Bitcoinmarkets
Market Reactions in Last 3 U.S. Elections and BTC Target $95k!Let's look at how the market reacted in the last 3 elections!
- 2012: Obama re-elected ➡️ Initial stock sell-off over fiscal cliff fears, then strong rally post-deal. Crypto is mostly unaffected.
- 2016: Trump wins ➡️ Stock rally on tax cut & deregulation optimism. Bitcoin starts climbing, hinting as a "digital gold."
- 2020: Biden wins amidst pandemic ➡️ Stocks surge on stimulus hopes. Crypto enters a major bull run, with BTC skyrocketing as an inflation hedge.
🗝️ Elections = market volatility & opportunity!
Regardless of who wins, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will likely reach a new ATH by the end of 2024.
Altcoins will likely follow later. IMHO, alts are already heavily discounted. Even if BTC dominance rises and alts take another dip, it’s wiser to DCA into the weaker ones instead of selling near their high-timeframe lows.
Think twice before hitting that sell button. The next 6-8 months could be legendary. It won’t be easy, but the rewards will be worth it.
#BITCOIN UPDATE:-
BTC looks solid for now. There’s still a possibility for BTC to hit the $60K level if Kamala wins; it’s not certain, but it’s a topic circulating in the crypto space. This could act as a short-term downside catalyst, with bulls likely stepping in quickly, leaving a long wick below the resistance turned support.
A retest is underway on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts! I’m anticipating BTC to reach between GETTEX:82K and $95K by the end of the year.
DYOR, NFA.
Do hit the like button and share your views in the comment section!
Thank you
#PEACE
Ethereum's Fading Dominance: A 2023 Trend That Could ContinueEthereum's relative strength against Bitcoin has been waning throughout 2023, and technical analysis suggests this trend may persist.
A Breakdown in the Making
Ethereum (ETH) has been showing signs of weakness relative to Bitcoin (BTC) throughout 2023. This trend and a recent technical breakdown suggest that ETH/BTC could continue its downward trajectory.
Key Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI for ETH/BTC has been declining, indicating a loss of momentum in Ethereum's price action relative to Bitcoin.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for ETH/BTC have crossed over, forming a bearish "death cross" pattern. This pattern often signals a potential downtrend.
3. Support Levels: ETH/BTC has struggled to hold onto key support levels, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing.
Why is Ethereum Losing Ground to Bitcoin?
Several factors may be contributing to Ethereum's relative weakness:
1. Network Congestion and High Fees: Ethereum's network has been plagued by congestion and high transaction fees, particularly during periods of peak demand. This has led to a decline in user experience and network adoption.
2. The Rise of Layer-2 Solutions: While Layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism have helped alleviate some of the congestion issues, they have also fragmented the Ethereum ecosystem.
3. Competition from Other Smart Contract Platforms: Other smart contract platforms, such as Solana and Cardano, have been gaining traction and challenging Ethereum's dominance.
4. Bitcoin's Growing Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin has been increasingly adopted by institutional investors, who view it as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This increased demand for Bitcoin could be driving capital away from Ethereum.
The Potential Impact of the Merge
The Merge, a significant upgrade to the Ethereum network, was expected to improve network efficiency and reduce energy consumption. However, the impact of the Merge on Ethereum's price performance has been mixed. While the Merge may have long-term benefits for the Ethereum ecosystem, it has not been enough to reverse the short-term trend of ETH's underperformance relative to Bitcoin.
Conclusion
Ethereum's relative weakness against Bitcoin is a concerning trend for ETH holders. The technical indicators suggest that ETH/BTC could continue to decline in the coming months. While the Merge was a significant milestone for Ethereum, it may not be enough to offset the challenges facing the network. Investors should closely monitor the price action of ETH/BTC and be prepared for further downside.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elastos looking readyTook some solid profits out of CLV and rotated into ELA.
Could see an explosion if web 3 really does kick off.
Anyone mine ELA?? Should I start mining also or look for other opportunities?
