Dominance & Bitcoin to Move Up if 52% HoldsBitcoin and Bitcoin Dominance may be about to move up should the 52% dominance level be successfully held.
Expecting a sharp move up to 55-57% for dominance and 40-43.5k for Bitcoin, and alts to lose value vs. Bitcoin:
Should the 52% level be lost, we may re-test 50 or 48% dominance levels instead.
Bitcoin needs to cleanly break through the 36.5-40k area to get out of the danger zone:
Bitcoindominance
XRP Bull trap, ALTS PullbackHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
A bull trap is "false" signal that shows a bearish trend (such as the lower highs in XRP) has reversed and is now heading upwards, when in fact, it will continue to decline. Often a large wick towards the upside is observed, shaking out traders favoring the obvious move (shorting).
It's important to note that for the first time, the TOTAL3 chart is about to close a red candle ALONG with Bitcoin Dominance:
This indicates that the entire crypto environment is being drained of liquidity, and corrections will follow.
Again, I wish there were more options... I'm choosing "short" to label my outlook even though I would not trade with leverage on XRP. The bulltrap and the TOTAL3 chart indicates we're heading lower, and so my bias for the short term is testing next immediate support zones.
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BINANCE:XRPUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
Bitcoin Dominance Cheat SheetHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Bitcoin dominance and the rotations between BTC and altcoins can be confusing. Enjoy this easy-to-understand guide to BTC.D , and why it is important to watch alongside with the bitcoin chart.
👇👇👇
BTC dominance is calculated by dividing the market cap of BTC by the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies. If the TOTAL market cap is 1.5 trillion and the market cap of alts increases, then BTC dominance will go down unless the market cap of BTC also increases.
But to really understand the rotation of money between BTC and alts, you'll need a clear understanding of how how market caps all fit together.
Imagine a pie where each slice represents a different cryptocurrency. The pie here indicates the total cryptocurrency market cap of both Bitcoin and altcoins, which can increase or decrease at any given time. In other words the TOTAL chart.
- If BTC market cap increases but altcoin market cap shrinks (relative), the pie stays the same size.
- If BTC market cap increase and altcoin market cap increases, the pie size increase and so forth.
If BTC dominance is at 40%, it means that the BTC slice of the pie chart is 40% of the total size of the pie. The remaining 60% of the pie is made up of all other cryptocurrencies (altcoins).
A pie chart from March 2023:
Now, imagine a new bullish cycle starts across the crypto markets. This causes the market capitalization of both altcoins and Bitcoin to increase. If the market capitalization of BTC also increases, but at a slower rate than the market capitalization of altcoins, then BTC dominance will remain stable even though BTC Price increases AND altcoins prices increase. This is because the BTC slice of the pie is still 40% of the total size of the pie, even though the pie has grown larger.
In other words, the pie has gotten bigger, but the size of the BTC slice has remained the same relative to the rest of the pie.
Here is another way to think about it:
Total market cap: $1.5 trillion
BTC market cap: $900 billion
Alt market cap: $600 billion
BTC dominance: 60%
Now, let's say that the alt market cap increases by $200 billion and the BTC market cap increases by $100 billion. The total market cap would now be $1.8 trillion and the BTC market cap would be $1 trillion. BTC dominance would still be 60%, even though the price of BTC increased because the overall pie has gotten bigger.
Here is an example of how the BTC dominance falls, but BTC price increases:
Total market cap: $1.5 trillion
BTC market cap: $900 billion
Alt market cap: $600 billion
BTC dominance: 60%
Now, let's say that the alt market cap increases by $200 billion, but the BTC market cap only increases by $100 billion. The total market cap would now be $1.8 trillion and the alt market cap would be $800 billion. BTC dominance would now be 50%, even though the price of BTC has increased.
As a summary:
UP: BTC d ominance is increasing, meaning that BTC is outperforming altcoins.
STABLE: BTC d ominance is remaining relatively unchanged. This could indicate price movement on either Bitcoin or Alts .
DOWN: BTC d ominance is decreasing, meaning that altcoins are outperforming BTC .
