btc long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Bitcoinlong
Bitcoin preparing for the next move!Bitcoin is currently consolidating in an ascending parallel channel after a very sharp rally.
The most likely scenario is that it will remain in this channel for a while longer, until it ends up breaking up with the approach of Trump's presidency.
If it breaks the channel downwards, there are chances of a slightly deeper correction, and we could visit US$90K.
BTC dell 120.000$📊 BTCUSDT Analysis:
Current Price: $102,859.06
Sell Zone: Near $120,000.00 (🟢 Major resistance)
Support Zone: $77,777.00 (🛡️ Key level for potential rebound)
🚨 Signal:
Bearish Scenario: If BTC reaches $120,000.00, it’s a sell opportunity 📉.
Bullish Scenario: In a strong bull trend (📈), you can buy dips around $77,777.00 (🚀 support area).
💡 Strategy:
Take profits near $120,000.00 🎯 if already holding BTC.
Watch for entries at $77,777.00 🔍 if BTC retraces.
📈 Trend: Overall Bullish unless support at $93,175 or $77,777 breaks (🔻).
🔐 Risk Management:
Stop-loss for buys: Below $73,316.18 (⚠️ Critical level).
Let me know if you need further clarification or tailored strategies!
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT Continuation Setup
Trade Idea:
- Target downside liquidity to approximately $98,500 with a short, followed by a high-confluence long entry in the 4H/Daily FVG.
Short Setup:
- Target: $98,500 to capture downside liquidity.
- Stop-loss: Tight stop above $101,500 to manage risk.
- Confluence:
- 4H OB rejection.
- Rising wedge breakdown aligning with bearish structure.
Long Setup:
- Entry Zone: Around $98,500 , in the 4H/Daily FVG for a discounted entry.
- Target:
- TP1 at $101,500 .
- TP2 at $104,000 , targeting liquidity above the weak high.
- Confluence:
- 4H and daily Kijun support.
- Strong reaction potential after liquidity grab at $98,500 .
Quick Take:
This strategy aims to capture both short-term downside liquidity and the subsequent bullish continuation. Ensure confirmation on both sides for precise execution!
BTCUSDT Trade Log BTCUSDT 1H Short Setup
Trade Idea:
- Short from the micro FVG in a premium zone after rejecting an Order Block (OB).
Confluence:
- Rising Wedge: Bearish wedge structure showing signs of exhaustion.
- Bearish Divergences: RSI and CVD indicate weakening momentum.
- Macro Pressure: Bybit fined in the Netherlands for fraud; Flow Traders withdrew €157M in BTC—both signal potential bearish sentiment.
Risk-Reward:
- Tight stop-loss above the OB/FVG zone.
- 1:2 RRR targeting liquidity levels below $98,000.
Quick Take:
Macro events and bearish divergences align for a strong short opportunity. Stay cautious of volatility and confirm rejection before full entry!
Bitcoin Outlook \wGenAI assisted analysisGiven that the JP Macro Trend script integrates DeMarker and momentum indicators and now includes the OBV data, we can refine the analysis and attempt to outline a more informed probabilistic outcome for the short and longer term.
However, it's important to note that probabilities in market analysis are inherently subjective and can vary widely depending on market conditions and the analyst's interpretation.
Short-Term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
Bullish Signals: If the price is trending upward, accompanied by rising OBV and the proprietary momentum indicators are in a bullish configuration, the confidence in a continuation of the uptrend might be relatively high.
Bearish Signals : If there are any bearish divergences such as price making new highs while momentum indicators and OBV fail to confirm, the probability of a price correction or consolidation might increase.
Probability Estimate : If all indicators align and confirm the current trend, one might posit a 65-75% probability of the trend continuing in the short term. In the case of divergences or conflicting signals, the probability might be adjusted down to 50-60%.
Longer-Term Analysis (1-6 months):
Bullish Scenario : Should the price maintain above significant moving averages, and the OBV continues to show volume backing up the price increases, one could maintain a bullish outlook. Watch for the momentum indicators to remain in a bullish posture without significant divergences.
Bearish Scenario : Should the OBV and momentum indicators start to show sustained divergences with price, or if the price falls below key moving averages, one might adopt a cautious stance with a higher probability of a bearish phase.
Probability Estimate: With the confirmation of the trend by OBV and proprietary indicators, one might estimate a 60-70% chance of the prevailing trend continuing . Should divergences become apparent, the probability of trend continuation might drop to around 40-50%.
