#BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025
Bitcoin has surged nearly 9% from the supply zone and is currently trading around the $119,000 level. However, looking at the current volume, the momentum seems to be fading.
If a correction takes place, the potential support zones are:
✨First stop: $114,000
✨Second stop: $113,000
✨Third stop: $111,500
After a pullback, the next target may be around $122,000. However, macroeconomic risks are rising. The U.S. is considering a 500% tariff on Russia imports, and in the past, even a 100% tariff triggered a sharp drop in Bitcoin.
Since BTC has already made a significant move up, I don’t think opening a Long or Short position is wise at the moment. Just observing for now.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing.
After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside.
Is it time to go long?
At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
NETFLIX 1D MA50 test is a new buy opportunity.Netflix (NFLX) has been rising non-stop since the April 07 bottom on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This bottom has been the latest Higher Low of the 3-year Channel Up that started on the June 14 2022 bottom.
This kickstarted its third long-term Bullish Leg. The previous two have been fairly similar (+210% and +195.93%) so we can assume a minimum total rise of +195.93% until the next top (Higher High of the Channel Up).
We can also see that on each Bullish Leg, after the initial rebound, the stock always tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) around the 0.236 Time Fibonacci level. That has always been the best buy opportunity of that stage.
As a result, we believe that the recent short-term correction is a buy opportunity in disguise, targeting a Higher High at $2200.
Check out our previous analysis on Netflix:
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Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) – Bitcoin Proxy Setting Up AgainMicroStrategy Incorporated NASDAQ:MSTR remains the definitive institutional proxy for Bitcoin exposure, uniquely combining its enterprise software operations with a high-conviction, leveraged Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Its $1.42B BTC purchase in April 2025 further cements this thesis, making MSTR a prime vehicle for traders seeking amplified BTC exposure via equities.
Since our May 5th analysis, MSTR has rallied ~14.61%. We’re now eyeing a re-entry opportunity on a pullback to the $394–$387 zone, aligning with technical support and previous consolidation.
🎯 Bullish targets remain unchanged: $490.00–$500.00, backed by Bitcoin strength and MicroStrategy’s unwavering strategy.
🔁 Re-entry: $394–$387
🟩 Targets: $490–$500
#MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #BTC #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MicroStrategy #HighBeta #CryptoExposure #TradingSetup
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Shorting Isn’t the Problem. Being a Psycho Bear Is.😵💫🪓 Shorting Isn’t the Problem. Being a Psycho Bear Is. 🔻📉
Hollywood is never wrong:
The genius from The Big Short is the psycho from American Psycho .
Same actor (C. Bale) — two sides of the same trader.
🎭 I made this chart because I see this often on TradingView:
People who prefer to short. Hoping for collapse.
Even Rooting for war. To Celebrating blood short profit.
Perma-bears who hate seeing price go up because they missed the trade.
Let’s be real — that’s not trading.
That’s emotional self-destruction masked as 'strategy'.
We just saw over $1B in shorts liquidated as Bitcoin ripped through $118K.
And still — some refuse to let go of their bias.
This chart says it all:
🔹 The "Smart Bear" — does research, uses structure, trades what’s real.
🔻 The "Psycho Bear" — needs things to collapse, just to feel right.
💔 And here’s the truth I want to share with you today:
If you catch yourself unable to celebrate others making money ,
If you feel angry when price pumps and you missed it,
If you’re wishing for collapse or chaos just so you feel seen...
Something’s off. That’s not trading. That’s pain talking.
Buying is more than just a trade — it’s hope , it’s optimism , it’s love .
Being bullish is an act of belief in the future.
And yes — we sometimes need to short. We do it with clarity.
But I’m a bull who sometimes must go short. Not a bear who wants the world to burn.
“We go long. We go short. But we never go blind.”
📉 Don’t let bitterness guide your charts.
📈 Let discipline, structure — and a bit of heart — guide you instead.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
⚠️ Disclosure:
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Evolving Price & Candle Patterns: BitcoinLook what is happening here with the candle patterns and price action. In the most recent challenge of resistance something changed. Change is good. It can mean the end of this sideways period.
At (1) Bitcoin finds resistance and immediately starts a decent. The same happens at (2). When we reach (3) everything changes. (1) & (2) produced a low and lower low. The down-move was extended. (3) produced only two red candles, a strong higher low and the third day was a full green candle moving above the descending trendline resistance. The price pattern is now erratic, completely different to previous moves.
