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Thief Trader Setup: Robbing the BTC/USD Market Reversal🏴‍☠️💰 Bitcoin Heist Blueprint: BTC/USD Robbery Plan by the Thief Trader Crew 💰🏴‍☠️ (Swing & Day Trade Outlook – Clean Entry, Clean Exit, No Fingerprints Left Behind) 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 To All Market Raiders & Silent Money Makers 🤑💸💰✈️ This isn't your average BTC/USD analysis — this is a strategic market heist, crafted from the Thief Trading Playbook. We're planning a clean operation based on both technical setups and fundamental awareness. Let’s enter smart, exit faster, and leave no trace — just profit. 🏆 🎯 THE GAME PLAN: Unlocking the BTC/USD Vault 📈 Entry – “The Vault’s Cracked Open!” The plan kicks off with retest entries on the 15 or 30-minute chart. Sell limits should be placed around recent highs or lows where market momentum pulls back. Precision and patience are your tools. 🛑 Stop Loss – Backup Escape Route Use the 1D swing high/low (e.g., 104.500) as your SL zone. Position size smartly, factoring in risk %, lot size, and number of active orders. 🏁 Target – 94.000 (Or Bail Out Before It Gets Hot) Don’t stick around too long — cash out near the zone or before if price slows or traps emerge. Secure the bag, vanish before resistance bites back. 🧲 Scalpers – Quick In, Quick Out! Stick to the short side only — short the bounces, trail your SL, and move with stealth. Big players can strike straight; others can shadow the swing crew and trail behind with protection. 🧠 Why This Works – Market Pulse BTC/USD is facing overbought pressure, consolidation traps, and is nearing a critical MA Zone where reversals tend to form. Momentum shows signs of weakening, and the bears are regrouping — that’s where we slip in and out. Supporting Factors Include: Macro trends Fundamental sentiment COT positioning On-Chain signals Intermarket flow Key psychological levels 🔍 All these build the narrative behind this bearish setup. This is more than just price action — it's a calculated move. ⚠️ Trading Risk Alert: Stay Off the Radar During News Drops 📰🚨 Avoid new entries during major news events — increased volatility = increased risk. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits while staying protected during spikes. ❤️ Like the Plan? Power the Crew! If this setup helped you see the market differently, hit the 💥Boost Button💥. Every like supports the effort and helps sharpen our future plans. Trade with style, move with purpose — Thief Trader Style. 🚀 Stay tuned for the next setup from the shadows. Until then — stay sharp, stay strategic, and always protect your profits. 🐱‍👤💰📉📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by The-Thief
3
BTCUSD Trade Setup - 28/Jun/2025Hi Traders, I expect this pair to go Down after finishing the correction. 1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction. 2) The first reaction zone foe me will be at 95000 level followed by 89000 level. 3) Need to observe the characteristic of the move coming down in order to understand if market is planning to go up without coming to those levels. Current expectation for investing is to see market dropping to 89000 level and then start to look for entry. I only invest in BTC so no shorts for me but market shows potential to give a reversal soon and give a decent down move.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDLong
by For3xScalper
Cautionary tale on BitcoinI decided to temporarily depart from my usual trade ideas to wave a cautionary finger at the chart of Bitcoin, where I have noticed a rather worrying pattern within the weekly charts. However, before I delve in, I would like to stress that I am a very rigid believer in the long-term prospect of our monetary saviour and what I am supposed to write about only concerns the usual, inevitable cyclicality that always entails the otherwise upward-sloping trajectory of Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) Although overall this has not felt like much of a crypto bull run given the apparently absent performance of altcoins (apart from an occasional 1000x on a well-targeted memecoin), Bitcoin has, in the meantime, trod its usual path upwards. Since the '22 lows, it has mimicked its regular pattern where after a devastating plummet lower, it has spent several long months accumulating until it has burst out of its cocoon to provide a 6x return to its strong believer. However, the mimicking is almost too good as we have now started painting a very similar picture to what eventually transpired to be the '21 top. We have reached a strong above >100k top only to hit a vicious correction (announcement of tariffs), similar to what Bitcoin did in May of 2021 (China crackdown, tech selloff). The price then quickly consolidated - which I am not an avid fan of as a formation of a more robust base would be more preferable (though would take longer ) - and bitcoin shot back up again, quickly reclaiming the previous highs; just like it did in October/November 2021. This creates an unfortunate setup best represented by the series of lower highs on an RS I while the price keep climbing higher - creating the probably best-know bearish signal with higher highs built on weaker and less robust momentum. We know how this ended in 2021, and I am not suggesting that Microstrategy should blow up, go bankrupt and sell all its bitcoin (though definitely a possibility) - however, one must admit that there are currently quite a lot of uncertainties that could unwind at any time (one such coming on July 8th with the second version of the lets-blow-up-the-stock-market day). With a stock market priced to perfection, and with what seems like a large pile of uncertainties hovering in the air, it seems like any one of these could light up the fire underneath these lovely valuations we have reached, and although I would love for cryptocurrency prices to be completely independent of the stock market, we usually know how this goes. So, what to do about this? Preferably nothing . If you are as much of a believer as I am in the necessity of bitcoin in today's financial world, this is just another blip in an otherwise long and profitable ride. So, I won't be any selling any of it - hopefully only adding once we decline. I would also add that I am not expecting as much of a bloodbath as last time. I think Bitcoin has reached a point where the 80-90% declines become very rare. However, regarding my other allocations in crypto assets, I am not as optimistic, hence I decided to sell most of everything else. Although I love the premise of Ethereum, the chart looks pretty horrific, currently drawing a perfect head-and-shoulder on a 4h chart (which I might write about as well as a short idea). I will end this essay the same way I started it - I know absolutely nothing, and maybe I will come back at the end of the summer, beautifully tanned and relaxed as we all are in Europe, and find everything at all-time highs. I just currently believe the risk-reward ratio is not skewed in my favour, and I don't know how about you, but I tend to listen to my probability gods, especially on the eve of another strong SPAC year .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by jurajholik
LEVERUSDT Forming Strong Falling WedgeLEVERUSDT is currently showing a strong Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal formation that often precedes sharp upward movements. The recent price structure suggests consolidation is ending, and buyers are preparing for a breakout. This setup, coupled with increasing volume, indicates accumulation at the lower end of the wedge and points toward a potential gain of 140% to 150%+ if the breakout confirms and momentum sustains. LeverFi (LEVER) has gained traction among DeFi enthusiasts due to its innovative decentralized leverage trading platform. As more investors look to decentralized finance solutions, LEVER’s real-world utility is driving both user interest and investor confidence. This rise in engagement is reflected in recent price action, where bullish divergence and buying interest are becoming more evident on the charts. The current chart pattern suggests the pair has formed a solid base, with decreasing selling pressure and a tightening range, which often leads to explosive moves once a breakout occurs. Traders will be watching key resistance levels above the wedge for breakout confirmation, and once surpassed, LEVERUSDT could trigger a rapid bullish continuation, attracting swing and momentum traders alike. With strong fundamentals, rising community engagement, and a technically bullish chart, LEVERUSDT stands out as a potential outperformer in the current market phase. It's an ideal time for crypto traders to keep a close watch on this breakout opportunity. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
LLong
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
Bitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120KBitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120K Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency that has redefined the financial landscape, continues to spark intense debate and fervent speculation about its future price trajectory. Amidst the sea of technical analyses and market predictions, a compelling pattern has emerged on Bitcoin's price chart: the 'bull flag.' This bullish continuation pattern, often seen as a precursor to significant upward price movements, has ignited excitement among Bitcoin proponents, fueling predictions of a potential surge to $120,000. This article delves into the intricacies of the bull flag pattern, exploring its formation, characteristics, and implications for Bitcoin's price. We will analyze the current market conditions, considering the recent retreat from $108,000 and the overall sentiment of Bitcoin bulls. Furthermore, we will examine the factors that could either validate or invalidate the bull flag pattern, providing a nuanced perspective on the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000. By synthesizing these insights, we aim to offer a comprehensive overview of the technical and fundamental factors that could shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. Understanding the Bull Flag Pattern The bull flag is a technical analysis pattern that signals a continuation of an existing uptrend. It is characterized by two distinct phases: 1. The Flagpole: This represents the initial strong upward movement in price. It is a sharp, almost vertical rally that establishes the overall bullish trend. 2. The Flag: This is a period of consolidation that follows the flagpole. The price moves sideways or slightly downwards, forming a rectangular or parallelogram-shaped pattern that resembles a flag. This consolidation phase allows the market to digest the initial rally and prepare for the next leg up. The bull flag pattern is considered a bullish signal because it suggests that the initial uptrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. Traders often look for a breakout above the upper trendline of the flag as a confirmation signal to enter a long position. Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation Bitcoin's price chart has exhibited a pattern that closely resembles a bull flag. The flagpole can be identified by the significant upward movement that occurred in the months leading up to June 2025. This rally propelled Bitcoin to a high of $108,000, establishing a strong bullish trend. Following this rally, Bitcoin entered a period of consolidation, with the price moving sideways and slightly downwards. This consolidation phase has formed a flag-like pattern on the chart, characterized by two parallel trendlines that slope gently downwards. The formation of this bull flag pattern has led many analysts to believe that Bitcoin is poised for another significant upward movement. The target price for this potential breakout is often calculated by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. In Bitcoin's case, this calculation suggests a potential target price of around $120,000. Factors Supporting the Bull Flag Pattern Several factors support the validity of the bull flag pattern and the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000: • Strong Underlying Bullish Trend: The bull flag is a continuation pattern, meaning that it relies on an existing uptrend to be valid. Bitcoin's price has been in a strong uptrend for several years, driven by increasing institutional adoption, growing mainstream adoption, and limited supply. • Positive Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among Bitcoin investors remains positive, despite the recent retreat from $108,000. Many analysts believe that Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its adoption curve and that its long-term potential remains significant. • Increasing Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are increasingly allocating capital to Bitcoin. This increased institutional adoption can drive up the price of Bitcoin and provide a more stable foundation for its long-term growth. • Growing Mainstream Adoption: Bitcoin is becoming increasingly accepted as a form of payment and a store of value by mainstream consumers and businesses. This growing mainstream adoption can increase demand for Bitcoin and drive up its price. • Limited Supply: Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. This limited supply makes Bitcoin a scarce asset, which can increase its value over time as demand grows. • Halving Events: Bitcoin's halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. These halving events can reduce the supply of Bitcoin and drive up its price. The next halving event is expected to occur in 2028. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, can increase demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Factors Invalidating the Bull Flag Pattern While the bull flag pattern is a bullish signal, it is not foolproof. Several factors could invalidate the pattern and prevent Bitcoin from reaching $120,000: • Breakdown Below the Flag: If the price breaks down below the lower trendline of the flag, the bull flag pattern is invalidated. This would suggest that the consolidation phase is not a temporary pause before another rally, but rather a sign of weakening momentum. • Negative News and Events: Negative news and events, such as regulatory crackdowns, security breaches, or macroeconomic shocks, could dampen investor sentiment and trigger a sell-off in Bitcoin. • Weakening Market Fundamentals: If Bitcoin's adoption rate slows down, network activity declines, or transaction volume decreases, it could indicate that the underlying fundamentals are weakening, which could invalidate the bull flag pattern. • Profit-Taking: After a significant rally, some investors may choose to take profits, which could put downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin and prevent it from breaking out of the flag. • Alternative Investments: The emergence of compelling alternative investments could divert capital away from Bitcoin, reducing demand and potentially invalidating the bull flag. Bitcoin Retreats From $108K: A Temporary Setback? As of June 26, 2025, Bitcoin has retreated from its recent high of $108,000. This pullback has sparked concerns among some investors, but Bitcoin bulls remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the cryptocurrency. The recent retreat could be attributed to a number of factors, including profit-taking after a significant rally, regulatory concerns, or macroeconomic headwinds. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin has experienced numerous pullbacks throughout its history, and these pullbacks have often been followed by even stronger rallies. The key question is whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated. If the price can hold above the lower trendline of the flag and eventually break out above the upper trendline, it would confirm the validity of the pattern and increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000. Trading the Bull Flag Pattern Traders who are looking to capitalize on the bull flag pattern can consider the following strategies: • Entry Point: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the flag before entering a long position. This helps to avoid false breakouts and increases the probability of a successful trade. • Stop-Loss Order: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the flag to limit potential losses if the pattern is invalidated. • Target Price: Calculate the target price by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. • Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as limiting the amount of capital you risk on any single trade. Conclusion Bitcoin's price chart is currently exhibiting a bull flag pattern, which suggests that the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward movement. The potential target price for this breakout is around $120,000. However, it is important to note that the bull flag pattern is not foolproof, and several factors could invalidate it. Investors should carefully monitor the price action, market sentiment, and underlying fundamentals to assess the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000. The recent retreat from $108,000 is a reminder that Bitcoin is a volatile asset and that pullbacks are a normal part of the market cycle. Whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated remains to be seen. Ultimately, the future of Bitcoin's price will depend on a complex interplay of technical factors, market sentiment, and fundamental developments. By staying informed and using proper risk management techniques, investors can position themselves to potentially profit from Bitcoin's continued growth and success. As always, remember to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The bull flag offers a tantalizing glimpse of potential gains, but prudent analysis and risk mitigation are essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Targets $105K as Portfolio Share Soars But... The year 2025 is proving to be a watershed moment for Bitcoin. The world's premier cryptocurrency has solidified its position as the bedrock of digital asset portfolios, now accounting for nearly one-third of all holdings, a testament to its growing acceptance as a legitimate macro-asset. Yet, this rising dominance belies a fractured and complex market landscape. While institutional giants and sovereign wealth funds systematically increase their Bitcoin allocations, a counter-current is flowing through the retail sector, where investors are rotating into high-potential altcoins, spurred on by the promise of new investment vehicles. This bifurcation is unfolding against a backdrop of dramatic price swings, conflicting technical forecasts, and a potent mix of macroeconomic and geopolitical catalysts, painting a picture of a market at a pivotal crossroads. The headline statistic is striking: as of mid-2025, Bitcoin's share in investor crypto portfolios has climbed to nearly 31%, a significant increase from the previous year. This growth has persisted through months of volatility, including harrowing dips below the psychological $100,000 mark and powerful rallies reclaiming levels above $105,000. The market is being pulled in opposing directions. On one hand, bullish tailwinds are gathering force. A ceasefire in the Middle East has calmed geopolitical jitters, restoring appetite for risk assets. Simultaneously, hints from the U.S. Federal Reserve of a potential July interest rate cut have investors anticipating a surge of liquidity into the market. However, a sense of unease permeates the technical charts. Some analysts warn of a "final crash" still to come, drawing parallels to the market structure of 2021. On-chain analysis has identified the $97,000 to $98,000 range as a critical market pivot, a line in the sand that could determine the next major trend. Meanwhile, other models, like the Elliott Wave count, predict a corrective crash to as low as $94,000 before any new highs can be sustainably achieved. This is the story of Bitcoin in 2025: a maturing asset cementing its institutional role while navigating the turbulent waters of retail speculation, macroeconomic