BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 15-Min Chart | Short-Term Bearish The current price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) shows a sustained bearish trend within a well-defined descending channel. Following a temporary bullish correction in the form of a rising channel, the price faced strong resistance around the $107,000–$110,500 supply zone and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
A clear rejection from the upper resistance zone has led to a breakdown below the rising correction channel.
Immediate support zones are identified around $99,600 (TP1) and $94,300 (TP2), where price may potentially stabilize or bounce.
The bearish momentum remains dominant unless a strong reversal above $107,000 occurs.
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Price could continue falling toward TP1 and possibly TP2 if momentum holds and no strong reversal signals appear.
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A bounce from support levels with higher lows and a break above $107,000 could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase.
🔔 Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoinanalysis
Is Bitcoin Repeating Its 2021 Price Action? | TRADEDOTSWe’ve observed that Bitcoin CME:BTC1! appears to be repeating a previous wave pattern. If it follows its historical price action yet again, here’s what we might expect:
2021 Comparison
Back in 2021, Bitcoin formed two large rounded wave structures where the second wave exceeded the first, forming two consecutive all-time highs followed by a huge drawdown. This year’s price action looks very similar to the beginning of the second 2021 waves. If it continues to unfold in the same way, we anticipate a new all-time high before the end of this year, followed by a notable pullback into early next year.
Key Support at $96,000
As long as BTC holds above $96,000, the bullish trend remains intact. This level has shown great demand and volume support, reinforcing its role as the floor for the short-term uptrend.
Upside Potential to $117,000
If buyers continue to support the market above $96,000, BTC could reach the $117,000 region, setting another all-time high. This expectation follows the earlier wave pattern seen earlier this year and completes a close parallel to the 2021 bull run.
Deeper Pullback Expected
After a potential new high, a larger correction is likely. Drawing on previous pullback price action, a 30% dip toward $82,000 could align with a higher-time-frame trendline and significant support area—mirroring the wave structure from 2021.
Final Thoughts
BTC remains structurally bullish above $96,000
A pullback to the $82,000 region could present a key buying opportunity if it occurs.
BTC: Facing Resistance?Bitcoin recently encountered renewed selling pressure, stalling the anticipated continuation of green wave B. Under the primary scenario, this corrective upward movement should still extend into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where the price is expected to reverse and initiate green wave C. That move should complete with a low in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323, thereby finalizing orange wave a. Following a corrective advance in wave b, the larger wave (ii) should reach its conclusion. There remains a 30% probability for the alternative scenario, in which BTC pushes above the upper blue Target Zone, establishing a new high in blue wave alt.(i)— which would delay the expected pullback.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bitcoin 4 hour update and longer term outlook for next 5 days
Bitcoin is in a Rising channel after dropping.
This can be easily called a BEAR FLAG and it needs to be paid attention to for a number of reasons.
The line of support that held PA up in May is now close overhead resistance and we are climbing towards an apex around 11 June.
PA always reacts before APEX
I would expect this to happen from the 8th June but could obviously happen before.
I can see PA dropping to around 102K, on the POC ( red dotts ) off the VRVP
We will have to see what happens form there but there is a strong line of support just below this.
The 4 hour MACD is currently being rejected from Neutral back down into oversold.
The Daily MACD is continuing to fall Bearish and will reach neutral bu the weekend, the 7th
This could be the beginning of a longer term Bearish move and could end up back in the mid 95K before it finishes over the next 8 weeks
HOWEVER, PA does have the ability to turn the tables on the newly woken Bears
We will have to take this a step at a time right now.
But as emtioned in apost earlier today, I do expect us to NOT move to much higher in the near future but more to range once again, maybe for up to 8 - 10 Weeks
We shall see and watching the Dominance chars right now is a VERY good idea
Bitcoin’s Bearish Signal: Key Levels to WatchFenzoFx—Bitcoin consolidates near $104,225 after breaking below the bullish trendline, signaling a possible break of structure. This level acts as immediate support, and a bearish wave could form if BTC closes below it, targeting the $101,880 demand zone.
The bearish outlook remains valid unless Bitcoin surpasses $108,215. If broken, price could rise toward $111,800.
Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) .
Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC NewUpdate (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
As we had identified in the previous analysis, the price could have reversed to the upside from either the upper or lower green zone. It seems that the orders in the upper green zone were sufficient.
Given the break of the trigger line, the area marked by the yellow circle is now a key zone for us. If the price pulls back to this yellow circled area, it could move toward the red zone. And if the red zone is broken, we might witness a new all-time high (ATH).
The closure of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour Close since 2011 - looking forward
May Closed GREEN, and We are currently on a Very small Green candle for the month open.
Last month, in this series of monthly charts posts, I mentioned this..
"On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL
And Both of them were on the way to ATH. ( Arrows )
On both those occasions we had a GREEN MAY, though the gains were minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June."
And we just closed May with a minimal GREEN candle.
This is important to understand, This month, we have a 50/50 chance of repeating the Green June candle in this pattern.
Outside of this pattern, The previous MAY closes, 7 Green to 6 Red.
Of the 7 Green, 5 were followed by a Green June
With this, we have a higher % chance of a Green June
Of All previous June Closes, we had 7 Green to 6 Red.
Of those 7 previous Green June Closes, 3 were followed by GREEN July
Of the 6 previous RED Junes, ALL were followed by GREEN July
With this in mind, we maybe in a better position if we did close June with a small RED candle, as we did in the 2020 sequence ( right hand Arrow)
Should we close June RED, I will then expect a fairly level summer period with PA beginning to start moving again around September / October
Bitcoin PA is in an excellent position to move higher now though. It is also in an excellent position to move away from previous cycle patterns and begin creating new one.
We do have to remain vigilant as markets are moving everywhere and Macro conditions could change rapidly
But the one thing that seems to remain static is that it is a VERY GOOD IDEA to Buy Bitcoin and HOLD IT
BTCUSD Mind Mapping Analysis (MMC) + Structure Mapping + Target🕵️♂️ Introduction
Welcome traders! In today’s BTCUSD analysis, we dive deep into the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC) with curve-based support, smart money structure shifts, and mapped liquidity levels. This chart reveals how institutional players moved price through liquidity traps, accumulation zones, and major breakout points, culminating in a reversal zone.
This breakdown is ideal for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
Curve theory
Liquidity sweeps
Structure mapping
🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart:
🔹 1. Ellipse Zone – Liquidity Trap Phase
The blue ellipse on the left shows a clear area of price compression and indecision.
This is where retail traders often enter prematurely, expecting reversal.
Smart money exploits these zones to collect liquidity — this is not yet a trend shift, but a trap.
You can observe multiple wicks and fakeouts, signaling manipulation and preparation for expansion.
🔹 2. Expanding Channel – Volatility Phase
Following the trap, price enters an expanding pattern (also known as a megaphone).
These structures indicate uncertain market behavior, often manipulated to clear both highs and lows.
Smart money uses this to exhaust both buyers and sellers before deciding the real trend direction.
🔹 3. Previous Target & SR Flip Zone
Price reaches the previous downside target, completing a downward liquidity move.
From here, the market forms a support-resistance flip (SR-Interchange) — a textbook zone for institutional entries.
Once this zone holds, it confirms that buyers are absorbing sell orders.
The curve starts forming, indicating deeper market structure realignment.
🔹 4. Black Curve – Mind Mapping Curve Support
One of the most important elements of MMC — the curve — acts as a psychological and algorithmic support line.
The curve captures the accumulation structure in a flowing manner.
Repeated touches and rejections confirm its strength.
As long as price respects the curve, the bullish momentum remains intact.
🔹 5. Breakout Confirmation
Price breaks through mid-range consolidation and hits Target 1.
This move confirms a shift in market sentiment from indecision to bullish control.
The breakout is supported by volume, structure alignment, and curve acceleration.
🔹 6. Major Breakout Zone
A major resistance line is broken — this marks a shift in macro structure.
At this point, we label the zone as “Major Breakout” — any retest of this can offer a high-RR entry.
🔹 7. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Zone)
Price is now inside the Next Reversal Zone, which is a potential supply area or liquidity magnet.
Institutional traders may use this zone for profit-taking or to initiate a deeper retracement.
Watch for rejection signs, such as long wicks, engulfing patterns, or volume divergence.
If this zone is absorbed (i.e., broken cleanly), expect another leg higher.
