BTC / USDT : Breaking out from Trendline resistance BTC/USDT: Breaking Out from Trendline Resistance – Is the Next Bullish Rally Here?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is making a strong move 📈 as it successfully breaks above a key trendline resistance zone 📊. After a period of consolidation, BTC is now showing signs of strength, potentially setting the stage for a major bullish rally 💥. If the breakout holds, we could witness a strong upside move in the coming days 🚀. Keep an eye on this breakout and wait for confirmation before making any decisions.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Breakout: Bitcoin has finally cleared a critical trendline that has acted as strong resistance in previous attempts. Holding above this level could trigger significant bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A surge in trading volume alongside the breakout will be a key confirmation of strong buying interest 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Momentum: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning positive ⚡, signaling increasing bullish strength.
How to Confirm the Breakout:
✔ Candle Close: Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
✔ Volume Surge: A noticeable increase in volume adds confidence to the breakout 📊.
✔ Retest as Support: If BTC successfully retests the broken resistance as a new support zone, it strengthens the breakout ✅.
✔ Beware of Fakeouts: Sharp reversals or long wicks above the trendline could indicate a false breakout ⚠️.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Set stop-loss orders to manage downside risk.
🎯 Adjust position sizing to fit your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making investment decisions 🔍.
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin Yet To Recover Amidst February DipBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has yet to fully recover from its early February drop. The leading cryptocurrency remains colloquial, trading between $92,000 support and $102,200 resistance. This price variations posits a key contrast between digital and physical gold—while an ounce of gold trades at a relatively modest $3,000, Bitcoin fluctuates within a $10,000 price disparity.
BTC’s future direction remains uncertain. If buyers gain strength and push the price above $100,000, Bitcoin could test new highs in the $102,200–$105,500 range, potentially extending its upward trend.
However, a deeper correction could trigger a retest of the $93,000 support level, which would likely lead to a new local low within the $89,200–$92,000 range.
Presently Up 1.02% with a moderate RSI of 44.90 a moderation largely attributed to Michael Saylor's 7,633 purchase of Bitcoin worth $742 million today.
While the fear and greed index still remains at 35 this hints at a potential pull back might be inevitable.
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near
The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins.
I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!)
🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet
Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt.
🔹 Bitcoin Outlook
BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support.
😱 More blood on the charts?
Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders:
1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in.
2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish.
I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders.
📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles
When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding.
If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery.
Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Bitcoin’s Battle Below $100K Hints at New ATHBitcoin (BTC) is struggling to hold above $100K, but on-chain metrics suggest that a new all-time high (ATH) could be imminent. After last weekend’s drop to $91K, BTC is now trading at $97,943, down 0.24% in the last 24 hours.
Key On-Chain Trends Signaling a Breakout:
📉 Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Are Declining – BTC is flowing out of exchanges, reducing available supply and limiting sell pressure.
🐋 Whale Accumulation Spikes – Since Feb 3, large transaction volume jumped from $40.8B to $67.3B, showing renewed interest from big investors.
📊 Netflow Hits Yearly Low – BTC outflows exceed inflows, meaning more coins are being moved to private wallets, reducing selling pressure.
💰 ETF Inflows Surge – $2.5B poured into Bitcoin ETFs over the past two weeks, further driving demand.
Will Bitcoin Finally Break $100K?
🔼 If BTC breaks past $100K, buyers could push the price to $105K–$109K.
🔽 If BTC stays below EMA20, sellers may target $95K before the next rebound.
With RSI at 39, Bitcoin is vaguely positioned for a potential price increase. The next few days will be critical—will BTC smash through $100K, or will bears hold the line?
BTC / USDT: Gearing up for a breakout above trendline resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USDT): Gearing Up for a Breakout Above Trendline Resistance
Bitcoin is setting up for a major move 📈 as it approaches a critical trendline resistance zone 📊. The price has been consolidating tightly, forming the perfect setup for a potential breakout 💥. If BTC successfully clears this resistance, we could see a strong bullish trend unfold 🚀. Keep a close eye 👀 and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing a long-standing trendline that has repeatedly acted as a barrier. A decisive break above this level could mark the start of a significant upward move.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: Watch for a notable increase in trading volume during the breakout to confirm strong buying pressure 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Signals: Indicators like RSI and MACD are showing strength ⚡, further supporting the potential for a bullish breakout.
Steps to Confirm the Breakout:
✅ Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
✅ A noticeable spike in volume during the breakout can signal strong buying activity 📊.
✅ A retest of the broken resistance as a new support zone adds credibility to the move.
⚠️ Be cautious of fake breakouts, such as sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital.
🎯 Ensure position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 before making investment decisions.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup
Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support.
– Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG.
– Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan).
– Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone.
Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates
Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart.
Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th
Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!!
Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!!
Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
Bitcoin could be 150-180k in 200+ days (NFA)I usually make longer descriptions but I don't care to do it lol
It's very simple to explain, if we are doing our "usual 4 year cycle"
then the timeframe looks like this pretty much, we got 200-250 days left!
My guess would be a target when it comes to USD: 150-180k (NFA)
Lets see what happens tho, time shall tell us all.
BTCUSD - Watching for a Pullback Before the Bounce?COINBASE:BTCUSD is retracing, and I’m keeping a close eye on the 98,500 - 99,200 zone. My expectation? A tap into this area, followed by a bounce back toward 102,000.
Why I’m watching that particular zone is because it has provided relatively strong reactions before. So, if buyers step in again, we could see a potential reversal.
🎯My target is 102,000 – If we get a bounce, this is my first price of interest. It’s a realistic target, and how it behaves there will shape the next move.
My plan:
⚡ Waiting for price to tap the zone – with patience.
⚡ Looking for bullish signs – Strong wicks, a shift in structure, or clear buying pressure would confirm the idea.
⚡ Watching 102,000 closely – If price reaches it, I’ll reassess whether it has strength to push even higher.
I’m expecting Bitcoin to pull back into that zone before making its way back to 102,000. If it plays out as expected, this could be a clean move.
⚠️ This is how I see the support and resistance zones—not financial advice! Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Can Bitcoin surprise the world again?Good day fellow traders and investors,
The short answer for the question in the heading is... Yes, Bitcoin will always surprise the world.
Since Novembers move into December, bitcoin for the first time has broken above this fairly substantial resistance trend line that gave bitcoin a very strong rejection back in 202. THIS IS VERY POWERFUL!!
Bitcoin from what I see here is showing strong price support above this line that was resistance back in 2021. It has confirmed so far the bottom of the zone as support, I would like to see it catch support on the top of the zone. Doing so, could lead to a massive breakout all the way up to 170k, which could lead to the parabolic top of this market.
Any way you cut it, the more it holds above this trendline the more likely it will lead to the biggest breakout in recent years. I personally am very bullish as long as bitcoin stays above this zone.
Also, the indicators I have used are the PANPAN XBT RISK METRIC and Oscillator.
This is not finical advice and I am not your financial advisor.
If you like this chart and my work share this chart with your friends and let me know what you think in the comments.
Cheerios,
WeAreSat0shi
Trade high probabilities using game theoryAccording to statistics, 95% of traders are losing longterm. Not because they lack skill, but because they involve in high variance (or poor probability) situations.
What is game theory? we can define GT with three principles.
*People dont want to lose. (hence.. predictable).
*People buy good things at good price, or they are profit maximizing.
*Everyone is strategic.
** we assume that "nobody can predict future".
** markets respond to feedbacks or signals.
Practice: the higher something goes, potential narrows and risk increases. Deeper something falls, "potential" becomes attractive. Once market decides that it will fall -- people assume crash as possibility. People who can buy at a strong trend line - has benefit of having more information.
(1) Downtrending VIX highs and accumulating lows. a strong signal about SPX peak, with everyone expecting a market correction before US election. ---> GT in practice.
(2) pre-election. Markets be wobbly, pointing to 50-50 probability or risk. Maybe there was fear of NVDA/AAPL high valuations, or the fear due to Trump tariff policy (markets are 6m forward looking) as bond yields were rallying.
If we assume statistically, markets boom after elections. We can predict GT in action (or call it market forces). imo that still is a profitable risk.
People hate uncertainty and they love guarantees. So the "wobble" was reasonable.
(3) VIX higher low.. predictably (GT) sell off follows. Almost as by the book.
other way to put it? people maximize potential while minimize loses/risk. There are periods of volatile markets and periods for one directional rallies.
P.S. Blue arrows are longterm macd turning points.
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
UPDATE: Altcoin Market Set to Surge Toward $1 Trillion Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle.
Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin sectors. Rotation out BTC is happening as the BTC rally is losing momentum.
BTC/USD Analysis (4H Chart) BITSTAMP:BTCUSD **BTC/USD Analysis (4H Chart)**
- **Current Price:** ~$105,331
- **Major Resistance Zone:** Around **107,500 - 110,000**
- **Major Support Zone:** Around **97,500 - 98,000**
- **Key Pattern:** A possible **cup & handle formation** is forming, suggesting bullish momentum.
**Bullish Scenario:**
- BTC is approaching a key resistance zone. If price **breaks above 107,500 with strong volume**, it could push toward **112,300**.
- A successful retest of the resistance as support would confirm the breakout.
**Bearish Scenario:**
- If BTC fails to break resistance, it may retrace back to the **ascending trendline (~102,000-103,000)** or even the **major support zone (97,500-98,000)** for a potential bounce.
**Conclusion:**
- BTC is at a **critical breakout zone**.
- **Break & retest above 107,500 → bullish continuation toward 112,300+.**
- **Rejection → Possible pullback to trendline or support zone.**
Hyperliquid first decentralised exchange with no onramp via tradFirst Decentralised chain, feel like this consolidation will either break to the downside and do nothing or will go bananas. Looks like we can hit targets 40, 50 and beyond. This all depends on the QT and more liquidity but feel like it could happen. A strong wall of buyers at $20 level so have a feeling this will rocket after this consolidation.
$130K HERE WE COME! #BTCRight now I'm seeing so much fear across social media regarding BTC price that I cannot help but post that we are basically in wave 2 correction of a larger wave 5, and the wave 2 has probably ended or is about to end at any moment, so just sit back and relax and keep HODLing on cuz the wave 3 target is $130K minimum!
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Aim for $106.8k After Key Recovery ! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish recovery underway after a liquidity sweep at 98.4k.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Higher lows on RSI while price made lower lows, indicating potential for further upside.
Smart Money Activity:
Accumulation phase appears complete.
Market now transitioning to markup phase with strong institutional buying evident.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 101.8k-102.2k
Targets:
T1: 104.4k
T2: 106.8k
Stop Loss: Below 98.2k (recent sweep).
Risk Score:
7.5/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation).
Market Maker Intent:
Previous distribution attempt at 104.4k failed, suggesting a move to target liquidity near prior highs.
Volume profile supports the bullish narrative, with strong accumulation complete.
Recommendation:
Long positions are favorable within the 101.8k-102.2k range.
Maintain tight stops below 98.2k to limit downside risk.
Monitor price action near 104.4k for potential resistance.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
🚀 Follow me on Tradingview if you respect our charts 📈