We see an increase of market capitalization on the TOTAL chart:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
BTD.D & USDT.D -----> What's Happening?As I said before, I will say again that the market will always give you another chance to buy and there seem to be signs for this second chance.
Possible scenario for me:
Pullback to the broken levels of dominance by Tether and Bitcoin in the coming days and try to collect liquidity from the market and stop hunting small traders like me!
Then the return of dominance and the price of Bitcoin to the upward trend of the past .
and activating stop losses of positions in the opposite direction and possible shorts again!
What do you Guys Think about Btc.d and Usdt.d?
Does This Give Alts a Chance to Shine?Dominance is performing nearly perfectly with only a few surprises along the way. I wasn't quite sure dominance wanted to test the underside of that channel you see in red. That channel started in November of last year. We broke to the downside in August of this year and never really retested. Well, here we are today. We have retested the underside of the channel and can now expect BTC.D to continue its drop. The big question is will alts drop with Bitcoin as they have mostly been accustomed to doing in this bear market or will this finally be a time in which we can witness some divergence? The chart is showing the latter as a strong possibility however, be careful with your picks. Small cap/high risk alts should for the most part, not enter the equation here yet. The divergence will probably most notably be witness in larger cap alts like Ethereum and XRP. Maybe a few mid-cap alts as well.
This is not fin advice.
Stewdamus.
Market Update - October 13
US consumer price index (CPI) remains sticky: CPI data released on Thursday did not show a further cooling in inflation in the US economy, further muddying the Fed’s decision making on the future interest rate path.
Federal Reserve unable to reach a firm decision on interest rate hikes: Minutes from the Fed’s last meeting show wavering opinions on interest rate hikes against the backdrop of uncertainty in the US economy.
Ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas dampens investor confidence: The price of both bitcoin and ether has been in decline since attacks erupted between Hamas and Israel on Saturday. Bitcoin has dropped below FWB:27K USD and ether has lagged, falling to 0.057 on the ETHBTC pair.
Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial continues as Caroline Ellison takes the stand: The former CEO of Alameda Research pleaded guilty to fraud and testified that SBF directed her to create false balance sheets to hide the company’s debt to FTX.
India is paving the way for crypto adoption, despite 30% capital gains tax: The Central Board of Direct Taxes collected over $12m in taxes, and a newly released report ranks India as number one for grassroots crypto adoption.
🫱 Read more here
Bitcoin Dominance targetsCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️Marked 2 main targets for Bitcoin Dominance
➡️Based on Take Profit indicator on weekly we can see test of "Take profit" line
➡️Marked green box zone where you can step by step sell and fix profit in altcoins
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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Bitcoin Dominance AnalysisBitcoin dominance serves as a crucial indicator, offering insights into the broader altcoin market. Today, we observe a clear breakout from a cup and handle pattern, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
Key Resistance Levels Ahead: [/b
Resistance 1: 50.70%
Resistance 2: 50.91%
I anticipate pullbacks and increased activity in the altcoin market as a result. Keep an eye on potential opportunities! 🪙 🔍
Here is Why Bitcoin Dominance Suggests Small AltseasonBitcoin dominance is currently displaying an intriguing pattern that could have significant implications for the altcoin market. It's following an ascending channel and has entered a consolidation phase around the 50.0% level. What's particularly noteworthy is the formation of a pattern that resembles a head and shoulders.
Here's what this means:
Consolidation at 50.0% Level: Bitcoin's dominance is hovering at the 50.0% level, signifying a balance between Bitcoin and altcoins in the market.
Head and Shoulders-Like Pattern: The emergence of a pattern resembling a head and shoulders in Bitcoin dominance is a key observation. This pattern typically suggests a potential decline in Bitcoin's dominance.
Possible Drop: Given the shape of this pattern, there's a possibility that Bitcoin's dominance could experience a small drop, perhaps towards 49.5%. Such a shift can have significant implications for altcoins.
Altcoin Opportunities: As Bitcoin appears to be making upward moves, a slight dip in Bitcoin's dominance could pave the way for altcoins to shine. Altcoins often perform well when Bitcoin's dominance wanes, and they might even experience substantial gains.
