BTC → Bitcoin Near Resistance! Should We Short? Let's Answer.Bitcoin is in a critical price zone as this bull run has taken us from $15,500 to $52,800. Is this a situation where we short? Or do we prepare for a long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Shorting may be an option for a lower timeframe such as the 15m or 1HR. I would not be shorting on the Daily or Weekly candles, but waiting for the price to pull back to enter a long.
As outlined in my Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis, I believe Bitcoin is due for a major pullback ranging from 30-50% toward the $25,000-$30,000 price area:
I would target a long entry in the $35,000 price area, set a stop loss either below the $15,500 low and target a 1:3 Risk/Reward, or a stop loss below the previous trading range at $25,000. Look for a double bottom around the Breakout Support area at $31,800 with a strong bull signal and confirmation bars. From there, reasonable take profit targets include 1:1 Risk/Reward at $42,300, just below the current price at $51,000, just below the previous all-time high at $65,000, and just below $100,000 which is a psychologically even number target.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $35,575.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $22,900.00
✅ Take Profit #1: $42,300
✅ Take Profit #2: $65,000
✅ Take Profit #3: $98,000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:5
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up toward a Resistance Area of $52,800
2. Resistance area is derived from the 2021 Head and Shoulders pattern
3. Wait for the price to pullback between 30-50%, and look for a double-bottom reversal pattern near $35,000
4. Long at 1:5 risk reward and take profit at three key levels
5. RSI is overbought at 78.00 which supports the pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
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Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin Prehalving TOPHello folks , hope you having exciting days .
Last TA worked properly but i was expecting more than 20% dump , although i told you we are in a unpredictable situation and we wont sell we just wait for a buy situation , nothing can force me to fall for any traps tho .
Red area is the prehalving top in my idea , usdt.D can goes down a bit but its on a strong support which will hold and its RSI is ridiculous.
For some other reasons i think that BTC is on its top and will fall to approximately 0.5 to 0.61 fib levels wich are my previous targets , it will be sharp and it’ll cut so be careful, as i say its not a smart time to sell so I would be prepared to buy only , be careful about altcoins as btc.d is on strong support and any dump will smash alts .
Stay safe fam .
BUY MORE BITCOIN !!!HELLO TRADERS
BTCUSD is trading above the 50K$ which is sign just the continuation of the new bull run in the Crypto World Technology is going to change the World Ecosystem we are buying #BTC from since it was break 22K$ Zone and looking for new higher high in this year Friends this week FOMC meeting can create volatility in the markets so always try to get lower low entry for a new bull run its just starting BTC will hit 60k$ incoming days Friends its just an trade idea share your thoughts with we appreciate Ur love and support
STAY TUNED
for more updates
Bitcoin is still bullishBitcoin's structure is bullish, we've had some major breakouts on the chart.
We have a support area on the chart that I have shown with a green box.
Bitcoin, by hitting the green box, it is expected that the red boxes, which are supplies, will be pumped
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Possible Scenarios Hi everyone,
What I think about CRYPTOCAP:BTC and all possible scenarios in the last week of February leading into March. A continuation of the uptrend or a pullback to retest the 44k-46k support?!
We shall see!
As always, this is not a financial advice and please do your own research.
Goodluck
🚧Bitcoin can GO DOWN by Rising Wedge Pattern🚧✅Bitcoin has managed to form a Rising Wedge Pattern near the 🔴 Resistance zone($52,820-$52,460) 🔴.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🔔After breaking the Support line , I expect Bitcoin to go Down to at least the 🟢 Support zone($50,840-$50,200) 🟢 in the next hour.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Expanding Ending Diagonal Can Cause a Correction in Bitcoin🧐👋Hi everyone.
🚀Bitcoin continued its upward trend after a series of News and Joe Biden's strange Tweet (red eyes).
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the upper reaches of the 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($53,000-$47,000) 🔴, Resistance lines , and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($52,700-$51,780) 🟡.
🌊According to the Elliott wave theory, it seems that Bitcoin has chosen the Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern to complete the fifth wave ( As long as Bitcoin cannot break the 🔴Heavy Resistance zone($53,000-$47,000)🔴, this wave count is valid. ).
📚The Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern ( Elliot's point of view) is the same as the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern ( Classical Analysis point of view).
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can touch $53,700, some corrective scenarios will expire, and we can expect Bitcoin to continue its upward trend to $56,000 in the coming days.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to go down to at least $50,000 , where the most volume trading has happened around this price in the past few days, and if Bitcoin can create a candle below $50,000 in the 4-hour time frame , we can expect a lower line of Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern will break, and Bitcoin will fall even to the 🟢 Support zone($49,000-$47,000) 🟢.
📚 Elliott waves include a series of Rules and Guidelines that you can analyze and predict the road map of the price. In general, in the theory of Elliott waves, you are faced with several scenarios in which you should find the correct scenario with the help of other technical analysis tools and fundamental analysis and try to identify the correct scenario from the false scenario.
❤️In the end, here is some advice for you as a little brother:
🔸TradingView website has provided us with a suitable space to transfer our analysis, so it is better to use it and NOT waste our time on destruction or ugly comments.
