$BTC forecast and current situation video. Resume of all my ideaThis video summarizes my CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis, which I have published in several ideas. I hope it helps people understand what is going on. This is my first video, and I hope to improve my speaking skills in the future. Thanks for watching.
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin: Potential 2025 targetsHere you can see the similarities between the last three halving cycles and compare them to the current fourth one.
The blue zones represent when the price has broken the 0.382 fib after a bear market roughly one year before the halving. The price never broke the 0.786 fib before the halving, so I don’t expect the price to go above $50,000 until at least few months after the halving in 2024.
The green zones represent the time from the halving to the peak. The price reached the 1.618 fib in each of the previous cycles (and got a massive rejection). This cycle the 1.618 fib is at $174,000.
The orange zones represent blow-off tops. In the first two cycles the price kept going all the way to the 2.272 fib. In the last cycle it didn’t happen (but it was still a very bullish phase). This cycle the 2.272 fib is at $462,000.
I have copied the price action of the last three cycles and adjusted them to the current fib levels to get a visualization of what we can expect after the next halving. I don’t know what will happen before the next halving, but I expect the price to range between $20,000 and $50,000.
Main target for 2025 is just under $200,000. And maybe we’ll see $420,690 just for the meme.
Bitcoin – CRUCIAL LEVELS TO WATCH amidst the dipIn the last 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant decline, dropping below the $60,000 price range. Given the current trend and the market’s volatility, could we see a further drop to the $40,000 price range?
Analysis of Bitcoin’s price trend highlighted a significant downturn over the last 24 hours, with a drop of over 9%.
Bitcoin was trading at approximately $52,900, with its decline hovering between 8% and 9% within this period.
Using the price range tool, it was evident that since the onset of the major decline around August 2nd, Bitcoin has experienced a substantial decrease in value, amounting to over 24%.
Using the Fibonacci retracement indicator to analyze Bitcoin’s price trend offered valuable insights into potential future movements.
Notably, if BTC’s price managed to hold above the 23.6% retracement level, it could ascend to test higher Fibonacci levels.
The chart showed it could specifically test the 38.2% level at approximately $56,847.56 or even the 50% level at about $59,127.13.
Conversely, if the downward trend persists, the next critical support, according to the Fibonacci retracement analysis, would be at the 0% level, around $49,467.88.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis showed it was in oversold territory. Typically, this could indicate an imminent price reversal or bounce, as buyers might consider it an optimal point to enter the market.
However, it’s crucial to note that during strong downtrends, the RSI can remain in the oversold zone for extended periods.
Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), another momentum indicator, shows bearish momentum.
Considering these factors—the bearish MACD, the oversold RSI, and Bitcoin’s positioning relative to key Fibonacci levels—the short-term outlook for Bitcoin appears to be bearish.
Bitcoin phase programmed? Take a look at the chart above. I am keeping this fully transparent: I am not a perma bear, nor am I a perma bull or moon boi. I am just analyzing what I see. If I am right, that would mean that we have bottomed for the time being and the next phase of Bitcoin is preparing. I inverted the chart to make the TA make sense to me because the right side up was just too confusing apart from the red line that I drew based on the run-up at the beginning of the year. (Which still held) We tested that red line support and retested it for the double bottom. Even if we triple bottom here it would also be a triple top inverted which is why this chart is upside down to showcase the bullish movement still works if we look at it this. Happy Trading and stay safe out there.
What to expect from BTC in the next six months? Global forecastHalf of 2024 is over. During this time, Bitcoin has managed to update its 💥 historical highs. What can we expect from bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in the future?
For six months, there was only one month when the price was actively growing. It was February 2024:
In one month, the BTC price rose by 💎43% and began consolidating on the monthly timeframe.
In March, the BTC price updated its historical high. This month saw the highest volume trading in 2024.
The situation with BTC is most dangerous on the monthly timeframe . For 4 months, bitcoin has been consolidating under the historical high. If we didn't know that it was bitcoin, we would have expected the price to fall by the end of 2024 with a minimum target of $41,000.