I see some great potential here& will DCA down but a bag just got packed.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Is Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Sustainable? A Detailed AnalysisBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear recently, with prices surging to levels not seen in years. This article delves into the key factors driving this bullish momentum and explores the potential implications for the cryptocurrency market's future.
The Bull Flag Formation: A Technical Analysis Perspective
A key technical indicator that has caught the attention of analysts is the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin's price chart. This pattern is characterized by a sharp upward move, followed by a period of consolidation within a descending trendline. Once the price breaks out of this flag, it often leads to a significant upward move.
First Mover Americas highlighted Bitcoin's flirtation with the $90,000 level, emphasizing the volatility of the market. Such price swings are common in cryptocurrencies, particularly during periods of high momentum.
The Role of Retail Investors
While institutional investors have been a major force in the crypto market, retail investors, often referred to as "shrimps," have also played a crucial role in driving Bitcoin's recent rally. These shrimps have been actively accumulating Bitcoin, even as whales have been offloading their holdings. This suggests that retail investors are increasingly confident in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
Overheating or Sustainable Growth?
A common concern among investors is whether Bitcoin's rapid price appreciation is sustainable or if it is a bubble that is about to burst. Key metrics like the Hash Ribbons Indicator can provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. The indicator, which tracks Bitcoin's hash rate's long-term and short-term moving averages, has recently crossed over, signaling strong miner confidence. This bullish crossover has historically been followed by significant price increases.
Furthermore, Bitcoin's Weekly RSI (Relative Strength Index) has entered the overbought zone, indicating that the asset may be overvalued in the short term. However, the last time the RSI reached this level, Bitcoin surged by over 80%. It's important to note that technical indicators should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis to make informed investment decisions.
The Impact of Increased Trading Volume
The surge in Bitcoin's price has been accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. This increased activity, driven primarily by retail demand, has further fueled the rally. As more and more investors flock to the cryptocurrency market, the demand for Bitcoin is likely to continue to grow.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent bull run has been fueled by a combination of technical factors, strong investor sentiment, and increased retail demand. While the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong. As the network matures and adoption grows, Bitcoin's long-term prospects appear promising.
However, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#BTC/USDT hiTS $93K What's next? Urgent Update! Bitcoin is straightforward: Watch for liquidity around $88,083 and $89,696 on the hourly chart. These are critical levels for the bulls to defend.
With no significant resistance, a move to the $100K mark seems likely. However, since everyone is eyeing $100K, we might not reach it as quickly as expected.
BTC has enjoyed a massive rally over the past few weeks and may need a halt, but you never know!
Invalidation: a close below $85,314.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#PEACE
CRV has(bottomed??) some solid potentialJust what I could see for some potential here.
I will 99% chance have sold it before .618.
Institutional money is obviously flowing around and this something that's making a beautiful bottoming structure.
Could still go down another 40ish% but I'm playing as if the bottom is in.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Bitcoin Trade Using Trend Following IndicatorsNote Bitcoin simply bounces off the Blue support-resistance line and continues higher.
Find out more about the indicators used on this chart by following the link in the signature line!
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How to understand price action.
It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand.
You can also think of these indicators as moving pivot points .
MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade.
The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter.
If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying).
For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling).
For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). A stock has to close below the Yellow line first, then rally towards the Red line and top out there. This is where I would short it.
The markets mirror life. Bitcoin.The markets mirror life — full of highs, lows, and moments that test your patience. In both, the key is resilience. Embrace each setback as a teacher, each victory as fuel, and every decision as a step forward.
We’ve got solid support and insider signals from whales who’ve been buying up every dip after failed attempts to break higher. Thanks for tuning in—wishing everyone great trades ahead!
DYOR.
Yours truly,
Hedonist.
BTC is heading forward to unbelievable high records Hello traders and good morning,
As I said before, if you were following my analysis about the BTC and crypto in general, I have given an analysis about the.Bullish strong bullish momentum and said that price is going to reach the $100K very soon if the market of the Bitcoin keeps this strong bullish momentum.The the price ended in a high volatility.And reached an all time high. What we'll see in this month, which is the month before the last month of the year.If that bullish strong bullish momentum is kept well, the price will hit.And the nine $90,000 level and then in the last month, which is December.We will have a historical high level of Bitcoin if the buyers are still keeping that strong bullish momentum and eventually the price will hit.The $100K.Level, which will bea historical.All time high record, so please keep watching the market and.Make sure to.Get benefit of this bullish move and good luck everyone.
Well, talk to you later and good luck.
$BITCOIN Analysis: The market retreats, Ignoring the good news?My answer to the topic is that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN might have a short-term pullback from technical analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD soared 9% yesterday since Trump won the presidential election. And then, it be rejected by the resistance level of the bullish channel upper edge.
Therefore, the price might continue to go up after a short-term pullback. And the support level for this pullback could be previous high area.
Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets.
Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly.
Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time...
But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support.
Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows.
In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull.
Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013.
As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout.
Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything!
Brett
BTC Reaches New All-Time High as U.S. Election Excitement SpikesBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has surged to record-breaking highs, exceeding the $73,800 mark on November 6, driven by growing excitement surrounding the U.S. presidential election. The cryptocurrency experienced a robust 8.63% gain over the past 24 hours, briefly touching $75,011.06, as per CoinMarketCap data. This rally marks a pivotal moment for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), reflecting both fundamental shifts and robust technical momentum.
Election-Driven Momentum and Investor Sentiment
The U.S. election has played a significant role in this surge, with Bitcoin’s price mirroring heightened market anticipation. During early New York trading hours, CRYPTOCAP:BTC climbed more than 3%, hitting $70,577. We attribute this performance to political forecasts, many of which favor Republican candidate Donald Trump. On decentralized prediction platforms like Polymarket, Trump's odds of victory surged past 60%, driving speculative interest in risk assets like Bitcoin.
Investor sentiment also appears split amid this rally. Prediction markets have become a focal point for traders eyeing short-term price shifts, and a boost in Trump’s winning odds correlated directly with Bitcoin's breach of the $70,000 threshold. However, uncertainty persists: major Bitcoin spot ETFs, including Fidelity and Ark Invest, have seen outflows totaling $541.1 million, while BlackRock's IBIT ETF stood out with $38.3 million in inflows.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) exhibits strong upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 67.76, indicating that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is nearing overbought territory but still has room for further gains before reaching extreme levels. Moreover, a bullish crossover has occurred: the 9-day moving average has risen above the 21-day moving average, signaling sustained bullish sentiment.
Support levels also highlight the strength of Bitcoin's price action. BTC’s current support at $69,000 has been tested multiple times, acting as a reliable floor for price movements. If Bitcoin were to pull back, analysts identify $64,000 as the next critical support level. On the upside, resistance at $75,000 is significant, but breaking past this barrier could propel CRYPTOCAP:BTC to a target range between $80,000 and $85,000, setting new benchmarks for price stability.
Fundamental Factors: Halving and ETF Developments
Bitcoin’s impressive rally builds on fundamental developments, including the April 2024 halving, when mining rewards were reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. Historically, halvings have constrained Bitcoin's supply, often triggering significant price appreciation. This year’s halving has once again underscored Bitcoin's deflationary nature, contributing to its ongoing seven-month upward trend.
Additionally, the emergence of U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs has catalyzed further interest in the cryptocurrency market. Since their debut in January, these ETFs have amassed over $450 billion in daily trading volume, with inflows reaching $22.5 billion in 2024. Nevertheless, ETF performance has shown mixed signals. Notably, on November 5, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of $72.67 million, marking a three-day streak. Fidelity’s FTBC ETF recorded a substantial single-day outflow of $68.24 million, suggesting some investors remain cautious.
Options Market Insights and Leverage Risks
The options market reveals bullish sentiment for key November dates, with many traders targeting price levels between $72,000 and $75,000. However, caution is also evident, as one trader placed $64,000 worth of put options, hedging against potential downside risk. The stakes are high, as CoinGlass data indicates a price drop below $68,000 could liquidate roughly $484 million in long positions. Conversely, a breakout above current levels may trigger forced liquidations of $215 million in short positions, underscoring the volatility driven by leveraged trading.
Leverage plays a crucial role in Bitcoin's market dynamics. Should BTC’s price move sharply, liquidation cascades could amplify price swings, heightening market turbulence. This setup remains a double-edged sword, promising either rapid gains or significant losses for traders.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's ascent past $75,000 showcases its resilience as a digital asset, bolstered by election-driven sentiment, favorable technical indicators, and a foundation of growing institutional adoption. While uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election outcome and ETF flows present risks, Bitcoin’s robust support levels and bullish momentum signal a promising outlook. As market participants watch for the next breakout, CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains a focal point in the ever-evolving digital economy.
BITCOIN's Meteoric Rise Targets New Highs – Massive Gains AwaitBITCOIN Analysis:
Bitcoin (BTC) has continued its upward trajectory, hitting initial targets TP1 and TP2, with TP3 and TP4 in sight. This bullish momentum aligns with recent market developments, showing signs of further growth potential.
Key Highlights:
Price Action : BTC has breached significant resistance levels, marking strong bullish activity on the 1D timeframe.
Targets Remaining: With TP1 ($68,220.2) and TP2 ($73,980.5) already achieved, Bitcoin's bullish push looks set to challenge TP3 ($79,740.9) and TP4 ($83,300.7).
Supporting Factors:
Market Cap Surge : Bitcoin’s market cap returned to the top 10 global assets, driven by a recent spike to $75K.
Liquidation Event : A single trader was liquidated for $75M on Binance during Bitcoin's latest surge, highlighting heightened market interest and volatility.
Technical Indicators:
The Risological Dotted Trendline shows a strong upward inclination, adding to the bullish outlook. If BTC continues on this path, TP3 and TP4 could be within reach soon.
This setup signals promising profit opportunities as Bitcoin continues to capture massive interest worldwide. Keep an eye on the remaining targets as BTC pushes towards new potential highs.
BITCOIN HITS $75000 a NEW ATH! What's next?Are you not entertained? Though it came sooner than expected!
BTC has hit $75,000! 🎉
You’ve earned this moment! Alts will follow suit soon.
Congratulations to those who believed; RIP, Bears.
Expect a retest at $72k before pushing even higher!
Do hit that like button if you find my content valuable!
Thank you.
#PEACE
BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!!COINBASE:BTCUSD NASDAQ:IBIT
🚀BITCOIN HEADING HIGHER! BUCKLE UP!!! 🚀
Bitcoin is unstoppable, and the next U.S. President won’t change that! 🌟 +67% Potential!
In our previous video, we did a deep dive into Bitcoin. Here's what we covered:
1️⃣ High Five Setup: MASSIVE Multi-Year Cup & Handle and Bull Flag Patterns.
2️⃣ Historical Review: CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops and bottoms – spoiler: we haven’t topped yet!
3️⃣ Trade Insights: Entry/exit points and price targets.
We've successfully bounced off the BULL FLAG retest area and are heading higher. Breaking $74k could mean a breakout of the multi-year cup n handle pattern, targeting over $100k! 🚀
It's early on election night, but in the long run, it doesn't matter for Bitcoin. Don’t believe the FUD.
NFA
#Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingStrategy #HighFiveSetup
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone,
In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here...
I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks...
We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle...
But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster.
We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP!
I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust.
This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy.
If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more.
But we're not here to talk about politics!
It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters.
I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news".
Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k.
And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k.
I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios.
Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world!
I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown.
Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use.
Brett Fogle
Moonstream Crypto
Mt. Gox Moves $2.2 Billion in Bitcoin Amid Repayment DelaysMt. Gox, the once-dominant but now-defunct Bitcoin exchange, made waves by transferring 32,371 CRYPTOCAP:BTC —valued at approximately $2.2 billion—to unmarked wallets. The timing of these movements is critical, given the already volatile landscape surrounding Bitcoin and ongoing uncertainties related to the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
Mt. Gox Transfers 32,371 BTC to Unmarked Wallets
Blockchain analytics firm Arkham reports that Mt. Gox has executed a massive transaction, moving 32,371 BTC to two unidentified wallet addresses. This event stands as the largest transfer from Mt. Gox in recent months. Specifically, 30,371 BTC went to a wallet labeled “1FG2C…Rveoy,” while the remaining 2,000 BTC was directed to a separate wallet named “1Jbez…LAPs6.” Additionally, an internal movement of 2,000 BTC between cold wallets suggests ongoing asset reorganization, likely in preparation for creditor repayments.
This is not the first time that Mt. Gox has moved funds, as smaller transfers were observed last week. However, this latest transfer's scale has piqued market watchers' interest, sparking questions about its timing and the potential impact on the Bitcoin market.
Repayment Delays Extended to 2025
The transfer comes on the heels of Mt. Gox announcing a delay in its repayment schedule. Initially set for October 31, 2024, the deadline has been postponed to October 31, 2025, following approval by a Japanese court. This extension gives the Mt. Gox Rehabilitation Trustee more time to sort out repayment plans, which many investors see as a temporary relief. However, there is lingering concern about the eventual release of a large volume of Bitcoin into the market, which could exert significant downward pressure on CRYPTOCAP:BTC prices if creditors decide to sell their holdings en masse.
Market analysts are wary of how these delays and large-scale transfers could impact the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, especially as repayment announcements from Mt. Gox have historically triggered market volatility.
Market Reaction and Election Uncertainty
The market's response to Mt. Gox's Bitcoin movements has been mixed. Some investors fear that the impending distribution to creditors could lead to substantial sell-offs, pressuring Bitcoin's price downward. These concerns come amid broader geopolitical and economic uncertainty, compounded by fluctuations in the U.S. presidential race.
Bitcoin’s price has already experienced a 7% dip last week, largely attributed to uncertainties surrounding the U.S. election. Speculation is rife about potential regulatory changes, with some traders anxious about a Kamala Harris presidency, given her largely undefined stance on cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a more crypto-friendly administration could spur optimism among investors.
Technical Outlook
Despite these concerns, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has shown signs of resilience. As of now, BTC is trading up 1.53%, with an RSI of 54.82, signaling moderate bullish momentum. The daily price chart also indicates a bullish engulfing pattern forming, which is often a precursor to upward movement. Furthermore, a golden cross—a bullish technical signal where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average—is slowly materializing.
Bitcoin’s immediate support lies between the $64,000 to $65,000 pivot range, and a short-term correction could be on the horizon. However, we are eyeing a potential surge to $75,000, with optimistic projections even stretching to $100,000, assuming bullish catalysts materialize. These factors include institutional inflows, market sentiment shifts, and broader acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value amid economic uncertainty.
What Lies Ahead
Bitcoin’s trajectory is shaped by both macroeconomic elements and crypto-specific news. The Mt. Gox repayment delay has provided a reprieve, albeit temporary, preventing a massive influx of CRYPTOCAP:BTC into the market. Additionally, geopolitical events, such as the U.S. presidential election and looming concerns about regulatory shifts, add layers of complexity to Bitcoin’s outlook.
Investors should also consider Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability. As traditional markets brace for election-related volatility, Bitcoin’s status as "digital gold" may attract more attention, driving up prices. However, this is contingent upon market sentiment remaining favorable and no significant sell-off events—such as a large-scale release from Mt. Gox creditors—materializing.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s road ahead is fraught with both challenges and opportunities. The Mt. Gox transfers and repayment delays have introduced another layer of complexity, while the upcoming U.S. presidential election adds to the uncertainty. Yet, technical indicators suggest that a bullish trend could be on the horizon, provided the market can weather short-term corrections and external shocks.
As always, the crypto landscape is ever-changing, requiring both patience and mental fortitude from investors. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory, and all eyes will be on key resistance and support levels as the market digests these developments
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This is our master plan to Heist BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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