shifts, and its own volatile price cycles. The journey toward becoming a third of all crypto holdings has not been a straight line, but a dramatic tug-of-war that will define the future of the digital asset class. Part 1: The 31% Benchmark - Bitcoin's Ascendant Portfolio Dominance The steady climb of Bitcoin to nearly 31% of investor portfolios is the defining trend of 2025. This figure, a cornerstone of market analysis this year, underscores a profound shift in investor conviction. Through a period marked by six-figure price tags and gut-wrenching volatility, the average investor has not been scared away but has instead deepened their commitment to the original cryptocurrency. This suggests a maturing "buy the dip" mentality, where price corrections are increasingly viewed not as a crisis, but as an opportunity to accumulate a long-term store of value. The primary engine behind this trend is unmistakable: institutional adoption. The floodgates, first opened by the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, have become a torrent of institutional capital in 2025. Sovereign wealth funds, major financial institutions, and public companies are now systematically accumulating Bitcoin, treating it as a core component of their treasury and investment strategies. Observations of institutional trading desks indicate this buying pressure from large-scale investors intensified in the first half of the year, even as retail activity showed signs of slowing. This institutional stamp of approval is reflected in the growing number of Bitcoins held in various corporate treasuries and exchange-traded funds. This institutional embrace of Bitcoin has been fueled by several factors. First, an increasingly innovation-friendly regulatory environment in the United States has provided the clarity that large, compliance-focused firms require. Second, Bitcoin’s performance has been undeniable. Following recent shifts in the political landscape, Bitcoin has outperformed many major global assets, including stocks, treasuries, and precious metals, solidifying its reputation as a powerful portfolio diversifier. This "flight to quality" within the crypto space has also created a distinct rotation story. As institutions fortify their Bitcoin positions, they appear to be de-risking by moving away from more speculative assets that were darlings of the previous cycle. The most notable casualty of this shift has been Solana. Once a high-flyer, Solana's narrative has "cooled" in 2025. Its portfolio weight among investors has seen a sharp decline since late 2024, as institutional capital pivots toward assets with perceived staying power and clearer narratives. While some analysts see this cooling phase as a potential accumulation opportunity before a new leg up, the dominant trend has been a rotation out of Solana and into the perceived safety of Bitcoin. Part 2: The Great Divide - A Tale of Two Investors The crypto market of 2025 is characterized by a stark divergence in strategy between its two main cohorts: institutional players and retail investors. While their actions collectively push Bitcoin's portfolio share higher, their underlying motivations and asset choices paint a picture of two different worlds. The Institutional Playbook: Slow, Steady, and Strategic For institutions, Bitcoin has become the undisputed king. Their approach is methodical and long-term, driven by a desire for a non-sovereign, inflation-resistant asset that acts as a hedge against macroeconomic instability. The attributes of scarcity, immutability, and portability are paramount in their decision-making. The advent of regulated products like spot ETFs has been a game-changer, providing a familiar and secure access ramp for deploying significant capital. These large players are not chasing the explosive 100x gains that define crypto lore. Instead, they seek sustained, risk-adjusted returns from an asset that is increasingly uncorrelated with traditional markets during times of stress. Their strategy is one of accumulation, and their exit from more volatile altcoins like Solana is a clear signal of a de-risking mandate. They are building foundational positions in the asset they view as "digital gold," positioning themselves for a future where Bitcoin is a standard component of diversified global portfolios. The Retail Rebellion: Chasing the Next Big Narrative In stark contrast, retail investors appear to be reducing their direct Bitcoin holdings. This is not necessarily a rejection of Bitcoin's value, but rather a strategic reallocation of capital toward what they perceive as the next frontier of high growth. Having witnessed Bitcoin's journey to a multi-trillion-dollar asset, many retail participants are now hunting for "the next Bitcoin"—assets with a lower market capitalization but a powerful, near-term catalyst that could trigger exponential gains. Part 3: The Analyst's Crystal Ball - Price Targets and Technical Tremors Navigating the Bitcoin market in 2025 requires a steady hand and a tolerance for conflicting signals. While