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BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview: Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart. Key Observations: Ascending Channel: BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance. If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000. Structure Levels: A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone. Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action. Moving Averages: The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend. Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: $102,000–$116,000. Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000. Indicators: RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase. MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks. Projected Scenario: Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher. Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000. Potential Risks: A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000. Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment. Conclusion: Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders. Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
TradeCityPro | ZROUSDT Analysis Is It DeFi’s Turn to Shine👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into the analysis of ZRO, one of the popular DeFi coins. Recently, it has broken out of its consolidation range, signaling potential movement in the coming week. 🌍 Bitcoin Overview Before diving into ZRO, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin. Last night, BTC finally broke its 103,504 resistance, reaching a new ATH of 106,488.25! Bitcoin dominance also ticked green, albeit mildly, allowing a few altcoins to move alongside. However, this Bitcoin leg-up is likely to maintain dominance growth. 📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis ZRO is relatively new, with only 26 weekly candles in its history. It’s a coin that distributed a portion of its tokens via airdrops to active users within its blockchain ecosystem. Unlike other airdropped tokens, ZRO experienced less sell pressure and consolidated for about 20 weeks, providing excellent liquidity-building opportunities for us. Recently, it broke out of this box, indicating potential for further upward movement. The weekly candle that closed last night reflects strong buyer presence despite some selling pressure. It’s a good buying opportunity with stop-buy entries and stop losses at 5.108 (risky) or 3.016 (safe). 🌞 Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, ZRO recently broke the 5.033 resistance and formed a new resistance at 7.192, from which it faced a strong rejection. Unlike many other altcoins still stuck in corrective zones, ZRO has already returned to its recent highs. After breaking 7.192, you can consider buying on this timeframe with a large stop loss at 4.068 or wait for consolidation at the daily range’s bottom before entering for a mid-term hold. For added security, move your ZRO holdings to decentralized platforms and participate in the DeFi ecosystem to maximize benefits. It’s important to watch for confirmation of the 7.192 breakout. Although volume increased during bullish moves and decreased during corrections, a strong breakout needs to be accompanied by high volume. The breakout of 65.45 RSI could also act as a strong trigger for momentum entry. ⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis For futures positions, a strong resistance level has formed on the 4-hour chart. Breaking this resistance would provide clear triggers for the week ahead. 📈 Long Position Trigger breakout above 7.012. The recent rejection strengthened the importance of this level. After breaking this resistance with increased volume, opening a long position becomes a viable option. 📉 Short Position Trigger At this point, I’m not considering short positions. However, if the ascending trendline breaks, I’ll reconsider. For now, I’ll continue searching for lower-level long triggers in case buyers temporarily lose strength. 💡 BTC Pair Insight Against BTC, ZRO has shown strength recently, moving toward its range high. A breakout above 0.00007239 would set the stage for significant upward movement relative to BTC. This could lead to even greater performance in its USDT chart. 🎯 Summary ZRO’s breakout from its consolidation range, coupled with strong buyer activity, suggests an exciting opportunity for both spot and futures traders. Keep an eye on critical resistance levels and volume confirmations to secure the best entries. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
107
BTC - TARGET REACHED | REPLAY from OCT 2023 - NOWIt is with GREAT pleasure that I say, cheers to you and all the bulls that didn't believe the ATH was in after 74k in March! Although it may seem like I've been a perma-bull, there's been short-term bearish updates throughout the year - let's walk through it and see for yourself! I will say this, there was a moment when I thought it might happen sooner, but generally I did repeatedly say I plan for the new ATH during December. Close enough! It is incredibly rewarding to see the entire process playout as I speculated - based off of facts and many hours of analysis and charting since 2017. It all contributed, and makes a world of a difference. I need some time to plan the next move from here, it will take some time to observe the top out - so keep following! ________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