💡 MMC Summary (Flow Recap):
Trap → Expansion → Liquidity Target → SR Flip → Curve Accumulation → Breakout → Target Hit → Reversal Zone
Each stage reflects smart money behavior and follows the natural cycle of manipulation → accumulation → distribution.
📊 What to Watch Next?
Confirmation Rejection in Reversal Zone? Short entries could be valid with curve re-entries.
Bullish Continuation? A clean break above reversal zone = new weekly highs likely.
Retest of Curve? If price pulls back, watch for rejections on the curve for safer long positions.
🚨 Trade Tips Based on This Setup:
✅ Use multi-timeframe confluence (M30 + H1 or H4)
✅ Always mark out previous liquidity zones
✅ Place SL below the curve or zone rejections
✅ Avoid entering trades inside expanding zones – wait for structure confirmation
🔖 Conclusion
This BTCUSD setup showcases a masterclass in smart money behavior using the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC). From trap to breakout, every move is cleanly mapped, providing a strong edge to traders who understand institutional footprints.
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, incorporating MMC curve support and liquidity logic can take your trading precision to the next level.
BTC Faces Critical Resistance—Breakout or Further Decline?FenzoFx—Bitcoin continues its bearish trend after hitting its 2025 all-time high at 113,165. BTC/USD is currently trading near $105,400, a high-volume area where price could either bounce or break lower.
The key resistance level rests at $103,170, supported by a bullish Fair Value Gap. If price holds above this zone, Bitcoin could rise toward $107,090.
However, a close below $103,170 would invalidate the bullish outlook, with the next bearish target at $99,435.
BTCUSD Weekly Structure Analysis – Bearish Trend + Target🔍 Overview:
Bitcoin has shown us a classic market structure shift, moving from bullish strength into a clear bearish retracement, all while respecting major zones and smart money concepts. This current price action highlights a Bearish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a continuation move toward a key demand zone, which we are eyeing for the next potential reversal opportunity.
🧩 1. TRC Breakout & Early Bull Run
The chart shows a strong bullish phase starting from November 2024, which peaked in late May 2025.
The TRC (Trendline Resistance Channel) Breakout marked the shift from lower highs to higher highs.
This breakout was the initial sign of bullish strength, leading to a break of structure (BOS) around the $108,000–$110,000 level.
⚠️ 2. BOS Confirmed – Structure Starts to Crumble
Once price reached the reversal area near $112,000 (supply zone), we saw a failure to form new highs.
The Bearish BOS was confirmed when price failed to hold support and aggressively broke below the previous higher low.
This BOS is our first confirmation of trend exhaustion and a transition into bearish structure.
🧠 3. Structural Analysis & Smart Money Behavior
Notice how price moved sideways near the top before dropping — a typical distribution phase.
This is where smart money distributes positions to retail buyers at the top before the markdown.
After the BOS, each lower high confirmed the bearish market structure, with no strong bullish CHoCH in sight.
🧱 4. Major CHoCH & Interchange Zone
Look lower on the chart — the SR Interchange Zone around the $76,000–$78,000 area is significant.
This acted as resistance in early 2025, flipped into support later, and now stands as a potential Major CHoCH (Change of Character) if price revisits and reverses here.
If price respects this zone again, it could mark the next bullish accumulation phase.
🎯 5. Current Target: $83,000–$85,000 Zone
Based on structural behavior, liquidity voids, and past interaction, our short-term target is the $83,000–$85,000 demand zone.
This area is marked as “Target + Next Reversal” on the chart.
We expect either:
A reaction and reversal from this zone
Or a deeper push toward SR Interchange depending on volume and macro triggers
🧮 Key Technical Breakdown:
Component Observation
Trendline Break TRC Breakout in February
Bullish BOS Confirmed around $108,000
Reversal Area ~$112,000 (Supply/Distribution)
Structure Shift Bearish BOS confirmed
Current Target $83,000–$85,000
CHoCH Potential $76,000–$78,000
Bias Bearish short-term
🧠 Trading Wisdom:
“Structure tells the story — price action confirms it.”
Always analyze shifts in structure, not just candle patterns. BOS and CHoCH are some of the most reliable tools in understanding true market intent, especially when aligned with high-volume reversal areas.