Check out Altseason Cycle Cheat Sheet >>
In summary, Bitcoin's dominance teetering around the 50.0% level and the formation of a head and shoulders-like pattern signal a potential shift in market dynamics. This period of flux opens doors for diverse altcoins to showcase their potential. Smart strategies, vigilant monitoring, and prudent risk management will be key in maximizing gains and minimizing risks during this phase of the crypto market. Stay tuned, stay informed, happy trading!
How to Altseason Cycle || Cheat Sheet || Bitcoin DominanceMonitoring Bitcoin dominance (BTC-DOM) is a valuable tool for crypto traders. It provides insights into the relationship between Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and altcoins (ALT-USD), helping you make bette decisions about your altcoins and tokens.
Spotting Altcoin Seasons:
Altcoin seasons are periods of heightened interest in different cryptocurrencies and tokens, often causing their total market cap to surpass that of Bitcoin.
Understanding BTC-DOM's movements can help you anticipate how the market might react:
1. BTC-DOM Goes UP:
When BTC-DOM rises and BTC-USD also climbs, it often indicates a bullish phase for Bitcoin. During this time, ALT-USD may stay relative stable and face sideways.
If BTC-USD experiences a decline while BTC-DOM is on the upswing, ALT-USD might witness a significant dump.
When BTC-USD moves sideways and BTC-DOM follows suit, ALT-USD tends to maintain a stable course.
2. BTC-DOM Goes SIDEWAYS:
If BTC-DOM remains relatively stable and BTC-USD sees an uptrend, ALT-USD often mirrors this upward movement.
Conversely, if BTC-USD takes a dip while BTC-DOM remains flat, ALT-USD tends to follow suit with a decline.
When both BTC-USD and BTC-DOM exhibit sideways patterns, ALT-USD typically remains in a state of relative stability.
3. BTC-DOM Goes DOWN:
A decrease in BTC-DOM coupled with a rising BTC-USD often leads to a pumps for ALT-USD.
When BTC-USD experiences a decrease while BTC-DOM falls, ALT-USD may stabilize or enter a sideways phase.
If BTC-USD moves sideways while BTC-DOM declines, ALT-USD often witnesses an upward movement.
Remember that while these trends offer valuable insights, the crypto market is highly volatile. Low cap altcoins can behave unexpectedly even when Bitcoin dominance suggests a particular trend. Therefore, use Bitcoin dominance as one of many tools in your investment strategy, and always conduct thorough research before making decisions.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE(BTC.D) will go down.
* 1D
The long-term upward trend line has been broken.
Therefore, the possibility of further declines seems high.
First of all, the important point is whether the 48.80% range, which is an important support line, is broken.
If this section is broken, it is likely to continue to fall.
Based on this, Alts bull market is coming.
Bitcoin Dominance: Key Insights for TradersGreetings dear traders, let's analyze Bitcoin Dominance chart!
The Bitcoin Dominance chart is currently perched just above the crucial 49% mark, a pivotal level recognized for its significance as both support and resistance over the long term.
Delving deeper into the analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals an intriguing development—a notable oversold signal. This could potentially be indicative of an impending price rebound.
Zooming out, our attention is drawn to the nearest resistance point, situated around the downtrend channel resistance. This obstacle aligns closely with the 50% dominance threshold. The convergence of these factors presents a compelling scenario: a potential rebound from this resistance could spark altcoin season.
$BTC - The Struggle Continues - #Bitcoin's Uptrend still intact in terms of Price Action,
coming from the Lows of 15K .
Concerning is the fact that despite Bitcoin trending Bullish on regards of
Market Structure (series of HH & HL ) ;
it is trending so,
within a Rising Channel (i.e bearish flag).
Ahead of this current uptrend is the Golden Zone Fibbonaci Level
awaited to be faced as Resistance in the midst of a Critical S/R Zone.
Both of this targets should be flipped from Resistance to Support(retested)
in order for Bitcoin to be headed higher,
to trigger the price interest at 50k-65k ; W(tf) *OB a
(see the updated idea attached below)
Until further confirmations, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is likely to be headed to at least 35.000$
in the short term time frame.
