Bitcoin Distribution PhaseThe safety trade appears to be unraveling, with Bitcoin showing clear signs of topping out as it moves through a distribution phase. Chart analysis supports this, and the narrative among Bitcoiners has shifted following President Trump’s emphasis on supporting all digital assets and U.S. companies, rather than positioning BTC as a strategic reserve.
This marks a pivotal shift in market sentiment. Many had hoped for Bitcoin to play a central role, but the focus on a broader digital asset ecosystem has left some investors disappointed. While this may take time to fully digest, I believe this narrative, combined with technical indicators flashing bearish signals, sets the stage for a rotation out of BTC and into altcoins.
Altcoin momentum could gain further traction as investors seek opportunities in projects aligned with a more diversified digital future. As we continue monitoring price action, this could be the catalyst the market has been building toward.
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family!
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K.
But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K.
If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
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Bitcoin to 34000BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️We trade in a range. After deviation at the bottom we made a deviation at the top
➡️Now would be good to see sweep liquidity at 29630
➡️Main target is full fill of next Weekly gap above.
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Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan
Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension
At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314
Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line.
Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and
"sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110
After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone.
Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE.
And start climbing up slowly but surely.
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Bitcoin confirmed lower lowBINANCE:BTCUSDT
If we are looking on a chart without noice we clearly dropped and formed lower low. But on Weekly timeframe RSI climbing up, so its a huge divergence. And the more higher timeframe the more power for reversal move.
All market waiting 21 September and data of RATE. So usually all upcoming news and event included in price a weeks before!
And sentiment on a market - everyone waiting 15 or 10K. Literally the same like everyone waited 100K in November
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Bitcoin September rally BINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it.
Thank you.
On chart you can find out Yellow line - global uptrend line since COVID dump
Red line - downtrend line since November 2021
Like always we got 2 scenarios. Red dot line move to 23k out of downtrend line with retest around beginning October
Second scenario continuation to middle sellers zone 28K with retest uptrend line same in October.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
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Bitcoin Gains, Ethereum Struggles, Hashprice SurgesBitcoin Eyes Further Gains as Ethereum Struggles With Declining Demand and Bitcoin Hashprice Hits One-Month Highs, A Bullish Signal for Miners
The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and ever-shifting landscape, with different assets experiencing varying fortunes. While Ethereum grapples with declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, buoyed by positive on-chain metrics and a resurgence in miner profitability.1 This article delves into the factors contributing to Bitcoin's current momentum, contrasting it with Ethereum's struggles and highlighting the significance of rising hashprice for Bitcoin miners.
Bitcoin's Resurgence: A Confluence of Positive Factors
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's current positive trajectory:
• Renewed Institutional Interest: Despite the bear market of 2022, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains significant. Many institutional investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value and a hedge against inflation.2 Recent reports suggest renewed inflows into Bitcoin investment products, indicating a resurgence of institutional confidence.
• Positive On-Chain Metrics: On-chain metrics, such as the number of active addresses, transaction volume, and long-term holder accumulation, provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. Several key on-chain indicators are currently flashing bullish signals, suggesting increasing network activity and strong holding behavior.
• Growing Adoption: While still early, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow globally. More businesses are accepting Bitcoin as payment, and more individuals are using it as a store of value. This growing adoption contributes to Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.
• Hashprice Surge: One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's current strength is the resurgence of hashprice. This metric, which represents the estimated revenue a miner earns per unit of hashing power, has hit one-month highs. This increase is a direct result of both rising Bitcoin prices and increased transaction fees, providing much-needed relief to miners.
Ethereum's Struggles: Declining Demand and Network Activity
In contrast to Bitcoin's positive momentum, Ethereum is facing challenges related to declining demand and network activity. Several factors contribute to this downturn:
• Competition from Layer-2 Solutions: The rise of layer-2 scaling solutions on other blockchains has diverted some activity away from the Ethereum mainnet. These solutions offer faster and cheaper transactions, making them attractive alternatives for certain use cases.
• Decreased DeFi Activity: The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which was a major driver of Ethereum's growth in 2020 and 2021, has seen a significant decline in activity. This decline has reduced demand for Ethereum block space and contributed to lower transaction fees.
• NFT Market Cool-Down: The non-fungible token (NFT) market, another significant driver of Ethereum network activity, has also experienced a cooling-off period. This has further reduced demand for Ethereum transactions.
Bitcoin Hashprice: A Bullish Signal for Miners
The recent surge in Bitcoin hashprice is a crucial development for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Hashprice is calculated by dividing the total revenue earned by miners (from both block rewards and transaction fees) by the total network hash rate. A higher hashprice indicates increased profitability for miners.
The combination of rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees has driven the recent increase in hashprice. This is particularly important because miner profitability is crucial for the security and stability of the Bitcoin network. When miners are profitable, they are incentivized to continue securing the network, ensuring its resilience against attacks.
The Significance of Transaction Fees
Transaction fees play a vital role in the Bitcoin network. They incentivize miners to include transactions in blocks and contribute to the network's long-term sustainability. As the block reward (the amount of Bitcoin awarded to miners for each block they mine) continues to halve approximately every four years, transaction fees will become an increasingly important source of revenue for miners.
The recent increase in transaction fees is a positive sign for the Bitcoin network's long-term health. It demonstrates that users are willing to pay for block space, indicating continued demand for Bitcoin transactions.
Conclusion
While Ethereum faces challenges related to declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, driven by positive on-chain metrics, renewed institutional interest, and a resurgence in miner profitability. The recent surge in hashprice, fueled by rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees, is a particularly bullish signal for the Bitcoin ecosystem. This combination of factors suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the near future.
It's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. However, the current3 trends suggest that Bitcoin is entering a period of renewed strength, while Ethereum faces headwinds that could impact its short-term performance. The dynamic nature of the crypto market necessitates continuous monitoring and adaptation to new information.
Bitcoin Overshoot - Last Bullish Swing - 5th WaveMARKETSCOM:BITCOIN #trading was good to me.
I was able to predict and ride the #Bullish #Cycle like a pro.
Trade Recap
From the $17K I was actively looking for buys.
Also entered BITSTAMP:BTCUSD #Long from the GETTEX:25K mark, on the #Break-out.
At the Wave 4 Completion and 5th Wave Break-Out, I went Long again on $BTC.
At $100K Milestone I cashed it all in, I was a bit weary...
All well documented in the previous #Bitcoin Idea.
What's Next For MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ?
I am entering the Last Long, to ride the 5th of 5th Wave.
After this #Bull #Swing I am expecting a considerable #Correction.
After the push, some wild moves will occur, and that's because of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D (BTC Dominance).
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Correction in Wave 2 will pave the way for $Altcoins (#Altcoins), thus the $Altseason (#AltSeason) to start.
Yes, MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN shall fall, while the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 ) would most likely grow in #TotalMarketCap.
* You can see the related ideas for more clearance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD / BINANCE:BTCUSDT - #TechnicalAnalysis
- Elliott Wave: #Impulse Confirmed (5th Wave)
- Mar '20 - Apr '21 #Fractal (orange)
- #ATH Break-Out & #Support
My Levels For Longs
- Entry @ $100K
- SL @ $85K
- TP @ $145K
* After this move, I will take a break and look for #Short set-ups.
This is because of the #Bearish #Fractal (red).
BITCOIN CAN MOVE TO GIVEN TARGET AREABitcoin's price action continues to capture attention as it edges closer to a significant target on the charts. Traders and investors are closely monitoring its movement, analyzing key support and resistance levels to predict the next possible breakout or retracement. With market sentiment and trading volumes playing crucial roles, the question remains: will Bitcoin achieve its target, or will it face a correction? Stay updated and ready for potential opportunities as the momentum unfolds!
Skyrexio | Bitcoin BTC Has Cancelled The Bear Market!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last month BINANCE:BTCUSDT has clearly broken $100k. Most of people think that it's too late now to buy Bitcoin because price is too high, but our analysis tells us that it was only one half of the potential bull run.
Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see the new Elliott Wave structure. Earlier we had a chance that this bull run could be the wave 5, but recently the Awesome Oscillator broke the previous high. The potential bearish divergence has been broken as well. Moreover, Fractal Trend Detector shows that this bull run is strong and no single sign of weakness now.
This is large wave 3 which has the target at least at $125k, but most likely it will hit $190k in 2025.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Breakout Potential and Targeted Upsidehello guys!
The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong upward trend after breaking out from a key resistance level. The breakout occurred around January 20, 2025, when the price surged through a horizontal resistance zone. The bullish momentum suggests that the price is headed toward the next significant resistance level near $110,000, marked by a potential target zone highlighted on the chart.
what I see:
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has successfully broken out from a consolidation zone, as indicated by the strong upward movement after the breakout.
Bullish Channel: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, with the breakout occurring near the middle of the channel. This suggests that the market has significant upward potential.
Potential Resistance: The next critical resistance lies at the $110,000 level, and if the price continues to gain momentum, it could reach $115,000, as seen in the forecasted range.
Support Level: A major support level lies near $99,000, which could provide a strong base for any short-term pullbacks.
BTC Volatility Hits 6-Month High, Options Trading ExplodesImplied and realized volatility indexes hit the highest levels since August's yen carry trade unwind.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has always been synonymous with volatility. However, recent market activity indicates a significant surge in price fluctuations, with both implied and realized volatility indexes reaching levels not seen since August of the previous year. This spike in volatility coincides with a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant price swings in the near future.
Understanding Volatility
In financial markets, volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a trading asset over time. High volatility implies that the price of an asset can fluctuate dramatically over a short period, while low volatility suggests relatively stable price movements. Volatility can be measured in two primary ways:
1. Realized Volatility: This is a historical measure of how much an asset's price has fluctuated in the past. It is typically calculated by looking at the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, such as 30 days.
2. Implied Volatility: This is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects an asset's price to fluctuate in the future. It is derived from the pricing of options contracts, which give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
Current Market Trends
The increase in implied volatility suggests that options traders are pricing in a higher probability of significant price swings in Bitcoin. This could be due to a number of factors, including:
• Increased Institutional Participation: The growing involvement of institutional investors in the Bitcoin market has led to larger trading volumes and potentially greater price swings.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The lack of clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies in many jurisdictions continues to create uncertainty and contribute to volatility.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards Bitcoin can also play a significant role in its volatility. Positive news and developments can lead to rapid price increases, while negative news can trigger sharp declines.
Options Market Frenzy
The surge in Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market. Options contracts provide traders with a way to bet on future price movements without having to directly buy or sell the underlying asset. The recent increase in options trading suggests that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the expected price swings in Bitcoin.
One notable trend in the options market is the increasing demand for call options, which give the holder the right to buy Bitcoin at a specific price. This indicates that many traders are betting on further price increases in the cryptocurrency.
Potential Risks
While the current market conditions may present opportunities for some traders, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with high volatility. Rapid price swings can lead to significant losses for those who are not adequately prepared.
For latecomers to the Bitcoin market, the risk of immediate unrealized losses is particularly high. If the price of Bitcoin were to suddenly decline, those who recently bought in at higher prices could see their investments quickly lose value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge in volatility, coupled with the frenzy in the options market, highlights the inherent risks and opportunities associated with this digital asset. While the potential for significant gains exists, traders must also be prepared for the possibility of substantial losses. As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, it is crucial to stay informed and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
TRUMP SAY HELLO TO (BITCOINER ) Trump's Presidential Oath ✅
Tomorrow Donald Trump will take oath as 47th president of America. Effect of presidential oath on #FOREX market.
✅#BTCUSD 🌍
Trump is highly in the favour of #Btcusd and you have already saw #Btcusd movement when Trump won USA elections.
Tomorrow #Btcusd will highly be volatile and it's upcoming Target will be #120k$ #135k$ and #150k$.
✅#GOLD 🌿
Gold will start a new fresh trend in #SELL and it will mostly hit 2600$ and 2500$.
✅#US30 and #NASDAQ will also be in selling pressure.
Bitcoin Looking for more upsideAfter revisiting a daily bullish order block with a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin demonstrated a strong upward reaction, forming a bullish breaker and a potential daily fair value gap (FVG). However, Bitcoin has not yet closed above the midpoint of the FVG. For me, it’s crucial to wait for a close at least above that level, or ideally above the shaded area. Such a move would present a solid opportunity to target the all-time high and the 113K level as a low-hanging fruit.
BTC BITCOIN- check out btc next target must read captionBTC/USD is displaying strong potential for an upward breakout, supported by market momentum and bullish sentiment. Patience is key—hold your trade as the price gears up for a significant move to the upside. The trend is setting up for a favorable run, so stay focused and confident in your position.
"Bitcoin 2025 Peak Projection: Bullish Momentum Towards $110K Based on the chart:
1. **Major Uptrend from 2017-2025**: The long-term trendline shows consistent upward momentum, connecting key lows from 2017, 2021, and beyond. Bitcoin remains in a bullish macro structure.
2. **Key Fibonacci Levels**:
- The **1.382 Fib extension (94,770)** served as a critical resistance but was broken and now acts as support.
- The **1.618 Fib extension (109,690)** represents the next potential resistance, aligning with the projected 2025 peak.
3. **2021 Peak and 2022 Bottom**: The chart emphasizes Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, with the 2021 peak followed by a sharp 80% correction to the 2022 bottom. This highlights the possibility of a significant pullback after a new peak.
4. **Current Price Action**:
- A breakout from a consolidation channel has fueled the bullish rally.
- Bitcoin is approaching the **trendline resistance and 1.618 Fib level**, indicating a possible exhaustion zone near **110,000**.
5. **Projection for 2025**:
- A potential peak around **110,000** is expected, followed by a correction. The downside targets might include a return to the **94,770 level** or the long-term trendline for support.
### Strategy:
- **Short-term bullish bias** as Bitcoin trends toward 109,690.
- **Prepare for a reversal** around 110,000, targeting key retracement levels like 94,770 for support.
- Watch for patterns or confirmations near resistance before initiating any sell trades. CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD