Bitcoinfutures
😱 BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTION 2020/2021 😱 NEW PHASE ‼‼‼Here is the update on history of Bitcoin. NEW +1 Phase spotted. I find 7+1 Phases of the bitcoin from the top of 2013.
1. Descending Triangle Phase
Price in form of triangle, in 2013 this pattern last for about 398 days.
In the 2018, we can see similar triangle shape and price last here for about same period in 341 days. Next phase
2. Ascending Triangle Phase
After breakdown of the phase 1, market in 2014 moved down and in start of 2015 formed Ascending triangle shape within 186 days. Now look at 2018/2019 zone of Ascending triangle , similar shape, similar period of 155 days. Next price moved upside to next phase.
3. Flat Zone Phase
After moving upside price stuck in Flat zone for the 149 days in end 2015 and beginning of 2016. In middle of 2019 price stucked in similar Flat zone for about 162 days. Then we moving to next phase
4. Inverse Triangle Rise Phase
In this zone we see about 105 days of rise in between middle of 2016. Here is highly debatable, but looks similar in end of 2019, you can see similar rise within 107 days. What happened next is phase of sudden crash.
5. Sudden Crash Phase
So you see the 4th phase with 107 days rise, then within just few days price suddenly crashes in end of summer 2016. Same Sudden Crash happened in fears of COVID-19 in March 2020, right after Inverse Triangle Phase (4). Now move to phase 6.
6. Lack of Certainty Top
In the end of 2016 we see the small volatility movement below resistance line and before this Top zone, we see steady rise for 153 days, before the market breakout from resistance line. In the 2020 we see steady rise after Sudden Crash (5) for about 156 days. Now price approaching resistance line without big volatility . Here is the prediction starts, in 2017 after breakout we faced 7th phase.
NEW. 7. ATH Volatility Spike
In the beginning of 2017 you can see green rectangle - at that time price approached 2013 ATH ($1150) and looks like there price start to jump really fast. Price made a pullback from ATH and then tried to break it, showing false breakout and then only at third attempt it broke the ATH level and Parabic started
8. Parabolic Rush Phase
So after the breaking out from resistance line in early 2017, Bitcoin price started to grow, and after crossing previous highs market flooded with new traders and fresh money, which caused insane growth of the price for abut 357 days. Will this phase repeats after we cross 20k again? This is topic for discuss :)
👉 What price do you think we will face during end of 2020 and in 2021?
Stay tuned, have a good profits
Appreciate your likes and subscriptions
This is Artem Crypto
We Have Our Answer!Traders,
A few posts ago, you will see that (2) two gaps were being focused on. The question was posed about which might be filled first. Many of my followers understand that my bias was to the upside gap being filled first. Thanks to the Blackrock ETF approval, this has occurred. And, as I stated in my video yesterday, I have unloaded 50% of ALL my positions (alts included), taken profits, and moved my stops up to break even. I will let the remainder ride for now and hopefully take the rest off at the 50 day ma of the SPOT BTC chart which intersect exactly with the bottom of that important support (now resistance) which I talked about in yesterday's video at 28,750. If we don't hit that and I get stopped out instead, no issue cuz I move all my stops to break even and will take no loss now.
There still remain (2) two unfilled gaps: one at 20,290 from March of this year and one at 35,180 from May of last year. I still believe both will be filled soon. Stay tuned for more on this unfolding price action as, through charting research, I hope to gain a better grasp on how it will go.
Stew
Bitcoin Below 50ma, Watching $20k Price GapAlong with all of the major stock indices falling below their 50-day moving averages this week, Bitcoin is also below its 50ma and testing the 100ma for support. Failure to hold above the 100ma near $28.7k will likely lead to a test of the orange trendline near $28k. If that also fails to hold as support then we can consider the uptrend in price over and a likely test of the 200ma near $25k. The main lower level that I've been watching and expecting price to hit after price failed to hold above $30k twice this year stems from the gap in price created in early March in the $20k- FWB:21K area. Gaps tend to get filled and Bitcoin has a consistent history of filling gaps in the chart.
The lower PPO indicator shows the green PPO line trending below the purple signal line which indicates short-term bearish momentum. Both lines have also crossed below the 0 level which indicates potential intermediate to long-term bearish momentum in play.
The TDI indicators shows the green RSI line trending below 50 and heading down towards the 40 level. A move below the 40 level would indicate a short-term bearish price trend. The RSI is also trading in the lower half of extremely tight Bollinger Bands which indicates current short-term bearish momentum with a potentially big move head as tightening BBands tend to precede large moves.
Overall, Bitcoin hasn't flipped completely bearish yet, but when taking into account the deteriorating picture in the stock market and Bitcoins indicators leaning bearish, the outlook for price looks weak here. The main level I'm watching for now in the short-term is the orange uptrend line as a breach below there would indicate that price is likely to continue heading lower, which seems like the likely move after two failed attempts to hold above $30k this year.
