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Bitcoinprediction

Time Is On Our Side.It’s been awhile since I’ve published my ideas, forgive me, most of my analysis you can find on X, so follow me there for more analysis but I should post here more often. Here I am: Daily chart printed a relatively EQHs then crashed where price bottomed into the 50% range, so it’s time to rally back up run those EQHs, a final attempt for the Monthly to Close Above $93354.77, ending 2025/Q1 above $102K, followed by the next market phase the Distribution stage where price will Mark down price into the bottom of 2026/Q3 @$62317 then rally back to print a new high by end of 2028/Q3, possibly $130K but at this rate of adoption unlike any other times, price will soar sky high. Prepare yourselves and move diligently: Sell The Premium (Top) by 2025/Q2. Buy The Discount (Bottom) by 2026/Q3.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by imonmyrise
1
BITCOIN TRENDS with Heiken Ashi candles & Trend indicator ADX Why HEIKEN ASHI Candles ? Heikin Ashi is a charting technique that can be used to predict future price movements. It is similar to traditional candlestick charts. However, unlike a regular candlestick chart, the Heikin Ashi chart tries to filter out some of the market noise by smoothing out strong price swings to better identify trend movements in the market. ( Source TradingView ) What is ADX ? The ADX indicator measures trend strength without indicating direction. It is derived from the Positive Directional Movement (+DI) and Negative Directional Movement (-DI): +DI (Positive Directional Index): Measures upward price movement. -DI (Negative Directional Index): Measures downward price movement. ADX Value: Higher values indicate stronger trends, regardless of direction. ( Source TradingView) To summarise, Heiken Ashi candles filter out Noise and help identify Trend Direction ADX shows you Trend Strength - NEVER the direction of Trend, using prince index. OK, so now we ready. The main chart has 2 Vertical Bold lines that will be explained in a Bit but Note where they are on the Chart The one on the left is near where the Rise in PA turns and becomes a Ranging PA- PA slowed right on that line. The 2nd line is near the TOP and before the point where PA entered a descending channel that leads us to where we are currently Note on the chart, the Orange dotted line. This is the BASIS line of the Bollinger bands. This is The Basis line and shows us the Average of PA and, as you can see, we are currently below Average. This shows a Negative Trend. See how PA is above the basis line in a Positive Trend Also note in the chart how the lines of candles are Smoother. Each New candle begins on the centre line of the previous and so it becomes a Lot easier to see if PA rises or drops from previous with out the Jagged Noise of traditional candles. - Taller candles show more Strength than previous; So now to the ADX Chart See those 2 Dashed Vertical lines and note how the ADX ( YELLOW ) changes direction at those points. To remind you, the Left one was where BTC PA Slowed down from a Steep Rise, A BULLISH TREND, and turned to Ranging. The Drop in the ADX at this point showed us that the previous trend was weakening. I remind you, it DOES NOT SHOW TREND DIRECTION even though, in this case, they follow each other. PA Ranged horizontal on average till we met the Next line, where the previous Trend Strength had reached Neutral ( Note, this is around 20 on the ADX scale ) At the next dashed lime. ADX began rising. Trend strength was increasing. Initially, we saw BTC PA rising to a New ATH and so, it was easy to assume that the Trend Was Bullish again. However, as we see now, it turns out it was a BEARISH trend. So how do we know when this is going to end ? The ORANGE line DI+ ( positive price action ) and the RED DI - ( Negative price action ) can help These are Price Direction index. When DI + rises, this indicates a positive price action and Visa Versa for DI - On its own, this is not easy But, for instance, notice how while we been in the descending channel, the DI+ dropped while the DI- has ranged along the 20 line on average. This indicates a controlled Drop in PA and NOT a Full on Bearish capitulation. There is strength there in PA and this can be seen by the Slow rise of the ADX On a shorter time scales, over the last 5 days we have seen PA rise in price. this is reflected more in the DI- dropping ( Negative price action loosing strength ) more than in the DI + remainf horizontal.( NOT gaining Strength ) This could indicate that we are not finished Dropping yet - and yet, at the same time, we see the ADX weakening. The Bears maybe getting Tired. If we now return to the Chart This fatigue we maybe seeing in the Bears could be reflected in the simple fact that we are now Near a long term Rising line of Support ( bold line) and that we are nearer the lower line of the descending channel ( also support) - We are also very near the 2.272 fib extension that has proved to be support previously. The upper bollinger band is around 90K, which happens to be near Top of current range. So, we may see a push higher soon but we need to understand that the Longer term still Looks like we will continue in the Range Bound for a Few more weeks. I hope this helps but be prepared for anything