✅ Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is currently in a controlled retracement phase, and we are watching closely how price behaves near the $83K–$85K demand zone. If that fails, the deeper SR Interchange at ~$76K becomes the next high-probability zone for long entries.
This is a time to be patient, analyze clean structure, and ride with smart money, not against it.
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters
Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone.
This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes.
🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown:
1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation
Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation.
Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins.
Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal.
2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern
Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up:
The price reversed sharply.
This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout.
This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move.
📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat.
3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed
After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control.
This moment is crucial:
It confirms the smart money’s intention.
It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup.
Sellers now have control.
💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns.
4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off
The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows.
5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit
The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with:
A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before).
A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart.
This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target.
🎯 Key Zones:
Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep)
CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100
Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000
Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700
📈 Trading Strategy Recap:
Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break
Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+)
Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700)
This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep).
🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup:
Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key.
Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders.
Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes.
CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes.
🔎 Final Thoughts:
This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study.
Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained
Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include:
Mind Curve Resistance/Support
CHoCH (Change of Character)
BOS (Break of Structure)
Price Reflection Zones
These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance
The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone.
These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior.
🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish.
This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase.
🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control.
However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone."
🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry)
Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move.
The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction.
🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart)
📈 Bullish Path:
If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see:
✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest)
✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep)
📉 Bearish Path:
A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control:
⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone)
⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace)
⚠️ Watchlist Considerations:
Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts.
Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side.
This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting.
🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup?
🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge
🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides
🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection
💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions
📌 Summary
BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance.
Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical.
MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens.
📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action):
📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression?
💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.
BTC Short analysis + GRID Bot Scalper Strategy for BTC FuturesHELLO DEAR TRADERS,
If you're reading this right now, consider yourself one of the lucky few. You're gaining access to insights that, until now, have remained exclusive — reserved for a very small circle of insiders and influencers.
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Scalping Made Simple: The Power of GRID Bots
If you're serious about scalping the markets, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the GRID trading bot. When properly configured, it can deliver consistent, automated profits by executing micro-trades around the clock.
Let’s be real:
Sitting in front of charts all day, hunting for the perfect sniper entry, is not just exhausting — it’s inefficient.
Why not let automation do the heavy lifting while you focus on strategy?
________________________________________
⚙️ AUTO SCALPER MODE: ON (SHORT TERM BOT
Here are the optimal parameters to configure your GRID BOT on Binance for effective scalping:
🔧 Recommended Settings:
o Trading Pair: BTC/USDTP (futures GRID)
o Mode: Grid Trading (long)
o Price Range: 105000 – 112000 USDT
o Current leverage : x18
o Number of Grids: 22-25 levels
o Order Size: Depends on your capital)
o Profit Mode: Arithmetic
o Margin mode : isolated
o Trailing up : Disabled
o Take-Profit: 112000
o Stop-Loss: 104000
o Open a position on creation : Disabled
o Close all position on stop: Enabled
o Close all positions on TP/SL stops: Enabled
📌 Notes :
⚠️The settings listed aboce have been meticulously calculated using precise algorithmic models. Every parameter serves a purpose — and even the slightest deviation can significantly impact performance, potentially leading to capital loss.
⚠️Do not judge the bot’s performance based on its real-time PNL. The true profit is only realized once the bot reaches its target and closes all active orders.
⚠️These bots are designed with high-level precision, offering a powerful edge when configured and used correctly.
✋ Manual Entries (For Experienced Traders)
If you're a more advanced trader, you can combine the GRID bot with manual entries based on:
o Buy orders listed on the chart
o You can enter a buy position at any price within the defined range on the chart — as long as the price does not break above the upper boundary of that range
o Using leverage is possible, but only under one condition:
-Your stop-loss and liquidation price must always remain below the highest protected low or in the SL area
o Your stop loss should always be bellow the highest protected Low
🔍 Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
Bitcoin Bounce on Trump Tariff Delay – Short Setup Still Valid!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , and declined near the Support lines .
Bitcoin started pumping after the news that " US President Trump agreed to postpone 50% EU tariffs until July 9th ." Do you think this pumping of Bitcoin will continue?
Bitcoin is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,800) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to be in corrective waves , which is why I am labeling this idea as a ''Short''. The corrective waves structure is of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) type.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines once again, and if these lines are broken, it will decline to the Targets I have indicated on the chart.
