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Bitcoin Is Printing Irregular CorrectionHello, Skyrexians! Despite the negative comments that BINANCE:BTCUSDT will pump instead of my bearish prediction and Saylor's Bitcoin purchases I am going to follow my scenario - nothing has changed. Based on my experience price now is printing the most difficult shape of correction - irregular ABC. In recent analysis I explained why we shall use now 12 hours time frame. On this time frame Awesome Oscillator shall cross zero line to finish correction. Target for irregular correction usually at 0.38 Fibonacci at $97.5k, but also can touch $95k with the wick. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
8
$108K BTC ATH in Sight Despite ETF & Moody's HeadwindsBitcoin's Turbulent Ascent: Charting a Course Through Volatility, Institutional Embrace, and the $108,000 Horizon Amid Shifting Economic Sands The world of cryptocurrency is once again fixated on its undisputed leader, Bitcoin (BTC). The digital behemoth is currently navigating a period of intense market activity, marked by dramatic price swings, a nuanced evolution in institutional engagement, and a striking resilience in the face of macroeconomic tremors. As Bitcoin flirts with the $102,900 threshold and repeatedly tests the crucial $104,000 psychological barrier, the air is thick with anticipation. Market analysts and enthusiasts alike are closely watching for a potential surge that could propel Bitcoin beyond its previous all-time high (ATH) to an ambitious $108,000 within the current month. This intricate dance unfolds against a complex global backdrop: a recent downgrade of US debt by Moody's, significant and strategic Bitcoin accumulation by institutional players like Japan's Metaplanet, and observable shifts in the open interest of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The narrative for Bitcoin in May 2025 is one of inherent strength and heightened expectation. While a recent, sharp pullback from the $107,000 mark was widely attributed to investors capitalizing on recent gains—a classic profit-taking maneuver—rather than a panicked reaction to Moody's revised outlook on US debt, the digital asset staged a swift and impressive recovery, climbing back towards the $105,000 level. This rapid rebound underscores a complex interplay of market forces, investor sentiment, and perhaps a growing perception of Bitcoin as an asset with unique characteristics. This resilience, buttressed by robust underlying network fundamentals and an increasingly confident institutional presence, paints a compelling and multifaceted picture of Bitcoin's current trajectory and its potential future. Navigating Price Swings: Profit-Taking, Market Maturity, and a Dismissal of Moody's Downgrade Bitcoin's recent price journey has been nothing short of a rollercoaster, a testament to its well-documented volatility. However, these fluctuations also hint at a market that is gradually maturing in its response to external economic shocks. The digital currency experienced a notable dip, with some initial commentary linking it to a broader "risk-off" sentiment ostensibly triggered by Moody's downgrade of US sovereign debt. Indeed, Moody's Investors Service adjusted the U.S. government's long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings from the pristine AAA to Aa1. The agency cited mounting concerns over the nation's escalating debt burden and the sustainability of its interest payments, a move that traditionally sends ripples of caution through global financial markets, often prompting investors to reduce exposure to assets perceived as higher risk. However, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin's reaction quickly evolved. The sharp sell-off from its recent high near $107,000 was predominantly identified by market observers as a consequence of profit-taking. Investors who had benefited from the preceding upward trend chose to realize their gains, a standard market dynamic in any asset class. This distinction is critically important. It suggests that the selling pressure was primarily an internal market mechanism within the cryptocurrency space itself, rather than a direct, sustained erosion of confidence directly attributable to the US debt downgrade. In a remarkable display of this independent strength, Bitcoin demonstrated a robust recovery, rallying back towards the $105,000 mark. This price action was widely interpreted as Bitcoin effectively "ignoring" or "shrugging off" the downgrade's potential long-term implications for its own valuation. Some market analysts posit that this behavior lends further credence to Bitcoin's burgeoning role as a potential hedge against instability in traditional financial systems and a perceived decline in the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies. While Bitcoin's price did exhibit a corrective phase around the time of the downgrade announcement, its capacity to swiftly regain lost ground suggests that the market may have either already factored in such macroeconomic developments or, more significantly, views Bitcoin's fundamental, long-term value proposition as increasingly detached from traditional economic indicators. The market's reaction, characterized by an initial dip followed by a spirited recovery, highlights Bitcoin's complex and evolving relationship with macroeconomic news. It behaves at times like a risk asset, sensitive to global liquidity and investor sentiment, and at other times, it exhibits characteristics of a safe-haven asset, sought after during periods of uncertainty. The Alluring Prospect of a New Zenith: Is $108,000 Bitcoin's Next Landmark? Amidst this characteristic volatility, a palpable undercurrent of optimism pervades the Bitcoin market. Strong suggestions and analytical forecasts point towards the possibility that Bitcoin could not only retest but decisively surpass its previous all-time high, potentially charting a course towards $108,000, and perhaps even higher, within the current month. Technical analyses, which scrutinize historical price patterns and market statistics to predict future movements, lend support to this bullish outlook. Some chartists and forecasters have identified take-profit targets for bullish positions clustering around the $109,158.98 region. Currently, Bitcoin's price appears to be in a consolidation phase, hovering around the $102,957 mark after a retreat from a local peak of $107,115. Market participants are intensely focused on key resistance levels. The zone between $105,000 and $108,700 is viewed as a particularly critical hurdle. A decisive daily trading session closing above the $108,700 level could act as a powerful catalyst, potentially triggering a fresh wave of buying interest and propelling Bitcoin towards the $110,000 milestone. Should this momentum be sustained, a further ascent to $115,000 by the end of May is considered a plausible scenario by optimistic analysts. This bullish sentiment is further amplified by what some market commentators describe as Bitcoin's "volatile liquidity run." This phenomenon, characterized by rapid shifts in market liquidity and price, is believed by some analysts to be capable of paving the way for new record highs. The market has recently observed unusual trading patterns, such as CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Bitcoin futures contracts leading volatile price action, even during weekend trading sessions when traditional markets are closed. This indicates a dynamic and continually evolving market structure, increasingly influenced by institutional-grade trading venues. Historically, Bitcoin's price has demonstrated a notable correlation with global liquidity conditions, particularly metrics like the M2 money supply. Expansions in M2, representing a broader measure of money in circulation, have often coincided with upward trends in Bitcoin's price. While current expansions in M2 could theoretically provide a tailwind for Bitcoin, the future trajectory of global liquidity is somewhat clouded by persistent inflation concerns and mixed signals from various economic sectors. Nevertheless, the potent combination of strong technical chart patterns, the potential for favorable liquidity conditions, and a resilient underlying market sentiment keeps the prospect of a new all-time high firmly within the realm of possibility. Analysts are keenly eyeing the $108,000 mark as a significant psychological and technical target. A convincing breakout above this level could potentially unleash further euphoric momentum, drawing in more retail and institutional capital. The Institutional Equation: ETF Open Interest Moderates, While Metaplanet Intensifies Accumulation The role and behavior of institutional investors continue to be a pivotal factor shaping Bitcoin's market dynamics and its journey towards mainstream acceptance. Recently, a noteworthy development was observed in the Bitcoin ETF space: open interest saw a 5% dip, settling at approximately $29.47 billion. This occurred even as Bitcoin itself maintained its price position near the $102,900 level. This decline in open interest, which represents the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled, coupled with a discernible slowdown in weekly inflows into Bitcoin ETFs (which were reported as the lowest in a month, at $603.74 million for the period of May 12-16), suggests a degree of caution or perhaps a phase of consolidation among ETF investors. This follows a period of particularly heightened activity and significant inflows earlier in the year, often associated with the launch and growing popularity of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major markets. The relatively rangebound trading of Bitcoin, oscillating primarily between $102,711 and $104,971 during this period, likely contributed to this softer, more measured demand for ETF exposure. However, it would be premature to interpret this dip in ETF open interest as a signal of a broader or sustained institutional retreat from Bitcoin. Activity in the derivatives markets, for instance, paints a more nuanced, and in some aspects, more bullish picture. Strong demand for call options, which give buyers the right but not the obligation to buy Bitcoin at a specific price in the future, indicates that a segment of sophisticated traders is actively positioning for an upward price movement, with some targeting levels around $110,000. In futures markets, when open interest rises in tandem with price, it typically signals that new capital is entering the market, reinforcing the strength and conviction behind the prevailing trend. Contrasting sharply with the moderation observed in ETF flows is the aggressive and strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by corporate entities, most notably exemplified by Metaplanet. The Japanese investment firm recently captured headlines with its announcement of an additional purchase of 1,004 Bitcoin. This transaction marked its second-largest single acquisition of the cryptocurrency to date. This significant purchase, valued at approximately $104.3 million at the time of execution, increased Metaplanet's total Bitcoin holdings to an impressive 7,800 BTC. This substantial stash is currently worth over $800 million, fluctuating slightly with market prices but generally estimated between $806 million and $807 million. The company disclosed that its average acquisition price for this latest tranche of Bitcoin was around 15.13 million Japanese yen per BTC. Crucially, its overall average cost per BTC for its entire holdings now stands at approximately $91,340. Metaplanet's Bitcoin strategy is notably ambitious and long-term in its orientation. The company has publicly stated its goals of accumulating 10,000 BTC by the end of 2025 and has even hinted at a more audacious long-term vision of potentially holding up to 1% of the total global Bitcoin supply. This proactive accumulation positions Metaplanet as a significant corporate holder of Bitcoin, particularly prominent within the Asian financial landscape. Its approach has drawn frequent comparisons to that of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the US-based software intelligence firm renowned for its pioneering and substantial investments in Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset. Such large-scale corporate buying, as demonstrated by Metaplanet and Strategy, can exert considerable upward pressure on Bitcoin's price. By acquiring and holding substantial amounts of BTC, these corporations effectively reduce the freely circulating supply available on exchanges, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as exerting deflationary pressure, especially when corporate and even governmental buying activity is rapid and sustained. Metaplanet's actions, alongside those of other forward-thinking firms, underscore a growing and significant trend: the diversification of corporate treasuries into digital assets. These companies increasingly view Bitcoin not just as a speculative investment, but as a strategic reserve asset, a potential hedge against inflation, and a safeguard against the perceived long-term devaluation of fiat currencies. This movement has seen a notable surge in Bitcoin holdings by businesses globally, particularly since early 2024, signaling a paradigm shift in how corporations manage their financial reserves. The Bedrock of Bitcoin: Network Health, Hashrate Resilience, and Expanding Mining Margins Beneath the often-turbulent surface of price charts and the ebb and flow of institutional capital, the fundamental health and security of the Bitcoin network itself remain remarkably robust. Investment banking giant JPMorgan recently reported that the Bitcoin Network Hashrate experienced a slight but discernible rise in the first two weeks of May. The average hashrate during this period was noted at 88.5 Exahashes per second (EH/s), representing a 2% increase. Other data sources from the blockchain analytics community corroborate this trend, showing the daily hashrate reaching even higher levels, such as 831 EH/s as of May 1, 2025, and even peaking at an impressive 921 EH/s earlier in the month. This represents a significant increase from the lows observed in 2024. As of May 15, 2025, the Bitcoin Network Hash Rate was recorded at approximately 864.51 million Terahashes per second (TH/s), which translates to 864.51 EH/s. This continued upward trajectory in computational power dedicated to the network, even in the aftermath of events like the Bitcoin halving (which reduces the block rewards issued to miners), underscores the sustained confidence of miners and contributes directly to the network's formidable security. Adding to this positive picture, mining gross margins have reportedly expanded sequentially throughout this month. JPMorgan's analysis highlighted that as Bitcoin prices appreciated, miners' gross profit margins also saw a month-on-month expansion, leading to improved economic conditions for those securing the network. The "hash price," a key metric representing daily mining profitability per unit of hash power, increased by a notable 13% when compared to April's figures. In the initial two weeks of May, Bitcoin miners earned approximately $50,100 per EH/s in daily block rewards (which includes both newly minted bitcoins and transaction fees). This figure is up 13% from the previous month and shows a 3% year-on-year increase. This financial viability is crucial. It enables miners to continue investing in their operations, which includes covering significant energy costs and upgrading their specialized hardware (ASICs – Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) to maintain competitiveness and efficiency. Leading manufacturers like Bitmain and MicroBT continuously release more powerful and energy-efficient mining rigs. The fact that the market price of Bitcoin remains significantly higher than the average cost of mining (estimated by some analyses to be around $36,800 per BTC) indicates a healthy profit margin for the mining industry. These margins are comparable to those observed at the beginning of previous bull market cycles, further fueling optimism. Some publicly traded mining companies, such as LM Funding, have reported improved mining margins in the first quarter of 2025, successfully navigating the headwinds from the halving event through operational improvements, strategic power agreements, and in some cases, diversifying revenue streams like power sales. The Untamed Frontier: Meme Coins and the Curious Case of BTC Bull Token While Bitcoin, with its established infrastructure and growing institutional adoption, commands the lion's share of attention, the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to be a fertile ground for innovation, experimentation, and, undeniably, speculation. One of the most prominent and often controversial manifestations of this is the meme coin phenomenon. The question frequently