#Bitcoin Peeling Higher, Next Stop $18.5k?Past Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is up four percent versus the greenback in the last trading day as the coin peels higher. The brief consolidation of the weekend has been straightened as activity is re-injected, heightening volatility. With prices above $17k and $17.5k, BTC may easily breach $18.5k as the coin turns the corner.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The path of least resistance is, in the short term, northwards. Specifically, the coin is within a bullish breakout formation, confirming the bull bar of November 30 and December 20. As it is, every low may offer entries now that the upside momentum is firm. Notice that BTC bull bars are along the upper BB, pointing to decent upside momentum. Provided prices are above $17.5k; every low is a loading opportunity for optimistic buyers angling for November 9 highs.
What to Expect from #BTC?
BTC is technically bearish, per the formation in the daily chart. Even though bulls are in control, the coin is trading within the bear bars of November 8 and 9, a net negative from volume analysis. Until BTC breaks out from $18.5k, the coin may form the base for another leg up to $20k, or better.
Resistance level to watch out for: $18.5k
Support level to watch out for: $17.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Bitcoinanalysis
Bitcoin is about to crash!Hello, my friends!
The largest Bitcoin bear is here. Today I found the Elliott wave formation which gave me the high confidence that BTC will dump hardly next couple on days.
Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame of the WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT chart. Here I am going to show you the local sub wave 3. It consists of the 5 waves. Wave 2 was represented as the triangle correction – rare situation, but it has happened. Wave 4 was the ordinary zigzag which has been ended at 0.5 Fibonacci and now the price finished the wave 5 inside wave 3.
The overall pump as I suppose is not over, but it’s almost done. I think we will not earn a lot of money opening long trades. Wave 4 of higher degree have the target area next to the wave 4 end of the lower degree. Let’s notice that it perfectly coincides with the 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the entire wave 3. It gave me high confidence that my interpretation of the market’s underlying structure is correct. Anyway I am holding my short from $17080 , now I am in small loss and is going to wait for at least $15600 to partially take profit.
Best regards, Ivan
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#Bitcoin Turning the Corner, BTC May Spike to $18.5kPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is shaking the weakness of December, rallying seven percent in four weeks. This week's expansion is bullish since it keeps prices above $17k and December 20 highs, confirming demand. For this momentum to be sustained, BTC buyers must add to yesterday's gains, pushing and maintaining the coin above $17.5k. At this pace, BTC could be pushed towards $18.5k.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Buyers are upbeat, judging from the formation in the daily chart. Even though there were attempts to reject upside pressure, the sharp bounce on January 10 is bullish. As it is, traders can load the dips, targeting $18.5k in the short term. Supporting this preview is the solid bullish engulfing bar of yesterday. This bar kept prices above $17k, sustaining the coin above December 20, a bullish formation. Since bars also align with the upper BB, the upside pressure is higher. Therefore, if prices are above $17k, traders can ramp up.
What to Expect from #BTC?
Bitcoin is turning the corner. However, fortunes could change if the coin blasts above $18.5k. There are hints towards this, especially if there is a follow-through of yesterday's developments. In that case, BTC could easily pierce above $18k, triggering more demand.
Resistance level to watch out for: $18.5k
Support level to watch out for: $16.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
BTC Bitcoin Santa Claus RallyBTC Bitcoin tends to follow the stock market in price movement.
U.S. stocks tend to rise during the Santa Claus rally period.
The Santa Rally is considered the last five trading sessions of the year and first two of the new year.
Since 1950, the S&P 500 has traded higher 78% of the time during the Santa rally period for an average gain of 1.3%.
My price target for BTC Bitcoin is $17340.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
#Bitcoin Off To A Start Strong, Will BTC Bulls Prevail?Past Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices started the week strongly on January 9. While the coin is trading above $17k and banding along the upper BB, pointing to interest, it remains to be seen whether the uptrend will continue. BTC bulls must close above the immediate resistance line for trend definition. From the daily chart, the January 9 bar closed as an inverted hammer with a long upper wick pointing to liquidation in the NY session.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Overly, bears are in control, considering the formation in the past few months. Critical resistance and support lie at $17.5k and $16.5k, respectively. Even so, the expansion of prices on January 10 and the surge above $17k is bullish. Presently, traders can look for entries, but only once there is confirmation of yesterday's gains above $17.5k. In that case, buyers can load the dips, targeting $18.5k or better. The liquidation in lower timeframes may cancel the uptrend, slowing down buyers. Subsequently, BTC may drop lower due to subsiding upsides. Still, if BTC remains above $16.5k, buyers stand a chance.
What to Expect from #BTC?
