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Bitcoin in expected price zone, may go lower then UP ? This is the old fractal chart and I have faded out the Fractal from 2013 to 2017, Everything ese remains unchanged since Feb this year. We hit the expected price range indicated by the circle and we are still in that area but I expect, once the month closes and we have a small red month candle, then we can start printing Green again. The daily version of this chart shows us more local detail We have left the area of resistance and so now, we have a free move BUT I think we may dip down to that line of support around 100K - 98K This would not be a bad thing to do before the end of the month as it would cool off the PA / RSI and MACD and so give confidence to the serious investor while scaring the pats off the New guys and Gals. The Daily MACD still has a way to dip before it may find support on the neutral line This level could see PA near that line of support but it is possible for MACD to drop while PA ranges. So we could see that Dip to line of support and it may offer the last 100K buying zone for a very long time .. But we do have Stupid people trying to start WW3 with Lies and Greed - this could possibly destabilise things. Be Cautious
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁 In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️ We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders. For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
by fxtraderanthony
The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block!Bitcoin Market Update (Extended & Insightful): The current update for Bitcoin remains largely the same as the previous one. However, there have been some slight yet significant shifts in the market behavior. The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block (BPR), which initially seemed like a bullish signal. But as it approached the overhead supply zone, it faced strong rejection and started to decline again. This shows that sellers are still active at higher levels. Right now, the market is treating the BPR as an inversion level, meaning it’s testing it as potential support. This level is crucial for determining Bitcoin's next move. 🔍 So, what’s the best approach now? Patience is key at this point. The ideal strategy is to wait and watch. Let the market clearly break either the upper supply zone (which would confirm bullish momentum) or the lower BPR zone (indicating a bearish trend). Only then can we expect a strong directional move. Until one of these key levels is decisively broken, Bitcoin is likely to continue consolidating within this range — moving sideways without a clear trend. 🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research! Always analyze before making any trading decisions.
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout. Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating. The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction. Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍 Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts. NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈 The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets. Summary & Outlook 🚦 BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart. Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained. The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
EIGEN/USDT – Falling Wedge Breakout Setup | 4H ChartEIGEN is currently showing a bullish falling wedge pattern near a strong horizontal demand zone, indicating a potential reversal move. Technical Breakdown: Entry Zone: $1.17 – $1.18 (current market price) Stop-Loss: Below $1.14 (last wick low/invalidation of wedge) Target Price: $1.74, $2.51 (+118%) from CMP Resistance 1 (Minor): $1.33 Resistance 2 (Major Target): $1.74 Support Levels:  • $1.17 (Immediate support)  • $0.749 (Major demand zone if breakdown) Target & Risk-Reward Target Price: $1.74, $2.51 (+118%) from CMP Stop-Loss: $1.14 Risk per token: ~$0.03 Potential Profit per token: ~$0.56 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:6.5 Potential Gain: +118% from entry Indicators: Falling wedge breakout looks imminent RSI (14) at 39.5 — recovering from oversold zone Demand zone previously triggered rallies — the probability of a bounce is high Strategy: Wait for a 4H candle close above the wedge trendline + volume confirmation to validate the breakout. Scaling in near support with a tight stop-loss can offer a strong risk-reward play. Not Financial Advice – This is a technical view for educational purposes. Always DYOR & manage risk accordingly. Like & follow if you found this useful! #EIGEN #Altcoins #Breakout
Long
by ScramblerG
