Bitcoin is heading into its final low before bull market?Bitcoin got rejected at the 1-Day Cycle top and is now pulling back toward the 1-Day Cycle lows.
While most investors are getting bored and slowly shifting their attention elsewhere, crypto is quietly consolidating and gearing up for a BIG move...
Will we break above $100K, or are we heading into a recession and full-on bear market mode?
Next week will be a decisive one for the entire crypto market this year.
If Bitcoin manages to hold above $77,000 as the 1-Day Cycle hits Day 20, we could be on the verge of a run toward $100K. But if we drop below the previous 1-Day Cycle low, trouble’s coming.
Confused? Just check out this chart.
It’s easy to lay out both the bullish and bearish cases—but it’s a whole different game to quantify, commit to a position, and wait for the more probable outcome to play out.
Which scenario is more likely?
In short: the green one . Here’s why:
The 2-Week Cycle has spent over 4 weeks below 20, completely crushing bullish sentiment.
The 1-Week Cycle has been below 20 for over 2 months—the longest stretch in the past 5 years.
The 3-Day Cycle hasn’t fully reset, but reversed to the upside last week due to positive price action.
We’re on Day 46 of the 60-Day Cycle, and price has been holding up well. We’ve tested the $80K zone a couple of times, and Bitcoin still seems eager to push higher.
For the first time in a while, there are more bears than bulls (according to Polymarket).
On that note—check the Polymarket predictions
Bitcoinlong
Long trade opportunity is coming Bitcoin price is starting to look interesting for a long trade opportunity.
Currently Bitcoin is in the range bound between 75,000 approx and 89,500 aprox (blue rectangular box in the chart).
EMA 200 is horizontally running through in the middle of the range and EMA 21, 55 and 200 are starting to get bunched up together. I really like this set up because when this happens, it is often followed by a strong directional move. All you need for now is patience, which is the hardest thing to do.
I will open a long position if the following conditions are met:
1) Daily MACD and RSI will move into the bull zone and they are clearly pointing to the upside.
2)The price will move and close above the descending trendline.
3) EMAs are going to start to spread out and line up properly (EMA 21>55>200 for long)
For whatever reasons, if I feel I need to be more cautious, I might wait for the price to move and close above 93,000 (above orange rectangular box area) because it is a high liquidity area and I think a lot of price manipulation might happen.
BITCOIN Bull Run Activated – Here’s Why $105K Is NEXT!COINBASE:BTCUSD is displaying strong bullish potential after forming a clear double bottom around the significant support zone near $74,000. The decisive rejection of this critical area and the inability to form a lower low highlights the exhaustion of sellers at this key level. The formation of this double bottom, coupled with a solid bullish reaction, suggests institutions are actively accumulating Bitcoin, driving prices upward.
The current market structure implies a bullish continuation toward the significant resistance zone around $105,000. With the ascending channel clearly intact and buyers stepping aggressively at support, a sustained bullish impulse toward the channel's upper boundary is very likely.
From a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin is gaining strength due to several key macroeconomic factors unfolding globally. The recent decision by the Trump administration to significantly escalate trade tariffs has heightened economic uncertainty, disrupting traditional markets and spurring investors toward alternative assets. Historically, Bitcoin has thrived during periods of economic instability and policy uncertainty, as investors seek to hedge against volatility in equities, bonds, and fiat currencies.
Furthermore, the tightening monetary policies across major global economies are exacerbating recessionary fears. Central banks face increasingly difficult decisions between managing inflation and sustaining economic growth. This dilemma continues to reinforce Bitcoin's narrative as "digital gold," a decentralized hedge immune to direct manipulation by central authorities. As institutions and investors recalibrate their portfolios amid these conditions, capital allocation toward Bitcoin is expected to rise significantly.
Institutional adoption continues its upward momentum, evidenced by increased activity on spot markets and significant inflows into crypto-based investment vehicles. Regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions and infrastructure improvements have reduced previous barriers, enabling broader and deeper institutional participation in the crypto ecosystem. This growing institutional endorsement solidifies Bitcoin's bullish case, providing strong foundational support for a sustained move towards the targeted $105,000 resistance zone.
The convergence of technical patterns and powerful fundamental catalysts strongly supports Bitcoin's imminent upside potential.
Traders should closely watch for confirmation signals, such as increasing bullish volume, strong candle closures above intermediate resistance levels, and higher low formations, to validate this bullish scenario.
Feel free to share your thoughts or add further insights into this analysis!
If BTC pullsback to 80K, DO NOT PANIC -Here is why
Very simply, Bitcoin recently broke over the line of resistance ( dashed line) that has kept it down since the ATH at the beginning of the year.
As you can see, it has not yet returned to that line on a larger time scale chart, to retest it as support. It did do that on a 4 hour chart but maybe we are about to see that on a daily to, just to check how strong it is.
After all, things are very uncertain right now in many ways.
The Federal Reserve of the Usa has a speech day tomorrow and so this may act as a catalyst, one way or another.
