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Bitcoinidea

Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ? 1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity. 3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup: Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk. Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels. 4. Scenario Analysis Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend. Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower. To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
3
"Bitcoin Price Prediction: $30K TargetThis analysis uses historical Bitcoin price patterns during previous bull and bear cycles to predict future market movements. The chart reveals a recurring pattern of sharp corrections following parabolic rises, suggesting that Bitcoin is likely heading toward a $30K price point in its current bearish phase. By aligning current trends with past cycles, this prediction provides a roadmap for investors to navigate potential market downturns and prepare for upcoming opportunities.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by sarvarbekabdupattoyev
7
Don't fumble the red flags, we are not out of the woods yet.When analyzing cryptocurrency markets, maintaining a neutral and impartial perspective is crucial. Having an optimistic bias will have you fumbling all the red flags and focusing only on information that supports your hopes and dreams. Currently, two main theories are shaping the discussion around Bitcoin's price action: Wave 4 has been completed, and we are now entering Wave 5 or; The market is still in a corrective phase. Let me know what you think, would love to hear your thoughts. Let’s delve into the two scenarios in detail. Theory 1: Wave 4 is Complete, and We Are Entering Wave 5 This theory is that Bitcoin has finished an ABC corrective wave and is poised for an upward move into Wave 5. A confirmed Wave 5 would be indicated by a price break above the previous Wave 3 high at $108,705. Until then, we remain in speculative territory. The Positives: The Stochastic Oscillator on the daily timeframe is in a favorable position. On the weekly chart, the Stochastic has exited the overbought region and is moving toward oversold territory. The Negatives: The current correction appears shallow and short-lived, failing to even retrace to the 0.386 Fibonacci level. Historically, 70% of Wave 4 corrections retrace between the 0.386 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. I would prefer that the weekly Stochastic RSI had a bullish crossover in the overbought region. During the last bull run, the Wave 4 correction lasted three months and corrected nearly to the 0.618 Fib level. Bitcoin Dominance collapsed during the Wave 4 correction, signaling the start of an altcoin season. While history doesn’t have to repeat itself, we have only corrected for 3.5 weeks and bitcoin dominance is still high, these anomalies raise concerns until the $108,705 resistance is breached. Theory 2: The Market Is Still Correcting In this scenario, the Zig-Zag correction we’ve observed may represent the first impulse (Wave A) of a larger ABC correction. If this is the case, the market could experience: Wave B: A brief upward impulse. Wave C: A downward move to lower price targets. Key Observations: A more extended and deeper correction would align with historical patterns, potentially creating a stronger foundation for future growth. If this plays out, we may see Bitcoin Dominance collapse, paving the way for an altcoin season to rise alongside Bitcoin’s eventual Wave 5. Conclusion: Watching $108,705 Is Key The confirmation of Wave 5 hinges on Bitcoin breaking the $108,705 resistance level. Until that point, it’s essential to remain cautious and consider both possibilities. Whether we are on the verge of a new bullish wave or navigating a deeper correction, understanding the broader market context will help investors make informed decisions. My bets though are on Theory 2, what do you think?