Bitcoin Daily Linear chart getting Squeezed on FED day - Caution Those Fib circles are showing their strength again. See how PA is pushed by them 99% of the Time. And right now, we see PA ina tight Squeeze between horizontal Local support and that falling red 236 fib circle. The Apex of that Bearish pennant is near the end of this month. And, Today, depending on how Markets react to the FED Rate decision, PA could break away from this A Push higher will meet resistance around 109K A Drop lower would find support around 100K - 98K And if I am going to show a Bearish side, a drop to the 4.618 at 92K is VERY possible given Macro events We live in Hope that the Bulls Will show up
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin closed week RED but that is OK, it was closeFor the last 3 weeks, Bitcoin has been in a tight range and each candle has been small body and long wicks, showing indecision and uncertainty This close up chart shows how these 3 weekly candles have occurred at the intersection of a Fib circle (blue) and This alone could explain these "wicky" candles... The Bulls have been fighting hard to keep PA up and to not let it slide down that fib circle, as is normal the majority of the time. . We shall find out this week because, now, there is not a lot to stop the Bulls trying harder. The FED will let us know the decision on interest rates on 18th. This will likely cause a reaction in markets and I think we are most likely to see Rates remain static. PA is currently on Support and remains above the 2.618 Fib extension. All is Good The MVRV (Green) and Z Score (yellow) can be complicated to fully understand but what is important to understand here is how the Yellow Z Score is still above the Green MVRV. this remains Bullish. We should notice how Both are falling and we wait for them to cross back over that falling line of resistance. Currently, This chart shows us that Bitcoin has a slightly undervalued price. The higher we go, the more Oversold, Undervalued/ the top is the opposite, overbought / over valued. The MACD is showing us a s;light levelling off For me, I think this is similar to what we saw in the end of 2024. The MACD may go back down to the Red signal line and bounce....Again, we have to wait and see. Remember, that just because MACD drops, BTC PA does not always follow. We can range across instead Over all, I am still Bullish long term but we may see some continued uncertainty in this market. The FED decision later this week will have an impact for sure Bitcoin remains strong though but should circumstances allow, we could revisit 90K on that trend line below current position. I am not to sure this will happen but a good idea t be ready if it does. What is certain is how PA has never really been in such a "soft" controlled action. The nearest we have is way back in 2016 to 2016. At this time period, we also saw BTC PA rise in a slow steady rise, no sharp pushes higher till the final push to ATH. Currently, we seem to have repeated a similar Acton though. now, for longer So, we wait and we will find out..
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitics Could Delay ItBitcoin’s “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitical Shocks Could Delay the Breakout Deep dive into price action, derivatives, on-chain data, and the tug-of-war between Middle-East risk and crypto bull-run momentum ________________________________________ Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed 13. Disclaimers ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a tight $103 K–$108 K band, unable to confirm a breakout as Middle-East tensions push investors into hedging mode. • A Golden Cross—the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day—could flash within 10 trading sessions, historically adding +37 % median upside over the subsequent 90 days. • Options flow has flipped decisively toward puts, with the 25-delta skew hitting –10 %, its most bearish since the FTX collapse, signaling short-term anxiety even as long-term bets remain bullish. • On-chain metrics (exchange balances at six-year lows, HODLer supply at all-time highs) reveal structural demand; Glassnode notes a 656 % cycle advance despite a trillion-dollar market cap. • Analysts’ upside targets range from $140 K (Q3) to $270 K (October) and even $229 K based on the Golden Cross fractal. Yet a clean break of $104 K support opens room to $97 K first. ________________________________________ 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge Bitcoin entered 2025 with a blistering rally—spot ETFs hoovered nearly 200 K coins in four months, miners sold aggressively into strength, and macro tailwinds (Fed easing, USD weakness) fueled risk appetite. Then two macro curveballs hit: 1. Sticky U.S. core inflation revived “higher-for-longer” rate fears. 2. Israel–Iran hostilities spooked global markets, sending Brent crude to $76 and sparking a dash for USD liquidity. BTC, once heralded as “digital gold,” behaved like a high-beta tech stock: it slipped 7 % in 48 hours, tagging $103,200 before bargain hunters stepped in. As of this writing, price sits near $105,800—right on the 100-hour SMA. Whether we escape the range depends on which force proves stronger: geopolitical dread or the long-term structural bid. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) crosses above the 200-day (SMA-200). In Bitcoin’s 14-year history, we have logged nine such events: Year Days to Cross 90-Day Return 180-Day Return 2013 51 +88 % +202 % 2015 73 +34 % +67 % 2019 46 +193 % +262 % 2020 38 +77 % +112 % 2023 59 +29 % +48 % Median 90-day gain: +37 % Median drawdown post-cross: –12 % We are ~$700 shy of triggering the cross (SMA-50 at $97.9 K, SMA-200 at $98.1 K and rising). Assuming volatility stays muted, the lines converge within two weeks, potentially firing a widely watched buy signal. But remember: the cross is lagging; smart traders anticipate, not react. ________________________________________ 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle Key intraday levels (Kraken feed): • Support 1: $104,000 – prior weekly low + bullish order-block • Support 2: $101,200 – 0.786 Fib retrace of the Feb–Mar impulse • Bear Pivot: $97,000 – 200-day EMA + high-confluence volume node • Resistance 1: $106,800 – last week’s swing high; three failed probes • Resistance 2: $108,500 – May monthly open • Bull Pivot: $113,000 – neckline of the March distribution range Monday’s bounce broke a declining trend-line from $110 K, printing a higher low—constructive, yet bulls require a daily close >$106.8 K to invalidate the short-term bearish structure. ________________________________________ 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts Deribit data (largest BTC options venue): • Put/Call Ratio: 0.62 last Friday → 0.91 today • 25-Delta Skew (1-month): –10 %, lowest since Nov-2022 • Max-Pain for April 26 expiry: $104 K (huge open interest) Translation: traders rushed to buy protective puts as Iran war headlines crossed. Market-makers, short those puts, delta-hedged by shorting spot or perpetual futures, adding downward pressure—classic gamma feedback loop. Yet term structure remains contango; June and September IVs price higher topside. Institutions appear to sell near-dated panic, accumulate long-dated calls—a bullish medium-term stance. ________________________________________ 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 1. Risk-Off Correlation: Despite “digital gold” narratives, BTC’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq-100 sits at 0.64; equities slide → crypto follows. 2. USD Liquidity Drain: War premium lifts oil, stoking inflation and forcing the Fed to delay cuts; higher real yields pressure non-yielding assets. 3. Regulatory Optics: Heightened national-security chatter emboldens lawmakers keen to scrutinize crypto, a perceived sanctions-evasion channel. 4. Regional Flows: The Middle-East hosts some of the largest sovereign-wealth pools; risk aversion could pause their crypto allocations. 5. Hence, every missile headline becomes a volatility catalyst. Still, flash-risk events fade quickly if energy supply stays intact, offering windows for BTC to re-assert its secular trend. ________________________________________ 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 Glassnode frames Bitcoin’s ongoing bull as “one of the most explosive relative to market cap gravity.” Highlights: • Cycle Return: 656 % from the $14 K November-2022 bottom—impressive given the asset is now >$2 T in free-float value, dwarfing 2017’s sub-$100 B base. • Exchange Balances: Just 2.02 M BTC on centralized venues—13-year low. • Realized Price (short-term holders): $92,500—suggests marginal buyers remain well in profit. • Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow: At 275 K BTC/day vs. 2021’s 550 K—implying HODLers are less willing to spend. Put simply: even after a seven-fold rally, supply scarcity persists. ________________________________________ 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve The April 20 adjustment saw difficulty dip 1.2 %, the first contraction since January. Why it matters: • Post-Halving Breathing Room: Block subsidy fell to 1.5625 BTC; a difficulty rollback cushions miner profit margins, lowering forced selling risk. • Hashrate Plateau: Network hashrate hovers at 640 EH/s, only 3 % off the ATH—miners remain confident. • Transaction Fees: Average fee per block = 0.37 BTC, still elevated by historical standards thanks to BRC-20 activity. Miners thus appear cash-flow stable, reducing downside pressure on spot markets compared to previous post-halving eras. ________________________________________ 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid Since MicroStrategy cracked the dam, 68 public companies now hold BTC on balance sheets, totaling 412,000 coins (~$43 B). Recent newcomers: Company Purchase Date BTC Added Avg Cost SemiconX Feb-2025 2,500 $94,800 Nordic Logistics Mar-2025 800 $98,200 Atlantech Energy