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BTC - Are we in a Bull Market?Hi guys. Welcome to my Macro TA analysis on Bitcoin and the bull case. I like to use different tools to see if i can find patterns that things clear, especially for long term/ macro trends. Since it is becoming more likely that we are in the beginning stages of a bull market atleast for bitcoin. Its now necessary to keep an eye and find confluences. What i have on my charts today are: 2 moving averages Blue line = 50 month moving average Yellow line = 21 month moving average 2 indicators 1. Wave trend oscillator 2. ADX and DI These 2 indicators i like because they help establish direction of trend by marking overbought or oversold areas. Gives somewhat of a picture on momentum as well NOw lets first look at our moving averages the Blue and Yellow lines. Just looking at the placement of the candles in relation to the lines. Anytime we are above the yellow, we are in a bull market Anytime we interact with the blue, its marked a solid BUY opportunity. But taking a focus on the yellow line, as to stay on topic with our title. The green circles highlight everytime we've interacted with the yellow line coming from the blue line. Very important to highlight this, as we are CURRENTLY in the process of interacting with yellow line. We are also going to close APrils monthly candle, so how we react to the yellow line is key to knowing if we are indeed in a bull market. OUr previous data points (2 in #), which is not many. Indicates that it takes 1 candle to hover right below yellow line, BUT the next monthly candle breaks through the yellow line. So perhaps MAY we do get above yellow line. Remember, however that this does not mean its definite. It is not a definite or sure thing we repeat history. Its more about probabilities. But one way to use this in trading, would be to see what we do in May and June, and if their is a confirmation candle during Junes close. That can be an opportunity to get in for the entire duration of bull market. Now lets look at the 2 indicators. 1. Wave Oscillator -> Normally i use this in a way to determine buys and sells. And i would buy if the green line goes to the lower horizontal dotted green/ lined green combo at the bottom. And sell when the green line gets over the red horizontal line. But what im using this now for is how it moves or reacts when we get to yellow line. What i came up with is, mainly looking for curvatures and placement of green line with red dots. From previous 2 green circles, green line has to be on top of the red dots and the green line should be curved upwards. Currently we have both of those happening and we are at a lower low compared to previous times we repeated this. This is a great thing but there is a slight danger. Since this indicator is creating a lower low and price action is creating higher low as indicated by the white trend lines. This is a bearish divergence. We need to be watchful of this. If this plays out, we can see drop in price. Probability of this playing out for now is low as well. 2. ADX & DI - For this we have to note the white boxes drawn. These atleast the previous one, indicates a bear market. Ive highlighted the 2015 area because it is similar to how we are acting on ADX DI currently. One thing to note and in this chart goes against the bull case or has not yet confirmed yet. Is that the white line or moving average, needs to be curved/ pointed UPWARDS to indicate a bull case. And we must keep an eye on this as well. Currently we are showing a bull cross of green line being over the red line which is a good sign so far. If in the next couple months, the white line does curve UPWARDS. That would make this inddicator supportive of the bull case, in my opinion. CONCLUSION: AS per this analysis on the MOnthly time frame. We are still not yet in a CONFIRMED bull market. However, the current interactions with the yellow moving average, the upward curve of the Wave Trend Oscillator and its green line being on top of red dots indicate we are perhas 1 to 2 months away frm confirming. We have to keep observing the ADX and its white line particularly. If it curves up, this will support the bull case. One danger is the bearish divergence on wave oscillator. But remember confluence is more support of divergences, meaning if multiple indicators 3+ are showing it, it may be MORE likely. So it is something to search for. (be on the look out for an analysis lo0king for divergence). All in all, we could be in the beginning stage of a BULL MARKET, and next 2 or so months will be crucial for BITCOIN, how it interacts with yellow line if above or if pushed lower, if ADX white line curves up and if wave trend oscillator cointunues its upward trajectory towards red zone. Hope this sheds some light on Bitcoin. If you enjoyed this, please boost, follow and if you have any thoughts of your own COMMENT. I'd like to know what you think. Also ill be posting updates not only for crypto but other markets as well. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advise, i am not a financial advisor. The conent expressed here are my opinion only and for educational purpose. Always remember to focus on risk management when trading and to protect yourself with stop losses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SafofAllTrades
BTC Bitcoin Head and Shoulders Chart PatternBTC Bitcoin has manifested a technical analysis chart pattern commonly known as a "Head and Shoulders" formation, indicating a potential bearish trend. The Head and Shoulders Bearish Chart Pattern is a technical analysis chart pattern that is typically formed by three peaks in a security's price action. The first and third peaks are known as "shoulders," while the second peak is called the "head." The pattern is often viewed as a signal of a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish, as it suggests that the security's price has reached a high point and may soon decline. The target price of the pattern is typically calculated by measuring the distance between the head and the "neckline" (a line drawn connecting the two shoulders), and projecting that distance downward from the neckline. Based on this pattern, it is estimated that the price may decline first to a target level of $27175, then to $23280. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Short
by TopgOptions
1
BTC correction starts .. When to expect bounce?BTC / USDT In my previous BTC analysis, I expected the correction to start from 32k-29k which is happening now (check my previous analysis in attachment below ) Are the bulls still in control and when to expect bounce ? Simply, we can say as long as price is closing above 25k key level in high time frames .. Bulls are in control BTC can bounce from any local support levels but the ideal point according to parabolic curve is around 25k (also act as a major support) and my midterm target are 36k-38k In mean while, Dominance of BTC is showing weakness which is good news for altcoins market in coming days but keep watching it for any further update Appreciate your support by rockets and comments Any questions or ideas please share with us ⬇️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Babenski
124
BITCOIN TO 60K AGAIN !hello, I present to you my simple analysis of bitcoin this year 2023 therefore following FIBONACCI RETRACTION (respected since 2017) and the pullback on the annual closing levels We conclude that: >> either bitcoin has already made a small pullback in March on the annual closing zone (1.618) and will go towards 40k (3.618) then 50k (4.618) then 60k (5.618) >> either we will have another correction towards the annual closing zone (1.618) after the rise and in this case we will enter thank you for commenting on my analysis good luck to all
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by R1TRAD
3 Days Waiting / Setup : Fakeout / Daily TF 📉 Have been waiting patiently for Shorts to Setup on BTC. I'm not totally convinced of this rally as you can observe. This trade is in anticipation that the Daily timeframe will respect the Daily and Weekly Levels in Between 28 to 28.5K. Although this retest of our Daily Level looks quite daunting, selling into strength shouldn't be too much of an issue because of the amount of orders at this level previously 28,300. It's worth a shot given the RR and the previous Weekly Engulfing Candle. I typically stick to scalping but this Fakeout Looks clear as day and so I have no issue risking some profits with reduced risk and attempting something different then the usual.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Bitcoin Head & Shoulders!BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin has printed into a Head & Shoulders also evident on 4h. Watch for Fakeout at 30k level for a fakeout and then breakout to upside. Failing that 28.8k level could retest and provide short term short. Bitcoin is still Bullish, but watch for major bearish retests to continue to ride to lower levels of support. But at these levels there are many buyers lurking around so wait for entry trigger confirmations. Always having Plan A and Plan B scenarios so we can react once the markets provide an opportunity to execute our edge. If you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Short
by imr4nkh8n
Bitcoin - why I opened short?Hello, everyone! Let's take a look at the chart. On 1h time frame we have this big dump from FWB:31K to $27k. There were no any corrections and Awesome oscillator tells us that it was the wave 3. During this weekend we have the bounce which looks like the wave 4. Anyway BTC price has formed even 2 bearish reversal bars above the Alligator with the nice angulation. I used the second one to enter my short trade. The idea here is to catch the wave 5. here we have the nice risk to reward because target area for wave 5 is inside the green box. Best regards, Ivan ______________________________________ Subscribe now and never miss an update 👍
Short
by Skyrexio
6
BITCOIN next significant daily support is 26k$ ❌🧨Hello 🐋 we can see more correction to the downside at least close to great daily resistance level ($26000) ❌🧨❌🧨❌ in other word if the price doesn't break the resistance zone to the upside and just complete the retest, we will see more correction, at least to our lower trend line ❌🧨 otherwise we can see more gain to upper resistance level ✔️🚀 for any other huge pump, we need more correction 📖📖📖📖📖 if breakout of the lower support zone be completed, we can see more correction to the downside ❌🧨 brief amount of green candlesticks to the upside before any other movement is logical 📖💡 👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡 Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
6
BITCOIN again in parallel channel more range and correction ❌🧨Hello 🐋 the price again entered to the parallel channel ✔️ if the price doesn't break the resistance zone to the upside and just complete the retest, we will see more correction, at least to our lower trend line ❌🧨 otherwise we can see more gain to upper resistance level ✔️🚀 for any other huge pump, we need more correction 📖📖📖📖📖 if breakout of the lower support zone be completed, we can see more correction to the downside ❌🧨 brief amount of green candlesticks to the upside before any other movement is logical 📖💡 👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡 Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Short
by MadWhale
9