BTC IS GOING TO 130K !!!
According to #BTC Elliott wave micro count, currently we are into 2nd wave which can end up to 96-92.5k region.
After that we may probably see impulse 3rd micro wave move up to 115K and final 5th micro of 3rd major impulse wave up to 130K.
Invalidation of micro count is below 91K !!!
Bitcoinprediction
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Analysis Report for Bitcoin (BTC)1. Recent Price Action
Current Price: $97,123
Recent High: $102,014
Recent Low: $90,000
Price Movement: Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, recently dropping below $100,000, which has raised concerns among traders. The price has fluctuated between $90,000 and $102,000, indicating a potential consolidation phase.
2. Key Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:50-day MA: $98,500 (currently acting as resistance)
200-day MA: $85,000 (providing long-term support)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 52, indicating a neutral stance but leaning slightly bullish.
MACD: The MACD line is approaching the signal line, suggesting a potential bullish crossover if the price holds above $97,000.
3. Volume Analysis
Average Volume: Approximately 10 million BTC traded daily.
Recent Volume: A notable increase in volume was observed during the recent price drop, indicating strong selling pressure.
Volume Patterns: The correlation between price and volume suggests that the recent drop was supported by high selling volume, which may indicate a bearish sentiment.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:Primary Support: $93,000 (recent low)
Secondary Support: $90,000 (psychological level)
Resistance Levels:Primary Resistance: $102,000 (recent high)
Secondary Resistance: $106,000 (key overhead area)
5. Breakout/Breakdown Points
Breakout Point: A close above $102,000 with strong volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $106,000 and potentially $110,000.
Breakdown Point: A close below $93,000 could indicate a bearish breakdown, targeting $90,000 and potentially $87,000.
6. Anomalies and Divergences
Divergence: There is a bearish divergence noted between price and RSI, as the price has made lower highs while RSI has not confirmed this trend, suggesting potential weakness in the current uptrend.
7. Risk and Reward Scenarios
Long Position:
Entry Point: $102,500 (breakout confirmation)
Stop-Loss: $100,000 (below recent support)
Target Price: $106,000 (first target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,500 to gain $3,500)
Short Position:
Entry Point: $92,500 (breakdown confirmation)
Stop-Loss: $94,500 (above recent resistance)
Target Price: $90,000 (first target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,000 to gain $2,500)
Bitcoin is currently in a critical phase, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements. Traders should closely monitor the key support and resistance levels, as well as volume trends, to make informed decisions. The analysis indicates that a breakout above $102,000 could lead to further gains, while a breakdown below $93,000 could signal a deeper correction. Always adhere to risk management principles and adjust stop-loss levels as necessary to protect capital.
ShortYeah, it's pretty wild how quickly narratives shift, isn't it? A lot of these analysts seem to latch onto whatever fits their current agenda or the latest trend, and it's often the same people with different predictions based on the same factors. Like, one minute it's all about Trump's influence sending Bitcoin to the moon, and the next it's about geopolitics making a radical change in the market.
It seems like people can’t resist connecting anything and everything to Bitcoin’s price. It's like trying to predict weather patterns based on random social events.
It’s clear that a correction is overdue, and as usual, retail investors are going to jump in near the top, hoping to catch the momentum. But when the market starts to pull back, they’ll get stuck holding the bag as prices drop. The more they buy now, the more likely it is that the market will keep falling.
Bitcoin- Something is Rotten in Denmark- Cause of Concern?In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that "it's about time for the price to do something" and highlighted that a breakout above 107k could trigger accelerated upward momentum, potentially leading to a significant new all-time high with a measured target in the 130K zone.
However, following days of low volatility, Bitcoin has started to decline instead of breaking through the resistance.
Overall, the situation is starting to look unfavorable. Despite the positive news surrounding crypto marklet, Bitcoin's inability to break resistance and reach a new ATH is anything but bullish.
From a technical perspective, as of now, the price is hovering just above a local support level.
If this level breaks, it could once again expose the 90K confluence support. Given the current conditions, this seems like the most likely scenario.
In my opinion, if you’re a speculator, the best approach right now is to stay on the sidelines and observe how the market develops.
BTC / USDT : Holding strong at 92K - Bounce incoming ?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): Holding Strong at GETTEX:92K – Bounce Incoming?
Bitcoin is showing resilience at the GETTEX:92K support level, holding firm despite market fluctuations. This critical level has acted as a strong demand zone, and if buyers step in, we could see a bullish bounce from here. The next move will be crucial in determining BTC’s short-term trend.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Major Support at GETTEX:92K : BTC has been testing this level, and a strong rebound could trigger a move towards higher resistance zones.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A noticeable increase in buy volume would signal strength and confirm the potential bounce.
3️⃣ Bullish Indicators: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are showing signs of reversal, suggesting that bulls might be ready to take control.
Steps to Confirm the Bounce:
✅ Strong 4H or Daily Close Above GETTEX:92K – A solid candle close above this level would confirm demand.
✅ Volume Surge During the Rebound – Watch for increasing buying pressure to validate the move.
✅ Retest Holding as Support – If BTC retests GETTEX:92K and holds, it strengthens the bullish case.
⚠️ Beware of Fakeouts – Sudden dips below GETTEX:92K followed by quick recoveries could indicate stop-hunt moves.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use Stop-Loss Orders – Protect your capital in case of unexpected breakdowns.
🎯 Position Sizing – Ensure your trade aligns with your overall strategy and risk tolerance.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making any investment decisions. 🔍
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000.
This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend.
I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump.
We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BITCOIN TO 140K CONFIRMED !!! 🚀 On shorter time frame #BTC is forming ending diagonal in wave c of minor wave 2 correction, which indicates that correction may end up here and we may see shift from correction to minor wave 3 impulse move🚀
🚀 In that case major wave count of wave 3 and minor v ends up to 130k 🚀
🚀 If major wave 3 extends upto 130k, then we may see last 5th major to end up near 140k 🚀
The Future of Blockchain: A New Era of TokenizationGreetings, fellow enthusiasts!
I believe we are on the brink of a transformative era for blockchain technology. Here's my vision for how the future will unfold:
The New Era of Tokenization: We are entering a period where almost every financial asset will be tokenized. Imagine stocks, gold, silver, and various commodities all represented as digital tokens on the blockchain. This shift is already gaining momentum, with big banks and influential players like Larry Fink from BlackRock advocating for the tokenization of everything.
The Impact on Digital Assets: As we move towards this future, traditional financial assets will transition into digital tokens. This will, in my opinion, lead to digital assets without real-world counterparts, such as MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , becoming "virtually" (pun intended) useless. Why? Because the tangible value of assets like tokenized TVC:GOLD or stocks will overshadow the speculative nature of purely digital assets.
The Role of Big Banks and Institutions: With the backing of major financial institutions, the adoption of tokenization will accelerate. This will bring about a more secure, transparent, and efficient financial system, bridging the gap between traditional and digital finance.
The Future: This is probably the end of the road for MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and existing cryptocurrencies as we know them. Say hello to a new era of Cryptography that will be as mainstream as it can get.
In summary, the future of blockchain lies in the tokenization of real-world assets, driven by the support of big banks and key industry leaders. This new era will redefine the landscape of digital assets, making those without tangible counterparts less relevant or even completely irrelevant.
I look forward to hearing your thoughts and engaging in a lively discussion!
INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA INDEX:ETHUSD CRYPTO:XRPUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin Faces Resistance for the 7th Time—Breakout or Rejection?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is attacking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) for the seventh time ; even in one of these attacks , it created a Bull Trap .
During the last two to three days , Bitcoin has formed an Ascending Channel(Black) and another Ascending Channel(Purple) in the 15-minute time frame .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , and we can expect corrective waves at least up to the upper line of the descending channel(broken) .
I don't expect Bitcoin to succeed in breaking the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) in the seventh attack , although there is positive news around the crypto market , but I think we need a stronger stimulus to break this resistance zone (real news) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $108,218-$106,476
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $104,460-$103,911
Note: The negative point is that the upper line of the descending channel was not broken with a large volume, so we hope for the break of the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400).
Note: If the lower line of the ascending channel(Black) is broken, we can expect further decline and filling of the CME Gap($101,525-$100,375).
Note: If Bitcoin goes over $108223, we can expect more pumps and maybe a new ATH.
Can Bitcoin break the Resistance zone($107,300-$105,400) and create a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Altcoinseason is around the corner, get ready. Hi fellow traders, BTC.D will be ready to make a wave lower from the blue box after it completes the ABC correction. When the dominance of BTC starts to decline the Altcoins will rise. The BTC.D chart could potentially go up till the green fib line within the blue box. I think this will be a good time to position yourself. Target will be the previous bottom. Good luck and trade safe!