arises in online forums and social media: "Best Meme Coins like BTC Bull Token Next to Surge?" This highlights the persistent allure of these unique digital assets. Meme coins are a distinct category of cryptocurrency, typically inspired by internet memes, viral social media trends, or popular culture. Their value is often driven less by intrinsic utility or underlying technological fundamentals and more by community-generated hype, speculative fervor, and the quest for rapid, exponential gains. They are infamous for their extreme volatility, capable of producing meteoric price surges in short periods, but also equally susceptible to precipitous crashes. BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL) has emerged as a specific example within this highly speculative niche. It has positioned itself with taglines such as "the official Bitcoin meme coin" or a "Bitcoin-themed meme coin," attempting to leverage the brand recognition and market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin itself. Its core proposition appears to be a system of rewarding its token holders with airdrops of actual Bitcoin when BTC achieves certain predetermined price milestones (for example, when Bitcoin's price reaches $150,000, $200,000, or $250,000). Additionally, the $BTCBULL project outlines plans for token burn events. These events, designed to reduce the total supply of $BTCBULL tokens and theoretically increase their scarcity, are scheduled to occur when Bitcoin's price increases by specific increments (e.g., for every $25,000 increase in Bitcoin's price, starting from a baseline of $125,000). Currently reported to be in its presale phase, projects like BTC Bull Token aim to capitalize on the excitement and upward momentum of Bitcoin bull runs. They offer a highly leveraged, and therefore highly risky, way for speculators to potentially profit from Bitcoin's upside. It is absolutely paramount for anyone considering an allocation to meme coins, including those linked thematically to Bitcoin, to thoroughly understand their inherent high-risk, high-reward nature. These assets are, by definition, intensely speculative. They are highly susceptible to "pump-and-dump" schemes, where coordinated buying inflates the price before early holders sell off en masse, leaving later entrants with significant losses. Many meme coins lack long-term viability, tangible real-world applications, or robust development teams. While the allure of quick, life-changing profits can be undeniably strong, the potential for substantial, and often total, financial loss is equally, if not more, significant. Prudent investors should approach such tokens with extreme caution, treating them more as a form of high-stakes gambling or digital entertainment rather than a serious, fundamentally-driven investment. Due diligence, a clear understanding of the risks involved, and an investment amount one can afford to lose are critical prerequisites. Weaving the Narrative: A Complex Market of Resilience, Adoption, and Speculation The current Bitcoin landscape presents a fascinating and intricate tapestry, woven from a diverse array of threads. We observe robust price action that seems increasingly capable of defying or quickly recovering from macroeconomic pressures. There is the steady, albeit sometimes fluctuating, march of institutional adoption, most visibly through products like ETFs, but also through direct corporate treasury allocations. The unwavering commitment of long-term corporate accumulators, exemplified by firms like Metaplanet, adds another layer of demand. Underpinning all of this is the fundamental strength and security of the Bitcoin network itself, evidenced by a healthy and growing hashrate. And, at the periphery, the ever-present speculative fervor of the broader crypto market, including the volatile world of meme coins, adds a unique dynamism. Bitcoin's demonstrated ability to absorb the potential shock of Moody's US debt downgrade and subsequently rally, largely on the back of what was identified as profit-taking, indicates a growing maturity within its market. It also suggests a potential decoupling, at least to some extent, from the reflexive reactions often seen in traditional financial markets. The widespread anticipation of a new all-time high, with many eyes fixed on the $108,000 level, is not without foundation. It is supported by various technical indicators, ongoing positive sentiment, and a persistent bullish undercurrent in many segments of the market. However, the recent dip in ETF open interest serves as a salient reminder that institutional sentiment can be subject to caution and re-evaluation, and that the path to higher valuations is rarely a straight, uninterrupted line. Corrections and consolidations are natural parts of any market cycle. Metaplanet's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy highlights a different, perhaps more profound, facet of institutional interest. This is not just about short-term trading or exposure to a new asset class; it's about a long-term conviction in Bitcoin's potential role as a strategic treasury reserve asset. Such a trend, if it continues to grow, could have a more sustained and significant impact on Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics over time. Meanwhile, the healthy hashrate figures and reports of improving miner profitability provide a solid and reassuring foundation for the network's continued secure operation and the confidence of its participants. The emergence and popularity of meme coins like BTC Bull Token, while arguably peripheral to Bitcoin's core value proposition and its aspirations as a global financial asset, reflect the undeniable speculative energy that often accompanies bull markets in the cryptocurrency space. It serves as a reminder of the diverse and sometimes bewildering ecosystem that Bitcoin anchors – an ecosystem that now ranges from highly sophisticated institutional financial products and regulated investment vehicles to community-driven, high-risk, and often ephemeral digital tokens. Gazing Forward: A Market Poised for Potentially Defining Movements As May 2025 continues to unfold, the Bitcoin market stands at a fascinating and potentially pivotal juncture. The confluence of technical factors, institutional behavior, network fundamentals, and macroeconomic influences creates an environment ripe for significant moves. Several key elements will be crucial to watch in the coming weeks and months: • Price Action Around Critical Levels: Bitcoin's ability to decisively breach and, more importantly, hold above the formidable resistance zone generally identified between $105,000 and $108,700 will be a critical determinant of whether a new all-time high is imminent. A strong breakout could ignite further momentum. Conversely, key support levels, likely around the $100,000 to $102,000 range, must hold firm to maintain the prevailing bullish market structure. A break below these supports could signal a deeper correction. • Institutional Capital Flows: Continued monitoring of inflows and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, as well as changes in their open interest, will provide valuable insights into shorter-term institutional sentiment and positioning. Simultaneously, tracking further corporate accumulation by entities like Metaplanet and Strategy will offer signals regarding long-term conviction and the adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset. • Network Fundamentals and Security: Sustained growth in the Bitcoin network hashrate and the maintenance of healthy mining economics will continue to be vital indicators of the network's underlying security, resilience, and the confidence of its core infrastructure providers. Any significant disruptions or negative trends in these areas could impact broader market sentiment. • Overarching Macroeconomic Influences: While Bitcoin has demonstrated a degree of resilience, the broader global economic climate will undoubtedly continue to exert an influence. Key factors to watch include inflation data from major economies, monetary policy decisions from central banks (particularly regarding interest rates and quantitative easing/tightening), and any further significant developments related to sovereign debt or geopolitical stability. • Prevailing Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment within the cryptocurrency market, as reflected in metrics like the Fear & Greed Index, activity in derivatives