Bitcoin Analysis==>>Fifth Attack to Resistance linesBitcoin is currently moving near important Resistance lines and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . This is the fifth time that Bitcoin has attacked important Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin NOT to break the Resistance lines for the first time in the 5th attack .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
Also, I expect that Bitcoin will at least fill the first CME Gap($68,700-$68,270) , and if the Uptrend line breaks, we can expect Bitcoin to go down to the Support line and possibly fill the second CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) as well.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Bitcoinanalysis
Market Turmoil: Dow Jones Plummets and Bitcoin Retests Key LevelAlright, everyone, it's been a rough day for the US Stock Market. The Dow Jones plummeted following the job report released this morning. In response, I'm anticipating Bitcoin to retest the Fibonacci .618 level and consolidate around $61,000 for a few days. Let's check back in a couple of days to see how things unfold.
Bitcoin - When will we see the breakout?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is preparing its most bullish breakout of the entire trading history!
After a couple years of trading experiences, you will simply stop paying attention to your emotions. Looking at the chart of Bitcoin objectively, you can see that everything is still incredibly bullish. Despite the hesitancy at the previous all time high, Bitcoin is also not rejecting it towards the downside. Eventually, we will just see a monstrous bullish breakout.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance Zone ==>>Short termBitcoin ended up filling both CME Gaps as I expected.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($65,500-$64,600) and seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($67,540-$66,740) at least once and if this zone is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to reach $68,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Market overviewBitcoin (BTC): $69,539.18 (+3.16%)
Bitcoin Dominance: 56.58%
Fear and Greed Index: 74 (greed)
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we had a natural correction in bitcoin, but by the end of the week we had completely regained the drop.
Over the weekend, Donald Trump gave a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville. He made many positive statements for bitcoin, but this event didn't affect the price increase, and only increased volatility.
At the moment, we're in the sell area, from which we received a reaction earlier.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now there is weakness in the delta, so we should expect a repeat correction from current prices or from the zone above.
After the increased volatility over the weekend, new volume zones were formed. The first one is interesting for joining long movements.
Buy zones: $68,000-$66,800 (volume anomalies), $64,900-$63,900 (buyer activity), $61,700-$60,800 (pushing volume), $58,700-$55,200 (accumulated volume zone), $55,000-$53,900 (volume anomalies zone).
Sell zones: $70,500-$71,400 (accumulated volume).
Globally, we're still waiting for the ATH test.
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• July 30, Tuesday, 8:00 (UTC) — German GDP for the second quarter of 2024;
• July 30, Tuesday, 12:00 (UTC) — German consumer price index for July;
• July 30, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) — consumer confidence index for July and the number of open vacancies in the JOLTS labor market in the United States in June;
• July 31,Wednesday, 9:00 (UTC) — Eurozone consumer price index for July;
• July 31, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — change in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector in the United States in July;
• July 31, Wednesday, 18:00 (UTC) — US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• July 31, Wednesday, 18:30 (UTC) — Fed press conference.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
From Monthly to Daily: Bitcoin’s Bullish Surge Above $100KI'm not a "to the Mooner", and when I thought Bitcoin was going down, I said so, even though I knew I'd get some negative comments.
I'm not a perma-bear either...
In fact, at the beginning of this month, I mentioned that the break under 60k is most probably a false break.
I try to stay as objective as possible, trading based on what I see rather than my biases, and right now everything I'm seeing looks extremely bullish
I'll break down my analysis from monthly to daily because I believe all signs point to Bitcoin reaching 100k or more by the end of the year.
Monthly Chart Analysis:
Starting with the monthly chart, although I'm not an Elliott Wave (EW) expert, it's quite clear that from the 15,500 bottom, we have an impulsive EW structure.
The first wave reached 31.5K, followed by a correction in the second wave down to 25K. Wave three then surged to 74K, and now we're experiencing the complex correction that typically characterizes wave four.
Going further with basic Elliott Wave (EW) theory, Wave 1 shows an approximate 100% increase from 15,500 to 31,500.
Wave 3 then surged from 25,000 to 74,000, an approximate 200% increase.
After a correction in Wave 4 down to 54,000, we can now project Wave 5 using these percentage movements.
Using the percentage increase of Wave 1 (100%) and applying it to the bottom of Wave 4 (54,000):
- A 1.0x extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 54k (54,000 * 1.0), reaching a target above 100k.
- A more bullish scenario, using a 1.618 extension of Wave 1’s percentage increase, suggests Wave 5 could rise by approximately 90,000 (54,000 * 1.6), reaching a target of 144,000.
