BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Test of All Time High Soon?!
Looks like Bitcoin is going to retest the resistance cluster
based on a current all time high soon.
The price is currently retesting a recently broken horizontal resistance.
A bullish wave may initiate from that.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Shiro Neko: A Cat with a $10B Potential Shiro is an incredible opportunity with the potential to exceed 2000x! I’ve been closely following the recent dip, which was a great correction to shake out the weak hands. With this reset, new entries in the coming weeks are expected to be massive.
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FINAL RALLY IN BITCOIN 5of 5 of 5th wave 109.100/116=113.9The chart posted tonight Is a clear 5 waves is nearing the end of the Bull market since the low in wave 4 at 15980 . WE are advancing in Clean 5 waves down to the 1 hour. WE will see the point of Maximum exposure !! to small traders in this wave . For 2025 I am called for a drop under 21900 23800 For the wave of the long term fractal >Best of trades WAVETIMER !
This or That? Is the Market Choosing This?Trading Family,
Similar patterns on the SPY and BTC chart. But there was also conflicting data on both. There was a bearish head and shoulders pattern on both charts, but there was also bullish data on both charts. The market is conflicted but it is now looking that they may choose to side with the bulls. Let's review the charts.
✌️ Stew
BTCUSDW pattern forming at resistance with a 15 point range (from 107 down to 92)
- Breakout of pattern takes BTC right to 122 which is the old weekly cup and handle pattern price target
- Trump inauguration and "crypto ball" coming with a possible announcement of bitcoin strategic reserve
- Also possible sovereign wealth fund
Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent.
Technical Analysis:
BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure.
Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest.
Miners Bolster BTC Reserves
Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings.
Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment.
Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience
1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates.
2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability.
3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets.
Outlook
At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys.
We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal.
However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me.
Here’s my outlook:
I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline.
That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected.
This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins.
Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs.
This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed.
Key Notes:
I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone.
If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there.
Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart.
This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Cyclical Bitcoin Analysis: Why Is 135K Significant?When Bitcoin prices above 135K, we’ll witness the bull rally gaining momentum. Why?
From a cyclical perspective, combining on-chain and technical data, I’m confident we are not yet at the peak of this bull rally. At least, if all this data isn’t going to become irrelevant, I’m certain of it. I believe that once Bitcoin surpasses 135K, the bull rally will accelerate, leading to a parabolic rise.
In the chart, you can also see the MVRV Z-score (below), providing additional evidence that we are far from the peak.
BTC new ATH incomingGreat Morning!! Bitcoin pushing for another ATH breaking out of a bull flag with a fib target of $110,000. Today is the last day of the current administration, with Trump coming in on Monday and today being Gensler's last day in office. #LFG Check out #XRP which usually runs last but this cycle is leading the way.
Bitcoin Testing Key Levels: Potential Breakout or Consolidation hello guys!
The chart shows a clear formation of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern at the upper price levels, with the head around $101,000 and the left and right shoulders near $100,000. This is a key reversal pattern signaling a potential downside if the neckline at approximately $97,000 breaks.
On the broader structure, there is an upward wedge pattern forming, with Bitcoin facing strong resistance at $103,000-$105,000 (upper boundary). This range aligns with a second right shoulder observed previously, indicating a critical decision point for the asset.
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The chart highlights two scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: A break above $101,000 and confirmation past $103,000 would likely drive the price to test higher levels, potentially towards $105,000 and beyond.
Bearish Reversal: If Bitcoin loses the neckline support ($97,000), it could test lower support levels near $93,800 and potentially $91,000-$92,000.
Anticipating 2025Happy new year, traders! A few year-end wobbles not withstanding, Bitcoin has remained steadily within, or just above, the $100k price range over the past weeks. Bears briefly pushed Bitcoin below $90k but the dip was slurped up quickly and Bitcoin bounced upwards. Just as in the summer of 2024, when it was clear that Bulls had run out of steam, the same can be said of Bears in this moment in time. For now, Bulls remain at the wheel.
As Bitcoin builds up momentum before hopefully going on the next leg of its cycle growth, the stage is open and capital available for Altcoins to have their moment. So-called 'Boomer Coins' including Litecoin, XRP and others have rallied 30-40%+ over the past week alone. On the other end of the spectrum, memes, AI agent coins in particular, have seen parabolic growth. Market participants are chasing the 'next' pump narrative. But none of the typical 'top' indicators have yet been hit. The Coinbase app is not number 1 in the App Store just yet.
From a regulatory perspective, traders are positioning themselves for the incoming pro-crypto Trump administration. As SEC chairman Gary Gensler is handing in his resignation on January 20th, a new crypto-friendly SEC chair, Paul Atkins, is poised to take over once confirmed by the Senate. This will mark a major step-change from an SEC that brought at least 83 enforcement actions against crypto companies such as Coinbase or Uniswap.
