Annual Bitcoin Conference 2024==>>ExpectationsBitcoin moved as I expected in previous posts . The question here is whether the upward trend of Bitcoin continues or not!?
I apologize for the that the chart is a bit busy. I think all was needed😊.
🌐 Breaking News : As I was writing this post, the breaking news was that Joe Biden withdrew from the US presidential election, which can shock financial markets. 🌐
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) and Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave 3 in the resistance zone , and now we have to wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In addition, if we look at the USDT.D% chart , we will notice that USDT.D% is near the Lower line of the Ascending Channel and the Support zone , which I expect USDT.D% to have a little upward trend in the coming days, which will also correct the cryptocurrency market.
As a result, corrective waves can continue until the start of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024 , and if Bitcoin breaks the Support lines , the Support zone($64,000-$62,280) , 100_SMA(Daily) and 21_SMA(Weekly) , we can wait for the CME Gap($60,845-$57,895) to be filled.
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Now, let's get some information about the Annual Bitcoin Conference .
The Bitcoin Conference(started in 2011) is an annual event where industry leaders, developers, and enthusiasts gather to discuss the latest advancements in Bitcoin and blockchain technology. The conference features keynote speakers, panel discussions, and networking opportunities, providing insights into the future of cryptocurrency, regulatory issues, and innovations in the space. It's a key platform for sharing knowledge, exploring new ideas, and connecting with others in the Bitcoin community.
My review from 2017 is that the market cap of the cryptocurrency is considerably higher than in the years before 2017.
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The year 2017:
Date: May 22-24
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +7.66%
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The year 2018:
Date: May 14-16
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -4.27%
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The year 2019:
Date: May 13-15
The main market trend: Bullish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +11.87%
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The year 2020:Covid
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The year 2021:
Date: June 4-5
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -5.6%
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The year 2022:
Date: April 6-9
The main market trend: Bearish
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): -6.89%
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The year 2023:
Date: May 18-19
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): +2.00 %
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The year 2024:
Date: July 25-27
The main market trend: Bullish(in correction)
Bitcoin changes during the conference(%): ❗️❓ %
What do you think about the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024? Will Bitcoin continue to rise?
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It can be concluded that when the general trend of the market is bullish , Bitcoin has increased during the annual Bitcoin Conference, this review is only based on past data. Another point is that Donald Trump will probably speak at this conference this year, so Bitcoin probably increase in the two days of the annual Bitcoin conference 2024.
But before holding the annual Bitcoin conference in 2024, we can wait for Bitcoin correction.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoinanalysis
Which way will Bitcoin Go?Either way, I expect Bitcoin to still recover in the long term. In the short, it may seem bearish but people are failing to zoom out. Study the monthly, weekly, and daily and you will see that the top hasn't formed yet and this bull run might be the most massive so far. I know it sounds farfetched but with Wall Street money and mass adoption pre-government. This could be crypto's last hoorah.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bat PatternBitcoin is currently moving in an Important Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) , which it has tried to break several times.
It also seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a 🦇 Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern 🦇.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin will go up again==>>Short termBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is moving near the Heavy Support zone($63,410-$62,280) and Support lines .
I expect Bitcoin to rise by touching the Support lines and Support zone($63,520-$63,240) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack to Heavy Resistance zoneBitcoin moved as I expected in yesterday's post and managed to break the descending channel and Resistance zone($65,500-$64,850) .
According to Elliott's wave theory, Bitcoin is completing the main wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after the minor correction and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($67,930-$66,160) .
Do you think Bitcoin will break the Heavy Resistance zone($67,930-$66,160)❗️❓
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>4-hour Time FrameBitcoin made the corrections I had expected in previous posts .
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($63,410-$62,280) .
According to the good news from the crypto market , we should expect an increase in Bitcoin at least until the end of July, when the annual Bitcoin conference is in a few days.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . If the upper line of the descending channel breaks, we can confirm its end .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Resistance zone($68,000-$66,170) .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DXY Heading Lower Toward Bitcoin Rally Zone The DXY is in a downtrending channel and despite today's small bounce based on MFG data, it's still looking like it will lose this key level in the coming days.
This brief cool-off period before the 23rd when the ETH ETF is schedule to start trading would make sense and with BTC retracing from the strong sell order blocks at $66k which I've been talking about for over a week.
