BTCUSD Bearish Breakdown – Key Support in Focus!BTCUSD Analysis – February 27, 2025
Bitcoin Sentiment Hits 2022 Lows as Fear & Greed Index Falls to 10
📉 Bearish Momentum Persists Below Key Resistance
Bitcoin continues its bearish movement after failing to hold above 91,586 and breaking below the key resistance zone. The price is now consolidating around 86,168, with potential for further downside.
Technical Outlook
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
BTC is trading below key resistance, with rejection expected near the descending trendline around 91,586.
If the price remains below 86230, further bearish momentum could push BTC toward 76,681, with a breakdown leading to 72,600 as the next support level.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
A breakout and 4H candle close above 91,586 would indicate a potential trend reversal.
Stability above this level could trigger a push toward 96,000, but BTC must break the descending trendline for confirmation.
⚠️ Market Sentiment & Impact:
Increased volatility due to economic uncertainty and investor concerns about liquidity.
The broader macroeconomic environment and risk-off sentiment are keeping BTC under pressure.
Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 91,586 | 96,000 | 100,000
🔹 Pivot Zone: 87,200
🔻 Support: 82,500 | 76,681 | 72,600
📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 91,586 – A rejection from this level would accelerate downside momentum.
Previous idea:
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD
Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal.
In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices.
www.tradingview.com
Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup:
🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support.
🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out.
🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year.
While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal.
This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them.
Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #18👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. Yesterday, the price broke the critical support level at $87,700 and proceeded to the next bearish leg. Today, we'll explore what might happen to Bitcoin in the future and identify appropriate triggers for opening positions in the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from $89,458 and moved downwards, breaking the support at $87,070 and dropping to the area of $83,779.
⚡️ As you notice, I have adjusted the Fibonacci that I had drawn. This is because the price did not even correct to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In fact, the correction and rest that occurred up to $89,458 was not a true correction, but rather a part of the bearish leg.
✅ As you can see in this new form that I have drawn Fibonacci, the 0.5 and 0.382 levels have become very important areas and can be considered significant resistance zones for the price.
♟ Currently, after reaching $83,779, the price has found support at this level, and as observed, the RSI has shown significant divergence with the previous bottom, and after the divergence trigger in the RSI hit 50, we see that the price has managed to form a green candle.
🔍 If the price can rise above this level again and return to the box between $87,070 and $89,458, we can say that the bearish trend has temporarily ended, and the market wants to create a new structure for opening positions.
🧪 As we did before, we supported from $87,070 and took a day of rest in this area. We opened a position when it broke $87,070, and I hope you were with us and opened your position.
🔄 From the positions we previously held from higher areas like $95,108 and $93,433, I suggest using Dow Theory to close your positions if the price establishes a higher floor and ceiling. You can also place your active stop loss above the resistance area of $89,458, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
📈 However, for opening positions today, if the price moves sharply upward and forms a V pattern, you could consider opening a long position if it breaks $89,458. But this position is very risky, and I personally won't open it because the market trend and momentum are completely bearish, and I see no sign of an upward trend.
🔽 For short positions, if the price is rejected from $87,070, you could open a short position in the lower timeframes if this trigger breaks. However, if you want to behave more securely, you can open a short position if $83,779 breaks.
🎲 I will not be joining this position because I have positions open from higher up, and I don't want to disrupt the average of my position and have it move lower. I think the price has fallen enough and now needs rest, although my view might be wrong, and the price could from here again commence the next bearish leg.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to determine which coins might be more appropriate to trade today. As we see, there was another drop in Bitcoin dominance, this time breaking the area of 90.61, and dominance has returned to the previous low of 60.48, where it found support.
🧩 As Bitcoin corrected, Bitcoin dominance also increased, causing Bitcoin to perform deeper corrections compared to altcoins.
🧲 When we get to Total2, we'll see that Bitcoin has corrected more than altcoins, but determining the trend in Bitcoin dominance is a bit difficult as it's nearly forming a large range box between 60.48 and 62.19. As long as it's in this box, it's hard to determine a clear trend, and it might move towards the bottom or top of the box.
💥 However, since we are currently at the bottom of this box, if dominance again stabilizes above 60.21, we can take this as confirmation of becoming bullish. If the bottom of the box, which is 60.48, breaks, dominance could move to its next bearish leg targeting 59.84.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As you observed, alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance, the market also fell, which caused Total2 to not lose its important area of 1.07 and to bounce back from there, moving upwards.
✨ But as I mentioned, the increase in Bitcoin dominance caused Bitcoin to correct more than altcoins, but overall, Total2 is in a better situation than Bitcoin because Bitcoin was supported at a lower level and lower support, but Total2 bounced back from the same support at 1.07 and is moving upwards.
