Bitcoinidea
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #18Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you!
30,000 was successfully reached, albeit with a slight delay. The graph shows the effort result and the volume. In the future, I expect a correction with a possible resumption of the upward movement from certain price levels. I'm targeting 29000-29100 because we need a successful test, in other words, the last point of resistance. Under other circumstances, a drop lower is possible.
Thank you for your attention, and a special thanks for your likes and comments .
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin
btc/usdt#Bitcoin Update:
In the complex world of financial markets, patterns emerge in the form of "impulse" and "correction" waves. Currently, #Bitcoin is constructing its initial wave, indicating potential upward movement. Our analysis predicts a short-term decline followed by a strong buying opportunity.
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#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #17Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you!
After the weekend, a clearer situation has been formed for our own understanding, which indicates that locally the price of the first cryptocurrency should stay above 28680, in other words, a false breakout of the lows and an additional test of floating propriety to squeeze weak hands out of the market. The target is 28680-28700, the support range from which we can see the resumption of the upward movement.
In the absence of professional buyer activity, the asset is expected to depreciate to certain price levels.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin
Predicting the Future Bitcoin Price with the Power of FibonacciUnravelling the Future of Bitcoin with a Combination of Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci Analysis
As a Bitcoin enthusiast, I acknowledge that forecasting the future price of Bitcoin is a complicated and daunting task. While I do not claim to possess a magical crystal ball, I do possess a deep-seated passion for examining market trends and analysing data. That's why I have been experimenting with various technical analysis methods, including Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci Circles, Fibonacci Timezones, Fibonacci Extensions, and Fibonacci Retracements.
My approach merges Elliott Wave Theory, which sheds light on market tendencies, with Fibonacci analysis, which provides me with a more profound understanding of market behaviour through the Fibonacci number sequence. This combination allows me to gain a broader perspective of price movements and make more informed predictions. Fibonacci Circles, Fibonacci Timezones, and Fibonacci Extensions enable me to identify crucial support and resistance levels and visualize the potential for price movements. On the other hand, Fibonacci Retracements help me monitor where the price may retrace during a trend. Through my personal exploration of these analysis methods, I aspire to offer a novel outlook on the future of Bitcoin:
My analysis of the Elliott Wave reveals that Bitcoin is poised for an impulsive wave 5, which is part of an impulsive wave 3 at a higher degree.
Utilizing the Fibonacci extension method, I have identified resistance points at 1.236 with a price level of $292,168 and 1.382, yielding a price of $713,491.
The Fibonacci Circle and Timezones further support these resistance points, projected for January 2024 and December 2025.
It is my belief that the peak of the impulsive wave 3 will occur at $292,000. By applying the Fibonacci retracement method, starting from this peak and extending back to $152, I have determined the 0.236 level to be a significant support zone at $49,000, and the correction wave 4 in the highest Elliott wave cycle. With this in mind, the path is clear for the final impulsive wave 5 to reach the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at $713,491 by December 2025.
BTC LONG #3 - SHORT TERMHave another setup here, theres a couple of entry points here, one is here on the button of the golden pocket... there is also a chance that we could see a wick down into the bright green area on h1 chart as this is a value area. So scaled positions could work great here. Targets are up at the m15 sell area in confluence with h1 fibb targets. will update in the comments.
#BTC Up or Down?It's been 5 days since BTC is consolidating between 29400 and 28800$. Consolidation range is narrowing, that is why we can see almost zero volatility on the coin. Usually, after long consolidation we can expect a big move. Will this be move positive or negative - hard to say. because currently the situation is 50/50
Personally I would like to see downtrend scenario, and for this I have several reasons as: SPX currently shows Bearish move, USDT.D looks pretty bullish, news around Huobi exchange. All this can trigger BTC to go down towards 27 - 26K $.
At the same time, if we will see a breakout through 29600$ (from the current price) and consolidation above this level, this will mean, that BTC will increase in the price towards to 32000$ where we can see weekly FVG.
You can take hedge long and short positions on BTC.
Just dont forget to follow RM!
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #16Good evening , we are from Ukraine!