Macro-wise, the outlook is more mixed. On the one hand, latest US inflation readings have come in soft. That keeps the door open for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. On the other, both retail sales and job data came in below expectations underperforming. The impact of possible Trump tariffs on the economy and trading partners such as China, Mexico and the EU is a great unknown that spooks markets. In a worst case scenario, tariffs could hurt partner exports which would result in an overall economic backlash for everyone.
Nonetheless, crypto is entering the 2nd year of its Boom Market cycle with more cause for optimism. The regulatory uncertainty is slowly lifting. Institutions including giants such as Blackrock have embraced crypto markets. Beyond the usual noise of crypto markets, Blockchain technology is improving. Areas such as performance, encryption, interoperability and User experience are starting to reach a point where actual adoption becomes feasible. There is certainly a lot to look forward to in 2025. May we all have a great year ahead of us.
Bitcoin Pushes Higher: Is $104K the Next Stop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous post and even made the correction .
Bitcoin is breaking the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,080) , and I expect this zone to be broken soon, and then Bitcoin is ready to attack the Next Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 in the 1-hour time frame .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($104,200-$101,320) .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $96,320, we can expect more fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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BTC Correction Incoming? Key Support Zones to MonitorOver the past 50+ days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a well-defined range, with the all-time high (ATH) at 108K marking the upper boundary and 90K as the lower boundary. The current price action has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline positioned around 90K.
Volume and Recent Price Action
Volume has notably decreased compared to the elevated levels seen in November and December 2024, signaling weakening momentum.
Price rose significantly to 102.7K, reaching the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement level of the current downtrend, where it faced a sharp rejection. This rejection led Bitcoin to test the lows around 91.5K.
Key Resistance Levels
97K (POC): The Point of Control (POC) of the current range sits around 97K, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP taken from the all-time high.
98.3K (Fib 0.618): The Weekly Open (wOpen) coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current downward wave, making it a significant resistance level.
100K (Psychological Level): A critical psychological barrier, also serving as a key level for setting stop-loss orders for short positions.
Short Trade Setup
A short position could be built in the range of 97K-98.3K, with the following parameters:
Stop-Loss: Above 100K.
Target: 84-80K range.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): A favorable 3:1 to 4:1, depending on laddered entries.
Key Support Levels and Confluence Zone (80K-83K Region)
The 80K-83K region stands out as a strong support zone due to multiple confluence factors:
1.) Fib Retracement Levels:
0.618 (82.7K): From the swing low of 67K to the ATH of 108K.
0.5 (80.45K): From the broader wave structure (52.5K to 108.35K).
Negative Fib -0.618 (81.1K): From the current downward wave.
2.) Anchored VWAP: Anchored from 6th September 2024, currently aligning with the 82K level.
3.) ]Fib Speed Fan (0.618): Taken from the low at 52.5K to the ATH, intersecting with the 80-82K region around mid-to-late January.
Long Trade Setup
The 80K-83K support zone presents a strong opportunity for a long position for those who missed the previous uptrend:
Entry Zone: Between 80K and 83K.
Stop-Loss: Below 78K or lower.
Target: 90K, which aligns with the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2:1 if entering from the 80K level.
BITCOIN - Price can exit from wedge and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered a downward wedge, where it bounced from support line to resistance line of wedge pattern.
Also, price broke $100500 level, but soon broke it again and continued to decline to $92800 level.
When price reached this level, it broke it too and fell to support line, after which bounced and exited from downward wedge.
Then BTC started to trades in upward wedge, where it at once fell from resistance line to support line.
After this, price in a short time rose to resistance line, breaking $92800 with $100500 levels, and now trades near resistance line.
So, I think that Bitcoin can exit from wedge and then bounce down to $98000, breaking $100500 level.
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BTC - Welcome to Phase 2Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
1️⃣In the previous cycle, BTC broke above its red range during the first parabolic impulse.
2️⃣It then consolidated within a range for a few days before beginning the second impulse.
💡 Can you spot a pattern here?
"History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes."
~ Mark Twain
2️⃣If we follow the previous cycle and history follows a similar rhythm, we may currently be setting up for phase 2.
📈Confirmation would come from a breakout above the blue range.
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC can Reach above $100k If It Manages to Break this ... !!As I said, this head and shoulders pattern is fake, and it turned out to be so. Now it can be said that the price is in a wedge, and if a breakout occurs, we will see the price rise above 100k .
previous analysis
and
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC NEW Update (4H)Considering that Bitcoin is in a trading range, has swept the lower liquidity pools, repeatedly tested a support knot, and has a liquidity pool above the trading range, it is expected that this bullish move will either be absorbed into the higher liquidity pool on the chart or that pool will be swept.
After these two scenarios, it is expected that the price will drop and then bullish again from a support knot that has not yet been tested with a bearish wave.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
This perspective is applied to Bitcoin.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
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