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Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin's Path to $100k USD&beyond - How much time is left?Don’t worry—we’re not here to debate whether the bull market top is in or still ahead. Based on cycle analysis, one thing is clear: Bitcoin is set to break $100K soon and continue its upward trajectory. But the real question is: How much time do we have left? Can we still make gains until the end of the year, or will March/April be the final window to profit? 🔹 Bitcoin’s Current Position BTC is approaching its 60-day cycle low, with the 1-day, 3-day, and 1-week cycles all dipping below 20. We’re waiting for the final bottom to form—historically, these moments offer some of the best buying opportunities. 🔸 Two Possible Scenarios Ahead: 1️⃣ Bull Market Peak in May 2025 The upcoming 2-week cycle top marks the end of the bull market (~May). The 2-week cycle typically takes ~14 weeks to reach a peak, aligning with a late-May timeline. After this, a 1.5-year bear market (~18 months) could begin, correcting the excess of this cycle. 2️⃣ Final Top in December/January The market peaks at year-end, followed by a 12-month bear market. This means a bloody summer, then a fast & bullish upside in Oct/Nov leading to a final peak. This aligns with historical seasonality of previous cycles. 📌 Conclusion: No matter which scenario plays out, the key is to maximize gains before the cycle peaks and exit before the bear market begins. 📈 Watch for the 60-day cycle bottom—this will be the key entry point. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let me know in the comments! 👇🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BITCOIN RISING AGAINCan this idea be valid if? I see a smiles forming on the chart, By the way, its hard to predict at this timeframe, its only 1h. but my recommendations is LONGs. 106k would be the target. Use your stop loss wisely. This is not a financial advice or signal. Im not a signal provider. If this idea works on your trading, then you can trade it. Trade with proper stops. Use proper leverage. don't be a greedy and trade wisely base on your money. Follow for more crypto trades. I only see 10k movement above.
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2 Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings. Market Dynamics and Technical Levels Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors. Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin. The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity. Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance. Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3 Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space. Navigating the Uncertainty The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected. Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Will Bitcoin Rise in Late March or Early April? Possible Scenari Currently, Bitcoin is entering a highly unique cycle where it’s attracting almost the entire market capitalization and staying at elevated levels. This contrasts with previous cycles when altcoins had more distinct opportunities, causing frustration for holders of large altcoin positions. Bitcoin moved from the 27k level to form a peak, corrected down to 59k, then rallied to 107k to form a second peak on the monthly timeframe. At this point, Bitcoin appears to be starting a corrective wave within the larger uptrend structure. Based on the current downtrend structure from the weekly (W) timeframe downward, here are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin: Scenario 1 🔸 The price undergoes a correction, but it’s short-lived and soon reverts to the uptrend. Specifically:   🔹 A drop to around the 88k zone, followed by a minor rebound   🔹 Another correction down to the key levels of 83k or 75k   🔹 If a bottom forms at one of these zones, price could start a new upswing on the weekly chart, aligning with a fresh monthly uptrend Timing: 🔸 Potentially in the first two weeks of April 🔸 If things move faster, it could happen in the last two weeks of March Target: 🔸 A new all-time high (ATH) near 130k–140k Scenario 2 🔸 The price drops to the 75k zone, accumulates there but fails to continue upward, instead forming a lower low. Specifically:   🔹 A further drop toward 68k–70k, or slightly lower   🔹 If this unfolds, Bitcoin might not rally in March or April   🔹 The corrective phase could extend into May–June 2025, after which the market completes its accumulation Target Post-Accumulation: 🔸 A new peak near the previous level of 110k Trading Approaches in the Current State of Bitcoin For Traders (Futures / Margin): 🔸 Look for SELL swing opportunities 🔸 Scalp BUYs at key support/resistance zones For Spot Investors: 🔸 Identify critical zones to accumulate BTC 🔸 During corrections, watch for short-term bounces to buy select altcoins on spot and aim for profits of about 50%, 80%, or even 150% 🔸 Use the Rainbow MG3 indicator to screen a broader list of assets and filter for strategic spot buy entries