💫 I expect a box to form between 1.07 and 1.13, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci, and Total2 could create a structure in this box. Today, if any of these structures break according to Bitcoin dominance, you can open positions, but given that Bitcoin dominance is falling, I prefer to open a position on Bitcoin if the bottom of the box breaks and if I want to open a long position, do it on altcoins unless Bitcoin dominance rises from the bottom of its box and starts moving upward again, becoming bullish.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's go to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, dominance broke the resistance at 5.04 and made another upward move to the resistance at 5.21.
⭐️ Currently, dominance is moving downwards again and has entered a corrective phase. There is a very important floor at 4.92, and as long as it is above this area, I see the trend of Tether dominance as bullish.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN ($BTC) DIPS TO $82K—FEAR OR FORTUNE?BITCOIN ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) DIPS TO GETTEX:82K —FEAR OR FORTUNE?
(1/9)
Good Morning, TradingView! Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) slumped to $ 82,000, lowest since Nov ‘24 💰 Market’s glum, let’s unpack this crypto dip! 🌐
(2/9) – PRICE SLIDE
• Drop: $ 82K, 20% off $ 109K high 📊
• Month: Altcoins down 30%+ 💧
• Fear Index: 10/100, rock bottom 😟
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s shivering, gloom’s thick!
(3/9) – TECH TELL
• 200-Day MA: $ 81,500, support holds 🌟
• RSI: 28, oversold, bounce hint 🚀
• Past: Aug ‘24 $ 49K to $ 100K 📈
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s teetering, rebound or rubble?
(4/9) – MARKET MOOD
• Fear: Lowest since FTX ‘22, $ 16K 🌍
• History: Extreme fear sparks rallies 🌞
• Outflows: $ 1B from ETFs, trade woes 💼
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s testing, panic or patience?
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Trump: Tariff talk, no crypto juice ⚠️
• Volatility: Bear turn stings 🐻
• Stablecoins: Inflows, sideline cash 🔒
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s wobbly, can it dodge the funk?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Base: $ 82K holds, tough nut 💪
• Past: Fear flips to gold, $ 100K+ 🏋️
• Liquidity: Central banks ease 🌿
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s gritty, battle-tested!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Sentiment sinks 😕
• Opportunities: Fear buys, rate cuts 🌏
Can CRYPTOCAP:BTC vault past the blues?
(8/9) – CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s $ 82K dip, what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 100K rebound soon 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Holds, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, $ 70K slide looms 😞
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s $ 82K slump spooks, fear at 10 🪙 $ 1B ETF outflows sting, but history hints bounce, gem or gloom?
Bitcoin's Final Flush Is Now Over: $200,000 Next TargetWhat you see here on the 1H timeframe is literally the final flush.
In simple terms, we are witnessing today the lowest prices before the start of a rise that will peak around $200,000, more or less. The end target can vary but the low is. Get ready to buy; get ready to hold; get ready to trade.
Bitcoin hitting bottom is a major development. This is the biggest development within the Cryptocurrency market.
Yesterday I shared some supporting signals based on the Altcoins charts. Many Altcoins are producing higher lows compared to 3-Feb. and this is the signal that the bottom is in. There is more.
Today, many Altcoins are already strong and bullish and this is the final signal confirming that the bottom is in. Anything you buy now you will have a great entry long-term.
This is a friendly reminder.
We are set the experience the best bull-market in the history of Crypto.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Slips: Buy the Lows or Ride the Sell-Off? Following an extended expanding consolidation from Dec 2024 – Jan 2025, bearish pressure intensified after a downside breakout, increasing the probability of a double-top formation at 108,360 – 109,350. This raises concerns about a potential drop towards the previous major support-turned-resistance zone at 72,000 – 74,000.
🔹 Momentum Check: The RSI has hit oversold levels last seen in Aug 2024, when BTCUSD found a bottom before rallying past 100K.
🔸 Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD holds above 82,000, upside targets include 86,500, 93,000, and potentially a retest of 109,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: A close below 82,000 could accelerate declines toward 79,500 & 72,000, aligning with the 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Aug 2024 – Jan 2025 uptrend.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Correction period of BTCAs of now i can see here in 1D chart market has broke its FIB level (0.236) 87,500$ , so there is a high probability that it may touch its next level which is (0.382) 73,750$ after its retest (91,000$ - 87,000$) region. After that market may show a NEW HIGH, but for that it should respect its next level (0.382) 73,750$. Which is also it's weekly Support level.
This is my opinion which may differ from yours.
