Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Almost at 2017 LowThe Bitcoin Dominance ratio has been falling under our noses this year starting from the peak at 72.04% during the 1st week of the year, the week of Bitcoin's birthday.
From this point, the entirety of 2021 has been Bitcoin losing its dominance to ETH and BNB to what appears to be Binance Coin mimicking what Ethereum did in 2017 with the ERC20 tokens but a bit better because of the low fas fees.
Users in 2017 would trade cryptokitties on the Ethereum blockchain which at times would cost upwards of $20 to send a virtual kitten to another wallet, while traders today are creating Binance Chain smart tokens and projects for ~$1 and able to send those tokens to their friends for a fraction of what is possible on the Ethereum network.
The use case for the BSC network, Ethereum, as well as other leading smart contract platforms is at least 10x what it was in 2017 (and 10x is being very humble) so it only makes sense that new investors are piling on board these smaller capped coins and eating the market cap share away from Bitcoin.
Altcoin Season 2021 is almost wrapped up and is going to be completely finished once it wicks the bottom level at 35%. Every altcoin has basically 1000%+'d in terms of the BTC ratio and the money has been made. If you HODL'd through 2020 and 2021 you made a bag and congratulations. Even coins like MATIC and THETA rose 15,000%+.
The only altcoins that haven't hit their BTC ratio or gone up in the slightest yet are XRP and XLM which is very strange considering their use cases fix the fee problem found in ETH and now BNB even the network is becoming clogged. I believe this altcoin season is going to finish out and will be over right under our noses and when this ratio hits 35% and bottoms out, that will be the time XRP & XLM hit their highs in terms of the BTC ratio then the season will be over, show is over for the time being until the next altcoin season cycle.
From this point, this doesn't mean that BItcoin is going to go back down to $3,000 and the show would be over. All this altcoin money has to flow somewhere and that money is going to flow into the larger capped coins like BTC, ETH, and BNB. I believe these are the 'store of value' coins besides ones like LTC and XMR for their scarcity and privacy features. Bitcoin and the leading blue chip cryptos are going to increase dramatically in price after all of the billions of dollars in useless tokens flow into coins with real use cases.
It is only a matter of time before the narrative switches from all the new traders investing in Safemoon, other BNB tokens, and moonshots to find coins with fundamental value for the long term.
The entire altcoin market is overbought and personally I would not touch any altcoin to the USD ratio or BTC ratio for the long term with a 42-foot pole. The only ones where I can find value in this overbought market is in XRP & XLM. There should be zero reason why Elon can pump Dogecoin well beyond the market cap of these 2 coins and even surpass legacy companies like Ford & Kraft Heinz in mkt. cap with something that was created in 2 hours. I'm not mad i'm just disappointed in the lack of ability to find fundamental value and yes I am a value investor and getting outperformed by my friends mindlessly investing in Doge doesn't feel good and I want to FOMO in so badly but bite my lip and HODL the value. Now is not the time to buy Doge, you are buying top and Elons bags. He has $15B worth of Doge in a single wallet and controls about 30% of the network. Buy Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is almost at its 2017 low after the altcoin season was over. Everybody and their mom right now for the past 3 months has been screaming NFT, Safemoon, Cummies, BSC, what about alts? The focus has been away from BTC and if you want to make money you need to trade against the crowd,
let everybody trade their safemoon while you HODL the real value. At some point all the altcoin money needs to transfer into somewhere. Investors probably won't want cash besides their lamborghini so they're going to invest it into Bitcoin. Bitcoin is Gold 2.0 and is going to go for a tear after altcoin season is over. However, while the lights are still on at the party make as much money as you can against the BTC ratio to stack more sats for the long term.
Thank you for reading this update to the Bitcoin Dominance ratio and would love to hear your thoughts below!