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin’s Monthly RSI Nearing Danger Zone – Time to Sell?The chart above illustrates Bitcoin’s price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a monthly timeframe, which helps identify overbought and oversold conditions. Historically, Bitcoin’s major bull cycle peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021 coincided with the monthly RSI reaching between 85-95, as highlighted by the blue circles. A downward trendline connects these peaks, suggesting that each cycle has seen slightly lower RSI highs, indicating a potential long-term momentum decline. Currently, the RSI is approaching this historical resistance zone, signaling that Bitcoin may be nearing its market peak. If this trend continues, it could mark the final phase of the bull run, making it a strategic period for profit-taking. Traders should closely monitor RSI behavior, as a rejection from this level could indicate the start of a correction. Historically, a monthly RSI of 85-95 has been a strong sell signal, marking the end of Bitcoin’s bull markets. If Bitcoin follows this pattern again, a distribution phase followed by a downturn could be expected.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
Bitcoin's 1065-Day Bull Run Nearing Its End – A Cycle ComparisonThis chart illustrates Bitcoin’s historical price action over three major market cycles, each lasting approximately 1065 days (35 months). The pattern suggests that Bitcoin follows a well-defined four-year cycle, influenced by its halving events. Each cycle begins with a bearish phase (marked in red), followed by a strong uptrend (green), leading to a peak before another correction phase starts. A key observation is that the duration of each bull run remains consistent, lasting around 35 months (~1065 days) before reaching its peak. Historically, Bitcoin has followed a similar trajectory, with price action mirroring previous cycles. If this pattern holds, the current bull run may reach its peak within the next 6-8 months, placing the market top around late 2025. Additionally, past cycles show that altcoins tend to experience their strongest moves after Bitcoin peaks, meaning an altseason could emerge by Q3–Q4 2025.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
1
Bitcoin - Market outlook for the upcoming weeksLiquidity Sweep of the Last 4-Hour Low Last week, Bitcoin pulled a classic sell-side liquidity sweep by breaking below the last 4-hour low. This move likely targeted stop-loss orders placed by long traders and trapped breakout sellers. The price dipped sharply below this key level but quickly reversed upward, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Such movements are often orchestrated by institutional players or "smart money" to accumulate liquidity before driving the market in their desired direction Key characteristics of this liquidity sweep include: Key Liquidity Zone: The 4-hour low acted as a critical support level where many traders had stop-loss orders. Sharp Price Spike Below: The price briefly dipped below this level, triggering stop-losses and enticing short sellers. Aggressive Reversal: Following the sweep, the price rebounded strongly, forming bullish rejection candles on lower timeframes. This confirms the sweep and suggests that smart money may now push prices higher Resistance Zone and Current Market Structure The current resistance level is marked by the blue zone, which represents a key imbalance area. For the bullish reversal to gain momentum, Bitcoin must break above this resistance convincingly. A breakout above this zone would: Confirm a shift in market structure to bullish. Likely lead to a retest of the resistance zone as new support (a common breakout strategy). Open the door for further upside movement toward higher targets. However, if Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, it could indicate continued consolidation or even another test of lower levels. Impact of Today’s PPI Dat a The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in February 2025, seasonally adjusted. This figure came in below economists expectations of a 0.3% increase. Even tho Bitcoin did not react to this right now, it could still show some signs later. Conclusion The sell-side liquidity sweep below the last 4-hour low is a textbook example of smart money manipulation, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor the blue resistance zone for signs of a breakout or rejection. Additionally, today’s PPI data adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics, potentially swaying sentiment depending on whether it signals inflationary pressures or relief. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
30