However, a similar situation with bitcoin occurred exactly a year ago. The BTC price stopped in consolidation starting in March 2023. During the summer, bitcoin did not move anywhere globally, and since September, we have seen a powerful wave of growth:
Given the fact that bitcoin has never stopped its growth after updating its historical highs, the likelihood of such a scenario is also high:
Great! So how do we make trading decisions? To do this, let's look at smaller timeframes. For example, a weekly one.
After a strong upward momentum in the BTC price since September 2023, sellers have reacted rather weakly to the update of the historical high:
In our opinion, everything will become clear after the BTC price updates the $56,000 mark. If the decline slows down and the price rebounds actively, we do not expect a deep correction of BTC and will wait for the extension of the BTC term and the update of historical highs by the end of 2024.
However, if there is no support in the $55,000 range , this is a signal that 2024 will end with a boring correction with the main target of $42,000.
And until the BTC price tests the $55,000 range, we would not make global decisions.
However, what will happen to altcoins if, for example, bitcoin goes to $42,000?
Here, I would like to show you a chart of BTC's dominance on the monthly timeframe so that you can understand how much things can change:
Since October 2023, it has become extremely difficult to update local highs on the BTC dominance chart. And this is not even helped by Bitcoin ETFs. During July-August 2024, bitcoin's influence may drop sharply to 47%. Therefore, even in a negative scenario, when bitcoin falls to the $42,000 range, other cryptocurrencies should not fall as much as they did in June.
And now let's look at what chance the cryptocurrency market has of falling back into a protracted crypto winter!
Here is a chart of USDT's dominance on the monthly timeframe:
In January 2024, the USDT dominance indicator broke through the 2019 USDT dominance uptrend! The worst-case scenario we see now is a retest of the consolidation in which USDT dominance moved from June 2022 to October 2023. However, such a scenario is possible if the current 5.1% range does not keep the pressure off USDT dominance:
On the weekly timeframe, we can see that the growth structure of USDT dominance does not look strong.
What conclusions can be drawn from this information?
👉By the end of the summer, bitcoin has a good chance of losing its influence on the cryptocurrency market. And it can happen abruptly.
👉In July, it will become clear whether the cryptocurrency market will grow by the end of 2024 or whether 2024 will end on a bearish note.
👉Right now, there is a critical point in the cryptocurrency market from which the market can start a new medium-term growth wave. And it is during this growth that altcoins will feel good.
What do you think about the cryptocurrency market by the end of 2024? Write your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin Tanks on Monday: Crypto Market Faces Severe Bearish TurnThe crypto market faced a significant downturn on Monday, marking what seems like a Black Monday event. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) led the decline, plunging nearly 10% to hit the $50,020 mark, triggering alarm among investors. Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) wasn't spared either, crashing almost 20% amidst a broader market slump influenced by major dumps from trading giants like Jump Trading.
Key Developments
- Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ): The leading cryptocurrency plummeted 10.78% in the past 24 hours, resting at $54,191.08. The coin experienced a volatile trading day, with lows at $52,559.19 and highs at $61,058.94. Bitcoin’s market dominance increased by 0.98%, now standing at 56.62%.
- Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ): Ethereum’s price saw a severe crash, dropping nearly 20%. The sharp decline in ETH price further accentuated the bearish momentum across the broader altcoin market.
- Market Impact: The overall global crypto market cap plunged by 12.50%, settling at $1.89 trillion. Despite the downturn, the total crypto market volume surged by 86.72% to $124.44 billion, indicating a high level of trading activity during the sell-off.
Broader Market Trends
The bearish trend wasn't confined to Bitcoin and Ethereum. The altcoin market largely mirrored this negative sentiment, with most cryptocurrencies posting significant losses. The only gainer in the top ranks was Tether Gold, which edged up by 0.15% to $2,449.72.
Contributing Factors
Regulatory scrutiny continues to weigh heavily on the crypto market. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff predicted that Bitcoin ETFs might see a 15%-30% drop below their January highs, adding to the bearish outlook. Also, According to CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno, if Bitcoin fails to regain the crucial support level of $57K, the market could see further declines, potentially reaching a $40,000 price target.
The bearish crypto trend was exacerbated by a collapse in the Japanese markets. This global financial unease prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce an emergency meeting to discuss rate cuts. Analysts are anticipating a 50 basis points cut, which is seen as an effort to cushion the market crash and potentially aid recovery.