Short
by rainbow_sniper
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets. Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures 1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts. 2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments. 3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Technical Analysis 1. Immediate Price Reaction Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels - Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold. - Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark. 3. Chart Patterns and Indicators Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution. 4. Market Sentiment and Volume Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets. Conclusion: The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
BTC getting ready to revisit +$100k?It's playing out slightly quicker than anticipated but it's going in the expected direction, minus the fakeout and chop. On the 45m tf I am looking for one more lower low to touch or break the falling wedge's support. There could be another fake break out and it could be a big one to trigger shorts before liquidating them with the reversal. I think a 104,000 target is still in play, for now. I thought it would be on Friday - it still might. I do not think this is the start of a rally to 1,000,000. There is a high risk of liquidation for those taking long positions thinking 150,000 is imminent. There is always a risk the market doesn't do what I think is going to happen and 69,000 is closer than I realised.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ZorosonD
BITCOIN CRASH BEST TRADE IDEA🔻 BTC/USDT Short Setup - 30M Analysis 🔻 Bitcoin has rejected a key resistance zone around $97,400-$97,550, showing signs of a bearish move. Price has failed to break above this supply area, and now a potential sell-off towards the sell-side liquidity range is in play. 🔹 Entry: Around $97,400 (Retest of resistance) 🔹 Stop Loss: $97,550 (Above supply zone) 🔹 Target: $94,725-$94,711 (Liquidity sweep level) 📉 Analysis Breakdown: ✅ Price is reacting to a well-defined supply zone. ✅ Bearish momentum increasing after liquidity grab. ✅ Confluence with 50 EMA rejecting price. ✅ High probability of price reaching liquidity range. Watching this trade closely—let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥 #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoSignals 🚀
Short
by naumanfx_
4
BTC ABOUT TO DUMP...Oh well, is this the BTC dump i've been waiting for... As we all know BTC has been consolidating for around 90 days now, an entire quarter. We broke the $100k mark but failed to really drive any higher and make any new significant highs, i wouldn't class anything under $110k a significant high. There is a trend line that has formed with 3 points of contact, confirming it's previous reliability until recently when we saw a spike dump from BTC from over $100k to around $80k. This spike broke through that trend line as well as some significant lows, breaking the stability and reliability of the support levels and the trend line. BTC is now currently retesting this trend line at around GETTEX:98K , this could be a vital moment for BTC and all the Alts. If BTC rejects this trend line and drops off, continuing to break the lows of $90k i do believe we could see some downward momentum catch on and BTC could well continue downwards to the $70k mark. I have been calling this for months now and hope it does happen as stated previously it gives us an incredible opportunity to load up our bags with BTC, but also with some good alts like XRP, SOL, BNB etc. Lets watch closely over the next few days and see how this plays out. I am not short on this yet but would consider a short if this rejection takes place clearly.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
1
BTC / USDT : Breaking out from Trendline resistance BTC/USDT: Breaking Out from Trendline Resistance – Is the Next Bullish Rally Here? Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is making a strong move 📈 as it successfully breaks above a key trendline resistance zone 📊. After a period of consolidation, BTC is now showing signs of strength, potentially setting the stage for a major bullish rally 💥. If the breakout holds, we could witness a strong upside move in the coming days 🚀. Keep an eye on this breakout and wait for confirmation before making any decisions. Key Insights: 1️⃣ Trendline Breakout: Bitcoin has finally cleared a critical trendline that has acted as strong resistance in previous attempts. Holding above this level could trigger significant bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A surge in trading volume alongside the breakout will be a key confirmation of strong buying interest 🔥. 3️⃣ Bullish Momentum: Indicators like RSI and MACD are turning positive ⚡, signaling increasing bullish strength. How to Confirm the Breakout: ✔ Candle Close: Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍. ✔ Volume Surge: A noticeable increase in volume adds confidence to the breakout 📊. ✔ Retest as Support: If BTC successfully retests the broken resistance as a new support zone, it strengthens the breakout ✅. ✔ Beware of Fakeouts: Sharp reversals or long wicks above the trendline could indicate a false breakout ⚠️. Risk Management Strategies: 🔒 Set stop-loss orders to manage downside risk. 🎯 Adjust position sizing to fit your overall trading strategy. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making investment decisions 🔍.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi
1
Bitcoin Yet To Recover Amidst February DipBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has yet to fully recover from its early February drop. The leading cryptocurrency remains colloquial, trading between $92,000 support and $102,200 resistance. This price variations posits a key contrast between digital and physical gold—while an ounce of gold trades at a relatively modest $3,000, Bitcoin fluctuates within a $10,000 price disparity. BTC’s future direction remains uncertain. If buyers gain strength and push the price above $100,000, Bitcoin could test new highs in the $102,200–$105,500 range, potentially extending its upward trend. However, a deeper correction could trigger a retest of the $93,000 support level, which would likely lead to a new local low within the $89,200–$92,000 range. Presently Up 1.02% with a moderate RSI of 44.90 a moderation largely attributed to Michael Saylor's 7,633 purchase of Bitcoin worth $742 million today. While the fear and greed index still remains at 35 this hints at a potential pull back might be inevitable.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break . It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post . Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) . It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
BITCOIN - Recovery? or Collapse?BTC-USDT (1D Timeframe) Long trade targets achieved, but Bitcoin is looking bearish based on the Risological Trading Indicator. The price is retracing after a strong uptrend. Key Levels: Entry: $64,464 Stop-Loss (SL): $61,682 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: $67,903 ✅ TP 2: $73,467 ✅ TP 3: $79,032 ✅ TP 4: $82,470 ✅ What’s Next? Pullback or Trend Reversal? If support holds, we could see a bounce back for another bullish leg. If momentum weakens, Bitcoin might see a rude reversal toward lower levels. Iam not getting into a short position as yet, till I see the first candle close on Daily time frame below the Risological dotted trendline. FOMO is a profitable trader's No.1 enemy! I am not going to fall for this, at the moment. Wish you all the best, and do follow and upvote if this update has helped you. Namaste!
Short
by ProfitsNinja
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins. I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!) 🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt. 🔹 Bitcoin Outlook BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support. 😱 More blood on the charts? Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders: 1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in. 2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish. I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders. 📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding. If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery. Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
5
Starting a Bitcoin Analysis Series – February EditionI’m kicking off a Bitcoin analysis series for February , where I’ll be sharing quick and to-the-point updates on the Bitcoin chart throughout the month. Alongside that, I’ll also post my trade ideas as they develop. The goal is to stay on top of the price action and navigate the market with clear, structured setups. I might not be able to catch every single move, but I’ll do my best to cover the most relevant ones. Hopefully, this will lead to some solid trades and strong results. At the end of the day, it’s not that complicated—you just have to trade what you see . Looking forward to an exciting month in the crypto market!
