Bitcoin and the US PresidentsDemocrats and Obama:
177,202,485.71%
GOP and trump 1.0:
5,192.94%
Let the plebs and paid influencers talk their way, but facts will be facts, always.
Why he wants to deregulate crypto now, we might only speculate. But Ross William Ulbricht is free, pardoned by Trump.
If the trust in cryptocurrencies is compromised, expect a deep ABC correction. ;)
It is not a political post, nor is intended to be interpreted like one. It is just market observing one.
Be safe. Protect Your money.
Cheers
Bitcoinidea
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family!
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K.
But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K.
If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Bitcoin Overshoot - Last Bullish Swing - 5th WaveMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN #trading was good to me.
I was able to predict and ride the #Bullish #Cycle like a pro.
Trade Recap
From the $17K I was actively looking for buys.
Also entered BITSTAMP:BTCUSD #Long from the GETTEX:25K mark, on the #Break-out.
At the Wave 4 Completion and 5th Wave Break-Out, I went Long again on $BTC.
At $100K Milestone I cashed it all in, I was a bit weary...
All well documented in the previous #Bitcoin Idea.
What's Next For MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ?
I am entering the Last Long, to ride the 5th of 5th Wave.
After this #Bull #Swing I am expecting a considerable #Correction.
After the push, some wild moves will occur, and that's because of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (BTC Dominance).
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Correction in Wave 2 will pave the way for $Altcoins (#Altcoins), thus the $Altseason (#AltSeason) to start.
Yes, MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN shall fall, while the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) would most likely grow in #TotalMarketCap.
* You can see the related ideas for more clearance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD / BINANCE:BTCUSDT - #TechnicalAnalysis
- Elliott Wave: #Impulse Confirmed (5th Wave)
- Mar '20 - Apr '21 #Fractal (orange)
- #ATH Break-Out & #Support
My Levels For Longs
- Entry @ $100K
- SL @ $85K
- TP @ $145K
* After this move, I will take a break and look for #Short set-ups.
This is because of the #Bearish #Fractal (red).
Skyrexio | Bitcoin BTC Has Cancelled The Bear Market!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last month BINANCE:BTCUSDT has clearly broken $100k. Most of people think that it's too late now to buy Bitcoin because price is too high, but our analysis tells us that it was only one half of the potential bull run.
Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see the new Elliott Wave structure. Earlier we had a chance that this bull run could be the wave 5, but recently the Awesome Oscillator broke the previous high. The potential bearish divergence has been broken as well. Moreover, Fractal Trend Detector shows that this bull run is strong and no single sign of weakness now.
This is large wave 3 which has the target at least at $125k, but most likely it will hit $190k in 2025.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BTC Volatility Hits 6-Month High, Options Trading ExplodesImplied and realized volatility indexes hit the highest levels since August's yen carry trade unwind.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has always been synonymous with volatility. However, recent market activity indicates a significant surge in price fluctuations, with both implied and realized volatility indexes reaching levels not seen since August of the previous year. This spike in volatility coincides with a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant price swings in the near future.
Understanding Volatility
In financial markets, volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a trading asset over time. High volatility implies that the price of an asset can fluctuate dramatically over a short period, while low volatility suggests relatively stable price movements. Volatility can be measured in two primary ways:
1. Realized Volatility: This is a historical measure of how much an asset's price has fluctuated in the past. It is typically calculated by looking at the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, such as 30 days.
2. Implied Volatility: This is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects an asset's price to fluctuate in the future. It is derived from the pricing of options contracts, which give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
Current Market Trends
The increase in implied volatility suggests that options traders are pricing in a higher probability of significant price swings in Bitcoin. This could be due to a number of factors, including:
• Increased Institutional Participation: The growing involvement of institutional investors in the Bitcoin market has led to larger trading volumes and potentially greater price swings.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The lack of clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies in many jurisdictions continues to create uncertainty and contribute to volatility.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards Bitcoin can also play a significant role in its volatility. Positive news and developments can lead to rapid price increases, while negative news can trigger sharp declines.
Options Market Frenzy
The surge in Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market. Options contracts provide traders with a way to bet on future price movements without having to directly buy or sell the underlying asset. The recent increase in options trading suggests that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the expected price swings in Bitcoin.
One notable trend in the options market is the increasing demand for call options, which give the holder the right to buy Bitcoin at a specific price. This indicates that many traders are betting on further price increases in the cryptocurrency.
Potential Risks
While the current market conditions may present opportunities for some traders, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with high volatility. Rapid price swings can lead to significant losses for those who are not adequately prepared.