Therefore, considering these percentage movements and the high volatility of Bitcoin, the potential target for Wave 5 could be between 100k and 150k, depending on market conditions and the exact nature of Wave 5.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Refining to the weekly chart, we observe a notable upward movement from 25 to 74, followed by a correction that forms a bullish flag pattern.
The bottom of this flag pattern aligns around the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which is typical for flag formations.
Additionally, from a price action perspective, the last three weeks exhibit strong bullish tendencies, with the current week presenting a bullish continuation Pin Bar.
Applying the measured target for the flag pattern projects a value above 100k.
If we were to apply a percentage-based target similar to the wave analysis, it would suggest 150k, but it's prudent to hold off on that projection for now (though this would approximately equate to a 1.6 extension from the monthly wave analysis).
Daily Chart Analysis:
Zooming in further to the daily chart, we clearly see a false break followed by a reversal back above 60k.
The recent correction dropped to a horizontal support level, concluding with a Pin Bar. Adding to this, yesterday's bullish candle completes a strongly bullish Morning Star pattern, indicating a likely imminent break of the resistance level.
Overall Perspective and Conclusion:
Looking at Bitcoin's behavior from monthly down to daily charts, the outlook remains very positive.
The long-term wave analysis suggests significant growth potential. On the weekly chart, the bullish flag pattern points to further gains, and the daily chart's reversal patterns reinforce this bullish sentiment.
In summary, Bitcoin is showing strong signs of upward movement across all time frames. While conservative targets point to around 100k, the possibility of reaching 150k isn't off the table if the bullish trends continue.
As always, it's wise to watch for key resistance breaks to confirm these bullish projections.
Best of luck!
Mihai Iacob
Bitcoin will Fill the CME Gap!!!Bitcoin reached the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) again. Will Bitcoin succeed in breaking this zone or not❗️❓
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 5 ; the structure of the main wave 5 can be Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Bitcoin to go down at least up to the Support line and the CME Gap($66,350-$65,835) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Annual Bitcoin Conference 2024==>>ExpectationsBitcoin moved as I expected in previous posts . The question here is whether the upward trend of Bitcoin continues or not!?
I apologize for the that the chart is a bit busy. I think all was needed😊.
🌐 Breaking News : As I was writing this post, the breaking news was that Joe Biden withdrew from the US presidential election, which can shock financial markets. 🌐
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) and Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 in the resistance zone , and now we have to wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In addition, if we look at the USDT.D% chart , we will notice that USDT.D% is near the Lower line of the Ascending Channel and the Support zone , which I expect USDT.D% to have a little upward trend in the coming days, which will also correct the cryptocurrency market.
As a result, corrective waves can continue until the start of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024 , and if Bitcoin breaks the Support lines , the Support zone($64,000-$62,280) , 100_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , we can wait for the CME Gap($60,845-$57,895) to be filled.
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Now, let's get some information about the Annual Bitcoin Conference .
The Bitcoin Conference(started in 2011) is an annual event where industry leaders, developers, and enthusiasts gather to discuss the latest advancements in Bitcoin and blockchain technology. The conference features keynote speakers, panel discussions, and networking opportunities, providing insights into the future of cryptocurrency, regulatory issues, and innovations in the space. It's a key platform for sharing knowledge, exploring new ideas, and connecting with others in the Bitcoin community.
My review from 2017 is that the market cap of the cryptocurrency is considerably higher than in the years before 2017.
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The year 2017:
Date: May 22-24
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +7.66%
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The year 2018:
Date: May 14-16
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -4.27%
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The year 2019:
Date: May 13-15
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +11.87%
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The year 2020:Covid
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The year 2021:
Date: June 4-5
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -5.6%
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The year 2022:
Date: April 6-9
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -6.89%
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The year 2023:
Date: May 18-19
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +2.00 %
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The year 2024:
Date: July 25-27
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): ❗️❓ %
What do you think about the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024? Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
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It can be concluded that when the general trend of the market is bullish , Bitcoin has increased during the annual Bitcoin Conference, this review is only based on past data. Another point is that Donald Trump will probably speak at this conference this year, so Bitcoin probably increase in the two days of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024.
But before holding the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024, we can wait for Bitcoin correction.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Which way will Bitcoin Go?Either way, I expect Bitcoin to still recover in the long term. In the short, it may seem bearish but people are failing to zoom out. Study the monthly, weekly, and daily and you will see that the top hasn't formed yet and this bull run might be the most massive so far. I know it sounds farfetched but with Wall Street money and mass adoption pre-government. This could be crypto's last hoorah.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bat PatternBitcoin is currently moving in an Important Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) , which it has tried to break several times.
It also seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a 🦇 Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern 🦇.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin will go up again==>>Short termBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Heavy Support zone($63,410-$62,280) and Support lines .