UPDATE: Altcoin Market Set to Surge Toward $1 Trillion Should this pattern hold, we could see the altcoin market targeting full Fibonacci extensions, potentially ripping to all-time highs and pushing the market toward a $1 trillion valuation this cycle.
Momentum is building as liquidity returns to the crypto markets, with growing retail interest and institutional capital eyeing opportunities in diverse altcoin sectors. Rotation out BTC is happening as the BTC rally is losing momentum.
BTC / USDT : Confirmed breakout, Bullish momentum building upBTC/USDT: Confirmed Breakout, Bullish Momentum Building Up 🚀
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has officially broken above key resistance and is now in bullish price discovery mode 📈. With this confirmed breakout, BTC is poised for further upside, and the market sentiment is shifting in favor of the bulls. If momentum sustains, we could see a strong continuation towards higher price targets.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Breakout Confirmed: BTC has successfully closed above the key resistance zone, turning it into new support. This signals a strong bullish trend continuation.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by a significant increase in buying volume, confirming the presence of strong demand 🔥.
3️⃣ Technical Indicators: RSI is holding above 60, and MACD is showing bullish crossover, reinforcing the uptrend ⚡.
What’s Next?
Retest Confirmation: A successful retest of the breakout level as support would further validate the bullish breakout 📊.
Upside Targets: If BTC holds this momentum, key resistance zones to watch are [ NYSE:X ] and [ TSX:Y ] 🎯.
Fakeout Risk: If BTC dips back below the breakout level, it could signal a false breakout, so caution is advised ⚠️.
Risk Management Tips:
✅ Set stop-loss levels below the breakout zone to protect capital.
✅ Adjust position sizing based on market volatility.
✅ Keep an eye on macro trends that could influence BTC’s movement.
BTC’s breakout is a significant signal for the market. Stay alert for confirmation signals and trade accordingly!
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Surging Past $101K or Plummeting to $70KIf Bitcoin breaks $101,700, it could aim for $117,000. If it falls below $100,000, it might correct down to $70,000-$80,000.
If this analysis helped you and your trading please like, share and boost that would be much appreciated
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
$130K HERE WE COME! #BTCRight now I'm seeing so much fear across social media regarding BTC price that I cannot help but post that we are basically in wave 2 correction of a larger wave 5, and the wave 2 has probably ended or is about to end at any moment, so just sit back and relax and keep HODLing on cuz the wave 3 target is $130K minimum!
Bitcoin Long-term Holder CyclesViewing market cycles through the lens of long-term holder behavior can provide valuable insights. This chart tracks the collective balance of long-term holders, highlighting periods of accumulation (green) and distribution (red) across different market phases.
Distribution phases align with bull markets, and we are currently in one. The duration of these phases can offer clues about what to expect in the current cycle—assuming market dynamics remain consistent.
The first accumulation phase lasted approximately 1,000 days , followed by the second at ~820 days , and the third at nearly 800 days .
The first distribution phase lasted ~530 days , the second 420 days , and the current one has reached 385 days so far.
At first glance, this may suggest a contracting cycle. However, with only three data points, it's premature to establish a definitive trend. A more prudent assumption is that the current distribution phase will follow a similar duration to previous ones—likely spanning 400 to 550 days.
For illustration, if this distribution phase were to last 500 days, it would place its end around mid-May. However, this still leaves the most critical question unanswered: how does this relate to price?
Historically, distribution cycles tend to end after market cycle peaks. As prices decline, long-term holders gradually slow their selling and begin accumulating again. This suggests that a market cycle peak before May should be considered a logical scenario within the current cycle.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
BTCUSDT Short Swing trade.Hello everyone, i want to share my price prediction at Bitcoin.
The week started with strong sell which activated buyers but i think buyers is not more strong, price tested well 2h FVG and Fibonacci Strong sell zone after New York session open.
Price is into consolidation, and if we look higher timeframe Bitcoin losing buyers with my strategy here is my short position setup.
Open Short position at - 102500
Stop Loss at - 104500
Take profit - i will follow trend if i will be right.
Always manage your risk!!! don't risk more than 2.6% of your balance in this trade.