Bitcoinlong
Fed Signals Possible Rate Cuts, but Crypto Markets Rattled
Federal Reserve officials signaled the possibility of a September rate cut during their July meeting: But crypto prices pulled back after Iran pledged it would retaliate against Israel for assassinating Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh on Iranian soil.
Donald Trump expressed strong support for cryptocurrency at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville: Trump pledged to set up a strategic bitcoin reserve, stop the US from selling its bitcoin, and fire SEC chair Gary Gensler if he gets re-elected.
Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick announced the firm's plan to establish a Bitcoin financing business with an initial $2 billion investment: The initiative aims to provide leverage to bitcoin investors and strengthen the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
The nine US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $98.29 million in outflows on Monday, extending their negative flow streak: BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity FETH led the inflows, while Grayscale Ethereum Trust faced significant outflows.
The SEC is looking to amend its complaint against Binance, which could delay a court ruling on the security status of specific tokens: This move involves third-party crypto asset securities and adheres to a court directive for further proceedings.
Fed Signals Possible Rate Cuts, but Middle East Tensions Rattle Crypto Markets
Federal Reserve officials at their July meeting on Wednesday opted to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25%-5%, after the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure, increased by only 0.1% in June. This brought the year-over-year rise to 2.5%, down from 2.6% in May, moving closer to the Fed’s 2% inflation target.
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for the first time hinted at the possibility of cutting rates in September, saying the move is “on the table” if the US continues to make progress on inflation. That would mark the first time the Fed has cut rates in four years.
The announcement did not appear to have much impact on cryptocurrency prices. On Wednesday, hitcoin dropped about 2%, below $65,000, while ether dropped more than 1%, hovering above $3,200. The negative price action came after a New York Times report indicated that Iran will take retaliatory action against Israel after Israel assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
🪙 Topic of the Week: What Are Stablecoins?
➡️ Read more here
BTC going to $70K soon? The price of Bitcoin dropped 3 percent to $64,258 over the past 24 hours, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
The cryptocurrency trend was negative over the past 24 hours after the Federal Reserve hinted at a potential a rate cut in September. The US central bank kept its benchmark rate unchanged at a 23-year high. This means that less risky assets such as bonds generate relatively high returns.
“Commentary has been leaning positive toward Bitcoin this week. In fact, this is the highest level of bullish commentary from the crypto crowd since the week of May 15th. The level of optimism from the crowd indicates that many believe $70K BTC is imminent,” the crypto research firm Santiment said.
“As crypto investors, we spend a lot of time focused on downside risk. We’re all acutely aware that, at any moment, an event might occur that will drive prices sharply lower. It’s fairly common for people to say that bitcoin ‘could go to zero.’ I think we have to accept that there is now an equal risk to the upside,” Bitwise’s CIO, Matt Hougan, writes in his weekly note following the world’s largest Bitcoin conference held in Nashville last weekend.
“If the 2024 Bitcoin Conference conveyed anything, it was this: It’s time to rethink what’s possible for Bitcoin,” he concludes.
A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, indicating a bullish trend with buy signals. 🌞
Follow us for more crypto news and weather reports!
Bitcoin is Ready to Attack the Resistance Zone ==>>Short termBitcoin ended up filling both CME Gaps as I expected.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Support zone($65,500-$64,600) and seems to have succeeded in forming a Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance zone($67,540-$66,740) at least once and if this zone is broken, we should expect Bitcoin to reach $68,000 .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NOTUSDT SHOWING POSITIVE SIGNSHello,
Welcome to the quick update of NOTUSDT. It was dumping since the last 2 days but as of now it has shown some positive signs with continuous green candles in the 4 HR TF.
We can take a position in this with the below details:
Entry: 0.0129 to 0.0132
Target: 0.0157 to 0.0169 in the short term and 0.022 to 0.026 in the long run
STOPLOSS: 0.0122
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
Bitcoin Long False BreakoutI'm in a new long position after the new lows today. I think it was a false breakout. The volume delta shows that the downward move has been exhausted.
But my all-time high expectations have changed. It could be that it goes down again before the all-time high.
Scenario can be seen in the chart
Record Bitcoin Open Interest Suggest BreakoutBitcoin's open interest, a metric that measures the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, has recently hit a new all-time high. This significant surge has ignited speculation among market analysts and investors about a potential price breakout for the world's largest cryptocurrency.
Open Interest: A Market Sentiment Indicator
Open interest is often used as a proxy for market interest and liquidity in an asset. A rising open interest typically indicates growing investor participation and a potential increase in price volatility. Conversely, a declining open interest can signal waning interest and a potential price correction.
In Bitcoin's case, the current record-breaking open interest suggests a heightened level of investor engagement. This heightened interest could be driven by a variety of factors, including anticipation of regulatory clarity, institutional adoption, and the halving event scheduled for 2024.
Potential for a Price Breakout
While a high open interest does not guarantee a price breakout, it certainly increases the likelihood of significant price movements. If the market sentiment remains bullish, the accumulated buying pressure could propel Bitcoin's price to new highs.
However, it's essential to remember that open interest is just one factor to consider when analyzing market trends. Other indicators, such as technical analysis patterns, on-chain metrics, and macroeconomic conditions, should also be taken into account.
Cautious Optimism
While the recent surge in Bitcoin's open interest is undoubtedly bullish, investors should approach the market with caution. The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and price fluctuations can be rapid and unpredictable.
Additionally, it's crucial to diversify your investment portfolio and avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Cryptocurrencies are still a relatively new asset class, and the regulatory landscape is constantly evolving. As the cryptocurrency market continues to mature, we will likely see more sophisticated investment strategies and risk management tools emerge. Until then, investors should stay informed and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
Ultimately, the future price of Bitcoin will depend on a combination of factors, including investor sentiment, market liquidity, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. While the current open interest data is certainly encouraging, it's essential to maintain a long-term perspective and avoid getting caught up in short-term price fluctuations.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conducting thorough research or consulting with a financial advisor is strongly recommended before making investment decisions.
The Crypto Market is Approaching Escape Velocity Total Crypto Market Cap - CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
✅Tags 10 month moving average.
✅14 months into a 29 month bull run timeframe.
🎯You can see where we are now v's last two cycles
(Oct 2016 & Aug 2020).
The road to riches is paved with patience
Donald Trump's Recent Key Statements at Bitcoin Conference in Nashville
1. Vowed to hodl the 210,000 BTC held by U.S. Government and use it as a strategic reserve to back the U.S. dollar.
2. Promised bitcoin miners that by the end of his presidency, they would enjoy access to the cheapest energy in the world (presumably to encourage miners to the U.S. and to make the U.S. key to the Bitcoin infrastructure and a main holder of the asset in the world).
3. Trump promised to protect the right to self custody and to establish an bitcoin presidential advisory council.
4. He promised there would be no U.S. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on his watch.
5. He vowed to free the silk road creator Ross Ulbricht who is currently serving a double life sentence in a Federal Prison for his involvement as founder of the silk road platform (which sold illegal items via CRYPTOCAP:BTC transactions and was shut down in Nov 2014). Ross was aged 30 at the time, and is now 40 and served 10 years jail time for setting up an illegal internet enterprise system.
6. Trump pledged to fire Gary Genlser on day 1 of his term.... Gary is the Chairman of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) and has been a major obstacle to crypto acceptance and arguably illegal obstructive towards the approval ETF's, to the point an U.S. federal judge stated the following:
" the SEC's reasons for denying an application by Grayscale Investments to list a bitcoin spot ETF were "arbitrary and capricious" and in violation of federal administrative law."
Final Note
Obviously, all of the above is incredibly bullish, however it also hinges on Donald Trump being elected. Whilst this appears to be a certainty, recent events could have altered history. Just something to keep in mind.
At present, the chart looks incredibly bullish and like we are entering the most bullish period in crypto based on last cycles. Hang onto your handle bars, things look like they are about to really kick off.
PUKA
BTCUSDT → a ATH for BTC is coming...hello guys!
Chart Overview:
- Resistance Levels:
- Primary resistance at $73,612.
- Secondary target at $77,604.
Trend Analysis:
- The chart indicates a bullish trend with a clear trajectory toward $77,604.
- Bitcoin has broken out from a descending trendline, confirming the upward movement.
Price Patterns:
- There are two potential correction zones within the rising trend:
1. Around the $70,000 level.
2. Between $73,612 and $77,604.
Bullish Trend Confirmation:
- The rising trend is considered strong and likely to continue toward $77,604.
- Minor corrections are expected, but the overall upward momentum is certain.
Conclusion :
- Bitcoin is on a bullish path with an expected rise to $77,604.
- Corrections may occur, but the overall trend remains upward.
✎ Actionable Insights:
- Long positions can be considered, targeting $77,604.
- Watch for minor corrections at $70,000 and $73,612 as potential re-entry points.
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
LONG BTC📊Analysis by AhmadArz:
🔍Entry: 60.252
🛑Stop Loss: 57.722
🎯Take Profit: 62.500 - 65.000 - 68.450 - 71.777 - 76.500
Maintaining the $58,000 Support Level 🔴:
This level acts as strong support. If the price cannot break this level and remains above it, the bullish trend is likely to continue.
Price Targets in the Bullish Trend 📈:
$62,497.20 Level: The first significant resistance level that the price may reach. If the price can break this level, the probability of continuing the bullish trend increases.
$65,008.07 Level: The second resistance level above $62,497.20. This level can be considered the next price target.
Colored Resistance Zones 📊:
The gray zone between $62,497.20 and $76,514.94 acts as a significant resistance area. If the price can break through this zone, it may reach higher resistance levels such as $71,773.98 and $76,514.94.
Candlestick Patterns and Trading Volume 📊:
Examining candlestick patterns near the $58,000 support level can provide indications of trend reversal and a return to the bullish trend. Additionally, trading volume can be an indicator of the validity of these moves.
Trading Strategy:
Traders can enter long positions by maintaining the $58,000 level and observing signs of a price rebound. Using a stop-loss below the $58,000 level is recommended to reduce risk.
Upon reaching resistance levels like $62,497.20 and $65,008.07, traders can take partial profits or use risk management methods such as trailing stops.
📈 Conclusion:
As long as the $58,000 level is maintained, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders can leverage this trend by focusing on the identified resistance levels and employing risk management tools to maximize their gains.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
Bitcoin All Time High NOT PRICED IN YETFor weeks now, I've been talking about why the all time high for Bitcoin is NOT YET in. (Proof here)
Here are the main reasons why.
👉 Elliot Wave Theory
I've been discussing EWT for many weeks alongside with the bearish M-Pattern that marked the beginning of the corrective wave (3-4). Once the corrective wave finishes, which I expected to be a multi-month playout, the final impulse wave up awaits us (4-5).
👉 Bitcoin-Dominance Increasing & ALTS Bottom
Considering MANY alts have seen bottom patterns after corrections (as discussed in the video), its safe to say the dump is over. But BTC.D is still increasing... If you want to further understand WHY this is a good sign, see HERE:
_____________________________
KUCOIN:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
BITCOIN CYCLE TOP $118K - $125KBased on trend continuation that began in 2017, we can expect a Bitcoin top between $118,000 - $125,000. Based on previous halvings and ATH cycle tops, Bitcoin typically reaches its highest price 12 - 18 months after the halving. That would put this cycle ATH date between April 2025 and October 2025.
Feedback appreciated!
If you have a different price target, please share in the comments!
$700 on a Saturday Morning (BTC)Probability is the name of the game with any trading setup.
Let me ask you this, If I made you a bet in which you think the probability that you'd win that bet is lower than your chances of winning, would you take that bet?
If you answer yes, you are a gambler because that is exactly what gambling is. If you go to the casinos, you hear it all the time - your chances (probability) of winning are very low as they are skewed in favor of the casino. Lets be real, a casino is a business and the business's goal is to make money. It is just sad that most gamblers aren't smart enough to realize that the money is mostly being made off of their backs.
Conversely what about if you realized the probability is skew more in your favor, would you take the bet? You'd be foolish not to as it is more likely to be easy money for you right?
That is the theory I have applied here. Simple in and out.
That's it, no special strategy, special terminologies, weird candlesticks patterns and all that B.S.
K.I.S.S - Keep it stupid simple
Have a good day guys!
$CFX loadingAn inverse head and shoulders is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential bullish reversals in a downtrend. It consists of three parts: two shoulders and a head in between them. Here’s how you can trade the inverse head and shoulders pattern:
### Identification
1. **Left Shoulder**: The price declines to a new low, then rises.
2. **Head**: The price declines again, forming a lower low than the left shoulder, then rises.
3. **Right Shoulder**: The price declines once more, but not as low as the head, then rises.
4. **Neckline**: Draw a line connecting the peaks between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. This line is called the neckline.
### Trading Steps
1. **Confirmation**:
- The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline. Wait for a close above the neckline to confirm the breakout.
2. **Entry**:
- Enter a long position (buy) once the price closes above the neckline. Conservative traders might wait for a retest of the neckline as support.
3. **Stop Loss**:
- Place a stop loss below the lowest point of the right shoulder to minimize risk.
4. **Target Price**:
- Measure the distance from the head to the neckline. Add this distance to the breakout point to set your target price.
### Example
1. **Identification**: Suppose the price forms the left shoulder at $40, drops to $30 to form the head, rises back to $35, then drops to $32 to form the right shoulder, and the peaks between these are at $35 and $34.
2. **Neckline**: Draw a line connecting $35 and $34. This is your neckline.
3. **Confirmation**: Wait for the price to break above the neckline (say at $34.50).
4. **Entry**: Enter a long position at $34.50.
5. **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss slightly below $32 (the right shoulder low), e.g., at $31.50.
6. **Target Price**: The distance from the head ($30) to the neckline ($34) is $4. Add this to the breakout point ($34.50) to get a target price of $38.50.
### Tips
- **Volume**: Look for increasing volume on the breakout above the neckline. This adds confirmation to the pattern.
- **Risk Management**: Always use stop losses and consider your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade.
- **Retests**: Sometimes, the price might retest the neckline after breaking out. This can be an additional entry point.
### Conclusion
Trading the inverse head and shoulders pattern involves identifying the pattern, waiting for confirmation, entering at the right point, and managing risk with stop losses and profit targets. Always practice with paper trading or a demo account before using real money.
IS Bitcoin Going To ATH? Or Even More?As The Daily TF I Can See Potential Strong Upside Movement. There Is A Daily Parallel Channel Breakout. So I'm Suggesting To Go Long On Pullbacks. Don't Trust Technical indicators this Time. All The Indicators Will Show You To Short.
Just Be Updated With Daily TF Please Wait For 1H Update.
Bitcoin Nears Crucial Test as Hashrate StrengthensBitcoin (BTC) is on the cusp of a critical test as it approaches a trendline resistance that proved formidable in May. Concurrently, a surge in Bitcoin mining hashrate, a bullish indicator, is adding fuel to the rally.
The benchmark cryptocurrency has been on a consistent upward trajectory, fueled by a combination of factors including increased institutional interest, macroeconomic concerns, and the halving event. As BTC closes in on the May trendline, traders and analysts are closely watching for how the market will react. A decisive breakout could ignite a new leg up in the price, while a rejection could lead to a period of consolidation or even a temporary pullback.
The recent strengthening of the Bitcoin mining hashrate is a positive development that underpins the bullish outlook. The hashrate, which measures the computational power dedicated to mining new Bitcoin blocks, is often seen as a leading indicator of price trends. A higher hashrate implies increased miner confidence in the future price of Bitcoin, as miners are willing to invest more resources into the network. This surge in hashrate can also be attributed to the ongoing Bitcoin halving cycle, which reduces the block reward and incentivizes miners to optimize their operations.
While the technical and fundamental backdrop for Bitcoin appears constructive, it's essential to approach the market with caution. Cryptocurrencies remain highly volatile assets, and price movements can be influenced by a variety of factors, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment.
Moreover, the Bitcoin market has a history of false breakouts, where prices briefly pierce resistance levels before retracing. Therefore, traders must employ risk management strategies and avoid overexposure.
The potential breakout from the May trendline will be a key event to watch. If Bitcoin successfully overcomes this hurdle, it could open the door for a more substantial rally towards higher price targets. However, a rejection at this level could lead to a period of consolidation or even a temporary pullback.
Ultimately, the cryptocurrency market remains highly dynamic, and investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments involve significant risks, and investors should be prepared for the possibility of losses.
XRP: Outperforming Bitcoin and EthereumThe cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, marked by sudden shifts in investor sentiment and regulatory uncertainty. Amidst this turbulence, XRP has emerged as a standout performer, outpacing both Bitcoin and Ethereum. This exceptional performance can be attributed to several key factors, including its unique value proposition, technological advancements, and the evolving regulatory landscape.
Unlike Bitcoin, which primarily functions as a digital store of value, XRP is designed to facilitate fast, low-cost, and global payments. This focus on utility has made it particularly attractive to financial institutions and remittance services seeking to streamline cross-border transactions. Additionally, XRP's consensus mechanism, which is significantly faster and more energy-efficient than Bitcoin's proof-of-work, provides a compelling advantage.
While offering smart contract functionality, Ethereum has faced scalability challenges that have impacted transaction speeds and costs. XRP, on the other hand, has been engineered to handle high transaction volumes efficiently. This superior scalability makes it a more viable option for real-world applications, such as payments and remittances.
A crucial factor driving XRP's recent outperformance is the improving fundamental backdrop. The long-standing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC has cast a shadow over the cryptocurrency. However, with Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse expressing optimism about a resolution in the near future, investor confidence in XRP has been bolstered. A favorable outcome in the lawsuit could potentially unlock significant institutional investment and propel XRP to new heights.
Furthermore, XRP's growing ecosystem of partnerships and integrations is solidifying its position as a leading player in the global payments landscape. By collaborating with financial institutions and payment providers, XRP is expanding its reach and demonstrating its practical utility. This expanding network effect is likely to attract more users and investors, further driving price appreciation.
While XRP's performance has been impressive, it is essential to approach any investment with caution. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, and regulatory risks persist. However, the confluence of XRP's unique value proposition, technological advantages, and improving fundamentals positions it favorably for continued outperformance in the long term. As the broader cryptocurrency market matures and institutional adoption accelerates, XRP's focus on utility and scalability could give it a significant competitive edge.
Ultimately, the decision to invest in XRP should be based on thorough research, risk tolerance, and a long-term investment horizon. By carefully considering these factors and staying informed about market developments, investors can make informed decisions about whether XRP aligns with their investment goals.