#Bitcoin stagnant; will BTC bears force prices below $30k?Past Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices were technically unmoved over the weekend, looking at price charts. Therefore, while there was a notable contraction on July 6 at the back of expanding volumes, the rejection on July 7 relieved buyers. Still, from an effort-versus-result perspective, sellers have the upper hand in the short term. This can only change if buyers flow back, reversing the June 6 loss at the back of rising trading volumes.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The path of least resistance remains to be northwards despite the current consolidation, from a top-down preview. Prices are boxed inside a $1.5k zone with caps at around $29.8k and $30k on the lower end, and $31.3k on the upper end. As it is, BTC prices are inside a developing bull flag where volumes are relatively light. Therefore, unless there is a conclusive close with rising volumes confirming sellers of July 6 below $29.8k, buyers of the second half of June are in control. For now, aggressive sellers may search for entries, unloading on attempts higher but below $31.3k with targets at $30k and $29.8k in the short term.
What to Expect from #BTC?
For now, traders should be patient considering the light trading volumes and the failure of bulls to wipe losses of July 6 that skews price action in favor of sellers. This formation could be a precursor for more losses this week, slowing down the upside momentum, especially if prices dip below the $29.8k and $30k support zone.
Resistance level to watch: $31.3k
Support level to watch: $29.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
Bitcoinbears
#Bitcoin Falters and Drops 2%, BTC Bulls Find Support at $30kPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is lower when writing, dropping towards the $30k level. The sell-off stems from developments on July 6 and follows a refreshing surge to $31.3k before tumbling to spot levels. Despite traders--and the general BTC structure supporting buyers, the failure of buyers to push prices above the April high is a concern. Subsequently, the series of lower lows registered this week could fast-track the dump toward $30k or worse in future sessions.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The path of least resistance, from the top-down preview, is northwards—but this is fast changing considering the sell-off of the past few trading days. The support zone between $29.8k and $30k is critical for now. Moreover, the long-upper wick of July 6 suggests that sellers are firm, and there could be more room for bears to press on today. Still, conservative traders can wait until there is a clear breakout below $29.8k before committing. In that case, a clean break with expanding volumes may open up BTC for a retest of $28.3k. Conversely, a recovery reversing yesterday's loss may be the base for a retest of $31.3k.
What to Expect from #BTC?
BTC is weak and could reverse recent gains posted in early July. At spot rates, the odds are high for more sell-off below $29.8k. Based on this formation, risk-on traders should wait for a clear definition below $29.8k, or $31.3k, before riding the emerging trend.
Resistance level to watch: $31.3k
Support level to watch: $29.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Bulls Fail to Follow-Through, BTC Bearish Below $28.3kPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices are lower, retracing from June 7 highs, and are below $27k. At this level, bulls still have a chance as prices trend above $25.8k and volatility remains. However, for trend confirmation, there must be a close above $28.3k, the immediate resistance, and the buy trigger line. The only formation that will cancel this preview is a strong sell-off forcing BTC to dump below $25.8k, confirming sellers of June 5.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
BTC remains in a broader consolidation that skews to favor sellers in the short term. Still, the encouraging reversals of June 5 losses reinvigorate demand, placing BTC bulls at a vantage position. Even so, conservative traders can wait for a conclusive close above $28.3k in confirmation of June 6 gains before loading on dips targeting $30k or better. On the cautious outlook, any unexpected dump that places BTC below $25.8k, confirming June 5 losses, would cancel this bullish outlook, fueling sellers angling for $22.5k in the medium term.
What to Expect from #BTC?
The expansion of BTC prices on June 6 was a net positive for optimistic buyers. Fundamental events, especially in the United States, might spark demand supporting Bitcoin. Nonetheless, the failure of buyers to follow through and pump BTC above $28.3k, confirming June 6 gains, is a concern.