BITCOIN 50 & 100 SMA Patterns since 2014 -UPDATE - ATH in Q4 ?This is a long post but please read it all, there are some Major things to take note of. The Main item in this post is the day counts between 50 SMA ( RED ) and 100 SMA ( BLUE ) and the days between Cross overs of these. The upper day counts on the chart, count from ATH to when 50 crosses below the 100. Then from that point to when the 50 Crosses back Above the 100 And then, in Grey, the number of days from Cross over to ATH From 2014 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 504 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 406 days And from that point to the 2017 ATH = 560 days From 2017 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 448 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 284 days And from that point to the 2021 ATH = 686 days ( I am using the Nov 2921 ATH as it was the higher price ) From 2021 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 308 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 441 days And from that point to the 2025 ATH = The average of the 2 previous is 623 days and takes us to a possible ATH in August, though I feel this is too soon. If we Look at the day count from ATH to 50 dropping below 100 From 2014 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 504 days From 2017 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 448 days From 2021 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 308 days Could this point towards around 200 days after ATH in 2025? ( This reduction in day count is most likely due ti rapid Profit taking. ) What is interesting is how, on Both the 2014 - 2017 and 2017 - 2021 ATH it was approx 1005 days between the 50 rising above the 100 to when ot fell back below after an ATH. This is Despite a variation in the days count between SMA cross overs. Using this day count and projecting forward, maybe we can expect the 50 to drop back below the 100 in August 2026, next year Using the day count from ATH to when 50 Drops below, that was mentioned above, that is around 200 days after ATH and using that August date just mentioned, We are projecting a Cycle ATH in Feb 2026 ! This is NOT a realistic date if we are to remain in the patterns of ATH in late Q4, that we have had every previous cycle. As I pointed out in a post yesterday, the traditional patterns of Bitcoin HAVE to change this year. And to many extents, they already have begun. Take a Look at the angle of ascent of the 50 and 100 SMA's since 2014. Each cycle has seen a reduction of Steepness of Rise.... A slowing down on trajectory and this is most likely caused by the increase of price of a Bitcoin. The more expensive it gets, the heavier it is to move PA higher. So far this cycle, PA has landed on the 50 SMA twice and we are SO Close to doing that again. This has NEVER happened before. In 2021, we did it once and bounced to the Nov 2021 ATH, so far this cycle, we have done that twice. This ARE CHANGING and for this to continue, we do need to see PA Bounce again off the 50, when the Bulls are ready. The ATH in Q4 is open to question as a result. It may happen anytime from Late Q3 to Late Q1 2026 And we are only going to find out when it happens. But be aware f things changing. Because they are and so using History may become unusable....a bit like Price discoveryIt will become Trend discovery Enjoy
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin, S&P, Gold: Market Decline & DivergenceThe intricate dance of financial assets often reveals hidden correlations and predictive patterns. Recently, the synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has raised concerns, while gold's historic rally has left Bitcoin trailing. However, a deeper dive into the data suggests a potential turnaround, hinting at a shift in market dynamics. For much of the past few years, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong correlation with the S&P 500, behaving as a risk-on asset.1 When the stock market surged, Bitcoin often followed suit, and conversely, market downturns typically coincided with Bitcoin's price depreciation. This correlation stems from shared macroeconomic drivers, such as interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and overall investor sentiment. The recent parallel decline reflects anxieties surrounding persistent inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, this synchronized movement doesn't tell the whole story. While Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have been grappling with downward pressure, gold has embarked on a remarkable rally, reaching unprecedented heights. This surge is fueled by several factors, including substantial inflows into gold ETFs, escalating geopolitical tensions, and heightened market volatility. Gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset has been reaffirmed, as investors seek refuge from the turbulence in equity and cryptocurrency markets. The divergence between Bitcoin and gold is particularly striking. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, a metric that reflects the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold, has broken a 12-year support level. This breach signals a significant shift in investor preference, with gold emerging as the dominant asset. The recent climb of gold to a hypothetical $3,000 mark (or equivalent in other currencies) further underscores this trend, demonstrating its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty. The observed pattern of Bitcoin breaking its multiyear uptrend against gold bears a striking resemblance to the market behavior witnessed between March 2021 and March 2022. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a similar decline relative to gold, ultimately leading to a substantial drop in its dollar value. This fractal pattern suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for further depreciation, potentially falling below the $65,000 mark. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that historical patterns are not infallible predictors of future performance. Market dynamics are constantly evolving, and unforeseen events can significantly alter the trajectory of asset prices. While the current data points towards a potential decline for Bitcoin, there are countervailing factors that could trigger a reversal. One such factor is the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. As more institutional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, the market may become less susceptible to short-term fluctuations driven by retail sentiment. Moreover, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a decentralized store of value remains a compelling narrative for many investors. Additionally, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. As governments and regulatory bodies establish frameworks for the operation of digital asset markets, investor confidence may improve, leading to renewed interest in Bitcoin. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is also anticipated to reduce the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which could potentially drive up its price. While the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may persist in the short term, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest a potential decoupling in the long run. As the cryptocurrency market matures and gains wider acceptance, its correlation with traditional asset classes may weaken. The recent divergence between Bitcoin and gold highlights the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. While gold has proven its resilience in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin offers the potential for substantial returns in the long term. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when allocating capital to these assets. The breakdown of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is a concerning indicator, however, the cryptocurrency world moves quickly. The market is driven by new innovation, and adoption. The market has been known to have large pullbacks, followed by even larger rallies. The current market may be pricing in a large amount of fear, and a simple change in the news cycle could cause a large change in the price of bitcoin. In conclusion, the current market dynamics present a complex picture. The synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, coupled with gold's historic rally, suggests a potential downturn for Bitcoin. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and a maturing regulatory landscape, could trigger a reversal. Investors should remain vigilant, monitor market trends, and make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the underlying fundamentals. The data suggests a potential turn around, but only time will tell if the market will comply.
by bryandowningqln
$84K BTC Battle, ETF Resilience, and Macroeconomic ShadowsBitcoin's journey remains a captivating saga of volatility, resilience, and the interplay of technical indicators and macroeconomic forces. Recently, the cryptocurrency surged past $84,000, reigniting bullish sentiment, but faces a critical test at a key resistance level.1 This surge, fueled by a broader rebound in risk assets, pushed BTC above its 200-day moving average, a pivotal benchmark for assessing long-term trends. However, this bullish momentum is juxtaposed with significant selling pressure, ETF outflows, and lingering concerns about regulatory and macroeconomic landscapes. The 200-Day Moving Average: A Battleground for Bulls The 200-day moving average is a widely recognized technical indicator that provides insight into the long-term trend of an asset. For Bitcoin, consistently closing above this level signifies a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The recent breach is a positive sign for bulls, indicating renewed confidence and potentially attracting further investment. However, a sustained close above this level is crucial to solidify the bullish outlook. The importance of this level is highlighted by the narrative that a weekly close above this average would confirm a market bottom. This emphasizes the significance of longer timeframes in validating trends in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market. $86K or $65+K: A Price at a Crossroads Bitcoin's price currently finds itself at a critical juncture. The immediate challenge is breaching the $86,000 resistance level. A successful breakout could pave the way for further gains, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to overcome this resistance could lead to a pullback towards the $65,000 support level. This range represents a crucial battleground for bulls and bears, with the outcome likely to determine the short-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price. MVRV Ratio: A Potential Reversal Indicator The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is another key metric that investors closely monitor. It compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, providing insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions. A high MVRV ratio suggests that Bitcoin is overvalued and prone to a correction, while a low ratio indicates undervaluation and potential for a rebound. The MVRV ratio nearing a key level suggests that a major reversal could be imminent, adding