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Bitcoindominance

Bitcoin Dominance - A Bullish Breakout towards 65%Here is my forecast for the bitcoin dominance chart: I think we could see a continued bull run on the BTC.D weekly towards the 70% (overbought) level by the end of this year - so you definitely want to remain overweight BTC until then. The picture also suggests that we may see another "alt season" near the end of 2024, as the crypto market heats up and we enter Fomo phase of the cycle. I believe the alt season could last until Q1-Q2 of 2025, at which point the entire market will be overbought. At this point, look for the ones that pumped the most - these will make for great short plays to hold in 2026.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Lorenz_Capital
BTC.D has NEVER Broken Above This Line! Ever.Traders, I know there's a first for everything but, as traders, we usually do our best work NOT guessing when that first will be. In this case, I have traced that descending purple TL back to sometime around November of 2016, which is nearly to the inception of dominance on this particular chart. In it's history, BTC.D has NEVER broken above our trend line with confirmation on the daily. You can observe a few wick ups but no body closes, let alone confirmation. Until we get a close above that TL with confirmation, I believe it's safe to conclude that we may see Bitcoin struggle a bit here vs. the Alts. Bitcoin needs to close above this trend line or larger cap alts, like Ethereum, will continue to outperform. Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by stewdamus
2
Alt Season Around the Corner (Scenarios)Bitcoin Dominance may be topping out here - a possible triple-top. Meanwhile many alts are bottoming vs. Bitcoin. A couple of examples shown here in contrast with CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D are BINANCE:ETHBTC and BINANCE:HBARBTC which may also be forming triple bottoms. This could occur as soon as next week. Other possible scenarios could be: Scenario 1: Mini-Alt-Season First: Then Bitcoin Dominates again -> Actual Alt Season: For this scenario, we'd likely see something like an initial breakdown of Bitcoin Dominance and breakout of Alts vs. their Bitcoin pairings, followed by a pullback on both as Bitcoin rises higher and alts lose vs. BTC again, hitting higher lows near bottom prior to the real breakout. Scenario 2- Breaks and Pullbacks Now: Dominance Breaks above 54.09% now -> Alts Lose their Bottoms Briefly -> Alt Season In this example, there's a breakout above recent Bitcoin Dominance highs (weekly close(s) above 54.09%), and alts breakdown losing their current bottoms vs Bitcoin (weekly close(s) below their weekly lows). Then a pullback below 54.09% and above alt's recent lows leading into an extended alt season. Scenario 3 - Idea is Invalidated - Dominance either heads up strong and Bitcoin eats alts or it falls as Bitcoin drops hard as Dominance does and the entire market moves down This final scenario is the invalidation of this idea. Bitcoin either rises hard along with dominance and destroys alt/btc pairings, or dominance and Bitcoin drop together as the entire market weakens - and if this occurs, I'd expect the signal for it would be as TVC:DXY strengthens heading above 106-108 and then 112-115 (see my other published posts about the Dollar Index and how it relates to crypto and stocks on the macro). Hope this helps someone, cheers and good luck! - dudebruhwhoa
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by dudebruhwhoa
4
AXS Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout and Market IndicatorThis analysis examines the recent price action of BINANCE:AXSUSDT AXS, focusing on the symmetrical triangle pattern and its potential breakout scenarios. 📉🔺Parabolic Move and Symmetrical Triangle: AXS experienced a parabolic price surge and subsequently entered a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern indicates a period of consolidation and uncertainty before a potential breakout. 🔽Breakout Scenarios: A breakout from the triangle could lead to two main scenarios: 1. Upward Breakout: A breakout above the triangle's upper resistance could signal a continuation of the upward trend. 2. Downward Breakout: A breakout below the triangle's lower support could indicate a bearish reversal and a downward movement. 📊🔺Market Indicators and Considerations: The direction of Bitcoin dominance and the Total Crypto Market Cap (TMC) index can influence AXS's price action. In the 4-hour timeframe, the 50 EMA is acting as a support level, potentially affecting price movement. ⛔Additional Considerations: False breakouts are possible, and traders should exercise caution and rely on confirmation indicators. Analyzing other technical indicators and market sentiment can help refine trade entry and exit strategies. 🚫This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
Short
by solinash1
📈Checkout the dominance, AltSeason is close!📉CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT There are two scenarios for the start of a bullish rally in altcoins. Scenario 1: If Dominance fails to break above the 53.35 level, it will move towards the bottom of the pitch-fork. In that case, we will have a short but relatively intense and exciting rally in altcoins. Second scenario: With Dominance stabilizing above the level of 53.35, the rise of Dominance to the level of 57 will cause Bitcoin to continue its rally and test the level of $70,000 and above. Further, by placing Dominance between two blue resistances and even falling to the bottom of the pitch-fork at the same time as Bitcoin stabilizes at around 65-70 thousand dollars, it can involve altcoins in a longer-term rally than the first scenario. Note: This week, after a short period of time when I had little analytical activity on this page, I plan to introduce and analyze my suggested altcoins in this rising market. We will have fun plans soon. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CrazyS
Cryptolean Bitcoin BTC Update Today, Bitcoin entered the key daily resistance zone of $69,654-$73,422 and is moving to the top of this zone. The price action with $69,654-$73,422 is very important. The daily candle closure above this zone will push Bitcoin price higher towards $78,223-$82,353. An inability to sustain the price action above $69,654 could push BTC price towards the minor support at $64,360 and, possibly, lower the key daily support of $59,920. Intraday Chart The intraday chart is interacting with the key resistance zone of $67,901-$70,177. From its current price location or after re-test of $70,553, a bullish move to $73,234-$75,142 is very likely. A quick move up and a bearish rejection of $73,234-$75,142 could lead to re-test of $68,305, the key intraday support. A bullish break-out of $73,234-$75,142 will help bulls to take a control of the intraday chart and BTC price will move towards $78,000. Like once read. Thank you!
Long
by Trade-Lean
2
Bitcoin is Still Bullish to 80k Before 48k RetestTraders, Just a quick note to keep you abreast on my still bullish Bitcoin bias. As you know, previously, I had thought that we might get a pullback to 48k before continuation to our inverse H&S target of 80k. But that was only if we could not close above our multi-year support/resistance from 2019. The bulls pushed right through that, a feat that is rarely accomplished! I don't know that I've ever witnessed a break straight through a TL that remains so significant. And now, with this weekly candle closing above the same resistance and forming a bullish hammer candle pattern, the probability increases that we will continue straight to our 80k price target before any sort of a pullback. The Bitcoin dominance chart (below), however, is rather bearish. Does this indicate weakness in our great leader? Not necessarily. In fact, I am of the persuasion that it actually indicates another huge altcoin bull run could be imminent. See, what could occur here soon is that alts take off and increase rapidly in price. BTC dominance dissipating could simply indicate to us that even though Bitcoin will continue to increase in price, altcoins will do it much more rapidly. The net effect of this race to the top with altcoins winning by a long shot would cause BTC dominance to drop. And this is my current view. If I am right here, the next few weeks in the altcoin space should be a ton of fun and huge profits are on their way. But set those stops accordingly. I could be wrong too. You know my bet. Best, Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Cryptolean Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D Update In the weekly chart, Bitcoin Dominance is in the bullish territory, as long as weekly candles close above 53.27%. Below 53.27%, the key weekly support, Bitcoin will share the dominance with Altcoins and BTC.D will decline towards 51.37%. A bearish break-out of 51.37% and #Bitcoin Dominance keeping below this level will push BTC.D to 49% resulting in Altseason. Above 53.27%, the probability to move to 55.5% remains high and this move will put pressure on Satoshi price of Altcoins. Daily Chart After finding a support at 50-Day Moving Average and 53% level, the BTC.D daily chart is lingering around 53.5%. A bearish rejection of 53.5% will result in #BitcoinDominance moving to 52.24%, the key daily support. A bullish break-out of 53.5% will place Bitcoin Dominance into the slow momentum area and will increase a likelihood of re-test of 54.5%. Like once read. Thank you!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Trade-Lean
Dominance to drop to 35% if it can't reclaim 58%Should Bitcoin Dominance fail to reclaim an old neckline at 57-58%, it will likely drop back down to its recent lows and continue down to make a new ATL just below 35% Presently, Bitcoin dominance may fail to get above 54.09% on the weekly chart, after losing its uptrend and getting stopped 3x. If instead it does get above it, it still has to reclaim the neckline of a double-top that occurred the last time it tapped ~73.6%, and it appears to be facing resistance to that already, several percentage points below that level. It also has never hit an old rising wedge's TP 2, which happens to line up with a 2x measured move down from the aforementioned double-top. This idea is contrary to another post I've made that sees Bitcoin Dominance as long-term bullish, and headed back towards 100%, which I've linked to below and in the related ideas section as well:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by dudebruhwhoa
Bitcoin Hits New Highs on Strong Fundamentals and DemandLatest Report on Bitcoin and Crypto Market Developments Our analysts have closely monitored the immense price action and developments driving performance in the cryptocurrency sector. This report aims to accurately outline relevant factors supporting Bitcoin's ongoing uptrend and the overall bullish sentiment across digital assets. Bitcoin posted a series of new all-time highs versus several global currencies including the Japanese yen, Malaysian ringgit, and others, extending its dominance in cross-border value transfers. Flow data shows exchange inflows reaching November 2021 peaks, underlining robust demand. Among recent announcements, Edward Snowden predicted a country will soon confirm purchasing Bitcoin to back reserves modernly without disclosure. Binance Labs funded a new staking protocol supporting network rewards fromBTC holdings. In the US, Bitcoin ETFs witnessed record $680 million weekly inflows. The BVL exchange in Peru approved crypto ETFs while BlackRock prepares a similar launch in Brazil. South Korean regulators discuss potential approval moves. Trend-defining analysis from Glassnode and Bitwise contends Bitcoin remains in a prolonged bull phase fueled by non-believers closing short positions. Transaction activity and exchange volumes reached November 2021 levels, exposing dwindling supply against persistent buying pressure. MicroStrategy doubled down on its seven-figure BTC bet by signaling staying power. Executives from Blockstream and Bitwise forecast six-figure prices over coming years. Popular predictions cite $100,000 before halving events that could stimulate renewed fomo. Technical metrics mirroring the last rally to near $70,000 reflect an ongoing positive cycle. Short squeezes inherently fuel upside breaks while traders betting against Bitcoin may exit en masse, unleashing buying waves. OTC desks face acute scarcity amid aggressive accumulation. Macro considerations such as inflation hedging also strengthen the long-term investment thesis. ETF permission across emerging economies broadens accessibility. With persistent institutional capital flows and mainstream adoption tools, Bitcoin retains a constructive narrative despite volatility. Our analysis concludes Bitcoin remains on an uptrend against a backdrop of widespread institutional adoption. Let us know if you require any expansion on specifics covered. We maintain a bullish outlook and will continue monitoring price components and on-chain activity closely for the next major move.
by ChartSavant
Get Ready for ALTSEASON 2024🥳📈📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 Bitcoin is undoubtedly on it's way to making a new ATH. But one question is on everyone's mind... wen altseason ? Parabolic rallies often occur across the altcoin market after a steep increase on BTC and when BTC trades sideways and loses dominance (BTC.D). I'm not going to go into too much detail here, as I've already covered the rotation between BTC and Altcoins in another post here: I also called the start of a new bullish cycle here: And then went on to call a few alts early to watch for then coming bull cycle: ARE YOU PREPARED FOR ALTSEASON 2024? If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoCheck-
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) & the Altcoin Rally ForecastThe Bitcoin Dominance chart reveals a bearish divergence on the 3-Day chart, a signal we previously highlighted in our analysis. Since then, BTC.D has engaged in a range-trading dance, marked by the emergence of a Lower Highs and Lower Lows pattern. The plot thickens as BTC.D approaches the downtrend trendline, poised to act as formidable resistance. Should this trendline hold its ground, especially if the daily close remains below, we anticipate a substantial drop in Bitcoin Dominance. Our eyes are keenly fixed on the key support area ranging between 44-45%, a critical zone aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Yet, in case of the decline, first we must not overlook the significance of the 49% demand zone. The broader picture paints a compelling narrative—we stand at the precipice of a potential altcoin rally. The unfolding scenario hints at the very beginning of a transformative phase, with the possibility of many coins doubling in price.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoPAMM
5
If I were to trade Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM), I would sell now.Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) has formed a distinctive double top at 2380, a key level marked by a bearish divergence observed in the MACD oscillator. While a strong support zone has emerged around the psychological level of 2000, a critical shift could be underway. It's important to note that BTCDOM has breached below the 50 Moving Average on a 3-Day chart, signaling a departure from its recent trend. The convergence of a bearish MACD divergence and the breach below the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) paints a picture of potential weakness in the BTC dominance dynamics. The emphasis on this potential weakness raises a flag, presenting a reasonable selling opportunity. This decision is bolstered by the recognition of a solid risk-to-reward ratio, underlining the strategic nature of the suggested trade. Traders, take note – the current technical signals suggest that now might be the opportune moment to act on a bearish outlook for Bitcoin Dominance.
Short
by CryptoPAMM
BTC.D WILL NEVER REACH 58% EVER AGAIN AND/OR HOLD IT.The statement is made to stablish what I believe is obvious, but considering what I've been learning from all on CT, this is my opinion of course, not financial advice. BTC market share around 10T Total Market Cap would reach maybe 3.3 on present cycle, where ETH may reach 1.1 with SOL.D above it by small % maybe reaching 14% on a very tiny window. All behaviour of Altcoins Dominance regardas past cycles is suggestion the market share is going to expand (logic) and the race would be to hold above 10% and for BTC to hold AND sustain, above 25%. I Believe BTC will touch the base of the Fib Channel, around 14% meanwhile the window closes and the market shuffle is over. Happy Harvest.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by TheMatterMaker