Apr-2025 1,200 $101,500 Traits of corporate treasuries: • Long-Dated Liabilities: Align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cadence. • Low Turnover: None of the 68 have sold core holdings despite 80 % drawdowns in 2022. • Regulatory Transparency: SEC filings broadcast purchases, inviting copycat demand. This sticky bid stabilizes spot markets during macro squalls. ________________________________________ 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside Bearish Path (30 % probability) • Trigger: Israel–Iran broadens, Fed signals no cuts in 2025. • Price Action: Break $104 K, bulls capitulate at $97 K (200-day). • Depth: Could wick to $88–90 K (0.618 retrace) if macro gloom persists. Base Case (50 % probability) • Trigger: Skirmishes contained; oil cools, Fed cuts twice by December. • Price Action: Golden Cross confirms, BTC grinds to $128 K by September. • Highs: $140 K tap as ETF inflows resume. Bullish Path (20 % probability) • Trigger: Middle-East cease-fire + ETF FOMO round two + dovish Fed pivot. • Fractals: Prior Golden-Cross extensions averaged +120 % at extreme. • Price Action: $150 K by summer, $229 K (Fib 2.618 from 2022 low) by year-end. • Blow-Off: $270 K October spike before the next cyclical bear begins. ________________________________________ 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors Horizon Bias Instruments Risk Management Intraday (0–48 h) Range scalp $104–$107 K Perp futures (5× max), options gamma scalping Hard stop $103 K; position <1 % equity Swing (2–8 wks) Buy pullbacks ahead of Golden Cross Spot, dated futures roll, 1-month $110 K calls Stop $97 K daily close; size 5–10 % Position (3–6 mo) Accumulate for $140–150 K target Spot, June/Sept call spreads ($120/150) Hedge via 25 % put collar Long-Term (1–4 yr) Maintain core stash; ignore noise Cold storage, DCA Re-balance only when price doubles Optional hedge: Long Gold / Short BTC ratio spread as a geopolitical shock absorber; ratio 1.3 currently, mean-reverts to 1.1 post-crises. ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed Bitcoin stands at a crossroads: a textbook Golden Cross beckons, ETF inflows smolder, miners relax, and corporate treasuries drip-feed demand. Yet war headlines and a cautious options market act as sandbags on the balloon. History says macro shocks slow, not stop secular bull cycles. Unless Middle-East conflict strangles global liquidity or the Fed slams the brakes far harder than priced, BTC’s higher-time-frame structure remains bullish. Expect turbulence, embrace risk controls—but don’t mistake a weather delay for a busted engine. ________________________________________ 13. Disclaimers This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
#BTC Double Top Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch: 100K, 92K, 74Bitcoin has recently formed a double top pattern near its all-time high at $112K–$110K, signaling potential exhaustion in the bullish momentum. After a strong rejection from the $106K resistance — a critical zone that has historically failed to close above on the daily timeframe — BTC is showing increasing bearish pressure. All major indicators — RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI — are aligning to confirm this potential downtrend. Here’s the projected bearish scenario if key supports break: A break below $100K could trigger a fall to $97K, followed by a bounce and retest. Rejection from $100K again may lead to a drop toward $92K. Failure to reclaim $95K–$90K could send BTC directly down to $88K. Another failed attempt near $90K might push Bitcoin to crash toward $74K, echoing the 2024 summer correction pattern. This setup mirrors past seasonal moves and could mark a significant shift in market structure if confirmed. 📉 Watch these key zones: $106K – Major resistance $100K – Psychological and structural support $92K / $88K / $74K – Potential targets if bearish continuation plays out ⚠️ Stay alert for retests and confirmations before entries.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by crypto_vulture_signals
1
Bitcoin life cycle-stage One ending-Next cycle has to start NOW There are 3 things to see in this chart 1) The Orange Arc of resistance. I have talked about this previously but to recap a little, it has its origins in Oct 2009 and has rejected EVERY ATH since then, as you can see on the chart. The Arc itself is part of a Fibonacci Spiral. This Arc has begun to Squeeze PA against the lower trend line, that was formed in 2011. And we are now in a position where PA MUST react or get pushed below the Long Term line of support. This could be called Make or Break time for Bitcoin. The Apex of this pennant is around Jan 2026 PA always reacts before the Apex.....99% of the time. 2) The Vertical Coloured bars are Trend Based Fibonacci Time, It begins on the 1st ATH in the channel that Bitcoin created. This channel is shown in the chart below See how the Runs to the 2017 & 2021 ATH were all in a Bullish Green zone and how PA never retouched the lower trend line of support in this time Since Mid 2021, we entered a Bearish Zone. On the main chart, you will notice how this Fib Time has just ended. 3) The Trend based Fibonacci Extensions. Every single ATH rejected off a Fib extension. The Root is at the 2009 Low and 1 is at the First ATH in the Bullish Fib time Zone. The numbers here are all based off the 3,6,9 number sequence. Lets look a little closer at the weekly chart As we can see, PA got repeatably rejected off this orange Arc of Resistance and Current PA has been up there, trying to break through since 2024. Many people have also commented on how PA has been so subdued this cycle and could this be reflected in the Fib Time showing us that we are in a Red Bearish Zone. See how, from Mid 2021, when we entered a Strong Red zone, PA took a Deep dive off the Nov 2021 ATH. Also note how this zone ended in late 2022 and in Jan 2023, PA began its current cycle Run. See the change in Colour ? And Currently, while Bitcoin tries to break out of this squeeze, we were in a Red zone again....that just ended. AND we can also see that we have not yet reached the 6 Fib Extension at 120,251 usd The situation we face here is that if PA gets rejected off that Fib line, having just broken through the Arc, we could get pushed right back down under the Arc again. It is VERY STRONG RESISTANCE This next move from Bitcoin HAS to be strong enough to take us up to the 9 fib line at 180,391 usd at a minimum. This way we can use the 6 Fib extension as support when PA cools off from a big push and so remain above the Arc and begin the Next long term cycle. The Daily chart below shows us where we are right now You can see how PA has repeatably tried to break above the Arc and been rejected Firmly Every time...so far, PA has avoided going right back down to the Lower trend line and has remained in near distance to this Arc..But we are running out of Time. Recent attempts by PA have been Strong and I am sure that we will make it over but the real question is can we also get over that 6 Fib extension and stay above. The weekly MACD certainly has enough strength to cope Should we have a subdued Summer trading on Bitcoin, we will see this MACD cool off and be stronger before a sustained push near Autumn maybe. To conclude, Bitcoin is under pressure to move out of its First Full Cycle. It is getting Squeezed and now it is time for Bitcoin to prove it can cope with its new found "Adulthood" The Next Big push, maybe later in the year, could very realistically reach 200K or more and this would place us Above that 9 Fibonacci extension I talked about earlier. Of course, events could change and we could see PA collapse back below the Arc. If this happens, all is NOT lost but it would certainly weaken the case for Long Term holders to continue doing so. This then could create a Snownall effect and prices may tumble....And I will buy MORE.... Either way, we are in a HUGE moment for Bitcoin and I am privileged to be able see this all unfold... Lets see what happens but, for me, I am Still VERY Bullish though Cautious.... We may have to revisit low 70K in the near future if Pa cannot get over this Arc and the 6 Fib extension
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner. It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes. We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting. For further insights, please follow our account. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
15
Bitcoin Short to 97 K into cpi numbersIn this video I cover the recent drop and what might be a great short on the horizon . With the V shape recovery off the defended 100K level I anticipate that we continue the move up to 107/108K before hitting some resistance and pushing us back into the range leading into the midweek . With cpi news release this could be the catalyst needed to trap the late buyers and drop us into 96K zone . This video provides context and theory for this short setup so I encourage you to watch . Tools used Vwap , volume profile , Fibonacci pulls . Thanks for watching Any questions please leave in the comments Safe trading
Short
by SJTRADESFUTURES
7
Is Bitcoin Repeating Its 2021 Price Action? | TRADEDOTSWe’ve observed that Bitcoin CME:BTC1! appears to be repeating a previous wave pattern. If it follows its historical price action yet again, here’s what we might expect: 2021 Comparison Back in 2021, Bitcoin formed two large rounded wave structures where the second wave exceeded the first, forming two consecutive all-time highs followed by a huge drawdown. This year’s price action looks very similar to the beginning of the second 2021 waves. If it continues to unfold in the same way, we anticipate a new all-time high before the end of this year, followed by a notable pullback into early next year. Key Support at $96,000 As long as BTC holds above $96,000, the bullish trend remains intact. This level has shown great demand and volume support, reinforcing its role as the floor for the short-term uptrend. Upside Potential to $117,000 If buyers continue to support the market above $96,000, BTC could reach the $117,000 region, setting another all-time high. This expectation follows the earlier wave pattern seen earlier this year and completes a close parallel to the 2021 bull run. Deeper Pullback Expected After a potential new high, a larger correction is likely. Drawing on previous pullback price action, a 30% dip toward $82,000 could align with a higher-time-frame trendline and significant support area—mirroring the wave structure from 2021. Final Thoughts BTC remains structurally bullish above $96,000 A pullback to the $82,000 region could present a key buying opportunity if it occurs.
by tradedots
BTC/USD: The Big Player’s Pullback Strategy – Steal Profits!🚨 BITCOIN HEIST ALERT! 🚨 The Ultimate Bullish Raid on BTC/USD (Master Plan Inside) 🌟 Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💸🔥 Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting the GREAT BTC/USD HEIST! Time to LONG & escape near the Red Zone—where bears lurk & traps snap shut! Overbought? Risky? Perfect for a slick exit. 🎯 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💰🏆 🔑 Heist Blueprint: 🎯 Entry: "The raid begins!" Buy MA Pullback near Big Players’ Zone (102,000) OR Buy above pullback—bullish momentum = green light! 📈 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief’s SL = Nearest swing low (or under wick) → 4H candle rules! Adjust based on risk, lot size & multiple orders. 🏴‍☠️ Target: 115,000 (Cha-ching! 💵) ⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! Rich? Strike hard. Not? Join swing robbers! Trailing SL = Your money’s bodyguard. 🔒 💥 Why BTC/USD? Bullish fuel pumping! Fundamentals + Macro + COT + On-Chain Data = 📈🚀 👉 Full analysis? Check our bio links! 🔗 ⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos! Avoid new trades during news. Trailing SL = Profit protector! 💖 Support the Heist! 💥 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💥 Help us steal more profits & grow stronger! 🚀 Daily market heists = Easy money. Stay tuned—next raid coming soon! 🤑🐱‍👤
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Bitcoin-is that it for now ? Lazy summer, take off in September? Not posted this chart for a while but we may find it has become Very relevant to what to expect for the next few months First thing to note is that PA is once again in TOP of range box and ALSO got rejected off the Long Term Blue line that has rejected BTC PA ATH since 2017. This also coincidened with the 1.618 Fib Extension. Rejection here was highly likely and given how PA had pushed up, it is not surprising to see PA at least taking a breath. For me, even though we do have the ability to push higher, I am not to sure we will just yet. The weekly MACD could offer some credence to this idea The Arrow points to an area that could turn out to be similar to what we are doing now. The MACD has begun curling over after a prolonged push higher. While There was strength left, PA took a breath and regrouped. The Chart below shows this period and how BTC PA reacted...and is circled This was in Dec 2023 to Jan 2024. PA had just had a sustained push higher and needed a break.and following a 7 week range, PA moved up another 67% 7 weeks from now brings us to near August. There are charts that point towards a move in August / September Here is another chart that offers some confluence to this idea. The Dotted line is a line of support that PA has used as support numerous times this cycle and currently, is almost bang on the 50 SMA. Assuming that PA goes back down to that and bounces again, a 67% rise takes us back up to the Top of Range Should we drop that far, to the 50 SMA again, we are in the 92K - 95K zone, scaring a LOT of people, wrecking Leverged players and putting Fear everywhere. PERFECT FOR BUYING This area also happens to be the 1.382 Fib extension on the main chart, the next Major line of support below us currently. Should we fall through that, we reach the Bottom of Range and the intersection with the 50 SMA in.......August So, we have to wait and see. We can push higher now but to do so would require breaking through that long term Blue line of resistance. I am not sure we can do that just yet. Also, Should we post a RED June candle, Even a small one, the ideas in the Monthly candle post I recently posted also back up the idea of a lazy summer...... and a move higher around Mid to late August Stay safe
