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Bitcoinlong

Technical analysis of the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4H chart by BFTechnical analysis of the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4H chart by Blaž Fabjan BTW: My previous analysis was accurately forecasted. Technical Overview: Descending Trading Channel (Past Trend): The chart shows a previous descending trading channel that occurred in August and early September. During this period, the price was continuously making lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend. The channel was eventually broken at the marked point, followed by a reversal. Reversal Signal: A clear breakout from the descending channel occurred, signaling a potential trend reversal. This was confirmed with a higher low formation just before the breakout. Ascending Trading Channel (Current Trend): After the breakout, the price moved into an ascending trading channel, with visible support and resistance lines marked in the chart. The price has been oscillating within this channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish short-term trend. The chart shows a current position near the support of this ascending channel. Potential Bounce (Highlighted Area): There is a highlighted area where a price bounce is expected around the support of the ascending channel. The chart suggests a potential upward movement toward the upper resistance of the channel. The overall market sentiment is bullish within the channel, and the projected path is an upward movement. Indicators: VMC Cipher B: Shows divergences and a rising momentum (green dots indicate potential buy signals). RSI (14): Around 63.72, indicating mild bullish momentum but not overbought. Stochastic RSI: Stochastic RSI is at 83.55, showing that the price may be nearing overbought conditions, which could indicate a temporary pullback before continuing the upward trend. HMA Histogram: Histogram is red, indicating a slight bearish correction, but the overall bullish channel and indicators suggest it is likely a minor pullback before the continuation of the uptrend. Trading Plan: Entry Point: Consider entering a long position near the lower boundary (support) of the ascending channel, around the current price level (potential bounce area). Monitor the RSI and Stochastic RSI levels to ensure that a bounce is confirmed. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the lower boundary of the ascending channel to protect against further downside risk. This would be below the recent support level. Take Profit: Target the upper boundary (resistance) of the ascending channel for the first take-profit level. If a strong breakout occurs above the channel, the next take-profit target could be around $68,000, following the upward projection marked by the arrow. Risk Management: Given the overbought levels in the Stochastic RSI, consider scaling into the position or waiting for confirmation of a bounce to reduce risk. Adjust stop-loss as the price moves higher, to lock in profits. Monitoring: Keep an eye on macroeconomic events, as external factors can impact Bitcoin's price. Pay attention to potential divergence signals in the VMC Cipher B for early warnings of trend reversals. This analysis suggests a bullish continuation in the short term, but caution is advised due to the potential for pullbacks as indicated by the overbought Stochastic RSI levels.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by elfabiiani
Two buying scenarios for BitcoinThe range of daily supply, which the price is now involved in, can lead to a price drop that you can think about the short position by getting confirmation in the 1-hour time frame and consider the final target in the range of $60,000. From that area, you can think of scenario number 3, a buy position in the range of $60,000 with a final target of $74,000. There is a high possibility that Bitcoin will pass through this area, but the price range of 69-70 thousand dollars is the volume of sell orders that can lead to a medium-term drop in the price of Bitcoin. If you have a long position, you can save profit in that area.
Long
by mhbaniasadi
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action + trade planTechnical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-hour price action with multiple indicators and a descending triangle pattern by Blaž Fabjan Chart Patterns Descending Triangle: This is a classic pattern that typically suggests consolidation, and in many cases, a breakout (especially when formed in an uptrend). The triangle seems to be nearing the apex, indicating that a breakout could happen soon. Breakout potential: Since it's forming within an overall uptrend, the triangle suggests the possibility of a continuation of the uptrend after the consolidation. Indicators VMC Cipher B: The VMC Cipher B shows wave-like movements indicating market momentum and divergences. It looks like the waves are approaching a positive curve, indicating a potential bullish movement if confirmed by momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering around 50.49, which shows a neutral trend at the moment. No overbought or oversold conditions are present, leaving room for upward or downward movement depending on the breakout direction. Stochastic (14, 1, 3): The stochastic shows a level of 43.32 (blue) vs 56.91 (orange), indicating a slight bearish momentum, but it could reverse if price continues consolidating and breaks upwards. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram appears to show bearish pressure with negative values such as -55.9, though it looks like it may start to shift upwards if there's enough buying momentum. Volume: The volume appears lower during consolidation, which is typical before a significant move. Watch for an increase in volume as the price approaches the end of the triangle. Support and Resistance: Support: Around 63,800 USDT (marked by the bottom of the triangle). Resistance: Immediate resistance appears at around 64,200 USDT, the upper trendline of the descending triangle. Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks the triangle to the upside, enter a long position after confirmation (e.g., after the price breaks above 64,200 USDT with volume). Place a stop-loss slightly below the triangle's bottom at around 63,500 USDT. Target price: A potential upward target could be around 67,000 USDT (previous high) based on the size of the triangle. Bearish scenario: If the price breaks below the triangle’s bottom (around 63,800 USDT) with volume, a short position can be considered. In this case, place a stop-loss just above the upper trendline of the triangle (around 64,500 USDT). Target price: A downside target would be around 62,000 USDT, depending on how strong the downward momentum is. Risk Management: Set a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2, considering the uncertainty of the consolidation period. Adjust your position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on the trade. In summary, BTC is consolidating in a descending triangle within an uptrend, and a breakout in either direction is likely. Watch for volume and confirmation before taking a position, and stick to a disciplined risk management plan.