3
Why we're bullish on $BTC despite weakness over the past weeksThe INDEX:BTCUSD ATH can act as a strong key level, being strong resistance when price is under it and strong support when price is above it. Regardless of what the current market factors are at play now, we know one thing for sure, Bitcoin's break of ATH has without fail been a strong indicator of a bull market every single time since it's inception. Now this does not mean that once we cross the ATH this means we are going straight the moon, we have to remember that a bull market is supposed to last for months, not weeks. What we are seeing now on Bitcoin is not an up-trend or a down-trend, it is a consolidation at it's previous cycle's ATH. Many investors and traders were probably thinking that once Bitcoin passes it's ATH, the asset magically becomes super bullish and that investors will never see a single red candle again for the next year. This however, is untrue as seen on the charts recently and also during previous breaks of ATHs. From a statistical POV, the break of the ATH on Bitcoin is bullish, and that the price can continue to consolidate further before making it's way up, this is completely normal and the best move sometimes, is to do nothing and just be patient. We continue to be bullish as per our Crypto Bull Thesis and we will continue to send updates on the crypto market.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by AlgoAlpha
BITCOIN Deep Dive to find Bottom!Welcome Traders, Investors & Gamblers 😃 Let's Dive In and Find the Bottom! Daily Charts: Support & Resistance Levels On a quick glance at this chart we would think that there isn't too much support in the area that Bitcoin is currently hangingon to, but down below I will go through all the indicators that lead me to call these current lows for Bitcoin in the beginning of the year already. Weekly Charts: 200 Week SMA & Falling Wedge: As mentioned yesterday, THE bullish scenario! Wick below the support and finish the week above the wedge support to go back and test the resistance. 2017 $20k ATH: Right in the middle of major moving averages and Fibonacci levels we have the historic ATH from 2018. Monthly Charts: 200 Week SMA, 50 Month SMA: Pay attentio to the red circle, in the one instance where we touched the 200 week SMA but not the 50 month SMA we ended up falling short of a new ATH until we came back downand touched both moving averages. Fibonacci Retracement: The "Absolute Bottom" could lay around the.786 for BTC since we lost the .618 it would be logical to continue down to the next Fib. level and find a bounce there. As we know we have never closed a weekly candle below the 200week SMA and 50 Month SMA, but we have wicked way below on various ocasions with the last being in March 2020. I would like to add that this is only for educational purpose and in no way a guarantee that it will play out this way, nor is this or are any of my posts financial advise. As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏 Happy Trading ✌♥📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BitcoinEasyIO
BITCOIN 1000 DAYS!Good Evening Traders, Investors & Gamblers 😃 The Idea is pretty simple, it took Bitcoin roughly 1000 days on average to get to a new All Time High after the previous one. That would take us to Summer (July/August) 2024 and roughly in line with the next Bitcoin halving! I would like to add that this is only for educational purpose and in no way a guarantee that it will play out this way, nor is this or are any of my posts financial advise. As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏 Happy Trading ✌♥📈
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BitcoinEasyIO
BITCOIN 360k+ Update!Happy Saturday Everyone! 😃 It's been a little over two weeks since my "crazy" post and video where I spoke about why I think that Bitcoin could reach 165k to 360k before we break the uptrend on the larger time frames and fall into a full on bear market. The original Idea and the follow up video got a lot of traffic and I want to thank all my new followers and @tradingview for the support! 😃🙏 I decided to post an update here on the Monthly BTCUSDT chart for better visibility. Original Idea: "...The Idea is simple, as you can see BTC has never fallen below the 200 Week SMA (black line), not even during black swan events like the start of the pandemic in 2020 ... Bitcoin hasn't found the top yet as an 85% correction from the current 69k top would take us to about 10k and we would have to break the 200 week SMA which as previously mentioned, has never been broken. Hence a result, to imitate the behaviour of Bitcoin during and after the ATH's in 2013 and 2017, BTC would have to rally to about 165k before dropping back down to the 200 week SMA..." Update: - The average correction after reaching a new ATH was 83% from top to bottom since 2010. - 360k+ is more likely than 165k top since the weekly 200 SMA reaches 60k+ (rough estimate) after BTC reaches a top of 360k+.. - All ATH's since 2010 are taken into consideration. Stay tuned for my Bitcoin update video 🎬, where I will discuss the most bullish path to reach those targets of 360k+ ! 📈 I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise. As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏 Happy Trading ✌♥📈
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BitcoinEasyIO