Thank you.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – Rounding Top Breakdown 🔹 Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures)
🔹 Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
🔹 Exchange: MEXC
📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin has formed a rounding top pattern, a classic bearish reversal structure, leading to a strong downtrend. The price has recently broken below key support levels, indicating further downside pressure.
📉 Key Technical Factors:
✅ Rounding Top Formation: The gradual loss of bullish momentum followed by an aggressive sell-off confirms a trend reversal.
✅ Accelerating Downtrend: Angled resistance lines highlight the declining bullish strength, with negative slope angles reinforcing downward momentum.
✅ Critical Support Zone: BTC is currently testing a key support area (~$74,000 - $72,000). A breakdown below this level could accelerate the decline.
📌 Potential Trade Setups:
Bearish Scenario: If BTC breaks below the $74,000 support zone, we could see further downside towards $70,000 or even $65,000 in the short term.
Bullish Reversal: A strong bounce from the current support level with increased volume could invalidate the bearish outlook, pushing BTC back toward $90,000+ resistance.
🔥 Conclusion:
Bitcoin's structure is bearish, with the rounding top pattern playing out as expected. Traders should watch for a confirmed support breakdown or bounce to determine the next move.
🔔 Manage risk and stay updated for further developments! 🚀
70K doesn't look impossible nowMorning folks,
So, our trading plan worked just great - DRPO on weekly in fact hit 81-82K, so it's minimal target is done.
In fact, BTC, as a Gold now are victims of massive sell-off on stock market. Investors meet margin calls and urgently need cash to fill it back to initial level. That's why they sell everything that they could to get the money. While this process will be underway - BTC remains under pressure. Not occasionally as insiders as Buffett were sitting on cash bags.
Today BTC is oversold. So we do not consider any new shorts and prefer to get the rally to sell into. Supposedly 92.50-92.85 resistance looks interesting for this.
As market probably will close below Dec lows, this is bad for long-term picture and former 70K top might be re-tested in perspective of a few weeks.
What Would Happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?I have read different speculations on what might happen to the price of Bitcoin if the stock market were to crash. I am going to answer this using statistics, correlations, and examples of events from market history. This post will not speculate on the current nor future price movements of Bitcoin and Stocks; only their connection. I will be using the Tradingview Bitcoin Index INDEX:BTCUSD and the S&P500 Index ETF AMEX:SPY
What is a "Crash?"
I use a common definition of a stock market "crash" as a short or long duration decline of -30% or more. I distinguish this from "correction" which I define as a -5% to -10% movement. I'll look at the true crashes but also include significant corrections for comparison.
Time Range
I chose the time range from 2014 to present for this study. Bitcoin did not reach a comparable level of maturity nor public awareness until after the 2013 bull cycle. Also the 2013 Stock Market was ridiculously bullish.
How Often Do Bad Weeks Line Up?
I took particularly down weeks for Stocks, -2.5% or more, and compared them to the same week for Bitcoin. 2 out of 3 Weeks where the stock market was down big... Bitcoin was down big. Furthermore, the average magnitude of Bitcoin's down move was more than twice that of Stocks.
How Correlated is Bitcoin to Stocks?
The Correlation Coefficient measure the way in which two instruments move together. A value 1.0 means that they move identically up and down while a value of -1.0 means they move exactly opposite. The correlation of Bitcoin to Stocks varies from week to week. However, Bitcoin is far more often and to a greater degree positively correlated to Stocks.
At the extreme Bitcoin is more highly correlated to Stocks than it is ever negatively correlated (0.93 versus -0.76)
Bitcoin is move often positively correlated to stocks. 75% of weeks Bitcoin and Stocks are positively correlated
0.70 is considered "high correlation" and 33% of weeks exhibit high correlation
On the contrary, less than 2% of weeks are ever highly negatively correlated
Historical Crashes
Now we will go into some narratives around historic events surrounding large down moves in Stocks and how Bitcoin reacted.
2021
2021 was a bad year for both Stocks and Bitcoin. The decline of Bitcoin began prior to the then All Time High of Stocks but both decidedly went through a bear market together. Of note; while Stocks declined -27.47% from the high to low over that same period Bitcoin declined -61.83%.
COVID
COVID was a major but short "risk-off" event in both markets. Stocks declined -35.45% from prior high to subsequent low and Bitcoin declined -63.09% from its respective high and low.
2018
Going back further in time we can look a less severe Stocks declines in 2018. The 2018 market narrative was dominated by rate decisions with the Fed raising rates 4 times that year. The initial correction at the beginning of the year happened within Bitcoin's decline from its 2017 All Time High. Within this context while Stocks gave up -11.76% Bitcoin fell by more than half.
Later in the year as Bitcoin began to trade in a very tight range Stocks had a -20.47% decline. While the two did not coincide in their start times it is within the context of the longer Stocks crash that Bitcoin broke lower for another -53.62%
Conclusion and Analysis
I want to note here that Bitcoin was created AFTER "the big one" of 2008. There has never in Bitcoin's history been a true multi-year bear market for Stocks to compare. However, we have ample evidence to suggest that given a crash in Stocks it is a near certainty that Bitcoin will decline as well to a magnitude of double or more.
This happens because the market as a whole views Bitcoin as a risk asset with much higher volatility than Stocks as a whole. When there is ample liquidity and positive sentiment they both perform well. When liquidity is constrained and there is negative sentiment they both perform poorly. Liquidity and speculation are what drive them both. This connection has not changed in recent times and has likely increased due to the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF and publicly traded companies exposing their share prices to the volatility of Bitcoin.
Trade wisely.
Altseason Might Still Come...? Here's Why:A contrarian take—altcoin season could still be on track, and the script hasn’t been broken.
🔥 Left chart:
Before the past 2 altcoin seasons, the market touched the trendline (light blue) and consolidated at the lows.
🔥 Right chart:
Over the past two days, BINANCE:BTCUSDT saw a sharp drop, yet altcoins ( CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ) gained against BTC for two consecutive days, showing a decoupling from BTC’s price action.
One key characteristic of altcoin season is when altcoins rally with CRYPTOCAP:BTC but don’t drop when BTC falls.
What do you think?
Leave a comment!
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future "guesses" like this!
Bitcoin Recovers Much Faster Than ExpectedThree days waiting is not a long time.
Here we are again today and Bitcoin is already recovering. It seems and feel like the end of the world but, truly, nothing really happened.
Last week Bitcoin closed at $96,000. This week Bitcoin starts by moving lower and yes, it feels like it is the end of the world but this is only noise based on the short-term. Bitcoin is already recovering and by the time the week closes we will be back above $90,000 and very likely aiming higher and higher; Bitcoin will move higher and grow long-term.
Let's go back to what I was saying just a few months ago.
1) Bitcoin is super-bullish when it closes weekly above $90,000.
2) Bitcoin remains long-term bullish and really strong if it closes monthly above $80,000.
So far, there hasn't been one single close below 90K. This week is not yet over, the week is only halfway through and you'll see... We will see how it all ends but the most likely scenario is that Bitcoin will be moving back up.
Another thing that was said is that Bitcoin will be bullish in March 2025. Not only Bitcoin but the entire Cryptocurrency market. Marketwide bullish action and the Altcoins will grow.
This is it. It is happening, it is all real.
We are looking at a major and final flush. This happens all the time before a massive bullish wave. Just before the market turns, we tend to see a crash, a sudden crash. As people prepare for lower, lower and forever red; the start of a bear-market, no, a bearish impulse; this is actually the end.
There is no long-term bearish action and there is no more lows. Bitcoin is recovering now and we are bullish in a matter of days. Once the market turns green, we will see and experience long-term growth.
This is certain just as certain as tomorrow morning we will see the sun. That's how strong Bitcoin is. There is no way to put Bitcoin down. Bitcoin only goes down to recover and become stronger than ever before. We are only looking for strength, removing weak hands. Are you sure you want to be part of this incoming bullish phase? If yes, then you have to be able to hold when things get though, this is the test.
The test is over and it only lasted a few days.
Hold strong, because Bitcoin is going up.
You will be happy with the market, with Bitcoin, with the Altcoins and with how fast your profits accumulate and your capital grows. That is, if you are buying now and feel ready to hold.
Namaste.
MAJOR SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE OF BTC BASED ON ORDER BLOCKSCurrent Price Action
Bitcoin is trading around $93,041, showing a consolidation pattern after recent price volatility.
The price action suggests Bitcoin is in a critical zone where traders are watching for directional clues.
Support Levels
$92,000 (Immediate Support):
This level has served as intraday support in recent trading sessions.
High trading volumes were observed near this level, suggesting strong buyer interest.
$90,000 (Psychological Support):
Round numbers like $90,000 act as psychological barriers.
Historically, Bitcoin has respected such levels during both upward and downward movements.
$88,500 (Technical Support):
This level aligns with previous consolidation zones and Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., the 38.2% retracement from the recent rally).
$85,000 (Major Support Zone):
Represents a deeper correction level but remains a critical support based on long-term moving averages (e.g., the 50-day EMA).
Resistance Levels
$94,500 (Immediate Resistance):
Current trading activity shows selling pressure near this level.