markets (funding rates, options skew), and the tenor of discussions within online communities and social media, will play a significant role in driving short-term price movements. This is particularly true for the more speculative assets within the ecosystem. Bitcoin's journey is one of perpetual evolution, marked by innovation, debate, and dramatic market cycles. The current phase, characterized by ambitious price targets, strategic institutional chess moves, and robust underlying network strength, suggests that the coming weeks and months could be particularly pivotal in shaping its longer-term narrative. While the prospect of Bitcoin surpassing the $108,000 mark and venturing into new price discovery territory excites many participants, the asset's inherent volatility, coupled with the speculative elements that froth at the market's fringes, necessitates a balanced and informed perspective. Acknowledging both the transformative potential of Bitcoin and the considerable risks that continue to define its unique position in the global financial landscape remains essential for anyone navigating this dynamic space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold above the key $105,000 mark. We observed active protection and absorption of market buys by the seller, as a result of which a sell zone of $105,000–$105,700 was formed. After that, the price went sideways again and remained there until the end of the week. On Monday, there was a surge of liquidity above the previous high — the price tested the zone of volume anomalies of $107,000–$109,000, from where a sharp reaction from the seller immediately followed. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, the local scenario is on the side of the "bears". There is a break in the uptrend on the hourly timeframe. There is an active absorption of buys in key sell areas, both in delta and volume. When returning to the $105,700 level, it’s worth considering entering a short position if there is a repeat reaction from the seller, with a goal of reducing to $100,000. In the future, we’ll monitor the price behavior in the buyer's zones. Sell Zones: ~$105,700 (point of strongest absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (initiative buying volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes), $82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes). IMPORTANT DATES The following macroeconomic events are expected this week: • Tuesday, May 20, 04:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision for May; • Wednesday, May 21, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for April; • Thursday, May 22, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Thursday, May 22, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for May; • Thursday, May 22, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales results on the secondary housing market in the USA for April; • Friday, May 23, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the first quarter of 2025; • Friday, May 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of new home sales results in the United States for April. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday". On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski) 🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC ❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest. 💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇 Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts: 1️⃣ BTC.D 👇 and 2️⃣ USDT.D 👇 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
2
BITCOIN SCALP?. here is my famous words to you guys from this book ;>>>Now a lot of people will be looking for sells from here, so if we know that. So once we have a nice rejection from this double top and nice retrace, this looks good for the majority of people, because price come up but we failed to break above this DT or as we know a EQH. We have got a nice retrace candle, which again retail love retrace candle, because its showing potential move to the downside, and rejection from an area. So now that we have got a rejection from this DT, people are looking to sell this, and when people are looking to sell at DT, where are their stop losses going? Well they are going above the DT. But clearly they have going above the DT. Retail always put stops above DT or below DB, and then expect to move down. So that is exactly why there is liquidity this areas. So that basically means that a lot of stop losses are at this areas.. all traders on bitcoin would longs right. My target would be the 106k only for scalping. Goodluck traders, see cap and charts. its the same on our EURUSD ideas right? Grab it and take the trade. don't missed it. pewww
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
Bitcoin Analysis: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for a Smart Entry!🚀 BTCUSDT Outlook: Bullish Momentum, But Waiting for Value 📉💰 Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) continues to push higher, showing strong bullish momentum across the daily and 4H timeframes. That said, current price action appears to be overstretched—in my view, it’s trading well into premium territory 📈⚠️. 💡 Although I maintain a bullish outlook, I’m now eyeing a pullback toward a more balanced zone—ideally between the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would bring BTC closer to equilibrium and offer a more strategic opportunity to engage with the trend. 🔎 In this video, we break down: - The dominant trend and current structure - How to identify potential market structure shifts - My buy scenario, which depends on a retracement forming a bearish short-term move (e.g. on the 30-min chart), followed by a bullish break of structure 📊✅ 🕒 Timing is everything. Let price unfold—we’re not predicting, we’re preparing. Entries should only be considered when price action confirms the scenario laid out in this video. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinion. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Stalls, But Chart Watchers Eye $300,000 Peak: Here's Whe Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a period of consolidation, leaving investors and analysts alike pondering its next move. While the price has stalled below the $105,000 mark, a confluence of factors, including popular predictive models and bullish sentiment from prominent crypto analysts, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. This article delves into the factors driving the bullish outlook for Bitcoin, examining the predictive models, analyst forecasts, and underlying fundamentals that support the possibility of a substantial price increase. We will explore the potential catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights and analyze the technical indicators that chart watchers are monitoring closely. Predictive Models Point to a Massive Surge One of the primary drivers of the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is the existence of popular predictive models that suggest a massive price surge in the coming months. These models, often based on historical data, supply and demand dynamics, and other relevant factors, attempt to forecast the future price of Bitcoin with varying degrees of accuracy. One such model, which has gained considerable attention in the crypto community, points to a potential surge to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year. While the specifics of this model are not explicitly detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on factors such as Bitcoin's scarcity, its increasing adoption as a store of value, and the potential for institutional investment to drive demand. It is important to note that predictive models are not foolproof and should not be taken as definitive guarantees of future price movements. However, they can provide valuable insights into potential scenarios and help investors make informed decisions. Analyst Forecasts: $159,000 This Cycle In addition to predictive models, bullish forecasts from prominent crypto analysts are also contributing to the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. One analyst, in particular, has predicted that Bitcoin's price could reach $159,000 this cycle. While the specific methodology used by this analyst is not detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment. Technical analysis involves studying price charts and other technical indicators to identify potential trends and patterns. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying value of Bitcoin based on factors such as its adoption rate, network security, and regulatory environment. Market sentiment involves gauging the overall mood and expectations of investors in the crypto market. The analyst's forecast of $159,000 this cycle suggests a belief that Bitcoin is currently undervalued and that its price will eventually catch up to its intrinsic value. Bitcoin IS The Opt Out The phrase "Bitcoin IS The Opt Out" encapsulates a growing sentiment within the crypto community that Bitcoin represents a viable alternative to traditional financial systems. This sentiment is based on the belief that Bitcoin offers several advantages over traditional currencies and financial institutions: • Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any single entity, such as a government or central bank. This decentralization makes it resistant to censorship and manipulation. • Scarcity: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, which makes it a scarce asset. This scarcity is expected to drive its price higher over time as demand increases. • Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain. This transparency makes it difficult to engage in illicit activities using Bitcoin. • Security: The Bitcoin network is secured by cryptography, making it difficult to hack or tamper with. The belief that Bitcoin offers a viable "opt out" from traditional financial systems is driving increased adoption and investment in the cryptocurrency. BTC Price to $116K Next? 'Early Week' All-Time High The prospect of Bitcoin reaching $116,000 in the near future, potentially even achieving an all-time high early in the week, is further fueling bullish sentiment. This forecast, attributed to a Bitcoin trader, suggests that the cryptocurrency is poised to break out of its current consolidation phase and enter a new period of price discovery. The trader's forecast is likely based on technical analysis, identifying potential breakout patterns and momentum indicators that suggest an imminent surge in price. The expectation of an "early week" all-time high suggests a belief that the market is primed for a rapid and decisive move to the upside. Leaving the Tight Range Behind The statement that "Bitcoin is in line to leave its tight range behind in the coming days" suggests that the period of consolidation is nearing its end. A tight trading range typically indicates a period of indecision in the market, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched. However, such periods often precede significant price movements, as pent-up energy is released in one direction or another. The expectation that Bitcoin will leave its tight range behind suggests a belief that the balance of power is shifting in favor of buyers, setting the stage for a potential breakout to the upside. Retaking All-Time Highs and Pushing into Price Discovery The ultimate goal for Bitcoin bulls is to see the cryptocurrency retake its all-time highs and push into price discovery. Price discovery refers to the process of establishing a new price level for an asset when it breaks out of its previous range. When Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high, it enters a period of price discovery, where there are no historical resistance levels to impede its upward movement. This can lead to rapid and substantial price increases, as buyers are willing to pay higher and higher prices to acquire the asset. Potential Catalysts for a Bitcoin Surge Several potential catalysts could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs and trigger a period of price discovery: • Increased Institutional Investment: As more and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, allocate capital to Bitcoin, demand for the cryptocurrency is likely to increase, driving its price higher. • Regulatory Clarity: Greater regulatory clarity surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could remove a major source of uncertainty and encourage more investors to enter the market. • Mainstream Adoption: As Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted as a form of payment and a store of value, its adoption rate is likely to increase, driving demand and price appreciation. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, could drive investors to seek refuge in Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Technical Indicators to Watch Chart watchers are closely monitoring several technical indicators to gauge the potential for a Bitcoin surge: • Breakout Patterns: Identifying potential breakout patterns, such as ascending triangles, cup and handle formations, and flag patterns, can provide clues about when Bitcoin is likely to break out of its current range. • Volume: Monitoring trading volume can help to confirm the validity of a breakout. A breakout accompanied by high volume is generally considered more reliable than a breakout accompanied by low volume. • Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can help to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. • Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help to anticipate potential price movements and set appropriate entry and exit points. Conclusion: Awaiting the Next Chapter in Bitcoin's Story Bitcoin's recent period of consolidation has left investors and analysts eager to see what the future holds. While the price has stalled below $105,000, a confluence of factors, including predictive models, analyst forecasts, and bullish market sentiment, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. Whether Bitcoin achieves these lofty targets remains to be seen, but the stage is set for what could be another exciting chapter in the cryptocurrency's story. As always, investors should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and make informed decisions before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. The journey ahead promises to be volatile, but the potential rewards could be substantial for those who are willing to navigate the risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
1
Where Is The Correction For Bitcoin?Hello, Skyrexians! Recently we told about potential correction on BINANCE:BTCUSDT and current pump did not change anything except targets for this correction. My mistake was that I counted wave 5 inside 3 as the wave 5, but warned you that I often have this mistake. Now looking at the awesome oscillator it's obviously that wave 4 has not been even started. Anyway wave 3 has been already pumped above the 1.61 Fibonacci it means that wave 5 will be not extended. Very soon corrective wave 4 will be started. The target now is between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels, approximately at $95k. Anyway, taking short against trend is bad idea. The only one way you can use this info is to define the zone where you can take long trade, but I will not take. I told in one of my analysis when Bitcoin was $76k two months ago that growth above $140k has been started, I don't like to anticipate small moves. This was my global forecast Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
7
BTC to between 207k-315k come octoberThis is solely a prediction for the coming cycle top. I am looking for a third trend touch that will occur between 3.618 and 5.618 of the previous cycle high to swing low. If the time frame cycle to cycle lines up at 47 monthly bars, cycle top will occur in third quarter, likely in october. Summer time may be slow, but I think buying pressure will ramp up in the fall. This will lead to the eventual blowoff top that btc goes through each cycle. Blow off target = 207k-315k This is not financial advice, this is just a prediction I would like to publish to look back on. Let me know what you think is going to happen by years end in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) . Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
53