Resistance level to watch: $28.3k
Support level to watch: $25.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Unexpectedly Peels Back Losses, BTC Back To $30k?Past Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin's recovery has been spectacular. Prices are higher and have reversed the losses of June 5. The coin is trading above the $26.3k to $26.5k zone, bouncing from the primary support level of around $25.8k. On June 5, following fundamental events, BTC dropped to as low as $25.9k. However, with prices back to the trading range, traders should watch whether there will be confirmation today. Gains above $28.3k will nullify the bearish outlook of Monday, setting the base for another leg up toward $31k.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The SEC crackdown is turning out to be a bullish event for BTC and other top crypto assets. From late June 6, prices have been pumping higher. This has seen bulls reverse losses of June 5. Still, whether this will continue largely depends on today's confirmation. Any close above $28.3k, the immediate buy trigger line, could draw more demand, forcing BTC towards $30k and later $31k. Notice that BTC remains bullish, with the current price action defined by gains from mid-March to April. This outlook will only change should there be a high volume dump below $25.8k; a development that wasn't confirmed on June 6.
What to Expect from #BTC?
BTC is back in the initial bullish range. Prices remain volatile, but buyers appear to be back. Still, how fast the coin will edge higher depends on if there is a comprehensive close above $28.3k. This will confirm gains of May 28 and may rejuvenate demand, pushing BTC towards $30k and better.
Resistance level to watch: $28.3k
Support Level to watch: $26.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Crashes Below Critical Support, Path Back to $22.5k?Past Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin crashed on June 5 following news that the SEC is suing Binance, the world's largest crypto exchange. The dump was evidenced across the board, with BTC dragging the altcoins. The coin is below the $25.8k and FWB:31K trade range at spot rates in a bear breakout formation. The uptick in trading volumes gives credence to bears of mid-April who have their sight on $22.5k and lower.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
BTC is within a bear formation, crashing below the primary sell trigger at $25.8k, marking May lows. As it is, every attempt higher but below $25.8k may offer entries for sellers angling for $22.5k in the short term. This preview is supported by the June 5 anchor bar that is wide-ranging and with expanding trading volumes. The dump confirms sellers of April 19 and breaks below the primary support level of the bull flag, marking the presence of determined bears.
What to Expect From #BTC?
The immediate trend is bearish unless there is an unexpected expansion above $28.3k in the short term. Accordingly, traders could build on yesterday's losses, pressing lower toward the psychological $20k line.
Resistance level to watch: $25.8k
Support level to watch: $22.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Bulls Optimistic, Will BTC Hold Above $26.5k?Past Performance for Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices are lower when writing though trading higher from last week's highs and above the $25.8k support level. Overall, buyers remain bullish. Even so, there must be conclusive rallies above the $28.3k buy trigger level if the May 28 gains will anchor the upcoming trend. On the broader view, the level between FWB:31K and $25.8k mark the upper and lower limits of the current trade range.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Buyers are in control from a top-down preview, but sellers have recently been pressing on. As it is, there are hints of strength, and the bulls of May 28 may shape the immediate trend. However, for buyers to take charge in the short term, there must be a wide-ranging, high volume close above $28.3k. In that case, BTC may rise to $30k in a possible trend continuation formation from an effort versus result perspective anchoring on the May 28 bull bar. That prices are in range within the wide-ranging bull bar is critical for buyers, supporting this outlook. Conversely, this would change should BTC prices unexpectedly crash below $26.5k, reversing gains of May 28.
What to Expect from #BTC?
As it is, there is a chance of an uptrend unless there is a breakout below $25.8k, canceling out buyers of the recent weeks. That event would mean the recent sideways movement was a distribution, paving the way for losses toward $22.5k or worse. A relief rally above $28.3k and $30k may be the base for a recovery that could retest $31k.
Resistance level to watch: $28.3k
Support level to watch: $26.5k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Bears Resilient, BTC On The Loss As Gains ReversedPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices are lower when writing, dropping from yesterday's lows as gains of May 28 are strongly reversed. Even though the upside remains, at least from a top-down preview, the loss below FWB:27K should be a concern for holders. For now, conservative traders should track how today's close will be. If it closes below FWB:27K , the odds of further dips toward $25.8k will be increased.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
At spot rates, BTC remains inside a broad trade range. On the upper end, resistance is at $30k and $31k. Meanwhile, support is at $25.8k on the lower end. As prices oscillate, the BTC price action is in a trading range. However, the primary trend remains to be upward from a top-down preview. Based on this, risk-on traders can wait for a conclusive close below $25.8k before loading, aware that any gains above $28.3k and $30k nullifies this preview, allowing buyers to resume their uptrend and mirroring March to April trade range.