For latecomers to the Bitcoin market, the risk of immediate unrealized losses is particularly high. If the price of Bitcoin were to suddenly decline, those who recently bought in at higher prices could see their investments quickly lose value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge in volatility, coupled with the frenzy in the options market, highlights the inherent risks and opportunities associated with this digital asset. While the potential for significant gains exists, traders must also be prepared for the possibility of substantial losses. As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, it is crucial to stay informed and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
Bitcoin Looking for more upsideAfter revisiting a daily bullish order block with a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin demonstrated a strong upward reaction, forming a bullish breaker and a potential daily fair value gap (FVG). However, Bitcoin has not yet closed above the midpoint of the FVG. For me, it’s crucial to wait for a close at least above that level, or ideally above the shaded area. Such a move would present a solid opportunity to target the all-time high and the 113K level as a low-hanging fruit.
Bitcoin's Path to $253,953 in 2025 – A Technical PerspectiveIdea Description:
In this analysis, I aim to present why I believe Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $253,953 in 2025. This price target is derived from a combination of historical trends and advanced technical analysis.
1️⃣ Key Resistance: The Historical Trendline
The trendline formed by the peaks of 2017 and 2021 acts as a robust resistance level. Historically, these trendlines have played a pivotal role in determining Bitcoin's price action during bull cycles.
2️⃣ Convergence with SpiderLines
The SpiderLines, established in 2019, perfectly align with the aforementioned trendline, creating a critical confluence zone. This dual-layered resistance suggests that $253,953 will be a significant psychological and technical barrier.
3️⃣ Supporting Market Cycles
Analyzing past cycles, we see that Bitcoin often revisits key trendlines in subsequent bull runs. The historical context suggests that 2025 will align with the next cycle peak, reinforcing this price prediction.
This idea highlights the importance of respecting historical levels and recognizing key confluences in market analysis. What are your thoughts on this projection? Could BTC challenge this resistance and push higher? Let’s discuss!
BTC Bulls Charge Toward $102K: Breakout with Momentum!
Breakout confirmed: The price has broken out of the equilibrium zone with strong bullish momentum.
Current price: $99,655.
Key levels:
Support: $94K (POL - Point of Liquidity).
Resistance: $102K (premium zone).
Recent reclaim: GETTEX:97K FGH (Fair Value Gap High).
Institutional activity: The bounce from the $91K discount zone indicates strong buying pressure, likely from institutional players.
Trade setup:
Entry: Current level ($99,655) or on a slight pullback.
Target: $102K (premium zone).
Stop loss: Below $96K to protect against downside risks.
Risk-to-reward: This setup offers a favorable reward ratio if the target is achieved.
Confidence level: 8/10, suggesting a strong likelihood of bullish continuation.
Bitcoin IdeaHi everyone,
I'd like to share my perspective on Bitcoin's BINANCE:BTCUSDT potential price action.
In the medium term, I anticipate a simple sinusoidal movement, characterized by a decline to the $86,000 - $85,000 range within the 4-hour timeframe. This projection aligns with my ultimate price target.
Furthermore, this anticipated movement is unfolding within three discernible bearish channels, encompassing both mini and macro scales.
I hope this insight proves valuable for your analysis and trading decisions.
Best of luck, and happy trading!
BTC next draw on Liquidity I'm anticipating to LONG BTC based on my bias due to the previous week been bullish and this current week didn't close below the weekly level 93563.35 , it rejected it nicely.
On the daily TF price couldn't get past the daily zone 92620.71 too and we have a break to the upside on H4
I was anticipating to buy from the H4 poi 91902.65 but it's not certain that price is coming back to my poi due to the fact that it already filled the Imbalance before it. Rather I'll be buying from 93720.05 . Till it gets to 99346.28
Please help boost this post if you find it insightful
Bitcoins Next Move will be HUGE!The markets have pulled back to pre-election areas, will Bitcoin meet the same fate?!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC - Bitcoin
- Bearish Expanding Triangle
- Red H5 Indicator
- Volume shelf with Volume GAP
- Right at the bottom of the box: Either a huge bounce or a huge breakdown
Not financial advice
BTCUSDT Analysis: Preparing for a Critical Zone TestThe 4-hour chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook retest of key levels following a sharp breakdown from the resistance near $105,268 . This move is consistent with a broader bearish structure that began forming after rejection at $108,366 . The current trajectory suggests Bitcoin may continue its downward momentum toward a high-probability liquidity zone between $85,883 and $89,510 . Here's why this area deserves close attention:
Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Trendline Rejection:
The price recently respected the long-term yellow descending trendline, emphasizing the strength of sellers around $102,934.
2. Support Zones:
Immediate support at $96,920 has seen a weak bounce, increasing the likelihood of deeper retracements.
A stronger accumulation zone lies between $85,883 and $89,510 (highlighted in orange), which aligns with historical demand zones and Fibonacci retracement levels.