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart. Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline. Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk. Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline . 🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach) To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup: 🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade). 🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher. 🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably. 🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms. 🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy. 💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict. 🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below! BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
Long
by rayhanrafi7
1
Bitcoin - Fib circles Happen. PA knocked down a little. Been warning you about this Fib circle coming up and now we know it is resistance... but how strong ? We do not know just yet but we can lok to the left to see what happened last time. Over pn the left, we can See PA droped for 7 days bwfore breaking away. This could happen again and support is below. The 4 hour chart gives us a better insight PA has already found the first line of support and we currently have a small green candle. Further support below at 104700 and 101700 If they fail, we have the 2.618 Fib extension at 98200 - This should be a strong line of support If that fails, there is ther support and I will talk abou tthat when the time comes. It is wise to be cautious with Bitcoin right now as the 4 hour and Daily MACD are Bearish. This could change anytime and the Bullish "Sentiment" still exists Bitcoin Dominance is dipping again but has the strength to bounce, so be cautious with the ALTS More Soon
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap!Gold Price Technical Analysis. At present, gold is exhibiting signs of continued bearish momentum as it trades below the 50% retracement level of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG). The fact that this critical level has been broken suggests a weakening of bullish strength in the short-term timeframe, and reinforces the likelihood of further downward pressure on the price. Moreover, on the 15-minute chart, there exists another Fair Value Gap just below the current market level, which is offering minor support for the time being. This area has been acting as a temporary cushion, slowing the pace of decline; however, its sustainability remains uncertain under the current market sentiment. Should gold decisively break below the 15-minute FVG as well, it would indicate a deeper structural weakness and open the possibility for an extended bearish move. In such a scenario, the next potential support level lies around the 3293 mark, which could act as a short-term target for sellers and a critical level for buyers to watch for possible reversal signals. Traders and investors are advised to monitor price action closely around these key levels, as further developments could define the next major move in gold's short- to medium-term trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June. This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle. There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD. The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future. In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping. If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision. This could trigger renewed reaction. We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
We've observed the formation of an Order Block(OB)Gold Market Daily Timeframe Analysis The gold market, on the daily timeframe, is currently exhibiting price action consistent with an IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) to ERL (External Range Liquidity) model. Price has swept the IRL and then moved upward by tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This price action suggests a smart money liquidity grab followed by a reaction to an imbalance. Subsequently, the market formed another FVG and executed a tap once more after taking out the initial target structure (TS), continuing its bullish move. Recently, we’ve observed the formation of an Order Block (OB), indicating a potential area where institutional orders may reside. It’s expected that price might return to this OB, and if a Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed on lower timeframes, there could be a strong bullish continuation. In such a case, we may witness the market reaching towards the $3430 level in the coming days. It’s essential to monitor how the market reacts to these key zones especially the OB and the surrounding liquidity structures. Such movements could provide confirmation or invalidation of the projected move. As always, this is a personal market perspective based on price action and liquidity concepts. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice. And by the way what are your thoughts on this analysis? Does it align with your outlook?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade