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BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario Hello everyone! This is the daily market update from the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst. At the moment, Bitcoin is attempting to break through the ascending trendline, which may indicate a shift into a sideways (consolidation) phase. In the near term, local lows are likely to be tested, followed by a rebound after a false breakout, returning price back into the current range. This scenario is supported by: strong sell absorption on the cumulative delta, the overall bullish market context, and continued accumulation of long positions by whales in the spot ETF over the past 9 days. Buy Zones: $107,500 and $106,600 (in case of false breakdowns), $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption), around $100,000 (initiative volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin & Stock Market Rally Together .. My Trade Plan!🚨 Bitcoin Update! 🚨 Taking a look at the BTC chart 🧠📈 — we saw a sharp retracement followed by a strong rally 💥🔥, likely driven by recent tariff policy shifts 🌍📊. Right now, I’m leaning bullish 🐂 — especially with the stock markets also pushing higher 📈💹. But let’s be clear: my bullish bias depends on the stock market holding strong 🛡️📊. I’m keeping an eye out for a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level 🌀 for a potential buy opportunity 💸🚀. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my outlook! 👇 Let me know what you think in the comments!
Long
by fxtraderanthony
5
Bullish Momentum Building, $112K Breakout on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders! Can BINANCE:BTCUSDT Break Past $112K and Set a New All-Time High? Let’s Break It Down... Trend Analysis On the H4 timeframe, BTCUSDT has consistently traded above the EMA-90 line, confirming the continuation of a bullish trend. Within this trend, a falling wedge pattern formed, which is typically considered a bullish reversal signal. This pattern was followed by a breakout marked by a bullish Marubozu candle, further strengthening the bullish outlook. In addition, a bullish crossover appeared on the oscillator, providing additional confirmation of upward momentum. Based on these technical signals, the price is expected to continue its upward move toward the first target at 113,613, with a potential extension to the second target at 117,968. The outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the key stop-loss level at 105,681. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin.
Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why) The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty. The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia. Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt. In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position. This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market. Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature. Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault. The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes. In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it. In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways. Buy Zones: $109,200–$106,500 (volume area) $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption) ~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) $93,000 (support level) $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume) $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone) $74,800 (support level) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume) IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic developments this week: • Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB); • Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision; • Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting; • Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May; • Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024; • Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC/USD Long-Term Channel Targeting 120,721 – 136,849Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. After a healthy corrective phase, price action is rebounding strongly off the channel’s lower boundary, aligning with the ongoing long-term bullish trend. 🔹 Wave Structure and Fibonacci Extensions: The corrective structure suggests a completed ABC pattern, with the current move potentially initiating a new bullish impulse. Key Fibonacci extension levels: 161.8% at 120,721 200% at 130,246 224% at 136,849 These levels correspond to the upper channel boundary, providing potential long-term upside targets. 🔹 Oscillator Confirmation: The DTOsc indicator is rebounding from oversold territory, suggesting renewed bullish momentum. 📌 Trade Idea: Long-term bias: Bullish, targeting upper Fibonacci levels within the channel Invalidation: A weekly close below the channel’s lower boundary (~85,000) would challenge this scenario This chart supports a patient, long-term bullish view for BTC/USD, with significant upside targets over the coming months.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDLong
by Mohammad_Mirdehghan
BTCUSD in an Uptrend: Can Buyers Push Price to 130,000 USD?Currently, OANDA:BTCUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Price has broken through a key resistance area and may now return to retest this zone as support. This area also coincides with the coin cluster from the recent volatility, and therefore, it deserves particular attention. If this support zone holds, I believe it will reinforce the current bullish structure and open up the possibility of moving toward the 130,000 USD level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a reasonable target based on current price action and market structure. As long as price holds above this support zone, I maintain a positive outlook. However, if price breaks below, the bullish scenario will no longer be valid, and the risk of a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel will increase. Make sure to always apply proper risk management.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by LucasMgoldview
Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June. This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle. There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD. The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future. In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping. If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision. This could trigger renewed reaction. We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
BTC/USDT Analysis – Joining the Long Trend Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Today, D. Trump decided to cool the market after Bitcoin hit a new all-time high. The U.S. President threatened to impose 50% tariffs on EU countries, and the market immediately reacted with a decline. At the moment, Bitcoin has reached an important support zone at $109,200–$106,500 (high volume area), and the bias remains in favor of long positions. Buy Zones: $109,200–$106,500 (volume area) $103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption) ~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) $93,000 (support level) $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume) $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone) $74,800 (support level) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume) This publication is not financial advice.