another layer of complexity to Bitcoin's current price action. ETF Resilience Amidst Volatility Despite a 25% price drop, Bitcoin ETF investors have maintained a relatively strong stance. This resilience is reflected in the collective $115 billion in assets under management by US Bitcoin ETFs. This demonstrates the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. However, since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion. This outflow points to a potential shift in investor sentiment, possibly driven by concerns about market volatility or macroeconomic uncertainties. The strength of the ETF market is a double edged sword. While significant holdings demonstrate institutional buy in, large outflows can increase sell pressure on the underlying asset. Selling Pressure and Macroeconomic Shadows Bitcoin's recent decline is attributed to intensified selling pressure, reflecting a broader trend of risk aversion in the market. This selling pressure is exacerbated by concerns about the potential impact of digital currencies on traditional banking systems. Banks are increasingly weighing the implications of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, leading to regulatory scrutiny and potential policy changes. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Concerns about inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions are contributing to market volatility and impacting the demand for risk assets, including Bitcoin. Presidential Policy and Market Sentiment A presidential policy aimed at creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve initially sparked optimism among investors. However, this initial enthusiasm waned, highlighting the complex interplay between policy announcements and market reactions. While such policies can signal government acceptance of cryptocurrencies, they may not always translate into immediate price appreciation. The market's reaction suggests that investors are more focused on broader macroeconomic trends and regulatory clarity. The lack of sustained positive impact from the policy announcement underscores the importance of addressing fundamental concerns about Bitcoin's long-term viability and regulatory framework. Navigating the Volatility Bitcoin's current situation highlights the inherent volatility and unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Investors must remain vigilant and adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. The interplay of technical indicators, ETF flows, and macroeconomic factors creates a complex landscape that requires careful analysis and strategic decision-making. In conclusion, Bitcoin's battle at $84K, coupled with the resilience of ETF investors and the shadow of macroeconomic uncertainties, paints a picture of a market at a critical juncture. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can sustain its bullish momentum or succumb to renewed selling pressure. Understanding the interplay of these factors is essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency investing.
by bryandowningqln
BTC to likely kiss the $74K - $69KBitcoin Market Analysis and Forecast Bitcoin has retraced over 50% from its all-time high (ATH). Despite a rebound from the Fibonacci 50% level to its current price of $84,600, continued selling pressure could push BTC lower toward the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement zone, which lies between $74,000 and $69,000. This potential pullback presents strategic entry points for long-term investors who have the patience to hold through market cycles. Given the current market conditions, I will continue to accumulate using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy to mitigate volatility and optimize long-term gains. I will be monitoring the price action closely and providing further updates as the market develops.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexClinik
8
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think? Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) . From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave . According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure. I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 . What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
35
BTC Oversold bounce back resistance at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 76,112, followed by 74,222 and 67,260. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 98,500. Conclusion: The price remains at a pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win This Battle?Market overview: Daily Timeframe The daily chart is the foundation of this analysis, providing a macro perspective on Bitcoin’s current market structure. Price is trading between two critical zones, one acting as support and the other as resistance. These levels have historically played a significant role in Bitcoin’s price action, making them key areas to watch for potential breakouts or breakdowns. Currently, Bitcoin has tested the lower support zone multiple times, showing that buyers are actively defending this level. However, each bounce has been met with selling pressure near the previous support-turned-resistance zone, which indicates indecision in the market. This price action suggests that Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, where liquidity is building before a larger directional move. There are two potential scenarios that will determine the next major trend: Bullish Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone (the green-marked area on the chart), it would indicate a shift in market sentiment, with buyers taking control. This move would confirm that the recent downside movement was a temporary correction rather than a trend reversal. A clean breakout, followed by a successful retest of the level as support, would provide an ideal confirmation for a long position, targeting higher resistance levels. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses the current support zone, it would confirm that sellers remain in control. A daily close below this level would likely trigger increased selling pressure, leading to a move towards lower support zones. In this case, a short position would be favored, with potential downside targets in mind. Since price is still within this range, waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown is crucial before committing to a directional trade. Acting too soon, without confirmation, could lead to getting trapped in false breakouts or liquidity grabs. 4-Hour Timeframe – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Signs Looking at the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has recently swept a major low, a move often associated with liquidity grabs. However, price did not close below this level, suggesting that the move was intended to trap sellers rather than initiate a true breakdown. Liquidity sweeps occur when market makers push price below a previous low to trigger stop-losses and induce panic selling before reversing the price direction. This failure to break lower could be a sign that Bitcoin is gearing up for an upside move, but further confirmation is required. 1-Hour Timeframe – Key Level for a Bullish Breakout The 1-hour chart further supports the bullish case, as it also shows a liquidity sweep of recent lows, similar to what was observed on the 4-hour timeframe. This confluence strengthens the idea that Bitcoin may be preparing for a move higher. A key resistance level has been marked with a black line on the chart. This level represents the most recent structural high that must be broken and flipped into support to confirm bullish momentum. Trading plan for a long position: Break Above the Key High – Price must first move above the marked resistance level to signal strength. Retest & Hold as Support – A successful retest of this level as new support would indicate that buyers are in control. Entry for a Long Position – Once support is confirmed, a long position can be considered, targeting higher resistance levels. If Bitcoin fails to break this level, the bullish thesis weakens, and attention should shift back to the daily support zone for potential bearish continuation. Upcoming Bitcoin-Related News & Events to Watch While technical analysis provides clear trade setups, macroeconomic events can heavily influence Bitcoin’s movement. Some key fundamental catalysts to watch in the coming days include: CPI & Inflation Data (March 12, 2025) – Higher-than-expected inflation could negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, while lower inflation numbers could support a bullish breakout. FOMC Meeting & Interest Rate Decision (March 20, 2025) – The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be crucial. A more dovish tone could provide a bullish tailwind for Bitcoin, while hawkish policy could lead to downside movement. Final Thoughts The daily range is the most critical structure to watch, whichever level breaks first will determine the trade setup. The 4-hour liquidity sweep suggests potential bullish momentum but still needs confirmation. The 1-hour key high must be broken and flipped into support before looking for long positions. Macro events like CPI and Fed decisions could heavily impact Bitcoin’s movement. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
22
Weekly Support is around 80000.Weekly Support is around 80000. However, 72500 - 73000 is its previous breakout level & probably a Best Buying Rage (if it touches) which is also a Confluence area of Trendline Support+Important Fib. level. Bullish Divergence on Shorter Time Frame + Weekly Support around 80000 (if Sustained) may push the Price up towards 87000 & then around 95000 - 96000. Ultimate Resistance is around 110000. Crossing this level may open new Highs Targeting around 136000. On Shorter Timeframe, 85000 - 86000 is the Immediate Resistance & Support is around 80000.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by House-of-Technicals
Ethereum Downside to 1000!!!Ethereum has already broken the upward support trendline within the double top formation. A break of that support line is bearish for Ethereum, especially now that it looks to complete its double top formation. Ethereum may have a short interim bounce back to 2200 from todays levels of 1800. But will most likely fail to 1000, where that is the next support zone nearby. Bitcoin looks like its on its way to retest its prior breakout zone of 65-70k, which would mean a 20% decline in bitcoin. If BTC were to decline 20%, this would bring a 40%+ decline in other coins including ETH. Which would indicate if BTC fell to 65k, it would solidify ETH drop to 1000.