🔸If you have any comments, please share them with respect .
🔸 No analysis is 100% , so if you use analysis as an investment, it is better to follow capital management and take responsibility for it yourself.
🔸I hope we can use TradingView to increase our capital and knowledge .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🚨Bitcoin is Ready to Decrease to the Uptrend line🚨🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡.
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , five impulse waves have been completed in 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Uptrend line , and if this line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to fall to the 🟢 Support zone($44,700-$41,780) 🟢.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN - Weekly Outlook 13/02/24'Hello everyone,
hope you guys doing great.
So those who follow know, that my close monitoring and breaking down chart payed off...
Since we was able to recognize that probabilities of reverse shifting and favouring Upside price targets when Price was refusing to go lower under price level I ment in last updates..
So hope everyone bagged some profits already, and if not, its still great time to do right now as we sits just around 50k which is GREAT price for some profit taking for several reason, more about why you can find inside ↓↓↓ ...
As for WHAT Im doing RIGHT NOW - is that I closly follow lower time frame charts 5min/15min and 1h...
Since Im of opinion that we rallied A LOT already and is Tuesday, which following my data shows as a day with the MOST Liquidity reverses (meaning, we go for Sellside liquidity)..
So with that in mind and aswell upcomin US CPI numbers Im alerted that there is highier chance of revisiting Lower prices then sustained rallie on upside.. BUT!! even in this scenario Im thinking that is still possible that price can rallie a bit highier (51k to 51,8k max.) BEFORE reversing... at least for this WEEK!
-- In simple terms, I think we can rallie today up to 51,8k MAX! as a possibility, but Its Low% chance BUT if its happend, IT WILL BE GREAT SHORT ENTRY PRICE for me! --
--- IN THE SAME TIME - I think we are in GREAT SHORT PRICE entry RIGHT NOW, since, we already rallied a LOT, and above ment price is only 2% max.3% highier.. and since its possible we dont get that PERFECT entry area around 51k... it would be SMART to follow lower time frames as I ment, and entry "smaller" position In correct time, before building that short trade more ---
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(4-hour time frame)⏰🏃♂️After breaking the 🔴 Resistance zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴, Bitcoin has reached the top of the Ascending Channel with the help of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern .
🏃♂️Bitcoin is also currently moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡.
🌊In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be. It has completed wave 3 at the top of the ascending channel and is completing wave 4 .
🔔I expect wave 4 to end near the broken 🔴 Resistance zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴 and Bitcoin will start to rise again to the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($50,100-$47,000) 🟡.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(15-minute time frame)⏰🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴, the Resistance line and Support line .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed five impulsive waves .
✅Bitcoin broke the Uptrend line .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to Fall to the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($42,250-$41,500) 🟢soon.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin- Consolidation with bearish implicationsAfter the recent dip to the 38k zone two weeks ago, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD began to rise and reached the 44k resistance level.
However, the upward movement appears to be corrective in nature, and the consolidation over the past week suggests bearish implications, raising the possibility of a lower high forming at 44k.
The short-term support is situated around the 42k zone, and a break below this support could trigger a new downward movement. As long as the resistance at 44,000-44,500 remains intact, my focus remains on a drop towards the 36k zone.
BTC - Bitcoin Falling to $32,000! Or Will It Fall Lower?Bitcoin completed its measured move from the breakout at $31,800, to $37,800 and reached its peak at $48,900! As expected, we witness a sell signal at this level, indicating that the bull run is over. Should we short or long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
My last analysis began just after the confirmation bar closed after the sell signal that wicked at $48,900. This analysis called for a short to just above the trading range support at $38,350:
That short has come and gone, there is not enough area left to short without placing too much initial risk on the trade. It is still reasonable to short on lower timeframes like the 5m and 15m chart, but not the 4HR and Daily as we're doing here. We should be looking for long entries in the Trading Range zone between $31,800 and $37,500, right at the Daily 200EMA support.
If we find a strong bull signal and confirmation candles following that support area, we should enter at least a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio long with a position size near our maximum, as justified by these data points and the macro bull trend. Stop loss should be placed below the Trading Range at $34,300. It's reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward around $38,900, move the stop loss to your entry price to lock in profits, and then swing the rest of the position to at least $41,200.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $36,600
🟥 Stop Loss: $34,300
✅ Take Profit #1: $38,900
✅ Take Profit #2: $41,200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move completed followed by strong sell signal and confirmation bars
2. Two legs into a pullback with a gap to fill to the Daily 200EMA
3. Look for Support to long in the Trading Range near the Daily 200EMA
4. RSI at 38.00 and below the Moving Average, supports the continued to fall to the Trading Range
5. Once a strong signal and confirmation bull bars close above the Daily 200EMA, it's reasonable to long at 1:2 Risk/Reward
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
🚨Bitcoin is Ready to Fall Again🚨👋Hi, I hope you had a great weekend.
✅ As I expected , Bitcoin started to rally from 🟢Heavy Support zone($39,000-$37,000)🟢 .
