Bitcoin Analysis==>>Bears' Turn for Selling Pressure!!!As I expected , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) rose to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) , the lower line of the ascending channel and 100_EMA(4H TF) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin is completing wave 4 . The structure of wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, the Volume of candles that brought Bitcoin up to the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is not significant for me.
I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the Support zone($95,890-$95,540) . And if the support zone breaks, we can expect another attack on the Support zone($95,000-$90,870) and 50_SMA(Daily) and fill the CME Gap($94,435-$93,935) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $100,000, we should expect more PUMPS.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoinprediction
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update. If you like money, Read This!Welcome to this quick update, everyone!
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at around $98,400 at the time of writing.
BTC is making a **bearish retest of the 21EMA** on the daily chart, which is a crucial indicator for identifying short-term trends. This is particularly significant for traders involved in futures and options within the crypto market.
- Break above the 21EMA is bullish.
- BTC is also retesting the previously broken pennant pattern to the downside.
If you're feeling FOMO (fear of missing out), it's better to wait until BTC reclaims the Blue EMA and trades back inside the channel/pennant.
If these two levels are recovered, we could anticipate a new all-time high (ATH). However, until that happens, exercise caution. Trading volume is exceptionally low across exchanges, and it's worth noting that during holiday seasons, market makers often exploit these conditions to manipulate prices, leaving retail traders at a disadvantage.
While you're free to make your own decisions, my advice is to trade with confirmations. This approach provides an edge and makes holding positions more comfortable while effectively managing risk.
If you found this analysis and chart helpful, please hit the like button to show your support and feel free to share your views in the comments section.
Thank you!
#PEACE
BTCUSDT - Bearish sign?daily chart displays a ascending broading wedge pattern
can notice obviously how price action going when touches the lower side of the pattern
You'll notice a full absorption of the candle, with only a wick touching the lower part of the pattern.
It's important to understand that the ascending wedge pattern is inherently bearish, often signaling a downward move. However, Bitcoin rarely gives you a clear short signal like this—it will likely liquidate all short positions first.
What’s expected is a strong upward move in the coming days, followed by a drop. Bitcoin’s target for this correction is 85k.
Bitcoin | How to Master Ranges ?In our latest analysis ( BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ) about ranges we had concluded that high leveraged longs would be liquidated, this was due to the belief of the indicators (cdv, volume footprint, etc.) that there were buyers.
However, the lack of buyers in the current picture is a big problem, the data currently says so, but the data is not stable, it can change, you can follow this from volume footprints, cumulative delta volume, liquidation heatmaps. If you do not know how to use these, you can visit my profile, you can contact me, I explain how I use all these tools completely free of charge.
My opinion today is that the price will sell nicely from the red line and the decline will deepen, and everyone who follows me knows that I have been repeating this opinion since $103,000.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
DAY 5 - Daily BTC Update Merry Christmas!Yesterday's Update
🎄 Merry Christmas, TradingView Fam! 🎄
The BTC bulls are delivering a gift this holiday season 🎁! After a strong bounce, Bitcoin is eyeing $100K today, setting the stage for a spectacular Christmas Day rally.
Here’s the roadmap:
🎯 First Pivot: $100,800
🎯 Second Pivot: $105,720
Breaking through these levels will set BTC on Pathway 1, as outlined yesterday, and reinforce the bullish momentum. 🚀 (Although not breaking the first pivot could see Pathway 2)
Santa seems to have packed his bag with a Bitcoin rocket this year! 🌕
Wishing you all a magical Christmas!💫
See you all tomorrow! <3
A Bullish Merry BTChristmasGlad this year Christmas isn't different from others before it, for all Crypto traders.
Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC flipped bullish on the eve of Xmas. My Yellow trend line was a huge confirmation for me. It reclaimed and broke above it.
3 Green back-to-back candles in 1 minute ✨✨✨
Happy Merry B-T-C hristmas 🎄🎅
Beautiful trade year for me and the entire Bulls
Dynamic Trio: $85K, Trendline, and EMA in FocusThe $85,000 level is a key confluence zone, combining horizontal support, the rising trendline, and the 100 EMA as dynamic support.
This area is critical for potential bullish momentum. Monitor closely for price reactions, as holding this level could trigger a bounce, while a breakdown may lead to further downside.
Bitcoin (BTC): What’s Next After This Correction?Good morning, trading family!
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is in a correction, and here’s what could happen next:
Option 1: BTC corrects to the $84K range and then makes a move to $11K+.
Option 2: We drop further into the $74K zone, then push higher.
Option 3: A deeper drop to the $60-$55K zone, followed by a recovery.
These are the levels I’m watching. Let’s stay focused and be ready for the next big move!
Wellness Challenge:
I challenge you to try one of the wellness tips that I added to my videos that I did today ! It could be drinking more water, eating better, or taking short breaks. Pick one and stick with it for a week—let me know how it works for you!
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more details or want to share how your challenge is going!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview:
Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel:
BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance.
If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000.
Structure Levels:
A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action.
Moving Averages:
The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend.
Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: $102,000–$116,000.
Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000.
Indicators:
RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase.
MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks.
Projected Scenario:
Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000.
Potential Risks:
A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000.
Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin's Rally Loses Steam: A Reversal Pattern Takes Shape● Bitcoin reached a record high of approximately $108,390, driven by strong bullish momentum.
● However, the rally was short-lived as intense selling pressure kicked in, triggering a rapid decline to $92,500 and erasing some of the recent gains.
● The frequent price fluctuations are likely to form a Head & Shoulder pattern, a bearish pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal and further downside.
● A sharp decline is expected if Bitcoin breaches below $91,500.
DAY 3 - Daily BTC UpdateBitcoin must hold the key support level of $92,300 to maintain its bullish outlook and validate the Dragonfly Doji pattern on the daily timeframe. There is conflicting data, with momentum indicating increasing selling pressure, reflected in the formation of lower highs on the daily chart, but the STOCH RSI has bottomed.
Bitcoin’s hash rate—the computational power used to mine and process transactions—has risen by 5.48% to 830.78 EH/s, showcasing stronger network security and processing power. Despite this, mining difficulty remains unchanged at 108.52 T, suggesting that while miners are contributing more power, the effort required to mine a block has not yet been adjusted.
The Crypto Greed and Fear Index currently stands at 70, indicating market greed. While this sentiment suggests confidence, it could also signal caution as investors may pull back from further price increases after the recent decline. The total cryptocurrency market cap has dropped by approximately 2.9%, with Bitcoin dominance slightly decreasing to 55.1%, reflecting minor shifts in market dynamics.
In trading, long liquidations have surged, with over $38 million in Bitcoin long positions liquidated within four hours. This sharp move signals a potential bearish turn, driven by traders taking profits or reacting to external pressures. Despite this, declining trading volume suggests fewer sellers in the market, which could hint at stabilisation or a potential reversal.
On-chain data provides a more optimistic perspective. Whale accumulation has increased, and exchange liquidity inventory ratios have declined, signalling that large holders are likely accumulating Bitcoin for longer-term gains or anticipating a price recovery. Moreover, exchange reserves are decreasing, reducing the immediate supply of Bitcoin available for sale. This dynamic supports a potential price rebound if current trends persist.
The past 24 hours have been volatile, with Bitcoin leaning bearish in the short term. However, the underlying on-chain metrics—such as whale activity and reduced exchange reserves—suggest that bullish investors still have hope. A buy-the-dip opportunity may arise if Bitcoin forms a higher low in the coming sessions, potentially paving the way for a recovery.
I am still Buying the Dips :)
PS there were a few more images on the in group update - but not allowed under Trading View Rules - Sorry :(
"In markets, gravity always wins."📉 Bitcoin Analysis (BTC/USD) 📉
Bitcoin's meteoric 100% rise since September screams overextension. The euphoria may be fading, and a correction looks imminent.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
$73,800: The first major support—breaking this could accelerate the drop.
$65,600: A likely target if bears take full control.
The chart suggests BTC is overdue for a pullback. Corrections after such rallies aren’t just likely—they’re inevitable. Bulls, buckle up. Bears, this might be your moment.
"In markets, gravity always wins."
Bitcoin's Next Move - Do or DieBitcoin www.tradingview.com has been in a downfall lately, prompting altcoins to dip to lows we haven't seen for months. As you can see in the chart above, bitcoin is teetering on the edge of this regression trend, falling beneath this 95k mark could spark another sell off, with 92k being the next line of support and likely 85k after that. A bounce to the upside here will probably bring btc back to the mean of the trend at around 100k. A break above 100k could send us to new all time highs!
Smash the rocket and follow for daily updates during this critical time!
NSTR - Technical Analysis of Key Bullish and Bearish LevelsKey Observations:
Expanded Volume Profile:
The volume profile on the left indicates significant trading activity (support/resistance zones).
The high-volume node around 360–380 suggests a key area of interest where the price might consolidate or face resistance/support.
Bullish Levels:
Bullish Week (376): A breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum toward 400 and potentially higher.
Close Week Swing (363): Currently being tested. Sustained strength above this level would be a sign of bullish continuation.
Key Target at 400: Bullish swing level acting as a psychological and technical resistance point.
Bearish Levels:
Bear Swing (348): A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside, with the next support at Bear Week (325).
Week ATR (328): If the price approaches this level, it signals a deeper bearish sentiment.
Price Action:
The yellow line shows a recovery attempt after a sharp drop. The price appears to be testing resistance at Close Week Swing (363).
The upward trend from lower levels near 325 suggests some buying interest at lower prices.
Annotations and Targets:
Close Week Swing (363) is pivotal; crossing this level with volume might lead to a test of higher resistance levels.
The area around 325–328 has shown strong support previously, and a retest might attract buyers.
Analysis:
Bullish Scenario:
The price needs to decisively close above 363 to gain bullish momentum. If this happens, look for targets at 376 and then 400.
Volume supporting an upward move would confirm bullish sentiment.