I've been watching the chart since Friday and I can identify several key facts in favor of the long scenario:
1) there is no floating supply on the market at the moment.
2) there is no resistance above the local highs.
3) the news background is negative.
4) and most importantly, "someone unknown" is actively buying up almost the entire supply.
But there is a downside, there is a lack of results and progress on the chart, the situation should improve in the near future, or the asset will depreciate, the third is not given.
Taking these facts into account, I can only say one thing, everyone get ready, because on the 7th-8th of this month, something very incredible awaits us all.
I wish you success and all the best!
I wish everyone who reads this success and prosperity.
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #15Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
At the moment, all the conditions of the setup are met.
Anyone who follows the development of events will be sincerely grateful for a like.
Just for the work done.
I wish everyone who reads this success and prosperity.
Anyone who follows the development of events will be sincerely grateful for a like.
Just for the work done.
I wish everyone who reads th is success and prosperity.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #13Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Dear colleagues, I am glad to welcome you!
I like the situation with this instrument because it is schematically similar to the distribution phase, but there is one thing: the distribution is false and a significant markup of up to 35,000 is likely to be expected in the near future. I may be wrong, but this is my subjective vision, my thoughts out loud.
It's also worth keeping a short-case scenario in mind.
Good luck to everyone, all the best.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin
Bitcoin is Tanking this WeekendOur 12AM 1 hr Candle indicates we are Bearish out of the Morning Zone Consolidation
5pm-1am EST.
The Average Daily Range for the past 3 days on Bitcoin is roughly 588 pips.
The TP is at 500 pips of Bitcoin's ADR.
When your Trading Strategy is this simple it makes trading less complicated.
Price goes up. Price goes down. Price consolidates.
Have a great week end!
A new lost decade of stagflation is comingYou better get used to working hard, because the days of easy magic fairy dust money are long gone after 40 years of mania.
The following scenario is going to make wallstreet very angry and I'm sure a lot of retail investors are going to be forced to give up and start working longer hours to adapt to an expensive already inflated life that just won't lower prices anymore, while at the same time, record high interest rates have already made it much harder for everyone to access bank loans and 0% credit cards.
From Japanese herbivore men to Western Men Going Their Own Way, Japan during the 80s and 90s is the textbook play for the world to follow.
What is usually known as "depevelopment" is actually a 4th stage of population growth/flattening that will surely lead to a global ageing population or demographic and pension crisis in the coming years and decades.
So technically, there won't be any great depression like 1929, and there won't be any hyperinflation either (except for a few failed states in Latinamerica of course),
A recession is not as boring and as predictable, as an eternally long stagflation, which is the most hated but necessary scenario to push foward out of so much debt.
BTC LONG SHORT TERM #2Another entry from the short term trading perspective. Previous entry was bang on, simply rinse and repeat here.
Structure in tact, move down to retest the KL, previous fibb entry/ scaled position you can see here, minimised risk, currently sweeping daily lows, perhaps see a dip into yesterdays Value area low below 29175, currently tarting around in yesterdays initial balance range:
Short Bitcoin on Weekly ChartI still cling to the analysis carried out 15 days ago, we are $1k below the price at that time, nothing has changed in terms of Elliot waves, the fractals remain unchanged and the probability drops to levels of 38% to 50% Fibonacci forecast is still in effect.
Here I cannot add the candle in monthly terms, but if you can search for it, you will see that it is negative and has diminished the gains from the previous month's rise.
On a weekly basis, it gives us better detail of what it wants to do, since on a daily basis it has remained in a large lateral range. If we look at the stochastic indicator, we see that the area above 80% has been touched 3 consecutive times, which means an overbought , thus generating a bearish divergence together with the value of the price, follow the projection but always operate cautiously because any fundamental can drastically alter the price.
Short term Upwards Move BTC/USDIt's is important to remember that we didn't get a confirmed Uptrend. I expect a retest of the 25000 area with a high Probability that we break it to the downside.
So alway remember to not hold Long positions for too long in this kind of environment.
Always secure your positions when in profit.
NO LEVERAGE This is a high risk Trade NOT like my last two short positions that I published.