Short
by BBTrader29
Bitcoin’s Fair Value Gap Filling – Will Trendline Hold?Bitcoin is currently trading at its rising trendline support, which has been a key level for price action. On the 5D timeframe, BTC is respecting this strong upward trendline, indicating that buyers are stepping in to defend it. The previous resistance has now turned into support, adding confluence to this critical level. If BTC holds here, it could signal a bullish continuation, while a breakdown may trigger further downside. On the 1D timeframe, BTC is filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG), a liquidity zone where price typically seeks balance before making the next move. The Stoch RSI is in the oversold region, suggesting that a bounce could be on the horizon if demand picks up. Bullish Scenario : Holding above the trendline and reclaiming $81,500+ could trigger another leg up. Bearish Scenario : Losing the trendline support and breaking below $76,000 could lead to deeper correction. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Bounce from $76,000-$78,000 → Potential bullish reversal ⚠️ Break below $76,000 → Risk of further downside
Long
by unichartz
2
Bitcoin's Natural Correction and the $141K Target Based on Fibonhello dear trader and investors The cryptocurrency market is always accompanied by strong fluctuations and natural corrections. Bitcoin, as the market leader, requires corrections and liquidity accumulation after each significant rally to pave the way for higher price targets. In this article, we analyze Fibonacci structures and harmonic patterns to demonstrate that Bitcoin's next target could be $141K. 1. Bitcoin Corrections: A Natural Part of an Uptrend Price corrections in bullish trends are a normal phenomenon that helps shake out weak hands and allows major players to accumulate liquidity. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced 20-30% corrections before resuming its upward trajectory. The current correction is no different and may serve as a base for the next strong move toward higher targets. 2. The $141K Target Based on Fibonacci Fibonacci levels are among the most reliable tools for predicting price targets. Assuming Bitcoin's recent high was around FWB:73K and the ongoing pullback is a healthy retracement, we can use harmonic AB=CD pattern to project potential upside targets. Based on these levels, Bitcoin could reach $141K in the next bullish phase. Confirmation Through Harmonic Patterns Harmonic patterns like Butterfly and Gartley suggest that the current correction is forming a potential reversal structure. If this correction completes within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), Bitcoin could see a strong continuation of its uptrend. The Fibonacci ratios in these harmonic structures indicate that the final price target for this bullish wave could be around $141K. Volume and Liquidity: Key Drivers for the Rally Bitcoin needs increased volume and liquidity inflows to reach higher levels. On-chain data shows that trading volumes are rising and large investors (whales) are accumulating rather than selling. This behavior typically precedes a strong bullish move. Bitcoin's current correction is entirely natural, and technical structures suggest that it could be laying the foundation for a new bullish wave. Based on Fibonacci and harmonic pattern analysis, Bitcoin's next major target is around $141K. Traders and investors should consider these levels in their analysis and avoid emotional decisions during market corrections good luck mehdi
Long
by mehdi_kb
ETH at a Critical Support Level! Market Poised for a Big Move?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is currently trading at a 261-week-old support level, making this a crucial zone for the market. Earlier, ETH dipped to $1,754, a price level that has historically been significant. This could very well mark the bottom for ETH and potentially for altcoins. However, it's still too early to confirm. The next two weekly candles will be key, if this support holds, we could see a strong altcoin recovery in the coming months. Macro Factors at Play: The broader geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape isn't great, despite this potential setup. Markets in the US, China, and India are facing turbulence, and the crypto market is experiencing low volume and liquidity. These factors could impact price action in the short term. That said, as the chart develops over the next few weeks, we might witness significant shifts in market sentiment. Sooner or later, BTC will make its move—either consolidating or attempting to reclaim $90K—while altcoins could start rebounding rapidly. When this happens, the market could turn bullish in a matter of weeks. Stay Alert, The Opportunity Is Coming: Now is the time to pay close attention to the charts and fundamentals. Stay sharp, monitor key levels, and prepare for potential opportunities. I'll be sharing a handpicked list of altcoins that could perform well in the coming days. DYOR , Not Financial Advice. Stay tuned. Do show your support buy hitting that like button. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
3