Long
by elfabiiani
Bitcoin - This Is The Bullish Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) still has a high chance of a breakout: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Bitcoin is clearly following the behaviour of the previous cycles and there is actually no reason to be bearish at the moment. The current consolidation is rather a sign of strength and a bullish breakout is definitely more likely than a bearish rejection. Just closely monitor price action. Levels to watch: $65.000, $32.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
7
technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)Technical analysis and trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan Bullish Pennant Formation: The chart shows a bullish pennant pattern, which typically indicates a continuation of the prior upward trend. This suggests that once the consolidation within the pennant breaks to the upside, there could be a further rally. Support and Resistance Levels: Support Level: Around $61,758.48, which is holding the price within the consolidation. Resistance Level: The next significant resistance is around $64,591.15. If the price breaks the resistance of the pennant, it could target higher levels, potentially leading toward $68,556.87 as a bullish target. Volume: There’s a moderate amount of volume, but a volume breakout would be needed to confirm the movement in either direction. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences is showing some green dots indicating bullish divergence, which further supports the potential for an upward breakout. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI value is around 53.94, suggesting that the market is in a neutral zone. It's neither overbought nor oversold, giving room for movement in either direction. Stochastic Oscillator: Around 36.45, slightly on the lower end, signaling that Bitcoin might be in an oversold position on the short-term, indicating a potential upward reversal. Trendline Projection: The image also indicates an upward price projection beyond $67,000 if the pennant breaks to the upside, aligning with the bullish sentiment. Trading Plan: Buy Scenario (Bullish Breakout): Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above the upper trendline of the pennant and surpasses the $64,000 resistance level with strong volume confirmation. Take Profit Levels: First target: $64,591.15 (immediate resistance). Second target: $68,000. Final target: $68,556.87 (upper resistance). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the $61,758.48 support level or just below the lower trendline of the pennant. Sell Scenario (Bearish Breakdown): Entry Point: If Bitcoin breaks below the lower trendline of the pennant and the $61,758.48 support level, it might indicate a bearish reversal. Consider entering a short position. Take Profit Levels: Look for a price drop toward $60,301.68 or lower. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the pennant resistance level around $63,000 to limit risk. Conservative Strategy: Wait for a clear breakout from the pennant either way before entering any trade. Watch for confirmation through volume increase, as this would validate the direction of the breakout. Final Notes: The chart leans toward a bullish continuation, but confirmation from volume and a breakout from the pennant are key before making any trades. Always manage risk carefully by setting stop losses and taking partial profits along the way. I hope this information assists you in making more informed decisions during your trading activities. Enjoy! Blaž Fabjan
Long
by elfabiiani
BTC Short Term Long Trade Idea [Playing with profits]Trying a long trade here with BTC. I think it is forming a base here based on previous high, and might bounce from here. This is a risky trade which is why Stop-Loss is very tight and aiming for a Risk-Reward of at least 1:3 Entry Price: 63814.4 SL: 63663 TP1: 63997.40 TP2: 64219.11 TP3: 64662.34 Will be trailing my SL according to the price movement. I don't think I'll be following the trade, since it's late here, but this will also be a hedge to my SOL short trade that I still have open. Good luck and let me know what you think of the idea.