What to Expect From #BTC?
As bears press on, BTC will likely drop lower towards the primary support range, mirroring losses of mid-April. How prices react at this level will determine the short to medium-term trajectory. A sharp breakout below $25.8k may trigger a sell-off pushing BTC toward $22.5k
Resistance level to watch: $28.3k
Support level to watch: $25.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Selloff Drops, BTC Upside Limited at $27kPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is down but steady, looking at price action in the daily chart. There are attempts of higher highs in the lower time frames, but the downtrend remains. As it is, primary resistance levels remain at May 24 highs at around FWB:27K and $27.5k.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The path of least resistance is southwards, and BTC is within a bear formation. Overall, traders can look for short entries if prices are inside the May 24 bear trade range and below $27k. In a bear breakout, every attempt higher is a retest of the previous support turned resistance. The trend is clear, and sellers can double down, targeting last week's lows at around $25.8k. Deeper losses may trigger even more drawdown towards $22.5k and $20k.
What to Expect from #BTC?
Bulls are confident since the BTC price action is broadly within a bullish formation in higher time frames. The immediate support is $25.8k. Still, the upside is capped at around FWB:27K and last week's highs. Bears will continue dominating as long as prices cannot float back to the primary bullish trend.
Resistance level to watch: FWB:27K
Support level to watch: $25.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Dumps, Upside Momentum FadesPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices are wavy, looking at how prices have been moving in the past two trading days. After the coin posted encouraging gains on May 17, yesterday's losses forced the coin lower, wiping gains and swinging price action back to bearish territory. Overall, the downtrend set in motion from late April 2023 remains.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
The downtrend is clear as long as BTC remains below $28.3k and $30k on the upper end. As such, traders might find opportunities to double down on their shorts. This preview depends on if bears will press lower today, confirming yesterday's losses and pushing BTC below the $25.8k support level marking this week's lows. In all, conservative traders should watch out for how price action pans out, aware that a high volume break below this week's lows will trigger further liquidation. From that, the bear breakout formation of last week will be confirmed, setting the motion for a possible drop towards FWB:25K and $22.5k in a sell trend continuation formation.
What to Expect from #BTC?
Overall, the short-term trend ticks to favor sellers. There have been no solid gains above immediate liquidation levels to support bulls. Therefore, every opportunity where prices rise towards $28.3k may offer entries for traders expecting further losses in the short to medium term.
Resistance level to watch: $28.3k
Support level to watch: $25.8k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Ethereum Recovers versus Bitcoin, Next Stop at 0.072 BTC?Past performance of ETHBTC
Ethereum bulls are in control as the coin tears to register new highs versus the greenback. Meanwhile, the coin reverses losses against BTC, looking at the formation in the daily chart. Overall, for now, the path of least resistance is northwards, and aggressive traders may look to align themselves with gains of April 11 and 12. Those two bars had high rising volumes and found critical support at 0.062 BTC, marking March 2023 lows. If buyers build on from here, ETH may rally to Jan and February 2023 lows in a refreshing retest.
#ETHBTC Technical Analysis
Buyers are upbeat, and ETH buyers are in control. The double bar formation of April 12 was capped with rising volumes on April 12. Subsequent gains on April 13 completed the follow-through, suggesting that the reversal is well-anchored. Therefore, per the current formation, any dip above 0.062 BTC may allow bulls to load on dips targeting 0.072 BTC or more if ETH bull bars are with expanding volumes.
What to Expect from #ETHBTC?
After weeks of lower lows that saw ETH lose roughly 20% versus ETH from January peaks, the trend is reversing. Buyers are now in the driving seat. Every contraction above 0.062BTC may offer entries for optimistic traders angling for March 2023 highs or better.
Resistance level to watch out for: 0.072 BTC
Support level to watch out for: 0.062BTC
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Bitcoin Tethered To $28k as BTC Trading Volumes ShrinkPast Performance of Bitcoin
Bitcoin prices are relatively steady when writing, tethered to $28k, but the uptrend remains. Even though buyers are upbeat, the failure of buyers to push above the immediate resistance level at $29k is a concern. As laid out before, whether BTC will rally or dump depends on the reaction at $29k, marking Q1 2023 highs; and $26.6k in the near term. These are critical reaction levels that traders should watch out for as price action either aligns with the dominant trend from December to March, or dips in line with the bar of March 22.
#Bitcoin Technical Analysis
Overall, traders are confident, looking at the development in the daily chart. There are lower lows relative to the upper BB, signaling waning momentum. This already shows, considering the light trading volumes of the past few trading days. At the same time, the failure of bulls to invalidate sellers means bears stand a chance especially if today ends up lower. For now, traders can wait for a clear trend definition, aware that any upswing above $29k may see BTC tear higher to $32k in a buy trend continuation formation.
What to Expect From #BTC?
The uptrend remains despite decreasing volumes and waning upside momentum. Immediate support remains at $26.6k, and should sellers of March 22 flow back, BTC may crack to retest February 2023 highs at around $25k. In that case, the uptrend will be nullified.
Resistance level to watch out for: $29k
Support level to watch out for: $26.6k
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Ethereum Buyers Expect a Retest of 0.080 BTC, Uptrend ValidPast Performance of ETHBTC
ETHBTC remains wavy in a broad, multi-week trade range as Ethereum bulls dominate. Per the performance in the daily chart, there could be more for buyers to gain in the days ahead, considering the general resilience of ETH bulls. Therefore, guided by this, every low above 0.065 BTC, or October lows, may offer support to optimistic buyers angling for a retest of September 2022 highs.
#ETHBTC Technical Analysis
ETH is up roughly 10 percent from October 2022 lows versus Bitcoin, per the formation in the daily chart. Coincidentally, the 0.065 BTC support line also flashes with the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level of the June to September 2022 highs. While ETH buyers stand a chance and optimistic buyers can load on dips, targeting November highs at around 0.080 BTC, there must be sharp gains reversing November 8 and 9 losses. Ideally, conservative ETH bulls can wait for a clean break above 0.080 BTC to hitch the ride to 0.085 BTC. Losses below this week's lows may easily see BTC buyers take charge; forcing prices back to 0.065 BTC.
What to Expect with #ETHBTC?
Ethereum traders are confident, expecting trend continuation, especially if bulls continue soaking in selling pressure and reversing losses of the second week of November. As long as prices hold above 0.068 BTC and this week's low, ETH prices may bounce higher toward November highs.
Resistance level to watch out for: 0.080 BTC
Support level to watch out for: 0.068 BTC
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Ethereum Drops 22% from August peaks, Support at 0.066 BTC Past Performance of ETHBTC
From the daily chart, ETH buyers have the upper hand and posting gains versus BTC at critical support levels. The bounce of Ethereum prices follows weeks of sharp losses, especially in September when the coin dropped roughly 22 percent, recoiling from September 2022 highs. At spot rates, there are hints of trend resumption. Nonetheless, the leg up will be only after confirmation of this week's gains.
#ETHBTC Technical Analysis
Traders are confident of what lies ahead for ETH. With fundamentals providing tailwinds, the rejection of lower prices from around the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level of the June to August trade range is a welcomed development. If prices are trading above 0.066 BTC, traders can accumulate ETH, targeting a retest of September 18 at 0.074 BTC. This is nonetheless subject to whether bulls come through and lift the coin higher. Technically, prices are bound within the bear bar of September 18 through 21. As such, bears are in control in the short term. This preview will hold valid if there are sharp turns below this week's lows, unwinding gains. In that case, ETH may post more losses versus BTC, even contracting to the 61.8 percent Fibonacci line of the June to August trade range at 0.063 BTC.
What to Expect from #ETH?
Buyers anticipate more gains in the medium term, aligning with the June to August primary trend. However, this is subject to bulls' participation and prices trending above 0.066 BTC with increasing volumes, shaking off bears defined by the September 18 to 21 bear bars.
Resistance level to watch out for: 0.074 BTC
Support level to watch out for: 0.066BTC
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
The Final Count-Down; Bitcoin Bears Prepare for More Blood.The wave count unfortunately has been incredibly choppy on small timeframes however, the trend remains in a convincing downward motion (for the time being). Previously, my assumption was that Wave 3C was still in play but that particular idea has been debunked, thanks to fibonacci/elliott wave invalidation.
The clearest and simplest wave count shows that we're very likely in Wave C of a Running Flat formation for Wave 4 . The impulsive C Wave within a flat is the true definition of a trap. The aggressive move which goes against the bigger trend can easily convince traders that the bottom is in. Wave B of the flat also resembles what most would call a double-bottom as well.
A pending Wave 5 should come in and continue the trend down, should the wave count be true . The current low which resembled a double bottom should be broken as a lower low comes to fruition. With Wave 3 being the extended wave within the cycle , it can be assumed that Wave 5 will equal the length/strength of Wave 1 .
Anticipating that Wave C of the Running Flat ends near $38.6, subtracting $17K from this amount puts us in the range of $21K. This price point is also near the lowermost part of multiple defined trend levels. The trend is your friend, at least until it comes to an end. Elliott Wave also cannot give a 100% accurate target either but there's plenty of reason to believe that the current bear cycle will come to an end somewhere between $19K and $21K. *A more accurate zone can be defined as the price pattern descends lower towards its true bottom. If anyone is in discussion about price dropping to $15K or lower, they're simply wrong.
This move was pretty predictable, even back in April :)
Based on the 2W chart, we're at least 2 weeks from the next big impulsive wave up (currently I'm a bit doubtful that we see $100K as most anticipate). We can talk about that later though!
Bitcoin Swings South to Finish Wave 4's Extended Flat CorrectionBitcoin traders/investors continue to play Tug Of War as the asset continues its correction south (Wave 4). Expect Wave C to develop as an Expanding Ending Diagonal. With a 3 wave move for both Wave 1 and Wave 2, there's a good chance that Waves 3-5 will also develop in 3 wave sequences.
Viewing this formation on smaller, hourly charts looks extremely choppy. Gratefully, clarity of direction can be found within the weekly chart.
My bottom target for Bitcoin remains in the $30K-$38K region; likely closer to $30K than $38K.
Bitcoin Working on a Wave 2 Correction (Downside Impulse)I'm expecting BTC to complete a 535 correction back up towards $58-$59K.
Stronger downside should continue afterwards.
Bears are currently in control for the short term (days).
LONG SCALP
Within a zig-zag, the following rules apply:
Wave A - can be impulsive or diagonal (in this case it was a diagonal).
Wave B - can be any 3 wave corrective pattern (in this case it was a zig zag).
Wave C - can be impulsive or diagonal (in this case it must be impulsive).
Note: Wave A and C cannot both be diagonals, however they can both be impulsive.
The Infamous BTC Bulls Prepare to Test Bear's Strength @ $41.9KSmall charts under 1D have been extremely choppy which has made for a ton of liquidations on both sides of the market. I myself included.
Thank heavens for risk management and stop losses.
Zooming out to the 1D chart, we can see a much clear picture and pattern at play.
The previous Leading Diagonal formation which I was expecting to play out, unfortunately has already occurred without my notice.
Being that Wave 4/1 jumped into the area of Wave 1/1's price zone.
Now that we're beyond the completion of Wave 5, we can expect the price to retest the very tip-top of Wave 1/1 (near $41.9K)
This is essentially do or die for Bitcoin Bears (and Bulls alike; without $42K - the great reset is still possible).
The current zig zag levels also point toward the $41.7K price tag.
With A = $9641 in price, we can expect corrective Wave C to be near equality.
Looking forward to seeing how this pans out. Still confident in the Big Bear :)
Bitcoin Bears Look to Doge the Bull RunBItcoin Bears will regain momentum from here and force the market down toward $30K ; very likely we will break down below it but only for a limited time.
According to Elliott Fibonacci , we're currently in Wave 3 of the 3rd Wave of the final 5th wave down, for Wave Cycle 1 .
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