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us. Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
IBITUSDT | Volume Speaks FirstRight now, IBITUSDT is showing more volume than even Binance’s pair . That alone tells me where the real activity is — and this is the chart I’ll be tracking . I’m not interested in premature entries. I’ll be watching below the green line for potential setups , but only with clear confirmation on lower timeframes. “I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.” Most traders follow the noise. I follow the volume. That’s how I stay accurate. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! 📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by UmutTrades
BITCOIN Seems to have Broken the LONG Term resistance- BIG DAY The chart really does say it all You can see the Arc, above PA that has rejected PA Every ATH since 2013 It created the point of rejection on 6 ATH in Total and presented a huge problem if it was not broken. And I can assure you, that arc touches Every ATH. Just recently, this same line rejected PA Twice, with strength. The Zoomed chart below shows you where we are now This image shows you the two 2021 ATH points. and the last two touches { which I find remarkably close to the 2021 double ATH but in miniature } And, as you can see, we have a candle ABOVE this Arc of resistance. and the Big question is now, WILL WE STAY ABOVE And what is also notable is how this has happened perfectly at the end of the FIB TIME SCALE used. This line will have to be tested as support one day and when that day comes, we really REALLY need to remain above. And once we do that..we really will be in price discovery, in a way that we have never been before. I am looking at some charts that may offer projected lines of resistance but I am waiting to see what happens here first before publishing them ENJOY THE RIDE
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC Hits New All-Time High: Is a $128K Blow-Off Top Next?Bitcoin's Meteoric Ascent: New All-Time Highs Fuel $128K "Blow-Off Top" Predictions Amidst Unprecedented Adoption The digital gold rush of the 21st century is reaching a fever pitch. Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has not only shattered previous records but is now tantalizingly close to new, stratospheric all-time highs, with analysts eyeing a potential "blow-off top" as high as $128,000. This electrifying surge, which saw BTC climb to within 1.5% of new peaks as bullish sentiment decisively overcame final resistance, is underpinned by a confluence of factors: soaring institutional and retail adoption, particularly in the United States, booming ETF inflows, growing political and regulatory support, and a shifting macroeconomic landscape that increasingly favors non-traditional assets. As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin has firmly established itself above the $109,000 mark, a testament to its resilience and burgeoning mainstream acceptance. The recent price action has been nothing short of spectacular. Bitcoin bulls have been relentlessly "grilling sellers," pushing the price to historic milestones. On May 21, 2025, Bitcoin etched a new all-time high (ATH) above $109,000, a landmark achievement that notably placed 100% of BTC holders into profit. This surge saw Bitcoin's market capitalization briefly surpass that of e-commerce giant Amazon, a symbolic victory highlighting its growing financial clout. Specific figures around this period include a climb to a record $109,302, and another peak at a historic $109,500, demonstrating the intense buying pressure and bullish conviction in the market. Analysts are now recalibrating their upside targets, with many calling for $116,000 as the next significant milestone on the path to even loftier valuations. This bullish momentum isn't occurring in a vacuum. It's the culmination of years of development, increasing understanding, and a series of pivotal events that have collectively propelled Bitcoin into the financial limelight. The American Bitcoin Boom: Adoption Surpasses Gold, Institutions Dive In One of the most compelling narratives driving Bitcoin's current rally is its explosive growth in the United States. A staggering 50 million Americans now own Bitcoin, a figure that notably surpasses the 37 million gold holders in the country. This demographic shift signifies a profound change in investment preferences, particularly among younger generations who are increasingly comfortable with digital assets. Bitcoin is no longer a niche interest for tech enthusiasts; it's becoming a recognized component of diversified investment portfolios across a broad swathe of the American population. The institutional embrace within the US is equally, if not more, impactful. US firms now hold an astonishing 94.8% of the Bitcoin reserves held by publicly traded companies globally. This concentration underscores the confidence American corporations have in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, a hedge against inflation, and a potential source of significant returns. Furthermore, the United States is solidifying its position as the global epicenter of the Bitcoin industry, with 40% of all Bitcoin companies headquartered domestically. This robust ecosystem of miners, exchanges, wallet providers, and ancillary service companies fosters innovation and provides a strong foundation for continued growth. The advent and subsequent success of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been a game-changer. These regulated financial products have opened the floodgates for a new wave of capital, allowing retail and institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through traditional brokerage accounts without the complexities of direct ownership and custody. The "booming ETF inflows" are a direct contributor to the recent price surge, creating sustained buying pressure and signaling widespread market acceptance. Macroeconomic Tailwinds and Regulatory Optimism Beyond direct adoption, broader economic and political factors are playing a crucial role. The recent new all-time high of $109,000 was notably set just nine days after the US and China closed a 90-day trade agreement. This resolution eased economic uncertainty and market jitters that had previously weighed on global markets. In such an environment, assets perceived as hedges against traditional market volatility or fiat currency devaluation, like Bitcoin and gold, often thrive. Indeed, concurrent with Bitcoin's rise, concerns such as Japan's debt woes have contributed to gold surpassing the $3,300 mark, indicating a broader flight to alternative stores of value. Furthermore, there's growing optimism around US regulations concerning cryptocurrencies. While the regulatory landscape is still evolving, recent pronouncements and actions suggest a move towards greater clarity and a more accommodative stance, rather than outright prohibition. This "growing political support" is crucial for long-term institutional commitment, as regulatory uncertainty has historically been a significant barrier to entry for larger, more conservative investors. The fact that Bitcoin climbed to a record of $109,302, breaching a previous high set around the time of a major political event like a presidential inauguration (specifically referenced as Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 in a historical context for a previous ATH), often correlates with market sentiment interpreting political or regulatory shifts as favorable. The "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR): A Paradigm Shift for National Economies? An intriguing, albeit more speculative, concept gaining traction is the idea of a "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR). While not yet a formal policy in any major nation, the discussion itself highlights Bitcoin's evolving perception from a purely speculative asset to one with potential strategic geopolitical and economic importance. A BSR would involve a nation-state, such as the United States, acquiring and holding Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, much like it currently holds gold or foreign currencies. The rationale behind such a move could be multifaceted: 1. Hedging Against Fiat Devaluation: As central banks globally continue to engage in monetary expansion, concerns about the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies persist. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, offers a potential hedge against this inflation. 2. Participating in a New Financial System: If Bitcoin continues its trajectory towards becoming a globally recognized store of value or even a medium of exchange for certain international transactions, holding it in reserve would position a nation to participate actively in this emerging financial infrastructure. 3. Technological Leadership: For a country like the US, which already leads in Bitcoin company headquarters and corporate holdings, establishing a BSR could further cement its leadership in the digital asset space, attracting talent and capital. 4. Economic Resilience: In a future where digital currencies play a more significant role, a BSR could offer a degree of economic resilience and autonomy, reducing reliance on traditional financial systems or the currencies of other nations. The implications of a major economic power like the US even seriously considering, let alone implementing, a BSR would be monumental for Bitcoin's legitimacy and price. It would signal ultimate institutional acceptance and could trigger a wave of similar considerations by other nations, creating immense demand for a limited supply of BTC. While the "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Explained and What BSR Means for the US Economy" remains a topic of forward-looking discussion, its emergence in financial discourse is a testament to how far Bitcoin has come. The Path to $128K: Understanding the "Blow-Off Top" With Bitcoin having decisively broken past $109,000 and upside targets of $116,000 now in common parlance, the ultimate bull-case scenario being discussed is a "blow-off top" potentially reaching $128,000 or even higher. A "blow-off top" is a chart pattern that signifies a steep and rapid price increase in an asset, often on high volume, followed by an equally sharp reversal. It typically occurs at the end of a prolonged bull market or a parabolic advance. The psychology behind it involves: 1. Euphoria and FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out): As prices accelerate, media attention intensifies, and stories of quick riches abound. This draws in a flood of retail investors who don't want to miss out on the gains. 2. Exhaustion of Buyers: The parabolic rise eventually becomes unsustainable. The last wave of enthusiastic buyers enters at or near the peak. 3. Smart Money Distribution: Experienced traders and institutions, who may have accumulated positions much lower, begin to sell into this heightened demand, taking profits. 4. Sharp Reversal: Once buying pressure is exhausted and selling pressure mounts, the price can fall dramatically as latecomers panic-sell and stop-losses are triggered. Predicting the exact peak of a blow-off top is notoriously difficult. However, analysts use a combination of technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, Fibonacci extensions), on-chain data (network activity, holder behavior), and market sentiment to identify potential price targets and warning signs. The $128,000 figure is likely derived from such analyses, representing a significant psychological level or a projection based on previous market cycle behavior. Navigating the Bull Market: Indicators for Identifying a Cycle Top While the current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, savvy Bitcoin traders and investors are always mindful of market cycles and the potential for corrections or trend reversals. The question, "Is Bitcoin price close to a cycle top?" is one that prudent market participants constantly evaluate. Several indicators can help traders gauge whether a market might be overheating: 1. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): This trend-following momentum indicator can show bearish divergences, where the price makes new highs, but the MACD fails to do so, signaling weakening momentum. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): An RSI reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, and readings above 80 or 90 in a strong bull market can signal extreme conditions, though Bitcoin can remain overbought for extended periods. Bearish divergences on the RSI are also key. 3. On-Chain Metrics (e.g., MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple, SOPR): o MVRV Z-Score (Market Value to Realized Value): Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized cap (the price at which each coin last moved). High Z-scores indicate the market cap is significantly higher than the average cost basis, suggesting the asset is overvalued and potentially near a top. o Puell Multiple: Looks at the supply side of Bitcoin's economy – miners and their revenue. It divides the daily issuance value of bitcoins (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value. High values suggest miner profitability is high compared to historical norms, which has sometimes coincided with market tops. o Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This indicates if holders are, on average, selling in profit or loss. Values significantly above 1 suggest holders are realizing substantial profits, which can increase sell pressure. A sustained drop below 1 after a peak can signal a shift in trend. 4. Logarithmic Growth Curves: Bitcoin's long-term price action has often respected logarithmic growth channels. When the price reaches the upper band of these channels, it has historically indicated a market top. 5. Funding Rates and Open Interest in Derivatives Markets: Extremely high positive funding rates on perpetual swaps indicate that an overwhelming number of traders are long and paying a premium to maintain those positions. This can signal excessive bullishness and a crowded trade, making the market vulnerable to a long squeeze if prices reverse. High open interest can also exacerbate volatility. While Bitcoin is currently refusing to give up on its quest to revisit $108,000 (a level now surpassed) and beyond, concerns over a trend change, though perhaps quieter amidst the euphoria, are always present in the minds of seasoned investors. These indicators provide a more objective lens through which to assess the sustainability of the current rally. The Road Ahead: Uncharted Territory with Immense Potential As Bitcoin forges new all-time highs, it enters uncharted territory. The confluence of unprecedented US adoption, robust institutional investment via ETFs, a more favorable regulatory outlook, and supportive macroeconomic conditions has created a potent cocktail for price appreciation. The surpassing of Amazon's market cap, even if temporary, and the fact that 100% of BTC holders are in profit, are powerful psychological milestones that can fuel further confidence. The predictions of a $116,000 interim target and a potential $128,000 blow-off top are no longer fringe theories but are being seriously discussed by mainstream analysts. The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" is gaining more traction than ever, especially as traditional safe havens like gold also see increased interest amidst global economic uncertainties like Japan's debt situation. However, the path is unlikely to be linear. Bitcoin's inherent volatility means that sharp corrections can and will occur, even within a broader uptrend. The "concerns over a trend change" will likely grow louder as prices reach more extreme levels, and profit-taking becomes more tempting. Investors should remain vigilant, utilize the available indicators to assess market conditions, and practice sound risk management. In conclusion, May 2025 has marked a historic period for Bitcoin. Its surge above $109,000, driven by a powerful combination of fundamental adoption and favorable market dynamics, has set the stage for potentially even more dramatic price action. Whether the ultimate peak of this cycle is $116,000, $128,000, or another figure entirely, one thing is clear: Bitcoin has firmly cemented its place in the global financial landscape, and its journey is far from over. The coming weeks and months will be closely watched by investors worldwide as the world's preeminent cryptocurrency continues to redefine the boundaries of financial assets. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, based on the provided snippets, and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
2
History Repeats: Bitcoin Bounces from Weekly 50 EMA-$150K Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN continues to show exceptional strength and bullish momentum. If we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear pattern emerges — every time BINANCE:BTCUSDT touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it led to a significant rally and eventually new all-time highs. That same setup seems to be unfolding again right now. Recently, COINBASE:BTCUSD tested the 50 EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced strongly. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, after a successful bounce from this key moving average, Bitcoin hasn’t just recovered — it’s exploded to new highs. Based on this repeating pattern, our current cycle target is set at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could be the catalyst that propels BYBIT:BTCUSDT Bitcoin into uncharted territory once again. The structure remains bullish, momentum is building, and the trend clearly favors the upside. This is a classic “Buy and HODL” moment. The technicals are aligning, the market psychology is shifting, and all signs point toward a continued bull run. Buckle up — it looks like we’re in for another legendary Bitcoin rally.
Long
by GreenCryptoTrades
Trade Idea: BTCUSD (SELL STOP)BTCUSD Trade Setup Analysis FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD 1. Trend Analysis - Price Action: BTC is in a strong uptrend, with recent highs near **105,819.00**. - RSI (14): 72.88** (approaching overbought, but no divergence yet). - MACD: Bullish but showing potential slowing momentum (histogram decreasing). - **Key Levels:** - Support: 82,447.57 (previous resistance turned support). - Resistance: 105,819.00 (current high). 2. Entry Precision - Price Action: Recent rejection from **108,104.70** (lower high) with a drop to **104,834.80**. - RSI (14): 58.39 (neutral, slight bearish bias). - MACD: Bearish crossover (249.955 → 241.911). - **Key Levels:** - Resistance:108,104.70 (recent high). - Support: 104,834.80 (immediate level). 3. Confluence - Price Action: Downtrend in shorter timeframe, with price below **106,237.30**. - RSI (14): 50.6 (neutral, leaning bearish). - MACD: Positive but weakening (41.156). - **Key Levels**: - Resistance: 106,237.30 (recent high). - Support: 102,928.15 (next key level). --- **Trade Idea: Short-Term Bearish Pullback** Entry: - Short near 105,820.00 (daily resistance confluence with 15M rejection). Stop Loss (SL): - 106,300.00 (above recent 3M high) Take Profit (TP): - TP1: 104,834.80 (15M support, 1:2 RRR). - TP2: 102,928.15 (3M support, 1:4 RRR). (IDEAL)
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by KeN-WeNzEl
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) - Support Trendline & Zone Price Test - DailyBitcoin (BTC/USDT) price recently rejected down from $107000 on May 19th, 2025. The yellow Support Trendline below is currently being tested ($103000 price level). Several candle body closes below the Support Trendline could signal weakness in the daily price trend (potential rising wedge pattern). The April inverse head-and-shoulders price pattern and targets have been completed (+12% and +24%). note: Breaking news, government law changes, corporate announcements, and crypto crime could affect the Bitcoin price and charts.
by NoFomoCharts
BITCOIN SCALP?. here is my famous words to you guys from this book ;>>>Now a lot of people will be looking for sells from here, so if we know that. So once we have a nice rejection from this double top and nice retrace, this looks good for the majority of people, because price come up but we failed to break above this DT or as we know a EQH. We have got a nice retrace candle, which again retail love retrace candle, because its showing potential move to the downside, and rejection from an area. So now that we have got a rejection from this DT, people are looking to sell this, and when people are looking to sell at DT, where are their stop losses going? Well they are going above the DT. But clearly they have going above the DT. Retail always put stops above DT or below DB, and then expect to move down. So that is exactly why there is liquidity this areas. So that basically means that a lot of stop losses are at this areas.. all traders on bitcoin would longs right. My target would be the 106k only for scalping. Goodluck traders, see cap and charts. its the same on our EURUSD ideas right? Grab it and take the trade. don't missed it. pewww
Long
by D1GITALTRADES