3. Bearish Momentum:
The rapid fall post-breakout indicates strong bearish momentum, confirmed by increasing sell volumes on key levels. Any short-term pullback toward $96,436 or $98,000 could serve as an opportunity to position for further declines.
4. Indicators and Risk Management:
Divergence signals suggest momentum exhaustion, and traders should anticipate potential short-term volatility. Use tight stop-loss placements and avoid overleveraging. For this setup, a stop-loss above $98,920 is recommended to limit risk.
Trade Plan:
Short Opportunity:
If BTC retraces to $96,436 or $98,000, consider entering short positions with targets in the $89,510–$85,883 range. Stay vigilant and be prepared to pivot based on price action near critical levels.
***
Final Note:
Remember, no strategy is foolproof. Always consider market risks, manage positions carefully, and align trades with your broader portfolio strategy. Let the price action guide your decisions.
Bitcoin Idea!"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ?
1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend.
2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity.
3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup:
Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk.
Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels.
4. Scenario Analysis
Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower.
To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
"Bitcoin Price Prediction: $30K TargetThis analysis uses historical Bitcoin price patterns during previous bull and bear cycles to predict future market movements. The chart reveals a recurring pattern of sharp corrections following parabolic rises, suggesting that Bitcoin is likely heading toward a $30K price point in its current bearish phase. By aligning current trends with past cycles, this prediction provides a roadmap for investors to navigate potential market downturns and prepare for upcoming opportunities.
Don't fumble the red flags, we are not out of the woods yet.When analyzing cryptocurrency markets, maintaining a neutral and impartial perspective is crucial. Having an optimistic bias will have you fumbling all the red flags and focusing only on information that supports your hopes and dreams.
Currently, two main theories are shaping the discussion around Bitcoin's price action:
Wave 4 has been completed, and we are now entering Wave 5 or;
The market is still in a corrective phase.
Let me know what you think, would love to hear your thoughts. Let’s delve into the two scenarios in detail.
Theory 1: Wave 4 is Complete, and We Are Entering Wave 5
This theory is that Bitcoin has finished an ABC corrective wave and is poised for an upward move into Wave 5. A confirmed Wave 5 would be indicated by a price break above the previous Wave 3 high at $108,705. Until then, we remain in speculative territory.
The Positives:
The Stochastic Oscillator on the daily timeframe is in a favorable position.
On the weekly chart, the Stochastic has exited the overbought region and is moving toward oversold territory.
The Negatives:
The current correction appears shallow and short-lived, failing to even retrace to the 0.386 Fibonacci level.
Historically, 70% of Wave 4 corrections retrace between the 0.386 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
I would prefer that the weekly Stochastic RSI had a bullish crossover in the overbought region.
During the last bull run, the Wave 4 correction lasted three months and corrected nearly to the 0.618 Fib level. Bitcoin Dominance collapsed during the Wave 4 correction, signaling the start of an altcoin season. While history doesn’t have to repeat itself, we have only corrected for 3.5 weeks and bitcoin dominance is still high, these anomalies raise concerns until the $108,705 resistance is breached.
Theory 2: The Market Is Still Correcting
In this scenario, the Zig-Zag correction we’ve observed may represent the first impulse (Wave A) of a larger ABC correction. If this is the case, the market could experience:
Wave B: A brief upward impulse.
Wave C: A downward move to lower price targets.
Key Observations:
A more extended and deeper correction would align with historical patterns, potentially creating a stronger foundation for future growth.
If this plays out, we may see Bitcoin Dominance collapse, paving the way for an altcoin season to rise alongside Bitcoin’s eventual Wave 5.
Conclusion: Watching $108,705 Is Key
The confirmation of Wave 5 hinges on Bitcoin breaking the $108,705 resistance level. Until that point, it’s essential to remain cautious and consider both possibilities. Whether we are on the verge of a new bullish wave or navigating a deeper correction, understanding the broader market context will help investors make informed decisions.
My bets though are on Theory 2, what do you think?
Bitcoin Struggles to Cross the 105k Barrier
The price has once again returned to the 98K zone, experiencing a nearly 4% drop in the last few hours and erasing the bullish pressure seen over the past four sessions.
Lateral Range: Neutrality persists between the resistance at 105k and the support at 91k, with oscillations failing to break these levels since late November 2024.
$105k: A nearby resistance zone crucial for the previous upward trend. A breakout above this level could reinforce the bullish outlook.
$91k: A key support zone that has twice prevented the formation of a new and fresh downward movement. Oscillations below this level could jeopardize the accelerated trend that BTC exhibited towards the end of 2024.
MACD: The indicator's histogram remains oscillating below the 0 level, demonstrating stronger bearish impulses that dominate the market. Oscillations very close to 0 could increase neutrality, making it challenging to break the current lateral range anytime soon.
-JP