Market Outlook
The cryptocurrency market has recently witnessed significant declines, leading to heightened volatility. Although some short-term recovery has been observed in the hourly charts for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and Ethereum (ETH), the predominant sentiment remains bearish. Investors are advised to exercise caution as the market undergoes adjustments to these new dynamics.
The daily price chart of CRYPTOCAP:BTC illustrates a bearish reversal pattern following an extended period of consolidation. Further accentuating the bearish trend is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently positioned at 26.
Of note is the resurgence of BTC subsequent to its drop to the $50,000 support level, with a subsequent surge to $53,727 observed at the time of composition, signifying robust investor interest in the asset.
Bitcoin's Final Make Or Break MomentThis is my first post in some time. As I stated before, I'm largely moving on from crypto. I'm still here, paying attention to the market. I've also created a site for my fiction writing. Eventually, I may migrate some of these posts over there as representations of my non-fiction speculative market analysis.
Anyway, on to the important stuff.
Bitcoin did not succeed as a currency. Active addresses have still not seen any meaningful increase since 2017. The rate of growth for authentic currency adoption has slowed down along with price growth and expensiveness. studio.glassnode.com
There are only about 1 million active addresses. Nevertheless, price continues to be resilient. Perhaps this is due to its limited supply and its pivot in narrative to a "store of value." Indeed, it has been a pretty lucrative store of value, though more volatile than the stock market and other commodities. This doesn't necessarily make it a "good" store of value.
Regardless of what I think, the market will make its decision. Now is the time for that to happen. With ETFs supposedly on the horizon, we will get to see how much demand really exists for Bitcoin.
I'm going to take this moment to speculate a bit. If it continues to go up, my guess is it will be because of the ETF hype, but volume amongst most spot exchanges will remain low. Bitcoin dominance would likely rise to levels not seen since 2019. If it results in a bubble, eventually people will come to their senses and there will be a pop. It will attract a lot of media and government attention, not all of it positive.
If it drops from here, it will be like all the other times people had high hopes for Bitcoin. It will be like all the times Bitcoin was supposed to represent economic freedom. It will be like every single time Bitcoin made major news, only for everyone to talk about it just as it was about to crash. It will not come as any surprise.
If the ETFs fail to sustain the market to new highs, then I think there is little other chance for this asset, at least in the near future, until some other narrative takes hold. The thing exists, and as long as it does, people will ascribe their hopes, dreams, and (in my case) disdain towards it.
What would be a departure would be continued price appreciation and adoption. But, with a finite supply, there is of course a limit to how much people can buy. Then, what happens to it?
We shouldn't forget the other side of this market (apart from the ETF hype and the coin accumulation that requires). Binance is still a thing. BNB is still a juggernaut. Tron is still a thing, and so is the big stablecoin cartel which likely revolves around both.
But I'll spare you all my other thoughts on this subject. I just wanted to post a chart update, to show that I'm at least paying attention.
As for technicals, my chart shows two options. If it continues to hold in this broadening wedge pattern, the next target could be $90k, or roughly 2x from here, surpassing the previous all time high. As much as my previous analysis will be wrong if that happens, it's a possibility. The other scenario shows what could happen on a breakdown, back below the broadening pattern.
Here's the BLX chart, showing that Bitcoin has so far been rejected at a former long term trendline. This chart shows some more possibilities.
Let's see if it can break back above.
Zoomed out:
Either way, prepare for volatility!
As always, thank you so much for reading. This is not financial advice, but meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
BlackRock: Poised for a Bullish Breakout?
**Current Price Range**: $846 to $822 (Weekly Frame)
**Potential for Bullish Reversal**:
BlackRock, trending between $846 and $822, shows signs of a potential bullish reversal. A strong resistance at $895.20 is key. Breaking and closing above this level on the weekly timeframe could indicate a reversal and the continuation of a bullish trend.
**Double Top Formation and Historical Context**:
The double top pattern from November 15, 2021 , initially suggested bearish momentum due to overvaluation and economic concerns. However, BlackRock's strategic growth initiatives, including climate transition ETFs, acquisitions, and private market expansions, offer strong bullish prospects.
