Bitcoin Dump: 54K next support?54K seems to be the most likely support level on the 4-hour chart for Bitcoin/USD.
After that 52K .
A drop to 48K seems unlikely . But possible.
A reminder that this is the 4-Hour Chart. If you zoom out, you will notice that Bitcoin is not yet in a bear market.
Technical Analysis tools used:
Volume, Ichimoku Clouds, Fibonnaci Retracement, Volume Delta, Support Lines.
The Fibonacci Retracement show the next likely support levels which correlates closely with the (orange) support lines.
Price action below the Ichimoku Cloud signals the continuation of a bearish trend.
The new Volume Delta Indicator shows a divergence of sell volume domination over market price, which leads me to believe a trend reversal is coming soon. (around 52-54k)
up-to-date Fundamental Analysis:
Good news to consider:
Possible ETF unbanning and adoption in China (unconfirmed)
World's largest custodian bank, BNY Mellon reports exposure to BTC ETF
Halvening in effect
First Bitcoin ETF's launched in Asia (Hong Kong)
Bad news to consider:
CEO of Binance sentencing (30. April 24)
Prominent Bitcoin Figures arrested
Government crackdowns in US/UK/EU on centralized elements of the cryptocurrency ecosystem (CEX, Custodial Wallets, etc.).
Asian Bitcoin ETF's flopped due to low volumes on opening day.
Psychological Considerations:
must-reach-100k mentality of the Bitcoin community
Community psychological barrier against centralization and regulation
50k support
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Bitcoinidea
Alt season is about to begin, inflation 2.0 pre 80s stagflationWatchout for inflation 2.0 as the markets remain irrational longer than retail can stay solvent highly addicted on debt and leverage.
If we follow the first wave of inflation around September 2020, Bitcoin is doing a massive cup and handle just like Gold and Silver now.
Alts will follow. While Bitcoin ranges, Alts will explode starting June as QE restarts, may continue in July and August until September end followed by a big bloody correction.
Will the party continue until Bitcoin is 200k mid December?
May have to see US election debates and results.
Will Bitcoin's 4th cycle continue until next year till it hits 240k? Not likely, the party could be interrupted by a sudden rate hike.
Multiple rate hikes you mean? Everyone's expecting a rate cut.
If inflation spirals out of control with a historic come back like a strong 80s style tsunami, you can bet the fed will pump the dollar and interest rates will moon, those include mortage rates of course.
However, see the newspapers back in the 80s, If I were I wouldn't expect property prices to go down at all. Biden is an 80s guy and this seems to be a climate change agenda to reduce the middle class.
Welcome to 2030, I own nothing have no privacy and we will all eat ze bugs farmed by Bayer/Monsanto.
Humans don't apply anymore if AI continues moving as fast as it is. Say hello to UBI available for the chipped that decide to live inside the smart and connected cities.
NzdUsd continue down on retracement!Looking for Impulse Down.
Nzdusd will start to move down soon on retracement. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you gain better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
DXY bearish or bullish ? lets see (#BTC , #Stock)The Dollar Index (DXY) is once again moving towards the critical level of 105. If it does not find support at this level, it could lead to a bearish trend on the daily timeframe. In this case, the stock market and Bitcoin would return to a bullish trend after a slight delay.
Bitcoin ; the pathway Evening folks, mastershark here , what a nice day it was ! After uncountable rainy days in Manchester we needed a sunny one deffo haha .
Wanted to share what’s in my mind with bitcoin , first of all i have to start a bit British ( which im not ) if you wanted to hold and you already thinking about selling just after halving you are a c*** lad and you’re gonna regret it one day .
Come on !! its your lifetime chance and you gonna secure a happy spot in the top by only BUYING in the deeps not selling ! Back to the chart ;
There’s a three major support in the picture; all we need to see whats going on is in the scene, at the top you see a orange one which I consider monthly and two weekly green one which i think you dont need the bottom one , there’s a orange line aswell which is a weaker support in my idea , now whats gonna happen ? There’s two scenarios in my mind , first one is that we will play around orange support box for some weeks and at the end of the month we will have a close above the support and then the main bullrun starts .
Second senario is that we close this month red and the next month we touch 48k or even the green box support in the middle and then we set off and start the bullrun .