The big question will be -- If BTC can break above the 5th attempt at the upper trendline resistance and close back above $72k and then a new new ATH over $74k.
THEN I'll be convinced we do head hither.
Until then, I recommend cautious optimism, taking profits along the way and being ready to get out of this market. The cycle low should be later in August, but we'll see.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>15-minute time frameBitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($65,500-$64,850) and Resistance lines .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($64,280-$63,850) again in the coming hours; if the support zone breaks , we should expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the support line .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Need Correction!!!==>>15-min time frameBitcoin started to rise after the German government finished selling Bitcoin , and what happened to Trump .
Bitcoin is currently in the Resistance zone($64,420-$62,700) and near the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that five waves have been completed and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least $61,780 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>15-minute time frameAfter breaking the lower line of the Leading Diagonal , Bitcoin confirmed the completion of this pattern yesterday.
Today, I analyzed Bitcoin for you in 15-minute time frame .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Zigzag Correction near the lower line of the Leading Diagonal ( pullback completion ).
I expect Bitcoin to go DOWN to the Targets specified in the chart in the coming hours.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Fishing Bottom- After all this FUDS over time, right now it's literally impossible to calculate a potential real bottom.
- Basically you can do TA all day but if Bad News (Fed) and FUDS (Cryptos) are constantly incoming on Twitter and Google everyday, nothing will work.
- Some news are real like FTX Rekt but some influencers use more fake news to create panic, they want buy BTC cheaper before the next bull run. it parts of the game.
- Have to remember for the numbers : Luna crash caused 40-50B$ hole in market (Anchor Protocol was huge), FTX was around 10B$.
- imho the real bottom was in at 17.5K$. Right now BTC made a bounce around 15.5k$ but one think that i know is : There's absolutely nothing in this area. No support. No consolidation in the past years. Nothing. Zero!
- There's not many roads right now, or we bounce with a magical pump to fake everyone, or we dip to 13.5k - 10.5k.
- if a mid season bull run starts, wait for BTC walk away from the bearish trendline. Wait for a breakout (21,5k$) and a strong weekly candle closing upper from that price.
- i really recommend you to stay outside markets for now.
- The best strategy right now is to DCA Buy with strict prices zones orders.
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Resuming
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Bear Mode
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Buy zone 1 : 13500$ (25% of capital)
Buy zone 2 : 10500$ (75% of capital)
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Bull Mode
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Buy Breakout : 21500$+
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TP : 47000$ ( don't try greed more )
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We learn from failure, not from success
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>1-hour time frameThese past few days, the cryptocurrency market has been affected by news about the Mt.Gox exchange and the German government's manipulations .
Bitcoin has managed to break the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) and 200_SMA(Daily) and is currently completing a pullback .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern ( A symmetrical triangle is usually a continuation pattern ).
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have finished the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to fall at least to the Lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN ( UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price stabilizing support trendline , indicates the price is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a orange line around 57,401, indicates if the price trade above this level reach a resistance level , but if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 59,669 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for bitcoin
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 54,326 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for bitcoin
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing above turning level around 57,401 , in my opinion until the price trade above turning level ,indicates buying have more supply for bitcoin, so reach a resistance level at 59,669, then breaking this level reach a next target at 63,083, if the price breaking turning level , indicates selling have more demand for bitcoin, so reach 54,326 ,stabilizing below this level reach a 51,902
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 59,669 , 63,083
SUPPORT LEVEL : 54,326 , 51,902
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Potential Bull Run in Q4 2024 & Q1 2025 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025.
As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time.
Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025.
For more detailed analysis and insights, follow us on TradingView to stay updated with our latest ideas and benefit from our expertise.
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis!
My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA.
How do we trade this? 🤔
We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350
✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600
✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000
2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone
3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000
5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
BTC PA Model- i usually don't speak much when i don't see anything.
- Right now we can just speculate on some scenarios.
- so you can just imagine those scenarios with the figure i drew ( ending Diamond )
- you can notice some H&S and a big inversed H&S in the middle of graph.
- BTC volatily is still low ( around 15ish)
- i didn't find any convincing divergences yet.
- The PA range have been respected almost perfectly.
- it seems like a consolidation between 60 to 70k+.
- BTC tried to break 70k++, 5 Times exactly.