I'm currently short Bitcoin via the ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF, BITI. Entry was at $19.71 yesterday with a stop-loss at $18.91 should Bitcoin happen to turn around and head higher.
Three Driving Forces Behind the Ether-Bitcoin Exchange RateAt a glance:
Higher tech stocks tend to boost ETHBTC, while a higher USD tends to depress it
Bitcoin supply is perfectly inelastic, which contributes to its high volatility
Together, ether and bitcoin account for over 60% of the total value of the world’s cryptocurrencies, but the exchange rate between the two has varied widely over time.
So, what drives the Ether-Bitcoin exchange rate? The ETHBTC cross rate responds to many factors, but here are three of them.
Technology Stocks
On days when the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 index rallies, ether tends to rise versus bitcoin. This may be because ether, which is the currency of the Ethereum smart contract network, has more practical applications in the technology space than bitcoin, which is mainly held as a store of value and a medium of exchange.
U.S. Dollar
On days when the U.S. dollar is higher, ether tends to underperform versus bitcoin.
Bitcoin Supply
While ether can be supplied up to 18 million coins per year, bitcoin supply is limited to a maximum of 21 million coins ever, of which about 19 million already exist. Every four years, the supply of new bitcoin drops in half. In the past, halvings have often been preceded by large runups in bitcoin prices and tremendous increases in the amount of revenue that bitcoin miners are paid for matching transactions. Ether is both more volatile than bitcoin and highly correlated to bitcoin. As such, when bitcoin rises or falls versus the U.S. dollar, ether often moves to an even greater degree.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group
*Various CME Group affiliates are regulated entities with corresponding obligations and rights pursuant to financial services regulations in a number of jurisdictions. Further details of CME Group's regulatory status and full disclaimer of liability in accordance with applicable law are available here: www.cmegroup.com
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Bitcoin BTCUSDT Price analysis (4h)Greetings, fellow traders and esteemed members of the TradingView community!
Today, let us delve into the 4-hour timeframe of BTCUSDT and explore the potential price direction for the upcoming days.
From a meticulous technical analysis standpoint, we observe the price undergoing a breakout from a triangular pattern. This development may potentially trigger a significant downward movement, with a possible target of the 26675 level, which represents the last support level from the preceding uptrend.
The MACD indicator diligently tracks the price action, providing valuable insights, yet it does not currently exhibit any major signs of a trend reversal.
Additionally, the RSI, having accurately signalled a volatility spike preceding the breakdown of BTC price from the triangle, has further validated our earlier prediction:
Pay close attention to the price action around the support level, as heightened selling pressure could potentially breach this level. However, should the support hold steadfast, it may present an attractive opportunity for long trades.
Remember to employ prudent risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss orders and adhering to your predetermined risk tolerance. By doing so, you can navigate the market with a greater sense of security and confidence.
Stay vigilant, adapt to changing market conditions, and trade wisely. Wishing you successful and risk-managed trading endeavours!
Fake Breakdown Trap Trade with Small StopLossBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Looks like BTC is inviting sellers before a big UP-Move
after breakdown waiting for retailers to Enter in Short Position.
If this happens will see a good UP MOVE in BTC
Market is all about traps
Simple Trendline breakdown trade is Predictable for Everyone out there.
Think Psychologically
BTC Ready To Dump Fast And Hard-Crash Is ImminentBTC/1H Still in that Parallel Upwards channel
*I FORGOT to mention there is a ascending triangle pattern on btc which I think its jebaiting the longers*
Today is FOMC day where rate hike will be announced and will have huge impact on whole market , not only traditional but crypto as well.
We usually get a move to both side around (%3) liquidating all the high leverages which we call ( sweeping the highs and lows) after than the move will come
IMO its a capitulation candle downwards around 23K. could be worse .
Thanks you for watching-
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Breaking the Bears: Bitcoin Bullish MomentumHello @TradingView community. Welcome in @Vestinda Bitcoin price analysis.
Reports about bank collapses, stablecoins, and interest rate increases appear to be powerful enough to increase the price of bitcoin. Well, Bitcoin almost hovers above $28,000 amid banking instability.
On the other side, we discover chart patterns that suggest a market recovery from the bear trend as Bitcoin surged in the beginning of March 2023 by approximately +80%.
1. Price on long term scale remains in Rising Channel
2. Strong breakout of Downtrend Resistance
3. EMA Ribbon bullish breakout
Which means price is likely to continue growth inside Rising Channel, and according to identical move characteristics from 2019, we might land on this move in the upper 40s or low 50s. For sure it is our High-hopes, and in general, the price movement may differ both in time and appearance.
What is Rising Channel in trading?
A rising channel is a technical analysis tool used by traders to identify an uptrend in the market. It is formed when the price of a security moves between two parallel trendlines, with the upper trendline representing resistance and the lower trendline representing support. The rising channel can be used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades, as well as to determine whether a security is in an uptrend or downtrend. Traders can also use it to set stop-loss orders and take profits when trading, a rising channel helps traders determine where the current price is in reference to the median of the market.
Learn about Bulls and Bears on the markets:
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ArShevelev /// Bitcoin's Decline is InevitableThe fact is that a lot of people just don't care about Bitcoin anymore. If you do a Google search for "Bitcoin," it will lead to 623 million results. But if you do a similar search for "bitcoin price," there are only 157 million results, and the vast majority of them are not important news articles or price analysis.
And the reason why Bitcoin prices remain stuck in sideways channels or breakdowns is because most people don't care about it anymore. Price action is boring.
They're waiting to see how much they can make by buying low and selling high, and they're not so concerned about the reality that such a purchase demands endurance and perseverance.
Most people are used to trading in 2022 on futures in a continuous downtrend, but now the time has come for a trend shift, and we see the movements altering each other up and down, causing the market to go sideways.
If there is a long-term buyer on bitcoin, I am confident that it will purchase quietly and change the public attention away from purchasing but towards selling. Remember that.
Things might change if the price goes below the 20600 level, which I believe is critical for momentum. Yet, if 20600 is broken, we will almost certainly witness a double bottom attempt.
Kind regards
Artem Crypto
BITCOIN 1h Update 08 December 2022Hey is is Artem update on BTCUSD price action on 1h TF. Looking for movement in range 16660 up to 17200 during weekend.
Price consolidating at rising support lines before fake breakdown and rise. According to this behaviour I am thinking price will rise afterwards and break Green Resitance line to move up 17200.
Bitcoin FTX Futures brokenHere's an example how everything is looking completely upside down with FTX.
Forward Futures trading at 7% premiums while price marking down is unnatural behaviour.
Of course we can easily compare to Deribit Futures everything is looking completely destroyed as Premiums are marking severe discounts. But this is actually what I was expecting for months to happen.
A bottom can only be found if we have Futures trading in Backwardation as they are right now. However, I expect them to sustain this way maybe for a week or two to be legit.
If they normalize too quickly is a sign that there is too much bullishness in the system.
The fact that we have Binance and OKX perpetual swaps trading aggressive above spot prices is also another bearish sign as margin traders are positioning themselves long on leverage... what could go wrong?
Things are looking ugly right now and we have no clue what other side effects are yet to bleed into the market as this start affecting balance-sheet of lenders, FTX partners, and other big institutions that are exposed to the FTX nightmare.
In terms of Elliot waves, three scenarios can be considered for The first scenario is to start the upward movement from now
In the second scenario, we can move up from now on, but in the future we will see weakness in the upward direction and we will move down again within 5 waves (flat correction pattern will be formed).
In the third scenario, we have to move down through 5 waves, of which 3 waves have been completed so far and we are now in wave 4. So we have to have another downward wave. The maximum amount of this decrease is up to the level of 14 thousand dollars.
Which scenario do you agree with?
Symmetrical triangle formation No directional breakout on BTC in the past few days yet, but on drawing and spotting trendlines I could see the formation of a symmetrical triangle chart pattern.
Take note: BTC is still ranging as it is, day traders should be more careful trading this period as Bitcoin volatility could be immerse.
BTC SHORT AND BEARISH AFTER FAILED HTF MARKET STRUCTURE BREAKAfter a failed Market Structure Break on the Daily TF, Bitcoin breaks into taking internal liquidity upwards and with high probability to soon target Higher Timeframe Liquidity downwards. An liquidity void is found at a downtrend retrace up to 50 to 61.8 fibonnacci for a very high probability short position.
BTC Macro Trend Line BrokenI am not in a BTC position currently, though this is a huge occurrence in the bigger time frames.
I will be watching this with hawk eyes over the next few days. If we find support, this could be the sign of a macro reversal.
I am still extremely bearish though, especially when it comes to issues on the world finance stage. Let's not even begin to talk about the geopolitical factors that could sway the price of all asset classes at the moment. I covered all of this in my October finance report.
These are some very intense markets we are trading in right now. Let me know what you think about this.
Micro Bitcoin Futures (MBT1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 24320
Pivot: 22440
Support : 20790
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 22440 where the overlap resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are. Once there is upside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 24320 where the overlap resistance and 161.8% fibonacci extension are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could drop to the 1st support at 20790 where the overlap support is.
Fundamentals: Due to the weakening US Dollar , we have a bullish view on Bitcoin.
Micro Bitcoin Futures (MBT1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 22420
Pivot: 20785
Support : 18610
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the stochastic resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from the pivot at 20785 where the overlap resistance and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st support at 18610 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 22420 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the weakening US Dollar, we have a bullish view on Bitcoin. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
MICRO BITCOIN FUTURES (MBT1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 20695
Pivot: 19390
Support : 18495
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking out of an ascending channel and moving below an ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to pivot at 19390 where the swing low support and 127.2% fibonacci extension are. Should price break pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 18495 where the swing low support, -61.8% fibonacci expansion and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 20695 where the pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci projection and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: After Fed Chair Powell reiterated that the Fed will tighten policy to bring down inflation , we have a bearish view on Bitcoin .