"Bitcoin Analysis" (Update)Here's what I can gather from the chart right now:
The Minor Resistance zone has been strongly broken to the upside; we haven't seen good pullbacks to this level yet.
On the other hand, below the broken zone, there's a price gap toward the FVG, as indicated by the arrow.
Also, the pullback to the breakout level at 0.382 has not been completed, and no patterns have formed in that area!
So? When we analyze all the breakout factors, we see a very high chance of a correction.
Now, this correction could start from the confirmation level at 96,364, or with an overextension, it could happen from the 98k zone.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard
Bitcoinanalysis
BITCOIN 3 x Double Top, Dip, Range, Bounce since Jan 2023
The Chart says it all really.
The 3 times PA has gone sideways, it can be seen as a Double Top, Dip and Range.
The Accumulation / Distributions was similar on Both previous occasions ( 2023, 2024 ) and, so far, are also very similar on this occasion in 2025.
But there are some major differences.......
IF these were to be seem as forms of WYCKOFF Ranges, then the longer the Range period, the stronger the move higher after and I find it very clear, that the move higher after the 2023 range was a lot higher than the move higher after the 2024 Range
2023 Range was approx 189 days ( marked on a Weekly chart so up to 7 days inaccuracy )
2024 Range was approx 168 days.
Currently, we are on 147 days. ( I mark this as a significant date as there was a 20 day difference between 2023 ane 2024 and the 147 is 20 days short of the 2024)
However, this is slightly different this time as we Dropped out of original Range box and have Just pushed back higher into original range Box, so, even though we have had a good few weeks, we are still in Range, the Original Range Box
On the original Chart, the dotted line just below PA is the approx line of the 50 Week SMA and we bounced off that Twice in 2024 to push higher and we just bounced off that again to return to original range box.
But as you can see, that was only a Wick down. It may not have been a Full on bounce to take us out of the upper range box and I see Momentum slowing for a while now
This also happened on previous occasions but on a smaller scale.
This can be seen better on the Daily chart, that includes the SMA's
SMA's 50 Red, 100 Blue, 128 Green & 200 Yellow
The first thing to note is how the 200 is about to cross the 100
This is NOT a thing to panic about as the recent push higher will not be reflected in these Averages for a while but it does show the Depth of the Dip we just came out of.
What IS important is how PA is ABOVE the Averages..
But the Candle size are small and we are cooling off on a Daily MACD
We are NOT overbought on this MACD yet and so we could see a turn higher but Longer term, so long as we remain in the upper Range Box, it would be good if this cooled off to Neutral again
For me, I am hoping for a GREEN MAY candle Close and that could very well happen but the candle may not be Large, which leaves PA still in this Range by month end, but maybe in the upper edges of it....around 110K
This would then allow for the possible Small RED June, that would take PA back to lower range. as we saw in 2020 - .THEN we have a nice cooled PA
OR we could just go for it NOW and see what happens as we did in 2017
it is impossible to predict this but we can be ready ..
BUY BOTCOIN - HOLD BITCOIN
Bitcoin Range-Bound in Heavy Resistance – CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like Gold , has been moving in a Range for the past 5-6 days and is currently in a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) , as it has been in the past few days .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure can take two forms: Double Three Correction(WXY)_Expanding Flat(3-3-5) .
I label this analysis " Short " for the following reasons:
Due to Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) these days, I am short on the S&P 500 Index.
China’s president Xi Jinping says Trump lied about them having a phone call ; it is NOT good news for the S&P 500 Index and Bitcoin .
CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) has NOT filled yet, and I think Bitcoin will NOT start the next bullish rally before filling the CME Gap.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $92,830 and then decline to the Support zone($92,000-$91,400) if the Support lines are broken.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,741-$95,520
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $97,000, we should expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 100_SMA(Daily), we should expect a fall.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Brief BITCOIN Weekly synopsis - BULLISH sign everywhere
BLUE DASHED LINE = Current ATH
Bitcoin did Drop below the lower trendline of the ascending channel it has been in since Jan 2023 but it made a sustained recovery since that moment and continues to climb as sentiment returns.
One of the main resons for this, as I have repeatably mentioned, is the Weekly MACD.
This bounced a little Earlier than expected, possibly due to falling out of the channel and the Bulls stepping in to pull it back.