**Probability Indicator**:
Our probability indicator, currently above the middle threshold, hints at a shift towards bullish momentum.
**Key Levels to Watch**:
- **Resistance Level** : $895.20
- A break above this level may signal a bullish continuation.
- **Support Level** : $726.37
- A hold above this zone could further support the bullish outlook.
**Market Factors**:
**Strategic Growth** : BlackRock's innovative initiatives and acquisitions position it well for future growth.
**Resilience Amid Challenges**: Despite facing outflows and ESG-related backlash, BlackRock remains robust.
**Leadership and Vision**: CEO Larry Fink's strategic direction emphasizes long-term growth and adaptation to market changes.
**Expected All-Time High**:
BlackRock is expected to reach its all-time high by end-March 2025, supported by its strategic initiatives and resilience in the market.
**Conclusion**:
BlackRock is on the verge of a potential bullish breakout. Monitoring the $ 895.20 resistance level is crucial for confirmation. The company's strategic initiatives and resilience indicate a strong potential for a bullish trend continuation, possibly mirroring the market recovery patterns seen after the 2008 financial crisis.
Speculating On A Major Top (BTC)Volume aligns with a weekly top, and there is a bearish divergence brewing. Of course, it's possible that the large sell volume is only indicative of Bitcoin moving around during the ETF launch. So, that's important to consider when assuming price will drop heavily from here.
I'm fundamentally bearish on Bitcoin, not because I don't think higher prices are out of the question. I'm bearish on it because I think it's a net negative. My stance is that only time will tell how long it takes for the market to make this realization. Obviously I've been wrong plenty of times, so this is not to be taken as fact, or as what will happen. This purely represents my opinion.
My last bearish post on Bitcoin itself made its way to the front page here. Bitcoin did drop in the short term. Then, all the posts on the front page were bearish at $38-39k, which led me to believe the drop was over in the short term. My guess was that sentiment was too bearish to drop at that level, and a big bull trap would be required. My plan was to start shorting on the bounce. Now, most of the front page is bullish.
I've averaged into a relatively low-risk short, just 1x, adding at FWB:42K , 45k, and now $49.5k. This is with the suspicion that buyers will peter out at this level. Open Interest is skyrocketing, and it is now higher than it was the first time around at $49k.
In order to start a bearish trend, Bitcoin will need to start closing below the 9 week EMA (orange). Even the recent correction failed to close below that level on a weekly basis. So, technically speaking, Bitcoin is not in a bearish trend right now. I am merely speculating that it will be.
On the opposite side of the trade, if I'm wrong, Bitcoin has the potential to head all the way to the top of that broadening pattern and hit $100k+, disrupting the halving pattern in an interesting way.
Probably the safest bet is to not assume price will simply collapse tomorrow, because it's clearly proven resilient. But I'm here to make wild speculations, not to sound reasonable :) That's always part of the fun.
Thanks for reading!
This is clearly meant for speculative purposes, and not as financial advice.
Mercury in Retrograde VS Bitcoin Btc price for 10 years🪐 The Mercury in Retrograde cycle has begun today and will last until 28/08/2024
What astrologers "recommend" to do during this period, and what not, as well as to believe in it or not, is an individual matter)
But the coincidence of the night market drain with the beginning of this period is very conspiratorial!)
Another interesting "coincidence":
🔴 4 cycles of Mercury Retrograde - correction continues
🟢 9 cycles of Mercury Retrograde - the growth trend continues
The 5th cycle has started today.
Well, here's a chart with OKX:BTCUSDT price and all the Mercury in Retrograde cycles 🪐 that have been and will be.
Look for coincidences and write your thoughts in the comments
Is Bitcoin BTC and crypto scamming now or it's FUDHello, Skyrexians!
This weekend was extremely fearful on the crypto market, even more, today is a true "black Monday" and not only crypto, but also traditional markets are crashing right now. The most commonly known crypto trading strategies gave false signals before the crash. Most of top crypto trading platforms and top crypto traders faces with the huge losses, algorithmic trading bots and other algorithmic crypto trading software led their users to losses and liquidation. Different automated trading bots, grid bot and other cryptocurrency trading also performed awful for most of a people. Only ai crypto trading bot allowed people not to lose.