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🔴 Resistance Zone($44,700-$41,780) 🔴.
📈Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , it seems Bitcoin has successfully formed a Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the wave 5.
🌊The end of wave 5 can continue to a maximum of around $44,800 .
🔔I expect that Bitcoin will FALL at least to the 🟢 Support zone($40,600-$40,280) 🟢 after the completion of wave 5, after breaking the Support line , and in the next step, it can also fill the 🔵 CME Gap($39,700-$39,850) 🔵.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN FED Meeting Aftermath 01/02/24'Hi again...
As I ment in into, I think this FED meeting was kinda good lead what to expect next, especially because J.Powell insight, since he run the show.
To understand better my Idea whats going on, I try to break Weekly time frame into Daily chart posted under..
_________________________________________________________________________________
So, in my understanding all what every Asset does, is Run between certain Liquidity targets and in right Time it displace. This process is repeated endleslly..
When we Check our bigger time frames Week+ , Its clearly to see that we extended to Highier prices due to many factors and if History is any indication we always should expect Run BOTH sides of liquidity before next displacement...
Meaning, since we go too much extended on Buyside in 2023, there is left huge amount Sellside liquidity which will be aimed at some Time point, it is just not 100% clear if its gonna unfold NOW!..
________________________________________________________________________________
So when we move down, from Weekly to Daily chart, its easy to SEE, HOW we Runned between these TWO RED lines for a LOT of time.. and occasionally it moved above/bellow to take that liquidity...
NOW - Most imporstant for ME, is YESTERDAY reaction, where we rallied close to 44k as expected possible scenario, and then we REVERSED, to lower 42k where we at RIGHT NOW.
SO, as LONG as Price not RUN above YESTERDAY highs, and keep being there, I WOULD EXPECT WITH HIGH PROBABILITY that next Price liquidity range is BETWEEN GREEN lines... as soon as we reach this Liquidity, our outlook must be reevaluated once again!
Aswell, since we still in after FED meeting pre-market, I would expect little bounce bellow yesterday highs, before real move lower start unfolding.. So be carefull into JUMPING Short straith away.. rather check Lower (15min/5min) time frame, for picking the Best entry oportunity with sound STOP LOSS in CASE asset decide to run highier...
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
BITCOIN Weekly Outlook 29/01/24'Hello everyone,
new week, new BITCOIN update. Hope everyone doing great!
____________________________________________________
This week should be lot of FUN, due to FED meeting at Wednesday,
Im expecting increase in volatility so I suggest to everyone act accordingly.
So as I ment in Last Update, there was increased chance of retracing back to Highier prices, due to expected News last week.. and we rallied aproximatly where I eyed between 44-42k$.
In fact, we came back to almost exact Price, where I was firstly highly persuaded that we are in Great Odds for Short trade, thats why I suggested to use Trailing Stop Loss, to bag some of profits while we benefit from them. So everyone who did, good job guys.
So, as for RIGHT NOW , I think, we came back to great SHORT area, BUT we need to remember, that there is still potentional of going to Highier prices (44k$ area). We cant forget that! So if you decide to Short market, YOU HAVE TO USE STOP LOSS!!! Especially, when there is most likly volatility spike coming, due to FED meeting mid-week..
So, IF I was opening Short right now, I would check Lower timeframes (15minutes/5min), to found Price where STOP LOSS WILL BE!! Reason behind that is, IF I expect Market to going Lower before Meeting is done, THEN price SHOULD NOT going back highier about price I picked. PRICE I would choose right now is around 42599,99$ .. which is around 1% from where Price is Right Now, and its Representing area around Weekend Highs.. and so IF we expecting Start of Week to going Lower, this Price range SHOULD NOT BE TOUCHED... IF IT IS, there is possibility of going to Highier price ment earlier.. So STOP LOSS protect us from unnecessarly damage and we can adjust with NEW trade in CORRECT time LATER!
So again, BE CAREFULL with opening new trade right now, it can start moving real quick.
Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market.
If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks
Joe
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(1-hour time frame)⏰🧐Bitcoin seems NOT to have decided to fill the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 at the moment and will probably fill this gap in the next drop .
🌊From the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has completed 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to go UP in the coming hours and break the 🔴 Resistance Zone($42,200-$41,780) 🔴 in front of it, and have a minimal increase until the end of wave 4 .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Ready to Increase 🚀➕10%🚀↘️After the SEC approved the Bitcoin ETFs , we saw that Bitcoin has lost more than ➖16% of its value so far ( Buy the Rumor, Sell the News ).
✅As I shared in previous posts , Bitcoin started falling from 🔴 Heavy Resistance Zone($52,100-$45,800) 🔴 as I shared with you.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin went through wave 5 with the Expanding Ending Diagonal , and it seems that Bitcoin has already started corrective waves .
🌊Bitcoin has confirmed the end of wave 4 by breaking the Lower line of the ascending channel.
🔔I expect Bitcoin to complete its wave 5 when it fills the 🔵 CME Gap($40,325-$39,290) 🔵 and then rebounds( ➕10% ) to around $43,500 .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.