13
BITCOIN 165k before 22k!Happy Sunday Everyone! 😃 This is a mid to long-term bullish scenario for Bitcoin. The Idea is simple, as you can see BTC has never fallen below the 200 Week SMA (black line), not even during black swan events like the start of the pandemic in 2020. We can also see that after the previous ATH's in 2013 and in 2017 , the price dropped roughly by an average of 85% . The conclusion of this idea is that Bitcoin hasn't found the top yet as an 85% correction from the current 69k top would take us to about 10k and we would have to break the 200 week SMA which as previously mentioned, has never been broken. Hence a result, to imitate the behaviour of Bitcoin during and after the ATH's in 2013 and 2017, BTC would have to rally to about 165k before dropping back down to the 200 week SMA roughly between 25k and 22k . I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise. As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏 Happy Trading ✌♥📈
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BitcoinEasyIO
169
165k BITCOIN Prediction Too CONSERVATIVE?!Happy Monday Everyone! 😃 The title says it all, I'm going over my very controversial chart from yesterday where I predicted a 165k top for BTC . I will post an updated more detailed version of the chart in the coming days. Please make sure to check out my other posts too if you liked this one! And finally a massive THANK YOU to all of you new followers and THANK YOU to @TradingView for publishing my post on to the front page of the website! 🙏🚀😃📈 I would like to add that this post is meant exclusively for educational purpose and that non of my posts are financial advise. As always, A BIG THANK YOU for stopping by, I hope you liked my post! If you did, please take a second to drop a like or comment, every engagement puts a smile on my face, but also helps me to get my ideas out to many more of you guys! 😃🙏 Happy Trading ✌♥📈
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BitcoinEasyIO
127
Christmas HopiumI will be the first to admit I have missed some expected targets on the year so far. Many of us have. I like many of you am shocked to see us here at these Bitcoin levels approaching year end. Is all lost? No-Bitcoin continues to reward those who are patient. To all those who follow the Shark, Merry Christmas! We are right there on this Falling Wedge. I'm looking for a pop back to 53K that is the level where Bulls can get some momentum going. Let's look for this Christmas move we all want. Best to each of you. Remember ALL GREAT SUCCESSES ARE THE TRIUMPH OF PERSISTENCE. BRONSON-TheSHARK
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Bronson-TheShark
3
Bitcoin Update 14/08/21: New ATH Target @ $77,335 The Bitcoin Bulls are Back! After setting a new ATH @ $64,841 in April, Bitcoin experienced its the first major sell (some may say manipulated) off in this Bull Run Cycle (-50% from the top). We have been closely watching the BTC chart for a strong trend reversal signal. From the ATH @ $64,841, Bitcoin formed a triple bottom in the $28-30k region, the last bottom experienced on the 21st July is confirmed as our bottom here. The Swing Call Script gave further confirmation of the strong trend reversal as a Buy signal was triggered on the 4H Chart on the 22 July and further on the 6th August showing strong signs of bullish momentum back into the market. From here we expect BTC to retest the current ATH @ $64k which is a 40% Gain from the current price @ $45k. Further to this, we can expect some heavy resistance between the 61.80% - 78.60% fibonacci level. A clear break past the 78.60% fibonacci level see BTC setting a new ATH at the 127.20% fibonacci level. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) BTC finally testing the 200 SMA and is showing strong signs of bullish momentum as we see the BTC Bulls coming back into the market 🚀. After 4 failed attempts of trying to break above the key resistance @ $38,595 BTC has finally broken above this key price level. Since the crash BTC found its Bottom tanking down -51% on the 19th May to $28,787 from $57,777 and had previous retraced from the ATH price @ $64,841 to $46,814 (-27%). BTC has been in a whale accumulation zone for the past 27 days from 19th May to 15th June. Our Swing Call Script triggered a strong buy signal for #BTC LONG when the 13 EMA crossed up above the 50 SMA on the 10th June; BTC has since increased over 10% in just over 5 days. From the current price level we have longs positioned and the current TP 1 is at the 127.20% Fibonacci level @ $74,647 (85% gain from current price level) and TP 2 at the 161.80% Fibonacci level @ $87,122 (116% from current price level). Note the price targets are for long term swings, we may be in this accumulation phase a little longer. Happy Trading :). See previous analysis below. Bitcoin Update 02/04/21 Next Target @ $66,953 13% Gain New ATH in April I've loved charting BTC last Month, analysis has been quite spot on just waiting on our new ATH now @$66,953 13% Gain from current price level. #Bitcoin has found key support around $58k price level. It looks like the Bitcoin Bulls are back in the market. Worst case scenario from here in the short-term could see the price test the 50SMA, and breaking below this level would see another test of the 200SMA before the anticipated move to the upside and our target of $66.953 