The really dark time came to the market, how to overcome all this FUD and be successful in crypto trading. We know that the most important is understanding on which market phase we are now. In today's article we will look at the different charts and time frames on BINANCE:BTCUSDT price chart and try to understand what is coming next.
Monthly time frame shows it's almost done
If you see our previous Bitcoin analysis you will find that GETTEX:49K was absolutely reachable. But the speed of this move really concerns us and we need to take a look at the global picture first of all. The sideways which started in March 2024 led to the first red column on Awesome Oscillator, and this is our first reminder that the bull market is not forever. This is the first sign of weakness. Momentum is gone, therefore we cannot wait for the bull run continuation to the insane numbers like $200k. Bull market is almost over! The bearish divergence and Elliott waves counting tells us that wave 5 of super cycle is done and we will enter the bear market which has never been before.
Is it time to panic? We assume not! Last wave 5 shall also consists of 5 waves and we cannot see now the clear confirmation that this bull run is finished. It's weakening but will likely continue. Where it will be finished. The approximate projection for wave 5 shows us that BTC will likely reach $80k+, but not significantly higher. After that we will see the bear market with target at $35k.
#BITCOINx.com
Two weeks ago, when BULLISH sentiment was flooding everywhere, from major crypto online publishers to the biggest crypto YouTube influencers, I decided to send this message to their contact/editor email with a kindly ask, that I would like to present this outlook as a reasonable counter-view to their. PRO BONO. FREE OF CHARGE.
From 15 of the major publishers, ONE of them replied with- No. EVERYONE else just ignored the message. TODAY, when BTC is 20% lower, you don't see them apologizing for their incompetency, they rather come up with excuses for WHY it happened, not thinking about damage they have done to all people who TRUSTED in THEM!
So this message is for YOU - an ordinary general public person, who took an interest in crypto investing.
DO NOT TRUST THOSE PEOPLE! THEY DON'T CARE ABOUT YOUR BEST INTEREST! ALL THEY CARE ABOUT IS MONEY THEY RECEIVE FROM THOSE VERY COMPANIES THEY PUBLISH FOR!
If you want to be AHEAD of the GAME and NOT HOLD the Bag, CONTACT US in DM! #Bitcoin
Bitcoin on 4h timeframe - technical analysisFalling Wedge Pattern:
The chart shows a clear falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out of this wedge to the upside, indicating potential for a significant upward movement.
Support and Resistance Zones:
The chart features multiple horizontal zones marking areas of support and resistance. The price appears to have found support around the $48,000 to $50,000 range and is currently rebounding.
Resistance levels seem to be marked around the $60,000 to $64,000 and $72,000 to $76,000 ranges.
Indicators:
Volume: There is a noticeable spike in volume at the breakout point, suggesting strong buying interest.
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows some bullish divergence, with momentum turning upwards after a period of decline.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI appears to have bounced from an oversold region, moving towards the neutral or slightly bullish zone.
Stochastic RSI: This indicator is currently moving upwards from an oversold condition, supporting the bullish outlook.
Trading Plan
Intraday Trading:
Entry: Look for pullbacks to the support zone around $50,000-$51,000 for potential long entries. Monitor lower time frames (e.g., 15-minute charts) for confirmation of upward momentum.
Stop-Loss: Place a tight stop-loss slightly below the most recent support level, around $49,500 to minimize risk.
Targets: Consider taking profits near the next resistance level around $54,000-$56,000, or scale out at multiple levels if momentum remains strong.
Scalping:
Entry: Focus on entering trades during dips within the intraday support levels, ideally using lower time frame indicators such as the Stochastic RSI to identify oversold conditions.
Stop-Loss: Keep a very tight stop-loss to minimize risk, ideally below recent short-term lows.
Targets: Aim for quick profits, targeting smaller moves within the $1,000-$2,000 range. Exit positions if momentum starts to fade or if price approaches intraday resistance.
Swing Trading:
Entry: Consider entering a long position now or on a slight pullback, as the breakout from the falling wedge and the positive indicators support a bullish outlook.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent swing low at $48,000 to protect against any false breakouts.
Targets: First target around $60,000-$62,000, with a potential to hold for a move towards $72,000-$76,000 if the momentum continues.