Notes :
MicroStrategy bought another 4,020 Bitcoins, but it didn't have much of an impact on the market.
If the Bitcoin price falls back below $109,000, about $185 million in long Bitcoin positions will be liquidated . = Attractive for exchanges
Bitcoin 2025 Conference to be Held in Las Vegas, Tuesday-Thursday = Could Cause Market Excitement .
Note: If Bitcoin touches $112,080, we should expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
LongTerm BITCOIN LINEAR chart & NUPL tells a story -August Top
We can start with the main chart.
This is a LONG TERM LINEAR chart, showing the price action Directly, unaltered by mathmatics,
Long Term charts usualy are shown by logarithmic charts.
Linear and logarithmic trading charts differ in how they represent price changes. Linear charts display equal price changes the same, making them suitable for short-term traders focusing on exact price movements. On the other hand, logarithmic charts show percentage changes, which makes them better for long-term investors or volatile assets, as they help in analyzing trends and patterns more clearly over time.
This chart starts just before the 2017 ATH and you can easily see the line that rejects ATH and how PA is up near that area right now.
Things to note are the day count from 2017 ATH to 2021 Final ATH and the day count between that double Top in 2021.
These numbers are projected to our current cycle and show we are near the projected Top using this style of Chatr, The Log charts project further into the year.
It may also be worth noting how the 50 EMA (red) was used by PA after the Drop after the first ATH, to bounce back up to the next ATH at the end of that year.
We have just done exactly the same again, PA was rejected by that long term Line and Dipped down to the 50 EMA and has since bounced back up to the rejecting line.
IS REJECTION LIKELY NOW? [/b
This is something that is impossible to answer with any real Fact But we can look at data and make eductaed projections.
PA has the ability and strength right now, to range high, running up under this line of rejection until it becomes overbought on the long term MACD, RSI , TSI etc
But something that will absolutely decide when the top is in is the Profit taking by Holders.
We are currently seeing Selling taking place and we can see the potential profit by looking at NUPL
NUPL, or Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, is an indicator used in trading to measure the difference between unrealized profits and losses in the Bitcoin market.
Here is the chart from all the way back to 2010
Lots to see here but to summerise.
See how there are Peaks each cycle of Maximum available profit. The point where profit taking Tops out is arrowed. This area, up to the red line, shows us the TOP zone.
What is VERY noticable this cycle is how we have not yet reached that upper Red line.
Sellers appear to be taking theor profits earlier.
The upper day counts have been consistant in the past, with 2 double tops of potential profit before the selling sold it all off.
Many people, including me, have been saying "This time is different" and this is VERY clearly shown here by the fact that we have already had the 2 peaks of potential profit and we are currently climbing to the 3rd
This has NEVER happened before and, technicaly, this could continue.
The Lower day counts are from Mid Double Tops to the Next Mid double top of potential profits mentioned above,
The Next "Mid point" is projected to be around July.
This NUPL also shows ua how the high level of potentia profits was reached Quicker this cycle than previously. This was helped by the Corporations buying Early and Massive amounts, putting Large numbers of coins into profit
In Conclusion [/i
We have the Linear Bitcoin chart pointing towards a JULY / August Top
We have the NUPL also pointing towards a July / August Mid point of Potential profits.
If you loo cloely, BOTH charts, using differnet data, suggest 28 July
What also maybe worth considering here is how we see that Potential profits are reducing in availability. As the asset becomes more expensive to buy, it also gets harder to push the price higher and so make more profit. I,E. It was eaier to double the price of Bitcoin when it was $50 a coin
Of course, non of this may play out, Things ARE DIFFERNT but I have now decided to have another plan ready for August and we need to wait and see what happens Next
BE PREPARED FOR ALL POSSIBILITIES
BTC finds support around ATHsBitcoin is potentially finding support around $107k after making new ATHs last week around $112k.
Assuming these levels as S and R, a strong break could signal the direction of price in the coming days.
If local support is lost, we can expect price to at least test $104.9k.
Assuming the bullish momentum continues, breaking resistance would signal higher prices. Still in tact, a continued bull flag breakout from $104.9k (20 May) could still put BTC at around $115k.
BTCUSD Rejection Setup – Order Block Hit, Weak Lows in Sight!📉 BTCUSD is setting up a textbook bearish reversal — Smart Money style.
This 1H chart shows Bitcoin tapping into a high-timeframe Order Block at ~$104,190–104,560, with a clear rejection from the premium zone and confluence with the upper trendline.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Order Block tapped at $104,190–104,560
✅ Strong rejection candle near the trendline resistance
✅ Price failed to break above the Strong High — a sign of Smart Money distribution
✅ Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity at $101,420
✅ Final target? Weak Low and liquidity pool around $99,189
🔍 Smart Money Confluence:
Price has moved into a premium selling zone, aligning with the upper bounds of market structure
Order Block rejection suggests institutional selling interest
Weak lows below $100K are prime targets for liquidity grabs
Retail longs are likely trapped — ideal conditions for a downward sweep
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Smart Money doesn’t chase price — it delivers it. This move likely represents a "Mitigation and Distribution" phase before a deeper selloff:
📌 Mitigation of previous long positions inside the OB
📌 Distribution at the highs before targeting the next liquidity pool
📉 Trade Idea:
Short Entry Zone: $104,200–104,500
Targets:
TP1: $101,420 (Sell-side Liquidity)
TP2: $100,000 (Psych level / Weak Low)
TP3: $99,189 (Liquidity Magnet)
Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 (above the OB and Strong High)
🧠 Tip for Traders:
Wait for a confirmation bearish structure shift or lower high on the LTF (15m/5m) before entering full size. Smart Money leaves clues — not impulses.
💬 Comment "BTC Setup" if you’re trading this drop
🔁 Save this analysis — this is how Smart Money dominates crypto markets.
Bitcoin Be Setting Bull Trap?_Breakout Without High VolumeBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall yesterday after forming a new All-Time High(ATH) with high volume , but started to rise again. One of the reasons for Bitcoin’s sudden drop yesterday was the sharp drop in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) index .
First of all, I must say that Bitcoin’s situation is a bit complicated and difficult to analyze , so pay more attention to money management. Be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin is trading above the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) and near the Resistance lines and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($113,020-$111,833) . What is worrying is that the break of the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) was NOT accompanied by high volume , suggesting a bull trap is possible .
I see a correction to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,972-$108,609) given the low breakout volume for Bitcoin and the large sell orders in the upper prices for Bitcoin .
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Today, the Flash PMI data from the U.S . came in stronger than expected:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 49.9, previous 50.2)
Flash Services PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 51.0, previous 50.8)
Analysis :
Both numbers exceeded expectations, signaling stronger economic activity in the U.S. This is bullish for the USD( TVC:DXY ) and could put short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, as it lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.
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Do you think Bitcoin is completing a Bull Trap or should we expect Bitcoin to increase further?
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above $114,500 with high momentum, we can expect Bitcoin to rise to near $119,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin’s Pump to NEW ATH($109,845) Ends in High-Volume ReversalBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved towards the targets as I expected in my previous idea , although it faced pump and dump moves in reaching the targets .
Bitcoin managed to create a new New All-Time High(ATH=$109,845) but immediately began to decline on high volume .
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,860) and near the Resistance lines , Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least $102,200 AFTER breaking the Support zone($105,100-$104,140) , and the possibility of further declines is very high .
Also, on the 1-hour timeframe of the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, a bullish and regressive Falling Wedge pattern is visible , with its upper line broken.
Do you think Bitcoin can finally create a NEW All-Time High(ATH) Again!?
Note: If Bitcoin touches $110,100, we should expect a pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin vs Resistance Zones | Fake Breakdown Below the Channel!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving up and down with high momentum over the past 24 hours and finally fell below the lower line of the ascending channel . Is this break of the lower line of the ascending channel valid?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($104,478-$103,941) . Since the volume of breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel is NOT high, the probability of a fake break is very high (in my opinion).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the structure of the main wave 4 seems to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The main wave 5 could lead to the formation of a new All-Time High(ATH ).
One of the reasons why I think we saw a Fake Break below the lower line of the ascending channel is that I think the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) will trend upward , and given the high correlation between Bitcoin and S&P500 Index these days, we can expect Bitcoin to increase .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) and touch the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $101,800, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.