Historically, it aligns with a minor peak from earlier price actions.
$96,000 (Strong Technical Resistance):
Close to the upper boundary of recent trading channels.
Converges with key Fibonacci levels (e.g., 61.8% retracement from the last major drop).
$98,000 - $100,000 (Major Resistance):
$100,000 is a significant psychological level for traders.
Breaking this level would signal a strong bullish trend, likely leading to new all-time highs.
Above $100,000:
If Bitcoin crosses $100,000, potential resistance zones could emerge at $105,000 and $110,000 based on historical extensions and trader sentiment.
Other Key Indicators
Moving Averages:
Bitcoin is trading above the 20-day moving average (~$91,500), which is a bullish signal.
The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (~$88,000 and $80,000, respectively) are major support zones.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is near 60, indicating neutral-to-bullish momentum. A move above 70 could signal overbought conditions.
Volume Profile:
High trading volume around $92,000–$93,000 suggests significant activity, marking this as a key price region.
Summary
Supports: $92,000 → $90,000 → $88,500 → $85,000.
Resistances: $94,500 → $96,000 → $100,000.
Traders should watch for breakouts or breakdowns at these levels to determine the next price trend.
Are we building a possible Super-Cycle & leave the 4-year cycleChart shows comparison to the last two cycles which have been scaled to match this cycle.
With all the differences this cycle has offered, the early run before the halving, the long drawn out mini bear market retracements, but yet all the bullish news for Bitcoin and Crypto from here on out in the U.S.A, might we not experience a traditional bear market and instead play out a Super Cycle instead? It seems to me like this is, or could be playing out like the beginning of a Super Cycle. A move that takes Bitcoin into the millions. Just the same large parabolic run, similar when you zoom out and view the traditional Dow/S&P Stock Market as a whole since the 1980s. I suppose the absence of a deep and long bear market could be another clue that indicates this theory, until then it's just a theory and time will tell all....
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin Upward WavesSince the previous Bitcoin Impulse wave analysis got very long, here the subsequent analyses for Bitcoin Upward waves will be presented. Anyway, continuing from the last analysis; the correction started when Bitcoin touched the major channel's upper line and the horizontal resistance area (The chart of previous analysis is provided for reference in blow). There are two possible areas for the current Bitcoin't correction wave. The first is the purple triangle, and the second is the orange one. The only difference between these two areas is that if the Bitcoin reaches the orange triangle, the major ascending channel will be invalidated, since Bitcoin has breached the channel's bottom. Let's see what happens.
75k is INEVITABLE.I published my idea on BINANCE:BTCUSDT how it is forming Double Top pattern and indicators are making divergences in late January. Since BTC hit our first take profit point we might expect little bit of pullbacks and see if it is gonna react to 91k area, but Volume is not looking good that means we might see red candles all the way to 75k area. 75k area was major resistance zone which would work as support this time.
Bitcoin trending down amid Trump's policy uncertainty
Investors withdrew over 30.7k BTC, lowering the bitcoin Balance on Exchanges to about 2.725 mln BTC, indicating lower market liquidity. ETF investors continue redeeming for the seventh consecutive day, with a two-day outflow totaling over 1300 mln USD. Reduced liquidity could trigger a sudden price rebound if selling pressure on ETF eases.
BTCUSD broke below 86500 and formed a lower low. The price is below both EMAs, indicating the persistent bearish momentum. If BTCUSD breaks above 86500, the price may retest the following resistance at 91100. Conversely, a retracement before resuming its downtrend to the support at 73200 may prompt a return to the resistance at 86500.
Intraday Setup: BTC/USD Supply Zone & Target Area🔹Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 30-Minute Chart Analysis
-▪️ Supply Zone Identified: Price has reacted to a resistance area around 88,752, where sellers previously took control.
-▪️ Bearish Structure: The market remains in a downtrend, with price rejecting the supply zone.
- ▪️Projected Movement: A possible retest of the supply zone before further downside towards the target area near 85,314.
-▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance: 88,752 (Supply Zone)
- Support/Target: 85,314
▪️Conclusion:
Bitcoin is likely to remain bearish, with short opportunities near the supply zone and a potential move towards lower support levels.
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It's Time for Bitcoin's Future Trend!As I mentioned in my post yesterday, there was a possibility of the price dropping to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, from which I expected active buying followed by a trend reversal for Bitcoin and the entire crypto market.
The price of Bitcoin has dropped to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and this was enough to trigger a reaction. We’ve already seen a +2,000 price bounce, and there may still be some volatility with price movements up and down, but a drop below 82k is unlikely. I’m waiting for the daily candle to close, after which I will consider my strategy for opening a position.