The current technical setup for Bitcoin suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement after the breakout from the falling wedge pattern.
For Long Positions:
Consider entering on pullbacks or current levels, with a stop-loss placed below key support areas to manage risk.
Targeting the next resistance zones for profit-taking is advisable.
Be cautious of any sudden reversals and adjust stop-losses accordingly to lock in profits as the price moves higher.
This analysis favors a long position strategy based on the bullish breakout and supportive indicators. However, staying updated with market news and sentiment is also crucial, as sudden market changes could impact this outlook.
Market overviewBitcoin (BTC): $52,886.57 (-12.41%)
Bitcoin Dominance: 57.28%
Fear and greed Index: 26 (fear)
WHAT HAPPENED?
Since the beginning of last week, bitcoin has lost more than 28% in price. This was influenced by weak macroeconomic indicators, investors' fear of recession, the tense situation in the Middle East, as well as the expectation of compensation payments from the bankrupt MT.Gox exchange.
In 2010-2014, Mt.Gox was the largest crypto exchange in the world — it accounted for more than 50% of the total bitcoin trading volume. However, after a series of hacker attacks, about 850 thousand BTC were stolen.
The exchange stated that 17 thousand of the 24 thousand customers have already received compensation in bitcoin. And according to Bloomberg, it was the sale of returned assets that contributed to such a rapid decline in the first cryptocurrency.
Now let's turn to the chart. We've broken through all significant buy zones and updated the global sideways Low. Now we have large volumes, which are recorded precisely at the moment of breaking through and updating the lower level of the flat. The last time such a large volume was observed was in April 2024.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Usually, after such commotions, it's possible to stay in the sideways for a long time, which will give the market the opportunity to accumulate new liquidity for further movements.
The maximum trading volumes were held in two zones: $55,400-$53,900 and $52,000-$50,000, rotation is possible within these marks.
The long scenario is still a priority, but consolidation below $49,000 may lead to a more protracted bearish trend.
Buy zones: $48,000-$47,000 (pushing volumes), $44,000-$41,600 (accumulated volumes).
The most important sell area that we need to overcome is $53,900-$55,400.
IMPORTANT DATES
This week we're following these macroeconomic events:
• Monday, August 5, 13:45 (UTC) — purchasing managers' index (PMI) in the services sector for July;
• Monday, August 5, 14:00 (UTC) — ISM purchasing managers' index for the non-manufacturing sector of the USA for July;
• Thursday, August 8, 12:30 (UTC) — the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, August 9, 06:00 (UTC) — German consumer price index for July.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
BTCUSD/D Is it an opportunity or a long slide for BTCUSD?Long-term BTCUSD analysis:
The drop from the peak of 70000 shows us a new profit-taking zone for Bitcoin. Currently, the selling pressure is still very strong, which also presents a long-term opportunity for holding BTCUSD and Bitcoin.
The short-term trading trend remains SELL.
Key price ranges to note are: 46000-48000 and 37000-42000. It is predicted that BTCUSD could reach 80000 this year.
We should seize the opportunity to buy this long-term BTCUSD.
Recommendation:
Plan 1: SELL BTCUSD zone 59000- 60000
SL 62500
TP 55800 - 52500 - 49000.
Plan 2: BUY BTCUSD zone 47000-48000
SL 45000
TP 52000 - 58000 - 80000 - open.
Plan 3: BUY BTCUSD zone 37000 - 40000
SL 35000
TP 45000 - 52000 - 59000 - 80000.
Bitcoin's Shocking Pullback: A Hidden Opportunity for Major GainMade new High inside of Weekly and Daily and now broke back inside of old high and making a new series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. This is not a longterm of the current picture of BTC. Major Trend is Bullish but we could experience some pull back in the market where Larger amounts of money can now enter again.
Trend Analysis:
Down Trending Market: The market continues to show a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows.
New Highs and Lows: The chart highlights a recent new high within the weekly and daily range, followed by a breakdown back inside the old high, indicating a new series of lower highs and lower lows.
Key Insights:
The annotation mentions that this is not a long-term picture of Bitcoin (BTC). The major trend is bullish, but the market is currently experiencing a pullback. This pullback could be an opportunity for larger amounts of money to re-enter the market.