The Bullish Week (376) level is critical for mid-term trend confirmation.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 363 could lead to a retest of 348 (Bear Swing) and possibly further downward moves toward 325–328.
Increased volume at lower levels might indicate bearish control.
Neutral Scenario:
Consolidation between 348 and 363 could signal indecision, with a breakout or breakdown likely depending on market sentiment.
Recommendations:
For Bullish Traders:
Look for strong volume above 363 and consider targets at 376 and 400.
Watch for consolidation near 360–363 as a possible entry point.
For Bearish Traders:
A rejection at 363 or a breakdown below 348 would signal opportunities to target 325–328.
Use volume and candlestick patterns to confirm breakdowns.
Risk Management:
Stops should be placed slightly beyond key levels (e.g., above 376 for shorts or below 348 for longs).
This setup emphasizes the importance of the 363 level as a tipping point for direction. Let me know if you'd like further insights!
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: Huge Gains Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you made a right decision when received the warning sign by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator from our previous Bitcoin analysis . Now we see that this correction is happening right now and there is some space to go down more but not that much as you may be think.
Let's take a look at the daily BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see that our indicator has printed the red dot at the top of the wave 3. After that this dump has been started. This is wave 4 and it has the clear target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Therefore we can conclude that max target which price can reach before the reversal is 84k, but it's more likely the reversal will happen earlier, at $89k.
When correction will be finished we can expect the wave 5 with the optimistic targets between $120k and $140k. Here is nothing change from the last analysis. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Doge, Bitcoin and the Monthly LMACD Let me start by explaning what you are seeing here, at the top is Bitcoin , bellow doge and the bottom is the LMACD on the monthly time frame for Bitcoin. As I have stated in multiple occasions bull markets typically last for about 26 bars or 793 days(green histograms of the LMACD). Once those 793 days ends you see the LMACD crossing bearish and starting the transition to the bear market. Using this pattern I came to the conclusion that this bull market should be running till Sep2025. Now if you look closely the 2017 cycle top arrived 4 bars(months) before the the end of the bull market, 2021 cycle top around 5 bars and maybe 2025 cycle top would be 6 bars before Sep. This might suggest topping in March2025 for BITCOIN and exactly 1 bar after this the DOGE top in April2025.
DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update
I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing:
STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce.
0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal.
Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight:
Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term.
Supply and Demand in Bitcoin
Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements:
Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading.
Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall.
Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand.
Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Bitcoin Crucial Support LevelBitcoin is still showing strong Support around the: GETTEX:92K zone area. Multiple times this area has been retested. Until we break bellow, I’m still optimistic🚀
Bulls have still managed to prevent the bears pushing price action further to the downside 👀😬
Remember this was just a correction, not a crash 💥 🙌🏻
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024
Overview:
Let’s focus on Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been pumping steadily, but it now appears to be losing momentum. The market structure has created an imbalance, suggesting a potential decline in the coming weeks.
Trade Idea:
Potential Buy Zone: The price could fall to the marked zone around $73,000.
Entry Timing: Avoid entering immediately when the price reaches this level. Instead, wait for a clear reaction—such as bullish confirmation or upward momentum—before considering a buying opportunity.
Key Considerations:
This setup is similar to the structure seen in the German Index (DE40), which showed comparable behavior before a significant drop. The resemblance in patterns could signal a similar outcome for Bitcoin.
Monitor price action closely in the coming weeks for signs of reversal once the price reaches the anticipated zone.
Risk Management:
Do Not Rush: This is not financial advice. Always wait for clear entry signals before making any decisions.
Stay Disciplined: Protecting your capital is more important than making profits. Use proper stop-loss levels to safeguard your trades.
Trading Requires Patience: A reactive approach is key. Trading is about responding to what the market shows you, not forcing predictions.
Final Note:
Making no money is always better than losing money. Watch Bitcoin closely in the coming weeks, and stay disciplined in your analysis. Let’s see how the market unfolds. See you in the next update!
Bitcoin Fed Can’t Hold Bitcoin, No Plans Yet To Change Law, Powell Says
Jerome Powell says the Fed isn't allowed to own Bitcoin.
He also says the bank cannot create a stockpile of digital assets.
The market immediately reacted to Powell's statement, sending Bitcoin's price down by 5.7%.Bitcoin Decline Continues: Are Bulls Losing Control?
Bitcoin price extended losses and traded below the $100,000 zone.
BTC is struggling and might continue to move down toward the $92,000 support zone.
Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $102,000 resistance zone.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98,500.
Glassnode's Week on Chain report revealed the similarities between the current Bitcoin uptrend and previous cycles amid changing market conditions. Meanwhile, long-term investors began distributing their tokens at the $100K level, culminating in a new all-time high of $2.1 billion in realized profitsAccording to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode's weekly report, Bitcoin's current price performance has a striking resemblance with the 2015-2018 and 2018-2021 cycles despite the changing dynamics in its market structure.
Like previous cycles, the selling pressure that accompanies sustained price increases has remained but at a much lower pace. The deepest drawdown in this cycle occurred on August 5, 2024, when prices dropped 32% below their peak