I expect Bitcoin to rise by touching the Support lines and Support zone($63,520-$63,240) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack to Heavy Resistance zoneBitcoin moved as I expected in yesterday's post and managed to break the descending channel and Resistance zone($65,500-$64,850) .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin is completing the main wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after the minor correction and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($67,930-$66,160) .
Do you think Bitcoin will break the Heavy Resistance zone($67,930-$66,160)❗️❓
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>4-hour Time FrameBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($63,410-$62,280) .
According to the good news from the crypto market , we should expect an increase in Bitcoin at least until the end of July, when the annual Bitcoin conference is in a few days.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . If the upper line of the descending channel breaks, we can confirm its end .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY Heading Lower Toward Bitcoin Rally Zone The DXY is in a downtrending channel and despite today's small bounce based on MFG data, it's still looking like it will lose this key level in the coming days.
This brief cool-off period before the 23rd when the ETH ETF is schedule to start trading would make sense and with BTC retracing from the strong sell order blocks at $66k which I've been talking about for over a week.
The big question will be -- If BTC can break above the 5th attempt at the upper trendline resistance and close back above $72k and then a new new ATH over $74k.
THEN I'll be convinced we do head hither.
Until then, I recommend cautious optimism, taking profits along the way and being ready to get out of this market. The cycle low should be later in August, but we'll see.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>15-minute time frameBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($65,500-$64,850) and Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($64,280-$63,850) again in the coming hours; if the support zone breaks , we should expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the support line .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Need Correction!!!==>>15-min time frameBitcoin started to rise after the German government finished selling Bitcoin , and what happened to Trump .
Bitcoin is currently in the Resistance zone($64,420-$62,700) and near the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that five waves have been completed and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least $61,780 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>15-minute time frameAfter breaking the lower line of the Leading Diagonal , Bitcoin confirmed the completion of this pattern yesterday.
Today, I analyzed Bitcoin for you in 15-minute time frame .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag Correction near the lower line of the Leading Diagonal ( pullback completion ).
I expect Bitcoin to go DOWN to the Targets specified in the chart in the coming hours.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Fishing Bottom- After all this FUDS over time, right now it's literally impossible to calculate a potential real bottom.
- Basically you can do TA all day but if Bad News (Fed) and FUDS (Cryptos) are constantly incoming on Twitter and Google everyday, nothing will work.
- Some news are real like FTX Rekt but some influencers use more fake news to create panic, they want buy BTC cheaper before the next bull run. it parts of the game.
- Have to remember for the numbers : Luna crash caused 40-50B$ hole in market (Anchor Protocol was huge), FTX was around 10B$.
- imho the real bottom was in at 17.5K$. Right now BTC made a bounce around 15.5k$ but one think that i know is : There's absolutely nothing in this area. No support. No consolidation in the past years. Nothing. Zero!
- There's not many roads right now, or we bounce with a magical pump to fake everyone, or we dip to 13.5k - 10.5k.
- if a mid season bull run starts, wait for BTC walk away from the bearish trendline. Wait for a breakout (21,5k$) and a strong weekly candle closing upper from that price.
- i really recommend you to stay outside markets for now.
- The best strategy right now is to DCA Buy with strict prices zones orders.
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Resuming
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Bear Mode
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Buy zone 1 : 13500$ (25% of capital)
Buy zone 2 : 10500$ (75% of capital)
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Bull Mode
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Buy Breakout : 21500$+
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TP : 47000$ ( don't try greed more )
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We learn from failure, not from success
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frameThese past few days, the cryptocurrency market has been affected by news about the Mt.Gox exchange and the German government's manipulations .
Bitcoin has managed to break the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) and 200_SMA(Daily) and is currently completing a pullback .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern ( A symmetrical triangle is usually a continuation pattern ).
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finished the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price stabilizing support trendline , indicates the price is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a orange line around 57,401, indicates if the price trade above this level reach a resistance level , but if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 59,669 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for bitcoin
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 54,326 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for bitcoin
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing above turning level around 57,401 , in my opinion until the price trade above turning level ,indicates buying have more supply for bitcoin, so reach a resistance level at 59,669, then breaking this level reach a next target at 63,083, if the price breaking turning level , indicates selling have more demand for bitcoin, so reach 54,326 ,stabilizing below this level reach a 51,902
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 59,669 , 63,083
SUPPORT LEVEL : 54,326 , 51,902
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Potential Bull Run in Q4 2024 & Q1 2025 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025.
As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time.
Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025.
For more detailed analysis and insights, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest ideas and benefit from our expertise.
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis!
My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA.
How do we trade this? 🤔
We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350
✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600
✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000
2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone
3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000
5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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