But as you can see, We have yet to cross over the Signal line and so, Yes, the possibility of this being a bull Trap does exist but I am not inclined to believe this.
We have had 4 weeks of recovering Histogram, showing Strength behind the move.
The RSI is also Bullish having just crossed above its own MA ( Moving Average )
This turned Bullish while still around 44, so NOT oversold by any means but still with plenty of Room to climb higher. Again, Signs of a sustained Rise are in play
There are some Stiff lines of resistance above and we will start encountering them from 98K usd ( very soon ) and will remain till around 112K usd
These are IMMINENT
For me, we may not make it first time out but one VERY Bullish thing is that we did bounce of the 50 SMA once again
50 SMA RED - 100 Blur - 200 Yellow
On the chart shown here, that rising trendline is around 112K
The Green area to the right is a projected ATH zon. PA should rise above this to reach cycle ATH
Should PA get rejected off the overhead resistance and fall back lower, the 60 SMA sits around 85K
I would be amazed if that happens BUT anything is possible and we wait to see how Strong MAY is going to be.
Over all, the next 7 Months WILL be memorable.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The 96k–97k zone is an important area. It is expected that with a touch or hunt of this zone, which we have shown on the chart with an orange circle, Bitcoin will give a correction and altcoins that are ready for correction will also correct.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD - best to wait a bit for a possible breakoutIf you are not already long on BTC, I would suggest exercising some patience. As my trendline indicates, we have had a few recent attempts to break higher. We have no idea if we will get that breakout or will price decline again. My approach would be to wait for a daily candle that closes above the trendline.
If that happens, I would place a pending long trade above the high of that breakout candle, stop placement below the recent swing low and 1st target at the round number 100,000.
Depending on the price action, a second target around 107,000 also looks possible.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
bitcoin road map !!!Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
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Bullish Bitcoin Find ResistanceFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish above the 50-period simple moving average but lost momentum near the $95,995 resistance. It currently trades around $94,650.
A breakout above $95,995 could trigger a move toward $99,560. Conversely, a close below $92,875 may lead to a drop toward $91,720, with further downside potential to $88,830 if selling pressure intensifies.
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$BTC back to $59-62kAs you can see from the chart, BTC is rejecting from the range highs which sets up the next (and final) leg lower before we continue the bull run.
Despite the bounce over the last few weeks, all we've done is retested the area which we broke down from back in February.
Now this sets up a large move lower down to the lower support levels at GETTEX:59K -$62k.
After we tag those levels, we'll continue our next move higher into 2026-2027.
Will BTC Correct Before Breaking $96K? CME Gap Still Open!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as it did in the previous post , I hope it was useful for everyone.
Bitcoin is still moving in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , this type of movement does NOT seem to be enough to break Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , so I still expect a correction .
The volume of Bitcoin's price rebound to the previous high does NOT seem to be sufficient, and even Regular Divergence(RD-) is evident.
According to Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed its 5 impulse waves and we should expect another decline . Of course, there is still a possibility that the main wave 4 will be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . But both scenarios can bring us a decline in Bitcoin price .
I expect Bitcoin will NOT be able to break the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) before the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) is filled, This is just my analysis of course, considering the above explanation. What do you think?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $96,000-$95,095
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $93,350-$92,551
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $96,100, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Walks Into a Robust Resistance AreaFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish above the 50-period simple moving average at around $93,950. A doji candlestick on the daily chart signals potential consolidation or a bearish move.
Resistance spans from $94,990 to $99,420, suggesting a possible reversal. We recommend waiting for Bitcoin’s reaction before planning a strategy.
Bitcoin's next targets are 140K and 250K !This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Are Bitcoin's mid-term targets still valid?
First of all, please review the previous analysis
In our last analysis, we mentioned that if there was any drop, it would likely be towards the resistance line that had been broken, and we identified the pullback zone around the 77K channel.
Now, based on the available data, the pullback has been successful, and Bitcoin's target is to move toward the 130-140K range. A 3D pattern has formed, and the third drive could complete within this range, after which Bitcoin may enter a corrective phase.
But what about the second target | 250K?
Why are we considering this target? There are several reasons:
First, the bullish wave in gold was preventing capital from flowing into cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Now, gold is reaching the end of its bullish wave, which could lead to significant liquidity flowing into crypto and Bitcoin.