Bitcoin Weekly MACD is in a position of strength now
And we have seen a positive reaction of PA already, if a little subdued while we wait for the Macro environment to calm down
The Histogram is looking Bullish though this can change quickly but over all, we are in a very good place right now.....
So, Worry not if PA drops some in the next 24 hours.
If we loose 78K, then get a little uncertain.
The next level of support below that is the 2.272 fib extension at 76900 - we do not want to loose that one for too long but I doubt we will get there, providing Macro stays steady
So, Chill out and let see what happens tomorrow with the FED speech.
BLOODY FEBRUARY TO GREENY SUMMERFrom my initial Technical analysis from 100k down to 74k last february where we at now? so we have filled the CME gap and grabbed some liquidities. Price broke out from the trendline and now we goin to see some green daily/weekly candles to retest the 100k levels. If this fails to make an all time high. 2026 might be the bear market so hold your horses. and ready your capital bois.
Bitcoin Parallel Channel Master Analysis🟦 Parallel Channel Overview
The chart reveals a well-established ascending parallel channel, guiding Bitcoin’s price action over an extended period.
The upper and lower bounds have been respected multiple times, validating the strength and consistency of this trend structure.
Price currently hovers near the midline, following a bounce from the lower boundary, indicating the channel remains intact and bullish momentum is supported.
🧭 Current Price Action
A recent dip tested the lower boundary and was met with strong buying interest — a bullish sign.
Price is now pressing up against the midline, which acts as a crucial pivot:
A successful flip of the midline to support could propel the price toward the upper channel boundary.
A failure here may trigger another retest of the lower support.
📌 Key Structural Levels
Lower Channel Support: The primary demand zone; a breakdown here could suggest a broader structural change.
Midline (Median): The dynamic pivot — the battleground for bulls and bears.
Upper Channel Resistance: Where profit-taking or breakout acceleration typically occurs.
🔁 Repeating Breakout Pattern: Timeline & Insights
🔹 1st Breakout – February 2024
Price breaks above the channel and sets a new high.
Eventually retraces back into the channel.
In August 2024, the break out area from February becomes midline support, validating the zone.
🔹 2nd Breakout – November 2024
Another breakout occurs, reaching a peak roughly equal to the first breakout.
In April 2025, price once again retests the midline, mimicking the previous August retest behavior.
🟡 Pattern Recognized
Breakout → Peak → Pullback to Midline Support → Reaccumulation → Breakout
With this repeating structure, a 3rd breakout is likely, assuming midline support holds.
Based on historical intervals:
Feb to Nov 2024 = ~9 months
Aug to Nov = ~3 months
This positions the next breakout for June 2025, following the April retest.
🔮 Projected Outcome: 3rd Breakout
If the vertical breakout range repeats:
3rd breakout peak could mirror the height of previous breakouts.
⚖️ Summary & Strategic Implications
✅ Structure is bullish as long as Bitcoin trades within or above the channel.
✅ Midline bounces have reliably preceded breakouts — current April 2025 retest strengthens that thesis.
✅ June 2025 becomes a critical breakout watch window.
❌ Break below the midline would invalidate the repeating breakout structure and shift focus to lower support zones.
BTC Weekly Chart MC Greendot is about to confirmBTC weekly chart is about to give a MarketCipher weekly green dot "BUY" signal. We will see if it will confirm when we close the weekly candle next Sunday.
I marked all the other times we had this weekly green dot signal. It is definitely a leading indicator of good things to come. We might still have a pull back into the 80k and below zone but I like what I see in terms of candle structure and the MarketCipher momentum wave getting ready to give a buy signal.
I will be starting several alt coin and BTC trades in any drop in Daily and 4hour timeframes that don't break the pricing structure we are seeing in the weekly chart.
I will focus on trades in BTC, SOL, and ETH.
Time to get Bitcoin Range in perspective again -where are we ?
This chart clearly shows us where BTC PA is in relation to the ATH it created in Early 2025.
PA sits just above centre line of current Lower range box.
There is still a Long way to go, against some strong resistance, to get back into the upper Range box and to that ATH line
We will manage it, I have no doubt about that But we may get to top of current Range box and be rejected before that time comes.
There are a number of different scenarios that exist right now and it is next to impossible to pin point when we may reach higher, to a New ATH.
My Feeling is that we will hit top of this current range box in the near future ( in april )
From that point, we have to weigh up the Macro and Sentiments of Markets and see.
But for now, Bitcoin PA is with Strength and has tha bility to reach higher.
I am still Bullish fora Cycle ATH in Q4
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Weekly Support is around 80000.Weekly Support is around 80000.
However, 72500 - 73000 is its previous
breakout level & probably a Best Buying Rage
(if it touches) which is also a Confluence area of
Trendline Support+Important Fib. level.
Bullish Divergence on Shorter Time Frame +
Weekly Support around 80000 (if Sustained)
may push the Price up towards 87000 &
then around 95000 - 96000.
Ultimate Resistance is around 110000.
Crossing this level may open new Highs
Targeting around 136000.
On Shorter Timeframe, 85000 - 86000 is
the Immediate Resistance & Support is
around 80000.
#BITCOIN: $130,000 Is Where Price Headed To? BINANCE:BTCUSDT consolidated at 75k and reversed from the region as predicted in our previous chart. We now have strong confirmation that price will likely break through the daily bearish trendline. We can enter when it retests the identified area.
We have two major targets. Do your own research and analysis, and use this as secondary bias.
Good luck trading.
❤️
Hope you’re having a great weekend.
Team Setuspfx_
Bitcoin -Weekly, Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Trading IdeasMidterm forecast, Weekly Timeframe:
While the price is above the support 70550.04, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 70550.04 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
Daily Timeframe:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 74545.70 on 04/09/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 86499.57 and maximum to Major Resistance (91037.20) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98675.19
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
140000.00
H4 Timeframe:
H1 Timeframe:
________________________________________________________________
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BTCUSDT | Waiting for Precision – Not Just Price LevelsMany were tempted to short BTCUSDT around the $83,000 region, and I was closely watching it too. However, as always, I don’t take trades based solely on price levels. What separates professional trading from guesswork is the data behind the scenes, and in this case, CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) did not show any bearish divergence. That’s why I completely passed on this level without hesitation.
🎯 What’s Next?
Upper Blue Box is My Focus: I’ve now shifted my attention to the next key upper blue box, where I’ll be looking for serious short opportunities, but only if LTF confirmations such as orderflow shifts, CDV divergences, or volume traps appear.
Why I Wait: Just because a price hits a “zone” doesn’t mean we react. Professional traders wait for confluence, confirmation, and controlled risk.
🔒 Smart Trader Checklist:
No CDV divergence = No trade.
Wait for price to enter the upper blue box and react.
Short only with proper lower time frame confirmation.
If price breaks above with strong momentum and retest, I will not insist on shorts. I will shift and look for longs.
💡 I trade with precision and patience—not emotion. These levels are not random lines, but key zones mapped with advanced tools and strict discipline. That’s why my followers consistently win, and why my success rate is among the highest you’ll find here.
If you want to trade with clarity, confidence, and data-backed precision, just keep following me. You’ll see the difference.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoin Eyes $81,500 Resistance Following Trump's Tariff Pause. 🚨 **Market Update** 🚨
President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result.
Right now, **Bitcoin** is testing the $81,500 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy: let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback.
Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
Daily BITCOIN Bull Bear candles showing return of the Bulls ?I have used this chart often and have posted it here on a number of occasions with out the Bull Power Bear Power Histogram by CEYHUN active.
This is how the chart Looks when it is active.
This indicator calculates trading action to determine if a Candle is Bullish or Bearish and is VERY ACCURATE
And, Currently, Today's candle is GREEN, for the first time in a LONG TIME.
We can see how the candles have remained RED for most of the Drop in channel.
But now, while we sit on support on a Fib Speed Resistance Fan, we are GREEN.
Long Term, we can see that the climb back to current ATH could be tough. The VRVP on the right is clearly showing rising levels of resistance we climb higher.
Currently, we need to watch closely, to see that candle remain Green and that we do not loose support here.
I feel Bullish
Bitcoin and 50 SMA on a WEEKLY chart - UPDATE Following on from the sharp drop in the beginning of the week, where PA dropped Below the 50 SMA ( RED) , PA has recovered and, as you can see, the candle Body is currently sitting ON the 50 SMA
We may need to remain in this area to bring back the Bullish Sentiment and then move higher.
It can be said that a bullish sentiment remains with Bitcoin as its did NOT crash as sharply as Stock Markets.
We are also now waiting on the MACD to fully enter the "Bounce Zone"
The Weeks candle on the histogram has returned to RED and so some caution is required here, while we wait.
It is the next few days that are crucial now. The "Tariff" dust us settling and countries are reacting to Trumps Tariff impositions.
My Gut feeling is VERY positive right now.
But that is just me,
Watch that candle on the 50 SMA like a Hawk. If we loose that again and the week closes below, THEN we need to think carefully
$$$ BTCUSD MACRO-BULLISH $$$ 1W CHART $$$BITFINEX:BTCUSD 1W Chart
There are many reasons to look at this weekly chart and see that there's absolutely no reason to be bearish on Bitcoin yet.
Holding strong r/s flip support.
Holding regression trend.
Holding parabolic trend.
Stoch RSI at the bottom.
Weekly bullish divergence.
Assuming this plays out in a way that's similar to the last local bottom, the current target is around $134k-$135k.
It would take a lot to invalidate all of these bullish indicators, but if that does somehow happen, with a CLOSE of the weekly candle that invalidated these, then It's pretty much definitely over for a loooong time.
NFA blah blah blah..
Bitcoin Bullish Idea I'll be buying for that point of interest 78544.71 if I see confirmation for reversal. Though H8 zone 79100.20 looks valid too as the price has triggered it and rejects it awesomely.
My projection is this new week is going to be Bullish not just for Bitcoin but some other. Crypto pairs too.
I'm bullish on Eth as well.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.