Key S/R and Golden Zone may very well be the next stoping point to open shorts
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your Financial Advisor before
partaking on any trading activity based solely on this Idea.
BITCOIN - NO BULL RUN TILL MARCH 2024This Bitcoin chart right here is a monthly timeframe chart. We all have been expecting this bear market to be over but it keeps deceiving us. Here is a clue on what to expect in the coming month.
Based on 2017 bear cycle that lasted for 27 months (821 days) as displayed on the chart, we see the current 2021 bear market following the same trend.
We have four phases here and the number of months each lasted for
The All Time High - All Time Low (12 Months)
The Bull Trap (6 Months)
Accumulation Phase (9 Months)
And finally the;
All Time Low to All Time High (13 Months)
Comparing the two bear market together, we have completed the first two phases and we are in the accumulation phase.
Therefore, we have till February 2024 to accumulate our favorite gems before a bull run will kickstart.
Not a financial advice🙅🏼♂️
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BTC dominance decreasing can indeed have a positive impact 📉 Bitcoin's dominance decreasing can indeed have a positive impact on altcoins! 🚀 As Bitcoin's dominance (the percentage of total cryptocurrency market cap that Bitcoin represents) decreases, it often suggests that investors are diversifying into other cryptocurrencies, including altcoins.
This can lead to increased interest and potential price appreciation in the altcoin market. However, market dynamics can be complex, so continue to monitor trends, news, and overall market sentiment to make informed decisions. 📊🚀 #BitcoinDominance #AltcoinSeason #MarketTrends #Diversification
📈BTC.D analysis, ready to fall below the📉CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas.
As indicated in the chart, Bitcoin Dominance can return to the yellow range before moving upwards.
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Move imminent for BTC?If the trend really is your friend I would expect a big move from BTC any day now looking at the global market cap dominance of BTC over the rest of all other cryptocurrencies.
Unless the bitcoin ETF is denied, or another catalyst comes in to break the momentous BTC dominance trend thats been happening recently.
NFA -Just a friend snapshotting the trend
Bitcoin Dominance in for a Steep Drop?Unpopular idea - CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D could actually be dropping hard here after falling just under resistance at ~53%.
It stopped directly where the lowest wick stopped below that resistance, and also stopped at the top of this expanding wedge.
Could we see a move down to the bottom of the wedge and finally make the new all-time-low that everyone was expecting a back in 2021?
BITCOIN DOMINANCE TO REACH NEW ALL TIME LOWS!BTC.D breakind multiple lows in the consolidation phase so its about to break hardly like past events. Stay focus at this, BITCOIN EVENT ARE NOT OVER YET!. If FED hikes 50 BPS in December we are going to visit 30k and eventually ATH. Hyperbolic phase is about to come in the next months. Dont be trapped in long term visions.
Bitcoin Dominance (#BTC.D) Hits HH: What It Means for Altcoins🌴 Paradisers, let's discuss the recent developments in the Bitcoin dominance (#BTCD) and its potential impact on the cryptocurrency market. 🌴
💎 The Bitcoin dominance recently reached a new higher high, hitting the 49.66% mark. This is an important milestone, as it signifies the breakthrough of a long-term resistance level. This breakthrough opens up the possibility for #BTCD to climb even higher, showcasing its strength in the market. 💎
💎 However, it's worth noting that the price of #BTCD has encountered resistance at the 261.8% Fibonacci level, suggesting a potential pullback in the near future. This correction could lead #BTCD to retrace back to the 48% area, allowing room for the Altcoins to flourish.
💎 If #BTCD manages to stay within the ascending channel, it is highly likely that we may witness an Altcoin Bloodbath after the pullback. This indicates a period where Altcoins could experience significant drop in a relatively short timespan. On the other hand, if #BTCD breaks below the 48% support and subsequently 47%, it could signify a greater potential for the Altcoin season to emerge.
💎 In summary, the overall trend remains strongly bullish for #BTCD, but a healthy pullback would not be surprising. If the pullback occurs, #BTCD could resume its rally and potentially target the resistance level at 52%, which aligns with a double Fibonacci level.