In conclusion i think this month is a hell no for trading , secondly i think this month and the next one are the ultimate chance for bearish mindset and definitely end of this one or next two will be start of the bullrun ( jun-July)
So use the opportunity and secure some fat bags , will see you at the top .
Stay safe fam
Interesting Pattern in NEW Volume Delta indicatorThis TA is based on the indicator "Volume Delta". (Basically, the difference in buy and sell volume.)
My strategy:
I marked some sell and market price divergence lines (selling dominance/time) and between their respective highs and lows.
The divergences signal a slowing of the buying/selling pressure up to the point where the market price reverses, signalling a reversal in the market trend.
BTC: in halving📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
Short position :
Wait for break 59.500
Wait for complete pollback
Maybe it will happen in the halving
✨52.000 & 44.000
Good zone for again investing
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
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ETHUSDT: A big move in making! Dear Traders,
First small bullish correction and then drop towards $2500 region, which will remain a key area for most of the institutional sellers. We also need to have different bias, where price may not make any corrections and just continue dropping from current area. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
BTCUSD: upcoming big sell, targeting $45,000| SetupsFX_ |Dear Traders,
Bitcoin retested selling zone, now we can target the first area 55k and then 45k. Our main reason is for selling swing is based on how price behaved and gaps within the market needs to be filled. Our entry is already activated and now we can target our areas. We expect price to hit our target by end of may.
Good Luck.
BTCUSD(BITCOIN): Small Correction towards 70k, And Drop to 52kHi Everyone,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD our last analysis on bitcoin turned out to be in our favour price has been dropping ever since, in our view price can now make small corrections towards 69k to 70k and from there price can drop significantely towards major bearish impulse that will fill the liquidity gap in daily timeframe that price has left behind. Please note that, price may not make any corrections around our entry area and just keep dropping from the current area.
good luck.
#BTC/USDT Keep an eye on this level!#Bitcoin is eyeing the box, folks!
We've got MA support chilling around $59.8K—could be seeing a retest real soon.
Remember, if it dips below this MA on the daily, that's our cue to reconsider our plays. 👀
Remember, alts are just waiting on Bitcoin's next move. We might be in a snooze phase now, but that's exactly when the market likes to shake things up with some wild swings when you least expect it.
Stay alert! 🔥
#cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin Bull FlagCME:BTC1!
Possible Bull Flag on CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Measured move approx 96400. Could we get a Fakeout as the ignition for this move.
Post Bitcoin Halving ... markets look just as exciting.
Aggressive entry on candlestick currently printing (not closed on D)
Always have Plan A and Plan B and manage Risk.
Always having Plan A and Plan B scenarios so we can react once the markets provide an opportunity to execute our edge.
If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Extraordinary insider tip. Bitcoin. 84.000This goal was sent to me by a major player in the game. His insights always hit the mark because his team commands one of the largest capitals in the market! 🌟📈
We're going to start taking liquidity from the top. 📈💰
Friends, this is an extraordinary insider tip, and I urge you to pay attention to it. Keep an eye on this idea. I've decided to share only a few ideas to demonstrate the quality of information I have. Just stay tuned. 🚀🔍
BTC short term viewBTC / USDT
After the massive drop of market in 13th april
The market turned to be range market with slightly bearish in short term
However in med - long term i still see it very bullish specially after the halving event that occurred 4 days ago
In the coming days/ weeks we can see BTC is testing 60k zone multiple times with some fakouts here and there
However if BTC able to close weekly above recent ATH we will see market turn strong bullish again
Until that we still in this range …
In this range try to avoid overtrading / fomo / panic selling
Long term trades are fine
Short term trades with strict risk management and stoploss are fine too
Best of wishes
BITCOIN POTENTIAL CHANGE IN STRUCTURE (18h)Based on historical backtest of trade strategy.
18H BTC HEIKINASHI
If the candle closes at or above the indicated value of the purple line as shown,
typical trade is 23 bars with and average profit of 8.18%.
This would be a longer term/higher time frame change in structure for BITCOIN.
60k double bottom is still in uptrend. Lower time frames are consolidating, then higher.
Currently the price has traded into the the 66k zone, nearly confirmed in the 50% retracement of the Fib. from the 73.6k high. An 18hr buy signal would conclude 70-72k price targets and likely new all time high possibilities.