Bitcoin Breakout Loading: Resistance Zone Under Pressure!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) made the correction I expected , as I predicted in my previous idea . Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and near the Resistance lines . Given the momentum of the previous hour's candle and the fact that the previous three candles together formed a Morning Star Candlestick Reversal pattern , it is expected that the Resistance lines will be broken soon. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin has completed the main wave 4 as I expected with a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . A break of the Resistance lines by Bitcoin could confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Also, given Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and the fact that I expect the S&P500 Index to increase , the increase in the S&P500 Index could help Bitcoin increase further . I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance lines soon and attack towards the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,360-$100,600 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,280, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24
BTC/USDT Analysis – Back to Sideways Movement Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Unfortunately, Bitcoin did not continue its move toward the $100,000 target yesterday, and we didn’t get a more favorable entry price for buying. If we analyze the previous wave of selling from $105,000, we can see that we’ve returned to that range and consolidated within it. This again indicates a balance of power and a well-formed sideways range. The movement is occurring on reduced volume, which also signals market uncertainty. At the moment, we observe a dominant presence of limit buyers within the current volume zone. Therefore, we primarily expect a test of the $105,000–$105,700 sell zone (market buy absorption area), from which a strong selling reaction is still possible, potentially pushing the price toward local lows. There are no notable volume-based support zones until the next major buying area. If there is no reaction in the designated sell zone, we expect Bitcoin to move toward $107,000. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (market buy absorption), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (initiating volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
1
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ): Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000. Bitwise ETF Targets: $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
AMEX:BITBLong
by WorthlessViews
BTC Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & VolatilityBitcoin (BTCUSD) Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & Volatility Point to Entry Opportunities Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis: Navigating Strength and Volatility Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to capture the attention of the global financial markets, demonstrating notable resilience and underlying strength. The current market structure suggests a period where bulls are actively defending key price thresholds, creating a fascinating technical landscape. This analysis will provide an in-depth examination of BTCUSD, focusing on its price action relative to significant psychological levels, the supportive role of Fibonacci retracements, characteristic volatility patterns, and strategic entry considerations based on bullish candlestick formations. 1. Introduction to Bitcoin and the BTCUSD Pair Bitcoin, introduced in 2009, stands as the progenitor of cryptocurrencies, operating on a decentralized peer-to-peer network secured by cryptographic principles and recorded on a public distributed ledger known as the blockchain. It was designed as a digital alternative to traditional fiat currencies, free from central bank control. The BTCUSD pair represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin and the United States Dollar, making it one of the most liquid and heavily traded instruments in the digital asset space. Its price movements are a barometer for the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and are influenced by a myriad of factors including adoption trends, regulatory news, macroeconomic developments, and technological advancements within the Bitcoin network itself. Understanding the technical dynamics of BTCUSD is crucial for traders, investors, and market analysts seeking to navigate its often-turbulent price swings. 2. Current Market Sentiment and Price Action: Holding Above Key Psychological Levels A significant observation in the current BTCUSD market is its ability to maintain its footing above a key psychological price level. Such levels, often round numbers (e.g., $50,000, $60,000, or in this context, a hypothetical significant level like $100,000 if we assume a major bull run has occurred), act as important mental benchmarks for market participants. When price successfully breaks above such a level and subsequently holds it as support, it can signal a powerful shift in market sentiment. This behavior suggests that buyers are willing to step in and defend this new valuation, absorbing selling pressure and preventing a swift retracement. The act of holding above a major psychological level often has a self-fulfilling prophecy component. As traders and algorithms identify this level as critical, buy orders tend to cluster around it, reinforcing its strength as a support zone. Conversely, if the price were to decisively break below such a level after holding above it, it could trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and a rapid decline, indicating that the previous bullish conviction has waned. The current strength shown by Bitcoin in maintaining its position above such a noted psychological threshold is therefore a bullish indicator, suggesting underlying demand and a positive short-to-medium-term outlook, provided this support continues to hold. This resilience can build confidence among market participants, potentially attracting further capital inflow. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: Identifying Strong Support Fibonacci retracement levels are a cornerstone of technical analysis, employed to identify potential areas of support and resistance. Derived from the Fibonacci sequence – a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.) – the key retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages are applied to a prior price swing (from a significant low to a significant high in an uptrend, or vice-versa in a downtrend) to project areas where the price might pull back before resuming the primary trend. The observation that Fibonacci retracement levels suggest strong support at current BTCUSD levels is particularly pertinent. When the market is in an uptrend and experiences a corrective pullback, traders watch these Fibonacci levels closely. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are often considered the most significant. A retracement to, and subsequent bounce from, one of these levels indicates that the correction is likely a healthy pause within a larger bullish trend, rather than a reversal. If BTCUSD is currently finding support near a critical Fibonacci level, it implies that the preceding upward momentum was strong, and the current consolidation or minor pullback is being met with buying interest at a mathematically significant point. For example, if Bitcoin recently rallied from point A (low) to point B (high), and has now retraced to the 61.8% level of that rally and is holding, it's a classic sign that bulls are re-entering the market, viewing the pullback as a discounted buying opportunity. The confluence of a psychological level with a Fibonacci support level would create an even more potent support zone, significantly increasing the probability of a price bounce. Traders often look for candlestick confirmation at these Fibonacci levels before committing to a position. 4. Volatility Analysis: US Evening and Asian Morning Hours Volatility is an inherent characteristic of Bitcoin, representing the degree of variation of its trading price series over time. The observation that BTCUSD volatility tends to increase during US evening and Asian morning hours is a valuable insight for strategic trade timing. This period typically corresponds to the overlap between the closing of the New York trading session and the opening of major Asian financial centers like Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Several factors contribute to this heightened volatility: Market Overlap and Liquidity Shifts: As one major market winds down and another ramps up, there can be shifts in liquidity. The initial hours of the Asian session often bring fresh news, order flows, and participants, leading to price discovery and increased trading activity. News Dissemination: Significant economic data releases, corporate earnings (for Bitcoin-related companies), or crypto-specific news from either the US (late announcements) or Asia can occur during these hours, directly impacting BTCUSD prices. Algorithmic Trading: Many trading algorithms are programmed to react to specific inter-market conditions or news events, and their activity can amplify price movements during these transitional periods. Derivatives Market Activity: The global nature of Bitcoin derivatives markets (futures, options) means that activity in these markets can influence spot prices around the clock. The US evening/Asian morning window sees active participation from traders in these regions. For traders, this period of increased volatility presents both opportunities and risks. Opportunities arise from potentially larger price swings that can be capitalized upon with well-timed entries. Risks are elevated due to the potential for rapid price changes, which can trigger stop-losses or lead to slippage. Therefore, while these hours can be opportune for entry, they also demand heightened vigilance and robust risk management. 