Short
by heywippa
Bitcoin Struggles to Cross the 105k Barrier The price has once again returned to the 98K zone, experiencing a nearly 4% drop in the last few hours and erasing the bullish pressure seen over the past four sessions. Lateral Range: Neutrality persists between the resistance at 105k and the support at 91k, with oscillations failing to break these levels since late November 2024. $105k: A nearby resistance zone crucial for the previous upward trend. A breakout above this level could reinforce the bullish outlook. $91k: A key support zone that has twice prevented the formation of a new and fresh downward movement. Oscillations below this level could jeopardize the accelerated trend that BTC exhibited towards the end of 2024. MACD: The indicator's histogram remains oscillating below the 0 level, demonstrating stronger bearish impulses that dominate the market. Oscillations very close to 0 could increase neutrality, making it challenging to break the current lateral range anytime soon. -JP
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
$BTC and Altcoins: Should You Buy or Wait?It's been 45 days since Bitcoin reached $100k and 20 days since its all-time high of $108k. The market is currently moving sideways and remains below the key resistance zone. Unless we witness a breakout and increased trading volume, it's tough to predict the next move. However, one thing is clear: most altcoins experienced significant drops of 40%-60% during the December 9th market crash. Since then, many altcoins have rebounded by 15%-30%, and a few have fully recovered. While it's uncertain if another major dip is coming, especially after such a steep 50% decline, I believe it's unlikely to happen and now could be an ideal time to start accumulating altcoins if you haven't yet. The risk of staying out of the market is higher than the risk of being invested in altcoins at this moment. Make sure you follow my socials, I'll be sharing a list of altcoins that will be doing well this season. Please hit that like button to support nd share your views in the comment section. Thank you #cryptocurrency #Altcoins
by Cryptorphic
1
Altseason will official start this coming Monday. Are you ready?So here we are 2 and a half years later. Business as usual. What an amazing journey it's been. You know the drill, bloody day Starting Sunday in a few hours, Monday starts with a big explosion, then, sell in May and go away. Although watch out for Time Magazine's and Roaring Kitty's hints, January 9th til April 20th bullrun. The blow off top of a century before a great depression. Will Bitcoin stop at 60k? or will the model break and have Bitcoin reach 10 to 20k? Comments, feedback and input is highly welcome and appreciated. Enjoy the banana party.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by axelrodd
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Navigating Selling Pressure and BullishBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, currently finds itself at a critical juncture, navigating a complex interplay of selling pressure from long-term holders and several bullish indicators suggesting a potential resurgence. This article delves into the key factors influencing Bitcoin's price, including long-term holder behavior, exchange inflows and miner outflows, hashrate dynamics, and the influence of Bitcoin whales, to assess its potential to reclaim the coveted $100,000 mark. Critical Support and Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Bitcoin is currently facing critical support levels, meaning that its price is approaching a point where a significant drop could trigger further selling and potentially lead to a more substantial correction. One of the primary factors contributing to this pressure is the selling activity of long-term Bitcoin holders. These holders, who have typically held their Bitcoin for extended periods, are beginning to distribute their holdings, adding to the selling pressure in the market. This behavior can be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after previous price surges, concerns about macroeconomic conditions, or a shift in investment strategies. Monitoring the behavior of long-term holders is crucial for understanding the overall market sentiment and potential future price movements. Exchange Inflow and Miner Outflow Dynamics Analyzing Bitcoin exchange inflows and miner outflows provides valuable insights into market dynamics. A drop in exchange inflows suggests reduced selling pressure, as fewer Bitcoins are being deposited onto exchanges for trading.1 Conversely, a decrease in miner outflows indicates that miners are holding onto their Bitcoin rather than selling it immediately, further reducing selling pressure. The recent drop in both exchange inflows and miner outflows is a positive sign, suggesting that selling pressure is easing and potentially paving the way for a price recovery. The expectation is that this reduced selling pressure, combined with other bullish factors, could contribute to Bitcoin reclaiming the $100,000 level. Bitcoin Hashrate Reaching New All-Time Highs The Bitcoin hashrate, a measure of the computational power used to mine Bitcoin, has recently reached new all-time highs.2 This is a significant indicator of the network's strength and security. A higher hashrate makes the Bitcoin network more resistant to attacks and demonstrates the continued commitment of miners to the ecosystem. While a high hashrate doesn't directly translate to immediate price increases, it reflects the long-term health and stability of the Bitcoin network, which can indirectly contribute to positive market sentiment and attract new investors. This robust network infrastructure provides a strong foundation for future price appreciation and supports the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $100,000. The Influence of Bitcoin Whales Bitcoin whales, entities holding substantial amounts of Bitcoin, exert significant influence on market dynamics.3 Recent data suggests that Bitcoin whales control a significant portion of exchange volume, highlighting their ability to impact price movements. Analyzing their selling patterns is crucial for understanding potential market shifts. If whales begin accumulating Bitcoin, it could signal a bullish trend, while continued selling could exacerbate downward pressure. Understanding whale behavior is essential for navigating the complexities of the Bitcoin market and anticipating potential price swings. The observation that whales control 94.5% of exchange volume underscores their influence and the importance of monitoring their activity for future market predictions. Can Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000? The question on everyone's mind is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $100,000 mark. While the selling pressure from long-term holders presents a challenge, several bullish factors offer hope for a price recovery. The drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows suggests reduced selling pressure, while the record-high hashrate demonstrates the strength and security of the Bitcoin network. The behavior of Bitcoin whales will also play a crucial role in determining future price movements. Reaching $100,000 will require a combination of factors, including a decrease in selling pressure, renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional investors, and positive developments in the broader cryptocurrency market. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin has the potential to overcome current challenges and reach new heights. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently navigating a delicate balance between selling pressure and bullish indicators. While long-term holder selling and critical support levels present challenges, the drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows, coupled with the record-high hashrate, offer positive signals. The influence of Bitcoin whales adds another layer of complexity to the market dynamics. Whether Bitcoin can reclaim $100,000 remains to be seen, but the interplay of these factors will ultimately determine its future price trajectory. Careful monitoring of these key indicators is essential for understanding the evolving landscape of the Bitcoin market and making informed investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin: time to short!Over the past several days, we’ve seen a rise of more than 6%, which has coincided with a rally in the stock market. Bitcoin is now trading above all moving averages and near the upper Bollinger Bands line — not the most promising signal for further upside. Additionally, we observe that volumes are calming down after the recent spike. As we move into the start of the year, there may still be significant challenges ahead that have yet to materialize. Moreover, there is a resistance zone, along with a key Fibonacci level, in the 98-100k range, making it difficult to break above this level. This suggests that a short-term short position might be a good option. However, it remains fundamentally risky, as the prevailing sentiment still favors buying and holding. Your sincerely, Mister iM
SP:SPXShort
by themr-im
Possibly the best system I have ever come up with for BitcoinThis is for my wealth accumulation and it is not in any way financial advice. If you follow this and lose your shirt that's on you! There is a cycle embedded into the Bitcoin space. We all know it and we all witness it. The halving cycle is real and it is a feature not a bug. For my sanity, I am sick of seeing people I know buying the FOMO tops and then selling on the way down to the bottom or holding through massive periods of drawdown. So I am not going to do that. The system is simple. Setup, wait for the next most likely top in the market before the next most likely drawdown period. QT4 2013 QT4 2017 QT4 2021 QT4 2025 <-- Next possible top in the market From October 2025 monitor the daily price action looking for a close below the 50-period SMA When triggered Sell Everything. QT1 2015 QT1 2019 QT1 2023 QT1 2027 <-- Next possible bottom in the market From January 2027 monitor the daily price action looking for a close above the 50-period SMA When triggered Buy Everything back.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Macrobriefing
Bitcoin - almost ready to go up but not yetWhen I analyse Bitcoin, I really focus on MACD.  I don't trade Bitcoin.  I use technical analysis to find a good entry point to buy Bitcoin.  I use the following conditions to find a good entry point to buy Bitcoin: 1)   MACD lines are properly crossed and the angles of MACD lines are pointing up  in a daily chart.    Almost crossed is not good enough.  The lines need to properly crossed ideally above 0 line. 2) Only if the first condition is met, I look at RSI and Stochastic (9,3,3) in the same chart.  Two lines in RSI need to be properly crossed and the lines are about to or crossed above 50 level, and Stochastic (9,3,3) is not in overbought territory.  3) Go to the weekly chart and look at Stochastic (9,3,3).  If weekly stochastic lines are crossed and moving upward from below 50 level.   BTC retested both previous monthly and weekly low and the price seems to be moving up.  However, it still needs to cross above the previous higher high at around 100k zone which is also the previous weekly and monthly mid price area.  The current set up is very similar to the set ups on the 21st April 24 and 01 July 24 where I drew blue vertical lines in the chart.  At these times, BTC looked like it was finally about to go up but ended up having another dip.    If you look at MACD in those two points (marked in blue square),  you can see  daily MACD lines looked like they were about to cross but didn't and the stochastic in the weekly chart was still pointing downwards.    There is a chance the scenario is playing out right now.  I think  Bitcoin will eventually start to move up, but before that next leg up, it might have another dip (minor bear trap). 
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EbonyFalcon
Short Bitcoin (BTC) (For Study Purpose Only)Short Recommendation Entry Level: Below $94,000 Stop Loss (SL): $111,111 This surge has been largely attributed to President-elect Donald Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance, including promises of deregulation and the establishment of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve. However, concerns are emerging regarding Bitcoin's current valuation. Analysts warn that the market may be overheating, with some predicting a potential correction of up to 35%. COINTELEGRAPH Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the U.S. central bank cannot hold Bitcoin, which has introduced uncertainty into the market. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KSLBroking
Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 2, 2025#BTC (1h) The cryptocurrency market capitalization rose by 2.74% over the last 24 hours, BTC dominance fell by 0.6%. #Bitcoin continues its local uptrend, which is especially clearly visible on lower timeframes (up to 15 minutes). In particular, the price of the first cryptocurrency continues to periodically rebound from trend liquidity, which indicates that the liquidity pool will soon reach the level of $97,544 and then roll back to the area of ​​$96,200. This scenario will be relevant if the price consolidates with the body of the hourly candle below $95,924. But as mentioned above, now the most realistic scenario is to take the liquidity price at $97,544. As for the global scenario, BTC is in a bullish cycle and the primary target in the medium term is the buyers' liquidity level (BSL) at $99,963, where the price is likely to fall for the sellers' liquidity (SSL) withdrawals at $90,500 and $88,722.
Short
by alihuseyn
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish DivergenceTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish Divergence Hello! T he recent technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) highlights the presence of a regular bearish divergence between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This divergence, marked by the yellow lines on the chart, signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend and suggests a bearish outlook for the coming days or weeks. Understanding the Divergence A regular bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset forms higher highs, while the RSI forms lower highs. This indicates weakening momentum, even as the price reaches new peaks. The yellow lines on the TradingView chart clearly illustrate this pattern for Bitcoin. Price Action: Bitcoin has recorded higher highs on the price chart. RSI Behavior: The RSI indicator, however, has failed to mirror this pattern, instead forming lower highs. This discrepancy points to diminishing bullish momentum and the likelihood of an upcoming price correction. Short-Term Bearish Implications Given the regular bearish divergence, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience a pullback in the short term. Traders should be cautious, as this divergence often precedes a period of downward movement. Key support levels, such as $93,000 and $92,000, should be monitored closely to assess the depth of the correction. Long-Term Bullish Outlook While the short-term trend leans bearish, the long-term perspective for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several macroeconomic factors, including increasing institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a growing use case for cryptocurrencies, continue to support the long-term upward trajectory of BTC. This macroeconomic backdrop suggests that any short-term price corrections could present buying opportunities for long-term investors. Key Takeaways The yellow lines on the TradingView chart highlight a regular bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the RSI indicator. This divergence signals a likely short-term bearish trend, with a potential price correction on the horizon. Long-term trends remain bullish, supported by macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Elysian_Mind
HEAD AND SHOULDERS: NOT JUST A SHAMPOO Alright, traders, buckle up. 🚀 What you’re looking at isn’t just a chart—it’s a warning shot. 💥 📉 Head and Shoulders? Classic textbook stuff. But don’t get comfortable. That neckline at 68,285 isn’t just a pretty yellow line—it’s the price’s last line of defense before it nosedives into the abyss. 🕳️ Let’s connect the dots: Momentum? Fading faster than New Year’s resolutions. 🗓️ (👀 at that RSI—she’s screaming bearish.) Buyers? They’re running out of steam, and it’s not looking pretty for the bulls. 🐂💨 But here’s the kicker: 🎯 When (not if) that line breaks, the price could freefall faster than your hopes in a Monday morning meeting. 💸📉 So, what’s your play? 🤔 Sit there, fingers crossed 🤞, hoping the neckline holds? Or take action, position yourself, and ride the wave down like the shark 🦈 you are? Your choice. But remember—trading isn’t about hoping; it’s about acting. 💪 Let’s see who’s ready to capitalize and who’s stuck waiting on miracles. 👀 💬 Feel free to screenshot this when the price hits new lows and say you were here first.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RoadToAMillionClub
164
Bitcoin appears to be stalling at the Fibonacci level.The anticipated Santa rally did not materialize, highlighting weakness in the community. The much-discussed $100k level now seems unattainable as we close out 2024. However, the focus has shifted to maintaining BTC at GETTEX:92K —a level that appear particularly strong. This GETTEX:92K level has acted as resistance four times in the past and is now serving as support for the fourth time. Interestingly, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with this zone, adding to its significance. The Bollinger Bands indicate an extreme situation, with prices moving beyond the range of the past 20 candles. In just two weeks, BTC is down almost 14% from its all-time high (ATH). In my view, this situation is far from resolved, and 2025 may begin with even weaker dynamics. Why? Financial market fundamentals are deteriorating, the festive period is over, and the next two months are historically the most challenging and inactive.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by themr-im