*** STILL PENDING AN 18HR CANDLE CLOSE ABOVE THE PURPLE LINE *****
Will update if / when the signal is initiated
feel free to message for signal settings
Potential Bitcoin Scenario: Institutional Utilization Leading to
If a new ATH occurs in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , I believe it will be heavily utilized by American institutions, and following the new ATH in #Bitcoin, the price will swiftly plummet to around the 52000 level, leaving all retail traders behind in a very sharp manner. In the event of this extreme scenario, assuming Bitcoin reverses from the $80000 range shortly after its initial ATH and rapidly loses value, I will open a 100x SHORT position from $77900 with my stop loss set 6% above. The first take profit area for this Short position will be around $62000 (black line area). The second take profit area will be around $59700 (blue line area). My third take profit area will be at $53000 (red line). It may seem utopian at first, I'm aware, but on February 26th, the Bitcoin surge yielded a 25% return in just three days . If we calculate a 25% return from today's price, it leads to around $82000. In the crypto market, people often fantasize about rallies, hence they feel disappointed during downturns. To avoid such disappointments, don't limit your imagination only to upward movements; let it also flourish during downturns :)
Post BTC Halving Price Prediction, DXY, $IBIT, and May ForecastAs I've been saying, we really just need a breather after the huge runup in Bitcoin and the altcoins pre-halving and with 7 consequetive up months and Green candles.
So it's no surprise April is selling off, and the halving was a 'sell the news' event. It's good news, because all markets need to rest and re-gain their strength to push higher.
Watch the video for details, but the TLDR is I think we'll drift sideways and even down to re-test the $60k region where we can see strong buy blocks until we get into May, and then we'll start to push higher and hopefully into bull-mania.
However, IF Bitcoin can get back above $66k - $68k on a daily closing basis, effectively washing out the Red block of sellers and back above both the 21 and 50 day EMA's (Exponential Moving Averages) then I would start buying BTC.
Bitcoin post-Halving: Possible ScenariosFor those of you who don't know me, I have two obsessions in life: AI and cryptocurrencies. Not necessarily in this order.
With the BTC Halving, I decided to explore the possible future scenarios—and to analyze the behavior of BTC during the past halvings. Here are some observations—of course, I can be wrong:
𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐌𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬:
Post-halving, the price trajectory has shown notable patterns:
• After the first halving in 2012, BTC price skyrocketed by approximately 9,900%, peaking about a year later.
• The second halving in 2016 led to a price increase of about 2,946%, taking 17 months to reach its peak.
• Following the third halving in 2020, the increase was more subdued at around 679%, with the peak occurring 17 months later.
𝐄𝐯𝐨𝐥𝐯𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬:
The form of the price line across these halvings demonstrates a market that is evolving and becoming more resilient.
Each post-halving period shows a gradual slowing down of volatility and price spikes, suggesting an increasing influence of institutional investors who tend to have longer investment horizons and more strategic approaches.
This trend indicates a shift from speculative retail behavior to a more stabilized and mature market.
𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬:
In the short run, there should be a correction. This might lead the price of BTC below $60,000. However, it seems that the cycle wasn't complete, and the sideways movement right before the halving was just a short "test" that resulted in a short accumulation phase.
Since the cycle wasn't completed, BTC should at least reach $128,000 in the coming months; however, be aware that the real downfall might still be yet to come!
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version:
BTC continues to lead in this bullish market, reaching a new all-time high. Initially, we anticipated the price to target $75,000 as an algorithmic prediction, but it fell short and stopped at $73,800, likely trapping buyers who had set psychological targets for $75,000 and $80,000. The drop in BTC is healthy after the significant gains we've witnessed in this bullish trend. It seems BTC is taking a breather, with buyers who entered around $15,000 and $30,000 now taking profits to accumulate at better prices.
Following the halving, predicting BTC's behavior becomes more uncertain, but historical data suggests BTC tends to reach new highs after halving events. From a technical analysis standpoint, we identify a sweet spot for accumulating BTC between $47,000 and $39,000. Breaking above $52,000 and closing above it on a weekly basis would likely propel the price to $47,000 and $42,000.
In terms of market dynamics, we have significant funds from the USA, and now China is also getting involved. This suggests that BTC is unlikely to drop to low prices like last time. Best of luck to everyone, and I'll provide updates if I observe any changes in the analysis.