Buyers are confident that the bear run is over. Nonetheless, for trend definition, there must be substantial gains above $17.5k and $18.5k in the near term. If the surge confirms the gains of January 9, BTC may float to $18.5k and even $20k in the coming weeks.
Resistance level to watch out for: $17.5k
Support level to watch out for: $16.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Bitcoin Analysis 09.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Bitcoin – more pump, but crash will be anyway!Hello, everyone!
Last time I told you that we can anticipate another one leg up before the dump, I have even placed short limit order at $17080 . Today market gave me the lesson that it’s alive and we shouldn’t place the limit orders. When we place it we trade our convctions and desires instead of market. This is the violation of rule which Bill Williams gave us. To be honest I forgot that I placed this order before the weekend. Market was not volatile and I was scared that the desired move is going to happen during sleep. The current pump was stronger than I supposed and it has changed the local wave’s structure, but overall forecast is the same.
Let’s take a look at the 2h time frame of the WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT chart . I swiched to 2h from 1h because Bitcoin has printed more than 100-140 bars, which is needed for trading chaos approach. Wave 3 is obviously happening now becuase of the highest awesome oscillator value. The price hit exactly the extended wave 3 target of 2.61 Fibonacci extension. It means that market is ready for the corrective wave 4. I am going to fix the mistake I did and close position is the zero profit and open scalp long after that.
When it will happen we have to wait for the last wave 5 to execute short trade. The target for the entry point shifted to $17450 approximately, but watch out the market and trade it, not the convictions. I will tell you my actions under this article.
Best regards, Ivan
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#Bitcoin Spins, BTC Traders Watching $17.5kPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices continue to spin, per the formation in the daily chart. Even though market participants are hopeful, the path of least resistance remains southwards unless there are encouraging gains. As it is, buyers may edge above $17.5k with expanding volumes for trend definition. If not, sellers remain in control, weighing sellers in favor of buyers.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The contraction of trading volumes and volatility is impacting price patterns. The daily chart has a squeeze forming, signaling flat-lining momentum. It is despite the higher highs relative to the lower BB following gains of January 6. As it is, buyers may take charge. However, this is only after there is confirmation. Conservative traders can wait for gains above $17.5k, confirming buyers of January 6 and December 20. If the breakout is with rising volumes, BTC may rally to $18.5k or better in the coming days.
What to Expect from #BTC?
Traders are confident of what lies ahead, hopeful the bear run is over. Nonetheless, this will mean nothing unless there are gains above immediate liquidation lines, confirming the spins of the past three days as accumulation. In the short term, the $17.5k and $18.5k levels are critical for BTC price action.
Resistance level to watch out for: $17.5k
Support level to watch out for: $16k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Bitcoin- Mini bull run in the first semester of 2023?The long-term trend for Bitcoin, in fact, for all the crypto market, is bearish, and there's no question about this, and, to be honest, I'm almost sure we will have new lows in the future( as sure you can be when it comes to markets). However, at this moment, I think we will have a rebound for a few months and, as there's no straight up in a bull trend, the same is no straight down in a bear one.
In this post, I will explain my reasons for thinking this, both technically and using common sense, and share my current trade and risk management.
Technically:
At the beginning of November, Bitcoin has broken under important 18k support and reached 15500. After a retest of the broken support, BtcUsd fell again, but, instead of making a new low, made a higher low and started to consolidate again and even made a small double bottom in the past month or so.
Now the neckline of this double bottom is broken (17k) and the target for this is towards 18k resistance. In the eventuality of a rise to 18k, 16300 is confirmed as a higher low and there is a high chance of a break back above 18k which would confirm a false break and a bear trap.
This whole outcome could lead to further gains and my first target is 21k.
Common sense:
First of all, after the 18k break back in November, the drop lacked continuation, instead, we have consolidation and even a lot of bad news came from the crypto market Bitcoin stud still.
Second...
This "invitation" to sell on a stable market because all will drop is something I don't buy.
Selling at 16-17k and rebuying it at 10k would be too simple.
My Trade:
I know there are a lot of "ifs" in my analysis, but if you traded long enough you know that, in fact, you should work with "ifs" and take a trade step by step.
Only idiots have certainties(and know that Bitcoin will go to 1mil or 0, depending on the bias), intelligent people have doubts, I'm not an intelligent man, so I have stop loss...:)
So.. here is my personal trade at this moment:
Bought at 16700 in anticipation of a break above 17k (so far I'm correct)
Stop loss is around 16k, but for the sake of round numbers, let's say 15700
Take profit, at this moment, is at 21k
Considering a buy trade of 1Btc, the potential loss is 1000usd and the potential profit si 4k, this would mean 1:4 R: R which for me, as a speculator, is fabulous.
As I said, a lot could happen, and if the price is breaking 18k and going towards 20k with buying power I even can aim for 25k and remove TP from 21k.
Nevertheless, my potential loss for this trade is already counted for and now is the market's turn.
Have a nice trading week!
Mihai Iacob
Bitcoin Volatility All-Time-LowBitcoin's volatility is currently at an all-time-low meaning we haven't seen major price changes in a very long time. This is incredibly rare for a very volatile asset such as Bitcoin, although the uncertainty in the markets fueled by recession thoughts is the likely cause of this.
Bitcoin Cup & HandleBitcoin is forming a cup and handle pattern on the Daily chart, and is currently close to breaking out. Although we can't know for sure if it will break to the upside or downside, Cup & Handle patterns are known to be bullish, therefore, the potential bullish target is available on the chart.
Bitcoin - The newest Local UpdateHello Traders and Investors. I hope you are doing well.
At this point, $17,200 to $17,600 is a strong resistance zone.
The price has been accumulating for a very long time, volatility has dropped to historic lows, it means that a new strong price movement is coming soon.
In which direction it will happen, it is difficult to say now.
Anyway, the last fast fall of the price to the level of $12k would be the ideal culmination of this accumulation, after which we could already relax and enjoy the growth of the price to $32k.
But also very bearish market sentiment and waiting for the $12k crowd suggests that it could be a trap.
Locally, I see an area where there are many preconditions for opening a short trade.
These include:
- Sell Streak (my own crypto-indicator).
Unfortunately, by Trading View rules I can't share my paid indicator for free, my ideas are blocked for that, I can only do it on twit$er (yeah, that's really stupid, I don't get it), so just trust me, it is there!
- Imbalance Zone.
- Extreme level.
- 0.5 - 0.68 Fibonacci
I will open a trade in this area!
All my 6 years of trading experience, knowledge, developments, and indicators I share them here in ideas for free. In return I will ask you just follow me, like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
Bitcoin Might Have Bottomed Already
Observing sentiment on social media has tought me one thing: Almost everyone is bearish on the cryptomarket, and almost everyone thinks we should go down.
Now, I am not dismissing the possibilty that the price could/should go lower, but I also think that timing the market is not worth it anymore.
Historically speaking, we're at the point where a bottom is in, or a where bottom is near.
Bitcoin - Short Term ReviewToday you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ).
Bitcoin price has been heading higher but it may meet resistance very soon as shown in the chart. Volume is low and RSI is headed towards resistance.
I have been calling drops on BTC since November and December of 2021. Be careful.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #millionaireeconomics
Bitcoin – my insane short setup!Hello, everyone!
Last time I considered 1h time frame and told you that anticipate leg up in wave 5 to the price range between $17070 and $17245 . Yesterday I opened long at the very bottom $16730 and closed at $17000 . It was the scalp trade, thats why I have not revealed it here, but you could use my analysis to execute it. Now it does not matter because I am going to show you the sniper short entry on Bitcoin. Let’s go!
We are using 15 min time frame of the WHITEBIT:BTCUSDT chart because we want to see the local picture. On the 1h BTC is printing wave 5 and now we have the purpose to catch the very top of the wave 5 inside the wave 5 of higher degree. Using our favorite awesome oscillator we found the the wave 3 top. It coincides with maximum AO value. Now the market is in boring wave 4 which has the most frequent target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. If you are intraday trader you can use this information to open scalp long.
My purpose it to find the wave 5 top. First of all let’s take a look at the wave 3. It has almost reached the 2.62 Fibonacci extension. It means that it’s extended, that’s why wave 5 is going to be ordinary. Therefore wave 5 has two targets: $16983 if it’s trimmed, $17056 if it’s normal. How to define the trimmed wave 5 before it happened? To be honest I don’t know, it’s tricky task. I can only consider the underlying structure on 5 min time frame.
Which trading plan do I have? I am going to place limit order at $17056 and if I will see the weakness next to the $16983 I change the entry level. I want to remind you that the target for this short at the $12-14k.
Best regards, Ivan
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If you like my trade ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality analytics!
Bitcoin TA-Bottom/Next Bull 2023 to 2027 - Final Thoughts Hello everyone, not a financial advice though,
This chart analysis is the continuation of the below Bitcoin and DXY Analysis:
After Detailed Analysis/Examination in all aspects and making different chart Analysis like Elliott Wave Theory/DXY/Volume/Indicators/Oscillators/Patterns I came to the conclusion with the current Bitcoin targets as somewhat realistic in my mind.
In past When the macro trend of DXY is over and DXY is Bottomed - S&P500 is making Double Top and Two Lower Lows.
So, Bitcoin is a new class of asset there is no previous macro trend of Bitcoin, since Bitcoin is looking Bearish in Yearly Candles wise,
so, I feel Bitcoin may make two major Lower Highs and Two major Lower Lows
My Targets:
by Dec-2025 - In and around - 55600+. (I took according to 4 year cycle of Bitcoin)
by Mar-2027 - In and around - 11800. (I considered 1 Year Bear cycle of Bitcoin)
currently Jan2023 am thinking DXY is in topping process with sideways consolidation (whenever DXY consolidates and creating Bearish Divergence in RSI than Bitcoin is in Accumulation/Recovery phase).
This is not yet confirmed but comparing to past history, something similar now.
Like, share and comment is you have any questions.
Thank you,
Bitcoin Yearly Analysis:
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 53% BTC, 47% Cash.
* The December US Employment Situation was released this morning , the Unemployment Rate is back down to 3.5% from 3.7% in November, while 223k Nonfarm Jobs were added (compared to 263k in November) and the Labor Force Participation Rate ticked up to 62.3% from 62.1% in November. These numbers hardly reflect an economy affected by higher central bank interest rates and will likely spur conversation regarding whether or not to go back to a 75bps rate hike (as opposed to 50bps) come February 1st. The Fed Minutes released yesterday reaffirmed that the Fed is committed to bringing down inflation, they don't see rates cuts in 2023, and that Russia and China both are still major factors of supply chain disruptions which will continue to reverberate through global markets until some resolution is found. In the report, notable changes are significant rises to consumer credit and decreases to commercial real estate construction and investing. December Global Manufacturing PMI released on 01/03 showed an accelerated decrease to 48.6 from 48.8 in November, influenced primarily by lower output from USA, China, Japan and Europe, and is now at a 30-month low. Among the countries which saw an expansion of output production, Russia and India were in the top 5 (BRICS). The latest GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate (01/05) is 3.8% , down from 3.9% on 01/03.
Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, 1-M and 2-M US Treasurys, Energy, Metals, Agriculture (Mixed), EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, NI225 and N100 are up. DXY, US Treasurys, VIX and HSI are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 01/10; US December CPI at 830am EST 01/12; UofM Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am 01/13. *
Price is currently trending up at ~$16800 as it continues to test the 50MA for the tenth consecutive session. Volume remains Moderate (moderate) and is on track to favor buyers in five out of the past six sessions; Price continues to trade within the second largest supply/demand zone. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $17600, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI continues to trend sideways at 50 for the third consecutive session as it aims to retest the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at 57 as resistance. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 97 as it approaches max top. MACD remains bullish for a fifth consecutive session and is currently trending up at -63; the next resistance is at 312 while the next support (minor) is at -232. ADX continues to trend down at 16 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to trade in range with a short term uptrend, this is bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to break above the 50MA at $16800 and establish short-term support there, the next resistance is the local-high at ~$18600 as resistance before potentially testing $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16300.
BTC Dominance Structure Today I leave you with a rather interesting comparative analysis, introducing the much-studied and used concept of market capitalization dominance, in our case of Bitcon versus the rest of the crypto market.
The graph structured by TView gives us in this case a percentage of market dominance, that of Bitcoin against altcoins,
ideal for establishing migrations from bitcoin to altcoins according to their profitability at certain times or vice versa.
In general, it is well known that altcoins take a little longer than bitcoin to raise their prices, but when this happens they skyrocket above their profitability,
in the case of falls it is similar but inversely if bitcoin falls the alts tend to have much larger falls.
The comparison that we bring today with the graph in red shows us the concept of numerical dominance, without percentages, in this case the amount in the top 80 Cryptos that are in annual profitability above Bitcoin.
A very interesting concept that we will develop further in further analysis.
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Hoy os dejo un análisis comparativo bastante interesante, introduciendo el tan estudiado y usado concepto de dominancia de capitalización de mercado, en nuestro caso de Bitcon frente al resto del criptomercado.
El gráfico estructurado por TView nos da en este caso un porcentaje de dominancia de mercado, el de Bitcoin frente a las altcoins, ideal para establecer migraciones de bitcoin a altcoins según su rentabilidad en ciertos momentos o viceversa.
Por lo general es bien sabido que las altcoins tardan algo mas que bitcoin en levantar sus precios, pero cuando esto se da se disparan por encima de su rentabilidad, en el caso de las caídas es similar pero a la inversa si bitcoin cae las alts tienden a tener caidas mucho mayores.
La comparación que traemos hoy con el gráfico en rojo nos muestra el concepto de dominancia numérica, sin porcentajes, en este caso la cantidad en el top 80 Cryptos que se encuentran en rentabilidad anual por encima de Bitcoin. Un concepto muy interesante que desarrollaremos más a fondo en nuevos análisis.