Bitcoin - The big secret revealed!Let's start with this; Why do I seem to be ok with BTC going down if I do not short BTC? Because after every parabolic move comes a big drop, the bigger the drop the bigger the next parabolic move. The best thing to do is to catch it near or around the bottom. Why is that? Simple, you'll triple or quadruple your money. As you can see it will be highly beneficial to see BTC go further down.
This is a very predictable cycle and the crazy thing is that all you have to do is learn minimal TA, be patient and wait until the obvious bottom is formed. What typically makes you NOT buy the bottom? When you listen to flawed TA, typically the analyst says "We are going to 2K" or BTC is dead and we're going to $600, which makes you avoid buying at an obvious low point. I heard this last time and as I was loading up at around 3K most new traders were waiting for 2K or $600. The truth is that no one knows where we are going, BTC is manipulated by the very exchanges where you trade and they are incentivized by a different motive, but they do stick to a certain set of rules and we can look for the entry points that we know they are likely to use as a bottom according to those rules. If you manage to control your urge to put your money in at some random entry point you can get into the tempo of buying the beginning of the parabolic move and sell towards the top. That alone will consistently at the very least double your money and at one point you can make a living.
As far as what we see on the chart above; The Green X which is "The optimal buy zone" would be a good place to commit some more capital, it is a logical place from where to take off, but we could try to go lower to entice even more buyers, which is why I would only advise using only a percentage. I see the $6500 area developing as a very strong entry area as well.
I will teach my system which starts with you trading a small amount and learn how to double it. Once you understand it very well you can trade a larger amount. For now, your job is to protect your money, it's hard enough to make it, don't give it away.
Follow me and you'll know exactly which coins to buy and when to buy to maximize your profits.
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NOW, THE LEGEND;
Support trendlines are green
Resistance trendlines are Red
Horizontal support lines are white, the thicker the stronger the support
50 Moving Average is yellow
200 Moving Average is white
THE TREND: Going Down, we have not made a new higher high
THE OUTLOOK: Expected to go down, unexpected if it goes up.
Bitcoinmagic
Bitcoin - Undestand where we are and what may happen.Bitcoin is resting on pretty strong support for now but as more candles pile up on top of that white horizontal line it will get heavier and break. If we go up it may not be too much higher than the combination of the green trendline and 200MA. All the up moves we have been having will culminate once they hit the 200MA for now. One thing to count on is that you will never have too many green candles together or too many red candles together, so we are due for a green candle. Usually, it is 3 to 5 candles of one color before the other color makes an appearance. Over the weekend I notice that the 7K are is becoming stronger and stronger, in my opinion, we may drop as low as $6,700 but we'll come back to 7K a few times before we start going back up. Right now the 4K scenario is not in play at all so don't let anyone tell you we are going that low. It may become a possibility at one point and we'll talk about it once we get there.
This is the long view of the road map so it is easier to see where we are and where we are headed.
Now, some interesting charts I've created for you guys. Below you'll see the Crypto Total Market Cap, Which shows you how much money comes in and goes out at any given time. Money has come in over the weekend (About 10 Billion dollars) this chart and the next one below called BTC Dominance, give you a good leading idea as to where we are headed. I'll tie it all together in the next paragraph. for now, keep in mind that money has come in and stayed in the crypto asset class.
Ok let's look at the BTC Dominance chart
Here we can see that Bitcoin has lost a little dominance. So if money has come in and alts have gained ground that tells you that quite possibly it may be the start of alt season soon (let's hope).
NOW, THE LEGEND;
Support trendlines are green
Resistance trendlines are Red
Horizontal support lines are white, the thicker the stronger the support
50 Moving Average is yellow
200 Moving Average is white
THE TREND: Going a little further down but near the bottom.
THE OUTLOOK: Almost safe to buy BTC but safe to buy top 10 market-cap Alts now and as they dip.
Be safe and follow me to make money and stay ahead of the curve.
Bitcoin - Are you understanding and making money?For a while, I've been educating traders as I do technical analysis for crypto. I've been doing this for a long time and understand the moving patterns of trading is key to making profits and keeping them. I have been giving out signals when to buy and when to sell based on this knowledge. Not sure how many of you are benefiting (Let me know in the comments section below) but in the long run if you follow me you also will understand TA and the rythm of the computers (Algos) that control the price, which ironically are programmed based on human nature.
So what is likely to happen with Bitcoin -- which controls everything? You always have to look back at previous behavior to get an idea of how things may play out in the future. On this timeframe (the 12H) we're starting to go under and stay under the 200MA for a while now, when that happens we are likely to force a death cross (when the 50MA crosses under the 200MA) on the 1D timeframe -- which is when price goes down even more aggressively. Once the death cross happens Bitcoin price will go under for a while. Take a look at what BTC behaves like once it starts crossing down the 200MA on the 12H.
As of right now BTC is more than likely trying to get back to the 200MA on the 1D timeframe. In order to start going back up we need to find a key physiological buy point -- which are marked with green X's on my charts.
THE TREND: Going down still.
THE OUTLOOK: Unsafe to buy BTC but safe to buy top 10 marketcap alts.
Be safe and follow me to make money and stay ahead of the curve.
Bitcoin - Are we going up or down - let me give you the answer. It is simple but I have to admit that sometimes it's hard to tell. The best thing to do to make it easy on you is to chart BTC in multiple timeframes. Alts can give you the impression that the bottom is in because they begin to creep up while BTC ranges or it moves up slightly. Right now it is clear that BTC (The Supreme Leader of crypto) is on a downtrend still and it is easy to see why. As long as BTC does not pop over my thick red downtrend line we are still going down. There are also clues as to what's going to happen short and long term, I am not a psychic nor am I trying to guess the lowest point to get in. The point of trading is to find a safe place for you to make money. You have to change your mindset that in one move you'll get rich. I have made money taking 5 to 7 big bets per year, how? By buying at or around the bottom or after we get over a resistance point. In perspective where is BTC right now? At the very top of the downtrend channel. Indicators are showing a down move soon but it may also go up. SO what should you do? Wait and see if it crosses my redline and also how it crosses the redline -- with energy and volume or in a weak manner.
We are currently looking at the 12h timeframe showing an early death cross, a death cross is when the yellow line (the 50MA) crosses below the black line (the 200 MA). Recovery from this event is almost never quick, so with this knowledge, you simply stay out and wait. Another clue is that we are at the top, it will have to make a choice to either go over the redline (unlikely) or go down (Likely) or range and exit the triangle (likely).
Let's look at the 1D timeframe. In this chart, you can see that BTC's price is at the very top of the channel which is not a good place to buy. It is also far away from the 200MA (which historically) any asset in general, wants to be near the 200MA which in this case it means a drop.
This timeframe is my secret weapon -- the long term view. In here you can see that we are very far away from the 200MA and also at the top of a trendline/channel line that has been impossible to go over for a long time. If BTC makes it out of the redline it's time to sit up and pay attention. So what exactly is my strategy? Simple, to wait until we get low enough to make it a low-risk entry point. If we hit my entry points of the 50MA or the 200MA in the 3D I will be very happy to jump in. To be clearer, my entry points are marked by green X's.
THE TREND: Going down.
THE OUTLOOK: Unsafe to buy BTC.
Be safe and follow me to stay ahead of the curve.
Bitcoin - This is an important update!Bitcoin was able to post an important up move that generated the first higher high in a small timeframe in a while. Bitcoin still has a long way to go and some obstacles to overcome in multiple timeframes for us to say that we are headed up. Let's go over the battles that BTC must fight. First, A while back on Aug 22, I showed you that when price crosses down below the 200MA on the 12H it tends to stay under for months. BTC did crossed down the 200MA on the 12H just five days after my warning on the 27th. Check out the link to that post below. As you can see the meltdown is not in one shot, it goes under and then above and under... Until it completely melts down for months.
Second, The green trendline on the 12H has now become resistance, that green line represents major resistance, it actually is the secondary trendline. BTC needs a lot of strength to be able to penetrate and stay above this line, so far it has stopped right on that line. In this timeframe in order for BTC to post a higher high we need to go over the channel line (faded red downtrend line) and around 12K, and that will not be easy. So far in this timeframe, we are still going downhill.
Third, In the 3D, we need to go above the pink trendline and the 10MA which is currently zapping the price. To post a higher high we need to go to 12.5 or higher which may not be easy. In other words, we are still headed downhill until we go over and above the obstacles covered here.