Key Levels:
New Daily High: Marked at 73,929.
4HR LQZ / TP 1 / Reversal: Marked at 70,229.
1HR LQZ / TP 1 / Reversal: Marked at 53,606.
4HR LQZ / TP 2 / Reversal: Marked at 48,308.
Daily LQZ: Marked at 38,398.
Chart Patterns:
Yellow Trend Lines: Show the descending channel the price is following, reinforcing the downtrend.
Labels: Indicate specific market conditions and key points like "Down Trending Market" and the breakdown of the new high inside weekly and daily ranges.
Current Price:
Current Price Level: Shown as 60,585 with a decrease (-0.14%).
This enhanced analysis provides a more comprehensive view, indicating both the current downtrend and the potential for a bullish re-entry. The annotations also clarify that while the immediate trend is bearish, the overall long-term trend for Bitcoin remains bullish.
BTC can go down to $48,000 - A chance to accumulateAmidst the middle east war tension, the conditions are worsening for a positive sentiment in market.
Btc is has already taken more than 20% fall and some alts have taken even 50% damage.
Internation stock markets are also suffering this tension.
stay alert of these situation.
Same conditions happened when Russia attacked Ukraine.
With all these conditions there are chances that bitcoin can fall down to $48,000. If it does not receive recovery soon, we can even see the$39,000 zone, so stay alert.
These are very unpredictable times. We can only hope the btc gets some liquidity to pump the price.
But these bad times brings good times for people who missed to opportunities to buy tokens at lower prices. From $70,000 to $50,000 btc gave another opportunity and so did the alts. if you have missed to buy some alts and was waiting for the right time, this is the time to start DCA (Dollar Cost Average).
You can start accumulating because whales are doing the same.
Buy low sell high.
There might be possibility that just after you buy the market can go further down, if you have liquidity, you can buy more there and perfomr DCA. If not, no worries, you already bought low enough. Now you would have something to sell at high price.
Aim for a long term and you would make money.
This is a learning phase. you get the chance to learn thing, use your time wisely.
Is Bitcoin ($BTC) heading toward a -50% correction Armageddon?Is Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) heading toward a -50% correction Armageddon? That is what the weekly chart seems to suggest.
I hate to be the pessimistic guy, but you don't need to be a trading and charting expert to see the similarities between 2021 and 2024.
What could trigger this massive correction is the incredible pump that the ETF has created. Imagine, for the first time in its history, Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high BEFORE the halving! That proves how much excitement and overheating the market experienced.
Unfortunately, the stronger the pump is, the harder the correction will be.
We can compare the 2021 chart on a weekly basis, and there are too many similarities for them to be coincidences. Because of the huge ETF pump, the MACD has gone ballistic, and now Bitcoin is way overbought.
The main concern is that it is on the weekly chart, so resetting this indicator will take about 2-3 months, which gives a lot of time for the price to move down and up until we finally reach a reversal, likely after an estimated 50% dump.
In this scenario, the bull run would have a double peak, like the one in 2021, with another bullish phase once the correction is finished, reaching the final goal of this bull run approximately at the end of 2024.
The RSI and volume are also confirming this scenario. The EMAs are positioned at the same distance from the action price.
This scenario is scary. We could see a -80% correction in altcoins.
I hope to read your comments invalidating this idea, because if this happen, I am definitively going back to work at McDonald!
Bitcoin BTC price, new FED rate and Powell's speech 31/07/24Today at 18.00 UTC , the Fed will announce a new rate, followed by Powell's speech.
At the very least, increased volatility is guaranteed for the evening, so hedge your positions and uses stop orders and stock up on popcorn 🍿
Trading with leverage during this period is not worth it.
🤫 96% for the rate to remain unchanged - 5.5%
👎 4% for a rate cut to 5.25% today)
🔼 A rate cut is definitely an unexpected positive and a very likely breakthrough of the OKX:BTCUSDT price upwards, according to the 🐳 blue scenario.
🔽 Leaving the rate unchanged + Powell's standard comments: “the dynamics are good, but it's still far from the desired 2% inflation and blah blah blah... - this is a continuation of the correction of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price to $62000 according to the 💔 red scenario
So which scenario is closer to your heart: 🐳 or 💔 ? Write at comment
(50 🚀 and we will add BTC.D and USDT.D charts to this idea)
#BTC & #Alts If you're down, Read this! I know how you Feel!#Bitcoin Keeping it Simple!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Weekly close must be above $62k for a rebound. If we close below that level, BTC could drop to as low as $50,144 to $53,288. It's better to wait for the weekly close—stop staring at the screen if you're anxious.
After a red market comes green, right? So, don't try to catch falling knives. Even my spot bags are down, but remember what we did in the last bull runs? We sold right before the real rally started. Don't make that mistake again. It's better to log out and avoid futures trading.
If BTC hits the $50k-$53k zone, that could be a great opportunity. Why? Alts will have even more discounts, presenting a rare opportunity that comes once or twice in 4 years. So, buckle up.
BTC Dominance is nearing a high, possibly creating a Bearish Divergence. DXY is breaking support, and institutions like BlackRock are buying in. @saylor is raising $2 billion to add more BTC to the @MicroStrategy portfolio. A lot is happening.
You'll thank yourself in the next few months for not panicking. I know it's tough to see your portfolio down by 20% to 40%, but when these alts start making 5x or 10x returns, you'll be in the green. That’s likely to happen soon. So, stay strong, trust yourself, and don't try to outsmart the market. The key is choosing the right coins—I've posted many altcoin setups for that—and being patient with those bags.
If you're new, steer clear of futures.
Conclusion:
BTC is trading around support. $60.3k is a good support level. A weekly close above $62k is crucial. If that doesn't happen, we'll wait for more opportunities. This price action might continue for 4 to 8 weeks before the real rally begins. The plan is simple: stick around for the next 4 to 8 weeks without making rash decisions.
I hope this post helps! If it did, please like and share so more people can read this during these challenging times. Stay strong, WAGMI :)
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin's Next Two Years: Accumulation to Parabolic PeakBitcoin Technical Analysis: Upcoming Two-Year Cycle
Market Structure Overview
Current market structure analysis indicates that Bitcoin is in the final stages of its accumulation phase before a mini bull run. Key market structure zones and projected price targets for the next two years are outlined below:
Accumulation Phase
Current Support Zone: $57,405 - $61,302
Bitcoin is consolidating within this range, indicating strong accumulation by long-term holders and institutional investors.
Mini Bull Run
Projected Highest High: $91,236
As Bitcoin breaks out of the accumulation phase, we anticipate a mini bull run with the highest high reaching approximately $91,236 . This phase is expected to be driven by increasing demand and positive market sentiment.
Correction Cycle
Main Support Zone: $47,620
Following the mini bull run, a slow correction cycle is projected to commence, bringing Bitcoin down to a main bottom support around $47,620 . This correction is seen as a healthy pullback, setting the stage for the next bullish phase.
Parabolic Bullish Cycle
First Target: $139,130
From the $47,620 support zone, Bitcoin is expected to begin a parabolic bullish cycle. The first significant target in this cycle is around $139,130 , marking a substantial price appreciation.
Parabolic Cycle Correction and New Targets
Maximum Target: $236,000
Following the initial parabolic run, Bitcoin is projected to undergo a correction before ascending to new heights. The absolute maximum target for this 3.5-year cycle is estimated to be around $236,000.
Macroeconomic Factors Influencing Bitcoin
Japanese Index Decline: The recent rapid decline in the Japanese index has introduced uncertainty in the Asian markets. Investors are increasingly looking for safe-haven assets, which could boost demand for Bitcoin.
US Market Sentiment: With the US markets closing in the red on Friday and gold prices reaching an all-time high, there is a growing shift towards alternative investments like Bitcoin.
Japanese Yen Weakness: The continued decline of the Japanese yen is anticipated to accelerate Bitcoin’s mini bull cycle correction. This macroeconomic trend is likely to contribute to the expected decline to the $47,000 support zone before the parabolic bullish phase.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's market structure suggests a promising outlook for the next two years, characterized by significant price movements and opportunities for strategic investments. The interplay between macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s inherent market cycles underscores the importance of staying informed and agile in response to evolving market conditions.