5. Entry Strategies: Volatility, Candlestick Patterns, and Timing Leveraging the increased volatility during US evening and Asian morning hours for entry timing requires a methodical approach, primarily focusing on the confirmation provided by bullish candlestick patterns. Candlestick charts offer a visual representation of price movements and can signal shifts in market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations. Key Bullish Candlestick Patterns for Entry Confirmation: Hammer: Appearing after a downtrend, a Hammer is characterized by a small real body at the upper end of the trading range, with a long lower shadow (at least twice the size of the body) and little to no upper shadow. It indicates that sellers initially pushed prices down, but buyers stepped in strongly to drive prices back up near the open, suggesting a potential bottom and bullish reversal. Inverted Hammer: Also a bottom reversal pattern, the Inverted Hammer has a small real body at the lower end of the trading range, a long upper shadow, and a short (or absent) lower shadow. It suggests that buyers attempted to push the price up, but sellers resisted. However, the fact that buyers showed strength is a tentative bullish sign, requiring further confirmation. Bullish Engulfing: This is a powerful two-candle reversal pattern. The first candle is bearish (red/black), and the second candle is bullish (green/white) with a real body that completely "engulfs" the real body of the preceding bearish candle. It signifies that buying pressure has overwhelmed selling pressure. Piercing Line: Another two-candle bullish reversal pattern seen after a downtrend. The first candle is a strong bearish candle. The second candle opens below the low of the first candle but then closes more than halfway up the real body of the first bearish candle. This indicates a significant shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish during the second candle's session. Morning Star: A three-candle bullish reversal pattern. It begins with a long bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish or bearish and ideally gaps down from the first candle), and then a long bullish candle that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle (ideally gapping up from the second candle). The small middle candle (the "star") represents indecision, and the strong bullish third candle confirms the reversal. Three White Soldiers: This is a strong bullish continuation or reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles. Each candle should open within the body of the previous candle and close at or near its high, making progressively higher highs. It signals sustained buying pressure. Strategic Entry Timing: Monitor Volatile Periods: Be particularly attentive to price action during the US evening and Asian morning hours. Identify Key Support: Note the psychological levels and Fibonacci retracement zones where BTCUSD is expected to find support. Scan for Bullish Candlesticks: Look for the formation of one of the aforementioned bullish candlestick patterns (or others like Dojis at support, Bullish Harami) at or near these support levels during the identified volatile periods. Seek Confirmation: Wait for the candlestick pattern to fully complete at the close of its period (e.g., end of the hour for an hourly chart). Some traders wait for the next candle to trade above the high of the bullish pattern for further confirmation. Volume Analysis: Higher trading volume accompanying the formation of a bullish candlestick pattern adds to its reliability, indicating stronger conviction behind the buying pressure. Context is Key: Bullish reversal patterns are most potent when they appear after a discernible pullback within a larger uptrend, or at the end of a consolidation phase near strong support. By combining the timing advantage of predictable volatility spikes with the confirmation signals from bullish candlestick patterns at technically significant support levels, traders can refine their entry strategies for BTCUSD. 6. Other Key Technical Indicators for Comprehensive Analysis While the core observations provide a strong foundation, incorporating other technical indicators can offer a more holistic view of BTCUSD's market dynamics: Moving Averages (MAs): MAs smooth out price data to identify trend direction and potential support/resistance. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs (Simple Moving Averages) or EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are widely watched. Price trading above these MAs is generally bullish. Crossovers, like a "golden cross" (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA), are considered strong long-term bullish signals. Conversely, a "death cross" (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA) is bearish. Relative Strength Index (RSI): This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100. An RSI above 70 is often considered overbought (suggesting a potential pullback), while below 30 is oversold (suggesting a potential bounce). However, in strong trends, BTCUSD can remain in overbought or oversold territory for extended periods. Bullish or bearish divergences between price and RSI (e.g., price making a new high while RSI makes a lower high) can signal weakening momentum. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This trend-following momentum indicator consists of the MACD line and a signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, suggesting increasing upward momentum. A bearish crossover is the opposite. The MACD histogram visualizes the distance between the MACD and signal lines; a growing positive histogram is bullish. Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels: Beyond Fibonacci, historical price action creates distinct support (price floor) and resistance (price ceiling) levels. These are areas where the price has previously reversed or consolidated. Identifying these levels on daily and weekly charts provides a broader map of potential turning points. Trendlines and Channels: Drawing trendlines connecting successive lows (uptrend line) or highs (downtrend line) helps visualize the dominant trend. Price often respects these lines. Parallel trendlines can form channels, providing dynamic support and resistance boundaries. A break out of a well-established trendline or channel can signal a significant change in trend. Volume Analysis: Trading volume is a critical confirming indicator. A price rally accompanied by increasing volume is generally seen as healthy and sustainable. Conversely, a rally on declining volume may indicate weakening conviction. Spikes in volume during breakouts above resistance or bounces from support add validity to the price move. Integrating these indicators with the primary observations about psychological levels, Fibonacci support, and candlestick patterns during volatile periods can provide a more robust and nuanced trading framework. 7. Risk Management in Bitcoin Trading The high volatility inherent in BTCUSD, while offering profit potential, also necessitates stringent risk management. Without it, traders expose themselves to significant losses. Key risk management practices include: Stop-Loss Orders: Always define an exit point for a trade if it moves against you. A stop-loss order automatically closes a position when the price reaches a predetermined level, limiting potential losses. Position Sizing: Determine the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to a single trade based on your overall portfolio size and risk tolerance. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of trading capital on any individual trade. Risk/Reward Ratio: Before entering a trade, assess the potential profit (reward) versus the potential loss (risk). Aim for trades where the potential reward is significantly greater than the risk (e.g., 2:1 or 3:1). Diversification: While this analysis focuses on BTCUSD, traders should consider diversifying their overall crypto portfolio if they are investors, rather than concentrating all funds in one asset. Emotional Discipline: Avoid making trading decisions based on fear (FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) or greed (FOMO - Fear Of Missing Out). Stick to a well-defined trading plan. 8. Potential Future Outlook (Based on Technicals) Based on the current technical posture where Bitcoin shows strength above a key psychological level and finds support at Fibonacci retracement zones, the outlook leans cautiously optimistic, contingent on these supports holding. Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD continues to respect these support levels, particularly during periods of consolidation, and bullish candlestick patterns during volatile US evening/Asian morning hours lead to upward impulses, further upside is likely. A sustained break above immediate overhead resistance, confirmed by volume, could see BTCUSD challenge its next major resistance zones and potentially trend towards new highs. The ongoing defense of psychological levels is paramount for this scenario. Bearish Scenario: Should the identified support levels (psychological and Fibonacci) fail to hold, the outlook could shift. A decisive break below these supports, especially on increased selling volume, would indicate that sellers have gained control. This could lead to a deeper correction, targeting lower support structures and potentially invalidating the current bullish sentiment. Increased volatility during the US evening/Asian morning hours could, in this case, exacerbate downward moves if bearish patterns emerge. 9. Conclusion The technical analysis of BTCUSD reveals a market displaying notable strength, characterized by its ability to hold above a significant psychological price point and find robust support at Fibonacci retracement levels. This underlying resilience is a positive sign for bulls. The tendency for volatility to surge during the US evening and Asian morning trading sessions presents strategic windows for traders, particularly when seeking entries confirmed by validated bullish candlestick patterns at these critical support junctures. A comprehensive trading approach should also integrate other indicators like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume analysis to confirm signals and understand the broader market context. While the current technical setup suggests a favorable environment for bulls, the inherent volatility of Bitcoin demands disciplined risk management practices. Traders must remain vigilant, adapting their strategies to the evolving price action and ensuring that any bullish conviction is continuously validated by the market's behavior at these key technical inflection points. The interplay between these technical elements will be crucial in determining BTCUSD's trajectory in the near to medium term.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Analysis – Moving Within the Scenario Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics. Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline toward our $100,000 target, and so far, we still don’t see any signs of a reversal before reaching this level. The scenario remains the same — a decline toward the local low and the $100,000 zone (marked by initiating volumes), from where a potential entry into the main long-term uptrend can be considered. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (initiating volumes), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin at PRZ! Is This the Calm Before a Drop?As I expected in yesterday's idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from near the Support line and hit the Target . Bitcoin is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the ascending channel(minor) , and the Resistance line . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has successfully completed the microwave B of the main wave 4 in the ascending channel(minor). A break of the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) could be a sign of the completion of this wave. The corrective structure of the main wave 4 so far could be a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,923 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) and breaking the Support line, the next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel(major) . Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,525-$104,500 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,763-$99,774 Note: If Bitcoin goes above $105,300, we can expect more pumps. Note: If Bitcoin touches $99,400, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
18
Bitcoin - An unusual chart!Over the past 3 years, I’ve noticed that Bitcoin has been moving in a consistently bullish pattern, as shown on the chart. After breaking out of the red ellipse shape, Bitcoin tends to rally strongly—and that’s usually the signal for altcoins to follow. We’ve now broken out of this ellipse, and it looks like the real bullish move is just beginning. In this chart, I’ve tried to illustrate both the potential upside ahead of us and the estimated timeframe in which this move could unfold. I’ve divided the chart into segments from August 2022 to April 2025. 🔸The red numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 indicate periods of consolidation. 🔸The blue numbers 1, 2, 3, 4 represent strong Bitcoin and altcoin rallies that follow the breakouts. While the exact percentage gains and time durations may vary, if we take the average, we can estimate the upcoming move to be around 120%, taking Bitcoin to around $165K. Similarly, the average time duration for each bullish move has been approximately 120 days. [b ]Welcome to the bull market. Best Regards Ceciliones 🎯
by ceciliones
7
Momentum Fades: Is Bitcoin Poised for a Pullback to Rebalance?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions 🇺🇸🇨🇳, we’re observing a notable rotation of capital into equities 📈. This shift is lending strength to the US dollar 💵, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price action. After a strong momentum-driven rally 🚀, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of weakness, suggesting a potential consolidation or a measured pullback. With equity markets—particularly tech stocks—appearing overextended 🏦, a retracement seems likely. Since Bitcoin remains closely correlated with the tech sector, a synchronized pullback across both asset classes is a plausible scenario. I’m closely monitoring for a counter-trend opportunity, specifically eyeing a short entry should we see a decisive break in market structure 🔍. It’s important to note that this setup is highly dependent on price action confirming the thesis as outlined in the accompanying video. If the anticipated conditions do not materialize, this trade idea will be promptly invalidated. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and equities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. 📊
Short
by fxtraderanthony
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving According to the Scenario Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update. Yesterday, Bitcoin reached our sell zone at $105,000–$105,700, and we saw an immediate reaction upon testing the lower boundary of that range. The scenario outlined yesterday remains valid. We expect a corrective move with potential to reach $100,000, from where a continuation of the primary long trend may be considered. Sell Zones: $105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys), $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). Buy Zones: ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), $98,000–$97,200 (local support), $93,000 level, $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance), $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells), $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume), $82,700–$81,400 (volume zone), $74,800 level, $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume). This publication is not financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics