Get started

Bitcoinprediction

BTC is filling the CME Gap. Bullish or Bearish?Hello Traders, In this video, I dive deep into the current market landscape, focusing on several key aspects that are crucial for developing our trading strategies. First, we'll discuss the CME Gap and explore how this gap might influence market movements. Next, we take a closer look at the trend direction and analyze how it has evolved in recent days and what it could mean for upcoming trading opportunities. I'll show you how to identify the trend and incorporate it into your strategy. Another essential topic we'll cover is confirmations: I'll explain how to ensure that your trade is on solid ground and how to avoid unnecessary risks. Finally, I present two different trade ideas and share my expectations for these setups. You'll learn about the scenarios I envision and how I plan to respond to various market developments. Join me as we delve into chart analysis and learn how to apply this information to your own trades!
by SerenityEquity
1
Bitcoin's Falling Wedge: A Cautious Approach The cryptocurrency market is renowned for its volatility and unpredictability. While technical analysis tools like the falling wedge pattern can offer potential insights into price trends, it's crucial to approach them with a critical eye. Even after identifying a seemingly bullish pattern, several factors warrant caution when considering Bitcoin as an investment. The Falling Wedge: A Double-Edged Sword A falling wedge is a chart pattern that indicates a potential bullish reversal. It's characterized by a narrowing price range with lower highs and higher lows. However, it's essential to remember that patterns are not foolproof predictors of future price movements. They are merely tools to help analyze market sentiment and potential trends. Moreover, the formation of a falling wedge doesn't necessarily guarantee an immediate or sustained price increase. It's possible that the price could consolidate or even decline further before breaking out. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors beyond technical analysis, including regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment. Fundamental Risks Persist Beyond technical analysis, Bitcoin faces significant fundamental challenges. The cryptocurrency's price volatility, energy consumption concerns, and regulatory uncertainties continue to pose risks for investors. • Volatility: Bitcoin's price has historically exhibited extreme volatility, making it difficult to predict short-term movements. While this volatility can create profit opportunities, it also exposes investors to substantial losses. • Energy Consumption: The energy required to mine Bitcoin has drawn criticism for its environmental impact. Governments and regulatory bodies are increasingly scrutinizing the cryptocurrency industry, which could lead to stricter regulations or even bans. • Regulatory Uncertainty: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies remains unclear in many jurisdictions. This uncertainty can create legal and operational challenges for businesses and investors alike. Alternative Investment Opportunities Considering the risks associated with Bitcoin, investors may want to explore alternative investment options. Diversification is a key principle of sound investment strategy, and allocating assets across different asset classes can help mitigate risk. • Traditional Assets: Stocks, bonds, and real estate offer more established investment avenues with potentially lower volatility and greater diversification benefits. • Other Cryptocurrencies: While the cryptocurrency market as a whole is volatile, some altcoins may present more attractive risk-reward profiles than Bitcoin. However, thorough research is essential to identify promising projects with solid fundamentals. • Emerging Technologies: Investing in companies or funds focused on emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, or clean energy, can provide exposure to high-growth sectors. Conclusion While the appearance of a falling wedge pattern on Bitcoin's weekly chart might be tempting for some investors, it's crucial to maintain a cautious approach. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, and past performance is not indicative of future results. By carefully considering the risks and exploring alternative investment options, investors can make more informed decisions and protect their portfolios. Ultimately, the decision to invest in Bitcoin is a personal one that should be based on individual risk tolerance, investment goals, and a thorough understanding of the cryptocurrency market. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conducting thorough research and consulting with a financial advisor is recommended before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin 4hr Setup Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, having dropped 2,000 pips over the past seven days. Several key factors are converging around the $60,000 level, making it a critical area of interest. These factors include the psychological round number of $60,000, previous market structure, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and the presence of both an upward and a downward trend line intersecting near this price. Additionally, there's a notable rejection point in this vicinity. Given these confluences, I anticipate a reaction around this level, potentially leading to further downward movement. Bitcoin Daily Chart Bitcoin is showing several confluences on the daily chart around the $60,000 level. After a 1,000-pip rally without any significant pullback, a retracement seems likely, as the price may need to dip before resuming its upward momentum. This time, I anticipate that Bitcoin might close below the 200-day moving average during the pullback. However, once it completes this downward move, I expect the price to eventually close above the 200-day moving average and begin a climb toward the top of the current channel.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ChartStrategist
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (August 08-09)Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a local decline and received a responsive reaction from buyers. At the moment, we are at the upper boundary of a potential sideways range. Currently, we highlight 2 local scenarios: rotation within this range over the next 24 hours, or a breakout in an upward direction and a test of the $60,000 price level. In case of a false breakout of the upper boundary of the range, we might see a test of the selling zone at $52,000. Buying zones below: $52,000-$50,000, $48,000-$47,000 (pushing volumes), $44,000-$41,600 (accumulated volumes). Nearest selling zones: $60,000-$62,000 (accumulated volumes), $64,000-$65,200 (mirror volume zone). Interesting altcoins For the IO coin, a mirror selling zone of $1.81-$1.86 has formed, from which we have already received a minimal reaction. A retest of this zone and the local high of 1.82 is likely. If there is a reaction, we open a short position. The TON coin has grown well after the announcement of its listing on Binance spot. The main volumes are located in the zone $6.15-$5.96. If there is a reaction from this zone, we join the longs.
by Crypto_robotics
BTCUSD: The Rally Is Just Beginning, Probability Confirms6M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 3M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1M: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 2W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1W: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 3D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1D: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD If you have any questions, need further clarification, or would like to share your own insights, feel free to leave a comment below! The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you may lose some or all of your investment. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fractalyst
Bitcoin's Rollercoaster: A Temporary Respite or Precipice of a CBitcoin, the digital currency that once seemed invincible, has undergone a tumultuous period. A dramatic plunge from its peak to a low of $49,300 sent shockwaves through the crypto market. However, a surprising recovery has seen it rebound to $56,000. This raises a critical question: is this a reprieve before another, more devastating crash, or the beginning of a renewed bull run? Factors Fueling the Fall To understand the potential trajectory of Bitcoin, it's essential to examine the factors that precipitated its decline. Macroeconomic conditions, including rising inflation and interest rate hikes, have cast a long shadow over risk assets, and Bitcoin is no exception. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly in the United States, has also contributed to market volatility. Additionally, concerns about the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining have led some investors to reconsider their positions. The Rallying Cry The recent recovery can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, a wave of buying from institutional investors has helped to bolster Bitcoin's price. These large-scale investors often view market downturns as buying opportunities, believing that Bitcoin's long-term value proposition remains intact. Secondly, the ongoing development of Bitcoin's underlying technology, including advancements in scalability and privacy, has continued to attract investor interest. Finally, the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a payment method by major corporations has reinforced its status as a digital store of value. A Fork in the Road While the current rebound is encouraging, it's crucial to approach it with caution. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and past performance does not indicate future results. Several factors could derail the recovery and push Bitcoin back into a bear market. For instance, a more aggressive monetary tightening policy by central banks could trigger a renewed sell-off in risk assets. Additionally, increased regulatory scrutiny or negative publicity surrounding Bitcoin could erode investor confidence. Looking Ahead Predicting the future of Bitcoin is a complex endeavor. However, investors can make more informed decisions by carefully considering the factors outlined above. Those with a long-term investment horizon may view the recent dip as a buying opportunity, believing that Bitcoin's underlying value proposition remains intact. On the other hand, short-term traders should exercise caution and be prepared for increased volatility. Ultimately, the fate of Bitcoin will depend on a confluence of factors, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it's essential to stay informed and adapt to changing circumstances. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries significant risks, and it's essential to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin: Potential 2025 targetsHere you can see the similarities between the last three halving cycles and compare them to the current fourth one. The blue zones represent when the price has broken the 0.382 fib after a bear market roughly one year before the halving. The price never broke the 0.786 fib before the halving, so I don’t expect the price to go above $50,000 until at least few months after the halving in 2024. The green zones represent the time from the halving to the peak. The price reached the 1.618 fib in each of the previous cycles (and got a massive rejection). This cycle the 1.618 fib is at $174,000. The orange zones represent blow-off tops. In the first two cycles the price kept going all the way to the 2.272 fib. In the last cycle it didn’t happen (but it was still a very bullish phase). This cycle the 2.272 fib is at $462,000. I have copied the price action of the last three cycles and adjusted them to the current fib levels to get a visualization of what we can expect after the next halving. I don’t know what will happen before the next halving, but I expect the price to range between $20,000 and $50,000. Main target for 2025 is just under $200,000. And maybe we’ll see $420,690 just for the meme.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Fahrrr
2
Bitcoin – CRUCIAL LEVELS TO WATCH amidst the dipIn the last 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant decline, dropping below the $60,000 price range. Given the current trend and the market’s volatility, could we see a further drop to the $40,000 price range? Analysis of Bitcoin’s price trend highlighted a significant downturn over the last 24 hours, with a drop of over 9%. Bitcoin was trading at approximately $52,900, with its decline hovering between 8% and 9% within this period. Using the price range tool, it was evident that since the onset of the major decline around August 2nd, Bitcoin has experienced a substantial decrease in value, amounting to over 24%. Using the Fibonacci retracement indicator to analyze Bitcoin’s price trend offered valuable insights into potential future movements. Notably, if BTC’s price managed to hold above the 23.6% retracement level, it could ascend to test higher Fibonacci levels. The chart showed it could specifically test the 38.2% level at approximately $56,847.56 or even the 50% level at about $59,127.13. Conversely, if the downward trend persists, the next critical support, according to the Fibonacci retracement analysis, would be at the 0% level, around $49,467.88. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis showed it was in oversold territory. Typically, this could indicate an imminent price reversal or bounce, as buyers might consider it an optimal point to enter the market. However, it’s crucial to note that during strong downtrends, the RSI can remain in the oversold zone for extended periods. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), another momentum indicator, shows bearish momentum. Considering these factors—the bearish MACD, the oversold RSI, and Bitcoin’s positioning relative to key Fibonacci levels—the short-term outlook for Bitcoin appears to be bearish.
by paul_endeo
Bitcoin phase programmed? Take a look at the chart above. I am keeping this fully transparent: I am not a perma bear, nor am I a perma bull or moon boi. I am just analyzing what I see. If I am right, that would mean that we have bottomed for the time being and the next phase of Bitcoin is preparing. I inverted the chart to make the TA make sense to me because the right side up was just too confusing apart from the red line that I drew based on the run-up at the beginning of the year. (Which still held) We tested that red line support and retested it for the double bottom. Even if we triple bottom here it would also be a triple top inverted which is why this chart is upside down to showcase the bullish movement still works if we look at it this. Happy Trading and stay safe out there.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
1
What to expect from BTC in the next six months? Global forecastHalf of 2024 is over. During this time, Bitcoin has managed to update its 💥 historical highs. What can we expect from bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in the future? For six months, there was only one month when the price was actively growing. It was February 2024: In one month, the BTC price rose by 💎43% and began consolidating on the monthly timeframe. In March, the BTC price updated its historical high. This month saw the highest volume trading in 2024. The situation with BTC is most dangerous on the monthly timeframe . For 4 months, bitcoin has been consolidating under the historical high. If we didn't know that it was bitcoin, we would have expected the price to fall by the end of 2024 with a minimum target of $41,000. However, a similar situation with bitcoin occurred exactly a year ago. The BTC price stopped in consolidation starting in March 2023. During the summer, bitcoin did not move anywhere globally, and since September, we have seen a powerful wave of growth: Given the fact that bitcoin has never stopped its growth after updating its historical highs, the likelihood of such a scenario is also high: Great! So how do we make trading decisions? To do this, let's look at smaller timeframes. For example, a weekly one. After a strong upward momentum in the BTC price since September 2023, sellers have reacted rather weakly to the update of the historical high: In our opinion, everything will become clear after the BTC price updates the $56,000 mark. If the decline slows down and the price rebounds actively, we do not expect a deep correction of BTC and will wait for the extension of the BTC term and the update of historical highs by the end of 2024. However, if there is no support in the $55,000 range , this is a signal that 2024 will end with a boring correction with the main target of $42,000. And until the BTC price tests the $55,000 range, we would not make global decisions. However, what will happen to altcoins if, for example, bitcoin goes to $42,000? Here, I would like to show you a chart of BTC's dominance on the monthly timeframe so that you can understand how much things can change: Since October 2023, it has become extremely difficult to update local highs on the BTC dominance chart. And this is not even helped by Bitcoin ETFs. During July-August 2024, bitcoin's influence may drop sharply to 47%. Therefore, even in a negative scenario, when bitcoin falls to the $42,000 range, other cryptocurrencies should not fall as much as they did in June. And now let's look at what chance the cryptocurrency market has of falling back into a protracted crypto winter! Here is a chart of USDT's dominance on the monthly timeframe: In January 2024, the USDT dominance indicator broke through the 2019 USDT dominance uptrend! The worst-case scenario we see now is a retest of the consolidation in which USDT dominance moved from June 2022 to October 2023. However, such a scenario is possible if the current 5.1% range does not keep the pressure off USDT dominance: On the weekly timeframe, we can see that the growth structure of USDT dominance does not look strong. What conclusions can be drawn from this information? 👉By the end of the summer, bitcoin has a good chance of losing its influence on the cryptocurrency market. And it can happen abruptly. 👉In July, it will become clear whether the cryptocurrency market will grow by the end of 2024 or whether 2024 will end on a bearish note. 👉Right now, there is a critical point in the cryptocurrency market from which the market can start a new medium-term growth wave. And it is during this growth that altcoins will feel good. What do you think about the cryptocurrency market by the end of 2024? Write your thoughts in the comments!
by P_S_trade
19
Bitcoin Tanks on Monday: Crypto Market Faces Severe Bearish TurnThe crypto market faced a significant downturn on Monday, marking what seems like a Black Monday event. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) led the decline, plunging nearly 10% to hit the $50,020 mark, triggering alarm among investors. Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) wasn't spared either, crashing almost 20% amidst a broader market slump influenced by major dumps from trading giants like Jump Trading. Key Developments - Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ): The leading cryptocurrency plummeted 10.78% in the past 24 hours, resting at $54,191.08. The coin experienced a volatile trading day, with lows at $52,559.19 and highs at $61,058.94. Bitcoin’s market dominance increased by 0.98%, now standing at 56.62%. - Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ): Ethereum’s price saw a severe crash, dropping nearly 20%. The sharp decline in ETH price further accentuated the bearish momentum across the broader altcoin market. - Market Impact: The overall global crypto market cap plunged by 12.50%, settling at $1.89 trillion. Despite the downturn, the total crypto market volume surged by 86.72% to $124.44 billion, indicating a high level of trading activity during the sell-off. Broader Market Trends The bearish trend wasn't confined to Bitcoin and Ethereum. The altcoin market largely mirrored this negative sentiment, with most cryptocurrencies posting significant losses. The only gainer in the top ranks was Tether Gold, which edged up by 0.15% to $2,449.72. Contributing Factors Regulatory scrutiny continues to weigh heavily on the crypto market. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff predicted that Bitcoin ETFs might see a 15%-30% drop below their January highs, adding to the bearish outlook. Also, According to CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno, if Bitcoin fails to regain the crucial support level of $57K, the market could see further declines, potentially reaching a $40,000 price target. The bearish crypto trend was exacerbated by a collapse in the Japanese markets. This global financial unease prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce an emergency meeting to discuss rate cuts. Analysts are anticipating a 50 basis points cut, which is seen as an effort to cushion the market crash and potentially aid recovery. Market Outlook The cryptocurrency market has recently witnessed significant declines, leading to heightened volatility. Although some short-term recovery has been observed in the hourly charts for Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) and Ethereum (ETH), the predominant sentiment remains bearish. Investors are advised to exercise caution as the market undergoes adjustments to these new dynamics. The daily price chart of CRYPTOCAP:BTC illustrates a bearish reversal pattern following an extended period of consolidation. Further accentuating the bearish trend is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently positioned at 26. Of note is the resurgence of BTC subsequent to its drop to the $50,000 support level, with a subsequent surge to $53,727 observed at the time of composition, signifying robust investor interest in the asset.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin's Final Make Or Break MomentThis is my first post in some time. As I stated before, I'm largely moving on from crypto. I'm still here, paying attention to the market. I've also created a site for my fiction writing. Eventually, I may migrate some of these posts over there as representations of my non-fiction speculative market analysis. Anyway, on to the important stuff. Bitcoin did not succeed as a currency. Active addresses have still not seen any meaningful increase since 2017. The rate of growth for authentic currency adoption has slowed down along with price growth and expensiveness. studio.glassnode.com There are only about 1 million active addresses. Nevertheless, price continues to be resilient. Perhaps this is due to its limited supply and its pivot in narrative to a "store of value." Indeed, it has been a pretty lucrative store of value, though more volatile than the stock market and other commodities. This doesn't necessarily make it a "good" store of value. Regardless of what I think, the market will make its decision. Now is the time for that to happen. With ETFs supposedly on the horizon, we will get to see how much demand really exists for Bitcoin. I'm going to take this moment to speculate a bit. If it continues to go up, my guess is it will be because of the ETF hype, but volume amongst most spot exchanges will remain low. Bitcoin dominance would likely rise to levels not seen since 2019. If it results in a bubble, eventually people will come to their senses and there will be a pop. It will attract a lot of media and government attention, not all of it positive. If it drops from here, it will be like all the other times people had high hopes for Bitcoin. It will be like all the times Bitcoin was supposed to represent economic freedom. It will be like every single time Bitcoin made major news, only for everyone to talk about it just as it was about to crash. It will not come as any surprise. If the ETFs fail to sustain the market to new highs, then I think there is little other chance for this asset, at least in the near future, until some other narrative takes hold. The thing exists, and as long as it does, people will ascribe their hopes, dreams, and (in my case) disdain towards it. What would be a departure would be continued price appreciation and adoption. But, with a finite supply, there is of course a limit to how much people can buy. Then, what happens to it? We shouldn't forget the other side of this market (apart from the ETF hype and the coin accumulation that requires). Binance is still a thing. BNB is still a juggernaut. Tron is still a thing, and so is the big stablecoin cartel which likely revolves around both. But I'll spare you all my other thoughts on this subject. I just wanted to post a chart update, to show that I'm at least paying attention. As for technicals, my chart shows two options. If it continues to hold in this broadening wedge pattern, the next target could be $90k, or roughly 2x from here, surpassing the previous all time high. As much as my previous analysis will be wrong if that happens, it's a possibility. The other scenario shows what could happen on a breakdown, back below the broadening pattern. Here's the BLX chart, showing that Bitcoin has so far been rejected at a former long term trendline. This chart shows some more possibilities. Let's see if it can break back above. Zoomed out: Either way, prepare for volatility! As always, thank you so much for reading. This is not financial advice, but meant for speculation and entertainment only. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
105
BlackRock: Poised for a Bullish Breakout? **Current Price Range**: $846 to $822 (Weekly Frame) **Potential for Bullish Reversal**: BlackRock, trending between $846 and $822, shows signs of a potential bullish reversal. A strong resistance at $895.20 is key. Breaking and closing above this level on the weekly timeframe could indicate a reversal and the continuation of a bullish trend. **Double Top Formation and Historical Context**: The double top pattern from November 15, 2021 , initially suggested bearish momentum due to overvaluation and economic concerns. However, BlackRock's strategic growth initiatives, including climate transition ETFs, acquisitions, and private market expansions, offer strong bullish prospects. **Probability Indicator**: Our probability indicator, currently above the middle threshold, hints at a shift towards bullish momentum. **Key Levels to Watch**: - **Resistance Level** : $895.20 - A break above this level may signal a bullish continuation. - **Support Level** : $726.37 - A hold above this zone could further support the bullish outlook. **Market Factors**: **Strategic Growth** : BlackRock's innovative initiatives and acquisitions position it well for future growth. **Resilience Amid Challenges**: Despite facing outflows and ESG-related backlash, BlackRock remains robust. **Leadership and Vision**: CEO Larry Fink's strategic direction emphasizes long-term growth and adaptation to market changes. **Expected All-Time High**: BlackRock is expected to reach its all-time high by end-March 2025, supported by its strategic initiatives and resilience in the market. **Conclusion**: BlackRock is on the verge of a potential bullish breakout. Monitoring the $ 895.20 resistance level is crucial for confirmation. The company's strategic initiatives and resilience indicate a strong potential for a bullish trend continuation, possibly mirroring the market recovery patterns seen after the 2008 financial crisis.
NYSE:BLKLong
by wikitrades
1