Now, consider (4). If the strong green candle was intended as a bull-trap, then we would expect a down-move to follow right after the peak, just as it happened with (1) and (2). But nothing, after (4), Bitcoin has been sideways within the bullish zone.
This change is good, bullish.
A drop can develop anytime but the market already had two changes to produce a down-wave, (3) and (4). The fact that a down-move didn't materialize means that the market has something different in store for us, change. This change is good because when resistance is challenged, prices tend to drop when the market is moving within a range. No drop can signal the end of the range trading which in turn can translate into the start of the next bullish wave.
If this idea turns out to be true, Bitcoin will start growing within days. Growth should be strong because consolidation has been happening for months.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #125👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this Bitcoin analysis, I want to switch to a higher timeframe and analyze the daily chart because a very significant resistance has been broken and it’s important to take a closer look.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, as you can see, a bullish trend started around the 80000 level and in the first leg moved up to 110183. After a prolonged correction, the price has now managed to break that previous high and begin a new bullish leg.
⚡️ As shown, volume was sharply decreasing during the correction phase, but in the past few candles, significant buying volume has entered the market, enabling the price to break above 110183.
💥 The RSI oscillator is entering the Overbuy zone in today’s candle, which could be a sign of continuation of this bullish move. The next RSI resistance is around 78.47.
🎲 Meanwhile, based on Fibonacci levels, 120140 and 134922 are key zones that could mark the end of this bullish leg. The price is currently very close to 120140, and we need to watch for the market's reaction to this level.
✅ If 120140 is broken, Bitcoin will likely head toward 134922. In that case, I believe this leg could be the final bullish leg of this bull run, since I’ve previously mentioned that my target range for Bitcoin in this cycle is between 130000 and 180000.
📊 The curved trendline I’ve drawn is very important in this leg. As long as the price remains above this trendline, the market momentum will stay bullish, and the likelihood of continued upward movement increases.
🔽 If this trendline is broken, we could see the first signal of a trend reversal. A close below 110183 would confirm that the breakout was fake, and a break below 100763 would open the door for a longer-term short position.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BITCOIN ABOUT TO CRASH HARD!!!!? (Be careful with your longs)I am sharing with you in this video the next CRYPTOCAP:BTC important resistances and support levels.
Together with the confirmations, it is said that if triggered, Bitcoin will start crashing hard, so be careful if you have overleveraged long positions opened right now!
Remember to always trade only with professional trading strategies and tactics, and make sure that your money management is tight!
Wyckoff Structure Targets 92K–94K Retest Before Continuation!A rare and highly instructive market structure is currently unfolding, presenting a textbook case of Wyckoff pattern integration across multiple timeframes.
Over the past weeks, I’ve been tracking a series of smaller Wyckoff accumulation and distribution patterns nested within a larger overarching Wyckoff structure. Each of these smaller formations has now successfully completed its expected move — validating the precision of supply/demand mechanics and the theory’s predictive strength.
With these mini-cycles resolved, the spotlight now shifts to the final, dominant Wyckoff structure — a larger accumulation phase that encompasses the full breadth of recent market activity. According to the logic of Phase C transitioning into Phase D, price appears poised to revisit the key retest zone between 92,000 and 94,000, a critical area of prior resistance turned demand.
📉 Current Market Behavior:
📐 Multiple minor Wyckoff patterns (accumulations/distributions) have played out as expected, both upward and downward — lending high credibility to the current macro setup.
🧩 All formations are nested within a major accumulation structure, now in the final phase of testing support.
🔁 The expected move is a pullback toward the 92K–94K zone, before the markup phase resumes with higher conviction.
📊 Wyckoff Confidence Factors:
✅ All Phase C spring and upthrust actions respected
✅ Volume behavior aligns with Wyckoff principles (climactic action → absorption → trend continuation)
✅ Clean reaccumulation signs within current structure
✅ Institutional footprint visible through shakeouts and well-defined support/resistance rotations
💬 Observation / Call to Action:
This setup is a rare opportunity to witness multi-layered Wyckoff theory in motion, offering not only a high-probability trading setup but also an educational blueprint. I invite fellow traders and Wyckoff analysts to share their interpretations or challenge the current thesis.
➡️ Do you see the same structural roadmap?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
BTC/USDT : Breaks Out – New Highs In Sight After Smashing $111K!By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price has finally started to rally as expected—successfully hitting the $111,700 target and even printing a new high at $111,999 with an impressive pump.
This analysis remains valid, and we should expect new all-time highs soon.
The next bullish targets are $124,000 and $131,800.
THE WEEKLY TF ANALYSIS :
ADA/USDT : ADA Rally in Motion – Over 20% Gain and More to Come?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after revisiting the $0.57 zone, the price once again followed the previous analysis and encountered strong buying pressure—rallying up to $0.61 so far.
The return from the previous entry has now exceeded 8%, and the overall gain from the full move stands above 20%.
The next bullish targets are $0.76, $0.93, $1.05, and $1.33.
(A deeper and more detailed analysis is recommended for long-term investment decisions.)
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
BYCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has broken above its descending trendline and formed a new higher high. The price is now in a consolidation phase, taking a short pause after the breakout.
We expect the bullish trend to remain intact. After a pullback to the broken trendline and some consolidation in the support zone, Bitcoin is likely to resume its upward move toward higher levels and new all-time highs.
The overall market structure remains bullish, and this consolidation phase could present a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Is Bitcoin ready for the next leg higher, or will the pullback go deeper? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BITCOIN hit new ATH above $118k and isn't stopping there!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its previous All Time High (ATH) Zone and the buying pressure accelerated so much that it even crossed above the $118k level early in the E.U. session.
Technically the bullish trend doesn't seem to stop there as following the Bull Flag (we've analyzed this extensively the previous days) break-out of mid-May to June, the long-term Bullish Leg that started on the April 07 2025 bottom, is looking now for its 2nd Phase (extension).
Based on the previous two Bullish Legs since 2024, we should be expecting at least a +91.12% rise from the April bottom, as so far the symmetry among all three fractals is remarkable. Equally strong Bearish Legs (around -32%) of roughly 112 days each, gave way to the Bullish Legs, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) pushed the market higher.
If this pattern continues to be replicated, we should expect this Leg to peak a little over $140000 before the next correction.
Do you think we'll get there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Skeptic | Why did Bitcoin grow? What’s the next move?Unemployment rate’s up...
lemme explain short and sweet. When unemployment —a key factor for setting interest rates —rises, the Federal Reserve’s got no choice but to lower rates so companies can hire. Lower rates = more liquidity = Bitcoin and stocks go up.
What’s the next move?
Around $ 120,000 , there’s about 1 billion in short liquidity positions. also it overlaps with the weekly pivot point level 4 . I see a high chance of correction or ranging here. Personally, I opened a position before the $ 110,513 breakout ( i shared in this analysis ) and only took profits. If you’re still holding, I suggest not closing yet—once the $ 110,000 resistance broke, Bitcoin’s major weekly trend woke up, so we could see more growth.
If this analysis helped you, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
The Final Parabola: What History Says About Bitcoin’s July MovesIf you’ve been following here for a while, you know we’ve been nearly pinpoint in calling all the moves for Bitcoin. The altcoin market, not so much, but check out previous TAs to catch up on my perspective.
The two wave counts you see on the main chart have been in place for many months, I believe since around October 2024. As you can see, things have been playing out perfectly so far. The four year cycle continues to follow its path.
If the same thing happens this cycle like the last two, we should see a top sometime between October and December 2025, anywhere from 185K to 225K, followed by a cycle low somewhere around 48K in October 2026.
Bitcoin’s Julys
Every July during the 4th cycle year, Bitcoin begins its final parabolic run. This has happened without fail since the beginning of the Bitcoin Index chart. July consistently marks a major bottom, and then it's off to the races. The “only up” period that follows typically lasts 4 to 6 months and happens just once every four years like clockwork.
Here we are once again, the 4th year of the cycle, in July. Bitcoin has just hit all time highs and we've had a Hash Ribbon buy signal.
The perfect storm is brewing. Like always, the stars align in the second half of the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle.
Time Cycles and Fibs
Looking at this time wave chart, we can see that every two waves like clockwork have marked a top. The next major wave appears to land in December 2025.
If we zoom into this smaller time wave, it has pinpointed the bottom of every small wave so far. The fact that we are once again at a bottom in July during the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle is just another sign of the magical stars aligning.
This smaller Fibonacci sequence I’ve been tracking has already hit twice and predicted two major moves. The next dates to watch are August 2025 and January 2026.
There’s plenty of talk about an extended cycle. But during the last bull run, many traders and analysts said the same thing. In the end, Bitcoin topped out at exactly the same timeframe as the previous cycles.
If we reach the top of this model in Q4 2025, and we see a Pi Cycle Top signal along with a Mayer Multiple over 2.0, that will be our trigger.
If you've been sidelined this entire time, it's now or never. You don’t want to be the one buying in at 185K in Q4 2025 when everyone is calling for a million dollars. The time to act is now.