at the 127.20% Fibonacci level. See previous analysis below. Happy trading :) Update 29/03/21 Bitcoin next Target @ $66,953 21% Gain Nice bounce from the whale accumulation zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci Level. Looks like the BTC Bulls are back in the market. See previous analysis below. BTC Monthly Outlook Update (23/03/2021) Approaching Whale Accumulation Zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci level @ $52,371. Interesting next few days from here as a bounce from the 200 SMA at the whale accumulation zone could finally see us break through the key resistance at the current ATH level from 14/03/21 @ $61,690. April is set to be a very interesting and pivotal month for the cryptocurrency space. See previous analysis and monthly outlook below. Happy Trading :) #whaleaccumulationzone Update 21/03/21: Yesterday the Bulls failed to push the price higher and we had a small retracement down from $59.5k to $55.6 where we found some support of the current price level (-7%). From here the worst case scenario would find us in a key whale accumulation zone @ 78.60% Fibonacci level $52,371. However this scenario is unlikely to play out and as expected from the previous outlook before, we expect the Bulls to come back in the market, pushing as further to higher highs as we have been consolidating around this key price range between $54.5K to the current ATH @ $61.8k. If we fail to break past the previous ATH , the bearish scenario may see a test of the 200 SMA around the 78.60% Fibonacci level, otherwise the Bullish scenario is still in play. Note that from this current trend from 28th January we have only tested the 200 SMA once and a bounce from this level may signal a much stronger bullish move towards our price target $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension and further $107,340 @ the 261.80% Fibonacci level. So far great performance this month from £BTC as March is usually quite a bearish month looking back at the past. April looks ready for us to really fly, testing the 161.80% Fibonacci extension , but note this may not be a straight forward push but all the fundamentals are pointing towards the $70K as our next significant area of interest for the Bulls, currently a 16% gain from the current price level would see BTC reach $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. See previous analysis from 1st March 2021 below. Happy Trading :) $BTC #HODL *Update 20/03/21 #BTC Monthly Outlook Update from 1st March 2021; 13 EMA crossing up 50 SMA showing strong bullish sentiment as we are about to enter the last week of the month, expect the bulls to come back and to push the price higher. Currently the 127.20% Fibonacci Target ($66,953) has not been tested yet, but we expect some big movement in price over the next few days and further going into the last week of the month (Yes, it has been March Madness), 13% Gain from the current price level @ $59,390 to $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. Our next target after this is $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension . From our analysis at the beginning of the month It looks like scenario 2 has been in play, see below previous analysis from 2nd March 2021. In addition to previous price analysis, the Cryptocurrency 'Super Cycle' is in play as we are just at the brink of global adoption. 2017/18 was the hype era, we cannot continue to set targets based on the price movements during the cycle mainly fuelled by hyper and euphoria, it is now 4 years later and real development has been happening behind the scenes, a lot of people cannot quite comprehend the growth and the different cycle that we are now in as Moore's Law of exponential growth can only give us a hint at the growth that is about to be experienced over the next 4 year cycle. An increased influx of capital injection into this now trillion dollar market will only continue, as Defi takes its hold on current Global financial infrastructure, and yes history repeats itself, We call this the 'Roaring 20s' just like before at the end of WW1, the pandemic has only accelerated the current adoption rate of blockchain technology. As some are already aware, the best time to grow a million dollar portfolio was from 2009 to 2019 just after the housing market crash. The second best time in our lifetime is Now! from 2021 to 2029 after the pandemic market crash. We are still very much Bullish for BTC to reach our EOY Target of $356,000, See below key fundamentals which support our bullish sentiment. *(March 02, 2021 Update) BTC is currently consolidating at 61.80 Fibonacci Level. BTC outlook for the month ahead is still very much bullish . Although the sellers have been in control of the market since soaring to a new ATH on 21/02/21, BTC took a sharp retracement as expected at these new level of resistance as well as a new ATHof$58,792 on the Gemini Exchange. As from historic highs we see a lot of profit taking occurring after 3 weeks of setting new constant highs from the previous low of the last push wave which saw BTC setting a high of $42K and then sharply retracing down to $28,787 where we found the previous resistance and also the beginning of the last phase which saw one of the greatest run of Bitcoin in history, reaching the current ATH of $58,792. With the current push phase now over we find ourselves asking how low can we go from here and when do we expect to break past a new ATH . This outlook is based on 2 possible scenarios which could both play out. We have seen the 50% Fibonacci retracement level respected on the last 2 Push phases which both set new ATHs, the first being $42K and latter, the recent high of $58K. As we have seen a strong retracement over the past 7 days back down to the 50% Fibonacci, it may be time for the BTC Bulls to regain control of the market as the current fundamentals point to the 50%-38.2% Fibonacci level of key resistance as well as a point of accumulation for the BTC whales, more importantly the $39,000 mark when looking left at the previous key resistance before the parabolic move to the $58k ATH . With this in mind, from the current levels we could see the price of BTC sink further before the much expected move which could see BTC testing the previous High of $58k and further pushing to the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level setting a new ATH @ $66,953. Scenario 2 would see the current push towards the ATH continue but may face some resistance, and further consolidation expected around $46k-$49k as they are the key Whale Supports towards the upside, so a further retracement could be in play, possibly testing the 50% Fibonacci level, as well as the 50 SMA , with a bounce confirming an explosive move to the upside which could see BTC easily smash past the 127.20% Fib extension level setting new fresh Highs between $67,000-$78,400+ by mid to late March. Use the buy zone indicated to map out your position as a possible 52% gain is achievable from the Buy zone. Stochastics showing an extremely oversold market condition. Happy Trading :) * Key Supporting Fundamentals for BTC: Strong Interest of Institutional Players A survey of institutional investors and wealth managers who already engage with bitcoin reveals that 85 per cent plan to increase their investment in the cryptocurrency over the next two years. The survey, which was commissioned by Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), a regulated investment manager connecting traditional finance with the digital assets market, also reveals that between now and 2023, 72 per cent expect professional investors in general to invest in bitcoin for the first time or increase their exposure. Current Economic Instability The policy of the US Federal Reserve and the economic instability that has arisen as a result of the unprecedented emission of new dollars may further play a role in the growth of Bitcoin price...10% of the $380 billion stimulus money could be going directly into cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin . Digital Gold Crypto currencies certainly look as if they’re here to stay. It makes a lot of sense to have them in an increasingly digitised world. While bitcoin has a strong tendency to polarise opinion, it has now gained acceptance among some of the world’s largest financial institutions and payments companies. MasterCard, for instance, has said it will begin supporting crypto currencies on its network later this year. PayPal already allows eligible users to buy, sell and hold bitcoin in the US and expects to roll out its service in other territories soon. The Case For Global Adoption and New Reserve Currency Cryptocurrencies promise to help solve problems that are particularly acute in emerging markets (EM). Their governments are often centralized but relatively unreliable, which destabilizes currencies, opens the door to profiteering middlemen, and erodes public trust. Blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin’s decentralized network, promises to cut out the grasping hands of governments and middlemen, and speed up transactions with more transparency and lower fees. It is offering what many EM customers are desperate for. The Development and Extensions of Blockchain Technology Due to the nature of blockchain technology’s ability to benefit all parties involved in different business operations. Since it was introduced in 2009 through the application of Bitcoin , blockchain technology continues to attract not just the financial institutions of the world, but also other fields and industries in insurance , law, entertainment and the Internet of Things ( IOT ) applications. Several scholars and advocates have also strongly suggested the use of the technology in voting systems globally, medical records and vehicle registrations by the state to further increase efficiency, simultaneously eradicating fraud in many areas. This technology does not only aim to improve conventional business operations but can also empower the greater society out of poverty as 1.7 billion adults in the world remain unbanked. The widespread adoption of a cryptocurrency like bitcoin running on the blockchain would mean that anyone with access to the internet can send and receive value from point A to B without the need of a third party. Although many Banks were very hesitant and in fact spread fear in the markets due to cryptocurrencies being linked to nefarious activities on the dark web. A recent study by Goldman Sachs suggested that the adoption of blockchain technology in facilitating seamless cross border transactions without the worry of fraudulent transactions could save up to $6 billion a year; as the new models currently being developed by the bank would mean inefficient payment and accounting networks would be eradicated.
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
3
Can Bitcoin’s coming ATH be $188k?Previously I published my so-called Da Vinci Theory working out the time frame expectancy for BTC to reach this cycle’s ATH; and it got me to theory that Bitcoin is to have its ATH by the 1st week of Jan 2022. Full details and breakdown can be found here: This time, I worked out on predicting the ATH itself. I have published it roughly and pinned it on my Twitter profile back in August 1st. And here is the breakdown of this theory; feel free to challenge it: 1. I started with the question of how high should Bitcoin should go to fall 80%-85% in the next cycle setting it’s new ATL. After all, it is a known fact that BTC falls this much from its new ATH to set its new cycle ATL. 2. Then I considered that Bitcoin should respect its previous cycle 2017 ATH ~20k, and not violate it. After all, this is what we learned from Bitcoin cycles. 3. Then I looked at the charts where the bulls defended the support during this cycle, and could that 30k was defended in Jan 2021, Feb 2021, May 2021, June 2021 and July 2021. 4. To avoid being biased to this support, I applied Fib R on 2017 cycle ATH and ATL where the 0.236 level met 2017 ATH at 20k, and 2018 ATL 3.1k at the 0 level. These Fib levels have been the consideration of Bitcoin in every cycle, the only difference was the FIB R level of the ATH that followed. 5. Looking at Fib R proposed ATH levels for this cycle, I found the following: 74k at Level 1, 117k at level 1.618, and 188k at level 2.618. 6. I didn’t take into consideration further levels in consideration of the diminishing returns theory and to remain as conservative as rationally possible with this theory. 7. The level that gave Bitcoin 80%-85% drop without violating previous cycle ATH, was the 1.618. 8. That said, theoretically this coming ATH puts Bitcoin at a jaw dropping $188k. Now that I have validated my theory with the mentioned above references, I worked on what takes to violate my theory: 1) If Bitcoin doesn’t reach that high, it may end up either not dropping 80%-85% in the coming bear market => This will violate Bitcoin all previous bitcoin cycle trends. Or Bitcoin will fall through previous cycle ATH 20k, which again violates Bitcoin market cycles. 2) If Bitcoin doesn’t have a bear market after hitting ATH, and will continue ranging till the next scheduled halving in 2024. Nothing mentioned here is engraved in stone… it remains a theory till proven wrong or right. What do you think?
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by eBlockChain
When is BTC parabolic climb to ATH?While BTC climb from $30k to $47k in a matter of two weeks can be very much be considered parabolic, but for Bitcoin that's not a big of a deal. So what is next? As per my way of playing it: 1) BTC will rise from here to FIB R 0.786 level ($57k~$58k range) Till then Alts will enjoy a mini Alts Season. This may play out within this month. 2) Then BTC will retrace from the FIB R 0.786 to retest 20W SMA. This will bring Alts back to their lows, and BTC.D will take over from there. That would be similar to summer of 2020. 3) Afterwards BTC will rise parabolically to its new ATH which I expect to be in Dec 2021 or Jan 2022. This is a forecast / prediction for the market. However, nothing is carved in stone... keeping an eye on the SMA & RSI remains key.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by eBlockChain
Bitcoin - will the new ATH? (Be carreful) BTC/USDTHello dear friends, I will not write much, because now there is no sense to describe what is already visible on the chart. I just want to warn you about the possibility - a double top. But since our previous plan is working out, while we are working on the situation. My yesterday's scenario of a fall did not work, as I expected, yes, of course we took 950 points/$ of profit, but I misjudged the situation then. P.S We could have made more. All description in comments.
by UnknownUnicorn13204076