Long
by MoneyChartz
The difficult path for Bitcoin: don’t Miss the Critical EntryGood morning and good afternoon, traders 🌅. Welcome back to Strategy Master, the only crypto newsletter that dissects market cycles and alerts you before major reversals 🔄. Quick summary before we dive in: ✍️ Bitcoin’s 60-day Cycle low hit on September 6th – what’s next? ✍️ Ideal entry points for 1D, 3D, and 1W Cycles explained 🕵️‍♂️ 🎯The 26-Week Cycle breakdown – what to watch for in 2024 📅 🔔 Why Bitcoin staying above $50k is key to the current cycle 💪 As anticipated, Bitcoin hit its 60-day cycle low on September 6th and has been climbing 📈 ever since. Interestingly, Bitcoin showed impressive resilience, starting its upward move even before reaching the expected bottom of the 1-week cycle. Ok, Strategy Master, this sounds great, but I missed the trade! Where are the best entry points according to Cycle theory? 🎯 No worries 😅—cycles give us the clearest signals for optimal entries. Here’s where to look: ⏳ 60-Day Cycle: The best entry comes near the cycle lows (see the pink box 📦 around early September). If you missed this one, your next chance will come in about 45 days. 📉 1-Day Cycle: Wait for the 1-day cycle to reverse from falling 📉 to rising 📈 (ideally when the indicator is below 20). The last time it flipped was on September 16th. Typically, after hitting 80, it takes ~7 days to return to 20 again. 📊 3-Day Cycle: The ideal time to enter is when the 3-day cycle indicator starts rising 📈, or when it’s below 20. However, the 1-day cycle must also be in the right position. If the 3-day indicator reverses upwards but the 1-day is still above 80 ⚖️, it’s better to wait for a cool-down. On September 17th, both the 1-day and 3-day cycles lined up perfectly. 🗓️ 1-Week Cycle: This cycle is more significant 🔑 than the 3-day because it reflects a longer trend (1-2 months 📅). You can enter once the 1-day condition is met—no need to wait for the 3-day confirmation. Again, September 17th presented a perfect setup (1-week reversal) 🎯. Strategy Master, you’ve previously mentioned Bitcoin’s 26-week cycles. How does that fit into this picture? 🤔 Bitcoin operates on 60-day cycles, with three such cycles typically making up one 26-week cycle. In bull markets 🐂, the first 60-day cycle is usually the strongest 💥 and tends to be “right-translated” (the peak occurs in the second half of the cycle). The final cycle, however, is often “left-translated,” with the top appearing in the first 30 days. In early 2024, we saw the 26-week cycle bottom in January 🏞️, followed by a strong rally from February to March 🏁. However, after that, two left-translated 60-day cycles led us to the 26-week cycle low in July. It’s important to remember that 26-week cycles don’t always last exactly 26 weeks ⏱️. Since 60-day cycles can vary from 45 to 68 days, 26-week cycles can stretch from 20 to 30 weeks 📅. Rarely, they can even deviate beyond that, as we saw in August 2023 when the 26-week cycle lasted just 13 days before kicking off the current bull run 🚀. To better time these cycles, use the 1W Cycle Indicator or the Weekly Stoch RSI (set RSI and Stoch Length to 9) to identify 26-week cycle bottoms 🔻. Ok, Master, what if the first 60-day cycle of the 26-week cycle is bearish 🐻, like it was this time? When the first 60-day cycle is bearish 😓, the odds lean heavily toward a bearish 26-week cycle. Look back at previous bear markets 📉 and their weekly cycles to see the pattern. If the start of the 26-week cycle doesn’t surge upward 🛫, it’s usually a signal of a bearish cycle ⚠️. In such cases, it’s often wiser to wait for the next 26-week cycle low before entering the market ⏳. So, is the current 26-week cycle starting bearish too? Correct! ✅ That’s why I’m not allocating heavily 💡 right now. Based on traditional weekly cycle patterns, it’s better to wait for the 26-week cycle bottom before making any major moves 📉. Bitcoin could reverse its trend by the end of 2024 The market is in an unusual state 🌀. Both the Stoch RSI and the 1-week cycle indicator aren’t giving clear signals ❓ for the next cycle, and Bitcoin has had two failed weekly cycles in a row 🚩 (when the cycle fails to hit 80 and reverses downward). This makes it a particularly risky time ⚠️ to enter the market for the short to medium term (1-2 months 📅). But wait … we can’t break the $50,000 level, right? 💵 We can, but if it happens, the break is likely to be brief 🌬️, making it a great buying opportunity 💼. Given the current conditions, it’s improbable that we’ll slide into a full-blown bear market 🐻 just yet. In the most likely scenario, Bitcoin will stay above $50,000 for the remainder of this 26-week cycle, showing just how resilient it is 💪.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster