Bitcoinidea
$BTC forming a range, getting tight w lower than average volumeCRYPTOCAP:BTC forming a range and getting tight with lower than average volume, under a rising 150/200 MA (could be resistance). Shorter term MAs looking to cross 10/20. Will keep my eyes on NASDAQ:IBIT and CBOE:BITX if this range breaks in either direction
BTC/USDT Analysis – Balanced Forces
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin followed our primary short scenario and reached the local low, where we spotted a market seller — visible through the bar’s delta. Currently, we’re trading within a clear sideways range.
The previously mentioned $84,700 level showed no buying reaction, so we now expect potential selling activity around that zone if the price returns there.
Our main expectation is a breakdown of the lower boundary of the range, followed by a test of the nearest buy zone.
Sell Zones:
$85,000–$86,200 (strong market seller),
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buying),
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think — which direction will this sideways range break?
Drop your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This post is not financial advice.
Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
Long trade opportunity is coming Bitcoin price is starting to look interesting for a long trade opportunity.
Currently Bitcoin is in the range bound between 75,000 approx and 89,500 aprox (blue rectangular box in the chart).
EMA 200 is horizontally running through in the middle of the range and EMA 21, 55 and 200 are starting to get bunched up together. I really like this set up because when this happens, it is often followed by a strong directional move. All you need for now is patience, which is the hardest thing to do.
I will open a long position if the following conditions are met:
1) Daily MACD and RSI will move into the bull zone and they are clearly pointing to the upside.
2)The price will move and close above the descending trendline.
3) EMAs are going to start to spread out and line up properly (EMA 21>55>200 for long)
For whatever reasons, if I feel I need to be more cautious, I might wait for the price to move and close above 93,000 (above orange rectangular box area) because it is a high liquidity area and I think a lot of price manipulation might happen.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusHello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily analysis.
Yesterday and today, Bitcoin continued to trade sideways and even attempted to break the local high, but was met with market selling pressure.
At the moment, we still prioritize the short scenario. Around the ~$84,700 level, we observed a battle between buyers and sellers. If the price consolidates below this level, it will confirm the bearish scenario and we’ll look for a move down to the next buy zone.
If buyers strongly defend this level, we may retest the local high.
Sell zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buying),
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think will happen first?
A full breakout through the sell zone and continuation of the uptrend, or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — would be interesting to compare views!
This post is not financial advice
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, our main scenario was implemented and a full–fledged rebound from the $77,000-$73,000 zone was achieved (volume anomalies, pushing volumes).
After passing through several large selling zones, we’ve reached a resistance level from which we can get a significant correction.
At the moment, the $85,600–$88,000 zone is being tested (absorption of the buyer's market aggression). The latest wave of buys, which began on April 10, is inertial. Trading volumes have decreased, and there is no clear dominance between one side and the other.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There are strong anomalies along the delta, which can provoke a significant correction. Below the current price, we have a support zone of $82,700–$81,400, but with high activity from the seller, it can only slow down the fall slightly.
The main expectations are the beginning of a corrective movement, as indicated by the nature of growth, the current volume zone, as well as delta protection.
A less likely scenario is a surge in the buyer's market activity, which will take the quote above the $88,000 level. In this case, the priority will change dramatically to long.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buyer activity)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected:
• Wednesday, April 16, 2:00 (UTC) — publication of China's GDP for the first quarter and in comparison with the first quarter of 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index and volume of US retail sales for March;
• Wednesday, April 16, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, April 16, 17:15 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, as well as the Philadelphia manufacturing activity index from the Federal Reserve Bank for April;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:45(UTC) — European Central Bank press conference;
• Thursday, April 17, 13:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC to likely kiss the $74K - $69KBitcoin Market Analysis and Forecast
Bitcoin has retraced over 50% from its all-time high (ATH). Despite a rebound from the Fibonacci 50% level to its current price of $84,600, continued selling pressure could push BTC lower toward the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement zone, which lies between $74,000 and $69,000.
This potential pullback presents strategic entry points for long-term investors who have the patience to hold through market cycles.