macro-environmental factors are painting a bullish picture, technical and on-chain analyses are flashing cautionary signs, creating a tense equilibrium between hope and fear. The Bullish Case: A Confluence of Catalysts The bulls have strong reasons for optimism. A key level on every trader's chart is $105,000. This price is seen as a critical "trend switch"; a decisive break and hold above this zone would signal the end of the recent consolidation and the beginning of a new, powerful phase of the bull market. This optimism is underpinned by powerful external forces. First, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been signaling a potential interest rate cut as early as July. Historically, lower interest rates reduce the appeal of traditional yielding assets like bonds, pushing investors toward riskier, high-growth assets. This injection of liquidity into the financial system has often preceded significant rallies in Bitcoin, and the market is pricing in this possibility. Second, a significant de-escalation of geopolitical tensions has bolstered market confidence. The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran caused an immediate and positive reaction in risk assets. Bitcoin surged past $105,000 on the news, demonstrating its sensitivity to global stability. During times of acute conflict, markets often experience a flight to safety, but when tensions ease, that capital flows back into assets like Bitcoin, which thrive on renewed risk appetite. The Bearish Counterpoint: Echoes of the Past and On-Chain Warnings Despite the bullish macro-outlook, clouds remain on the horizon. Some market commentators are warning that the current market is mirroring the patterns of 2021, suggesting that one "final crash" may be necessary to flush out leverage and establish a firm bottom before a sustainable move to new all-time highs. This thesis is supported by specific technical models. Proponents of Elliott Wave Theory, a method of analysis that posits markets move in predictable, repetitive wave patterns, suggest a significant correction is due. Some Elliott Wave counts predict a corrective move down to the $94,000 level, which would represent a substantial pullback from current prices. Such a move would be seen as a healthy, albeit painful, corrective wave before a final, explosive impulse higher. Adding weight to this cautious outlook is deep on-chain analysis. A close look at blockchain data pinpoints the $97,000 to $98,000 zone as the market's next true "pivot." This range represents a massive concentration of supply where a large volume of Bitcoin was previously acquired. This means a large cohort of investors has a cost basis in this zone. As the price approaches this level from below, it will likely meet significant selling pressure from investors looking to break even. A failure to decisively break through this wall of supply could trigger a sharp rejection and validate the bearish corrective scenarios. The Derivatives Dilemma: A Market in Flux Further complicating the picture is the state of the Bitcoin derivatives market. Reports indicate that futures buying activity has declined sharply, suggesting that the speculative fervor that often fuels rallies may be waning. This can be interpreted in two ways. The bearish view is that speculators are losing confidence, and the market lacks the momentum for a continued push higher. However, a more bullish interpretation is that the market is purging excessive leverage, creating a more stable foundation for a rally built on spot buying—the very kind of buying being done by institutions. This faltering derivatives activity, contrasted with strong institutional spot accumulation, could mean the current rally is in "stronger hands" than previous, more speculative-driven cycles. Part 4: The Broader Ecosystem - A Story of Diverging Fates The cross-currents shaping Bitcoin's trajectory are creating ripple effects across the entire crypto ecosystem, with the diverging fortunes of XRP and Solana serving as perfect case studies for the market's 2025 themes. Beyond the Majors: The Speculative Fringe As always, the crypto market maintains a speculative fringe. The emergence of assets like "BTC Bull Tokens" represents the high-leverage, high-risk plays that appear during bull markets. These instruments are designed to offer amplified returns on Bitcoin's price movements and attract the most risk-tolerant traders. Their existence underscores the full spectrum of the market—from sovereign wealth funds methodically buying Bitcoin for their treasuries to degens betting on leveraged tokens, the digital asset ecosystem remains a place of immense diversity and opportunity. Conclusion: Bitcoin's Maturation in a Fractured Market The year 2025 will be remembered as the year Bitcoin truly came of age as an institutional asset, firmly planting its flag and claiming one-third of the crypto investment landscape. This growing dominance, driven by the steady, strategic accumulation of the world's largest financial players, has provided a powerful anchor