- Soon or later a breakout will happen ( next could be 85k$ ish )
- Halving is still young and the decoupling not yet started.
- if we dip under 60k.
- 50k is next small support.
- 40k is a strong support.
- very simple.
- There's a time for trading and a time for waiting.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Bitcoin Can Go Up TemporarilyIt seems that Bitcoin has finally managed to break the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) as I expected in my previous Posts .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , the main wave 5 in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) has ended, and we should wait for corrective waves .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to rise, at least temporarily, to the target I specified on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>(Update)Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) and close to the 21_SMA(Weekly) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . (The Maximum of wave 4 can be up to $65,080 , and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) can continue.)
Before the better result, let's take a look at Market Cap BTC Dominance% (BTC.D%) and Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) .
It seems that BTC.D% has managed to complete 5 impulse waves in the Heavy Resistance zone(60%_57%) , and we should expect BTC.D% to fall in the coming days and weeks.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of wave 4 , and then Bitcoin will fall and at least fill the CME Gap($62,085_$60,400) .
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $65,580, the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin RoadmapBitcoin started to fall for the umpteenth time with the news that the Mt.Gox exchange would return Bitcoins to the losers , as if the Mt. Gox exchange would start refunding BINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:BCHUSDT from the beginning of July 2024 (almost 6 more days).
After a few months, the Fear and Greed index entered the " Fear " range again. But I think it will also enter the " Extreme Fear " range.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100) , the 21_SMA(Weekly) , and the lower line of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern . ( pullback is probably being completed )
Note: Bitcoin has come below the 21_SMA(Weekly) after almost 250 days.
Note: When a reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . If the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) breaks, we can confirm the end of wave 4.
Before concluding, let's take a look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart.
USDT.D% has managed to break the Important Downtrend line , and this indicates the increase of USDT.D% and possibly the break of the Resistance zone(5.54%_4.97%) in the following days, which also confirms the fall of Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Heavy Support zone($61,100_$58,700) again after the completion of the microwave 4 of the main wave 3, and the break of the Heavy Support zone can coincide with the news of the refund of the Mt.Gox exchange .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($63,450_$62,100), the scenario will change.
Note: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Monthly Chart v. Weekly Chart May Indicate TroubleSince every dollar of price action is raising concern in either direction, let’s take an in-depth look at what’s happening with the price of Bitcoin.
On the weekly chart (left), we can see the RSI is just starting to pivot and we can see the Stochastic RSI will have a cross in the coming weeks, usually indicating an uptrend. Price action has been within the same range for about three months, building healthy market structure. Then we get to the monthly chart.
The monthly chart (right) is showing slowed momentum. We can see in the Stochastic RSI that the orange line is on top of the blue line – usually a bearish indication. This has me a bit concerned and considering how we’ve had ranged price action and are dropping from an RSI of around 80, it may be a warning sign of what's to come.
Take a look at the green arrows on the monthly chart. Every time the purple line crosses above the yellow line, we see a price rally. Now look at the red arrows. When we see the purple line cross below the yellow line, price falls. The first red arrow you see, that was about a 70% drop. The second red arrow you see was about a 52% drop from the next pivot in momentum and a total of a 73% drop once RSI bottomed.
This is when you want to have your strategy in place for if the weekly chart champions the monthly chart or if we do in fact have that RSI monthly purple line cross below the yellow and we go lower. Be ready for whatever the case may be! I'm thinking it's probable we may see a 50% drop before seeing all-time highs and the rally we've all been waiting for.
BTC looks bearish (12H)From where we put the green flash on the chart, it looks like BTC correction has started.
This correction is a triangle or a more complicated pattern, in the first step we wait for the green range to drop.
By maintaining the specified supply, it can move towards the targets.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC to 53k?As we know BINANCE:BTCUSDT couldn't break old High which is at 73750, now trading at 61k. I was focusing at 61k-63k range to look LONG-FUTURES trade but looks like BINANCE:BTCUSDT is shifted other way and much possible to check 53k area. There is a valid Order Block zone between 57k-59.5k. But as I mentioned earlier BINANCE:BTCUSDT more likely to hit 53k in coming days. Don't worry even BINANCE:BTCUSDT hit 53k we are still in bull market!
I will consider LONG-FUTURES trade around 53k. Will do update on entry and take profits!