Given the current market conditions, I will continue to accumulate using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy to mitigate volatility and optimize long-term gains.
I will be monitoring the price action closely and providing further updates as the market develops.
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Bitcoin BTCUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K– FWB:73K region.
🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
⚠️ Watch price action closely around this level for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
#BITCOIN: $130,000 Is Where Price Headed To? BINANCE:BTCUSDT consolidated at 75k and reversed from the region as predicted in our previous chart. We now have strong confirmation that price will likely break through the daily bearish trendline. We can enter when it retests the identified area.
We have two major targets. Do your own research and analysis, and use this as secondary bias.
Good luck trading.
❤️
Hope you’re having a great weekend.
Team Setuspfx_
BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusYesterday, Bitcoin showed no buyer reaction from our highlighted zone at $81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes). Therefore, even though we've been climbing throughout the day, short positions remain the priority.
At the moment, we've reached a mirrored volume zone at $81,000–$82,700, which has slightly shifted. We're currently near the upper boundary of this zone.
We've observed abnormal buyer activity in this area that so far hasn't led to any meaningful result, along with signs of hidden selling. A break below $81,000 would confirm the short scenario.
Sell Zones:
$81,000–$82,700 (mirrored zone, volume anomalies)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC : What I’m Watching Now AND What I'm Worried AboutWhat I’m Watching Now:
I’m eyeing a potential buy from the 1H Order Block below.
It lines up clean, and the move makes sense…
But Here’s What I’m Worried About:
There’s a double bottom resting at the weekly FVG.
Which means: liquidity.
If price wants that liquidity first,
it might run deeper —
breaking the OB before the bounce.
Stay sharp.
And like always — wait for confirmation.
Patience > Prediction
BTC/USDT Analysis – Trump Surprises the Market AgainOn Wednesday evening, Trump once again shook the global community by announcing a 3-month suspension of tariffs, while keeping the base rate at 10% for all countries except China. This triggered a wave of euphoria in the markets: the S&P 500 surged 9%, Bitcoin gained just over 8%, and Ethereum jumped 13%.
Bitcoin broke through the key sell zone at $78,000–$80,000 (volume zone) without any noticeable reaction. Upon reaching the next sell zone at $82,000–$83,900 (volume zone), a correction followed.
A new pushing volume zone was formed during the rally at $81,000–$80,000. Whether buyers react here or not will determine the next direction.
We highlight two main scenarios:
No buyer reaction → decline toward the local low.
Strong renewal of buying → movement toward the next sell zone.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC Update... What To Expect Now??Currently BTC is facing resistance of major trendline (Blue line)+ wedge resistance+ bearish OB resistance...
For bullish trend, currently Bitcoin have to break above all these resistances along with 89k level for confirmation of bullish trend....
If it fails and retraces back inside Monday high range, then we can expect price dropping below Monday lows where major support level is present+ Bat Harmonic Potential Reversal Zone+ 61.8 Golden Fib Level around 72000-70500 levels.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Setup for a RangeYesterday, while we were trading within the $78,000–$80,000 zone, no significant market buying appeared, so the price moved to test the local low. The $74,500 level wasn't swept, and we saw strong absorption of market selling, which led to a rebound.
Currently, price is caught between a volume zone and an area of buyer activity, and the signs suggest a developing sideways range.
In the coming days, we expect a full test of the local low. A false breakout of this level could offer interesting long opportunities, though we also can't rule out a full breakdown and a move toward the next buyer zone.
Sell Zones:
$78,000–$80,000 (volume zone)
$82,000–$83,900 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC/USDT Analysis – Expected ReboundWhile the entire market was panicking and selling off, our primary scenario was a rebound from the buyer zone at $77,000–$73,000, which has played out.
Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced an abnormal spike in volume. A breakout and consolidation either below or above the newly formed volume zone at $78,000–$80,000 will set the trend for the coming days.
Our main scenario suggests a move toward the sell zone above the current price. At the moment, we are seeing a slight absorption of market selling based on delta analysis.
In a bearish scenario, support is expected on a false breakout of the local low at $74,550.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)