and we want to see our money grow but somehow chasing pairs doesn't work. Now, look at this one! I told you the market has so much to offer, endless opportunities. » DODOUSDT is trading at the market bottom and yet to move. These are the ones that are good, before the breakout takes place. Buy and hold, the market takes care of the rest. Very easy right? We buy and we wait. If it doesn't move, that's ok. We can diversify because some invariably will take weeks of consolidation before breaking out strong, others move after a few days while others will move after months. A big market, lots of projects, huge variations. You can pick the ones you like, the ones that are strong, the ones with huge growth potential, some of the less known and so on. Diversify between category, between size, between risk, between exchanges, on and on and on. Or you can put everything in one coin just make sure it is a project that is stable, it has been around long-term and has huge potential for growth and is still trading at the bottom. I know people don't recommend this but this also works. Are you aware that most of the people that became rich with the stock market bought just one or two stocks? In the Internet boom and those days. The same can be true for Crypto, if you are uncertain or don't have time, don't like to trade, you can buy just 3-5 of the top pairs and let it grow long-term. It works. You can buy Bitcoin and hold, that is another way to make money if you have big money and don't like to enter risky trades. Nobody is going to delist Bitcoin that's for sure. And Bitcoin has been very strong lately with the correction becoming smaller all the time. Growth potential will be huge but if your money is low, you need the smaller Altcoins. » Bitcoin for the whales. The Altcoins for us. The Altcoins we use to grow. Bitcoin is for when you already have lots of money and want more. Bitcoin is the hardest one because it is the biggest one. It has the most attention. The chart tends to be tricked so it is hard to read. Others, it is just too easy. » DODOUSDT is trading at bottom prices and looks like will soon start to move up. This is easy. You can do this. You have my support. Thanks a lot for your continued support. If you enjoy the content, keep on enjoying because I will give you more. I will give you so much that you will not be able to go through it all. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
BTC Approaches Breakout Zone in Ascending Triangle – Key Resist,📈 Chart Overview Instrument: BTC/USD Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red) – 84,924.30 EMA 200 (Blue) – 85,558.47 🔍 Key Technical Observations 1. Ascending Triangle Formation The chart shows a clear ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. Flat resistance zone: Around $88,700–$89,000. Higher lows forming a solid upward sloping trendline, suggesting increasing buying pressure. 2. Price Above Key EMAs Current price: $88,779.43, which is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. This indicates bullish momentum as price breaks above dynamic resistance levels. 3. Volume Consideration (Missing) While volume is not visible on the chart, an ideal breakout from an ascending triangle should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm validity. 🔄 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout A confirmed breakout above $89,000 with strong volume can lead to a measured move toward: Target = Triangle height ≈ $13,000 → Potential target: $101,500 – $102,000 Next resistance levels to watch: $92,000, $95,000, and $100,000 psychological zone. ❌ Fakeout or Rejection If BTC gets rejected at resistance, watch for: Retest of support trendline (~$86,000). EMA 50 and 200 as dynamic support around $84,900–$85,500. Breakdown below the trendline may signal a short-term correction to $80,000–$82,500. 📊 Conclusion BTC is at a crucial decision point. The ascending triangle suggests bullish potential, but a breakout confirmation is essential. Price is above both major EMAs, signaling strength, but a rejection from resistance could invite short-term bears.
BLong
by MrStellanSight
2
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity? CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀. 📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅. 👇 What’s your take on the next move? 🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets 📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25. The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points." It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time. Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time. Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy. - In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created. Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator. If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin. Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line. Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same. Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend. In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls. - The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point. Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24. However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area. - OBV has broken through the upper line. However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high. Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section. This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied. - This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue. The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction. Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point. - The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period. In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period. If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful. Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety. The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range. When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator. When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more. No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that. The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range. Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time. However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect. In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary. It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CLong
by basictradingtv
8
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #71👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session. 🔄 Yesterday’s Recap In yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that the main triggers had already been activated, and it might be too late to enter a position. However, you could still enter trades using momentum triggers such as RSI and SMA. ⚡️ As we can see, the RSI oscillator, after exiting the Overbought zone, triggered a bearish divergence and has now dropped below level 50. This means the RSI trigger has not yet been activated, and the price didn't pull back to the SMAs either — instead, it broke below them and entered a short-term correction. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the key resistance at 94,283 and dropped to the 92,007 zone. ✔️ The SMA99 is getting closer to the price, and we might see a pullback to this level. If this happens and the price builds a structure after the pullback, it could offer a good long entry during the correction. 📈 The main long trigger remains the breakout above 94,283, which would signal the start of the next bullish leg. ✨ For a healthier trend structure, the price might undergo a deeper correction, increasing the chances of a pullback to the SMA99 scenario playing out. 📊 However, note that during the drop to 92,007, selling volume increased, which is not favorable for the bullish trend. So, if you're planning to enter a long during this correction, make sure selling volume is decreasing and buying volume is rising. 🔽 For short positions, as mentioned in previous analyses, we must wait for a confirmed trend reversal. Currently, there is no trigger indicating a downtrend, and we need to wait for a new structure. 👑 BTC.D Analysis BTC dominance is still climbing and moving toward the 64.60 resistance level. If it stabilizes above this level, it could initiate the next bullish leg for BTC dominance. 💥 For a bearish BTC.D scenario, either rejection from 64.60 or a breakdown below 64.12 would be appropriate triggers. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 is showing a deeper correction compared to BTC, aligning with the increasing BTC dominance. It has corrected down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🔼 For long positions, a breakout above 1.04 is a good trigger — but be sure to watch BTC.D to decide whether to go long on Bitcoin or altcoins. ⭐ As for shorts, like other charts, we need to wait for a confirmed trend reversal before considering a short position. 📅 USDT.D Analysis This chart is also correcting, and after finding support at 4.99, it is now retracing upward and sits near 5.13. 💫 For the downtrend in USDT.D to continue, a break below 4.99 is crucial. If it holds below that level, the overall crypto market can continue moving upward. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
8
BTC → 𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 !!!Bitcoin has completed and broken the ascending triangle in the monthly timeframe, The price is currently supported well, which can increase the price. I expect the price to rise to around 600k . Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
CLong
by CobraVanguard
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits. Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today . I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160 Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
38
Daily BTC OverviewThe daily chart in its simplest form can be broken down into this range. Since President Trumps inauguration, BTC has declined from a range high of $108,000 back to the lows of $74,500 closing the FVG caused by the US election rally. After a double bottom Bitcoin mean reverted back to the range midpoint which to me is the most important area on the entire chart because it decides if the bull run can continue or if it dies. I like to keep a close eye on the 200 EMA on multiple timeframes but the 1D is important to gauge the momentum of the move. As the US election results came in a massive push away from this moving average causes the level to steepen in its climb showing strength. Since BTC spent quite some time in the top half of the range the 1D 200 EMA flattens out signaling a loss of momentum, once this level does become flat it no longer provides support. For a bullish cycle to be just that ideally the corrective moves do not spend too much time below this level before expanding above and beyond it once again starting the next leg of the move. A persistent move down below causes a rollover and the cycle looks to be over with a bear market beginning. Bullish scenario - The correction is over and BTC consistently posts HH's & HLs bringing the 1D 200 EMA up with price and continues the previous bullish trend. I would want to see the retest of the midpoint be successful and then move to reclaim the next local high before targeting range high. The bull market correction looks to be over and bullish continuation resumes. Bearish scenario - This move is nothing more than a LH, BTC wicks the supply above midpoint, swing fails back under and continues to make LH's & LL's back down to range low where the 1D 200EMA will have now rolled over providing more of a resistance level. The bear market looks to have begun. I am not here to make a call on where BTC is going next as I do not have that answer, but I do have to plan for each eventuality and that is what I have done here from a TA pint of view. Now it is entirely possible that Geo-political news or an exchange hack etc throws TA out of the window and I have to rethink the plan but in a strictly chart structure perspective this is how I see it. The indicator "TRADING ENVIRONMENT+V1.0" used in the Idea post is now publicly available for use, give it a try and leave your thoughts and suggestions on the post, thank you.
by ProR35
2
Bitcoin Cycle Update – Are We Nearing the Peak?Check out this BTCUSDT chart – we’re at GETTEX:92K today, and seems like things are heating up! ▸We’ve seen a Cycle Bottom in late 2022 - early 2023, followed by strong Bull runs in 2023 and 2024. ▸Those Consolidation phases (sideways channels) gave us the perfect setup for massive pumps! ▸Right now, we’re in a Pause Triangle after a big rally – but the Cycle Top could be just around the corner in mid-2025. ▸After that? A potential Bear phase – time to plan your moves! 💡 What’s your strategy? Are you riding this wave to the top, or preparing for the next dip? Let’s discuss 📨
C
by ArShevelev
29
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading. The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality. This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance. 📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms. Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction. Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making. 🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics. High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors. Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time. Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards. 🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B) Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain. Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance. Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems. 🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation. Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure. Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance. 💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030. Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.). AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems. Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience. 🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030. AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance. Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence. Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes. 🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets. Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services. Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation. 🚀 Conclusion By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth. Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration. The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TLong
by EXCAVO
8
APTUSDT → Retest of the liquidity zone. Downward trendBINANCE:APTUSDT.P failed to realize its potential. The price made a false breakout of resistance and formed a reversal pattern. Correction or continuation of the downtrend? Bitcoin is rebounding from resistance. Technically, the market may enter a correction or consolidation. Altcoins are reacting accordingly — correction Within the downtrend but local ALT rally, APT failed to realize its potential and formed liquidity accumulation and a false breakout of the downtrend channel resistance before a possible decline... Resistance levels: 5.2, 5.458 Support levels: 4.76, 4.48, 4.17 A consolidation of the price below the trend resistance or below 5.20 could trigger a continuation of the global and local trends. The coin is likely to remain near the bottom and test new lows... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
BTC - Is there anything that can stop this bullrun?The current 4H structure presents a high-probability scenario centered around a classic liquidity sweep into premium levels, followed by potential downside rebalancing into inefficiencies. This is a clear case of price reaching for external liquidity before internal structure takes over. --- 1. Liquidity Run Above BSLs Price has aggressively pushed upward, sweeping multiple Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) levels. These levels mark resting stop orders and breakout entries positioned by retail above recent swing highs. - The impulsive move to the upside isn't a sign of strength—it's a strategic run for liquidity. - These liquidity pools provide exit opportunities for large players offloading long positions initiated earlier in the structure. - The sweep aligns with typical behavior just before price reacts to higher timeframe supply or premium Fibonacci zones. --- 2. Golden Pocket Confluence Zone (Downtrend Bias) The orange highlighted zone represents the Golden Pocket —the 61.8%-to-65% retracement zone often associated with downtrend continuation or reversal setups. - This level acts as a magnet in trending conditions, often leading to strong rejections. - As price enters this pocket, the probability of a reaction increases, especially following a liquidity grab. - The structure suggests this move is designed not for continuation, but for setting up a reversal. The projected swing failure pattern at this level implies a shift from bullish euphoria to short-term distribution. --- 3. Internal Structure: Fair Value Gaps as Rebalance Zones Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked as zones of inefficiency, where price moved too aggressively to maintain balance between buyers and sellers. - FVGs represent internal liquidity voids and serve as high-probability magnets for retracement. - The first FVG lies just below the current price, suggesting a short-term retracement target. - The second, deeper FVG offers a more substantial downside target and is aligned with typical rebalancing behavior after aggressive markups. As price begins to break structure to the downside, these gaps become the logical destinations. --- 4. Probable Flow: Liquidity Sweep → Rejection → Internal FVG Fill The anticipated flow is strategic and sequential: - Step 1: Sweep of BSL and deviation into the Golden Pocket - Step 2: Quick rejection, potentially forming a lower high - Step 3: Downside expansion targeting both FVGs for liquidity rebalancing This is not about chasing price—it’s about understanding the intent behind the move : create imbalance, sweep liquidity, then deliver price into inefficiency. --- Conclusion: This 4H chart outlines a mechanically driven move: - External liquidity (BSL) tapped - Premium level tested (Golden Pocket) - Internal inefficiencies below acting as draw The structure points to a transitional phase from premium to discount, with the FVGs below acting as clear objectives. Until those inefficiencies are fully addressed, the upside narrative remains reactive, not impulsive.
Short
by Louigi_24
45