Momentum GrowingThe crypto industry and Bitcoiners in particular will remember 2024 as a very successful year. That final bastion of TradFi acceptance, ETFs, was taken. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted more than $34 billion in inflows. Bitcoin crossed that big psychological barrier of $100,000 and is now a 6-figure asset. Total crypto market capitalization exceeded a remarkable $3.6 trillion. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has become the most successful ETF ever launched on the market.
But as is usual in Crypto, the journey was far from straightforward. Ethereum, and many other Altcoins, lagged behind. Solana paced ahead of other Altcoins and saw more than 300% growth. Memecoins took off. In some parts of the industry, mania took hold. Pump.fun, a platform that enables anyone with a $5 wallet and an idea to create a token in two minutes, saw 4.5 million tokens launched. The Phantom wallet, commonly used for on-the-go memecoin trading, reached top positions in the App store. A particularly low point was reached when Pump.fun temporarily launched a live-streaming feature. When things deteriorated rapidly, pump.fun had to quickly disable the feature. In the last few weeks, momentum accelerated as some of the users who had quit the market with FTX' collapse returned. The prices of 'old' coins such as XRP, Cardano and others, took off.
Traders continue to wait for possible pull-backs of BTC to the $80,000-90,000 range. But for now, momentum seems to be building and instead, Bitcoin has ranged above $100k for the longest time so far over the past 24-48 hours. More momentum could be on the way. A very crypto-friendly US administration is coming. US regulatory winds against crypto are likely to shift. All the while, interest rates are likely to drop further, leading to more available liquidity in the market.
We all know that History does not repeat but it can rhyme. Bitcoin's price cycles regularly included one year of decline followed by three years of growth. If this trend continues, then 2025 may be the last, and possibly the most explosive year of this bull-cycle. For now at least we can say: momentum is growing.
DOG (GO TO THE MOON) IS MOONING THE BANANA IS FORMINGHaven'tThe DOG Meme of Bitcoin is breaking out. Notice the inverted Head & Shoulders with measured move to 0.007. Also Macro Fib puts the 2.618 target at (can't see on my chart because of publisging. somewhere around 0.015
If Not in, buy zune retest is marked.
BTC @ 63K imagine where DOG will be when BTC is 200K??
Bitcoin: The Path to $125K or Beyond?BINANCE:BTCUSDT after yesterday’s flash crash price is currently consolidating around $95,000-$98,000. The market’s bullish sentiment is fueled by factors such as record-low exchange reserves, growing demand from Bitcoin spot ETFs, and increased accumulation by long-term holders. These dynamics have significantly tightened supply, positioning Bitcoin for another potential rally.
Looking ahead, again breaking the $100,000 psychological level could pave the way toward targets of $110,000 and $125,000. Analysts highlight the influence of regulatory developments, particularly in the U.S., and the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutions as critical catalysts for its growth. Conversely, a dip below $94,000 could signal a bearish phase with support at $90,000.
The long-term outlook remains optimistic, with experts forecasting Bitcoin’s price to reach between $150,000 and $250,000 within the next year, driven by its finite supply and enhanced institutional backing. As Bitcoin’s trajectory unfolds, monitoring BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ETF inflows and macroeconomic trends will be essential to capitalize on its upward momentum.
As per technical analysis, COINBASE:BTCUSD Bitcoin has formed an ascending support line alongside a higher-high structure. This bullish pattern strongly indicates further upward momentum in the coming weeks.
In our previous Bitcoin analysis, we set a bold target of $100,000 when the price was around $60,000, despite widespread skepticism in the market. True to our prediction, Bitcoin achieved and surpassed this milestone, completing all our projected targets. Stay tuned and follow us for more accurate updates and insights into the cryptocurrency market.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT Currently trading at $97500
Buy level: Above $97,000
Stop loss: Below $90,000
Target : $125,000
Max Leverage 3x
Always keep Stop loss
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When is the Right Time to Reenter?You see those two green stripes? That’s where I bought:
1️⃣ First Stripe:
- Indicators Alignment: The **1-Day, 3-Day, and 1-Week Cycles** were all below 20, signaling a strong buy.
- Retracement: The market had retraced ~12%, confirming the **bullish trend** was still intact.
- Cycle Low: The **60-Day Cycle low** was just around the corner.
- Key Level: When the **$40K level** broke, the **bottom volatility** confirmed we were bottoming in the **60-Day Cycle**.
- 🔍 **Did I catch the exact bottom?** Rarely—but I waited for the **1-Day Cycle to reset** and bought again at the **second green stripe** in early February.
