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Bitcoinidea

Bitcoin's 2025 is bullish AFLet's talk crystal clear here; Bitcoin is in a massive uptrend, yes now is stucked/accumulating below the $100k mark, but overall is bullish AF. In this chart I present you my Elliott Wave Count of Bitcoins bullish cycle that started from Dec. 2022 and is still on going. Breakdown: We're in a 1-2-3-4-5 (we're here) bullish count. Inside this last 5th wave, which you can clearly count 5 subwaves, we're on the verge of breaking this $100k accumulative period, aka. in a corrective ABCDE of the 4th wave. Once this breaks up, Bitcoin should FLY. COT readings are also great and supporting this idea behind technicals. In the current accumulation, Fund managers went from being bearish to now being more bullish, pointing to a bullish divergence. However, I'd like to see Retailers more bearish, why? Because they always wrong, and currently they are still a bit bullish to me from what I read in the COT report. This is why I believe we still going to see this corrective phase for a little longer, finally completing the ABCDE formation, and then RISE. Conclusion, Bitcoin price is stuck for some time till' it breaks up and rockets to unknown price. Trade safe! A.FX99
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AlbertFX99
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2 Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings. Market Dynamics and Technical Levels Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors. Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin. The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity. Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance. Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3 Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space. Navigating the Uncertainty The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected. Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC getting ready to revisit +$100k?It's playing out slightly quicker than anticipated but it's going in the expected direction, minus the fakeout and chop. On the 45m tf I am looking for one more lower low to touch or break the falling wedge's support. There could be another fake break out and it could be a big one to trigger shorts before liquidating them with the reversal. I think a 104,000 target is still in play, for now. I thought it would be on Friday - it still might. I do not think this is the start of a rally to 1,000,000. There is a high risk of liquidation for those taking long positions thinking 150,000 is imminent. There is always a risk the market doesn't do what I think is going to happen and 69,000 is closer than I realised.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ZorosonD
BITCOIN CRASH BEST TRADE IDEA🔻 BTC/USDT Short Setup - 30M Analysis 🔻 Bitcoin has rejected a key resistance zone around $97,400-$97,550, showing signs of a bearish move. Price has failed to break above this supply area, and now a potential sell-off towards the sell-side liquidity range is in play. 🔹 Entry: Around $97,400 (Retest of resistance) 🔹 Stop Loss: $97,550 (Above supply zone) 🔹 Target: $94,725-$94,711 (Liquidity sweep level) 📉 Analysis Breakdown: ✅ Price is reacting to a well-defined supply zone. ✅ Bearish momentum increasing after liquidity grab. ✅ Confluence with 50 EMA rejecting price. ✅ High probability of price reaching liquidity range. Watching this trade closely—let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥 #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoSignals 🚀
Short
by naumanfx_
4
Weekend is coming - another liquidation coming? BTC strongly bounced Monday and formed a daily candle with a massive bottom wick.  It is a bullish candle but that itself doesn't confirm the bull trend is going to start.  It was definitely the buy the dip moment for spot buyers and hodlers. However, if people are trading, the obvious stop of Stop/Loss is just below that wick on the Monday candle.  Subsequent daily candles failed to close above 100K.   All daily momentum indicators are entering the bear zone. Now the price is steadily moving down. Weekend is coming.  I can see another perfect setup for the long liquidation event.    I hope I am wrong. I think the next few weeks are critical for the BTC bull.  Weekly MACD is touching but hasn't crossed yet, so I will continue to observe the price action. If MACD lines clearly cross to the downside and stochastic has entered the bear zone. I would consider opening a short position.  I will use a daily chart to identify an entry. It has been a very challenging market.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EbonyFalcon
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
BTC/USDT at a Make or Break Moment Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming an inverse cup and handle pattern on the hourly timeframe, signaling potential bearish continuation. The price is testing the neckline support around 96,480 USDT, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum. However, the most critical support level to watch is 92,000 USDTit is essential for Bitcoin to hold this level to maintain any bullish momentum. If BTC closes below 92K, we can expect further declines, possibly towards 88,500–89,000 USDT or even lower. On the upside, 97,500 USDT remains a key resistance, and only a sustained recovery above this level would invalidate the bearish structure. For now, all eyes are on the 92K support zone, as losing this level could lead to a deeper correction in the market.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future. There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market. Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency. Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies. However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin. Other factors driving Bitcoin's price In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include: • The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value. • The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries. • Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next? If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision. If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now. We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe. So, what now? We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k. On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line. On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline. Smash the like button and good luck!
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next?If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision. If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now. We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe. So, what now? We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k. On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line. On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline. Smash the like button and good luck!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Pro_Trader_HTBB
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation Risky Entry Zone: Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone. Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky." Resistance Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE." Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in Price Closed Below the Protected High: Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH." Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS): Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart. Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side. Confirmation Entry Zone: Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone." Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup. P.R Area (Secure Position): Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart. Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk. Disclaimer 📢 Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
1
Analysis Report for Bitcoin (BTC)1. Recent Price Action Current Price: $97,123 Recent High: $102,014 Recent Low: $90,000 Price Movement: Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, recently dropping below $100,000, which has raised concerns among traders. The price has fluctuated between $90,000 and $102,000, indicating a potential consolidation phase. 2. Key Technical Indicators Moving Averages:50-day MA: $98,500 (currently acting as resistance) 200-day MA: $85,000 (providing long-term support) Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 52, indicating a neutral stance but leaning slightly bullish. MACD: The MACD line is approaching the signal line, suggesting a potential bullish crossover if the price holds above $97,000. 3. Volume Analysis Average Volume: Approximately 10 million BTC traded daily. Recent Volume: A notable increase in volume was observed during the recent price drop, indicating strong selling pressure. Volume Patterns: The correlation between price and volume suggests that the recent drop was supported by high selling volume, which may indicate a bearish sentiment. 4. Support and Resistance Levels Support Levels:Primary Support: $93,000 (recent low) Secondary Support: $90,000 (psychological level) Resistance Levels:Primary Resistance: $102,000 (recent high) Secondary Resistance: $106,000 (key overhead area) 5. Breakout/Breakdown Points Breakout Point: A close above $102,000 with strong volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $106,000 and potentially $110,000. Breakdown Point: A close below $93,000 could indicate a bearish breakdown, targeting $90,000 and potentially $87,000. 6. Anomalies and Divergences Divergence: There is a bearish divergence noted between price and RSI, as the price has made lower highs while RSI has not confirmed this trend, suggesting potential weakness in the current uptrend. 7. Risk and Reward Scenarios Long Position: Entry Point: $102,500 (breakout confirmation) Stop-Loss: $100,000 (below recent support) Target Price: $106,000 (first target) Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,500 to gain $3,500) Short Position: Entry Point: $92,500 (breakdown confirmation) Stop-Loss: $94,500 (above recent resistance) Target Price: $90,000 (first target) Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,000 to gain $2,500) Bitcoin is currently in a critical phase, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements. Traders should closely monitor the key support and resistance levels, as well as volume trends, to make informed decisions. The analysis indicates that a breakout above $102,000 could lead to further gains, while a breakdown below $93,000 could signal a deeper correction. Always adhere to risk management principles and adjust stop-loss levels as necessary to protect capital.
by artotrading
Large Bearish idea for current Bitcoin cycle.On the Daily chart very noticeable Double Top ~$107k. Certainly, short term move towards 93k. Afterwards probably the decision to make that will change the outlook of the next 1-2 years. $85-86k could mean as first support. Then with the break of it, reaching low 70s and high $60s (~530 day downtrend will be near complete). If it were to continue tumble close to $55k (which I don't think it will), I am personally not going to hasitate for a long time to grab as much as I possibly can. I'm convinced we'll be more than alright after this big Bear Trend.
Short
by Ana_NSr
Bull cycle is not over yet ! (but I am not buying or selling)Bitcoin (and the rest of the crypto market) look very bearish. I am starting to hear and read "the end of the cycle" in youtube and x. I can see the reason why. 4H, daily and even 5D chart look pretty bearish. However, the weekly setup of momentum indicators make me think it is still too early to say the bull market is over. Please look at the blue dotted lines in the chart. These areas have very similar setups.   1) All momentum indicators are in the bull zone. 2) It looks that MACD lines are about to cross but haven't.   There are many occasions where they look like they are about to cross to the downside but they just touch and resume to the upside. MACD is a very slow moving indicator. It is not very useful for intraday trading, but for the higher time frame (daily, weekly etc), it removes a lot of market noises and is very reliable. 3) The RSI based MA line (orange line in RSI) is still sloping upwards.  This line ignores market noises.  If the angle of the line is sloping up, the price tends to continue to trend upwards until it starts to change its angle.     4) Stochastic is moving downwards, however, there is a sign it is rolling back to the upside.  Stochastic is the fastest reacting indicator among the three. So it provides an early sign of what may be coming.   At this stage, I will not be selling my BTC. (I mean I will not open a long term short position) until I see a clear sign of the trend reversal in the daily or weekly timeframe.  P.S. A lot of price manipulation happens on weekends so in general I won't make a big decision based on the weekend price action.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EbonyFalcon
BTCUSD - Watching for a Pullback Before the Bounce?COINBASE:BTCUSD is retracing, and I’m keeping a close eye on the 98,500 - 99,200 zone. My expectation? A tap into this area, followed by a bounce back toward 102,000. Why I’m watching that particular zone is because it has provided relatively strong reactions before. So, if buyers step in again, we could see a potential reversal. 🎯My target is 102,000 – If we get a bounce, this is my first price of interest. It’s a realistic target, and how it behaves there will shape the next move. My plan: ⚡ Waiting for price to tap the zone – with patience. ⚡ Looking for bullish signs – Strong wicks, a shift in structure, or clear buying pressure would confirm the idea. ⚡ Watching 102,000 closely – If price reaches it, I’ll reassess whether it has strength to push even higher. I’m expecting Bitcoin to pull back into that zone before making its way back to 102,000. If it plays out as expected, this could be a clean move. ⚠️ This is how I see the support and resistance zones—not financial advice! Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
10