by stromm
Sell Bitcoin and Altcoins during 2025 and don't look back!Hello Everyone, This is my first public post since the last one, which I published on Sep 28, 2022, and you can see that here: My cycle analysis (TA) proved spot-on the last time I accurately predicted Bitcoin’s behavior. To avoid overcomplicating things, I’ll keep this brief. As the yearly chart indicates, we’ve seen a consistent pattern: a three-year bull market followed by a one-year bear market. History appears poised to repeat itself, and we’re now entering the final phase of the current bullish cycle. This year will likely be your last opportunity to exit the crypto market strategically, as historical fractals suggest a bearish downturn is due next year.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ir0nhand
4
Gold's Rally and Bitcoin's Dip: Decoding the SignalsIs Gold's Glitter a Warning Sign? Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets as Physical Gold Demand Soars Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has been experiencing a resurgence, raising eyebrows and sparking discussions about potential economic headwinds. Its recent outperformance, coupled with a dramatic drop in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and a surge in physical gold deliveries, suggests growing concerns about the global financial landscape. Are these developments harbingers of fiscal worries ahead? Gold's Allure Returns Gold's appeal as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty has been rekindled. While the yellow metal has historically played a crucial role in portfolios seeking diversification and stability, its recent performance has been particularly noteworthy. Gold prices have reached all-time highs, driven by a confluence of factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and fears of economic slowdown. One significant factor contributing to gold's rise is the escalating trade tensions between major economic powers. Past trade disputes, such as the tariff exchanges between the US and China, have historically fueled safe-haven demand, benefiting gold. The current geopolitical climate, marked by increasing uncertainty and potential for conflict, further strengthens this narrative. Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets: A Shift in Investor Sentiment? The Bitcoin-gold ratio, a metric that compares the price of Bitcoin to that of gold, has recently plummeted to a 12-week low. This decline suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many seemingly favoring the traditional safe haven of gold over the more volatile cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin has often been touted as "digital gold," its price volatility and perceived regulatory risks may be driving investors back to the established stability of physical gold. This shift could indicate a broader move away from riskier assets and towards more traditional safe havens. Physical Gold Demand Soars: A Flight to Tangible Assets Adding fuel to the gold fire is the dramatic increase in physical gold deliveries. Reports indicate a surge in gold shipments to the U.S., with traders actively loading the precious metal onto planes bound for American shores. Furthermore, major financial institutions are playing a significant role in this trend. Investment banking giant JPMorgan, for example, is reportedly planning to deliver a staggering $4 billion worth of gold to New York this month. This substantial demand for physical gold underscores a preference for tangible assets, potentially signaling a lack of confidence in the stability of financial markets or fiat currencies. Global Gold Demand Hits Record High: India Sees Uptick The global appetite for gold is not limited to the U.S. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand has reached record highs in 2024. Even in price-sensitive markets like India, gold demand has seen a 5% uptick. This widespread increase in gold consumption further reinforces the narrative of a flight to safety and a growing unease about the global economic outlook. Is Gold's Outperformance a Sign of Fiscal Worries Ahead? The confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence – geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions, declining Bitcoin-gold ratio, and soaring physical gold demand – raises the critical question: are these indicators of deeper fiscal worries on the horizon? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, the historical precedent suggests a strong correlation between periods of economic uncertainty and increased demand for gold. Gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic turmoil is well-established. When investors perceive heightened risks in the global economy, they often flock to gold as a safe haven, driving up its price. The current environment certainly exhibits many of the characteristics that have historically triggered such a flight to safety. The Potential Implications If the current gold rush is indeed a sign of growing fiscal concerns, the implications could be significant. Increased demand for gold could put further upward pressure on prices, potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a shift away from riskier assets could lead to increased volatility in financial markets and potentially trigger a broader economic downturn. A Word of Caution While the evidence suggests a potential link between gold's outperformance and fiscal worries, it's essential to exercise caution. Market dynamics are complex and influenced by a multitude of factors. Gold's price can be volatile, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It's crucial to avoid drawing hasty conclusions based solely on gold's price movements. Conclusion Gold's recent surge, coupled with the decline in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and the surge in physical gold deliveries, presents a compelling narrative. While it's too early to definitively declare a looming fiscal crisis, the confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence warrants close attention. Investors should carefully consider these developments and assess their potential impact on their portfolios. Whether gold's glitter is a mere reflection of market jitters or a harbinger of deeper economic troubles remains to be seen. However, the current trends certainly raise important questions about the health of the global economy and the potential for increased volatility in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by STLMfx
3
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2