Second, Bitcoin's channel structure remains very bullish. If substantial liquidity enters the market, not only could the 250K target be achieved, but Bitcoin might even reach higher levels.
BTC Is Still Bullish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Bitcoin is still struggling with the supply zone we identified in the previous analysis. It has not yet been able to establish itself above this supply area.
A slight correction is expected, with support anticipated from the green box.
The closing of a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Pumped Hard – Is It Time for a Pullback to Fill CME GAP!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping after the pullback, as I expected in my previous post , I hope you were able to take profits.
Bitcoin is trading in the upper areas of the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) , near the Resistance lines and the upper line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , it seems that Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and we can expect the completion of the main wave 4 today .
I expect Bitcoin to correct in the next few hours and drop to the targets I have specified on the chart and fill the CME Gap($93,465-$91,415) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $95,700-$94,542
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,666-$91,415
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90,276-$89,160
Note: If Bitcoin can break the upper line of the ascending channel, we should wait for the next pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)Before anything else, we shouldn't forget that through multiple analyses shared from the bottom on higher timeframes, we knew Bitcoin was highly bullish.
The red zone from the previous analysis has been engulfed and cleared | a lot of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move. It’s better to wait for a pullback now.
The price has now reached a resistance zone, where a large number of sell orders have been absorbed, leading to a pumpy move.
Also, the diametric pattern is still visible, and after the completion of wave F | which has just occurred | a reversal is expected for wave G.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin has broken above the $86,000 zone, just as we anticipateBitcoin has broken above the $86,000 zone, just as we anticipated.
🔹 On-Chain Insights:
• Long-Term Holders: Mild distribution — profit-taking phase
• Network Activity: Steady — strong and healthy
• Sentiment: Bullish — weak USD and rising institutional inflows
🔹 Macro Overview:
• U.S.–China tensions and Fed uncertainty boost Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal
• Institutions are steadily increasing exposure — a strong positive signal
Stay tuned with megvipofficial for more accurate updates and premium crypto signals!
Bitcoin Tests Critical Resistance Level: What's Next?FenzoFx—Bitcoin is testing the $88,650 resistance, a level it has rejected more than three times. The Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators remain in overbought territory, indicating short-term overvaluation. Entering the market at this price is not recommended.
If BTC/USD stays below $88,650, a consolidation phase may follow, with potential dips to $88,140 and $82,810.
Bullish Scenario
The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC closes above $88,650, potentially resuming the uptrend toward $90,000.
BTC Breaks Key Resistance –Pullback Your Last Chance to Enter!?To start today's analysis, it's best to look at the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) analysis I shared with you on April 10 , which can give us good insight and has performed well so far .👇
Bitcoin seems to have finally managed to break through Important Resistance lines as well as the Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) . The break volume is also high and could be a good sign for the continuation of the upward trend .
According to Elliott Wave theory , with the breaking of important resistance lines , we should wait for the next 5 impulsive waves , which I will try to analyze step by step in this idea and future ideas.
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Resistance zone ($95,000-$88,500) for the first time after the pullback to the broken Resistance zone ($86,500-$85,150) (it is better to enter a long position on the pullback ). Basically, assets can NOT break such heavy zones for the first time . ( With very good news, it may break for the first time ).
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,022-$85,539
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,340-$88,000 = Important
Do you think the main uptrend has resumed or will Bitcoin correct again?
Note: The pullback is likely to start from the third point of contact with the Resistance lines.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,100, it seems we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Failed Breakout + Rising Wedge = Bearish Signal for Bitcoin!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840) and the important Resistance line as I expected in yesterday's idea , but it seems that it failed to break .
Bitcoin is moving between two Support and Resistance zones .
From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 5 on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe , a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern with high volume is clearly visible near the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ), which could signal a reversal and decline in Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again after an upward correction and break the lower line of the rising wedge pattern , and reach the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $87,708-$86,487
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,520-$83,687
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break the important resistance line? I would like to hear your thoughts.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840), we can expect a pump.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USD Rallies Above $82,140FenzoFx—Bitcoin has surged past $82,140 resistance and is now trading near $86,800, correcting 1.0% of its recent gains.
The bullish trend persists above the 50-period simple moving average, with immediate support at $86,140 offering a potential entry point for buyers. If this level holds, the uptrend could target $89,000.
Conversely, a dip below $86,140 might push prices toward $84,000 or $82,811.
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BTC New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further.
There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You