in a volatile market. Yet, this newfound maturity has not tamed the market's wild spirit. It has instead created a great divide. While institutions build their Bitcoin fortress, retail investors are on the hunt for the next narrative-driven explosion, pouring capital into assets like XRP with the hope of front-running a transformative ETF approval. The market is consequently balanced on a knife's edge. Bullish macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds are pushing for a breakout to new all-time highs beyond the pivotal $105,000 level. At the same time, technical and on-chain analyses warn of a potential final washout, a corrective crash to the mid-$90,000s that may be necessary to reset the market for a sustainable ascent. Bitcoin's path forward will be carved by the resolution of these opposing forces. Can the quiet, persistent demand from institutions absorb the selling pressure from short-term traders and navigate the technical resistance zones? Or will the speculative fervor and corrective patterns that have defined its past cycles pull it down once more before it can climb higher? Whatever the outcome, 2025 has made one thing clear: Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative digital curiosity. It is a global macro asset at the heart of a complex and evolving financial ecosystem, and its journey is far from over.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC - Getting 2021 Double Top/Bearish VibesLooking at the weekly chart for BTC, I'm seeing similar price action from when we double topped in 2021. We hit the top of the channel, corrected, and then had a slightly higher high before going down hard. Again we hit the top of the channel, had a strong correction, only to hit it again for a slightly higher high. But the signs of market weakness are showing in the indicators and price action. Not to mention war is looming between Israel and Iran. I'm taking a defensive posture here. I think if the bears take control, we could hit the $60k liquidity area that we missed on the last correction. We can reassess the market better at the time based on the price action and current events.
Short
by jpbrown1023
Bitcoin - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏. If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉 I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals. 🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉. 📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry. ⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup. 🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
5
Bitcoin Closed week RED and opens Green but is back in channel As the title says, BTC PA has fallen back in channel that offers a potential low in the High 80K should confidence fail. PA also lost support on the Local 2.618 Fib extension. This is a shame and poses potential problems reclaiming that. I will say, that I do not consider this a long term Bearish beginning but it could certainly add to the "Calm" Summer I have talked about. I say "Calm", that does depend on the world not entering a level of Madness. The Zoomed chart below shows more detail Here we can see clearly how PA got rejected off that upper trend line, fell through the 2.618 and is currently being rejected by it. The potential for a further drop does exist and if we repeat the "Pattern" we have since the beginning of 2024, of bounce off Lower trend line, get rejected from Upper zone, re test lower as support and bounce again, we can expect to revisit 89K This idea is supported from this LINEAR Daily chart The dashed Trend line that is arrowed has origin in Sep 2024 and was also used again in April 2025. That intersection the arrow points to is the intersection with the current supporting Fib circle at around 88500 USD None of this is certain but these levels exist as support. PA also has the ability to move higher The Weekly MACD below shows us how MACD is turning down towards its signal line ( red) We did this before in Jan 2024 ( Arrow) and The MACD bounced. We talked about this possibility a few weeks ago But on a Daily MACD, things do look a little different. The FEB 2024 looked like this, Bullish, rising and above Neutral Currently, the Daily MACD looks like this We just fell below Neutral and the Signal line just hit it We may seea bounce but we need to have the idea that this may continue to drop a little further. But the White bar on the Histogram shows us some recovery is currently in progress We will have to watch the rest of this month closely. This time next week is last day of month. I have mentioned a number of times that a small RED Month candle would be potentialy good. We are currently Only just GREEN, so a further Drop in price is actually almost expected this week. Interesting days ahead
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC - Key Battle Between Bulls and Bears – Symmetrical TriangleBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle , showing indecision among Bulls and Bears around the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) and just above the 50_SMA (Daily) . From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current range may represent a WXY corrective structure . The market seems to be waiting for a breakout direction , potentially aiming to complete wave 5 after this correction. The Monthly Pivot Point($103,300) and the presence of significant Cumulative Liquidation Leverage Zones (both Long and Short ) are key liquidity magnets to watch in the short term . I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) AFTER breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and decline to the targets I have outlined on the chart. Note: Stop Loss: $106,703 = Worst Stop Loss(SL) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
33
₿itcoin: SetbackBitcoin has come under selling pressure in recent hours. We cannot rule out that a deeper dip may precede the next leg higher into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once green wave B concludes in this range, we anticipate a wave C decline into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 to complete the larger orange wave a. From there, a corrective rally in orange wave b is expected, which should set the stage for a final leg lower to finalize blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, we’re still monitoring the alternative scenario (30% probability), in which blue wave alt.(i) is still in progress. In this case, BTC would stage an immediate breakout above resistance at $130,891. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down. But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns. Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble. #BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement 🎯 Key Levels Analysis: ✅ Resistance: 106.3K → This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs. ✅ Support: 103.7K → Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base. ✅ Support: 99.6K → Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction. ✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K → Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
by Vandallet
$BTC - Top Down BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P Top Down (10/06/25) V-Levels Bias Weekly = Bullish Daily = Bullish 10-Hour = Bullish 1-Hour = Bullish V-Levels Momentum Weekly = Bullish Daily = Bullish 10-Hour = Neutral 1-Hour = Neutral Analysis & Insights DeCode Market Breakdown Macro Context Overall, the Weekly structure remains bullish — both in bias and momentum. We’re trading below a key level at $111,968.0, and continuation is likely unless we see a clear Failed Auction at that level. That would trigger some serious red flags and force a reevaluation of the directional bias. Daily Chart Daily structure is extremely bullish at the moment. The price recently showed a Failed Auction around the $102,000.0 V-structure Higher Low — indicating aggressive absorption and buyer strength. As long as price holds above that area, the priority is to stay on the long side. ⸻ 10-Hour Chart Still holding a bullish structure overall. One thing I’ll be watching closely: the price reacting to the previous High at $110,660.8. If we get a rejection + Failed Auction at that level, that opens up the possibility for intraday shorts; as a short-term shift in momentum and local resistance kicks in. 1-Hour Chart 📈 Long Setup: Waiting for a clean entry from an OTE / Fib zone + Over/Under structure. 📉 Short Setup: Watching for a sweep of the current highs + a clear Failed Auction (ideally with footprint confirmation). There’s visible compression between $104k and $105k, so price might look to grab liquidity there first before any real move upward. 10-Min Chart Currently, no clear trade setups on the 10M. The 1H hasn’t reached optimal trade zones yet. I’ll be watching closely for any structure shifts or setups aligning with the macro bias. ⸻ 🔍 Trading Plan Summary Bias: Bullish (Weekly + Daily) Look for longs aligned with HTF support + intraday confirmation Short opportunities only if we get clear rejection from $110,660.8 + footprint signals
by BastDeCode
1
Bitcoin Rally Overextended: Patience is Key for the Next Move💹 BTC/USDC – Bullish Outlook, heres my Trade Plan. Bitcoin (BTC/USDC) is currently maintaining a strong bullish trajectory 🚀, showing impressive momentum after breaking through recent resistance levels 🔓. However, price is now overextended from the last swing low, and I’m anticipating a pullback into value 🔄 — specifically targeting the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone drawn from the latest swing low to swing high 📐. This zone often acts as a rebalancing point for institutional traders and provides confluence for smart entries 🎯. I’ll be closely watching this retracement area for signs of support forming, and more importantly, a bullish break in market structure 🧠📊. Only after that confirmation, would I consider executing a long position — no structure break, no trade ✅. This isn’t about predicting — it’s about reacting with discipline.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
2