2️⃣ The Result:
- The market resumed its climb, gaining another **50%** from my entry point. 🚀
The Current Plan
📝 I’ll take a similar approach this time:
- 1-Day & 3-Day Cycles: Plan to reenter when both indicators drop below 20 —without waiting for the 1-Week Cycle to reset fully.
- Why? A left-translated cycle (concept by Bob Loukas, 2022) suggests this could still be a great entry point.
📊 Historical Data: Strongly supports this strategy.
Stay patient, and let the cycles guide your reentry. 🚦📈
BTCUSD | Next Prime Zone for Long OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
XRP $3.00 Still Active - Consolidation looks BullishSince my last BINANCE:XRPUSDT Trading Idea the altcoin consolidated more sideways and breached the trend line. Nevertheless, as long as the support zone at around $2.18 is holding, the setup remains intact. Bitcoin still hovers below $100K and tries to break out to the upper side. This will be the catalyst for this trade. Same goes for most of the other altcoins out there.
Target Zone
$3.00
Support Zone
$2.18
Bitcoin Update BTCUSDT Symmetrical triangle breakout forming!
Price is testing the upper resistance of the triangle around $100,370. Breakouts from this pattern can lead to strong moves, with targets calculated by the height of the triangle.
Watch for:
A breakout above $101,000 for bullish continuation.
Rejection and retest of support near $99,000 for a possible fakeout.
What's your play? 💰 HODL, trade, or wait? #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC
BTC LONG OPPORTUNITY BTC long opportunity to $103,670. Simple break out from a descending pattern coupled with rejection from the SMA's on 4hr time frame and the rejection from $99,000 on higher time frames, also notice the low test candle on the 4hr slightly piercing through that support level.
Expect a pull back at around $101,600 - $101,700 for liquidation and relief for retail traders. Fib would give us a target of $103,620 which is also the ATH for BTC so a good target to revisit.
JUPITER ($JUP) Big Breakout - December UpdateJupiter (JUP) appears to be on the brink of a breakout, as its recent consolidation pattern suggests it may be gearing up for its next leg up. Over the past few weeks, JUP has been trading within a defined range, with steady accumulation and strong support levels holding firm. This period of consolidation often indicates that buying pressure is building, setting the stage for a potential price surge once the coin breaks through key resistance levels.
Technical indicators are showing signs of bullish momentum, with increasing volume and favorable patterns in moving averages suggesting that JUP is primed for upward movement. Additionally, the broader market sentiment is leaning positive, which further adds to the bullish outlook for JUP.
If JUP can maintain its current structure and break through resistance, the next leg up could see significant price appreciation. As always, it's essential to keep an eye on market conditions and potential risk factors, but the technical setup is looking strong for a potential breakout in the near term.
Now Funding Rates Have Fixed, Where Were We?Now that BTC USDT funding rates have fixed, where were we?
Bitcoin's funding rate normalization is a positive signal for market stability, often indicating that extreme sentiment (either bullish or bearish) is cooling off. This creates a more balanced environment for the next major move.
Resistance and the 110K Target
If the key resistance level you are watching breaks, the idea of a path to $110K becomes plausible under certain conditions:
Momentum Confirmation: A strong breakout above the resistance with high volume and no immediate rejection is crucial.
Market Sentiment: If the broader sentiment shifts positively, it could drive significant buying pressure.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin's trajectory could be influenced by external factors like macroeconomic data, institutional adoption, or regulatory clarity.
See how Latest BTC Analyzes hit TP
Latest Bitcoin Analyzes
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
My Previous Analysis
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📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
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BITCOIN $250K - Get Ready to Get RichHello everyone!
Today, I’m excited to dive into my latest analysis of the Bitcoin cycle, showcased through a weekly view chart that breaks away from conventional wisdom. Rather than adhering to the often-disputed parabolic curves that have been a staple in crypto charts since 2017—curves which have consistently either underperformed or overshot the mark—I'm bringing something different.
My analysis is based on a trend line that I've meticulously tracked since 2013. This line has proven incredibly resilient, never once being undercut as of now in 2024. This steadfast pattern leads me to an ambitious yet attainable target: Bitcoin reaching USD 250,000. This projection suggests more than a doubling from our current position within this cycle’s parabolic phase.
Interestingly, the duration of these parabolic phases has been extending with each cycle:
427 days in 2013,
525 days in 2017,
567 days in 2021.
Based on this pattern, I anticipate the current cycle will span approximately 600 days, concluding around the end of 2025.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and predictions. Where do you see Bitcoin heading in this cycle? Let’s discuss below!
#BTC/USDT Urgent update.#BTC holding steady at support. Will it be a genuine breakout with a retest or just another fake move?
Patience is key, we're waiting for the next few candle closes to confirm the trend.
With no significant resistance here, the market's at a critical point if you zoom out to the HTF.
Stay sharp. I'm holding onto my altcoin positions for now.
IMHO, There's still a high possibility fir BTC to hit $114k.
Invalidation will be a close below $90.2k
DYOR, NFA
#PEACE
BTC Long ideathe last BTC was a little bit ago sorry for the wait, there havent been many opportunities for good rr trades since last time i posted. however now there is. This 8H zone is perfect to continue the long trend of btc with very minimum risk and a lot of potential profit if you trail your stoploss well. i will be looking for confirmation in this 8H SnD with a rather tight SL hoping for at least 1:5 rr to the target, from there i will take a hefty portion off and trail the remaining position. i have developed my own entry criteria and you guys should aswell. if you havent yet developed your own, i highly recommend you do so through thorough back and front testing.
anyways hope you guys like the idea and take the trade with me, let me know if you do end up taking it ;)
Where is my bitcoin shorters at? Haha , best TA back at youLet me explain, do you want to make money? do you want to become rich? think like the rich and act like the rich. patience is the key to success
all the people who get sad and mad and liquidated because they want easy fast wealth. for u shorters out there keep shorting bcs we need u all in order to moon harder. microstrategy , blackrock is buying and you think 'let me short' some people make me laugh.
retail interest is JUST getting started and we are set for a liftoff with both ETHEREUM , followed by mid and small caps.
MY PERSONAL OPINION ON THE MARKET : BITCOIN MAY NEVER GO UNDER 100K ANYMORE , this level is a psychological number that will be the strongest support that bitcoin has ever seen. Michael saylor and blackrock and papa Trump and our boy Elon will soon make us lift off the ground even more.
EY what do you wait for? give a like and lets make these shorters a bit mad XD
Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Is $110,000 Achievable? Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: A Path to $110,000?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, with 30-day trader profits returning to a "healthy" range. This resurgence of bullish sentiment has reignited speculation about Bitcoin's potential to reach the coveted $110,000 milestone.
The Return of Profitable Trading
After a period of market volatility and declining profitability, Bitcoin traders have once again begun to experience positive returns over a 30-day period. This shift in market dynamics indicates a growing number of traders are capitalizing on the cryptocurrency's upward momentum.
Key Factors Driving Bitcoin's Bullish Run
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's bullish trajectory:
1. Institutional Adoption:
o Increased Institutional Interest: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and corporations, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. This institutional interest provides significant support to the cryptocurrency's price.
o Regulatory Clarity: As regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies continue to evolve, institutional investors are gaining more confidence in the asset class.
2. Network Upgrades and Scaling Solutions:
o Layer-2 Solutions: The development and implementation of layer-2 scaling solutions, such as the Lightning Network, have the potential to significantly enhance Bitcoin's scalability and transaction throughput.
o Network Upgrades: Regular network upgrades and protocol improvements aim to optimize Bitcoin's performance and security.
3. Global Economic Uncertainty:
o Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates and economic uncertainty have led investors to seek alternative assets, including Bitcoin, as a hedge against inflation.
o Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and global conflicts can also drive demand for Bitcoin as a decentralized and borderless asset.
4. Positive Market Sentiment:
o Bullish Sentiment: A prevailing bullish sentiment among traders and investors has contributed to Bitcoin's price surge.
o FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): As Bitcoin's price continues to rise, FOMO can drive further buying pressure and accelerate the upward trend.
The Path to $110,000
While $110,000 may seem like a lofty target, several factors could propel Bitcoin to this milestone:
• Sustained Institutional Adoption: Continued institutional investment and increased mainstream acceptance can drive significant price appreciation.
• Successful Network Upgrades: Successful implementation of network upgrades and scaling solutions can enhance Bitcoin's utility and attract more users.
• Favorable Regulatory Environment: A supportive regulatory environment can foster innovation and encourage further investment in the cryptocurrency industry.
• Strong Fundamental Factors: A robust economy, low interest rates, and geopolitical tensions can all contribute to Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent price surge and the return of profitable trading activity have reignited optimism among investors. While the $110,000 milestone is not guaranteed, the confluence of favorable factors suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to reach new heights. However, it is crucial to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution, conduct thorough research, and diversify one's portfolio.