Bitcoinforecast
Bitcoin Breakout! Big Support Resistance Levels to Watch!Bitcoin finally broke above the 4h 200 EMA and horizontal resistance at $17,300! This was a HUGE step for BTC since that level has acted as resistance for some time now. Now the question is, where do we go from here?
The big levels to watch are the top of the channel at $18,000 and the MAJOR resistance at $18,700. I'm expecting Bitcoin to at least retest the support at $17,640 before continuing higher. If it breaks through that support, then the next MAJOR level is the 200 EMA and horizontal support combined with the bottom of the channel at $17,300. These would be great levels to DCA (dollar-cost average) if it gets there.
If you enjoyed my TA or had any questions, please comment below or send me a DM :)
BTC Bulls Next Target is $17600-$18200 After This HappensBitcoin Bulls are ready for some good green Holidays in December, The current pullback after hitting $16800 could go further down to a more stronger support range at $15800 - $15450 range. This range will provide buyers with sufficient buy capital to attempt the $16800 resistance of which I so see them clearing through it to hit $17300, but here I see market makers targeting Sellers(Shorters) stop-hunt around the $17600 all the way up to $18300.
I'm staying open minded on the support and a possible worst case scenario triple bottom could arise because for now the current Dojis on weekly support shows anything can still happen, What are the chances that the bulls will make it to above $18k in Dec?
I say we have over 75% chances of bulls making it to $18k and over 65% above $20k
The current pullback must not go below last low of $15433 range to be more open minded,
I do see that from December 2022to January 2023 will give buyers the opportunity with the current accumulation on going to achieve a little more recovery to the upside before a major more dump coming from Mid 2023 to 2024.
#BTC Bear Flag $10k FloorWhen in doubt Zoom out.
A picture can paint a thousand words.
85% Draw Down?
75% Draw Down?
IMHO, Bearish looking to play the Bull trap back down to $10k btc.
Bitcoin is on the edge of collapse!Hello, everyone!
It’s time to refresh our global Bitcoin analysis because I have some evidences that the new impulsive wave to the downside is about to happen.
Let’s take a look at the 1D time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. When we analyzing the Elliott waves first of all we have to find the minimal Awesome Oscillator value. It corresponds to the wave 3. I consider wave 3 has been ended at the $15500. Now our purpose is to find the wave 4 top to short the market and catch the wave 5. I have already opened short position at the very top $17300 and told you it here 5 days ago. I suppose that the wave 4 has been already ended because of the AO zero line crossover, but I am ready if BTC will show us another one leg up. Maximal target is $17800 where I can wait the price to enhance short position – it’s 0.38 Fibonacci level.
I want you to notice that the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels are unreachable because it will violates the Elliott waves axiom about non-overlaping waves 1 and 4. Hence I am waiting for the crash in the nearest weeks. The probable target for the wave 5 is $13200.
Best regards, Ivan
btcusdt dayly timeframe bearish wyckoff distribution foundbtcusdt dayly timeframe bearish wyckoff distribution found
dyor
learning purpose
#BTC/USDT Geopolitical Factors or Manipulation?Welcome to this Quick BTC Update.
A close below $16588 will trigger a bearish rally toward $15k.
I see a bullish rally in the charts with a target of $18k+.
BTC is currently hitting the support with a demand zone from $16500 to $16800 level.
The Russia-Ukraine war is back again, recently 100 missiles were fired again.
This has been going on for a long time.
The FTX saga is over, there's no more pain IMO which is bigger than the FTX.
I AM ACCUMULATING.
Good thing, we closed 75% of our 7 altcoin positions in massive profit when BTC was trading above $17.2k.
25% stopped out with a low profit.
Only CHZ was stopped out with a small loss.
You were warned on multiple platforms.
Check out if you haven't yet.
Not Financial advice, DYOR!
Do hit the link button if you want to support my work as it motivates me to post more setups and updates like these.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC 2h Analysis 13 dec 2022 (UPDATE)The previous analysis still stands in my opinion. It can return from the specified resistance range to the lower stability and we can correct the numbers announced in the previous analysis
Can Bitcoin Break Above The 200 EMA?BTC recently climbed back into our upwards channel on the 4h chart but still remains below the 200 EMA ($17,300). This is such an important level because it's acted as resistance since Dec 5th and is now coupled with horizontal resistance (red line) near the same level.
This is a big week with a lot of numbers from the government (CPI, FOMC, etc.) so expect a lot of volatility. If Bitcoin can break above the 200 EMA I can easily see us touching $17,640. If not, then my target is $16,700 (next major support). Since we broke out of the upwards channel yesterday, I don't see it as much of a support now. If we break $16,700 then $15,900 would be my next major resistance.
If you enjoyed my TA or had any questions about the indicators I use, please comment below or send me a PM :)
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% BTC, 48% Cash.
*Markets rallied on hopes for a lower US November CPI tomorrow morning and if it's lower than in October expect for a continued rally in Cryptos and US Equities; however, if it's higher then a sharp downturn is likely. The last FOMC rate hike of 2022 will be following the day after on 12/14; if it's 50bps then a short-term rally is likely, whereas a 75bps rate hike would likely be bearish. SBF was reportedly finally arrested today in the Bahamas after pulling out from his agreement to testify to US Congress , he will be held in the Bahamas until a formal request for US extradition is made. The EU has placed sanctions on Iran for supplying Russia with drones for their attack on Ukraine in addition to their violent response to social protests .
Cryptos, US Equities, Commodities, VIX, Short-Term US Treasurys, GBPUSD, EURUSD, JPYUSD and NI225 ended today's session up. DXY, Long-Term US Treasurys, US Equity Futures (aside from NASDAQ), CNYUSD, HSI and N100 finished down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 12/15; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently trending sideways at $17100 for a twelfth consecutive session as it approaches a retest of the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance. Volume finished today's session Moderate (moderate) and broke a three day streak of seller dominance. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $15700, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending down slightly at 50, the next resistance is the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at ~58 and the next support is at 42.41. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish at 88.29 support. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending sideways at -101, it's still technically testing -232.42 resistance. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 24 as Price continues to trend sideways, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to breakout then it will have to get above the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance before it can potentially test $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the local low of $16200 as support before potentially retesting the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16800.
BTC 2h Analysis 12 dec 2022In my opinion, we will have a slight drop to around 15600, which is clearly visible in the chart. Of course, this drop will be done in the 4 targets you see in the picture.
Be successful and profitable!
BITCOIN 1h Update 10 December 2022Good day! Artem here with analysis update on Bitcoin at 1 hour TF. Here are my predictions for the price movement in the following week:
Today, BTCUSD is most likely going to move in a sideways motion about $17000-17140. Expecting an upward breakout on Monday, December 11 with a conservative target near $17400–17500.
Notice my stop loss on the chart. I consider this as a bearish takeover point.
Epic Fail of Bitcoin in logarithmic Regression [Weekly]Hi everyone,
There has been many references to the weekly logarithmic regression of Bitcoin that claimed it never failed from the time of its creation by Satoshi Nakamoto. it has been promoted on social media for a long time by serious advocates such as PlanB or many others on twitter.
But as you can see on the chart, in November of 2022 the logarithmic regression failed to support the price for the first time in Bitcoin history.
Bitcoin is relatively a new class of asset in comparison with Gold for instance and I believe one should be very cautious with it in regard to its short history, especially in times of a possible recession.
FYI, Logarithmic regression is a type of regression used to model situations where growth or decay accelerates rapidly at first and then slows over time. more in-depth elaboration of its math and logic is available at : heartbeat.comet.ml
Please manage your risk responsibly and make informed decisions.
Good luck!
Bitcoin is still bearish!Hello, everyone!
First of all I have an announcement for haters and trolls. You can laugh on me that I was sure that the Bitcoin price is not going to break $17080, but it did. I admit my mistake and understand that need to continue study Trading Chaos or any other approach if this does not work. My purpose in this blog is to show you my trader’s way. I think most of you still remember my stupid opinion that $26k was the bottom based on absolutely nothing, then I have not been aware of Elliott wave analysis. Now I can correctly predict most of major moves, but on local time frames I am still the noob.
Time to analyze the market. Let’s take a look at the 4h time frame BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. First of all let’s notice the supply and demand lines (or support and resistance trendlines if you want). Bitcoin has easily reached the demand line, but has not enough power to reach the supply one. It is the sign of weakness. If the price will not break through the local high at $17400 next couple of days I am going to use the Elliott waves scenario which is pointed out on the chart. The pump which sent me to the books again could be the tricky wave 2 and if it’s the case the impulsive dump is about to happen.
If the price break $17400 I am going to recount waves again and think about my mistake. What about trades? I am in short from $17300 – nice entry that’s why I don’t want to close this position and is going to enhance it in case of the new pump.
Best regards, Ivan
Bitcoin Rejecting at Resistance! Will it Crash?The 4h chart for BTC is still playing out perfectly. You can see it rejected on the 200 EMA (pink line) and recently rejected at the horizontal resistance of $17,167.
I'm expecting Bitcoin to at LEAST retest the bottom of our upwards channel at $17,000 and possibly falling to $16,736 (with a dip lower to form a bullish divergence) then bounce to retest the $17,167 resistance.
If Bitcoin breaks above the 200 EMA, I'm FULLY expecting us to test the next MAJOR resistance of $17,640.
If you enjoyed my TA or have any questions on the indicators used, please leave a comment below or send me a PM :)
BITCOIN: STRONG BUY SIGNALstrong buy signal on weekly divergence indicator
price can go up in the next months
Financial Wave. BTC m15Bitcoin has consolidated above $17,000, which confirms our priority scenario. Growth to $18000-18800 looks most likely. A drop below $16,500 cancels this scenario.
BTCUSD 1DAfter breaking the range of 18,360 to 17,650, the price is pulling back to this range, and it is also in a descending channel, now it is expected that the price will complete its pullback and then continue to fall, and the targets of 13,870 to 13,000 (orange box) and The next target is the range of $10,560 to $9,800 (green box) available
💥Bitcoin to rise to $20k before a dump below $15k#BITCOIN (UPDATE)
Clearly shown on the chart is bearish breakout from the trendline support and a pullback in play. When the pullback is complete, then another drop below $15,000
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BTC/USDT - Short Setup Brewing?🔮💰Looking at the Bitcoin 4h chart, we've mapped out some key level and a potential short setup. 📉
The first being the 17.3-17.4K resistance. If we work up to that area, it might be worth looking at some shorts.🔨
A move back down to 16.9K or lower in the near term would be ideal.
If we do leg down beyond that, we might be in for a serious leg back below 16K, into the 15K range.
Macro environment will also be at play here with the PPI #'s coming in pretty ugly. 📰
It will be interesting to see how we close out the last month of a brutal 2022 for all markets.
As we say in almost all of our breakdowns, we think 2023 will be pretty ugly and recession is HIGHLY likely.
Only time will tell. Stay safe & eyes peeled out there on the charts! 👀
-TucciNomics
Chief Overlord, AlgoBuddy
Bitcoin will take another upward move to 20Kthe big falling wedge will bread soon toward the upside
this is my opinion but not a financial advise
BTC: Ascending Wedge w/ Liquidity TrapHere is the second part of my "There will be blood" chart (check it out below), which accurately forecasted the next redistribution event for BTC. It's becoming a familiar occurrence: an unmistakable ascending wedge pattern emerging with dominant supply expansion in the pullbacks presupposes more downward action to come, but perhaps not before a quick liquidity grab to the north. Since July there have been a myriad of rising wedge redistributive ranges in the PA. This appears to be yet another.
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*Not financial advice. DYOR and trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin buy (long term investment)I position myself as a scalper in the forex market, but as many other traders, I'm interested in Bitcoin as the main tool in the crypto market. Therefore, I consider investing in Bitcoin only for a long-term period.
By looking monthly chart we can see two clear break of strucures (BoS). So I'm looking for buys.
The next step I draw my point of intrests (POI) which are 50% and 75% of high and low of first BoS (red purple circles). That's my buy zone.
Then I build Fibonacci extensions from highiest levels and I've notiesed the main key level. It's just near my buy zone (50%). With high probability price will reach my first entry - 6940.00
I also recognized that there is liquidity (LQD) line (from 2972.01 till 3955.25). Half of the liquidity range falls under my second long entry (75%) so most likely is that price will also reach my second entry - 3470.00 for 1 Bitcoin.
Let see how it will work.
Good luck to everyone;)
